ESTIMACION DE LA OFERTA DE PALTA

PERIODOS 2016 2017

Descripcion Uva Palta Uva Palta
US$ Millones 17,000,000.00 9,000,000.00 18,000,000.00 5,000,000.00
Precio por Kg 2.25 2.04 2.40 2.38
En Kg 7,555,555.56 4,411,764.71 7,500,000.00 2,100,840.34
En TN 7,555.56 4,411.76 7,500.00 2,100.84

DEMANDA INSATISFECHA
PERIODOS 2016 2017 2018
Descripcion Uva Palta Uva Palta Uva
Demanda 25,287.00 12,579.00 29,577.00 15,962.00 37,405.00
Oferta 7,555.56 4,411.76 7,500.00 2,100.84 10,548.52
Demanda
insatisfecha 17,731.44 8,167.24 22,077.00 13,861.16 26,856.48

% Demanda 70.12% 64.93% 74.64% 86.84% 71.80%

insatisfecha

2016 2017 2018

Palta Uva Palta Uva Palta
Demanda 12,579.00 25,287.00 15,862.00 29,577.00 20,085.00
Oferta 7,851.24 4,583.33
Demanda
insatisfecha 4,727.76 20,703.67 15,862.00 29,577.00 20,085.00

https://cdn.www.gob.pe/uploads/document/file/410220/Reporte_de_Comercio_-_Reporte_Comercio_Regional_-_RCR_-
TIMACION DE LA OFERTA DE PALTA Y UVA
2018 2019 2020
Uva Palta Uva Palta Uva Palta
25,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 18,000,000.00 17,000,000.00 19,000,000.00 11,000,000.00
2.37 2.40 2.25 2.90 2.53 1.87
10,548,523.21 6,250,000.00 8,000,000.00 5,862,068.97 7,509,881.42 5,882,352.94
10,548.52 6,250.00 8,000.00 5,862.07 7,509.88 5,882.35

A INSATISFECHA
2018 2019 2020
Palta Uva Palta Uva Palta
20,085.00 33,400.00 22,731.00 36,847.51 27,215.44
6,250.00 8,000.00 5,862.07 7,509.88 5,882.35

13,835.00 25,400.00 16,868.93 29,337.63 21,333.09

68.88% 76.05% 74.21% 79.62% 78.39%

2018 2019 2020

Uva Palta Uva Palta Uva
37,405.00 22,731.00 33,400.00 27,215.44 36,847.51
#REF! #REF!

37,405.00 22,731.00 33,400.00 #REF! #REF!

Reporte_Comercio_Regional_-_RCR_-_Arequipa_2018_-_Anual20191030-24204-1q30770.pdf
 Proyeccion de costos
Periodo Uva Proyeccion Palta Proyeccion
2016 2.25 2.04
2017 2.40 2.38
2018 2.37 2.40
2019 2.25 2.90
2020 2.53 1.87
2021 2.48 0.17 0.02 0.00 2.37
2022 2.52 0.32 0.01 2.39
2023 2.57 0.32 0.01 2.41
2024 2.61 0.33 0.01 2.43
2025 2.65 0.33 0.01 2.44
2026 2.69 0.34 0.01 2.46
2027 2.73 0.34 0.01 2.48
2028 2.77 0.35 0.01 2.50
2029 2.81 0.35 0.01 2.52
2030 2.85 0.36 0.01 2.53

2.25 2.04 2.40 2.38 2.37 2.40 2.25

71361
1582 45.108091

659.12 15818.88
27.4633333 2.49666667
 0.17 0.02 0.00 9000
0.34 0.01
0.34 0.01
0.35 0.01
0.35 0.01
0.35 0.01
0.35 0.01
0.36 0.01
0.36 0.01
0.36 0.01

2.90 2.53 1.87

Proyeccion
Periodo Uva Proyeccion Palta Proyeccion
2016 17,731.44 8,167.24
2017 22,077.00 13,861.16
2018 26,856.48 13,835.00
2019 25,400.00 16,868.93
2020 29,337.63 21,333.09
2021 32,241.12 2,256.88 282.11 10.85 23,614.93
2022 34,894.66 4,361.83 167.76 26,548.87
2023 37,548.19 4,693.52 180.52 29,482.82
2024 40,201.73 5,025.22 193.28 32,416.77
2025 42,855.27 5,356.91 206.03 35,350.72
2026 45,508.80 5,688.60 218.79 38,284.66
2027 48,162.34 6,020.29 231.55 41,218.61
2028 50,815.88 6,351.98 244.31 44,152.56
2029 53,469.42 6,683.68 257.06 47,086.51
2030 56,122.95 7,015.37 269.82 50,020.45

71361 3,909.92
1582 45.108091

659.12 15818.88
27.4633333 2.49666667
1,653.04 236.15 9.08 9000
3,792.70 145.87
4,211.83 161.99
4,630.97 178.11
5,050.10 194.23
5,469.24 210.36
5,888.37 226.48
6,307.51 242.60
6,726.64 258.72
7,145.78 274.84
 TS
SELECCIONARA 0.027 0.003375
0.702

930260 0.0272 25303.072

 TIEMPO TOTAL
PROCESOS N° OPERARIOS
EN MINUTOS

Recepcion 0.32 9
Abastecimiento 0.26 7
Lavado 0.21 6
Secado 0.19 5
Selección 1 23
Calibrado 0.2 5
Empaque 0.67 15
Pesado 0.29 8
Paletizado 0.82 19
Tratamiento en frio 0.09 2
 Cantidad de uva Cantidad de palta
Año
(toneladas) (toneladas)

2021 32,241.12 23,614.93

2022 34,894.66 26,548.87
2023 37,548.19 29,482.82
2024 40,201.73 32,416.77
2025 42,855.27 35,350.72
2026 45,508.80 38,284.66
2027 48,162.34 41,218.61
2028 50,815.88 44,152.56
2029 53,469.42 47,086.51
2030 56,122.95 50,020.45

Punto de equilibrio economico 3,909.92

Descripcion
2021 2022
Costos fijos 804,767.00 820,862.34
Costos variables 3,914,273.92 3,992,559.40
Costo variable unitario 1,001.11 1,021.14
Precio venta unitario -Uva ($/Tn) 2,483.00 2,524.00
Precio de venta unitario -Palta ($/Tn) 2,372.00 2,390.00
Precio de venta unitario en Tn 2,427.50 2,457.00
Ventas ($) 136,069,304.35 151,525,920.39
Punto de equilibrio ($) 828,603.24 843,076.58
Punto de equilibrio (Tn) 564.20 571.69

148491.04 686292.15
5298.2
153789.24 102861.29
570112.82
116179.33
2346
53273.95

741912.1

58466.35
Precio de venta -Uva Precio de venta -Palta Total de ingresos Total de ingresos
uva palta Total ingresos
($/kg) ($/kg)
($) ($)
2.48 2.37 80,054,702.06 56,014,602.29 136,069,304.35
2.52 2.39 88,074,114.95 63,451,805.44 151,525,920.39
2.57 2.41 96,311,117.86 70,994,630.71 167,305,748.56
2.61 2.43 104,765,710.78 78,643,078.08 183,408,788.86
2.65 2.44 113,437,893.73 86,397,147.56 199,835,041.29
2.69 2.46 122,327,666.70 94,256,839.15 216,584,505.85
2.73 2.48 131,435,029.69 102,222,152.85 233,657,182.54
2.77 2.50 140,759,982.69 110,293,088.66 251,053,071.35
2.81 2.52 150,302,525.72 118,469,646.58 268,772,172.30
2.85 2.53 160,062,658.77 126,751,826.61 286,814,485.38

Año
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
837,279.59 854,025.18 871,105.68 888,527.80 906,298.35
4,072,410.59 4,153,858.80 4,236,935.97 4,321,674.69 4,408,108.19
1,041.56 1,062.39 1,083.64 1,105.31 1,127.42
2,565.00 2,606.00 2,647.00 2,688.00 2,729.00
2,408.00 2,426.00 2,444.00 2,462.00 2,480.00
2,486.50 2,516.00 2,545.50 2,575.00 2,604.50
167,305,748.56 183,408,788.86 199,835,041.29 216,584,505.85 233,657,182.54
858,168.37 873,815.43 889,975.08 906,618.24 923,725.08
579.46 587.52 595.89 604.57 613.57

692 69.2
761.2
 7.93 1593461581
25555 2.44 62354.2 202651.15

541,555,831.31
603,073,163.15 136069.304349
665,876,879.27 151525.92039
729,966,979.66 167305.74856
795,343,464.33 183408.78886
862,006,333.27 199835.041289
929,955,586.49 216584.505848
999,191,223.98 233657.182536
1,069,713,245.75 251053.071353
1,141,521,651.80 268772.1723
286814.485376

2028 2029 2030

924,424.32 942,912.81 961,771.06
4,496,270.35 4,586,195.76 4,677,919.67
1,149.96 1,172.96 1,196.42
2,770.00 2,811.00 2,852.00
2,498.00 2,516.00 2,534.00
2,634.00 2,663.50 2,693.00
251,053,071.35 268,772,172.30 286,814,485.38
941,282.35 959,281.51 977,717.55
622.91 632.60 642.65
INVERSION FIJA TANGIBLE

Precio de terreno 133,509.39 $

construccion civil $
Obras mecanicas $
Equipamiento electrico $
Instalacion y sistema de control $
Inversion de terreno y construccion 692,335.39

Inversion en maquinaria
Lavadora de fruta 1 3,090.00
Modulo de cepillado 1 2,729.00
Faja de selección y calibracion (palta) 1 30,000.00
Faja transportadora 1 373,363.80
Mesa de selección manual 2 1,754.00
Mesa de pesado 2 4,800.00
Balanza digital 1 2,550.00
Camara de tratamiento de
atmosfera modificada 1 169,759.56
Tunel de frio 2 369,369.37
Camara de frio uva 1 208,858.86
Camara de frio palta 1 208,858.86
Total inversion maquinaria ###

Inversion en materiales de trabajo

INVERSION INTANGIBLE

TOTAL INVERSION TANGIBLE E INTANGIBLE

$
$
$
$ 93810
$
$

$
$
$
$

158,526.00 $
 14,543.00 $

33,000.00 $

2,258,994.84 $