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C!""# A$%&' V!"
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INSTITUTO TECNOLOGÍCO DE CERRO AZUL

DEPARTAMENTO DE INGENIERIA INDUSTRIAL

ING. CATALINA LUNA MANZANO

PRONOSTICOS DE VENTAS PARA LA TIENDA “SUPER 7”

PRESENTAN:

MORALES SANTIAGO MANUEL ENRIQUE

PASCUAL LIRA NERY HAZIEL

LOBATOS SANTOS PABLO

FLORES DEL ÁNGEL LUIS ENRIQUE

FIGUEROA MORENO JOSÉ DE JESS

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Contenido
INTRODUCCI1N.......................................................................................................-
CARACTERIZACI1N DEL LUGAR.................
LUGAR..........................
.................
.................
..................
................................
.......................
D3(4"(5( ,! ,36*"3+%)38..................
,36*"3+%)38...........................
..................
..................
.................
.................
..................
..................
.................
........
O"4(834"(5(...........................................................................................................9
D!6)"3)38 ,!& "#+&!5(..................
"#+&!5(...........................
..................
..................
.................
.................
..................
.........................
................
OBJETIVO...............
OBJETIVO........................
..................
..................
..................
.................
.................
..................
..................
....................................
...........................
MARCO TE1RICO.............
TE1RICO......................
..................
..................
..................
.................
.................
..................
..................................
.........................
M<*#,#6 )%(&3*(*3=#6 ("( &#6 "#86*3)#6.....................
"#86*3)#6.............................
.......................................
................................
C#86%&*( ( &( >%!"$( ,! =!8*(...................
=!8*(...........................
.................
..................
..................
..................
.................
..............
......
J%"(,# ,! #3838 !?!)%*3=(...................
!?!)%*3=(............................
..................
.................
.................
..................
..................
.................
........
M<*#,#6 )%(8*3*(*3=#6
)% (8*3*(*3=#6 ("( &#6 "#86*3)#6....................
"#86*3)#6.............................
.................................
.............................
.....
M<*#,# ,! 6!"3!6
6!" 3!6 ,! *3!5# )#8 "#5!,3#6 5=3&!6...................
5=3&!6............................
.....................
............
M<*#,# ,! 6%(=3$()38 !#8!8)3(&...................
!#8!8)3(&............................
..................
.....................................
.............................
DESARROLLO................
DESARROLLO.........................
.................
.................
..................
..................
..................
..........................
.....................................
....................
M<*#,# ,! )#86%&*( ( &( >%!"$( ,! =!8*(.........
=!8*( .................
.................
..................
....................................
...........................
M<*#,# ,! ?%"(,# ,! #3838 !?!)%*3=(.........................
!?!)%*3=(.....................................
......................................./
.........................../
M<*#,# ,! 6!"3!6 ,! *3!5# )#8 "#5!,3#6 5=3&!6.........................
5=3&!6.........................................../
................../
M<*#,# ,! 6%(=3$()38 !#8!8)3(&....................
!#8!8)3(&.............................
.................
......................................./
.............................../
RESULTADOS........................................................................................................./2
CONCLUSIONES...............
CONCLUSIONES.......................
.................
..................
..................
..................
.................
.................
................................./
......................../
R!>!"!8)3(6............................................................................................................../@
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INTRODUCCI1N

E8 &( ()*%(&3,(, !6 ,! >%8,(5!8*(& 35#"*(8)3( ("( &(6 !5"!6(6 !& )#8*

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<",3,(6' %,3!8,# &&!=(" ( 8%!6*"( !5"!6( 38)&%6# ( &( %3!+"(.

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%+3)(,( !8 &( )(&&! R(>(!& N3!*# N#. @ C#&#83( L$("# C",!8(6' !8 &( )3%,(, ,
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CARACTERIZACI1N DEL LUGAR

D3(4"(5( ,! ,36*"3+%)38

L( ,36*"3+%)38 ,!& &%4(" 6! 5%!6*"( !8 !& 634%3!8*! &(8#:

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9. A8(%!&!6 +#*(8(6
;. A8(%!&!6 =("3#6
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O"4(834"(5(

 Julia Morales
Hernández
(Dueña y
administradora)

 Tello Perez
Luisa Martínez
(Empleado
(Empleada de
encarado de
mostrador)
almacen)
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MARCO TE1RICO

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 A t −n +  A  −(
t  n
+ + A  −
+ 1) … t  1
 F t  =
n

Donde:

F es el pronóstico

T es el periodo de tiempo actual, lo que significa que Ft es el pronóstico para e

 periodo de tiempo actual.
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de Los Metodo Doman observaci

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DESARROLLO

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MES CAJAS
VENDIDAS
Enero 259

Febrero 263

Mr!o 26"

Abr#$ 2"%

M&o 2"2

J'n#o 2"(

J'$#o 2")

A*o+o 2"3

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DEMAN PRONOS ERROR CORRELAC PRONOSTICO

MES. DA TICO PRONOSTI ION  A*/ F*/ A*/F
REAL.  ANTERIO CO A*/F* F*/. /.
R. /.
ENERO -; -;  . -;
FEBRERO -02 -0 2 .2 -0
MARZO -07 -7 2 .2 -7
 ABRIL -7 -7   -7
MAYO -7- -@ @ .@ -@
JUNIO -79 -7 0 .0 -7
JULIO -7/ -7 / ./ -7
 AGOSTO -72 -@ 7 .7 -@
SEPTIEM -0 -7 / ./ -0
BRE
OCTUBR -0 -7 / ./ -0
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-0@7 -0 -0@@
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L#6 "!6%&*(,#6 #+*!83,#6 ,! )(,( %8# ,! &#6 5<*#,#6 (&3)(,#6' 6! 5%!6*"(8 !

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Mo7o 8ron+#/o
C#86%&*( ( &( >%!"$( ,! =!8*( -0;
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CONCLUSIONES

M(8%!& E8"3%! M#"(&!6 S(8*3(4#:

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)#8>3(+&! &#6 (*"#8!6 ,! =!8*(6' !6*# ("( "#4"(5(" *#,( 6% &#46*
I8=!8*("3#6' )#5"(6 ( "#=!!,#"!6' )(8*3,(,!6 ,! >(+"3)()38 ,! "#,%)*
*3!5#6 ,! >(+"3)()38' )#6*#6 ,! 5(8# ,! #+"(' !8*"! #*"#6 5%)#6 >()*#"!
,!)363=#6 !8 *#,( !5"!6(' !6*# ("( !=3*(" #63+&!6 <",3,(6 #" >(&*(
&(8!()38' )#5# 5!")(8)( "!$(4(,(' 6(*%"()38 ,! 38=!8*("3#6' >(&*( ,! 5(*!"
"35(' 6(*%"()38 ,! 38=!8*("3#6' !8*"! #*"#6.

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5<*#,# !6 *#*(&5!8*! !()*#'  %! (& >38(& ,!& ,(' &# %! =( ( )#8*(" ( &( #"( ,
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Pronosticos de Ventas Tienda.docx

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Save Embed Share Print Método científico Unidad 5 Gestión Articulo Revista registro
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!e"erencias
P(6*#"' G. 6.>.. (stad)stica *+sica.

R#?(6' S. A. 6.>.. De la idea a tu empresa, una guia para los nueos empresarios
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