Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
m!
C nm=
n ! ( m−n ) !
n=6
m= 6
m!
C nm=
n ! ( m−n ) !
n = 10
m= 20
20!
C 10
20 = =184756
10 ! ( 20−10 ) !
CONCLUSIÓN: Existen 184756 maneras de seleccionar las diez preguntas
que serán contestadas del examen o dicho de otra manera, el
estudiante puede seleccionar cualquiera de 184756 grupos de 10
preguntas para responder el examen.
PROBABILIDADES
1. Las probabilidades de que tres eventos A, B y C ocurran son P(A) =0.35, P (B) =0.45
y P(C) = 0.2. Suponga que ocurrió A, B o C, las probabilidades de que ocurra otro
evento X son P (X|A) = 0.8, P (X|B) =0.65 y P (X|C) = 0.3.
Encuentre P (A|X), P (B|X) y P (C|X).
P ( XA ) =P ( A )∗P ( X| A ) =0,35∗0,80=0,2800
P ( XB )=P ( A )∗P ( X| A )=0,45∗0,65=0,2925
P ( XC ) =P ( A )∗P ( X| A ) =0,20∗0,30=0,0600
P( XA) 0,2800
P ( A|X ) = = =¿0,4427
P(X ) 0,6325
P( XB) 0,2925
P ( B| X )= = =¿0,4625
P( X ) 0,6325
P(XC ) 0,0600
P( C| X )= = =¿ 0,0949
P( X) 0,6325
P(x = 8).
n!
Probabilidad de r exitos en n intentos= p r qn−r
r ! ( n−r ) !
12 !
P ( x=8 )= 0,458 0,5512−8= 0,07616=7,6%
8 ! ( 12−8 ) !
r Probabilidad P(x ≤ 4).
es
0 0,0008 P( x ≤ 4)=1−P ( x ≥ 5)
1 0,0075 ¿ 1−¿
2 0,0339 P ( x ≤ 4 )=0,3105=31,05 %
3 0,0923
4 0,17 P(x >9).
5 0,2225
6 0,2124 P( x >9)=1−P ( x ≤ 9)
7 0,1489 ¿ 1−¿
8 0,0762 P ( x> 9 )=0,0078=0,78 %
9 0,0277
10 0,00068
11 0,001 2. Encuentre la media y la desviación estándar de las
siguientes distribuciones binomiales: Posteriormente
12 0,0001
grafique la distribución de probabilidad
n = 16, p = 0.40.
n = 10, p = 0.75.
n = 22, p =0.15.
n = 350, p = 0.90.
n = 78, p =0.05
n p μ=np σ =√ npq
16 0,40 6,4 1,960
10 0,75 7,5 1,369
22 0,15 3,3 1,675
350 0,90 315,0 5,612
78 0,05 3,9 1,925
GRÁFICAS DE DISTRIBUCION DE PROBABILIDADES
n=1
6 p=0,4
0.20000
0.19833
0.18889
0.15000 0.16227
probabilida 0.14167
r
d 0.10000
0.10142
0.08395
0.05000
0.04681 0.03918
0.00000 0.01505 0.01425
0.00301
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 110.00396
120.00081
130.00012
140.00001
15
1 0,00301
2 0,01505
3 0,04681
4 0,10142
5 0,16227
6 0,19833
7 0,18889
8 0,14167
9 0,08395
10 0,03918
11 0,01425
12 0,00396
13 0,00081
14 0,00012
15 0,00001
16 0,00000
n=10 p=0,75
r probabilidad
1 2,86102E-05
2 0,000386238
3 0,003089905
4 0,016222
5 0,0583992
6 0,145998001
7 0,250282288
8 0,281567574
9 0,187711716
10 0,056313515
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDADES
N=10
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
n=22 p=0,15
probabilida
r d
0,10872048
1 5
0,20145266 DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDADES N=22
2 3
0.25
0,23700313
3 3
0.2
0,19866439
4 1 0.15
0,12621031
5 9 0.1
0,06310515
6 9 0.05
0,02545418
7 2 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
8 0,00842234
0,00231201
9 5
0,00053040
10 3
11 0,00010211
12 1,65178E-05
13 2,24223E-06
14 2,54371E-07
15 2,39408E-08
16 1,84837E-09
17 1,15123E-10
18 5,64329E-12
19 2,09658E-13
20 5,54977E-15
21 9,32735E-17
22 7,48183E-19
n=350 p=0,9 33 6,7472E-273 67 7,7435E-214 101 2,4238E-164 135 6,5834E-122
r probabilidad 34 5,6617E-271 68 2,9004E-212 102 5,3252E-163 136 9,3669E-121
1 0 35 4,6005E-269 69 1,0668E-210 103 1,154E-161 137 1,3168E-119
2 0 36 3,6229E-267 70 3,8544E-209 104 2,4666E-160 138 1,8292E-118
3 0 37 2,7671E-265 71 1,368E-207 105 5,201E-159 139 2,5109E-117
4 0 38 2,0513E-263 72 4,771E-206 106 1,0819E-157 140 3,4059E-116
5 0 39 1,4769E-261 73 1,6352E-204 107 2,2204E-156 141 4,5654E-115
6 0 40 1,0335E-259 74 5,5089E-203 108 4,4964E-155 142 6,0475E-114
7 0 41 7,0328E-258 75 1,8245E-201 109 8,9846E-154 143 7,9167E-113
8 0 42 4,6567E-256 76 5,9418E-200 110 1,7716E-152 144 1,0242E-111
9 0 43 3,0019E-254 77 1,9029E-198 111 3,4474E-151 145 1,3096E-110
10 0 44 1,8851E-252 78 5,9942E-197 112 6,6209E-150 146 1,6549E-109
11 0 45 1,1537E-250 79 1,8574E-195 113 1,255E-148 147 2,067E-108
12 0 46 6,8844E-249 80 5,6629E-194 114 2,3482E-147 148 2,5516E-107
13 0 47 4,0076E-247 81 1,6989E-192 115 4,3371E-146 149 3,1133E-106
14 0 48 2,2768E-245 82 5,0158E-191 116 7,9078E-145 150 3,7546E-105
15 0 49 1,2629E-243 83 1,4576E-189 117 1,4234E-143 151 4,4757E-104
16 3,171E-308 50 6,8426E-242 84 4,1698E-188 118 2,5295E-142 152 5,2737E-103
17 5,6071E-306 51 3,6226E-240 85 1,1744E-186 119 4,4384E-141 153 6,1423E-102
18 9,3359E-304 52 1,8747E-238 86 3,2569E-185 120 7,6895E-140 154 7,0716E-101
19 1,4682E-301 53 9,4866E-237 87 8,8947E-184 121 1,3155E-138 155 8,048E-100
20 2,1869E-299 54 4,6958E-235 88 2,3925E-182 122 2,2223E-137 156 9,054E-99
21 3,0929E-297 55 2,2745E-233 89 6,3387E-181 123 3,7074E-136 157 1,0069E-97
22 4,1627E-295 56 1,0784E-231 90 1,6544E-179 124 6,1083E-135 158 1,10695E-96
23 5,3427E-293 57 5,0058E-230 91 4,2542E-178 125 9,9394E-134 159 1,20302E-95
24 6,5515E-291 58 2,2759E-228 92 1,0779E-176 126 1,5974E-132 160 1,2925E-94
25 7,6889E-289 59 1,0138E-226 93 2,6912E-175 127 2,5357E-131 161 1,37278E-93
26 8,65E-287 60 4,425E-225 94 6,6222E-174 128 3,9759E-130 162 1,44142E-92
27 9,342E-285 61 1,8933E-223 95 1,606E-172 129 6,1581E-129 163 1,49624E-91
28 9,699E-283 62 7,9428E-222 96 3,8395E-171 130 9,4219E-128 164 1,53547E-90
29 9,6923E-281 63 3,2679E-220 97 9,0484E-170 131 1,4241E-126 165 1,55781E-89
30 9,3337E-279 64 1,3189E-218 98 2,1024E-168 132 2,1264E-125 166 1,5625E-88
31 8,6713E-277 65 5,2229E-217 99 4,8164E-167 133 3,1368E-124 167 1,5494E-87
32 7,7798E-275 66 2,0298E-215 100 1,088E-165 134 4,5718E-123 168 1,51897E-86
169 1,47223E-85 206 1,49084E-52 243 1,32868E-26 280 9,48156E-09 317 0,068233073
170 1,41074E-84 207 9,33397E-52 244 5,24395E-26 281 2,12576E-08 318 0,063727115
171 1,33649E-83 208 5,7754E-51 245 2,04193E-25 282 4,68119E-08 319 0,057534198
172 1,2518E-82 209 3,53156E-50 246 7,844E-25 283 1,01233E-07 320 0,050162629
173 1,15918E-81 210 2,13407E-49 247 2,97246E-24 284 2,14942E-07 321 0,042192865
174 1,06125E-80 211 1,27437E-48 248 1,11108E-23 285 4,47984E-07 322 0,034199807
175 9,6058E-80 212 7,52001E-48 249 4,09626E-23 286 9,1633E-07 323 0,026682202
176 8,5961E-79 213 4,3849E-47 250 1,4894E-22 287 1,83905E-06 324 0,020011652
177 7,60536E-78 214 2,52644E-46 251 5,34048E-22 288 3,62062E-06 325 0,014408389
178 6,65255E-77 215 1,43831E-45 252 1,88824E-21 289 6,99068E-06 326 0,00994444
179 5,75316E-76 216 8,09049E-45 253 6,58272E-21 290 1,32341E-05 327 0,006568805
180 4,91895E-75 217 4,49637E-44 254 2,26249E-20 291 2,45581E-05 328 0,004145557
181 4,15801E-74 218 2,46888E-43 255 7,66584E-20 292 4,46587E-05 329 0,002494894
182 3,47491E-73 219 1,33928E-42 256 2,56027E-19 293 7,95626E-05 330 0,001428894
183 2,87107E-72 220 7,17734E-42 257 8,42797E-19 294 0,000138829 331 0,000777042
184 2,34523E-71 221 3,79977E-41 258 2,73419E-18 295 0,000237185 332 0,000400223
185 1,89393E-70 222 1,98718E-40 259 8,74096E-18 296 0,000396644 333 0,000194703
186 1,51209E-69 223 1,02656E-39 260 2,7534E-17 297 0,000649054 334 8,91904E-05
187 1,1935E-68 224 5,2382E-39 261 8,54505E-17 298 0,001038922 335 3,83386E-05
188 9,3131E-68 225 2,64005E-38 262 2,61244E-16 299 0,001626139 336 1,54039E-05
189 7,18439E-67 226 1,31419E-37 263 7,86711E-16 300 0,002487993 337 5,75932E-06
190 5,47905E-66 227 6,46093E-37 264 2,33331E-15 301 0,003719591 338 1,99361E-06
191 4,1308E-65 228 3,13695E-36 265 6,81503E-15 302 0,005431588 339 6,35132E-07
192 3,07874E-64 229 1,50409E-35 266 1,95996E-14 303 0,007744046 340 1,84936E-07
193 2,26837E-63 230 7,12156E-35 267 5,54956E-14 304 0,010775432 341 4,881E-08
194 1,65217E-62 231 3,32956E-34 268 1,54684E-13 305 0,014626324 342 1,15603E-08
195 1,18956E-61 232 1,53705E-33 269 4,24373E-13 306 0,01935837 343 2,42664E-09
196 8,46654E-61 233 7,00578E-33 270 1,14581E-12 307 0,024970406 344 4,44414E-10
197 5,95666E-60 234 3,1526E-32 271 3,04421E-12 308 0,031375153 345 6,95605E-11
198 4,14259E-59 235 1,40056E-31 272 7,95749E-12 309 0,038381255 346 9,04689E-12
199 2,84777E-58 236 6,14229E-31 273 2,04621E-11 310 0,045686075 347 9,38582E-13
200 1,93506E-57 237 2,65907E-30 274 5,17527E-11 311 0,052884203 348 7,2821E-14
201 1,29967E-56 238 1,13625E-29 275 1,28723E-10 312 0,059494728 349 3,75581E-15
202 8,62798E-56 239 4,79221E-29 276 3,14812E-10 313 0,065007019 350 9,6578E-17
203 5,66132E-55 240 1,99476E-28 277 7,56912E-10 314 0,068940565
204 3,67153E-54 241 8,19423E-28 278 1,78882E-09 315 0,070910295
205 2,35336E-53 242 3,32171E-27 279 4,15467E-09 316 0,070685896
DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDADES N=350
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 16 31 46 61 76 91 106121136151166181196211226241256271286301316331346
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77