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GUÍA NO. 3
RIESGO, RENDIMIENTO Y FINANCIAMIENTO
AUTORES
OSCAR ORLANDO CESPEDES GRAU
NANCY CHAPARRO SANCHEZ
CESAR AUGUSTO RODRÍGUEZ RIVERA
YURI ANDREA TORRES RAMIREZ
TUTOR
LIDA NEIDU MURILLO MORENO
El desarrollo de la Guía No. 3 – Riesgo, Rendimeitno y finaciamiento de la unidad de estudio gestión financiera
tiene como propósito entender la relación riesgo - rendimiento, el modelo Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), el
modelo para valorar acciones, el flujo efectivo y el presupuesto de capital.
En el desarrollo de la guía se deben plasmar como producto un video en inglés – con audio - exponiendo sobre la
temática de calificación y valoración de bonos corporativos (corporate bond rating).; además cada uno de los
integrantes del grupo debe presentar un Excel formulado de los ejercicios del Study Plan.
ABSTRACT
The development of Guide No. 3 - Risk, Rendimeitno and financing of the financial management study unit is
intended to understand the risk - return relationship, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), the model for
valuing shares, the flow cash and the capital budget.
In the development of the guide, a video in English - with audio - must be expressed as a product, explaining the
subject matter of rating and rating corporate bonds (corporate bond rating); In addition, each member of the group
must present an Excel formulated from the exercises of the Study Plan.
CONTENIDO
Pág.
1. INTRODUCCIÓN 5
2. RIESGO, RENDIMIENTO Y FINANCIAMIENTO
2.1. Video en inglés – con audio - exponiendo sobre la temática de calificación y valoración de
6
bonos corporativos (corporate bond rating).
2.2. Actividad individual. Desarrollo de los ejercicios del Study Plan (MyFinanceLab) 7
2.2.1. Oscar Orlando Céspedes Grau 7
2.2.2. Nancy Chaparro Sánchez 8
2.2.3. Cesar Augusto Rodríguez Rivera 9
2.2.4. Yuri Andrea Torres Ramírez 10
BIBLIOGRAFÍA 11
1. INTRODUCCIÓN
La gestión financiera, con el pasar de los años, ha dejado de ser una disciplina exlusiva para grandes inversionistas
y empresas y se ha convertido en un instrumento fundamental para que tanto personas como empresas -de estas
últimas sin importar su tamaño- puedan hacer un diagnóstico y/o proyección de sus ingresos y/o egresos. Aprender
a interpretar indicadores de liquidez y estados financieros de las diferentes compañías permite tomar mejores
decisiones tanto de inversión como de gestión empresarial, logrando así mejores resultados para todos los
“stakeholders” de la empresa. De igual forma, para el emprendedor es también una necesidad tanto para conocer la
viabilidad de su emprendimiento como para conocer sus necesidades de financiación y en efecto conseguirla.
En la presente guía lograremos comprender las características del riesgo y el rendimiento de un portafolio de
inversión. Así como explicar la relación entre las decisiones financieras, de riesgo, rendimiento y valor de la
empresa. Para finalmente comprender cómo se calcula el valor presente neto (VPN) y la tasa interna de retorno
(TIR) para elegir proyectos de inversión y financiación.
2. RIESGO, RENDIMIENTO Y FINANCIAMIENTO
2.1. Video en inglés – con audio - exponiendo sobre la temática de calificación y valoración de bonos corporativos (corporate bond rating).
a. La calificación de bonos corporativos (corporate bond rating) que incluya – mínimo– las escalas de riesgos que se manejan, los efectos de las
“calificaciones de bonos” sobre los inversionistas, las ventajas y desventajas que para las compañías emisoras tienen estos procesos.
b. Los procesos financieros para la valoración o valuación de Bonos. Este punto debe ser evidenciado mediante 2 ejemplos prácticos de valoración
de bonos.
Stock Portfolio weight
Alpha 14%
Centauri 9%
Zen 20%
Wren 9%
Yukos 48%
0.14
0.09
0.33
0.11
0.87
1.54
Number of securities Portfolio risk
1 18.20%
2 16.50%
3 14.90%
4 13.30%
5 12.30%
6 11.50%
7 10.70%
8 10.10%
9 9.30%
10 8.60%
11 7.70%
12 7.10%
13 6.50%
14 6.00%
15 5.70%
16 5.50%
17 5.30%
18 5.25%
19 5.20%
20 5.15%
Annual return
Year Market portfolio Asset A
2006 16% 28%
2007 13% 22%
2008 7% 14%
2009 14% 18%
2010 12% 20%
2011 -5% -2%
2012 -9% 2%
2013 -12% -8%
2014 4% 9%
2015 8% 13%
Increased 19%
Decreased 6%
Beta 1.6
Asset Beta
A -0.6 -9.0%
B 1.8 27.0%
C 0.5 7.5%
D 1.6 24.0%
Portfolio weights
Asset Asset beta Portfolio A
1 1.92 20%
2 0.35 30%
3 1.71 10%
4 1.11 15%
5 0.44 25%
Totals 100%
beta 1.39 11.66%
rate 5.4% 15.55%
Market 9.9%
Rises 12.7%
Risk 7.0%
Market 15.0% 15.80%
Beta 1.1
currently 6.0%
Stock 16.0% 0.6000
return 12.0%
a 1.97 3.0%
b 13.382% 1.42
c 14.098% 1.21
d 19.282% 5.0%
Invested $ 100,000
Retrun 11%
Averaged 4%
Beta at
Asset Cost
purchase
A $ 24,000 0.72
B $ 36,000 0.94
C $ 30,000 1.46
D $ 10,000 1.27
Currently 6.00%
Currently 13.00%
Beta 0.40
Beta 1.50
Currently 6%
market return 11% 16%
Beta 0.64
Declined 2%
Lowering 4% 9%
rise 2% 13%
a 9.20%
b 7.20%
c 10.48%
Risk(standard
Asset Expected return, r deviation), sigma
Subscript rσr
V 11% 9%
W 15% 15%
purchased 5000
shares 24.5
sold them 29.25
pesos was 14.21
exchange 14.79
pesos per 1
a 19.39%
b 1.724
c 1.978 14.71%
Beta
1.02
0.95
1.63
1.27
1.81
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
ual return
Asset B
19%
15%
16%
9%
13%
-5%
0%
-2%
6%
10%
6.0%
-18.0%
-5.0%
-16.0%
Portfolio weights
Portfolio B
25% 0.38 0.48 0.26
5% 0.11 0.02 0.12
35% 0.17 0.60 0.10
15% 0.17 0.17 0.14
20% 0.11 0.09 0.38
100% 0.9365 1.3505 0.9950
7.0% 10.88%
12.0% 8.71%
8.0% 13.04%
12.4% 1.93
Yearly income Value today $ 2,675
###
precio ayer ganancias x accion p/e de hoy
20.3 7.6 9.081578947
0.3 3.4
20.6 2.235294118
p/e de ayer
9.215789474
2. FUNDAMENTOS DE FINANZAS
2. Additional Problem 2
Tax calculation
Range of taxable income Base tax + (Marginal rate X amount over basebracket)
$ - $ 50,000 $0 + 15% x amount over $ -
$ 50,000 $ 75,000 $ 7,500 + 25% x amount over $ 50,000
$ 75,000 $ 100,000 $ 13,750 + 34% x amount over $ 75,000
$ 100,000 $ 335,000 $ 22,250 + 39% x amount over $ 100,000
$ 335,000 $ 10,000,000 $ 113,900 + 34% x amount over $ 335,000
$ 10,000,000 $ 15,000,000 $ 3,400,000 + 35% x amount over $ 10,000,000
$ 15,000,000 $ 18,333,333 $ 5,150,000 + 38% x amount over $ 15,000,000
$ 18,333,333 Over $ 6,416,667 + 35% x amount over $ 18,333,333
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 6,715
$9.600 are
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 65,672
$9.600 are
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 331,320
$9.600 are
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 1,188,000
$9.600 are
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 6,402,000
$9.600 are
Theafter-tax earnings on
$ 12,805,000
$9.600 are
4. Additional Problem 4
Tax calculation
Range of taxable income Base tax + (Marginal rate X amount over basebracket)
$ - $ 9,525 $ - + 10% x amount over $ -
$ 9,525 $ 38,700 $ 953 + 12% x amount over $ 9,525
$ 38,700 $ 82,500 $ 4,454 + 22% x amount over $ 38,700
$ 82,500 $ 157,500 $ 14,090 + 24% x amount over $ 82,500
$ 157,500 $ 200,000 $ 32,090 + 32% x amount over $ 157,500
$ 200,000 $ 500,000 $ 45,690 + 35% x amount over $ 200,000
$ 500,000 Over $ 150,690 + 37% x amount over $ 500,000
5. Additional Problem 5
Interest Income
Before-tax amount $ 28,000
Less: Applicable exclusion $ -
Taxable amount $ 28,000
Tax (21%) $ 5,880
After-tax amount $ 22,120
Dividend Income
Before-tax amount $ 28,000
Less: Applicable exclusion $ 14,000
Taxable amount $ 14,000
Tax (21%) $ 2,940
After-tax amount $ 25,060
The after-tax amount of dividends received, $ 23 comma 270, exceeds the after-tax amount of interest, $ 20 comma 540, due to
the 50
Since % corporate
theafter-tax dividend
amount exclusion.
of dividends exceeds theafter-tax amount ofinterest, this increases the attractiveness of stock investments
by one corporation in another relative to bond investments.
The total tax liability for the
$ 112,770
year is
6. Additional Problem 6
EBIT $ 50,000
Less: Interest expense $ 11,900
Earnings before taxes $ 38,100
Less: Taxes (35%) $ 15,240
Earnings after taxes $ 22,860
Less: Preferred dividends $ -
Earnings available for common
$ 22,860
stockholders
EBIT $ 50,000
Less: Interest expense $ -
Earnings before taxes $ 50,000
Less: Taxes (35%) $ 20,000
Earnings after taxes $ 30,000
Less: Preferred dividends $ 11,900
Earnings available for common
$ 18,100
stockholders
7. Additional Problem 7
The sale price for asset X is $ 2,330
The purchase price for asset X
$ 1,890
was
The capital gain realized on
$ 440
asset X is
8. Additional Problem 8
B. One disadvantage to going public is that going publicly leaves the owner open to the potential that an individual or firm might
purchase all the publicly available shares, or at least enough to control the board of directors, and remove the founder from the
management team.
C. One disadvantage to going public is that there is no guarantee that shareholders will want to invest in one's firm. If they avoid its
shares, it will be priced below expected value.
D. One disadvantage to going public is that there may be low trading volume for thecompany's shares.
B. Not enough information is provided to determine whetherRobo-Tech meets the listing requirements to be on the NYSE Euronext.
That would be the goal because it is the largest and have the largest number of potential investors.
B. If the market is efficient, the firm will have an increased number of potential investors and this will help Robo-Tech sell shares
now and in thefuture, as it continues to need funds to finance expansions.
C. If the market isefficient, the more confidence investors will have in thefirm's market price.
D. If the market isefficient, prices are an unbiased estimate of firm value.
camera R camera S
RANGE FOR RATE OF RETURN 14.00% 17.00%
AVERAGE RETURN 27.36% 25.35%
MARKET PROBABILITY ANNUAL RATE OF
ACCEPTANCE RETURN
Very poor 0.08 0.012 The expected return for the line is
Poor 0.24 0.045
Average 0.41 0.087
Good 0.18 0.149
Excellent 0.09 0.216
STANDARD
EXPECTED
ALTERNATIVE DEVIATION OF
RETURN
RETURN
A 20% 7.30% coefficient of variation
B 25% 8.80%
C 18% 6.20%
D 14% 4.60%
PROJECT EXPECTED RANGE STANDARD
RETURN DEVIATION
A 12.90% 5.90% 2.90%
B 12.60% 5.50% 2.70%
C 13.30% 4.50% 3.10%
D 13.20% 6.10% 2.80%
A B C D
coefficient of va 0.225 0.214 0.233 0.212
STOCK PRICE
YEAR BEGINNING END
2012 $ 14.63 $ 22.24
2013 $ 22.24 $ 64.09
2014 $ 64.09 $ 71.07
2015 $ 71.07 $ 91.95
8.3Discuss the measurement of return and standard deviation for a portfolio and the c
Additional Problem 1
R 2015 16.00%
R 2016 17.20%
expected R 2017 17.60%
portfolio
return R 2018 18.00%
R 2019 17.60%
R 2020 18.00%
1 2 3
expected return 19.50% 18.50% 18.50%
standard deviat 1.21% 0.00% 1.21%
coefficient of va 0.062 0.000 0.065
2.3 Describe the differences between the capital markets and the money markets
Warm-Up 2-3 (static)
2.4 Explain the root causes of the 2008 financial crisis and recession.
Warm-Up 2-4 (static)
2.5 Understand the major regulations and regulatory bodies that affect financial instit
Warm-Up 2-5 (static)
single asset.
3.17%
0.86
0.70
A B
13.00% 15.00%
20.25% 20.25%
return for the line is 9.37%
A B C D
27.25%
10.18%
0.374
a portfolio and the concept of correlation.
CTED RETURN
STOK M
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
Alternative Investment
100% of asset
1F
50% of asset F
2 and50% of
asset G
50% of asset F
3 and50% of
asset H
affect financial institutions and markets.
BIBLIOGRAFÍA
Gitman, Z. (s.f.). Principios de Administración Financiera. Decimocuarta edición. Mexico: Pearson Education.