Año Pob_MedellinPob_Amva Pob_AntioquiPob_Colombia

1,912 71,004 119,534 740,937 5,472,604

1,918 79,146 136,143 823,226 5,855,077 60,000,000
1,928 120,044 190,593 1,011,324 7,851,110
1,938 168,266 246,025 1,188,587 8,697,041 50,000,000
1,950 326,297 455,431 1,682,031 12,340,899
1,951 358,189 499,756 1,733,323 12,690,506 40,000,000
1,955 485,796 680,382 1,951,557 14,225,196
1,960 645,295 905,333 2,251,452 16,480,377
30,000,000
1,964 772,887 1,084,660 2,510,666 18,588,719
1,973 1,093,191 1,517,944 3,145,883 23,668,841
20,000,000
1,975 1,166,985 1,634,329 3,295,136 24,757,082
1,980 1,351,470 1,925,292 3,678,291 27,738,076
10,000,000
1,985 1,535,955 2,216,254 4,072,705 31,011,862
1,990 1,688,394 2,481,113 4,474,557 34,271,740
1,995 1,872,241 2,763,492 4,880,025 37,442,186 0
1,900 1,920 1,940 1,960 1,980 2,00
2,000 2,065,871 3,050,243 5,285,287 40,404,224
2,005 2,214,494 3,306,514 5,686,520 43,286,104
2,022 2,533,424 4,200,000 6,900,000 51,049,000
1,920 1,940 1,960 1,980 2,000 2,020 2,040
DT 20
Po 25,000 Población inicial
k 100,000 Población Máxima
r (Razón de crecim 0
T P
0 25,000
20 59,902
40 87,005
60 96,775
80 99,262
100 99,834
120 99,963 P
140 99,992
120,000
160 99,998
180 100,000 100,000
200 100,000
220 100,000 80,000
240 100,000
260 100,000 60,000
280 100,000
40,000
300 100,000
320 100,000
20,000
340 100,000
360 100,000 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
380 100,000
400 100,000
350 400 450
 1 1
2 3
T P (2^T) P (3^T)
0 1 1
1 2 3
2 4 9
3 8 27
4 16 81
5 32 243 Chart Title
6 64 729 600,000
7 128 2,187
531,441
8 256 6,561 500,000
f(x) = 295.461 x⁴ − 5552.25 x³ + 32464.5 x² − 59589.1 x
9 512 19,683 + 14281.9
400,000 R² = 0.98038126297062
10 1,024 59,049
11 2,048 177,147
300,000
12 4,096 531,441
200,000
177,147

100,000
59,049
19,683
6,561 4,096
0 1 3
2 9
4 27 81
8 243729
16 32 2,187
64 128256 2,048
512 1,024
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
t Title

531,441
52.25 x³ + 32464.5 x² − 59589.1 x
62

177,147

59,049
19,683
6,561 4,096
3729 2,187
64 128256 2,048
512 1,024
6 8 10 12 14
xo 0.03
A 1.05 0<A<4
Xn+1 = A*Xn*(1-Xn)
Xn n Xn+1 Xn+1
0 0.03 0.05
1 0.030555 0.045
2 0.031102462 0.04
3 0.031641853 0.035
4 0.032172679 0.03
5 0.032694477 0.025
6 0.033206826 0.02
7 0.033709339
0.015
8 0.034201671
0.01
9 0.034683512
0.005
10 0.035154595
0
11 0.035614687 0 50 100 150 200 250
12 0.036063595
13 0.036501162
14 0.036927269
15 0.037341828
16 0.037744787
17 0.038136124
18 0.038515848
19 0.038883996
20 0.039240632
21 0.039585845
22 0.039919747
23 0.040242468
24 0.040554163
25 0.040854999
26 0.041145161
27 0.041424849
28 0.041694272
29 0.041953653
30 0.042203221
31 0.042443215
32 0.042673878
33 0.042895459
34 0.04310821
35 0.043312387
36 0.043508245
37 0.043696042
38 0.043876033
39 0.044048473
40 0.044213615
41 0.04437171
42 0.044523004
43 0.044667742
44 0.044806161
45 0.044938498
46 0.045064981
47 0.045185834
48 0.045301279
49 0.045411526
50 0.045516786
51 0.045617258
52 0.04571314
53 0.045804621
54 0.045891886
55 0.045975112
56 0.046054471
57 0.04613013
58 0.046202248
59 0.04627098
60 0.046336475
61 0.046398877
62 0.046458322
63 0.046514944
64 0.046568869
65 0.04662022
66 0.046669114
67 0.046715663
68 0.046759975
69 0.046802154
70 0.046842298
71 0.046880502
72 0.046916856
73 0.046951448
74 0.04698436
75 0.047015672
76 0.047045458
77 0.047073792
78 0.047100743
79 0.047126376
80 0.047150755
81 0.047173939
82 0.047195986
83 0.047216952
84 0.047236887
85 0.047255841
 86 0.047273863
87 0.047290997
88 0.047307287
89 0.047322773
90 0.047337494
91 0.047351489
92 0.047364792
93 0.047377436
94 0.047389456
95 0.04740088
96 0.047411738
97 0.047422059
98 0.047431867
99 0.04744119
100 0.047450049
101 0.047458469
102 0.047466471
103 0.047474075
104 0.047481302
105 0.047488169
106 0.047494695
107 0.047500897
108 0.04750679
109 0.047512389
110 0.04751771
111 0.047522766
112 0.047527571
113 0.047532136
114 0.047536473
115 0.047540595
116 0.047544511
117 0.047548232
118 0.047551768
119 0.047555127
120 0.047558319
121 0.047561351
122 0.047564232
123 0.04756697
124 0.047569571
125 0.047572042
126 0.04757439
127 0.047576621
128 0.047578741
129 0.047580754
130 0.047582667
131 0.047584485
132 0.047586212
133 0.047587852
134 0.047589411
135 0.047590892
136 0.047592299
137 0.047593636
138 0.047594906
139 0.047596112
140 0.047597258
141 0.047598347
142 0.047599382
143 0.047600365
144 0.047601299
145 0.047602186
146 0.047603028
147 0.047603829
148 0.04760459
149 0.047605312
150 0.047605999
151 0.047606651
152 0.047607271
153 0.04760786
154 0.047608419
155 0.04760895
156 0.047609455
157 0.047609935
158 0.04761039
159 0.047610823
160 0.047611234
161 0.047611625
162 0.047611996
163 0.047612348
164 0.047612683
165 0.047613001
166 0.047613304
167 0.047613591
168 0.047613864
169 0.047614123
170 0.047614369
171 0.047614603
172 0.047614825
173 0.047615036
174 0.047615237
175 0.047615427
176 0.047615608
177 0.04761578
178 0.047615944
179 0.047616099
180 0.047616246
181 0.047616386
182 0.047616519
183 0.047616646
184 0.047616766
185 0.04761688
186 0.047616988
187 0.047617091
188 0.047617189
189 0.047617282
190 0.04761737
191 0.047617454
192 0.047617534
193 0.04761761
194 0.047617681
195 0.04761775
196 0.047617815
197 0.047617876
198 0.047617935
199 0.04761799
200 0.047618043
 Req. Agua 500 L/día * Persona
Días año 365 dias
Año Pob_MedelliReq. Agua * Req. Agua * Año
1,912 71,004 35,502,000 ### Población de Medellín
1,918 79,146 39,573,000 ### 3,000,000
1,928 120,044 60,022,000 ###
1,938 168,266 84,133,000 ### 2,500,000
1,950 326,297 163,148,325 ### 2,000,000
1,951 358,189 179,094,500 ###
1,955 485,796 242,897,950 ### 1,500,000
1,960 645,295 322,647,575 ###
1,000,000
1,964 772,887 386,443,500 ###
1,973 1,093,191 546,595,500 ### 500,000
1,975 1,166,985 583,492,500 ###
0
1,980 1,351,470 675,735,000 ### 1,900 1,920 1,940 1,960 1,980 2,000 2,020 2,040
1,985 1,535,955 767,977,500 ###
Población (Millones de personas)
1,990 1,688,394 844,197,000 ###
1,995 1,872,241 936,120,500 ###
2,000 2,065,871 ### ### Capacidad embalse Río Grande
2,005 2,214,494 ### ### 14,000,000,000
2,022 2,533,424 ### ### 12,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
Capacidad embalse Río Grande ### L
6,000,000,000
Consumo diario del embalse de 4,000,000,000
Río Grande por la población de 2,000,000,000
Medellín 0
1,900 1,920 1,940 1,960 1,980 2,000 2,020 2,040
1,266,712,000 10%
Población de Medellín (Millones de personas)
Requerimiento de Agua (Millones de L)
Capacidad del embalse

12,000,000,000 90%
n Requerimiento de agua en L/día
por persona
1,400,000,000 3,000,000
1,200,000,000 2,500,000
1,000,000,000
2,000,000
800,000,000
1,500,000
600,000,000
400,000,000 1,000,000
200,000,000 500,000
0 0
900 920 940 960 980 000 020 040
1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2,
0 2,020 2,040
Requerimiento de Agua (Millones de L)
nas) Población de Medellín (Millones de personas)

rande Capacidad del embalse y re-

querimiento anual
500,000,000,000
450,000,000,000
400,000,000,000
350,000,000,000
300,000,000,000
250,000,000,000
200,000,000,000
150,000,000,000
100,000,000,000
50,000,000,000
0
,000 2,020 2,040 1,900 1,920 1,940 1,960 1,980 2,000 2,020 2,040

e personas) Población de medelín (Millones de personas)

de L) Requerimiento anual (Millones de L)
Capacidad embalse Rio grande
n Fn Sn
1 1 1
2 1 1 Chart Title
3 2 2 2.5
4 3 1.5
5 5 1.66666667
2
6 8 1.6
7 13 1.625
8 21 1.61538462 1.5
9 34 1.61904762
10 55 1.61764706 1
11 89 1.61818182
12 144 1.61797753
13 233 1.61805556 0.5

14 377 1.61802575
15 610 1.61803714 0
0 5 10 15 20 25
16 987 1.61803279
17 1597 1.61803445
18 2584 1.61803381
19 4181 1.61803406
20 6765 1.61803396
20 25