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DOCTORADO EN ECONOMÍA
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Samuelson's Multiplier-Accelerator model, generating oscillations (erroneously) described as the business cycle.
Implemented by Tom Fiddaman, Ventana Systems, 1998
Previous
Output
Output
consumption
new output
CONSUMP
TION
FRACTION
investment
government spending
INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
<TIME STEP>
2. LAS VARIABLES.
1.334
0.9870
0.6398
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
Output : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
consumption
Previous Output (investment)
government spending new output
Output
Output consumption new output
investment
investment (new output)
TIME STEP
Previus output – producto Previous Output
rezagado (nivel): corresponde a 2.028
la variación o difrencia del
producto en el periodo inmediato 1.681
anterior. (Output-Previous
$/Year
Output)/TIME STEP. 1.334
0.9870
0.6398
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
Previous Output : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
new output
Output
(TIME STEP) Previous Output
Previous Output investment new output
TIME STEP
o ingreso. CONSUMPTION
$/Year
1.234
FRACTION*Output
0.9130
0.5918
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
consumption : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
new output
Output
TIME STEP consumption new output Output
CONSUMPTION FRACTION
New output- nuevo producto new output
(auxiliar): corresponde a la 2.028
agregacion del consumo la inversión y
el gasto del gobierno. 1.681
investment+consumption+government
$/Year
spending. 1.334
0.9870
0.6398
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
new output : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
(Output)
consumption
CONSUMPTION FRACTION Previous Output
TIME STEP government spending
new output
new output Output consumption
Output
Previous Output investment investment
INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
5.126e-005
INVESTMENT
MULTIPLIER*(Output-Previous -0.0951
Output).
-0.1902
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
investment : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
new output
Output
TIME STEP
(Output)
Previous Output
investment
investment new output Output
(TIME STEP)
INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER
Goverment spending – Gasto del investment
Gobierno (auxiliar): fue 0.1903
$/Year
5.126e-005
modelador 4. A partir del cual se
inician los ciclos economicos. -0.0951
Esta variable puede ser definida
como de politica y podemos -0.1902
hacer varias consideraciones en la 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
simulación interesantes. investment : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
0.9
parametro a estimar que puede
proveer un analisis de regresión. 0.85
0.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
CONSUMPTION FRACTION : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
(constante) acelerador de la
0.95
inversion .
Dmnl
0.9
0.85
0.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Time (Year)
CONSUMPTION FRACTION : Current
CADENA CAUSAL
$/Year
CONSUMPTION FRACTION 1.063
0.8839
0 20 40 60 80 100
Time (Year)
Output : Current