Estimacion de la demanda

Factor
Población de Miraflores-San Isidro-Barranco (CPI, 2019)
Población de sexo femenino (CPI, 2019)
Población con edad entre 26 y 48 años (CPI, 2019)
Población que asiste a Gimnasios (Gestión, 2016)
Población con 1 o 2 hijos (encuesta)
Población que le gustaría utilizar la guardería (encuesta)
Población a captar por la propuesta

Frecuencia de uso
De 4 a 5 a veces por semana
De 3 veces por semana
Diariamente
2 veces por semana
1 vez por semana
Demanda de servicios de guarderías

Estimacion de turno preferido por 30 min

S/ 11 a S/15
Se proyecto obtener unos ingresos por el precio multiplicado de 11 por la demanda mensual
y anual
13200
158400
Se proyecto obtener unos ingresos por el precio multiplicado de 15 por la demanda mensual
y anual

18000
216000

Estimacion de precio por dia

En el proyecto se puede determinar la preferencia de precios por dia los mas demandantes son
la preferiria pagar de 15 a 25 soles por dia

Se proyecta a un precio 15 soles

18000
216000
Se proyecta a un precio de 25 soles
30000
360000
En base a la investigaccion podemos determinar que el publico prefiere mas realizar los pagos por dia a sus
hijos en la nueva guarderia del centro de entrenamiento : Montos preferidos 15 a 25 soles
Por esta razon detallaremos nuestro precio base en 15 soles
 Valor %
210,800 100%
105,611 50.10%
26,931 25.50%
539 2.00%
507 93.90%
403 79.30%
104 20.70%

% Factor mensual Mensual Anual

9.80% 20 204 2448
46.10% 12 576 6912
2% 20 83 996
38.70% 8 322 3864
3.40% 4 15 180
100% 1200 14400

Mensual
Anual

Mensual
Anual
PROYECCION A 5 AÑOS
2021 2022 2023
CAJA 0 110306.5
INGRESOS 0 283200 283200
INVERSION 54038.8
EGRESOS -41685.91
COSTOS TANGIBLES -20102.5
COSTOS INTANGIBLES -16300
GASTOS DE PUBLICIDAD -7880 -7880 -7880
OTROS GASTOS -1600
CAPITAL DE TRABAJO -8156.3
GASTOS PLANILLA PERSONAL OPERATIVO -26040 -26040
FINANCIAMIENTO BANCARIO 6% -15182
GASTOS DE SERVICIOS 0 -1229 -1229
GASTOS DE MATERIALES PARA PERSONAL 0 -1020 -1020
GASTO DE MANTENIMIENTO DE MAQUINAS -2500 -2500
GASTOS A SERVICIOS A TERCEROS 0 -31200 -31200
TOTAL ANTES DE IMPUESTO 156463.09 323637.48
IMPUESTO A LA RENTA 29.5% 46156.6 95473.1
GANANCIA -54038.8 110306.5 228164.4

RENTABILIDAD ESPERADA 33%

TIR Err:523
VANE S/ 415,239.79
 2024 2025
228164.4 294447.1
283200 400000

-15760 -15760

-42000 -56000
14160
-1229 -1229
-1020 -1020
-2500 -2500
-31200 -31200
417655.42 586738.07
123208.3 173087.73
294447.1 413650.34
PAGO DE FINANCIAMIENTO BANCARIO

Precio S/. 54,038.70

Prestamo S/. 54,038.70 VA

TEA 6.00%
TEM 0.49% Mensual
nPer 48 Meses
Diferidos Meses
VF(d) S/. 54,038.70 VA 15182.04

Pago S/. 1,265.17

Cronograma de Pagos

Período Interés Amortización Cuota Saldo Deudor

0 S/. 54,038.70
1 S/. 263.04 S/. 1,002.13 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 53,036.57
2 S/. 258.16 S/. 1,007.01 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 52,029.56
3 S/. 253.26 S/. 1,011.91 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 51,017.65
4 S/. 248.33 S/. 1,016.84 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 50,000.82
5 S/. 243.38 S/. 1,021.78 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 48,979.03
6 S/. 238.41 S/. 1,026.76 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 47,952.27
7 S/. 233.41 S/. 1,031.76 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 46,920.52
8 S/. 228.39 S/. 1,036.78 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 45,883.74
9 S/. 223.34 S/. 1,041.82 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 44,841.91
10 S/. 218.27 S/. 1,046.90 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 43,795.02
11 S/. 213.17 S/. 1,051.99 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 42,743.03
12 S/. 208.05 S/. 1,057.11 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 41,685.91
13 S/. 202.91 S/. 1,062.26 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 40,623.65
14 S/. 197.74 S/. 1,067.43 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 39,556.23
15 S/. 192.54 S/. 1,072.62 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 38,483.60
16 S/. 187.32 S/. 1,077.85 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 37,405.76
17 S/. 182.07 S/. 1,083.09 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 36,322.66
18 S/. 176.80 S/. 1,088.36 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 35,234.30
19 S/. 171.50 S/. 1,093.66 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 34,140.64
20 S/. 166.18 S/. 1,098.99 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 33,041.65
21 S/. 160.83 S/. 1,104.33 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 31,937.32
22 S/. 155.46 S/. 1,109.71 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 30,827.61
23 S/. 150.05 S/. 1,115.11 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 29,712.50
24 S/. 144.63 S/. 1,120.54 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 28,591.96
25 S/. 139.17 S/. 1,125.99 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 27,465.97
26 S/. 133.69 S/. 1,131.47 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 26,334.49
27 S/. 128.18 S/. 1,136.98 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 25,197.51
28 S/. 122.65 S/. 1,142.52 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 24,054.99
29 S/. 117.09 S/. 1,148.08 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 22,906.92
30 S/. 111.50 S/. 1,153.67 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 21,753.25
31 S/. 105.89 S/. 1,159.28 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 20,593.97
32 S/. 100.24 S/. 1,164.92 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 19,429.04
33 S/. 94.57 S/. 1,170.59 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 18,258.45
34 S/. 88.87 S/. 1,176.29 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 17,082.16
35 S/. 83.15 S/. 1,182.02 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 15,900.14
36 S/. 77.39 S/. 1,187.77 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 14,712.37
37 S/. 71.61 S/. 1,193.55 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 13,518.81
38 S/. 65.80 S/. 1,199.36 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 12,319.45
39 S/. 59.97 S/. 1,205.20 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 11,114.25
40 S/. 54.10 S/. 1,211.07 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 9,903.18
41 S/. 48.20 S/. 1,216.96 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 8,686.22
42 S/. 42.28 S/. 1,222.89 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 7,463.34
43 S/. 36.33 S/. 1,228.84 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 6,234.50
44 S/. 30.35 S/. 1,234.82 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 4,999.68
45 S/. 24.34 S/. 1,240.83 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 3,758.85
46 S/. 18.30 S/. 1,246.87 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 2,511.98
47 S/. 12.23 S/. 1,252.94 S/. 1,265.17 S/. 1,259.04
48 S/. 6.13 S/. 1,259.04 S/. 1,265.17 S/. -0.00
Amortiz. Acumulada
Interés Acumulado

S/. 1,002.13 S/. 263.04

S/. 2,009.14 S/. 521.19
S/. 3,021.05 S/. 774.45
S/. 4,037.88 S/. 1,022.78
S/. 5,059.67 S/. 1,266.16
S/. 6,086.43 S/. 1,504.57
S/. 7,118.18 S/. 1,737.98
S/. 8,154.96 S/. 1,966.37
S/. 9,196.79 S/. 2,189.71
S/. 10,243.68 S/. 2,407.98
S/. 11,295.67 S/. 2,621.16
S/. 12,352.79 S/. 2,829.21
S/. 13,415.05 S/. 3,032.12
S/. 14,482.47 S/. 3,229.86
S/. 15,555.10 S/. 3,422.40
S/. 16,632.94 S/. 3,609.72
S/. 17,716.04 S/. 3,791.79
S/. 18,804.40 S/. 3,968.59
S/. 19,898.06 S/. 4,140.10
S/. 20,997.05 S/. 4,306.28
S/. 22,101.38 S/. 4,467.11
S/. 23,211.09 S/. 4,622.57
S/. 24,326.20 S/. 4,772.62
S/. 25,446.74 S/. 4,917.25
S/. 26,572.73 S/. 5,056.42
S/. 27,704.21 S/. 5,190.12
S/. 28,841.19 S/. 5,318.30
S/. 29,983.71 S/. 5,440.95
S/. 31,131.78 S/. 5,558.04
S/. 32,285.45 S/. 5,669.54
S/. 33,444.73 S/. 5,775.43
S/. 34,609.66 S/. 5,875.67
S/. 35,780.25 S/. 5,970.24
S/. 36,956.54 S/. 6,059.11
S/. 38,138.56 S/. 6,142.26
S/. 39,326.33 S/. 6,219.66
S/. 40,519.89 S/. 6,291.27
S/. 41,719.25 S/. 6,357.07
S/. 42,924.45 S/. 6,417.04
S/. 44,135.52 S/. 6,471.14
S/. 45,352.48 S/. 6,519.34
S/. 46,575.36 S/. 6,561.62
S/. 47,804.20 S/. 6,597.95
S/. 49,039.02 S/. 6,628.30
S/. 50,279.85 S/. 6,652.63
S/. 51,526.72 S/. 6,670.93
S/. 52,779.66 S/. 6,683.16
S/. 54,038.70 S/. 6,689.29