Análisis de sensibilidad.

Tabla Tipo I

Var. % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

INGRESOS 180,000.00 186,600.00 193,602.00 201,023.94 208,884.72

5% Facturación 150,000.00 157,500.00 165,375.00 173,643.75 182,325.94
Atípicos 30,000.00 29,100.00 28,227.00 27,380.19 26,558.78

GASTOS -135,000.00 -144,950.00 -155,773.50 -167,553.46 -180,380.95

Personal -80,000.00 -88,000.00 -96,800.00 -106,480.00 -117,128.00
Armotización -40,000.00 -41,200.00 -42,436.00 -43,709.08 -45,020.35
Alquileres -15,000.00 -15,750.00 -16,537.50 -17,364.38 -18,232.59

BENEFICIO 45,000.00 41,650.00 37,828.50 33,470.49 28,503.78

ISS 15,750.00 14,577.50 13,239.98 11,714.67 9,976.32

BDI 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Dividendos 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Flujo de Caja -100,000.00 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

TIR VAN
0% -16.94% Bs. F -37,193.00
1% -9.78% Bs. F -29,381.38
2% -4.41% Bs. F -21,417.39
3% 0.03% Bs. F -13,298.81
4% 3.89% Bs. F -5,023.37
5% 7.35% Bs. F 3,411.20
6% 10.50% Bs. F 12,007.19
7% 13.41% Bs. F 20,766.91
8% 16.13% Bs. F 29,692.67
9% 18.70% Bs. F 38,786.84
12% 25.68% Bs. F 67,103.40
 Análisis de sensibilidad. Tabla Tipo II

Var. % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

INGRESOS 180,000.00 186,600.00 193,602.00 201,023.94 208,884.72

5% Facturación 150,000.00 157,500.00 165,375.00 173,643.75 182,325.94
Atípicos 30,000.00 29,100.00 28,227.00 27,380.19 26,558.78

GASTOS -135,000.00 -144,950.00 -155,773.50 -167,553.46 -180,380.95

10% Personal -80,000.00 -88,000.00 -96,800.00 -106,480.00 -117,128.00
Armotización -40,000.00 -41,200.00 -42,436.00 -43,709.08 -45,020.35
Alquileres -15,000.00 -15,750.00 -16,537.50 -17,364.38 -18,232.59

BENEFICIO 45,000.00 41,650.00 37,828.50 33,470.49 28,503.78

ISS 15,750.00 14,577.50 13,239.98 11,714.67 9,976.32

BDI 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Dividendos 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Flujo de Caja -100,000.00 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

TIR -3% 0% 4% 6%
0% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
1% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
2% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
3% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
4% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
5% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
6% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
7% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
8% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
9% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%
10% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26% 13.26%

16%
14%
12%
10%
-3%
8%
0%
6% 4%
6%
4%
10%
2%
0%
10%
-3%
8%
0%
6% 4%
6%
4%
10%
2%
0%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
-2%
-4%
 10% VAN
-16.94% Bs. F -37,193.00
-9.78% Bs. F -29,381.38
-4.41% Bs. F -21,417.39
0.03% Bs. F -13,298.81
3.89% Bs. F -5,023.37
7.35% Bs. F 3,411.20
10.50% Bs. F 12,007.19
13.41% Bs. F 20,766.91
16.13% Bs. F 29,692.67
18.70% Bs. F 38,786.84
21.13% Bs. F 67,103.40

-3%
0%
4%
6%
10%
 -3%
0%
4%
6%
10%

10%
 34.1120292715283 687.93671113 687.93671113
Resumen de escenario 687.936709221 687.936709221
34.1120292715283 Valores actuales: Optimista Medio Pesimista
Celdas cambiantes: 687.93670922 687.93670922
34.1120292715283 $A$7 5% 10% 5% 2%
34.1120292715283 $A$8 -3% 2% -3% -4%
34.1120292715283 $A$11 10% 5% 10% 12%
34.1120292715283 $A$12 3% 4% 3% 2%
34.1120292715283 $A$13 5% 6% 5% 8%
Celdas de resultado: 687.93670922 687.93670922
34.1120292715283 $D$25 3,411.20 68,793.67 3,411.20 -32,041.46
34.1120292715283 $D$26 7.35% 26.08% 7.35% -12.08%
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de687.93670922 687.93670922
en el momento en que se creó el Informe resumen de escenario687.93670922 687.93670922
cada escenario se muestran en gris. 687.93670922 687.93670922
 Resumen de escenario Optimista Medio Pesimista

Celdas cambiantes:
Facturación 10% 5% 2%
Atípicos 2% -3% -4%
Personal 5% 10% 12%
Amortización 4% 3% 2%
Alquileres 6% 5% 8%
Celdas de resultado:
VAN(6%) 68,793.67 3,411.20 -32,041.46
TIR 26.08% 7.35% -12.08%

Escenario Multi Hipotesis

VAN(6%)

68,793.67

3,411.20

-32,041.46

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 Análisis de sensibilidad. Tabla Tipo II

Var. % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

INGRESOS 180,000.00 186,600.00 193,602.00 201,023.94 208,884.72

5% Facturación 150,000.00 157,500.00 165,375.00 173,643.75 182,325.94
-3% Atípicos 30,000.00 29,100.00 28,227.00 27,380.19 26,558.78

GASTOS -135,000.00 -144,950.00 -155,773.50 -167,553.46 -180,380.95

10% Personal -80,000.00 -88,000.00 -96,800.00 -106,480.00 -117,128.00
3% Armotización -40,000.00 -41,200.00 -42,436.00 -43,709.08 -45,020.35
5% Alquileres -15,000.00 -15,750.00 -16,537.50 -17,364.38 -18,232.59

BENEFICIO 45,000.00 41,650.00 37,828.50 33,470.49 28,503.78

ISS 15,750.00 14,577.50 13,239.98 11,714.67 9,976.32

BDI 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Dividendos 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

Flujo de Caja -100,000.00 29,250.00 27,072.50 24,588.53 21,755.82 18,527.45

VAN (6%) 3,411.20

TIR 7.35%

Facturación Atípicos Personal AmortizaciónAlquileres

Escenario Optimista 10% 2% 5% 4% 6%
Escenario Medio 5% -3% 10% 3% 5%
Escenario Pesimista 2% -4% 12% 2% 8%