Datos INEGI

AÑO Número de habitantes en Aguililla Hombres Mujeres

2020 14,754 7335 7419.00

2010 16,214 8174 8040.00
2005 16,159 8012 8147.00
2000 19,645 9776 9869.00
1995 20,640 10345 10295.00
1990 17,424 8537 8887.00
1980 23,171 11612 11559.00

N= 7
Variables y Sumatorias para uso de ecuaciones de proye
t P
t2 P2 tP Ln P
(año) (habitantes)
1980 23,171 3920400 536,895,241 45878580 10.05
1990 17,424 3960100 303,595,776 34673760 9.77
1995 20,640 3980025 426,009,600 41176800 9.93
2000 19,645 4000000 385,926,025 39290000 9.89
2005 16,159 4020025 261,113,281 32398795 9.69
2010 16,214 4040100 262,893,796 32590140 9.69
2020 14,754 4080400 217,680,516 29803080 9.60
SUMA 14000 128,007 28001050 2394114235 255811155 68.62

AJUSTE LINEAL

404658.142857

-193.18571429

-0.85755077

AJUSTE LOGARÍTMICO

2955857.9425
-386477.59139

-0.857814
 14754.00
16214.00
16159.00
19645.00
20640.00
17424.00
23171.00

para uso de ecuaciones de proyecciones de población

Ln t Ln t2 Ln P2 Lnt LnP Lnt (P) Ln P (t)

7.59 57.62 101.02 76.29 175887.63 19900.30

7.60 57.70 95.37 74.18 132350.79 19433.55
7.60 57.74 98.70 75.49 156830.96 19820.30
7.60 57.77 97.72 75.14 149319.73 19771.16
7.60 57.81 93.90 73.68 122863.33 19428.92
7.61 57.85 93.97 73.73 123321.90 19484.20
7.61 57.93 92.15 73.06 112290.52 19390.52
53.21 404.41 672.82 521.566829154431 972864.86 137228.943308

AJUSTE EXPONENCIAL

21530000290943.00

-0.0104

1.00

AJUSTE POTENCIAL

1.75E+73
-20.90

-0.8652217
 Coeficiente
Tipo de ajuste Coeficiente A Fctor r
B
LINEAL 404658.142857143 -193.185714 -0.85755077
EXPONENCIAL 21530000290943.00 -0.0104 1.00
LOGARITMICO 2955857.9425 -386477.591 -0.857814
POTENCIAL 1.75E+73 -20.90 -0.8652217

0
0
-0.0104488087005178 0
0
0
0
1975 1985 1995 2005 201
 Ecuación de Ajuste Año Población Ajuste lineal

P=404658.14 - 193.19 (t) 1980 23,171 22141.94

P = 21530000290943e-0.0104(t) 1990 17,424 20210.04
P = 2955857.9425 -386477.59 Ln(t) 1995 20,640 19244.09
P = 1.75X1073 * t -20.9 2000 19,645 18278.14
2005 16,159 17312.19
2010 16,214 16346.24
2020 14,754 14414.34
2030 12482.44
2040 10550.54

24000

22000

20000

18000 LÍNEAL
HISTORICA
EXPONENCIAL
LOGARITMICA
16000
POTENCIAL

14000

12000

10000
 14000

12000

10000
1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045
 Ajuste Ajuste Ajuste
exponencial logarítmico potencial
22288.52 22163.69713 22303.44
20077.18 20216.702627 20074.67
19055.20 19246.871274 19049.02
18085.23 18279.467536 18078.15
17164.64 17314.479291 17159.00
16290.92 16351.894506 16288.70
14674.62 14433.887635 14683.97
13218.69 12525.352441 13244.12
11907.20 10626.195836 11951.52

1,872 m3 DIARIOS
58,043 m3 MENSUAL
683,414 m3 ANUAL