Resumen del escenario

Valores actuales: Pesimista Optimista Normal

Celdas cambiantes:
$B$21 33 33 38 35
$C$21 27 27 34 30
$D$21 31 31 39 35
$B$18 Pesimista Pesimista Optimista Normal
Celdas de resultado:
$I$27 9,191.00 9,191.00 14,896.00 11,781.00
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de las celdas cambiantes
en el momento en que se creó el Informe resumen de escenario. Las celdas cambiantes de
cada escenario se muestran en gris.
cambiantes de
Resumen del escenario
Valores actuales: Pesimista Optimista Normal
Celdas cambiantes:
$B$21 38 33 38 35
$C$21 34 27 34 30
$D$21 39 31 39 35
$B$18 Optimista Pesimista Optimista Normal
$B$22 500 350 500 400
$C$22 600 400 600 500
$D$22 700 450 700 600
Celdas de resultado:
$I$27 25,200.00 9,191.00 25,200.00 16,184.00
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de las celdas cambiantes
en el momento en que se creó el Informe resumen de escenario. Las celdas cambiantes de
cada escenario se muestran en gris.
cambiantes de
HERRAMIENTAS INFORMÁTICAS PARA LAS FINANZAS-ASUC-00435-27411 - 27415 - 27420
Análisis de hipótesis - Unidad 03
Docente: Christian H. Ferrer P.

Modulo 3.1: Creación de Escenarios

Funciones utilizadas: SUMAPRODUCTO // ESCENARIOS

Pesimista Normal Optimista

Producto A B C A B C A
Valor de Venta 33 27 31 35 30 35 38
Unid. Vendidas 350 400 450 400 500 600 500
Mano Obra 8.0 7.0 6.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 8.0
Materiales 5.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 5.0
Costos indirectos 1.2 1.0 2.0 1.2 1.0 2.0 1.2

Escenario Optimista Optimista

Costo Fijo 8,000.00
Producto A B C
Valor de Venta 38 34 39 =sumaproducto Ventas
Unid. Vendidas 500 600 700 Costos variables
Costo Producción 14.2 12.0 12.0 66700 Margen Contribución
Costo Fijo
Utilidad antes Impuesto
30% Impuesto
Utilidad despues impuesto
Optimista
B C
34 39
600 700
7.0 6.0
4.0 4.0
1.0 2.0

66,700.00
22,700.00
44,000.00
- 8,000.00
36,000.00
10,800.00
25,200.00
P 55,000.00
TEA 8.00%
TEB 1.29% Años
Nper 240 Bimestres 2 12
Cuota 744.28 3 18
4 24
5 30
6 36
7 42
8 48
9 54
10 60
11 66
12 72
13 78
14 84
15 90
16 96
17 102
18 108
19 114
20 120
21 126
22 132
23 138
24 144
25 150
26 156
27 162
28 168
29 174
30 180
31 186
32 192
33 198
34 204
35 210
36 216
37 222
38 228
39 234
40 240
 744.28 TEA TEB 744.28
4,976.97 2.00% 0.33% 332.34
3,443.90 2.50% 0.41% 361.42
2,679.62 3.00% 0.49% 391.70
2,222.86 3.50% 0.58% 423.12
1,919.85 4.00% 0.66% 455.60
1,704.69 4.50% 0.74% 489.05
1,544.42 5.00% 0.82% 523.42
1,420.75 5.50% 0.90% 558.60
1,322.67 6.00% 0.98% 594.54
1,243.21 6.50% 1.06% 631.14
1,177.70 7.00% 1.13% 668.35
1,122.91 7.50% 1.21% 706.08
1,076.54 8.00% 1.29% 744.28
1,036.89 8.50% 1.37% 782.88
1,002.70 9.00% 1.45% 821.83
972.99 9.50% 1.52% 861.07
947.01 10.00% 1.60% 900.55
924.16 10.50% 1.68% 940.23
903.96 11.00% 1.75% 980.08
886.04 11.50% 1.83% 1,020.05
870.06 12.00% 1.91% 1,060.11
855.77 12.50% 1.98% 1,100.24
842.95 13.00% 2.06% 1,140.41
831.42 13.50% 2.13% 1,180.59
821.02 14.00% 2.21% 1,220.77
811.62 14.50% 2.28% 1,260.92
803.11 15.00% 2.36% 1,301.05
795.39 15.50% 2.43% 1,341.12
788.37 16.00% 2.50% 1,381.13
781.97 16.50% 2.58% 1,421.07
776.15 17.00% 2.65% 1,460.93
770.83 17.50% 2.72% 1,500.71
765.97 18.00% 2.80% 1,540.39
761.53 18.50% 2.87% 1,579.97
757.46 19.00% 2.94% 1,619.45
753.73 19.50% 3.01% 1,658.83
750.30 20.00% 3.09% 1,698.09
747.16 20.50% 3.16% 1,737.24
744.28 21.00% 3.23% 1,776.27
 Año0 Año1 Año2 Año3 Año4
Flujos netos - 300,000.00 55,000.00 55,000.00 55,000.00 55,000.00

Costos de
oportunidad COK 14.795% Cuanto el inversionista le pide / exige al200,000.00
Proyecto

VAN - 150,000.00
TIR 14.795% cok
-
100,000.00
5.00% 173,079.46
5.50% 160,935.89
6.00% 50,000.00
149,247.43
6.50% 137,993.42
7.00% 127,154.29
0.00
4.00% 6.00%
7.50% 116,711.44
8.00% -50,000.00
106,647.26
8.50% 96,945.01
9.00% 87,588.80
9.50% 78,563.54
10.00% 69,854.90
10.50% 61,449.25
11.00% 53,333.65
11.50% 45,495.78
12.00% 37,923.93
12.50% 30,606.94
13.00% 23,534.22
13.50% 16,695.65
14.00% 10,081.63
14.50% 3,682.99
15.00% -2,509.00
15.50% -8,502.67
16.00% -14,305.94
16.50% -19,926.38
17.00% -25,371.21
17.50% -30,647.32
18.00% -35,761.29
 Año5 Año6 Año7 Año8 Año9 Año10
55,000.00 55,000.00 55,000.00 80,000.00 80,000.00 80,000.00

VAN vs cok
0,000.00

0,000.00

0,000.00

0,000.00

0.00
4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% 20.00%

0,000.00
00% 20.00%
 Análisis de

Curso: HERRAMIENTAS INFORMÁTICAS PA

Docente: Christian H. Ferrer P.
sis de hipótesis - Unidad 03

MÁTICAS PARA LAS FINANZAS-ASUC-00435

Fecha: 6/23/2023
dad 03
ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD

Año 0 Año 1 Año 2 Año 3 Año 4 Año 5

F Netos - 400,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 90,000

tasa dscto 25%

VAN

tasa VAN

TIR
Año 6 Año 7 Año 8 Año 9 Año 10 1% anual
90,000 90,000 100,000 100,000 100,000

890,000
- 400,000
490,000
HERRAMIENTAS INFORMÁTICAS PARA LAS FINANZAS-ASUC-00435
Análisis de hipótesis - Unidad 03
Docente: Christian H. Ferrer P.

Modulo 3.4: Buscar Objetivo

La importadora de accesorios para celulares “XM CELL” re
Funciones utilizadas: PAGO // BUSCAR OBJETIVO nuevos productos y el banco le ofrece una TEA de 22% a u
fin de mes. La directora analizó el interés total que tendría
del banco ¿Cuántos años debe ser el crédito para que el t
Capital (P) 250,000.00 capital prestado?
TEA 17.17%
TEM 1.33%
Tiempo 12.000 años
Nper 144 mensualidades
Cuota 3,906.28

Total de intereses 312,505.03

Ratio Interes / Capital 1.25 datos imputs: Capital

Objetivo 1.60 para cambiar "años" 11.702

Objetivo 1.25 para cambiar "años" 9.5

Saldo Inicial
0 250,000.00
1 250,000.00
2 249,416.52
3 248,825.28
4 248,226.18
5 247,619.12
6 247,003.99
7 246,380.69
8 245,749.10
9 245,109.12
10 244,460.63
11 243,803.52
12 243,137.68
13 242,462.99
14 241,779.33
15 241,086.58
16 240,384.63
17 239,673.34
18 238,952.61
19 238,222.29
20 237,482.27
21 236,732.41
22 235,972.58
23 235,202.66
24 234,422.50
25 233,631.97
26 232,830.94
27 232,019.26
28 231,196.79
29 230,363.39
30 229,518.91
31 228,663.21
32 227,796.13
33 226,917.53
34 226,027.26
35 225,125.15
36 224,211.05
37 223,284.80
38 222,346.23
39 221,395.20
40 220,431.52
41 219,455.04
42 218,465.58
43 217,462.96
44 216,447.02
45 215,417.58
46 214,374.45
47 213,317.46
48 212,246.43
49 211,161.15
50 210,061.45
51 208,947.14
52 207,818.01
53 206,673.88
54 205,514.54
55 204,339.79
56 203,149.43
57 201,943.25
58 200,721.03
59 199,482.57
60 198,227.65
61 196,956.05
62 195,667.55
63 194,361.92
64 193,038.94
65 191,698.37
66 190,339.99
67 188,963.55
68 187,568.82
69 186,155.55
70 184,723.50
 71 183,272.41
72 181,802.04
73 180,312.12
74 178,802.40
75 177,272.62
76 175,722.50
77 174,151.78
78 172,560.18
79 170,947.43
80 169,313.24
81 167,657.34
82 165,979.42
83 164,279.20
84 162,556.38
85 160,810.67
86 159,041.75
87 157,249.32
88 155,433.07
89 153,592.68
90 151,727.83
91 149,838.19
92 147,923.43
93 145,983.23
94 144,017.24
95 142,025.12
96 140,006.52
97 137,961.09
98 135,888.47
99 133,788.31
100 131,660.23
101 129,503.87
102 127,318.85
103 125,104.78
104 122,861.29
105 120,587.98
106 118,284.46
107 115,950.31
108 113,585.15
109 111,188.55
110 108,760.09
111 106,299.36
112 103,805.92
113 101,279.34
114 98,719.18
115 96,124.99
116 93,496.33
117 90,832.72
118 88,133.71
119 85,398.83
120 82,627.60
121 79,819.53
122 76,974.15
123 74,090.94
124 71,169.41
125 68,209.06
126 65,209.35
127 62,169.78
128 59,089.81
129 55,968.89
130 52,806.50
131 49,602.08
132 46,355.07
133 43,064.90
134 39,731.00
135 36,352.78
136 32,929.67
137 29,461.06
138 25,946.35
139 22,384.92
140 18,776.16
141 15,119.43
142 11,414.11
143 7,659.53
144 3,855.05
s para celulares “XM CELL” requiere un préstamo de S/. 250,000 para importación de
le ofrece una TEA de 22% a un plazo de 12 años con cuotas mensuales pagaderas a
zó el interés total que tendría que pagar por dicho préstamo y solicitó al ejecutivo
be ser el crédito para que el total de intereses sea a lo mucho 1.60x el valor del

años tasa

para cambiar "TEA" 17.17%

Cuota C. Interés C. capital Saldo final

0 0 0 250,000.00
3,906.28 3,322.80 583.48 249,416.52
3,906.28 3,315.05 591.24 248,825.28
3,906.28 3,307.19 599.10 248,226.18
3,906.28 3,299.23 607.06 247,619.12
3,906.28 3,291.16 615.13 247,003.99
3,906.28 3,282.98 623.30 246,380.69
3,906.28 3,274.70 631.59 245,749.10
3,906.28 3,266.30 639.98 245,109.12
3,906.28 3,257.80 648.49 244,460.63
3,906.28 3,249.18 657.11 243,803.52
3,906.28 3,240.44 665.84 243,137.68
3,906.28 3,231.59 674.69 242,462.99
3,906.28 3,222.63 683.66 241,779.33
3,906.28 3,213.54 692.75 241,086.58
3,906.28 3,204.33 701.95 240,384.63
3,906.28 3,195.00 711.28 239,673.34
3,906.28 3,185.55 720.74 238,952.61
3,906.28 3,175.97 730.32 238,222.29
3,906.28 3,166.26 740.02 237,482.27
3,906.28 3,156.43 749.86 236,732.41
3,906.28 3,146.46 759.83 235,972.58
3,906.28 3,136.36 769.92 235,202.66
3,906.28 3,126.13 780.16 234,422.50
3,906.28 3,115.76 790.53 233,631.97
3,906.28 3,105.25 801.03 232,830.94
3,906.28 3,094.60 811.68 232,019.26
3,906.28 3,083.82 822.47 231,196.79
3,906.28 3,072.88 833.40 230,363.39
3,906.28 3,061.81 844.48 229,518.91
3,906.28 3,050.58 855.70 228,663.21
3,906.28 3,039.21 867.08 227,796.13
3,906.28 3,027.69 878.60 226,917.53
3,906.28 3,016.01 890.28 226,027.26
3,906.28 3,004.17 902.11 225,125.15
3,906.28 2,992.18 914.10 224,211.05
3,906.28 2,980.04 926.25 223,284.80
3,906.28 2,967.72 938.56 222,346.23
3,906.28 2,955.25 951.04 221,395.20
3,906.28 2,942.61 963.68 220,431.52
3,906.28 2,929.80 976.48 219,455.04
3,906.28 2,916.82 989.46 218,465.58
3,906.28 2,903.67 1,002.61 217,462.96
3,906.28 2,890.35 1,015.94 216,447.02
3,906.28 2,876.84 1,029.44 215,417.58
3,906.28 2,863.16 1,043.13 214,374.45
3,906.28 2,849.30 1,056.99 213,317.46
3,906.28 2,835.25 1,071.04 212,246.43
3,906.28 2,821.01 1,085.27 211,161.15
3,906.28 2,806.59 1,099.70 210,061.45
3,906.28 2,791.97 1,114.31 208,947.14
3,906.28 2,777.16 1,129.13 207,818.01
3,906.28 2,762.15 1,144.13 206,673.88
3,906.28 2,746.95 1,159.34 205,514.54
3,906.28 2,731.54 1,174.75 204,339.79
3,906.28 2,715.92 1,190.36 203,149.43
3,906.28 2,700.10 1,206.18 201,943.25
3,906.28 2,684.07 1,222.22 200,721.03
3,906.28 2,667.82 1,238.46 199,482.57
3,906.28 2,651.36 1,254.92 198,227.65
3,906.28 2,634.68 1,271.60 196,956.05
3,906.28 2,617.78 1,288.50 195,667.55
3,906.28 2,600.66 1,305.63 194,361.92
3,906.28 2,583.30 1,322.98 193,038.94
3,906.28 2,565.72 1,340.56 191,698.37
3,906.28 2,547.90 1,358.38 190,339.99
3,906.28 2,529.85 1,376.44 188,963.55
3,906.28 2,511.55 1,394.73 187,568.82
3,906.28 2,493.02 1,413.27 186,155.55
3,906.28 2,474.23 1,432.05 184,723.50
3,906.28 2,455.20 1,451.09 183,272.41
3,906.28 2,435.91 1,470.37 181,802.04
3,906.28 2,416.37 1,489.92 180,312.12
3,906.28 2,396.57 1,509.72 178,802.40
3,906.28 2,376.50 1,529.79 177,272.62
3,906.28 2,356.17 1,550.12 175,722.50
3,906.28 2,335.56 1,570.72 174,151.78
3,906.28 2,314.69 1,591.60 172,560.18
3,906.28 2,293.53 1,612.75 170,947.43
3,906.28 2,272.10 1,634.19 169,313.24
3,906.28 2,250.38 1,655.91 167,657.34
3,906.28 2,228.37 1,677.92 165,979.42
3,906.28 2,206.07 1,700.22 164,279.20
3,906.28 2,183.47 1,722.82 162,556.38
3,906.28 2,160.57 1,745.71 160,810.67
3,906.28 2,137.37 1,768.92 159,041.75
3,906.28 2,113.86 1,792.43 157,249.32
3,906.28 2,090.03 1,816.25 155,433.07
3,906.28 2,065.89 1,840.39 153,592.68
3,906.28 2,041.43 1,864.85 151,727.83
3,906.28 2,016.65 1,889.64 149,838.19
3,906.28 1,991.53 1,914.75 147,923.43
3,906.28 1,966.08 1,940.20 145,983.23
3,906.28 1,940.29 1,965.99 144,017.24
3,906.28 1,914.16 1,992.12 142,025.12
3,906.28 1,887.69 2,018.60 140,006.52
3,906.28 1,860.86 2,045.43 137,961.09
3,906.28 1,833.67 2,072.62 135,888.47
3,906.28 1,806.12 2,100.16 133,788.31
3,906.28 1,778.21 2,128.08 131,660.23
3,906.28 1,749.92 2,156.36 129,503.87
3,906.28 1,721.26 2,185.02 127,318.85
3,906.28 1,692.22 2,214.06 125,104.78
3,906.28 1,662.79 2,243.49 122,861.29
3,906.28 1,632.97 2,273.31 120,587.98
3,906.28 1,602.76 2,303.53 118,284.46
3,906.28 1,572.14 2,334.14 115,950.31
3,906.28 1,541.12 2,365.17 113,585.15
3,906.28 1,509.68 2,396.60 111,188.55
3,906.28 1,477.83 2,428.46 108,760.09
3,906.28 1,445.55 2,460.73 106,299.36
3,906.28 1,412.85 2,493.44 103,805.92
3,906.28 1,379.71 2,526.58 101,279.34
3,906.28 1,346.12 2,560.16 98,719.18
3,906.28 1,312.10 2,594.19 96,124.99
3,906.28 1,277.62 2,628.67 93,496.33
3,906.28 1,242.68 2,663.61 90,832.72
3,906.28 1,207.28 2,699.01 88,133.71
3,906.28 1,171.40 2,734.88 85,398.83
 3,906.28 1,135.05 2,771.23 82,627.60
3,906.28 1,098.22 2,808.06 79,819.53
3,906.28 1,060.90 2,845.39 76,974.15
3,906.28 1,023.08 2,883.21 74,090.94
3,906.28 984.76 2,921.53 71,169.41
3,906.28 945.93 2,960.36 68,209.06
3,906.28 906.58 2,999.70 65,209.35
3,906.28 866.71 3,039.57 62,169.78
3,906.28 826.31 3,079.97 59,089.81
3,906.28 785.37 3,120.91 55,968.89
3,906.28 743.89 3,162.39 52,806.50
3,906.28 701.86 3,204.42 49,602.08
3,906.28 659.27 3,247.01 46,355.07
3,906.28 616.11 3,290.17 43,064.90
3,906.28 572.38 3,333.90 39,731.00
3,906.28 528.07 3,378.21 36,352.78
3,906.28 483.17 3,423.11 32,929.67
3,906.28 437.68 3,468.61 29,461.06
3,906.28 391.57 3,514.71 25,946.35
3,906.28 344.86 3,561.43 22,384.92
3,906.28 297.52 3,608.76 18,776.16
3,906.28 249.56 3,656.73 15,119.43
3,906.28 200.96 3,705.33 11,414.11
3,906.28 151.71 3,754.58 7,659.53
3,906.28 101.80 3,804.48 3,855.05
3,906.28 51.24 3,855.05 - 0.00
562,505.03 312,505.03 250,000.00