Está en la página 1de 21

VALORIZACIÓN DE EMPRESAS

IMPUTS DE VALOR ESTADO DE RESULTADOS 1


INVERSIÓN 500000 VENTAS 1200000
CANTIDAD 600000 CV 720000
PRECIO 2 UTIL. BRUTA 480000
CF 200000 CF 200000
CV 1.2 UTIL. OPERAC 280000
VIDA ÚTIL 4 DEPRECIACIÓN 125000
COK 15% UTILIDAD IMPONIBLE 155000
FINANCIAMIENTO 60% IR 46500
INTERÉS 10% UTILIDAD NETA 108500
IR 30%
EVALUACIÓN ECONÓMICA
0 1
FCDI ECON. -500000 233500

VPN ec 166637
TIR ec 31%

EVALUACIÓN FINANCIERA
SERVICIO DE LA DEUDA
PERIODO SALDO INTERÉS
0 300000
1 235359 30000
2 164253 23536
3 86037 16425
4 0 8604

0 1
FCDI ECON. -500000 233500
SERV DEUDA 300000 -94641
AHORRO TRIB 9000
CÁLCULO WACC FCDI FINANC -200000 147859
FUENTES % K WACC
PRÉSTAMO 60% 7% 4.2% VPN FINANC 257678.07
CAPITAL 40% 15% 6.0% TIR FINANC 63%
100% 10.2%
2 3 4
1200000 1200000 1200000
720000 720000 720000
480000 480000 480000
200000 200000 200000
280000 280000 280000
125000 125000 125000
155000 155000 155000
46500 46500 46500
108500 108500 108500

2 3 4
233500 233500 233500

cantidad 166637 166637 1 2 3 4


400000 400000
500000 500000
600000 600000
700000 700000
800000 800000

CUOTA AMORT ESCUDO FISCAL

94641 64641 9000 21000 7%


94641 71105 7061
94641 78216 4928
94641 86037 2581

2 3 4
233500 233500 233500
-94641 -94641 -94641
7061 4928 2581
145920 143786 141440
VALORIZACIÓN DE EMPRESAS

IMPUTS DE VALOR ESTADO DE RESULTADOS 1


INVERSIÓN 500000 VENTAS 1202237
CANTIDAD 600000 CV 720000
PRECIO 2 UTIL. BRUTA 482237
DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR 0.5 CF 186622
CF 200000 UTIL. OPERAC 295615
DESVIACIÓN ESTÁNDAR 10000 DEPRECIACIÓN 125000
CV 1.2 UTILIDAD IMPONIBLE 170615
PROBABILIDAD ACUMULADO CV IR 51185
30% 0% 1 UTILIDAD NETA 119431
40% 30% 1.2
20% 70% 1.4 EVALUACIÓN ECONÓMICA
10% 90% 1.6 0 1
VIDA ÚTIL 4 FCDI ECON. -500000 244431
COK 15%
FINANCIAMIENTO 60% VPN ec 1322264
INTERÉS 10% TIR ec 75%
IR 30%
SIMULACIÓN MONTECARLO
Histograma
90
2 3 4
80
1792377 1064002 1765250
600000 600000 600000 70
1192377 464002 1165250 60
177746 207807 215036 50
1014631 256196 950213
Frecuencia

40
125000 125000 125000
889631 131196 825213 30
266889 39359 247564 20
622742 91837 577649
10
0
00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 3 4 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 000 0 00 0 00 000 000 000 000
00 0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 3 0
747742 216837 702649 -1

Clase

ITERACIONES 1322264 Columna1 VALOR ESPERADO


1 1322264 -100000
2 1322264 Media 627712 0
3 1322264 Error típico 13644.003776 100000
4 1322264 Mediana 624739.16162 200000
5 1322264 Moda #N/A 300000
6 1322264 Desviación están 324601 400000
7 1322264 Varianza de la m 105365902901 500000
8 1322264 Curtosis 0.6654158637 600000
9 1322264 Coeficiente de as-0.0723657794 700000
10 1322264 Rango 2366412.8426 800000
11 1322264 Mínimo -541845 900000
12 1322264 Máximo 1824568 1000000
13 1322264 Suma 355284857.54 1100000
14 1322264 Cuenta 566 1200000
15 1322264 1300000
16 1322264 1400000
17 1322264 1500000
18 1322264 1600000
19 1322264
20 1322264
21 1322264
22 1322264
23 1322264
24 1322264
25 1322264
26 1322264
27 1322264
28 1322264
29 1322264
30 1322264
31 1322264
32 1322264
33 1322264
34 1322264
35 1322264
36 1322264
37 1322264
38 1322264
39 1322264
40 1322264
41 1322264
42 1322264
43 1322264
44 1322264
45 1322264
46 1322264
47 1322264
48 1322264
49 1322264
50 1322264
51 1322264
52 1322264
53 1322264
54 1322264
55 1322264
56 1322264
57 1322264
58 1322264
59 1322264
60 1322264
61 1322264
62 1322264
63 1322264
64 1322264
65 1322264
66 1322264
67 1322264
68 1322264
69 1322264
70 1322264
71 1322264
72 1322264
73 1322264
74 1322264
75 1322264
76 1322264
77 1322264
78 1322264
79 1322264
80 1322264
81 1322264
82 1322264
83 1322264
84 1322264
85 1322264
86 1322264
87 1322264
88 1322264
89 1322264
90 1322264
91 1322264
92 1322264
93 1322264
94 1322264
95 1322264
96 1322264
97 1322264
98 1322264
99 1322264
100 1322264
101 1322264
102 1322264
103 1322264
104 1322264
105 1322264
106 1322264
107 1322264
108 1322264
109 1322264
110 1322264
111 1322264
112 1322264
113 1322264
114 1322264
115 1322264
116 1322264
117 1322264
118 1322264
119 1322264
120 1322264
121 1322264
122 1322264
123 1322264
124 1322264
125 1322264
126 1322264
127 1322264
128 1322264
129 1322264
130 1322264
131 1322264
132 1322264
133 1322264
134 1322264
135 1322264
136 1322264
137 1322264
138 1322264
139 1322264
140 1322264
141 1322264
142 1322264
143 1322264
144 1322264
145 1322264
146 1322264
147 1322264
148 1322264
149 1322264
150 1322264
151 1322264
152 1322264
153 1322264
154 1322264
155 1322264
156 1322264
157 1322264
158 1322264
159 1322264
160 1322264
161 1322264
162 1322264
163 1322264
164 1322264
165 1322264
166 1322264
167 1322264
168 1322264
169 1322264
170 1322264
171 1322264
172 1322264
173 1322264
174 1322264
175 1322264
176 1322264
177 1322264
178 1322264
179 1322264
180 1322264
181 1322264
182 1322264
183 1322264
184 1322264
185 1322264
186 1322264
187 1322264
188 1322264
189 1322264
190 1322264
191 1322264
192 1322264
193 1322264
194 1322264
195 1322264
196 1322264
197 1322264
198 1322264
199 1322264
200 1322264
201 1322264
202 1322264
203 1322264
204 1322264
205 1322264
206 1322264
207 1322264
208 1322264
209 1322264
210 1322264
211 1322264
212 1322264
213 1322264
214 1322264
215 1322264
216 1322264
217 1322264
218 1322264
219 1322264
220 1322264
221 1322264
222 1322264
223 1322264
224 1322264
225 1322264
226 1322264
227 1322264
228 1322264
229 1322264
230 1322264
231 1322264
232 1322264
233 1322264
234 1322264
235 1322264
236 1322264
237 1322264
238 1322264
239 1322264
240 1322264
241 1322264
242 1322264
243 1322264
244 1322264
245 1322264
246 1322264
247 1322264
248 1322264
249 1322264
250 1322264
251 1322264
252 1322264
253 1322264
254 1322264
255 1322264
256 1322264
257 1322264
258 1322264
259 1322264
260 1322264
261 1322264
262 1322264
263 1322264
264 1322264
265 1322264
266 1322264
267 1322264
268 1322264
269 1322264
270 1322264
271 1322264
272 1322264
273 1322264
274 1322264
275 1322264
276 1322264
277 1322264
278 1322264
279 1322264
280 1322264
281 1322264
282 1322264
283 1322264
284 1322264
285 1322264
286 1322264
287 1322264
288 1322264
289 1322264
290 1322264
291 1322264
292 1322264
293 1322264
294 1322264
295 1322264
296 1322264
297 1322264
298 1322264
299 1322264
300 1322264
301 1322264
302 1322264
303 1322264
304 1322264
305 1322264
306 1322264
307 1322264
308 1322264
309 1322264
310 1322264
311 1322264
312 1322264
313 1322264
314 1322264
315 1322264
316 1322264
317 1322264
318 1322264
319 1322264
320 1322264
321 1322264
322 1322264
323 1322264
324 1322264
325 1322264
326 1322264
327 1322264
328 1322264
329 1322264
330 1322264
331 1322264
332 1322264
333 1322264
334 1322264
335 1322264
336 1322264
337 1322264
338 1322264
339 1322264
340 1322264
341 1322264
342 1322264
343 1322264
344 1322264
345 1322264
346 1322264
347 1322264
348 1322264
349 1322264
350 1322264
351 1322264
352 1322264
353 1322264
354 1322264
355 1322264
356 1322264
357 1322264
358 1322264
359 1322264
360 1322264
361 1322264
362 1322264
363 1322264
364 1322264
365 1322264
366 1322264
367 1322264
368 1322264
369 1322264
370 1322264
371 1322264
372 1322264
373 1322264
374 1322264
375 1322264
376 1322264
377 1322264
378 1322264
379 1322264
380 1322264
381 1322264
382 1322264
383 1322264
384 1322264
385 1322264
386 1322264
387 1322264
388 1322264
389 1322264
390 1322264
391 1322264
392 1322264
393 1322264
394 1322264
395 1322264
396 1322264
397 1322264
398 1322264
399 1322264
400 1322264
401 1322264
402 1322264
403 1322264
404 1322264
405 1322264
406 1322264
407 1322264
408 1322264
409 1322264
410 1322264
411 1322264
412 1322264
413 1322264
414 1322264
415 1322264
416 1322264
417 1322264
418 1322264
419 1322264
420 1322264
421 1322264
422 1322264
423 1322264
424 1322264
425 1322264
426 1322264
427 1322264
428 1322264
429 1322264
430 1322264
431 1322264
432 1322264
433 1322264
434 1322264
435 1322264
436 1322264
437 1322264
438 1322264
439 1322264
440 1322264
441 1322264
442 1322264
443 1322264
444 1322264
445 1322264
446 1322264
447 1322264
448 1322264
449 1322264
450 1322264
451 1322264
452 1322264
453 1322264
454 1322264
455 1322264
456 1322264
457 1322264
458 1322264
459 1322264
460 1322264
461 1322264
462 1322264
463 1322264
464 1322264
465 1322264
466 1322264
467 1322264
468 1322264
469 1322264
470 1322264
471 1322264
472 1322264
473 1322264
474 1322264
475 1322264
476 1322264
477 1322264
478 1322264
479 1322264
480 1322264
481 1322264
482 1322264
483 1322264
484 1322264
485 1322264
486 1322264
487 1322264
488 1322264
489 1322264
490 1322264
491 1322264
492 1322264
493 1322264
494 1322264
495 1322264
496 1322264
497 1322264
498 1322264
499 1322264
500 1322264
501 1322264
502 1322264
503 1322264
504 1322264
505 1322264
506 1322264
507 1322264
508 1322264
509 1322264
510 1322264
511 1322264
512 1322264
513 1322264
514 1322264
515 1322264
516 1322264
517 1322264
518 1322264
519 1322264
520 1322264
521 1322264
522 1322264
523 1322264
524 1322264
525 1322264
526 1322264
527 1322264
528 1322264
529 1322264
530 1322264
531 1322264
532 1322264
533 1322264
534 1322264
535 1322264
536 1322264
537 1322264
538 1322264
539 1322264
540 1322264
541 1322264
542 1322264
543 1322264
544 1322264
545 1322264
546 1322264
547 1322264
548 1322264
549 1322264
550 1322264
551 1322264
552 1322264
553 1322264
554 1322264
555 1322264
556 1322264
557 1322264
558 1322264
559 1322264
560 1322264
561 1322264
562 1322264
563 1322264
564 1322264
565 1322264
566 1322264
Histograma

Frecuencia

.
00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 r..
00 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 ayo
6 7 8 9 10 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6
ym
Clase

Z VALUE PROBABILIDAD Clase Frecuencia


-2.24186444 1% -100000 5
-1.93379405 3% 0 2
-1.62572367 5% 100000 17
-1.31765328 9% 200000 17
-1.00958289 16% 300000 28
-0.70151251 24% 400000 44
-0.39344212 35% 500000 62
-0.08537173 47% 600000 79
0.22269865 59% 700000 60
0.53076904 70% 800000 72
0.83883943 80% 900000 53
1.14690981 87% 1000000 47
1.4549802 93% 1100000 42
1.76305059 96% 1200000 19
2.07112097 98% 1300000 10
2.37919136 99% 1400000 7
2.68726175 100% 1500000 1
2.99533213 100% 1600000 1
y mayor... 0

También podría gustarte