Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
METODOLOGIA
Humedad: Método Gravimétrico .Secado en estufa a 105 ° C
Cenizas: Método Gravimétrico. Calcinado en Mufla a 550 °C
Proteína: Método Kjeldalh
Grasa: Método Extracción Soxhlet .
Carbohidratos: Diferencia
Fósforo Total: Digestion Ácida de la ceniza y medición colorimétrica en el Espectrofotómetro
Energía Total: Cálculo
Pág. 1 de 1
INFORME DE ENSAYO N° 023 – 11 – VAR. – 2019
METODOLOGIA
Humedad: Método Gravimétrico .Secado en estufa a 105 ° C
Cenizas: Método Gravimétrico. Calcinado en Mufla a 550 °C
Proteína: Método Kjeldalh
Grasa: Método Extracción Soxhlet .
Carbohidratos: Diferencia
Fósforo Total: Digestion Ácida de la ceniza y medición colorimétrica en el Espectrofotómetro
Energía Total: Cálculo
Pág. 1 de 1
Determinación de la Capacidad de Carga acuícola del embalse El Pañe AUTODEMA
Version E1-28-19
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(b) Imagery Products. With respect to Imagery Products, a Data Derivative is a Derivative of the Imagery Product that does not
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and building models, bathymetry and sea floor mapping).
(c) Information Products. With respect to Information Products, there are no Data Derivatives.
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(e) Tasking Products. With respect to Tasking Products, a Data Derivative will be determined based upon the type of Product
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Derivatives for the Tasking Product are the same as those for the resulting Imagery Product.
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(i) reverse engineer, disassemble, decompile, adapt or otherwise attempt to derive the algorithms, source code, databases or
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(j) Otherwise use or access the Product or any Derivative for any purpose not expressly permitted under these License Terms,
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In addition, with respect to MDA RADARSAT-2 Products, Customer will not, and will not permit any Authorized User or other Third
Party to:
(1) Provide any SLC Data generated from Spotlight beam mode via a physical delivery protocol or an electronic delivery protocol
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(2) On its own, or permit any Third Party to, release or publish hardcopies of SLC Data in any beam mode or post such SLC Data
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(4) Further process, or permit any Third Party to further process, any MDA RADARSAT-2 Product generated from Spotlight Beam
Mode to generate any Derivative with an impulse response resolution finer than 2.0 meters in range and 0.74 meters in
azimuth, where resolution is measured horizontally in the ground plane; or
(5) Generate, or permit any Third Party to generate, a Derivative using interferometric processing techniques from the MDA
RADARSAT-2 Product containing SLC Data where the interval of collection between the two or more products is fewer than
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(b) AW3D Enhanced, AW3D Metro, AW3D Standard and AW3D Telecom Products. [Product] © [YEAR] NTT Data Corporation.
(c) Ecopia Building Footprints Powered by DigitalGlobe. Ecopia Building Footprints © [YEAR] Ecopia Tech Corporation. Imagery
© [YEAR] DigitalGlobe, Inc.
(d) MDA RADARSAT-2 Products. [Product] © [YEAR] MDA Geospatial Services Inc. Copyright in all MDA RADARSAT-2 Products
is and will remain held by MDA Geospatial Services Inc. RADARSAT is an official mark of the Canadian Space Agency.
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12.3 EFFECT OF TERMINATION. Upon termination or expiration of these License Terms, all rights to use the Product granted to
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Data Derivatives) licensed under these License Terms have been deleted or destroyed. The expiration or termination of these
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or expiration.
12.4 SURVIVAL. The duties and obligations of the parties under Sections 2.3 (Data Derivatives), 5 (Use Restrictions), 6 (Ownership),
7 (Attribution), 8 (Compliance), 9 (Indemnity), 11 (Limitation of Liability), 12.3 (Effect of Termination), 12.4 (Survival), and 13
(General Terms) of these License Terms will survive expiration or termination of these License Terms.
13.1 ENTIRE AGREEMENT. These License Terms, together with the Customer Agreement, constitute the entire agreement between
the parties with respect to use of the Product and supersede all previous and contemporaneous agreements, understandings and
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13.2 ASSIGNMENT. Customer may not transfer or assign any of its rights or delegate any of its obligations under these License
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inure to the benefit of the parties and their respective permitted successors and assigns.
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that is signed by both parties.
13.4 WAIVER. The failure or delay by a party to require performance of any provision of these License Terms does not constitute a
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remedies in a particular instance will not be construed as a waiver of the same or a different right or remedy in a subsequent
instance.
13.5 SEVERABILITY. If any provision of these License Terms is invalid, illegal or unenforceable, that provision will be deemed to be
restated so that it is enforceable to the maximum extent permissible under law and is consistent with the original intent and
economic terms of the invalid provision.
13.6 COMPLIANCE WITH LAWS. Customer is responsible for its own compliance with laws, regulations and other legal requirements
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13.7 INTERNATIONAL TRADE COMPLIANCE. The Product is subject to the customs and export control laws and regulations of the
United States, Canada, and any country in which the Product is manufactured, received or used, including, without limitation, the
Export Administration Regulations and the International Traffic in Arms Regulations. Customer will comply with these laws,
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Product to blocked, prohibited or restricted individuals and entities as required by the U.S. Department of Treasury Office of
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will not knowingly do business with criminal organizations, terrorist organizations or other people or groups, either directly or
indirectly, that are likely to use the Product for purposes that are illegal or adverse to the interests of the United States
Government, Canadian Government or DigitalGlobe generally. Customer will provide DigitalGlobe with the assurances and official
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13.8 DATA PROTECTION. If delivery, creation, or use of the Product will involve the Processing of Personal Data, Customer will
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Customer will employ adequate technical and organizational security measures to protect Personal Data against a personal data
breach.
13.9 GOVERNING LAW AND DISPUTE RESOLUTION. All matters arising out of or relating to these License Terms will be governed
by and construed under the laws and using the method of dispute resolution indicated below, based upon where Customer is
domiciled:
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If Customer is domiciled in: The governing law is: Any suit, action or proceeding arising out of or relating to
these License Terms must be:
A country in North America, New York and controlling Instituted in the United States District Court for the Southern
South America or Central United States federal law District of New York or the state courts located in New York, New
America York
China, Hong Kong or Taiwan Hong Kong law Referred to and finally resolved by arbitration administered by the
Hong Kong International Arbitration Center (“HKIAC”) under the
HKIAC Administered Arbitration Rules in force when the notice of
arbitration is submitted. The seat of arbitration will be Hong Kong.
Japan Japanese law Referred to and finally resolved by arbitration administered by the
London Court of International Arbitration (“LCIA”) under the LCIA
Rules in force when the notice of arbitration is submitted. The
seat of arbitration will be London.
Korea or Mongolia Hong Kong law Referred to and finally resolved by arbitration administered by the
London Court of International Arbitration (“LCIA”) under the LCIA
Rules in force when the notice of arbitration is submitted. The
seat of arbitration will be London.
Australia, New Caledonia, New Laws of New South Wales, Instituted in the state and federal courts located in Sydney,
Zealand or South Pacific Islands Australia Australia.
All other countries in the Asia Singapore law Referred to and finally resolved by arbitration administered by the
Pacific region Singapore International Arbitration Centre (“SIAC”) under the
Arbitration Rules of the SIAC in force when the notice of
arbitration is submitted. The seat of arbitration will be Singapore.
A country in Europe, Middle East Laws of England and Wales Referred to and finally resolved by arbitration administered by the
or Africa London Court of International Arbitration (“LCIA”) under the LCIA
Rules in force when the notice of arbitration is submitted. The
seat of arbitration will be London.
Each party irrevocably submits to the exclusive jurisdiction of the applicable court set forth above. However, each party will have
the right at any time to seek a temporary or permanent injunction or other equitable remedy or relief in any court having subject
matter jurisdiction anywhere in the world. With respect to arbitration, there will be one arbitrator and the proceedings will be
conducted in English. The party or parties prevailing in any legal actions, arbitration or other proceeding relating to these License
Terms, whether in arbitration, at trial or upon appeal, will be entitled to recover reasonable attorneys’ fees and other costs and
expenses incurred, in addition to any other relief to which it may be entitled. The parties agree that the United Nations Convention
on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods does not apply to these License Terms.
13.10 NOTICES. All notices of termination or breach must be in writing in English and addressed to the other party’s legal department.
The email address for notices sent to DigitalGlobe is legalservices@digitalglobe.com. Notice is treated as given upon receipt, as
verified by written or automated receipt or electronic log, as applicable.
13.11 CONTROLLING LANGUAGE. These License Terms are drafted in the English language only. English will be the controlling
language in all respects, and all versions of these License Terms in any other language are for accommodation only and will not
be binding on the parties.
14. DEFINITIONS.
“Affiliate” means any legal entity controlling, controlled by or under common control with a party, where “control” means (a) the
ownership of at least fifty percent (50%) of the equity or beneficial interest of the entity; (b) the right to vote for or appoint a majority of
the board of directors or other governing body of the entity; or (c) the power to direct or cause the direction of the management and
policies of such party by any means.
“Authorized User” means an employee or Contractor that is authorized by Customer to use the Product on behalf of Customer.
“Certified Reseller” means a reseller authorized by DigitalGlobe to resell licenses to use the Products.
“Commercial Purpose” means redistribution, retransmission or publication in exchange for a fee or other consideration, which may
include, without limitation: (a) advertising; (b) use in marketing and promotional materials and services on behalf of a customer, client,
employer, employee or for Customer’s benefit; (c) use in any materials or services for sale or for which fees or charges are paid or
received; and (d) use in any books, news publication or journal.
“Contractor” means an individual contracted by Customer, either directly or through a consulting company or other entity, to provide
services on behalf of or for the benefit of Customer.
“Customer Agreement” means (a) with respect to a Customer that purchases a license to use the Product from DigitalGlobe directly,
that agreement consisting of the applicable Order Confirmation and Product Terms and Conditions, which reference these License
Terms; and (b) with respect to a Customer that purchases a license to use the Product from a Certified Reseller, that agreement
between the Certified Reseller and Customer pursuant to which Customer receives a license to the Product.
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“Customer” means that individual, legal entity or government agency that has purchased a license to use the applicable Product either
directly from DigitalGlobe or from a Certified Reseller.
“Data Derivative” means, generally, a Derivative of the Product that may be used for any and all purposes in accordance with Section
1(b) of these License Terms. With respect to each type of Product, the Data Derivatives are described in Section 2.3 of these License
Terms.
“Derivative” means any addition, improvement, update, modification, transformation, adaptation or derivative work of or to a Product,
including, without limitation, reformatting of the Product into a different format or media from which it is delivered to Customer; any
addition or extraction of data, information or other content to or from the Product; or any copy or reproduction of the Product. With
respect to MDA RADARSAT-2 Products, an MDA RADARSAT-2 Derived Image Product created by an Authorized User from the MDA
RADARSAT-2 Data Product is a Derivative.
“Education Discount” means that discount that is extended to a Customer that is a university, college, technical training institute or
school utilizing the Product solely for educational purposes.
“Elevation Product” means a Product that consists of data sets, vectors, or other information that depict or indicate elevation, depth,
building heights, 3D renderings of objects on the surface of the earth, or other three dimensional features. Elevation Products include
Digital Elevation Models (DEM), Digital Surface Models (DSM), Digital Terrain Models (DTM), Triangulated Irregular Network (TIN) and
Point Cloud elevation models (including, without limitation, 3D and building models, bathymetry and sea floor mapping). Elevation
Products exclude Information Products. Advanced Elevation Series, AW3D Elevation Series, AW3D Enhanced, AW3D Metro, AW3D
Standard and AW3D Telecom are Elevation Products.
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7 of 8
WW0024E – Internal Use License – Version 1-28-19
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-- END OF INTERNAL USE LICENSE --
8 of 8
WW0024E – Internal Use License – Version 1-28-19
Determinación de la Capacidad de Carga acuícola del embalse El Pañe AUTODEMA
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DESCARGO DE RESPONSABILIDAD
La Autoridad Autónoma de Majes, no es responsable del uso que se le dé a la presente hoja
de cálculo. Los resultados que se generen con su uso están condicionados a la información y a
las verificaciones particulares que el usuario utilice.
Referencias
Chin, D. A. (2013). Water-quality engineering in natural systems: fate and transport processes
in the water environment. In Choice Reviews Online (Second Edi). John Wiley & Sons.
https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.50-6781
Debido a que las mediciones de caudal y concentración rara vez estén disponibles a intérvalos
regulares, bajo estas circunstancias, se deben utilizar otros métodos para estimar la carga "L". Los
métodos sugeridos por Chin (2013) son: método de estimadores promedio, método de estimadores
de razón y método de regresión.
Los estimadores usan el promedio de concentraciones y caudales para un intérvalo de tiempo. Los
cuatro principales procedimientos de este método se describen a continuación:
Primer procedimiento: Calcula por separado el caudal medio y la concentración media basándose
únicamente en los datos de los momentos en los que se miden ambas variables.
ҧത
𝐿𝑠 = 𝑐𝑄𝑁𝛥𝑡
Donde:
ത Promedio de caudales medidos al mismo momento que la concentración (m3/s).
- 𝑄:
- 𝑐:ҧ Promedio de concentraciones medidas al mismo momento que el caudal (mg/L).
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
Segundo procedimiento: El caudal medio Q ഥ se reemplaza por la media de todas las mediciones de
flujo μQ . A diferencia del primer procedimiento, este utiliza todos los datos disponibles.
𝐿𝑤 = 𝑐𝜇 ҧ 𝑄 𝑁𝛥𝑡
Donde:
- 𝜇𝑄 : Caudal promedio de todas las mediciones disponibles (m3/s).
- 𝑐:ҧ Promedio de concentraciones medidas al mismo momento que el caudal (mg/L).
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
Tercer procedimiento: Primero se calcula la carga en los momentos en que se miden ambas
variables y luego la carga del nutriente/contaminante (La).
𝐿𝑎 = 𝑐𝑄𝑁𝛥𝑡
Donde:
- 𝑐𝑄: Carga promedio con datos de c y Q medidos al mismo momento (m3/s mg/L).
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
Cuarto procedimiento: Deriva del tercer procedimiento con la diferencia que incluye en una división
al caudal promedio de todas las mediciones para estimar la carga (Lc).
𝜇𝑄
𝐿𝑐 = 𝑐𝑄 𝑁𝛥𝑡
𝑄ത
Donde:
- 𝑐𝑄: Carga promedio con datos de c y Q medidos al mismo momento (m3/s mg/L).
- 𝜇𝑄 : Caudal promedio de todas las mediciones disponibles (m3/s).
ത Promedio de caudales medidos al mismo momento que la concentración (m3/s).
- 𝑄:
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
Los estimadores de razón multiplican la preestimador anterior Lc por una relación que representa la
covarianza entre los valores de carga y caudal.
1 𝑆𝑐𝑄
1+
𝜇𝑄 𝑁𝑑 𝑐𝑄 𝑄ത
𝐿𝑟𝑒 = 𝑐𝑄 𝑁𝛥𝑡
𝑄ത 1 𝑆𝑄 2
1 + 𝑁 ത2
𝑑 𝑄
Donde:
- 𝑐𝑄: Carga promedio con datos de c y Q medidos al mismo momento (m3/s mg/L).
- 𝜇𝑄 : Caudal promedio de todas las mediciones disponibles (m3/s).
ത Promedio de caudales medidos al mismo momento que la concentración (m3/s).
- 𝑄:
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
- 𝑵𝒅 , 𝑺𝒄𝑸 , 𝑺𝑸𝟐 : Estimadores insesgados. Son adecuados para casos en los que hay una gran
cantidad de datos de caudal, pero solo unos pocos datos de concentración están disponibles.
𝑁𝑑 = 𝐴𝑖
𝑖=1
𝑁
1
𝑆𝑠𝑄 = ത
𝐴𝑖 𝑐𝑖 𝑄𝑖 − 𝑁𝑑 𝑄𝑐𝑄
𝑁𝑑 − 1
𝑖=1
𝑁
1
𝑆𝑄 2 = 𝐴𝑖 𝑄𝑖 − 𝑁𝑑 𝑄ത 2
𝑁𝑑 − 1
𝑖=1
Donde:
- 𝐴𝑖 : Cantidad de mediciones completas de caudales y concentraciones.
- 𝑐𝑄: Carga promedio con datos de c y Q medidos al mismo momento (m3/s mg/L).
ത Promedio de caudales medidos al mismo momento que la concentración (m3/s).
- 𝑄:
Métodos de regresión
El método de regresión no requiere muchos datos, pero la calidad de la predicción depende de una
buena correlación entre los caudales y la concentración. La relación empírica entre ambas variables
está determinada por una curva lineal logarítmica:
𝑙𝑜𝑔10 𝑐 = 𝑎 + 𝑏 ∗ 𝑙𝑜𝑔10 𝑄
Donde a y b son constantes de regresión que una vez ajustadas a los datos disponibles por regresión
de mínimos cuadrados, la siguiente ecuación se puede utilizar para generar la carga resultante:
Primer procedimiento
𝑁
𝐿𝑟 = 𝑐𝑗 𝑄𝑗 𝛥𝑡
𝑗=1
Donde:
- 𝑐𝑗 : Concentración promedio (mg/L).
- 𝑄𝑗 : Caudal promedio de todas las mediciones disponibles (m3/s).
- 𝑁: Número de mediciones.
- 𝛥𝑡: Intervalo de tiempo entre mediciones (día).
𝐿𝑐𝑟 = 𝐿𝑟 exp(2.651𝑠 2 )
Donde:
- 𝑠 2 : Error estándar de 𝑐𝑗 y 𝑄𝑗 .
Método simple
Este método corresponde a la generalización del valor de la carga instantánea. Se verificaron los
resultados de los otros métodos aplicados comparándolos con el resultado de este método por ser el
más simple. Este método multiplica únicamente los valores de concentración y caudal instantáneos
para luego promediarlos.
𝐿𝑠𝑝 = 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑜(𝑐𝑄)
Donde:
- 𝑐: Concentración promedio (mg/L).
- 𝑄: Caudal promedio de todas las mediciones disponibles (m3/s).
Referencias
Chin, D. A. (2013). Water-quality engineering in natural systems: fate and transport processes in the
water environment. In Choice Reviews Online (Second Edi). John Wiley & Sons.
https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.50-6781
Caudal (Q) Concentración (C) Q' C' Carga' Registro Parámetros para cálculo de carga contaminante
N° registro
(m3/s) (mg P/L) (m3/s) (mg/L) (mg/L m3/s) completo Descripción Variable Valor Unidades
1 0.08 0.04 0.0781 0.0432 0.00337392 1 Intérvalo de tiempo entre mediciones Δt 1 día
2 0.08 0.04 0.0781 0.0393 0.00306933 1 Número de mediciones N 5 -
3 0.08 0.02 0.0781 0.0193 0.00150733 1 Concentración promedio (datos medidos en el mismo momento Q y C) 𝑐ҧ 0.042 mg/L
4 0.08 0.09 0.0781 0.0912 0.00712272 1 Caudal promedio (datos medidos en el mismo momento Q y C) 𝑄ത 0.078 m3/s
5 0.08 0.02 0.0781 0.016 0.0012496 1 Caudal promedio (todas las mediciones disponibles) μ𝑄 0.078 3
m /s
6 0 0 Carga promedio (medida en momentos donde se miden C y Q) 𝑐𝑄 0.003 mg/L m3/s
7 0 0 Estimador insesgado (número de veces que se tiene datos completos) Nd 5 -
8 0 0 Estimador insesgado S cQ 0.004 mg/L m3/s
9 0 0 Estimador insesgado 𝑆𝑄 2 0.090 (m3/s)2
10 0 0 Factor de conversión de unidades (kg.día) - 86.4 -
11 0 0 Factor de conversión de unidades (Ton.día) - 0.001 -
12 0 0 Término "a" ecuación lineal a 0.10838599 -
13 0 0 Término "b" ecuación lineal b 1.42003682 -
14 0 0 Error estándar s #¡DIV/0! -
15 0 0
16 0 0 a + bx Si el botón genera error resaltando "SolverOK", realizar lo siguiente:
- Cerrar el visualizador de visual basic
17 0 0 - Verificar tener instalado el complemento "Solver"
18 0 0 - Ir a Desarrollador >> Visual Basic >> Herramientas >> Referencias >> activar "Solver"
19 0 0
Si el valor del error estándar (celda L21) es #¡DIV/0!, esto indica que no es posible aplicar el ajuste al
20 0 0 método de regresión, lo cual se verifica en el gráfico de la pestaña "Resultados".
21 0 0
22 0 0
CARGA DE NUTRIENTE SEGÚN DISTINTOS MÉTODOS
Leyenda: Resultados
Carga (Kg/día)
Carga (cuarto procedimiento) Lc 0.282 kg/día 0.20
0.15
Método de Estimadores de
Carga Lre 0.282 kg/día 0.10
razón
0.05
Carga Lr 0.232 kg/día 0.000
Métodos de regresión 0.00
Carga Lcr #¡DIV/0! kg/día Ls Lw La Lc Lre Lr Lcr Lsp
Método de estimación de carga
Método simple Carga Lsp 0.282 kg/día
Método de regresión (C vs Q)
0.00 Si el valor de R2 (celda F23 ) es #¡DIV/0!, esto indica que no es posible ajustar
-1.20 -1.00 -0.80 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 -0.20 0.00 2 el resultado del método de regresión con el error estándar (Lcr), como se
R
Concentración (log10 C)
DESCARGO DE RESPONSABILIDAD
La Autoridad Autónoma de Majes, no es responsable del uso que se le dé a la presente hoja de
cálculo. Los resultados que se generen con su uso están condicionados a la información y a las
verificaciones particulares que el usuario utilice.
Referencias
Chapra, S. C. (1975). Comment on ‘An empirical method of estimating the retention of phosphorus
in lakes’ by W. B. Kirchner and P. J. Dillon. Water Resources Research, 11(6), 1033–1034.
https://doi.org/10.1029/WR011I006P01033
Chapra, S. C. (2008). Surface water-quality modeling. Long Grove, IL: Waveland Press Inc.
Dillon, P. J., & Rigler, F. H. (1974). A Test of a Simple Nutrient Budget Model Predicting the
Phosphorus Concentration in Lake Water. Journal of the Fisheries Board of Canada, 31(11), 1771–
1778. https://doi.org/10.1139/F74-225
OECD. (1982). Eutrophication of Waters. Monitoring, Assesment and Control. OECD Cooperative
programme on monitoring inland waters (Eutrophication control)
Vollenweider, R. A. (1976). Advances in defining critical loading levels for phosphorus in lake
eutrophication. Memorie Dell’ Istituto Italiano Di Idrobiologia, 33, 53–83. https://agris.fao.org/agris-
search/search.do?recordID=IT19770219925
El modelo de Dillon & Rigler (1974) calcula la concentración de P total en un cuerpo de agu [P], a
partir de la carga de P, área y volumen del lago, profundidad media, la tasa de descarga (fracción
del volumen de agua que se pierde anualmente a través de la descarga) y la fracción de fósforo que
se pierde en los sedimentos. En estado estacionario la ecuación es la siguiente:
𝐿𝑃 (1 − 𝑅)
𝑃=
𝑧𝜌
Donde:
- P: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- LP: Carga de P total por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse (mg/m2/año)
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- z: Profundidad media (m)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
A su vez, la tasa de descarga es la inversa del tiempo de retención hidráulica y está dada por la
siguiente ecuación:
𝑄𝑜 1
𝜌= =
𝑉 𝑇𝑤
Donde:
- 𝜌: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
- Qo: Caudal de salida del embalse (m3/año)
- V: Volumen del embalse (m3)
- Tw: Tiempo de retención hidráulica (años)
La fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos se estimó mediante la fórmula estimada por Larsen &
Mercier (1976) y recalculada por Canfield & Bachmann (1981):
1
𝑅=
1 + (0.747 ∗ 𝜌0.507 )
Donde:
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
La ecuación despejada para calcular la variable de carga por unidad de área de fósforo y la utilizada
en esta hoja de cálculo es:
𝑷∗𝒛∗𝝆
𝑳𝑷 =
(𝟏 − 𝑹)
Donde:
- LP: Carga de P total por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse (mg/m2/año)
- P: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- z: Profundidad media (m)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
Modelo de Chapra
𝑊𝑃
𝑃=
𝑄𝑜 + 𝑣𝑠 𝐴
Asimismo, la ecuación despejada para calcular la variable de carga de fósforo y la utilizada en esta
hoja de cálculo es:
𝑾𝑷 = 𝑷(𝑸𝒐 + 𝒗𝒔 𝑨)
Donde:
- WP: Carga de P total (mg/año)
- P: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- Qo: Caudal de salida del embalse (m3/año)
- A: Área superficial del embalse (m2)
- vs: Velocidad aparente de sedimentación (m/año)
Modelo de Vollenweider
Vollenweider (1976) desarrolló una relación estadística entre el fósforo anual por área (flujo) a un
lago normalizado por la profundidad media y el tiempo de retención hidráulica hidráulica, para
predecir la concentración de fósforo del lago. La ecuación final que propone es la siguiente:
𝐿𝑃
𝑃=
𝑞𝑠 (1 + 𝑇𝑤 )
La ecuación despejada para calcular la variable de carga de fósforo y la utilizada en esta hoja de
cálculo es:
𝑳𝑷 = 𝑷 ∗ 𝒒𝒔 (𝟏 + 𝑻𝒘 )
Donde:
- LP: Carga de P total por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse (mg/m2/año)
- P: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- qs: Carga hidráulica (z/Tw) (m/año)
- Tw: Tiempo de retención hidráulica (años)
Modelo de la OECD
Modelo de la OECD (1982) refina el modelo de Vollenweider a partir de una recopilación de datos
hidrológicos, morfométricos, físicos, químicos y biológicos de 150 lagos.
La relación resultante para estimar la concentración de fósforo total y nitrógeno total se presenta a
continuació, donde las constantes que varían para cada nutriente son "a" y "b".
𝑏
𝑊𝑃, 𝑁 /𝑄𝑜 Para fósforo total; a = 1.55 y b = 0.82
𝑃, 𝑁 = 𝑎 Para nitrógeno total; a = 5.34 y b = 0.78
1 + 𝑇𝑤
Las ecuaciones despejadas para calcular las variables de carga de fósforo y nitrógeno utilizadas en
esta hoja de cálculo son:
𝟏 𝟏
𝑷 𝟎.𝟖𝟐 𝑵 𝟎.𝟕𝟖
𝑾𝑷 = 𝑸𝒐 (𝟏 + 𝑻𝒘 ) 𝑾𝑵 = 𝑸𝒐 (𝟏 + 𝑻𝒘 )
𝟏. 𝟓𝟓 𝟓. 𝟑𝟒
Donde:
- WP: Carga de P total (mg/año)
- WN: Carga de N total (mg/año)
- P: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- N: Concentración de N total (mg/m3)
- Qo: Caudal de salida del embalse (m3/año)
- Tw: Tiempo de retención hidráulica (años)
Referencias
Chapra, S. C. (1975). Comment on ‘An empirical method of estimating the retention of phosphorus in
lakes’ by W. B. Kirchner and P. J. Dillon. Water Resources Research, 11(6), 1033–1034.
https://doi.org/10.1029/WR011I006P01033
Chapra, S. C. (2008). Surface water-quality modeling. Long Grove, IL: Waveland Press Inc.
Dillon, P. J., & Rigler, F. H. (1974). A Test of a Simple Nutrient Budget Model Predicting the
Phosphorus Concentration in Lake Water. Journal of the Fisheries Board of Canada, 31(11), 1771–
1778. https://doi.org/10.1139/F74-225
OECD. (1982). Eutrophication of Waters. Monitoring, Assesment and Control. OECD Cooperative
programme on monitoring inland waters (Eutrophication control)
Vollenweider, R. A. (1976). Advances in defining critical loading levels for phosphorus in lake
eutrophication. Memorie Dell’ Istituto Italiano Di Idrobiologia, 33, 53–83. https://agris.fao.org/agris-
search/search.do?recordID=IT19770219925
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 09/10/2014 Intermedia Fondo 0.038 0.371 Promedio de concentraciones anuales de PT y NT
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Intermedia Superficie 0.046 0.345 Fuente (Todas)
ANA EEpañ2F El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Fondo 0.005 0.389 Zona (Todas)
ANA EEpañ2S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Superficie 0.037 0.384 Profundidad (Todas)
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Superficie 0.042 0.464
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 26/10/2015 Intermedia Fondo 0.041 1.120 Etiquetas de fila Promedio de P_total_mg/L Promedio de N_total_mg/L
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Intermedia Superficie 0.032 0.660 2014 0.04 0.39
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Lacustre Superficie 0.063 0.670 2015 0.03 0.87
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 26/10/2015 Fluvial Fondo 0.017 0.656 2016 0.05 0.66
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Fluvial Superficie 0.019 1.240 2017 0.04 0.53
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 23/06/2016 Intermedia Fondo 0.127 0.522 2018 0.07 0.87
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Intermedia Superficie 0.026 0.608 2019 0.09 0.41
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Lacustre Superficie 0.065 1.106 2020 0.09 0.69
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 23/06/2016 Fluvial Fondo 0.025 0.573 2021 0.13 0.94
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Fluvial Superficie 0.015 0.512 2022 0.07 0.84
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Intermedia Fondo 0.028 0.564 Total general 0.08 0.70
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Intermedia Superficie 0.018 0.383
ANA EEpañ3F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Lacustre Fondo 0.091 0.663
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Lacustre Superficie 0.043 0.679 Fuente Zona Profundidad
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Fluvial Fondo 0.025 0.464 Promedio de P_total_mg/LPromedio de N_total_mg/L
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Fluvial Superficie 0.014 0.409 0.14 1.00
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 11/07/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.700 0.90
0.12
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 11/07/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.120 0.700 0.80
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 03/08/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.900 0.10 0.70
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 1.300
NT (mg/L)
PT (mg/L)
0.08 0.60
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 02/10/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.060 0.50
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 02/10/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.06 0.40
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 07/11/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 1.400 0.04 0.30
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 12/12/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.040 0.400 0.20
0.02
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2A El Pañe 12/12/2018 Intermedia limite zona eufotica 0.050 0.700 0.10
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 08/03/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.100 0.00 0.00
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 08/03/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 24/04/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.700 Valores
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 24/04/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.100 Promedio de P_total_mg/L Promedio de N_total_mg/L
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 30/05/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.700
Años (Fecha)
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 30/05/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.400
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 03/07/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/07/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.700
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.400
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.110 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.200
ANA EPañe1S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia Superficie 0.005 0.405
ANA EPañe1F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia Fondo 0.060 0.380
ANA EPañe3S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre Superficie 0.065 0.406
ANA EPañe3F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre Fondo 0.005 0.370
ANA EPañe4S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Fluvial Superficie 0.121 0.377
ANA EPañe4F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Fluvial Fondo 0.090 0.389
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/11/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/07/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.110 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 18/08/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 24/09/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.370
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 24/09/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.450
ANA EPañe3S El Pañe 15/10/2020 Lacustre Superficie 0.005 0.422
ANA EPañe3F El Pañe 15/10/2020 Lacustre Fondo 0.071 0.445
ANA EPañe4S El Pañe 15/10/2020 Fluvial Superficie 0.005 0.544
ANA EPañe4F El Pañe 15/10/2020 Fluvial Fondo 0.061 0.492
ANA EPañe1S El Pañe 20/10/2020 Intermedia Superficie 0.121 0.460
ANA EPañe1F El Pañe 20/10/2020 Intermedia Fondo 0.115 0.745
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 22/10/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 22/10/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.130 2.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 18/11/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 18/11/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.110 1.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.400
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 21/04/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.290 1.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 21/04/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.180 0.700
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.060 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.230 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 30/06/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 30/06/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 11/08/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.150 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 16/09/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 12/10/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.130 0.600
ANA EEpañ3F El Pañe 09/11/2021 Lacustre Fondo 0.040 0.550
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 09/11/2021 Lacustre Superficie 0.050 0.430
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 15/11/2021 Intermedia Fondo 0.100 3.540
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 15/11/2021 Intermedia Superficie 0.090 0.450
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 15/11/2021 Fluvial Fondo 0.110 0.710
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 15/11/2021 Fluvial Superficie 0.160 1.020
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 02/12/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 02/12/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.430 2.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 16/02/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.028 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/03/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.630
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/04/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.057 0.590
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 04/05/2022 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.129 0.870
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 04/05/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.072 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 25/05/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.045
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 07/07/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.156 1.740
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.071 1.160
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.071 1.160
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 25/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.059 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 22/09/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.037 0.580
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/10/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.028 0.490
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 17/11/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.064 0.880
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/02/2023 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.047
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 07/03/2023 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.046
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 23/03/2023 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.041
prom 0.079 0.704
min con L.D. 0.005 0.100
min sin L.D. 0.014 0.100
DATOS DE VOLUMEN Y CAUDAL DE SALIDA DEL EMBALSE
Tw (días)
2012 75349919.50 240094.39 313.83
2013 66625398.42 207380.60 321.27 600
2014 48050903.50 107859.47 445.50
2015 62347390.92 201463.00 309.47 400
2016 24552724.58 216293.41 113.52
2017 62587522.25 107208.99 583.79 200
2018 89920240.67 86182.16 1043.37
2019 78542080.42 204822.81 383.46 0
2008
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2020 76163616.67 139312.13 546.71
2021 75688711.50 236717.45 319.74
2022 72676360.83 180341.37 402.99 Años
Promedio 59000933.60 185893.50 374.51
COMPILACIÓN DE DATOS REQUERIDOS POR LOS MODELOS
Leyenda: Datos de ingreso
Variable A Qo P N vs WP WN WP WN
2 3 3 3
Año m m /s mg P/m mg N/m m/año mg P/año mg N/año Ton P/año Ton N/año
2014 14000000 1.25 40.75 390.60 12 8450274759.70 80998216469.64 8.45 81.00
2015 14000000 2.33 34.40 869.20 12 8308769439.57 209941348746.40 8.31 209.94
2016 14000000 2.50 51.60 664.20 12 12742470159.57 164022261240.04 12.74 164.02
2017 14000000 1.24 36.50 527.00 12 7560291782.17 109158185457.60 7.56 109.16
2018 14000000 1.00 72.22 871.43 12 14405190760.86 173812081927.74 14.41 173.81
2019 14000000 2.37 87.00 407.06 12 21120148423.74 98816939655.66 21.12 98.82
2020 14000000 1.61 91.50 694.86 12 20024676743.17 152068739545.31 20.02 152.07
2021 14000000 2.74 130.48 935.00 12 33193386870.47 237865748613.73 33.19 237.87
2022 14000000 2.09 69.77 841.67 12 16313762357.19 196802370222.26 16.31 196.80
MODELO VOLLENWEIDER: CARGA TOTAL DE PT Y NT
Leyenda: Cálculos Resultados
Variable A Qo V P N Tw z qs LP LN WP WN
Año m2 3
m /s m3 mg P/m3 mg N/m3 años m m/año 2
mg P/m /año 2
mg N/m /año Ton P/año Ton N/año
2014 14000000 1.25 48050904 40.75 390.60 1.22 6.38 5.23 448.49 4298.92 6.28 60.18
2015 14000000 2.33 62347391 34.40 869.20 0.85 7.40 8.73 576.95 14578.13 8.08 204.09
2016 14000000 2.50 24552725 51.60 664.20 0.31 4.70 15.12 1215.65 15647.97 17.02 219.07
2017 14000000 1.24 62587522 36.50 527.00 1.60 7.42 4.64 383.51 5537.19 5.37 77.52
2018 14000000 1.00 89920241 72.22 871.43 2.86 9.37 3.28 637.19 7688.24 8.92 107.64
2019 14000000 2.37 78542080 87.00 407.06 1.05 8.56 8.15 1435.46 6716.22 20.10 94.03
2020 14000000 1.61 76163617 91.50 694.86 1.50 8.39 5.60 1139.83 8655.92 15.96 121.18
2021 14000000 2.74 75688712 130.48 935.00 0.88 8.36 9.54 2409.54 17266.90 33.73 241.74
2022 14000000 2.09 72676361 69.77 841.67 1.10 8.14 7.37 1055.02 12727.30 14.77 178.18
MODELO OECD: CARGA TOTAL DE PT Y NT
Leyenda: Cálculos Resultados
Variable A Qo V P N a b a b Tw z WP WN WP WN
2 3 3 3 3
Año m m /s m mg P/m mg N/m - - - - años m mg P/año mg N/año Ton P/año Ton N/año
2014 14000000 1.25 48050904 40.75 390.60 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 1.22 6.38 4464943497.50 20339766969.28 4.46 20.34
2015 14000000 2.33 62347391 34.40 869.20 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 0.85 7.40 6190277562.02 96677896183.41 6.19 96.68
2016 14000000 2.50 24552725 51.60 664.20 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 0.31 4.70 8836872545.33 59621089236.58 8.84 59.62
2017 14000000 1.24 62587522 36.50 527.00 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 1.60 7.42 4174985361.60 31936489115.35 4.17 31.94
2018 14000000 1.00 89920241 72.22 871.43 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 2.86 9.37 9165156427.85 58124962391.19 9.17 58.12
2019 14000000 2.37 78542080 87.00 407.06 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 1.05 8.56 20570629930.47 39179301598.96 20.57 39.18
2020 14000000 1.61 76163617 91.50 694.86 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 1.50 8.39 16340110027.47 58089877573.19 16.34 58.09
2021 14000000 2.74 75688712 130.48 935.00 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 0.88 8.36 37258235108.49 125720343357.26 37.26 125.72
2022 14000000 2.09 72676361 69.77 841.67 1.55 0.82 5.34 0.78 1.10 8.14 14013975058.87 88661885888.82 14.01 88.66
RESUMEN DE CARGAS TOTALES DE PT Y NT (Wtotal)
Leyenda: Resultados
40 240
Ton N/año
Ton P/año
30 180
20 120
10 60
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Dillon & Rigler Chapra Vollenweider OECD Dillon & Rigler Chapra Vollenweider OECD
50
40
Ton P/año
30
20
10
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
DESCARGO DE RESPONSABILIDAD
La Autoridad Autónoma de Majes, no es responsable del uso que se le dé a la presente hoja de
cálculo. Los resultados que se generen con su uso están condicionados a la información y a las
verificaciones particulares que el usuario utilice.
Referencias
Beveridge, M. C. M. (1984). Cage and pen fish farming : carrying capacity models and
environmental impact. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, 1(255), 120.
𝐿(1 − 𝑅)
𝑃 =
𝑧𝜌
Donde:
- [P]: Concentración de P total (mg/m3)
- L: Carga de P total por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse (mg/m2/año)
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- z: Profundidad media (m)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
A su vez, la tasa de descarga es la inversa del tiempo de retención hidráulica y está dada por la
siguiente ecuación:
𝑄𝑜 1
𝜌= =
𝑉 𝑇𝑤
Donde:
- 𝜌: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
- Qo: Caudal de salida del embalse (m3/año)
- V: Volumen del embalse (m3)
- Tw: Tiempo de retención hidráulica (años)
La fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos se estimó mediante la fórmula estimada por Larsen &
Mercier (1976) y recalculada por Canfield & Bachmann (1981):
1
𝑅=
1 + (0.747 ∗ 𝜌0.507 )
Donde:
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
Para aplicar el modelo de Dillon & Rigler enfocado en estimar la carga de P total proveniente de
acuicultura, Beveridge realiza las siguientes consideraciones:
b. La fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (R) debe ser específica para el P total de acuicultura
(Rpez), para lo cual Beveridge propone la siguiente relación:
𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑧 = 𝑥 + 1 − 𝑥 𝑅
Donde:
- Rpez: Fracción de P total de acuicultura retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- R: Fracción de P total retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- x: Porcentaje de P total perdido en sedimentos permanentemente (50 % o 0.5). Este parámetro
es estimado por Merican & Phillips (1985) mediante pruebas de sedimentación en jaulas de
acuicultura.
c. Finalmente, la ecuación para calcular la carga por unidad de área de P total proveniente de
acuicultura es la siguiente:
𝐿𝑝𝑒𝑧 (1 − 𝑅𝑝𝑒𝑧 )
𝛥𝑃𝑒𝑥𝑐 =
𝑧𝜌
∆𝑷𝒆𝒙𝒄 𝒛𝝆
𝑳𝒑𝒆𝒛 =
𝟏 − 𝑹𝒑𝒆𝒛
Donde:
- Lpez: Carga de P total de acuicultura por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse
(mg/m2/año)
- ΔPexc: Concentración de P total proveniente de acuicultura (mg/m3)
- Rpez: Fracción de P total de acuicultura retenido en sedimentos (adimensional)
- z: Profundidad media (m)
- ρ: Tasa de descarga (1/año)
(𝑳𝒑𝒆𝒛 /𝟏𝟎𝟔 )𝑨
𝑪𝑪𝒑𝒆𝒛 =
𝑷𝒎𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒐
Donde:
- CCfpez: Capacidad de carga acuícola (Ton pez/año)
- Lpez: Carga de P total por unidad de área (flujo) que ingresa al embalse (mg/m2/año)
- A: Área del embalse o zona en la que se desarrolla la actividad acuícola (m2)
- Pamb: Kg de P total que va al medio por Ton de trucha producida (Kg P/Ton pez)
El P total descargado al medio proviene del fósforo que entra al sistema como alimento y el fósforo
que sale en forma de biomasa del pez (trucha):
Referencias
Beveridge, M. C. M. (1984). Cage and pen fish farming : carrying capacity models and environmental
impact. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, 1(255), 120.
Canfield, D. E., & Bachmann, R. W. (1981). Prediction of total phosphorus concentrations, chlorophyll
a, and Secchi depths in natural and artificial lakes. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic
Sciences, 38(4), 414–423. https://doi.org/10.1139/F81-058
Dillon, P. J., & Rigler, F. H. (1974). A Test of a Simple Nutrient Budget Model Predicting the
Phosphorus Concentration in Lake Water. Journal of the Fisheries Board of Canada, 31(11), 1771–
1778. https://doi.org/10.1139/F74-225
Larsen, D. P., & Mercier, H. T. (1976). Phosphorus Retention Capacity of Lakes. Journal of the
Fisheries Board of Canada, 33(8), 1742–1750. https://doi.org/10.1139/F76-221
Merican, Z. O., & Phillips, M. J. (1985). Solid waste production from rainbow trout, Salmo gairdneri
Richardson, cage culture. Aquaculture Research, 16(1), 55–69. https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1365-
2109.1985.TB00296.X
P_total N_total
Fuente Código Embalse Fecha Zona Profundidad
mg/L mg/L
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 09/10/2014 Intermedia Fondo 0.038 0.371 Tabla 1: Promedio de concentraciones anuales para Pfinal y Nfinal
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Intermedia Superficie 0.046 0.345 Fuente (Todas)
ANA EEpañ2F El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Fondo 0.005 0.389 Zona (Todas)
ANA EEpañ2S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Superficie 0.037 0.384 Profundidad (Todas)
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 09/10/2014 Lacustre Superficie 0.042 0.464
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 26/10/2015 Intermedia Fondo 0.041 1.120 Etiquetas de fila Promedio de P_total_mg/L Promedio de N_total_mg/L
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Intermedia Superficie 0.032 0.660 2014 0.04 0.39
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Lacustre Superficie 0.063 0.670 2015 0.03 0.87
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 26/10/2015 Fluvial Fondo 0.017 0.656 2016 0.05 0.66
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 26/10/2015 Fluvial Superficie 0.019 1.240 2017 0.04 0.53
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 23/06/2016 Intermedia Fondo 0.127 0.522 2018 0.07 0.87
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Intermedia Superficie 0.026 0.608 2019 0.09 0.41
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Lacustre Superficie 0.065 1.106 2020 0.09 0.69
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 23/06/2016 Fluvial Fondo 0.025 0.573 2021 0.13 0.94
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 23/06/2016 Fluvial Superficie 0.015 0.512 2022 0.07 0.84
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Intermedia Fondo 0.028 0.564 Total general 0.08 0.70
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Intermedia Superficie 0.018 0.383
ANA EEpañ3F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Lacustre Fondo 0.091 0.663 Tabla 2: Mínimo de concentraciones anuales para Pinicial y Ninicial
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Lacustre Superficie 0.043 0.679 Fuente (Todas)
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 01/08/2017 Fluvial Fondo 0.025 0.464 Zona (Todas)
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 01/08/2017 Fluvial Superficie 0.014 0.409 Profundidad (Todas)
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 11/07/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.700
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 11/07/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.120 0.700 Etiquetas de fila Mín. de P_total_mg/L Mín. de N_total_mg/L
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 03/08/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.900 2014 0.04 0.35
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 1.300 2015 0.02 0.66
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 02/10/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.060 2016 0.02 0.51
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 02/10/2018 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 2017 0.01 0.38
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 07/11/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 1.400 2018 0.04 0.40
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 12/12/2018 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.040 0.400 2019 0.05 0.10
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2A El Pañe 12/12/2018 Intermedia limite zona eufotica 0.050 0.700 2020 0.05 0.37
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 08/03/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.100 2021 0.04 0.40
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 08/03/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.500 2022 0.03 0.49
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 24/04/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.700 Total general 0.01 0.10
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 24/04/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 30/05/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.700 Fuente Zona Profundidad
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 30/05/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.400
Promedio de P_total_mg/LPromedio de N_total_mg/L
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 03/07/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/07/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.700 0.14 1.00
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.400 0.90
0.12
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.110 0.600 0.80
0.10 0.70
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 13/09/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140 0.500
NT (mg/L)
PT (mg/L)
0.60
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.08
0.50
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.200 0.06 0.40
ANA EPañe1S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia Superficie 0.005 0.405
0.04 0.30
ANA EPañe1F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Intermedia Fondo 0.060 0.380
0.20
ANA EPañe3S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre Superficie 0.065 0.406 0.02
0.10
ANA EPañe3F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Lacustre Fondo 0.005 0.370
0.00 0.00
ANA EPañe4S El Pañe 23/10/2019 Fluvial Superficie 0.121 0.377 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
ANA EPañe4F El Pañe 23/10/2019 Fluvial Fondo 0.090 0.389
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/11/2019 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050 Valores
Promedio de P_total_mg/L Promedio de N_total_mg/L
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/07/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.110 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 18/08/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140 0.800 Años (Fecha)
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 24/09/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.370
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 24/09/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.450
ANA EPañe3S El Pañe 15/10/2020 Lacustre Superficie 0.005 0.422
ANA EPañe3F El Pañe 15/10/2020 Lacustre Fondo 0.071 0.445
ANA EPañe4S El Pañe 15/10/2020 Fluvial Superficie 0.005 0.544
ANA EPañe4F El Pañe 15/10/2020 Fluvial Fondo 0.061 0.492
ANA EPañe1S El Pañe 20/10/2020 Intermedia Superficie 0.121 0.460
ANA EPañe1F El Pañe 20/10/2020 Intermedia Fondo 0.115 0.745
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 22/10/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 22/10/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.130 2.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 18/11/2020 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 18/11/2020 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.110 1.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/02/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.400
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 21/04/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.290 1.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 21/04/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.180 0.700
AUTODEMA 134EPañe1E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Fluvial superficie (1.5m) 0.060 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.230 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 05/05/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.070 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 30/06/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.080 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 30/06/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.050 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 11/08/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.150 0.800
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 16/09/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.140
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 12/10/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.130 0.600
ANA EEpañ3F El Pañe 09/11/2021 Lacustre Fondo 0.040 0.550
ANA EEpañ3S El Pañe 09/11/2021 Lacustre Superficie 0.050 0.430
ANA EEpañ1F El Pañe 15/11/2021 Intermedia Fondo 0.100 3.540
ANA EEpañ1S El Pañe 15/11/2021 Intermedia Superficie 0.090 0.450
ANA EEpañ4F El Pañe 15/11/2021 Fluvial Fondo 0.110 0.710
ANA EEpañ4S El Pañe 15/11/2021 Fluvial Superficie 0.160 1.020
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 02/12/2021 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.100 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 02/12/2021 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.430 2.100
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 16/02/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.028 0.500
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/03/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.090 0.630
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/04/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.057 0.590
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 04/05/2022 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.129 0.870
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 04/05/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.072 0.600
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 25/05/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.045
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 07/07/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.156 1.740
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.071 1.160
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 03/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.071 1.160
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 25/08/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.059 0.900
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 22/09/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.037 0.580
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 20/10/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.028 0.490
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 17/11/2022 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.064 0.880
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 09/02/2023 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.047
AUTODEMA 134EPañe2E El Pañe 07/03/2023 Intermedia superficie (1.5m) 0.046
AUTODEMA 134EPañe3E El Pañe 23/03/2023 Lacustre superficie (1.5m) 0.041
prom 0.079 0.704
min con L.D. 0.005 0.100
min sin L.D. 0.014 0.100
max 0.430 3.540
desv 0.059 0.471
DATOS DE VOLUMEN Y CAUDAL DE SALIDA DEL EMBALSE
Tw (días)
2013 66625398.42 207380.60 321.27 600
2014 48050903.50 107859.47 445.50
2015 62347390.92 201463.00 309.47 400
2016 24552724.58 216293.41 113.52
2017 62587522.25 107208.99 583.79 200
2018 89920240.67 86182.16 1043.37
2019 78542080.42 204822.81 383.46 0
2010
2022
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2020 76163616.67 139312.13 546.71
2021 75688711.50 236717.45 319.74
2022 72676360.83 180341.37 402.99 Años
Promedio 59000933.60 185893.50 374.51
CAPACIDAD DE CARGA ACUÍCOLA
Leyenda: Datos de ingreso Cálculos Resultados Constantes
Ton pez/año
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Años
PA Beveridge PA Satelital
Comparación de escenarios de gestión de capacidad de carga Versión 1.0
2023
Color celeste "E1", "E2", "E3" y "E4" son los cálculos de las concentraciones de
PT en función de la PA para los 4 escenarios planteados utilizando
los modelos Chapra y Beveridge. El escenario 4 corresponde a una
reducción progresiva de la PA, el valor por defecto alcanza la CC
estricta al 2030. Se extrapola la PA desde el año 2023, asumiendo
constante el caudal y volumen como el valor promedio en el
periodo 2014-2022.
DESCARGO DE RESPONSABILIDAD
La Autoridad Autónoma de Majes, no es responsable del uso que se le dé a la presente hoja
de cálculo. Los resultados que se generen con su uso están condicionados a la información y a
las verificaciones particulares que el usuario utilice.
Referencias
Beveridge, M. C. M. (1984). Cage and pen fish farming : carrying capacity models and
environmental impact. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, 1(255), 120.
Chapra, S. C. (2008). Surface water-quality modeling. Long Grove, IL: Waveland Press Inc.
Datos generales
Grupo Variable Valor Unidad Descripción
2
A 14000000 m Área del embalse
Vmuerto 41300000 m3/s Volumen muerto del embalse
Pinicial 5 mg/m3 Concentración de P antes de acuicultura o línea base
Datos Generales
Pobjetivo 35 mg/m3 Concentración de P admisible para acuicultura o ECA
Wt 1.40 Ton P/año Carga de P proveniente de los tributarios al embalse
Watm 0.88 Ton P/año Carga de P proveniente de la deposición atmosférica
Modelo Chapra vs 12 m/año Velocidad de sedimentación
Coefmult_R 0.747 - Coeficiente multiplicador para calcular R
Coefexp_R 0.507 - Coeficiente exponencial para calcular R
x 0.50 - Proporción neta de P acuícola perdido permanentemente en sedimentos (50 %)
Modelo
Palimen 0.82 % Porcentaje de P en alimento de peces
Beveridge
Ppez 0.16 % Porcentaje de P en tejido de peces
TCA 2 - Tasa de conversión alimenticia [alimento suministrado (Kg)/aumento biomasa (Kg)]
Pamb 14.8 Kg P/Ton pez Kg de P total que va al medio por Ton de trucha producida (Kg P/Ton pez)
ESCENARIO 1: Tendencia actual
200
180
160
140
120
P (ug/L)
100
80
60
40
20
Leyenda: Cálculos
Chapra Beveridge
Año PA Qo V PT Años Qo Vol z lambda Wac W P_C t95 Tw p Rfish Lacuic dP P_B P ECA PT obs
3 3 3 3
Ton pez/año m /s hm mg/L m /año m m
2010 37 2.2 49.7 0 0 69749584 91029857 6.5 2.6 0.5 3E+09 5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 38.8 1.5 6.5 6 35
2011 134 1.8 66.0 0 1 57324646 1.07E+08 7.7 2.1 2.0 4E+09 17.2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 141.3 6.1 11.1 14 35
2012 266 2.8 75.3 0 2 87634453 1.17E+08 8.3 2.2 3.9 6E+09 24.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 281.3 8.8 13.8 19 35
2013 398 2.4 66.6 0 3 75693918 1.08E+08 7.7 2.3 5.9 8E+09 33.5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 421.2 15.0 20.0 27 35
2014 486 1.2 48.1 0.041 4 39368706 89350904 6.4 2.3 7.2 9E+09 45.7 1.3 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 513.5 30.1 35.1 40 35 40.8
2015 663 2.3 62.3 0.034 5 73533995 1.04E+08 7.4 2.3 9.8 1E+10 50.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 701.2 25.7 30.7 40 35 34.4
2016 796 2.5 24.6 0.052 6 78947096 65852725 4.7 3.7 11.8 1E+10 56.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.8 841.1 33.6 38.6 48 35 51.6
2017 928 1.2 62.6 0.037 7 39131282 1.04E+08 7.4 2.0 13.7 2E+10 77.3 1.5 2.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 981.1 54.9 59.9 69 35 36.5
2018 1141 1.0 89.9 0.072 8 31456487 1.31E+08 9.4 1.5 16.9 2E+10 96.1 2.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1206.7 71.4 76.4 86 35 72.2
2019 1193 2.4 78.5 0.087 9 74760327 1.2E+08 8.6 2.0 17.7 2E+10 82.1 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1261.0 43.7 48.7 65 35 87.0
2020 1325 1.6 76.2 0.092 10 50848926 1.17E+08 8.4 1.9 19.6 2E+10 100.0 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1401.0 63.3 68.3 84 35 91.5
2021 1502 2.7 75.7 0.130 11 86401870 1.17E+08 8.4 2.2 22.2 2E+10 96.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1587.5 50.2 55.2 76 35 130.5
2022 1590 2.1 76.5 0.070 12 65824598 1.18E+08 8.4 2.0 23.5 3E+10 110.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1680.9 63.9 68.9 90 35 69.8
2023 1603 2.0 65.5 13 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 23.7 3E+10 112.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1694.8 67.8 72.8 92 35
2024 1736 2.0 65.5 14 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 25.7 3E+10 120.7 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1835.7 73.5 78.5 100 35
2025 1870 2.0 65.5 15 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 27.7 3E+10 129.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1976.6 79.1 84.1 107 35
2026 2003 2.0 65.5 16 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 29.6 3E+10 137.7 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2117.5 84.7 89.7 114 35
2027 2136 2.0 65.5 17 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 31.6 3E+10 146.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2258.4 90.4 95.4 121 35
2028 2270 2.0 65.5 18 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 33.6 4E+10 154.7 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2399.3 96.0 101.0 128 35
2029 2403 2.0 65.5 19 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 35.6 4E+10 163.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2540.2 101.7 106.7 135 35
2030 2536 2.0 65.5 20 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 37.5 4E+10 171.7 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2681.1 107.3 112.3 142 35
ESCENARIO 2: Reducción a CC moderada
140
120
100
80
P (ug/L)
60
40
20
Leyenda: Cálculos
Chapra Beveridge
Año PA Qo V PT Años Qo Vol z lambda Wac W P_C t95 Tw p Rfish Lacuic dP P_B P ECA PT obs
3 3 3 3
Ton pez/año m /s hm mg/L m /año m m
2010 37 2.2 49.7 0 0 69749584 91029857 6.5 2.6 0.5 3E+09 5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 38.8 1.5 6.5 6 35
2011 134 1.8 66.0 0 1 57324646 1.07E+08 7.7 2.1 2.0 4E+09 17.2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 141.3 6.1 11.1 14 35
2012 266 2.8 75.3 0 2 87634453 1.17E+08 8.3 2.2 3.9 6E+09 24.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 281.3 8.8 13.8 19 35
2013 398 2.4 66.6 0 3 75693918 1.08E+08 7.7 2.3 5.9 8E+09 33.5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 421.2 15.0 20.0 27 35
2014 486 1.2 48.1 0.041 4 39368706 89350904 6.4 2.3 7.2 9E+09 45.7 1.3 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 513.5 30.1 35.1 40 35 40.8
2015 663 2.3 62.3 0.034 5 73533995 1.04E+08 7.4 2.3 9.8 1E+10 50.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 701.2 25.7 30.7 40 35 34.4
2016 796 2.5 24.6 0.052 6 78947096 65852725 4.7 3.7 11.8 1E+10 56.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.8 841.1 33.6 38.6 48 35 51.6
2017 928 1.2 62.6 0.037 7 39131282 1.04E+08 7.4 2.0 13.7 2E+10 77.3 1.5 2.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 981.1 54.9 59.9 69 35 36.5
2018 1141 1.0 89.9 0.072 8 31456487 1.31E+08 9.4 1.5 16.9 2E+10 96.1 2.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1206.7 71.4 76.4 86 35 72.2
2019 1193 2.4 78.5 0.087 9 74760327 1.2E+08 8.6 2.0 17.7 2E+10 82.1 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1261.0 43.7 48.7 65 35 87.0
2020 1325 1.6 76.2 0.092 10 50848926 1.17E+08 8.4 1.9 19.6 2E+10 100.0 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1401.0 63.3 68.3 84 35 91.5
2021 1502 2.7 75.7 0.130 11 86401870 1.17E+08 8.4 2.2 22.2 2E+10 96.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1587.5 50.2 55.2 76 35 130.5
2022 1590 2.1 76.5 0.070 12 65824598 1.18E+08 8.4 2.0 23.5 3E+10 110.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1680.9 63.9 68.9 90 35 69.8
2023 725 2.0 65.5 13 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2024 725 2.0 65.5 14 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2025 725 2.0 65.5 15 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2026 725 2.0 65.5 16 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2027 725 2.0 65.5 17 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2028 725 2.0 65.5 18 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2029 725 2.0 65.5 19 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
2030 725 2.0 65.5 20 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 10.7 1E+10 56.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 766.4 30.7 35.7 46 35
ESCENARIO 3: Reducción a CC estricta
140
120
100
80
P (ug/L)
60
40
20
Leyenda: Cálculos
Chapra Beveridge
Año PA Qo V PT Años Qo Vol z lambda Wac W P_C t95 Tw p Rfish Lacuic dP P_B P ECA PT obs
3 3 3 3
Ton pez/año m /s hm mg/L m /año m m
2010 37 2.2 49.7 0 0 69749584 91029857 6.5 2.6 0.5 3E+09 5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 38.8 1.5 6.5 6 35
2011 134 1.8 66.0 0 1 57324646 1.07E+08 7.7 2.1 2.0 4E+09 17.2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 141.3 6.1 11.1 14 35
2012 266 2.8 75.3 0 2 87634453 1.17E+08 8.3 2.2 3.9 6E+09 24.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 281.3 8.8 13.8 19 35
2013 398 2.4 66.6 0 3 75693918 1.08E+08 7.7 2.3 5.9 8E+09 33.5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 421.2 15.0 20.0 27 35
2014 486 1.2 48.1 0.041 4 39368706 89350904 6.4 2.3 7.2 9E+09 45.7 1.3 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 513.5 30.1 35.1 40 35 40.8
2015 663 2.3 62.3 0.034 5 73533995 1.04E+08 7.4 2.3 9.8 1E+10 50.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 701.2 25.7 30.7 40 35 34.4
2016 796 2.5 24.6 0.052 6 78947096 65852725 4.7 3.7 11.8 1E+10 56.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.8 841.1 33.6 38.6 48 35 51.6
2017 928 1.2 62.6 0.037 7 39131282 1.04E+08 7.4 2.0 13.7 2E+10 77.3 1.5 2.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 981.1 54.9 59.9 69 35 36.5
2018 1141 1.0 89.9 0.072 8 31456487 1.31E+08 9.4 1.5 16.9 2E+10 96.1 2.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1206.7 71.4 76.4 86 35 72.2
2019 1193 2.4 78.5 0.087 9 74760327 1.2E+08 8.6 2.0 17.7 2E+10 82.1 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1261.0 43.7 48.7 65 35 87.0
2020 1325 1.6 76.2 0.092 10 50848926 1.17E+08 8.4 1.9 19.6 2E+10 100.0 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1401.0 63.3 68.3 84 35 91.5
2021 1502 2.7 75.7 0.130 11 86401870 1.17E+08 8.4 2.2 22.2 2E+10 96.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1587.5 50.2 55.2 76 35 130.5
2022 1590 2.1 76.5 0.070 12 65824598 1.18E+08 8.4 2.0 23.5 3E+10 110.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1680.9 63.9 68.9 90 35 69.8
2023 495 2.0 65.5 13 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2024 495 2.0 65.5 14 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2025 495 2.0 65.5 15 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2026 495 2.0 65.5 16 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2027 495 2.0 65.5 17 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2028 495 2.0 65.5 18 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2029 495 2.0 65.5 19 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
2030 495 2.0 65.5 20 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
ESCENARIO 3: Reducción a CC estricta
140
120
100
80
P (ug/L)
60
40
20
Incertidumbre P PT obs
Leyenda: Cálculos
Chapra Beveridge
Año PA Qo V PT Años Qo Vol z lambda Wac W P_C t95 Tw p Rfish Lacuic dP P_B P ECA PT obs
3 3 3 3
Ton pez/año m /s hm mg/L m /año m m
2010 37 2.2 49.7 0 0 69749584 91029857 6.5 2.6 0.5 3E+09 5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 38.8 1.5 6.5 6 35
2011 134 1.8 66.0 0 1 57324646 1.07E+08 7.7 2.1 2.0 4E+09 17.2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 141.3 6.1 11.1 14 35
2012 266 2.8 75.3 0 2 87634453 1.17E+08 8.3 2.2 3.9 6E+09 24.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8 281.3 8.8 13.8 19 35
2013 398 2.4 66.6 0 3 75693918 1.08E+08 7.7 2.3 5.9 8E+09 33.5 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 421.2 15.0 20.0 27 35
2014 486 1.2 48.1 0.041 4 39368706 89350904 6.4 2.3 7.2 9E+09 45.7 1.3 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 513.5 30.1 35.1 40 35 40.8
2015 663 2.3 62.3 0.034 5 73533995 1.04E+08 7.4 2.3 9.8 1E+10 50.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 701.2 25.7 30.7 40 35 34.4
2016 796 2.5 24.6 0.052 6 78947096 65852725 4.7 3.7 11.8 1E+10 56.9 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.8 841.1 33.6 38.6 48 35 51.6
2017 928 1.2 62.6 0.037 7 39131282 1.04E+08 7.4 2.0 13.7 2E+10 77.3 1.5 2.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 981.1 54.9 59.9 69 35 36.5
2018 1141 1.0 89.9 0.072 8 31456487 1.31E+08 9.4 1.5 16.9 2E+10 96.1 2.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1206.7 71.4 76.4 86 35 72.2
2019 1193 2.4 78.5 0.087 9 74760327 1.2E+08 8.6 2.0 17.7 2E+10 82.1 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1261.0 43.7 48.7 65 35 87.0
2020 1325 1.6 76.2 0.092 10 50848926 1.17E+08 8.4 1.9 19.6 2E+10 100.0 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1401.0 63.3 68.3 84 35 91.5
2021 1502 2.7 75.7 0.130 11 86401870 1.17E+08 8.4 2.2 22.2 2E+10 96.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1587.5 50.2 55.2 76 35 130.5
2022 1590 2.1 76.5 0.070 12 65824598 1.18E+08 8.4 2.0 23.5 3E+10 110.4 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1680.9 63.9 68.9 90 35 69.8
2023 1453.147905 2.0 65.5 13 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 21.5 2E+10 102.6 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1536.2 61.5 66.5 85 35
2024 1316.269633 2.0 65.5 14 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 19.5 2E+10 93.8 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1391.5 55.7 60.7 77 35
2025 1179.391361 2.0 65.5 15 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 17.5 2E+10 85.1 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1246.8 49.9 54.9 70 35
2026 1042.513089 2.0 65.5 16 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 15.4 2E+10 76.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1102.1 44.1 49.1 63 35
2027 905.6348166 2.0 65.5 17 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 13.4 2E+10 67.6 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 957.4 38.3 43.3 55 35
2028 768.7565444 2.0 65.5 18 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 11.4 1E+10 58.9 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 812.7 32.5 37.5 48 35
2029 631.8782722 2.0 65.5 19 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 9.4 1E+10 50.2 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 668.0 26.7 31.7 41 35
2030 495 2.0 65.5 20 63898145 1.07E+08 7.6 2.2 7.3 1E+10 41.4 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 523.3 20.9 25.9 34 35
200
180
160
140
Incertidumbre E1
120
Incertidumbre E2
Incertidumbre E3
P (ug/L)
100 ECA
Escenario 1 Tendencia Actual
Escenario 2 CC moderada
80 Escenario 3 CC estricta
PT obs
60
40
20
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
140
120
100
80
Incertidumbre
P (ug/L)
40
20
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Tiempo de Respuesta al 95%
2.5
2.0
1.5
Años
1.0
0.5
0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Fecha