Oro-chimie

Données historiques

Période Ventes Marine Nouvelle G. Marine Ancienne G.

agrégées
1 22,113 10,242 4,971
2 19,437 10,197 5,140
3 22,595 10,510 4,985
4 19,354 10,384 4,770
5 20,129 10,781 4,848
6 22,441 10,807 4,734
7 23,252 11,873 4,379
8 21,416 12,930 4,386
9 20,736 12,072 4,334
10 19,786 11,324 3,962
11 19,689 11,386 4,103
12 19,657 11,570 3,987
13 20,384 11,458 3,726
14 20,712 11,651 3,761
15 20,655 11,670 3,485
16 23,591 11,956 3,635
17 20,297 11,720 3,277
18 20,990 12,177 3,513
19 21,234 13,094 3,040
20 22,477 14,031 3,046
21 21,440 13,376 2,864
22 20,497 12,590 2,707
23 20,231 12,398 2,833
24 20,011 12,370 2,541
25 23,389 12,554 2,685
26 20,590 12,697 2,593
27 20,443 12,628 2,615
28 20,404 12,997 2,207
29 20,570 12,878 2,492
30 20,016 12,993 1,923
31 21,797 14,417 2,280
32 22,964 15,409 2,055
33 21,360 14,327 1,833
34 20,807 13,705 1,702
35 23,152 13,764 1,488
36 20,079 13,537 1,542
37 22,818 13,840 1,378
38 21,473 14,080 1,193
39 23,030 13,890 1,240
40 21,519 13,935 1,384
41 21,605 14,290 915
42 21,623 14,570 1,053
43 22,790 15,672 1,018
44 23,387 16,687 600
45 26,716 15,535 581
46 21,966 14,915 651
47 21,439 14,746 593
 48 21,619 14,775 344

TOTAL 1,028,680 621,408 129,392

Transmission Affaires Année Ventes agrégées

4,000 2,900 1 250,605

4,100 - Proportion
4,500 2,600 2 252,519
4,200 - Proportion
4,500 - 3 255,571
4,300 2,600 Proportion
4,400 2,600 4 269,985
4,100 - Proportion
4,330 -
4,500 -
4,200 -
4,100 -
5,200 -
5,300 -
5,500 -
5,000 3,000
5,300 -
5,300 -
5,100 -
5,400 -
5,200 -
5,200 -
5,000 -
5,100 -
5,200 2,950
5,300 -
5,200 -
5,200 -
5,200 -
5,100 -
5,100 -
5,500 -
5,200 -
5,400 -
5,000 2,900
5,000 -
6,100 1,500
6,200 -
6,400 1,500
6,200 -
6,400 -
6,000 -
6,100 -
6,100 -
6,100 4,500
6,400 -
6,100 -
 6,500 -

250,830 27,050
Marine Nouvelle G. Marine Ancienne G. Transmission Affaires

134,076 54,599 51,230 10,700

54% 22% 20% 4%
148,491 38,428 62,600 3,000
59% 15% 25% 1%
161,906 25,415 62,400 5,850
63% 10% 24% 2%
176,935 10,950 74,600 7,500
66% 4% 28% 3%
Ventes agrégées

Période Ventes agrégées

Moy.mob/12
1 22113
2 19437
3 22595
4 19354
5 20129
6 22441
7 23252
8 21416
9 20736
10 19786
11 19689
12 19657
13 20384 20,883.75
14 20712 20,739.67
15 20655 20,845.92
16 23591 20,684.25
17 20297 21,037.33
18 20990 21,051.33
19 21234 20,930.42
20 22477 20,762.25
21 21440 20,850.67
22 20497 20,909.33
23 20231 20,968.58
24 20011 21,013.75
25 23389 21,043.25
26 20590 21,293.67
27 20443 21,283.50
28 20404 21,265.83
29 20570 21,000.25
30 20016 21,023.00
31 21797 20,941.83
32 22964 20,988.75
33 21360 21,029.33
34 20807 21,022.67
35 23152 21,048.50
36 20079 21,291.92
37 22818 21,297.58
38 21473 21,250.00
39 23030 21,323.58
40 21519 21,539.17
41 21605 21,632.08
42 21623 21,718.33
43 22790 21,852.25
44 23387 21,935.00
45 26716 21,970.25
46 21966 22,416.58
47 21439 22,513.17
48 21619 22,370.42
30000

25000

20000

15000 Ventes agrégées

Moy.mob/12
10000

5000

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46
 Marine Nouvelle génération

Période Marine Nouvelle Demande Tendance Coefficients Prévisions

G. désaisonnalisée Saisonnalité

J 1 10242 122904 10269.92308

F 2 10197 122364
M 3 10510 126120
A 4 10384 124608
M 5 10781 129372
J 6 10807 129684
J 7 11873 142476
A 8 12930 155160
S 9 12072 144864
O 10 11324 135888
N 11 11386 136632
D 12 11570 138840
J 13 11458 137496 10269.92308 11,173.0
F 14 11651 139812 10543.71795 11,274.3
M 15 11670 140040 10854.53846 11,395.5
A 16 11956 143472 11114.51282 11,492.2
M 17 11720 140640 11424.4359 11,623.2
J 18 12177 146124 11692.74359 11,701.4
J 19 13094 157128 11929.91026 11,815.6
A 20 14031 168372 11746.87179 11,917.3
S 21 13376 160512 11138.33333 12,009.1
O 22 12590 151080 10942.11538 12,117.8
N 23 12398 148776 11146.15385 12,223.3
D 24 12370 148440 11402.83333 12,307.6
J 25 12554 150648 11640.69231 12,374.3
F 26 12697 152364 11923.0641 12,465.6
M 27 12628 151536 12164.92308 12,552.8
A 28 12997 155964 12449.52564 12,632.6
M 29 12878 154536 12628.33333 12,719.3
J 30 12993 155916 12941.10256 12,815.8
J 31 14417 173004 13131.33333 12,883.8
A 32 15409 184908 12864.71795 12,994.1
S 33 14327 171924 12209.47436 13,108.9
O 34 13705 164460 11964.28205 13,188.2
N 35 13764 165168 12097.41026 13,281.1
D 36 13537 162444 12329.85897 13,394.9
J 37 13840 166080 12653.28205 13,492.2
F 38 14080 168960 12921.41026 13,599.3
M 39 13890 166680 13160.5641 13,714.6
A 40 13935 167220 13500.26923 13,819.8
M 41 14290 171480 13759.74359 13,897.9
J 42 14570 174840 14049.44872 14,015.6
J 43 15672 188064 14319.23077 14,147.0
A 44 16687 200244 14033.71795 14,251.6
S 45 15535 186420 13335.67949 14,358.1
O 46 14915 178980 13195.15385 14,458.8
N 47 14746 176952 13387.91026 14,559.6
D 48 14775 177300 13629.20513 14,641.4
J 49 14,744.6
F 50 14,826.8
M 51 14,901.5
A 52 15,013.9

176935 2123220
0.083333333
 Coefficients
Saisonnalité
moyen Marine
J
18000
F
M 16000
A 14000
M 12000
J
10000
J
A 8000
S 6000
O 4000
N
2000
D
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 2
 Marine Nouvelle G.
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000 Marine Nouvelle G.
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45
Marine Ancienne génération

Période Marine
Ancienne G.
1 4971
2 5140
3 4985
4 4770 Marine Ancien
5 4848
6 4734 6000
7 4379
8 4386 5000
9 4334
10 3962 4000
11 4103
3000
12 3987
13 3726 2000
14 3761
15 3485 1000
16 3635
17 3277 0
18 3513 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45
19 3040
20 3046
21 2864
22 2707
23 2833
24 2541
25 2685
26 2593
27 2615
28 2207
29 2492
30 1923
31 2280
32 2055
33 1833
34 1702
35 1488
36 1542
37 1378
38 1193
39 1240
40 1384
41 915
42 1053
43 1018
44 600
45 581
46 651
47 593
48 344
49
50
51
52
 Marine Ancienne G.

Marine Ancienne G.

17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49
Transmission

Période Transmission Moyennes

1 4000
2 4100
3
4
4500
4200
Transmi
5 4500 7000
6 4300
7 4400 6000
8 4100 5000
9 4330
10 4500 4000
11 4200
3000
12 4100
13 5200 4269 2000
14 5300 4369
15 5500 4469 1000
16 5000 4553 0
17 5300 4619
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 3
18 5300 4686
19 5100 4769
20 5400 4828
21 5200 4936
22 5200 5008
23 5000 5067
24 5100 5133
25 5200 5217
26 5300 5217
27 5200 5217
28 5200 5192
29 5200 5208
30 5100 5200
31 5100 5183
32 5500 5183
33 5200 5192
34 5400 5192
35 5000 5208
36 5000 5208
37 6100 5200
38 6200 5275
39 6400 5350
40 6200 5450
41 6400 5533
42 6000 5633
43 6100 5708
44 6100 5792
45 6100 5842
46 6400 5917
47 6100 6000
48 6500 6092
49 6217
50 6227
51 6230
52 6211
 Transmission

Transmission

9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49
Affaires

Période Affaires
1 2900
2 0 Affaires
3 2600
4 0 5000
5 0 4500
6 2600 4000
7 2600 3500
8 0 3000
9 0 2500
10 0
2000
11 0
1500
12 0
13 0 1000
14 0 500
15 0 0
16 3000 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
17 0
18 0
19 0
20 0
21 0
22 0
23 0
24 0
25 2950
26 0
27 0
28 0
29 0
30 0
31 0
32 0
33 0
34 0
35 2900
36 0
37 1500
38 0
39 1500
40 0
41 0
42 0
43 0
44 0
45 4500
46 0
47 0
48 0
49
50
51
52
aires

Affaires

31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52