Camión Evento Kilometraje Diferencia Falla i

Kilómetros recorridos 113266 17489 Suspendido 3

2 Primer reemplazo 33094 33094 Falla 4
Kilómetros recorridos 106945 42834 Suspendido 6
Segundo reemplazo 47952 42141 Falla 8
Kilómetros recorridos 86366 38414 Suspendido 9
4 Primer reemplazo 74354 74354 Falla 10
Kilómetros recorridos 184755 110401 Suspendido 11
5 Primer reemplazo 48000 48000 Falla 12
Segundo reemplazo 57760 9760 Falla 13
Tercer reemplazo 83538 25778 Falla 14
Kilómetros recorridos 85758 2220 Suspendido 15
7 Primer reemplazo 14563 14563 Falla 18
8 Primer reemplazo 28020 28020 Falla 20
Segundo reemplazo 114452 86432 Falla 21
Kilómetros recorridos 117980 3528 Suspendido 22
9 Primer reemplazo 46014 46014 Falla 23
Kilómetros recorridos 127216 36181 Suspendido 26
10 Primer reemplazo 65165 65165 Falla 27

N 28
i Falla Tipo falla k MON MR R(t)
1 5811 Falla 26 1.07407407 0.02725613 0.97274387
2 9760 Falla 25 2.14814815 0.06507564 0.93492436
3 14563 Falla 23 3.26697531 0.10447096 0.89552904
4 20432 Falla 21 4.43665825 0.14565698 0.85434302
5 24589 Falla 20 5.60634119 0.186843 0.813157
6 25778 Falla 19 6.77602413 0.22802902 0.77197098
7 28020 Falla 18 7.94570707 0.26921504 0.73078496
8 28234 Falla 17 9.11539001 0.31040106 0.68959894
9 31017 Falla 16 10.285073 0.35158708 0.64841292
10 32903 Falla 15 11.4547559 0.39277309 0.60722691
11 33094 Falla 14 12.6244388 0.43395911 0.56604089
12 42141 Falla 11 13.9890689 0.48200947 0.51799053
13 46014 Falla 9 15.490162 0.53486486 0.46513514
14 48000 Falla 8 16.9912551 0.58772025 0.41227975
15 62874 Falla 7 18.4923483 0.64057564 0.35942436
16 65165 Falla 6 19.9934414 0.69343103 0.30656897
17 74354 Falla 3 22.245081 0.77271412 0.22728588
18 86432 Falla 2 24.4967207 0.85199721 0.14800279
 F. densid F.acumulado confiabilidd Falla
Falla f(x) F(x) R(t) h(T) funcion densidad
0 0 0 1 0 1.6E-05
1000 2.65E-06 0.00167014049778 0.99832986 2.65015E-06
1.4E-05
2000 4E-06 0.00500376577463 0.99499623 3.97658E-06
3000 5E-06 0.00949512599508 0.99050487 5.04201E-06 1.2E-05
4000 5.88E-06 0.01494138335858 0.98505862 5.96692E-06 1E-05
5000 6.66E-06 0.02121554071915 0.97878446 6.79965E-06
8E-06
6000 7.35E-06 0.02822528141897 0.97177472 7.5656E-06
7000 8E-06 0.03589777880887 0.96410222 8.28015E-06 6E-06
8000 8.56E-06 0.04417252560377 0.95582747 8.95344E-06 4E-06
9000 9.08E-06 0.05299743607089 0.94700256 9.59262E-06
2E-06
10000 9.57E-06 0.06232651995711 0.93767348 1.0203E-05
11000 1E-05 0.07211839852494 0.9278816 1.07885E-05 0
0 50000 100000 150000
12000 1E-05 0.08233530904021 0.91766469 1.13523E-05
13000 1.08E-05 0.09294241021586 0.90705759 1.18969E-05
14000 1.11E-05 0.10390728211284 0.89609272 1.24245E-05 tasa de falla
15000 1.14E-05 0.11519955659458 0.88480044 1.29366E-05
7E-05
16000 1.17E-05 0.12679063823427 0.87320936 1.34348E-05
17000 1.2E-05 0.13865348955617 0.86134651 1.39202E-05 6E-05
18000 1.22E-05 0.15076246305426 0.84923754 1.43939E-05
5E-05
19000 1.24E-05 0.16309316786468 0.83690683 1.48568E-05
20000 1.26E-05 0.17562236252298 0.82437764 1.53097E-05 4E-05
21000 1.28E-05 0.18832786762504 0.81167213 1.57533E-05
3E-05
22000 1.29E-05 0.20118849385324 0.79881151 1.61882E-05
23000 1.31E-05 0.21418398198273 0.78581602 1.66151E-05 2E-05
24000 1.32E-05 0.22729495230773 0.77270505 1.70343E-05
1E-05
25000 1.33E-05 0.24050286152784 0.75949714 1.74463E-05
26000 1.33E-05 0.25378996557738 0.74621003 1.78515E-05 0
0 50000 100000 150000
27000 1.34E-05 0.26713928721259 0.73286071 1.82503E-05
28000 1.34E-05 0.28053458742257 0.71946541 1.86431E-05
29000 1.34E-05 0.29396033992245 0.70603966 1.90301E-05
30000 1.34E-05 0.30740170813675 0.69259829 1.94115E-05
31000 1.34E-05 0.32084452419695 0.67915548 1.97878E-05
32000 1.34E-05 0.3342752695698 0.66572473 2.0159E-05
33000 1.34E-05 0.34768105700536 0.65231894 2.05255E-05
34000 1.33E-05 0.36104961355292 0.63895039 2.08874E-05
35000 1.33E-05 0.37436926443954 0.62563074 2.12449E-05
36000 1.32E-05 0.38762891764448
37000 1.32E-05 0.40081804903399
38000 1.31E-05 0.41392668794618
39000 1.3E-05 0.42694540313704
40000 1.29E-05 0.43986528901577
41000 1.28E-05 0.45267795211207
42000 1.26E-05 0.46537549772992
43000 1.25E-05 0.47795051675225
44000 1.24E-05 0.49039607256937
45000 1.22E-05 0.50270568811067
46000 1.21E-05 0.51487333296484
47000 1.19E-05 0.52689341057904
48000 1.18E-05 0.53876074553072
49000 1.16E-05 0.55047057086974
50000 1.15E-05 0.56201851553072
51000 1.13E-05 0.57340059181785
52000 1.11E-05 0.58461318296635
53000 1.1E-05 0.59565303078583
54000 1.08E-05 0.60651722339232
55000 1.06E-05 0.61720318303641
56000 1E-05 0.62770865403542
57000 1E-05 0.63803169081832
58000 1E-05 0.64817064609212
59000 9.86E-06 0.65812415913863
60000 9.67E-06 0.66789114425065
61000 9.49E-06 0.67747077931643
62000 9.3E-06 0.68686249456099
63000 9.11E-06 0.69606596145303
64000 8.92E-06 0.70508108178528
65000 8.73E-06 0.71390797693634
66000 8.55E-06 0.7225469773213
67000 8.36E-06 0.73099861203809
68000 8.17E-06 0.73926359871621
69000 8E-06 0.74734283357373
70000 7.8E-06 0.75523738168824
71000 7.62E-06 0.76294846748665
72000 7.44E-06 0.77047746545861
73000 7.26E-06 0.77782589109727
74000 7.08E-06 0.78499539207116
75000 6.9E-06 0.79198773963011
76000 6.73E-06 0.79880482024764
77000 6.56E-06 0.80544862750197
78000 6.39E-06 0.81192125419713
79000 6.22E-06 0.81822488472525
80000 6.05E-06 0.82436178767064
0.61237108 2.15982E-05
0.59918195 2.19474E-05
0.58607331 2.22928E-05
0.5730546 2.26344E-05
0.56013471 2.29724E-05
0.54732205 2.33069E-05
0.5346245 2.3638E-05
0.52204948 2.39659E-05
0.50960393 2.42907E-05
0.49729431 2.46124E-05
0.48512667 2.49311E-05
0.47310659 2.5247E-05
0.46123925 2.55601E-05
0.44952943 2.58706E-05
0.43798148 2.61784E-05
0.42659941 2.64836E-05
0.41538682 2.67864E-05
0.40434697 2.70868E-05
0.39348278 2.73849E-05
0.38279682 2.76807E-05
0.37229135 2.79742E-05
0.36196831 2.82656E-05
0.35182935 2.85549E-05
0.34187584 2.88421E-05
0.33210886 2.91273E-05
0.32252922 2.94105E-05
0.31313751 2.96918E-05
0.30393404 2.99713E-05
0.29491892 3.02489E-05
0.28609202 3.05247E-05
0.27745302 3.07988E-05
0.26900139 3.10711E-05
0.2607364 3.13418E-05
0.25265717 3.16108E-05
0.24476262 3.18782E-05
0.23705153 3.21441E-05
0.22952253 3.24084E-05
0.22217411 3.26711E-05
0.21500461 3.29324E-05
0.20801226 3.31922E-05
0.20119518 3.34506E-05
0.19455137 3.37076E-05
0.18807875 3.39632E-05
0.18177512 3.42175E-05
0.17563821 3.44704E-05
 81000 5.89E-06 0.83033430865586
82000 5.73E-06 0.83614486342951
83000 5.57E-06 0.84179593119514
84000 5.42E-06 0.84729004818018
85000 5.26E-06 0.85262980144352
86000 5.11E-06 0.85781782291995
87000 5E-06 0.86285678369942
88000 4.82E-06 0.86774938853858
89000 4.68E-06 0.87249837060205
90000 4.54E-06 0.87710648643031
91000 4.4E-06 0.88157651113101
92000 4.27E-06 0.8859112337902
93000 4.14E-06 0.89011345309974
94000 4E-06 0.89418597319709
95000 3.88E-06 0.8981315997132
96000 3.76E-06 0.90195313602434
97000 3.64E-06 0.90565337970344
98000 3.52E-06 0.90923511916637
99000 3.41E-06 0.91270113050841
100000 3.3E-06 0.91605417452627
101000 3.19E-06 0.91929699392062
102000 3.08E-06 0.92243231067435
103000 3E-06 0.92546282360136
104000 2.88E-06 0.92839120606102
105000 2.78E-06 0.93122010383304
106000 2.68E-06 0.93395213314779
107000 2.59E-06 0.93658987886679
108000 2.5E-06 0.93913589280832
109000 2.41E-06 0.94159269221315
110000 2.33E-06 0.94396275834499
111000 2.24E-06 0.94624853522096
112000 2.16E-06 0.9484524284668
113000 2.09E-06 0.9505768042919
114000 2E-06 0.95262398857932
115000 1.94E-06 0.95459626608577
116000 1.86E-06 0.95649587974694
117000 1.79E-06 0.95832503008325
118000 1.73E-06 0.96008587470164
119000 1.66E-06 0.96178052788849
120000 1.6E-06 0.96341106028961
121000 1.54E-06 0.96497949867253
122000 1.48E-06 0.96648782576711
123000 1.42E-06 0.96793798018013
124000 1.37E-06 0.96933185637977
125000 1.31E-06 0.97067130474616
0.16966569 3.4722E-05
0.16385514 3.49723E-05
0.15820407 3.52214E-05
0.15270995 3.54692E-05
0.1473702 3.57158E-05
0.14218218 3.59612E-05
0.13714322 3.62054E-05
0.13225061 3.64485E-05
0.12750163 3.66904E-05
0.12289351 3.69312E-05
0.11842349 3.71709E-05
0.11408877 3.74095E-05
0.10988655 3.7647E-05
0.10581403 3.78835E-05
0.1018684 3.81189E-05
0.09804686 3.83533E-05
0.09434662 3.85867E-05
0.09076488 3.88191E-05
0.08729887 3.90506E-05
0.08394583 3.9281E-05
0.08070301 3.95105E-05
0.07756769 3.97391E-05
0.07453718 3.99667E-05
0.07160879 4.01934E-05
0.0687799 4.04192E-05
0.06604787 4.06441E-05
0.06341012 4.08682E-05
0.06086411 4.10914E-05
0.05840731 4.13137E-05
0.05603724 4.15352E-05
0.05375146 4.17558E-05
0.05154757 4.19757E-05
0.0494232 4.21947E-05
0.04737601 4.24129E-05
0.04540373 4.26303E-05
0.04350412 4.28469E-05
0.04167497 4.30628E-05
0.03991413 4.32779E-05
0.03821947 4.34923E-05
0.03658894 4.37059E-05
0.0350205 4.39187E-05
0.03351217 4.41309E-05
0.03206202 4.43423E-05
0.03066814 4.4553E-05
0.0293287 4.4763E-05
126000 1.26E-06 0.97195813168392
127000 1.21E-06 0.97319409979312
128000 1.16E-06 0.97438092809491
129000 1.12E-06 0.9755202923083
130000 1.07E-06 0.97661382517464
131000 1E-06 0.9776631168266
132000 9.86E-07 0.97866971519833
133000 9.45E-07 0.97963512647368
134000 9.06E-07 0.9805608155697
135000 8.69E-07 0.98144820665234
136000 8.32E-07 0.98229868368172
137000 8E-07 0.98311359098427
138000 7.64E-07 0.98389423384925
139000 7.32E-07 0.98464187914715
140000 7E-07 0.98535775596775
141000 6.7E-07 0.98604305627546
142000 6.42E-07 0.98669893558005
143000 6.14E-07 0.98732651362048
144000 5.87E-07 0.98792687506015
145000 5.61E-07 0.98850107019159
146000 5.37E-07 0.98905011564893
147000 5.13E-07 0.98957499512649
148000 4.9E-07 0.99007666010191
149000 4.69E-07 0.99055603056244
150000 4.48E-07 0.99101399573294
151000 4.27E-07 0.99145141480426
152000 4.08E-07 0.99186911766089
153000 3.9E-07 0.99226790560666
154000 3.72E-07 0.99264855208743
155000 3.55E-07 0.99301180340981
156000 3.38E-07 0.99335837945491
157000 3.23E-07 0.9936889743864
158000 3.08E-07 0.99400425735192
159000 2.93E-07 0.99430487317721
160000 2.8E-07 0.99459144305226
161000 2.67E-07 0.99486456520887
162000 2.54E-07 0.99512481558908
163000 2.42E-07 0.99537274850384
164000 2.3E-07 0.99560889728167
165000 2.19E-07 0.99583377490672
166000 2.09E-07 0.99604787464593
167000 2E-07 0.99625167066496
168000 1.89E-07 0.99644561863261
169000 1.8E-07 0.99663015631353
170000 1.71E-07 0.99680570414888
0.02804187 4.49723E-05
0.0268059 4.51809E-05
0.02561907 4.53889E-05
0.02447971 4.55961E-05
0.02338617 4.58027E-05
0.02233688 4.60087E-05
0.02133028 4.6214E-05
0.02036487 4.64186E-05
0.01943918 4.66226E-05
0.01855179 4.6826E-05
0.01770132 4.70288E-05
0.01688641 4.72309E-05
0.01610577 4.74325E-05
0.01535812 4.76334E-05
0.01464224 4.78337E-05
0.01395694 4.80335E-05
0.01330106 4.82326E-05
0.01267349 4.84312E-05
0.01207312 4.86292E-05
0.01149893 4.88266E-05
0.01094988 4.90235E-05
0.010425 4.92198E-05
0.00992334 4.94155E-05
0.00944397 4.96107E-05
0.008986 4.98054E-05
0.00854859 5E-05
0.00813088 5.01931E-05
0.00773209 5.03862E-05
0.00735145 5.05787E-05
0.0069882 5.07707E-05
0.00664162 5.09622E-05
0.00631103 5.11533E-05
0.00599574 5.13438E-05
0.00569513 5.15338E-05
0.00540856 5.17233E-05
0.00513543 5.19123E-05
0.00487518 5.21008E-05
0.00462725 5.22889E-05
0.0043911 5.24764E-05
0.00416623 5.26635E-05
0.00395213 5.28501E-05
0.00374833 5.30363E-05
0.00355438 5.3222E-05
0.00336984 5.34073E-05
0.0031943 5.3592E-05
171000 1.63E-07 0.99697266582494
172000 1.55E-07 0.99713142882941
173000 1.47E-07 0.99728236499532
174000 1.4E-07 0.99742583103251
175000 1.33E-07 0.99756216904659
176000 1.26E-07 0.99769170704536
177000 1.2E-07 0.99781475943272
178000 1.14E-07 0.99793162748999
179000 1.08E-07 0.99804259984487
180000 1E-07 0.99814795292792
181000 9.74E-08 0.99824795141671
182000 9.24E-08 0.99834284866776
183000 8.77E-08 0.99843288713636
184000 8.32E-08 0.99851829878438
185000 7.89E-08 0.99859930547624
186000 7.48E-08 0.99867611936317
187000 7.09E-08 0.99874894325593
188000 6.72E-08 0.99881797098616
189000 6.37E-08 0.99888338775655
190000 6E-08 0.99894537047999
191000 5.71E-08 0.99900408810795
192000 5.41E-08 0.99905970194819
193000 5.12E-08 0.99911236597217
194000 4.85E-08 0.99916222711217
195000 4.59E-08 0.99920942554852
196000 4.34E-08 0.99925409498699
197000 4.11E-08 0.99929636292675
198000 3.89E-08 0.99933635091893
199000 3.68E-08 0.9993741748161
200000 3.48E-08 0.99940994501295
0.00302733 5.37764E-05
0.00286857 5.39603E-05
0.00271764 5.41437E-05
0.00257417 5.43267E-05
0.00243783 5.45093E-05
0.00230829 5.46915E-05
0.00218524 5.48732E-05
0.00206837 5.50545E-05
0.0019574 5.52353E-05
0.00185205 5.54158E-05
0.00175205 5.55958E-05
0.00165715 5.57754E-05
0.00156711 5.59547E-05
0.0014817 5.61335E-05
0.00140069 5.63119E-05
0.00132388 5.64899E-05
0.00125106 5.66675E-05
0.00118203 5.68447E-05
0.00111661 5.70215E-05
0.00105463 5.7198E-05
0.00099591 5.7374E-05
0.0009403 5.75497E-05
0.00088763 5.7725E-05
0.00083777 5.78999E-05
0.00079057 5.80745E-05
0.00074591 5.82486E-05
0.00070364 5.84224E-05
0.00066365 5.85959E-05
0.00062583 5.8769E-05
0.00059005 5.89417E-05
 km tipo k
5811 Falla 26
9760 Falla 25
14563 Falla 23
20432 Falla 21
24589 Falla 20
25778 Falla 19
28020 Falla 18
28234 Falla 17
31017 Falla 16
32903 Falla 15
33094 Falla 14
42141 Falla 11
46014 Falla 9
48000 Falla 8
62874 Falla 7
65165 Falla 6
74354 Falla 3
86432 Falla 2

Distribución Weibull - 2P F. densidad F.acumuladoconfiabilidd Falla

x = ln(t) y = ln[ln(1/R(t))] f(x) F(x) R(t) h(T)
8.66750795 -3.588691437219 7.225808E-06 0.02684764 0.97315236 7.425156E-06
9.18604768 -2.698748838516 9.454908E-06 0.06004384 0.93995616 1.005888E-05
9.58623934 -2.204183052904 1.131311E-05 0.11022643 0.88977357 1.27146E-05
9.92485758 -1.848821981286 1.269508E-05 0.18109077 0.81890923 1.550243E-05
10.1100545 -1.575852878296 1.32164E-05 0.23506383 0.76493617 1.727778E-05
10.1572767 -1.351667573854 1.330677E-05 0.25083427 0.74916573 1.776212E-05
10.2406738 -1.159522100007 1.341366E-05 0.28080285 0.71919715 1.865088E-05
10.2482822 -0.989815933819 1.341975E-05 0.28367404 0.71632596 1.873414E-05
10.3422907 -0.836492153651 1.343877E-05 0.32107299 0.67892701 1.979413E-05
10.4013191 -0.695444329784 1.339273E-05 0.34638213 0.65361787 2.049015E-05
10.4071073 -0.563718501474 1.338561E-05 0.34893947 0.65106053 2.05597E-05
10.6487764 -0.418856902965 1.262012E-05 0.46715616 0.53284384 2.368447E-05
10.736701 -0.267321048214 1.209269E-05 0.51504265 0.48495735 2.493558E-05
10.7789563 -0.120978331353 1.178934E-05 0.53876075 0.46123925 2.556014E-05
11.048888 0.0229853361666 9.133025E-06 0.6949167 0.3050833 2.993617E-05
11.0846778 0.1674722974236 8.701876E-06 0.71534634 0.28465366 3.057005E-05
11.2165928 0.3930865908956 7.018019E-06 0.78749084 0.21250916 3.302455E-05
11.3671133 0.6473776200286 5.048899E-06 0.86001278 0.13998722 3.606686E-05

β : 1.5854561978174 confiabilidad para tiempo T

 b : -17.3459552938 Tiempo 110401
η : 56425.214832414 R(T) 5.51%
γ:0
R2 : 0.9844405370127
MTTF : 50632.834207888

funcion densidad *Como

*Comose se observa
observa el el en
en la
la distribucion
distribucionWeibull,
Weibull, el
el valor
valor de
de
"beta", es mayor 1, 1.58.
"beta", es mayor 1, 1.58.
Con
Con este
estevalor
valor puede
puededectaminar
dectaminar queque existe
existe una
una falla
falla por
por
desgaste,
desgaste, lo
lo cual
cual se
serequiere
requierecambio
cambio del
del componente
componente yy
establecer
establecer un
un mantenimiento
mantenimiento por porreposicion.
reposicion.
-Conocido
-Conocido el el kilometraje
kilometraje actual
actual sin
sin falla,
falla, el
el camión
camiónque
que
tiene
tiene mayor
mayor probabilidad
probabilidaddede falla
fallaen
enloslossiguientes
siguientes10000
10000
km
km es
eselel camion
camion4. 4.
*los
*los kilometros
kilometros recorridos
recorridos pasado
pasado el el ultimo
ultimocambio
cambiode
de
110401,
110401, conconuna
unaconfiabilidad
confiabilidad de
de 5.51%.
5.51%. (por(por
degaste.........)
degaste.........)

000 100000 150000 200000 250000

tasa de falla

0000 100000 150000 200000 250000

 ion Weibull,
cion Weibull, el
el valor
valor de
de
ue
ue existe
existe una
una falla
falla por
por
oo del
del componente
componente yy
eposicion.
eposicion.
falla,
falla, el
el camión
camiónque
que
nnlos
lossiguientes
siguientes10000
10000
el
el ultimo
ultimocambio
cambiode
de
.51%. (por
5.51%. (por