Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
COMERCIAL Y EL ROL
D E L R E P R E S E N TA N T E
COMERCIAL
A G E N DA
CONCLUSIONES
Concepto
DIPLOMACIA COMERCIAL
C O M P E T I T I V I DA D
REDUCIR RIESGOS DE LA
INTERNACIONALIZACIÓN
F u e n t e : C o m m e r c i a l D i p l o m a c y : A c o n c e p t u a l o v e r v i e w ( 2 0 0 8 ) , O l i v e r N a r a y
R AT I O N A L
TURISMO
DIPLOMACIA COMERCIAL
ACCESO A INFORMACIÓN CONFIABLE:
Generación de oportunidades a través de inteligencia de mercados
MANEJO DE CONFLICTOS:
Facilitación en caso de disputas comerciales (p. ej. Importador no paga)
F u e n t e : C o m m e r c i a l D i p l o m a c y : A c o n c e p t u a l o v e r v i e w ( 2 0 0 8 ) , O l i v e r N a r a y
O B J E T I VO S D E D E S A R R O L L O S O S T E N I B L E ( O D S )
• E l P a c t o Ve r d e E u r o p e o e s u n o d e l o s p i l a r e s d e l a n u e v a
política económica y ambiental de la Comisión de la UE.
F u e n t e : O f i c i n a c o m e r c i a l d e C o l o m b i a a n t e l a U E , M i n . C I T
E S T R AT E G I A PA R A U N A A G R I C U LT U R A S O S T E N I B L E
• Propuesta legislativa • M e n o r e s t a r i f a s d e I VA
para evitar para frutas y verduras
comercialización de orgánicas
productos relacionados
con la deforestación
• La Comisión vigilará la
aplicación de la Directiva
sobre prácticas
• Etiquetado nutricional y comerciales desleales
sostenible que abarque • Nueva legislación que
los aspectos fortalezca la posición
nutricionales, climáticos, de los agricultores en
ambientales y sociales la cadena de
suministro
F u e n t e : O f i c i n a c o m e r c i a l d e C o l o m b i a a n t e l a U E , M i n . C I T
Global Investment
Trends
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Types of FDI
• The OECD states that “FDI involves the acquisition of a lasting interest and effective voice in the management of an
enterprise in a host country” and that; “This is generally considered to be achieved with more than 10% ownership of
the foreign enterprise.”
• International businesses are engaged in many types of FDI and often consider multiple types at the same time when
considering how to enter a new market. There are two main groups of FDI listed below:
2,032 2,065
+65.3%
1,647 1,650
1,530
1,436
998
34 67 50 37 58 24 29
0 +18%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
SOURCE: World Investment Report 2021 and Investment Trends Monitor, January 2022 by UNCTAD
(preliminary data)
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Global FDI inflows in Latin America and the Caribbean showed no growth in 2021
38
Asia-pacific
54
23
North America
18
19
Europe
9
Latin America and the
9 Caribbean accounted for 9%
Latin America and the Caribbean of global FDI inflows in 2021
9
5
Middle East
6
2021
6 2020
Africa
4
Communications 71 +18%
Semiconductors 59 +274%
Chemicals 21 -39%
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets (Excludes Retail projects). Data does not include all FDI projects but includes most major investments.
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Communications 86 +21%
Electronic components 70 0%
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets (Excludes Retail projects). Data does not include all FDI projects but includes most major investments.
Latin America and the
Caribbean Regional
FDI Trends
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Colombia ranks 5th in Latin America and the Caribbean for regional market share of
FDI capital expenditure
FDI Capex by country
2020-2021, % regional market share
31
Brazil 36
25
Mexico 30
Chile 10
8
4
Argentina 7
Colombia 7
6
3
Peru 3
Costa Rica 3
3
0
Paraguay 2
Dominican Republic 5
1
Panama 1 2020
1
2021
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets data on the capital investment of greenfield FDI projects. Includes estimates. Includes announced projects.
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets data on the direct job creation of greenfield FDI projects. Includes estimates. Includes announced projects. .
Colombia FDI Trends
What's driving FDI and What
are the Implications?
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Climate Change is the Remote working is the Industry 4.0 is the biggest Offshoring/Near-shoring
biggest trend according to biggest trend for 22% of trend for 19% of is the biggest trend for
half of executives executives executives 10% of executives
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
SOURCE: 1fDi Markets from the Financial Times Limited ; 2 Wavteq Webinar Pool, https://www.wavteq.com/publications/webinars-events/#outerdiv-9591
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
An uncertain future: the war in Ukraine will have a large impact on FDI
Positive impact Negative impact
Implications
Oil and gas prices are spiking, causing a rise in inflation and increasing the cost of
1
manufacturing FDI globally
FDI is expected to increase sharply in minerals and agribusiness as companies
2
diversify away from Russia
3 Agriculture and food security will be highly impacted as Russia and Ukraine are key
global suppliers spurring new investment
4 Sanctions will impact multinationals bottom lines and uncertainty and lower world
GDP growth may reduce FDI
Flight bans will impact the tourism sector in countries that attract tourists from
5
Russia and Ukraine
The war and huge of growth of defence spending in Europe will stimulate large
6
expansion of defence investment globally
7 Further acceleration of energy transition away from fossil fuels with huge
investment expected in countries that were dependent on Russian oil
SOURCE: Wavteq
Why do Companies
Invest Overseas?
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Simplistic Model of Corporate Location Decision Making
Make Money
Save Money
Source: Wavteq
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Strategic Model of Corporate Location Decision Making
Source: Wavteq
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Academic Model of Corporate Location Decision Making
When looking at why companies select a specific location for an FDI project, classical FDI theory
demonstrates that this due to 4 fundamental motives driving the location of FDI: (1) Market seeking – need to
invest to serve locally domestic and regional markets; (2) Resource seeking – need to invest locally to access
natural
Marketresources; (3) Efficiency
Seeking Motives seeking
Resource – need
Seeking to investEfficiency
Motives to save costs e.g.Motives
Seeking low cost workforce or lowmotives
Asset seeking energy
costs; and (4) Asset seeking – need to invest to access local assets e.g. R&D or talent pools.
e.g. China e.g. South America e.g. Central America e.g. Europe/US
Many FDI decisions are based on a combination of different strategies e.g. to lower costs and access new markets
Source: Wavteq
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
OECD Evidence on FDI Location Decision Making
3. Physical, financial and technological infrastructure: the quality and availability of backbone services are
key elements of a sound investment climate and are key considerations to attract MNEs.
4. Openness to international trade and investment: an open economy to international trade and investment
provides investors with more business opportunities and will influence their decision-making accordingly.
5. The policy and institutional framework: a fair, transparent and predictable regulatory and administrative
w v s w s s s M Es’ s s l v s s
potential reinvestments or expansions.
SOURCE: Wavteq
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Different Sectors Have Different Location Determinants
Decision stage Location criteria
3. “Knowledge Based Services” • Appropriate skills availability + open immigration + talent attraction policies
o IT services & Software • Rapid market access
o HQ functions • Propensity to cluster in IT & Software, HQ and R&D
o R&D • Low operative costs major driver for some functions
o Financial and business services • Access to advanced technologies & University research for R&D
o Telecoms services • High quality facilities in prestige location for HQ functions
o Publishing • Wide variety of countries, but concentration within countries
SOURCE: Wavteq
Location Determinant
Evidence
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Location determinants for Global vs Latin America and the Caribbean greenfield
FDI in 2021
Location motives: percentage of companies citing factor (2021)
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets from the Financial Times Limited. Sample size: 331 motives recorded from 197 greenfield FDI projects in 2021
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
60000
(2015-2017 average)
50000
40000
30000 o The size of, and accessibility to, the national and
regional market is likely to be a key location
20000 determinant for many sectors.
o IPAs should provide up-to-date data on the size of
10000 the national and regional market in each key
target sector and, ideally, forecasts.
0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
GDP PPP (2017) US$ billion
The WAVTEQ Country FDI Determinants Model shows that 63.8% of variation in the volume of FDI jobs a
country attracts is determined by the Population of the country (this is shown in the statistical correlation
R² value in the graph below).
250000
y = 0.0001x + 12453
200000 R² = 0.638
(2015-2017 average)
FDI jobs created
150000
Biotechnology 45.2
Pharmaceuticals 36.2
Communications 32.5
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets from the Financial Times. Data includes 6,523 FDI projects globally with FDI motives cited
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Percentage of companies citing Technology and Innovation as a location motive for FDI (2019-21)
B s ss s &… 16.0
Communications 14.5
Pharmaceuticals 13.1
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets from the Financial Times. Data includes 6,523 FDI projects globally with FDI motives cited
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
Percentage of companies citing Presence of Industry as a location motive for FDI (2019-21)
Biotechnology 47.9
Semiconductors 32.4
Pharmaceuticals 20.8
Aerospace 20.3
Communications 17.2
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets from the Financial Times. Data includes 6,523 FDI projects globally with FDI motives cited
Colombia Location
Determinants
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
27
Regional market access 14 +92%
27
Regulations and business climate 21 +27%
23
Research & innovation 14 +59%
18
Language Skills 21 -15%
14
Domestic market access 21 -36%
9
Industry cluster 14 -37%
9 -37%
Quality of life 14
SOURCE: Wavteq based on fDi Markets from the Financial Times. 2021 2020
COURSE 1 – INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT PROMOTION
• US-based CSS Corp, an IT services and technology support company, has opened a new delivery centre in
Barranquilla, Colombia which will initially employ 150 people but with plans to increase up to 500 by 2023
• The new operation will serve global markets on behalf of Ingenico, a merchant acquirer and payments
processor owned by Worldline Brand