4 Desarrollar el siguiente caso estableciendo una simulación en Excel:

Un almacén desea evaluar mediante simulación el costo de inventarios de café que se distr
de café se realizan cada semana (7) los pedidos los hacen por la capacidad de la bodega
m café disponibles en el momento; la entrega de las cargas de café es inmediata. La
informaci

Capacidad de
Bodega 7000 7
Media 1100
Costo Ordenar 10,200,000
Costo Faltante 1,000,000
Costo
Mantenimiento 10,000

ENTRGAS
DEL
PROVEEDOR DEMANDA INV. FINAL
DIA INV. (Por Bultos) INV. TOTAL VENTAS BULTOS (Bultos)
1 INICIAL 0 BULTOS7000 7000 1310 1310 5690
2 5690 0 5690 885 885 4805
3 4805 0 4805 39 39 4766
4 4766 0 4766 1372 1372 3394
5 3394 0 3394 156 156 3238

6 3238 0 3238 1539 1539 1699

7 1699 5301 7000 1048 1048 5952
8 5952 0 5952 320 320 5632
9 5632 0 5632 1604 1604 4028
10 4028 0 4028 328 328 3700
11 3700 0 3700 2454 2454 1246
12 1246 0 1246 2145 1246 0
13 0 0 0 257 0 0
14 0 7000 7000 214 214 6786
15 6786 0 6786 2264 2264 4521
16 4521 0 4521 394 394 4127
17 4127 0 4127 3393 3393 735
18 735 0 735 456 456 279
19 279 0 279 530 279 0
20 0 0 0 2260 0 0
21 0 7000 7000 290 290 6710
22 6710 0 6710 492 492 6218
23 6218 0 6218 703 703 5515
24 5515 0 5515 1583 1583 3932
25 3932 0 3932 1050 1050 2882
26 2882 0 2882 1409 1409 1473
27 1473 0 1473 494 494 979
28 979 6021 7000 2115 2115 4885
29 4885 0 4885 414 414 4471
30 4471 0 4471 266 266 4205
31 4205 0 4205 1550 1550 2655
32 2655 0 2655 791 791 1863
33 1863 0 1863 475 475 1389
34 1389 0 1389 2633 1389 0
35 0 7000 7000 156 156 6844
36 6844 0 6844 1855 1855 4989
37 4989 0 4989 2795 2795 2194
38 2194 0 2194 2843 2194 0
39 0 0 0 768 0 0
40 0 0 0 889 0 0
41 0 0 0 388 0 0
42 0 7000 7000 1366 1366 5634
43 5634 0 5634 1765 1765 3870
44 3870 0 3870 375 375 3494
45 3494 0 3494 602 602 2892
46 2892 0 2892 615 615 2277
47 2277 0 2277 2951 2277 0
48 0 0 0 1063 0 0
49 0 7000 7000 991 991 6009
50 6009 0 6009 1180 1180 4828
51 4828 0 4828 2046 2046 2782
52 2782 0 2782 481 481 2301

53 2301 0 2301 1641 1641 660

54 660 0 660 1100 660 0
55 0 0 0 301 0 0
56 0 7000 7000 2639 2639 4361
57 4361 0 4361 1001 1001 3361
58 3361 0 3361 740 740 2621
59 2621 0 2621 170 170 2451
60 2451 0 2451 204 204 2246
61 2246 0 2246 725 725 1521
62 1521 0 1521 825 825 696
63 696 6303.91465 7000 1859 1859 5141
64 5141 0 5141 1325 1325 3815
65 3815 0 3815 121 121 3694
66 3694 0 3694 2931 2931 763
67 763 0 763 216 216 548
68 548 0 548 674 548 0
69 0 0 0 223 0 0
70 0 7000 7000 3172 3172 3828
71 3828 0 3828 498 498 3330
72 3330 0 3330 209 209 3121
73 3121 0 3121 77 77 3043
74 3043 0 3043 329 329 2714
75 2714 0 2714 1170 1170 1544
76 1544 0 1544 472 472 1073
77 1073 5927.41215 7000 558 558 6442
78 6442 0 6442 850 850 5592
79 5592 0 5592 1311 1311 4281
80 4281 0 4281 85 85 4196
81 4196 0 4196 430 430 3766
82 3766 0 3766 3352 3352 414
83 414 0 414 608 414 0
84 0 7000 7000 1015 1015 5985
85 5985 0 5985 1050 1050 4935
86 4935 0 4935 817 817 4118
87 4118 0 4118 49 49 4069
88 4069 0 4069 1037 1037 3033
89 3033 0 3033 2168 2168 864
90 864 0 864 373 373 491
ibuyen desde este CENDIS. Los pedidos
nos la cantidad de bultos de cargas de
ón con la que se cuenta es la
siguiente:

ALFA 0.1
ERROR 0.5 ESTADISTICOS
PROMEDIO 147,816,300
DESVIACION 330509383.2556

MAXIMO 2,260,255,692
MINIMO 5,068,489

COSTO DE
INV. VENTAS COSTO COSTO DEL MANTENIMI
PROMEDIO PERDIDAS DE FALTANTE ENTO DE COSTO TOTAL ($)
ORDENAR
(Bultos) (Bultos) ($) ($) INV Millones
2845 0 10,200,000 0 28450817.1 38,650,817
5248 0 0 0 52478030 52,478,030
4786 0 0 0 47858308.5 47,858,308
4080 0 0 0 40801647.5 40,801,647
3316 0 0 0 33161640.3 33,161,640
3826
2469 00 10,200,000
0 00 38257012.6
24687340.4 48,457,013
24,687,340
5792 0 0 0 57921355 57,921,355
4830 0 0 0 48299617.4 48,299,617
3864 0 0 0 38638835 38,638,835
2473 0 0 0 24728043.9 24,728,044
623 899 0 899018720 6228232.24 905,246,953
0 257 0 257476882 0 257,476,882
3393 0 10,200,000 0 33927986.8 44,127,987
5654 0 0 0 56535449.3 56,535,449
4324 0 0 0 43244848.9 43,244,849
2431 0 0 0 24311596.2 24,311,596

515 251 0 2509527140 15093 46848872

.9 0.78
0
103 2525,304668,498939
2260
037 0 2260255692 0 2,260,255,692

97
3355 0 10,200,000 0 33548714.3 43,748,714
6464 0 0 0 64639503.9 64,639,504
5867 0 0 0 58665788.4 58,665,788
4724 0 0 0 47235589.2 47,235,589
3407 0 0 0 34069956.9 34,069,957
2177 0 0 0 21772878.1 21,772,878
1226 0 0 0 12257219.6 12,257,220
2932 0 10,200,000 0 29321044.1 39,521,044
4678 0 0 0 46783352.2 46,783,352
4338 0 0 0 43380423.4 43,380,423
3430 0 0 0 34296948.8 34,296,949
2259 0 0 0 22587858.8 22,587,859
1626 0 0 0 16258128.7 16,258,129
694 1244 0 1243978875 6942811.53 1,250,921,687
3422 0 10,200,000 0 34217764.1 44,417,764
5916 0 0 0 59162876.6 59,162,877
3592 0 0 0 35916856.8 35,916,857
1097 649 0 648543829 10971744.2 659,515,573
0 768 0 768429763 0 768,429,763
0 889 0 889101644 0 889,101,644
0 388 0 387521672 0 387,521,672
2817 0 10,200,000 0 28170154.1 38,370,154
4752 0 0 0 47517804.2 47,517,804
3682 0 0 0 36819909.8 36,819,910
3193 0 0 0 31933589.4 31,933,589
2585 0 0 0 25847546.2 25,847,546
1139 674 0 674181196 11386216.5 685,567,413
0 1063 0 1062858058 0 1,062,858,058
3004 0 10,200,000 0 30043007.5 40,243,007
5419 0 0 0 54185390.3 54,185,390
3805 0 0 0 38054685.5 38,054,686
2542 0 0 0 25418635.2 25,418,635

1481 0 0 0 14807565.4 14,807,565

330 440 0 439912277 3301232.97 443,213,510
0 301 0 301161642 0 301,161,642
2181 0 10,200,000 0 21806903.8 32,006,904
3861 0 0 0 38610438.9 38,610,439
2991 0 0 0 29906859.9 29,906,860
2536 0 0 0 25356481.8 25,356,482
2348 0 0 0 23484301.4 23,484,301
1884 0 0 0 18836268.5 18,836,269
1109 0 0 0 11085550.9 11,085,551
2918 0 10,200,000 0 29183522.6 39,383,523
4478 0 0 0 44779356 44,779,356

3
727252525959 0 0 0
23 3 7 7 5 5 4
3 2 2 2 2 2 8 87202023636.7272 2327272,525248487,202024646
655 0 0 0 6554862.36 6,554,862
2
 274 126 0 126464907 2738579.66 129,203,487
0 223 0 223290823 0 223,290,823
1914 0 10,200,000 0 19139274.5 29,339,274
3579 0 0 0 35789042.4 35,789,042
3225 0 0 0 32253442.6 32,253,443
3082 0 0 0 30820239.2 30,820,239
2879 0 0 0 28787721.4 28,787,721
2129 0 0 0 21293380.3 21,293,380
1309 0 0 0 13085162.7 13,085,163
3758 0 10,200,000 0 37575419.4 47,775,419
6017 0 0 0 60174479.8 60,174,480
4937 0 0 0 49368105 49,368,105
4239 0 0 0 42386723.2 42,386,723
3981 0 0 0 39810910.6 39,810,911
2090 0 0 0 20900362.3 20,900,362
207 194 0 194071250 2070069.48 196,141,320
2993 0 10,200,000 0 29926311.6 40,126,312
5460 0 0 0 54601189.6 54,601,190
4527 0 0 0 45266751.8 45,266,752
4094 0 0 0 40939067.8 40,939,068
3551 0 0 0 35511013.6 35,511,014
1949 0 0 0 19485561 19,485,561
678 0 0 0 6776574.72 6,776,575
 Inventa
8000

7000

6000

5000
e
l
t 4000
i
T
3000
ESTADISTICOS si
x
PROMEDIO A 2000

DESVIACION 1000

0
1 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7
1
MAXIMO 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
MINIMO

Costo Promedio ($)

COSTO 250,000,000
PROMEDIO ($)
38,650,8
17 200,000,000
45,564,4
23 150,000,000
46,329,0
52
39,606,297
44,947,2 100,000,000
40,870,685
01
43,002,019
42,590,0 50,000,000
43,590,641
89
43,095,460
0
41,425,695 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
113,410,800
124,492,806
118,752,462
Costo de Oprtunidad
114,604,661 2500000000
110,144,673
105,095,668 2000000000

19097,53881 1500000000

,610530
215,214,877
207,049,821
1000000000
200,576,625
194,406,589
500000000
188,274,464
182,106,284
175,939,614 0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 64
169,877,303
61
165,221,723
161,137,641
157,212,400 Costo Mantenimiento de Inventario
153,247,386 70000000
149,164,275
145,136,816 60000000

177,659,901 50000000
173,852,983
170,667,146 40000000
167,025,247
30000000
179,985,518
195,073,832 20000000
212,424,528
10000000
216,695,190
212,449,356 0 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 9 3 7 1 5 9 3
208,613,738 4
5
204,709,333
5
200,869,872 6
197,065,039 6
6
207,458,706
7
225,279,526
221,503,271
218,156,913
214,625,497
210,986,903
207,285,406
211,654,445
213,281,849
210,044,796
207,037,176
203,983,205
200,955,633
197,997,778
195,060,704
192,093,363
189,669,397
187,405,490

182,633,11
8905
799

180,005,085
179,258,002
179,896,159
177,745,346
175,745,962
173,753,010
171,795,027
169,862,496
167,881,574
165,844,779
164,311,411
162,976,322
161,538,244
160,048,850
158,564,431
156,885,600
157,358,561
155,962,939
154,770,448
153,497,149
152,203,378
150,877,328
149,401,016
147,816,300
io Final (Bulto)s

9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7
9
3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
Axis Title

COSTO TOTAL
($) Millones
43,762,119
60,248,382
50,095,698
44,168,833
34,762,999
23,344,640
53,859,972
58,296,585
46,774,140
31,227,135
623,308,81
4
23,242,056
211,722,89
9
44,849,903
43,379,603
14,852,229
938,943,152
7,308,912
140,270,753
972,970,871
 44,390,585
67,146,775
56,192,590
43,211,010
38,101,432
7
32,381,840
70 73 76 79 82 85
88 16,658,445
34,298,610
24,300,185
4,065,093
195,121,674
1,444,881,062
2,380,110,635
1,469,660,454
34,608,499
44,911,537
34,372,731
23,024,970
13,076,773
6,460,583
4,473,984
45,645,874
7 81 85 89 63,893,726
60,186,349
57,410,007
48,393,904
40,665,114
35,549,005
54,817,284
52,865,795
46,188,179
44,054,028
37,653,200
26,001,662
15,710,526
48,719,058
48,973,003
17,220,508
1,048,998,747
1,770,752,178
705,131,914
25,655,244
40,387,046
60,340,061

49,719,409
2,816,001,898
954,118,694
 413,786,806
1,364,988,164
31,202,675
36,195,115
28,519,616
24,428,311
16,974,883
352,796,970
14,736,894
39,970,376
58,904,246
53,303,194
42,643,502
32,391,129
25,562,793
21,992,059
37,159,010
29,426,519
23,132,826
720,800,331
235,865,417
372,380,768
183,654,662
 El costo total del inventario no

Longitud de la corrida
Desviacion Estandar

Costo total
millones
43.76
21
60.24
84
50.09
57
44.16
88
34.76
30
23.3446
53.8600
58.2966
46.7741
31.2271
623.308
8
23.2421
211.722
938.94329
140.2708
44.8499
972.9709
43.3796
14.8522
7.3089
 44.3906
67.1468
56.1926
43.2110
38.1014
32.3818
16.6584
34.2986
24.3002
4.0651
195.1217
1444.8811
2380.1106
1469.6605
34.6085
44.9115
34.3727
23.0250
13.0768
6.4606
4.4740
45.6459
63.8937
60.1863
57.4100
48.3939
40.6651
35.5490
54.8173
52.8658
46.1882
44.0540
37.6532
26.0017
15.7105
48.7191
48.9730
17.2205
1048.99
87
1770.75
22
705.131
9
25.6552
40.3870
49.7194
2816.0019
60.3401
954.1187
 413.7868
1364.9882
31.2027
36.1951
28.5196
24.4283
16.9749
352.7970
14.7369
39.9704
58.9042
53.3032
42.6435
32.3911
25.5628
21.9921
37.1590
29.4265
23.1328
720.8003
235.8654
372.3808
183.6547
tiene un comportamiento Normal