Población determinada

EDAD POBLACIÓN
15- 20 3,350,538.00
21 - 26 3,218,400.00
27 - 32 3,200,150.00
33 - 38 3,152,675.00
39 - 44 2,000,661.00
45 - 50 1,900,750.00
51 - 56 1,857,300.00
57 - 62 1,798,726.00
TOTAL 20,479,200.00

DEMANDA
AÑO OFERTA DEMANDA
INSATISFECHA
2019 2,140,815.84
2020 2,154,767.72
2021 2,237,829.91
2022 2,241,136.00
2023 2,279,444.72
2024 2,155,073.56 91,425,983.12 89,270,909.56
2025 2,191,436.01 100,568,581.43 98,377,145.42
2026 2,227,798.46 110,625,439.57 108,397,641.11
2027 2,264,160.91 121,687,983.53 119,423,822.62
2028 2,300,523.37 133,856,781.88 131,556,258.52
2029 2,336,885.82 147,242,460.07 144,905,574.25

cobertura

TAMAÑO MAXIMO DE PLANTA

72,452,787.13 kg
COBERTURA 50%

1 5,599,893.00 6,000,000.00
2 5,636,388.00 f(x) = 95116.4 x + 5497603.6
3 5,853,660.00 5,900,000.00
4 5,862,308.00
5 5,962,515.00 5,800,000.00
44,635,454.78 6 5,637,188.00
49,188,572.71 7 5,732,304.00 5,700,000.00
54,198,820.56 8 5,827,420.00
59,711,911.31 9 5,922,536.00 5,600,000.00

65,778,129.26 10 6,017,652.00
5,500,000.00
72,452,787.13 11 6,112,768.00

5,400,000.00
0.5 y = 95116X + 5066492 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
 Tamaño de nuestra muestra

N 20,479,200.00 AÑO POBLACIÓN

Z 1.96 2018 20,479,200.00
p 0.5 2019 22,527,120.00
q 0.5 2020 24,779,832.00
e 0.05 2021 27,257,815.20
2022 29,983,596.72
n= 384.15281261027 2023 32,981,956.39
2024 36,280,152.03
2025 39,908,167.23
2026 43,898,983.96
2027 48,288,882.35
2028 53,117,770.59
2029 58,429,547.65

tasa (crecimiento)= tasa de natalidad - tasa de mortalidad 17.62% - 7.6%

tasa de crecimiento 1.1

.00 consumo
f(x) = 95116.4 x + 5497603.6
.00 0.21 kg/persona al mes

.00 2.52 kg/persona al año

.00

.00

.00

.00
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5
ersona al mes

ersona al año