Hip nula Ejemplo

Conocimiento previo que se tiene Yo conozco el promedio de las ventas de mi negocio de importaciones
Hip alternativa Realizar un experimento lanzando un producto nuevo
Lo que se quiere probar El promedio de las ventas de mi negocio se incrementan

Nivel de significancia
Probabilidad de rechazar la hipótesis nula cuando es cierta
Alfa representa al nivel de significancia
1 por ciento Niveles usuales
5 por ciento
10 por ciento

Al tomar la muestra yo quiero ver si los datos respaldan la hipótesis nula

mi negocio de importaciones
ducto nuevo
e incrementan
Hipótesis nula Estadístico de prueba
Es el valor bajo la
miu = 20 miu_0 es 20 hipótesis nula de miu
20
Hipotesis alternativa
miu <20

Tamaño de muestra
50
xbarra
19.4
Desviación estándar poblacional (sigma)
2

z calculado Valor p
-2.12 0.02
Nivel de signifcancia -2.12 -1.64 0
0.05
Valor del z al 0.05 Criterio
Valor de z de alfa Si el valor p es menor que alfa se rechaza Ho
-1.644854 -0.03
Se rechaza la hipótesis nula
Con la evidencia que se tiene miu <20

Si el z calculado es menor que el z de alfa se rechaza Ho

Nivel de significancia es alfa
alfa
0.1

Qué tipo de prueba es

Izquierda Derecha Dos colas
x

a
Datos importantes
xbarra purchase
9213
miu_0
9345 Promedio Desviación estándar
Desviación estándar poblacional sigma
4987
Tamaño de muestra Criterio 1
265 Comparar z calculado contra z de alfa

Z calculado
-0.43
Z de 1 - alfa si alfa es 0.1
1.281552

No se rechaza Ho
User_ID Product_I Gender Age OccupatioCity_CategStay_In_CuMarital_StProduct_CProduct_C
1000678 P0018454M 26-35 0A 0 1 8 13
1005281 P0005744M 26-35 2A 2 0 5 14
1003507 P0006334M 26-35 0A 3 0 1 2
1005136 P0011494M 26-35 12 B 1 0 1 15
1004086 P0008304F 0-17 10 B 2 0 3 4
1005942 P0002244M 46-50 1C 4+ 0 8 16
1002124 P0013644M 26-35 0B 1 1 14 0
1000406 P0021294M 26-35 20 A 3 0 5 0
1004607 P0001984M 26-35 0B 4+ 0 5 0
1003574 P0033944F 36-45 6A 1 1 16 0
1003953 P0021864M 26-35 12 A 4+ 0 5 0
1000144 P0029694M 26-35 17 C 1 1 8 0
1005668 P0018224F 26-35 3C 0 0 1 5
1000870 P0027864F 26-35 1B 4+ 1 5 0
1000256 P0005284M 46-50 16 C 3 0 10 15
1001449 P0001084M 36-45 20 A 1 1 8 16
1005283 P0096742M 18-25 2C 1 1 2 4
1000963 P0010554M 26-35 0A 0 1 8 0
1004407 P0023084M 18-25 4A 1 0 8 0
1001317 P0036824M 46-50 7B 3 1 5 11
1000477 P0030404M 36-45 14 A 1 0 5 0
1002279 P0023564M 51-55 7B 2 1 8 16
1003942 P0011324M 18-25 4B 4+ 0 1 6
1003934 P0013764M 26-35 0B 2 0 3 4
1001632 P0005814M 26-35 16 B 1 0 3 4
1004433 P0006674M 26-35 0B 1 1 13 16
1005857 P0027404F 46-50 2B 2 0 1 0
1001088 P0022364F 0-17 10 A 3 0 11 15
1003079 P0011254F 26-35 1A 2 1 1 11
1003643 P0000754M 26-35 17 C 1 0 15 16
1002394 P0001534M 36-45 6B 2 1 2 4
1001465 P0010144M 51-55 16 B 4+ 1 2 8
1004796 P0034604M 36-45 7A 4+ 1 6 8
1000195 P0018844M 26-35 12 B 4+ 1 5 7
1005740 P0012594M 26-35 1B 1 0 1 2
1001180 P0011054F 51-55 20 C 0 1 8 0
1001298 P0000144M 36-45 6B 4+ 0 8 0
1003037 P0033424F 26-35 2A 2 0 1 8
1004285 P0008394M 36-45 0B 3 0 12 14
1002124 P0033184M 26-35 0B 1 1 16 0
1002818 P0000394M 26-35 12 B 2 0 5 14
1005950 P0013754M 26-35 4B 2 1 1 8
1003620 P0033224M 26-35 7A 1 0 1 16
1005954 P0016334M 46-50 11 A 2 1 6 8
1003469 P0011914M 46-50 17 B 3 1 3 4
1000667 P0010514M 26-35 18 C 2 1 1 2
1002972 P0023094M 26-35 4A 3 1 5 14
1001600 P0007034M 36-45 7B 1 1 1 2
1001617 P0027954M 26-35 12 C 3 0 8 0
1000163 P0020894M 18-25 4A 1 0 6 0
1002035 P0011084F 18-25 0C 1 0 1 2
1003526 P0027344M 36-45 2B 1 1 12 14
1005689 P0015224M 26-35 0B 3 0 14 16
1002866 P0000064M 26-35 7C 2 0 1 6
1005751 P0024814F 0-17 0C 0 0 5 0
1002980 P0010194M 46-50 7C 4+ 1 8 17
1001611 P0019274M 26-35 0B 1 0 11 16
1005432 P0003644M 55+ 13 C 3 1 16 0
1004771 P0011034F 26-35 4A 0 0 7 0
1000849 P0016464M 26-35 3B 2 1 5 14
1004312 P0028114M 26-35 18 A 0 1 11 15
1001242 P0025204F 36-45 0A 0 1 5 14
1000895 P0029594M 51-55 1C 1 1 2 5
1000731 P0029454M 46-50 3A 0 1 8 0
1002989 P0024274M 36-45 12 A 1 1 1 2
1000415 P0011744F 36-45 0A 2 1 5 14
1004728 P0005804M 26-35 19 B 3 0 8 16
1005729 P0023254M 18-25 10 C 1 0 11 0
1005033 P0003474F 55+ 13 C 1 1 5 14
1002215 P0030344F 26-35 0B 2 1 1 8
1003391 P0031304M 18-25 4A 0 0 5 14
1001357 P0036724M 46-50 0C 1 1 11 0
1004861 P0035794M 26-35 4C 1 0 8 14
1002787 P0017824M 26-35 4A 4+ 0 8 0
1004318 P0027354M 26-35 5B 3 0 8 14
1002680 P0036254M 26-35 12 C 1 1 8 0
1001109 P0012764M 18-25 10 C 1 0 1 2
1002073 P0027024F 18-25 4B 4+ 0 8 0
1002926 P0013204F 18-25 2B 1 0 13 16
1004015 P0020144F 46-50 3B 2 1 1 6
1004271 P0028354M 36-45 7B 2 0 5 0
1005312 P0011574M 26-35 1A 1 0 6 10
1003476 P0024324M 51-55 0B 2 1 11 14
1001255 P0005114M 26-35 17 A 4+ 0 8 0
1000539 P0035214M 26-35 2C 4+ 0 1 6
1000662 P0032074M 18-25 4B 2 0 1 4
1001639 P0019454M 26-35 17 B 1 0 8 14
1002753 P0011974F 51-55 20 B 1 1 5 8
1005646 P0008644M 18-25 4C 2 0 8 13
1001767 P0034574M 26-35 20 C 1 0 1 2
1004344 P0011994M 26-35 1A 4+ 0 8 14
1004345 P0034824F 26-35 14 B 1 0 8 0
1001113 P0025584M 18-25 4B 3 0 16 0
1003828 P0024614M 26-35 20 B 1 0 1 15
1001265 P0013574F 18-25 20 B 0 1 6 8
1001285 P0034674M 36-45 4A 0 1 11 16
1005046 P0010194M 26-35 16 A 0 0 8 17
1000446 P0012094F 51-55 0C 2 0 8 0
1002551 P0007434M 26-35 12 A 1 1 5 0
1001895 P0005424M 36-45 14 C 2 0 1 6
1002164 P0011674M 36-45 0B 3 0 11 0
1001012 P0015384F 36-45 1C 0 0 8 14
1001264 P0004554M 26-35 1A 3 0 5 14
1003640 P0013714M 36-45 7C 2 1 13 0
1004808 P0026084M 36-45 0A 1 1 1 16
1004828 P0016144F 18-25 20 B 1 0 5 14
1003292 P0015564F 51-55 6B 3 0 8 0
1002840 P0019874M 26-35 0A 1 1 1 2
1003401 P0033524M 36-45 7B 1 0 5 8
1001741 P0017184M 36-45 7A 4+ 1 8 14
1005452 P0017374M 36-45 6A 4+ 0 1 5
1003850 P0026824M 18-25 3B 0 0 5 14
1000929 P0019874M 26-35 15 A 1 0 1 2
1002507 P0012934M 26-35 4A 0 1 1 5
1004050 P0027404M 36-45 6B 1 0 1 0
1000549 P0004614M 26-35 6A 3 0 1 16
1002743 P0035604M 26-35 14 B 2 0 1 15
1002231 P0017694M 51-55 11 B 1 1 5 0
1000031 P0031224M 55+ 7C 2 0 5 0
1004999 P0003364F 55+ 13 B 2 1 5 8
1004901 P0010294M 26-35 7C 1 0 1 14
1005558 P0027424M 0-17 10 B 2 0 1 0
1002410 P0011804M 55+ 7C 1 1 8 0
1003317 P0021384M 26-35 4A 4+ 1 7 0
1002581 P0030234M 26-35 11 A 1 0 8 0
1001420 P0001444M 18-25 4C 3 0 6 8
1002054 P0010514M 26-35 12 C 4+ 0 1 2
1002103 P0010044M 36-45 12 C 0 0 2 4
1005643 P0000614F 36-45 1A 3 1 8 0
1002605 P0003944M 36-45 7C 0 1 11 16
1000802 P0010264M 26-35 16 B 1 0 4 8
1003031 P0001214M 18-25 4A 3 0 5 0
1002910 P0019274M 0-17 19 C 0 0 11 16
1002957 P0029454M 18-25 4A 1 0 8 0
1005626 P0010954M 55+ 16 B 3 0 8 14
1001108 P0011684M 55+ 1B 2 0 2 5
1005896 P0005724M 26-35 0A 4+ 0 5 0
1004675 P0014754F 18-25 4A 2 0 2 14
1002681 P0015054F 26-35 4B 1 0 5 0
1001179 P0029594M 51-55 1B 2 1 2 5
1004854 P0001944F 51-55 13 C 4+ 1 8 12
1004964 P0028834M 36-45 0A 1 1 8 0
1002102 P0005074M 26-35 11 B 3 0 5 0
1005779 P0016754M 26-35 5A 1 0 5 14
1003261 P0002924M 46-50 20 B 1 1 8 0
1003557 P0002844M 18-25 5B 0 1 1 8
1004180 P0024814M 55+ 13 C 1 1 5 0
1001150 P0019444F 26-35 20 A 1 0 5 0
1000551 P0011244M 36-45 20 A 4+ 1 6 8
1005702 P0017484M 18-25 0B 4+ 0 17 0
1004829 P0018844M 26-35 0B 2 0 5 7
1003083 P0026524F 51-55 0C 0 0 5 8
1002181 P0025244M 26-35 0B 4+ 1 8 0
1005795 P0016794M 26-35 1A 1 1 1 5
1002292 P0021834M 51-55 15 C 2 1 5 0
1001386 P0031664F 26-35 0B 1 0 4 5
1004482 P0000324F 36-45 1A 1 0 8 15
1005659 P0025184M 26-35 0C 3 1 1 15
1001941 P0015654M 36-45 17 A 1 0 4 5
1001746 P0018534M 26-35 4C 1 1 3 4
1000308 P0002244M 26-35 2A 3 1 8 16
1001387 P0027304F 51-55 13 B 1 1 5 0
1000655 P0028264F 26-35 2B 2 0 5 0
1004852 P0035464M 36-45 0C 3 1 8 13
1003526 P0000514M 36-45 2B 1 1 5 0
1002063 P0003514M 26-35 4A 3 0 1 5
1003833 P0099342M 26-35 1B 2 0 5 8
1003383 P0011074M 55+ 16 C 4+ 1 1 2
1002257 P0033554F 18-25 4B 2 0 8 0
1001650 P0008114M 26-35 19 C 1 0 6 8
1005920 P0030304F 26-35 1C 2 0 5 0
1005630 P0000164M 36-45 17 B 1 0 8 16
1006030 P0003184M 26-35 17 C 1 1 1 5
1002109 P0018374M 26-35 16 B 2 0 4 5
1004919 P0010604M 18-25 0C 2 0 5 0
1000770 P0018394M 18-25 4B 2 1 3 4
1000015 P0003354M 26-35 7A 1 0 5 0
1000626 P0002884M 18-25 4B 4+ 1 6 8
1001983 P0024954M 26-35 14 A 3 0 1 5
1000234 P0005144M 36-45 7C 2 0 8 17
1004708 P0015374M 26-35 0B 3 0 8 0
1001449 P0028164M 36-45 20 A 1 1 1 8
1003675 P0004604M 36-45 7B 3 0 5 17
1000710 P0020094M 26-35 20 A 4+ 0 3 0
1005505 P0019584F 26-35 4B 3 1 3 4
1001643 P0023564M 46-50 2C 4+ 0 8 16
1004917 P0018324M 46-50 0C 0 1 5 15
1003562 P0032074F 26-35 6B 4+ 0 1 4
1002496 P0018624M 51-55 1B 1 0 4 5
1004697 P0036184M 18-25 10 C 4+ 0 15 16
1000053 P0020874M 26-35 0B 1 0 1 6
1000446 P0021324F 51-55 0C 2 0 5 8
1000936 P0094142M 18-25 4C 4+ 0 4 5
1003985 P0002724M 46-50 16 C 1 1 5 0
1003737 P0011674M 26-35 14 C 3 0 11 0
1002198 P0003304F 36-45 9C 1 0 5 14
1005371 P0011404M 26-35 11 A 0 0 5 14
1005153 P0022164M 26-35 7B 3 0 5 15
1001571 P0003264M 26-35 20 B 1 1 13 16
1003126 P0001584M 26-35 2B 0 1 1 14
1002106 P0001374F 18-25 20 A 3 1 5 0
1006030 P0020524M 26-35 17 C 1 1 5 0
1000059 P0008854F 51-55 1B 4+ 1 5 12
1003526 P0004554M 36-45 2B 1 1 5 14
1000904 P0011724M 36-45 20 B 4+ 0 8 17
1002819 P0031784M 46-50 14 C 1 1 8 0
1000284 P0012774M 26-35 12 B 3 1 1 2
1001900 P0024814M 55+ 12 A 3 1 5 0
1003731 P0034234M 26-35 17 C 2 0 11 15
1003650 P0012754M 26-35 0A 2 0 1 2
1002620 P0036864M 18-25 4C 4+ 0 11 15
1005654 P0031034M 26-35 4A 3 1 6 8
1001094 P0013564F 18-25 0C 1 0 8 0
1003079 P0018494F 26-35 1A 2 1 1 8
1005643 P0029594F 36-45 1A 3 1 2 5
1005831 P0017764M 26-35 1A 2 1 8 0
1003074 P0022404M 26-35 0C 4+ 1 8 0
1000225 P0033424M 26-35 7A 0 0 1 8
1004928 P0013084F 26-35 3A 4+ 0 5 14
1001635 P0019014M 26-35 0B 1 0 3 4
1005825 P0025214F 26-35 4B 2 1 8 0
1001136 P0013684F 36-45 7C 3 0 1 8
1003331 P0024814F 26-35 7B 3 0 5 0
1000380 P0013954M 26-35 2C 1 0 5 0
1002174 P0001454M 51-55 12 B 1 1 8 0
1001939 P0008424F 36-45 2C 3 0 8 14
1003884 P0011554M 18-25 4A 1 1 8 0
1000701 P0011054F 18-25 4B 0 0 8 0
1002303 P0003584M 51-55 17 B 4+ 1 5 6
1004807 P0011084M 0-17 2A 1 0 1 2
1002335 P0027764M 51-55 17 A 3 0 2 3
1000939 P0029574F 26-35 20 C 2 0 8 0
1002402 P0028264M 46-50 17 B 4+ 0 5 0
1004416 P0027444M 18-25 4A 3 1 1 18
1004375 P0018734F 26-35 5B 1 0 4 5
1003754 P0018964M 55+ 7C 1 1 8 13
1000100 P0024274M 36-45 17 C 4+ 0 1 2
1004064 P0000014M 46-50 0A 1 1 3 4
1004376 P0004194F 26-35 5C 3 0 5 18
1000749 P0028244M 36-45 18 B 0 0 5 8
1002950 P0005264M 18-25 0C 4+ 0 5 14
1000009 P0001574M 26-35 17 C 0 0 7 0
1000869 P0018174M 18-25 20 A 4+ 1 11 16
1001784 P0014734M 18-25 20 B 1 0 15 16
1003471 P0018804M 18-25 4A 1 0 5 0
1002092 P0011844M 55+ 1B 4+ 1 1 2
1001899 P0017754F 46-50 6A 1 1 1 8
1005428 P0018274F 26-35 6B 4+ 0 1 2
1005457 P0024404M 18-25 12 A 1 1 1 2
1000523 P0027414M 51-55 7A 1 1 1 0
1003195 P0002544M 18-25 4B 4+ 0 1 2
1002481 P0019284M 36-45 14 C 1 0 5 14
1004388 P0014874M 46-50 3B 2 1 8 17
1005824 P0029894M 18-25 12 B 1 0 1 5
1005127 P0011254M 46-50 5A 0 1 1 11
1004727 P0035114F 55+ 0C 3 0 1 8
1003291 P0005144F 26-35 7B 4+ 0 8 17
1002095 P0027514M 55+ 13 C 1 1 5 8
1002567 P0000804M 26-35 0C 1 0 6 8
1003649 P0008424F 26-35 0B 2 0 8 14
1002648 P0034424M 26-35 17 B 2 0 8 10
1000292 P0010954M 36-45 7C 0 1 8 14
1002484 P0013064M 46-50 5B 0 0 11 16
1004578 P0005224M 26-35 0A 4+ 0 8 0
1001530 P0035824M 26-35 4A 1 1 8 0
Product_CPurchase xbarra purchase IC Sigma (Desviación estándar poblacional )
0 7758 9213 z 1 - alfamedios 4987
16 7077 Tamaño muestra 1.644854
9 11524 265 Margen de error
16 19654 503.8992
0 8036 LI LS
0 7994 8709 9717
0 18265
0 5442
0 7166
0 12267 5 90 5
0 5217 1.644854
0 9727
6 19248
0 8715
0 23373
0 9706
12 13204
0 7866
0 9786
0 6867
0 5459
0 9793
8 19092
12 5744
12 8048
0 590
0 7829
0 4529
15 19326
0 12868
0 13172
0 13178
15 16659
0 8788
15 11797
0 9828
0 8015
0 15552
0 1050
0 16662
0 7168
16 4158
 0 11962
0 16556
12 13207
15 15185
0 8805
14 15349
0 7998
0 4000
5 11608
17 1050
0 18813
16 11487
0 8610
0 7830
0 3119
0 20768
0 20585
0 3759
0 4650
0 1792
15 12909
0 9866
9 15799
0 5345
0 7795
0 7431
17 8713
14 4312
0 8654
0 4675
0 9839
0 10081
0 6161
0 5929
15 15765
0 9864
0 401
8 15291
0 1911
16 20039
0 1491
0 10012
16 15337
 9 4178
0 6201
12 7108
15 9761
15 7779
0 6095
0 8100
0 16469
17 15181
0 12012
0 6011
0 7845
0 9748
0 5452
14 15443
0 6148
16 9733
0 5403
0 383
0 11816
0 8792
0 8082
11 11512
0 7096
0 10061
8 7969
0 7072
11 19687
15 15237
0 19539
0 19197
0 7958
0 5242
0 3609
0 8612
0 12113
0 15576
0 7931
0 16716
0 6166
16 12316
15 19122
5 6473
 0 4000
0 4666
9 3490
0 7029
0 1628
0 10030
17 7810
8 13061
0 5344
0 9538
0 8718
15 13176
0 9742
0 8088
0 3545
0 3659
0 8127
16 15244
0 5324
0 1824
0 8529
0 10490
0 5270
0 6944
0 8013
0 4201
0 1874
0 3496
0 7911
16 15512
0 1458
0 13556
0 5852
0 5140
0 3651
0 4231
0 7142
0 7830
0 6926
8 11744
0 8112
14 16070
0 5301
 0 8113
12 15311
18 744
0 8715
0 8234
0 6950
0 20256
15 15282
0 9744
0 9868
0 7638
0 5421
0 8157
8 10902
0 9908
0 3451
9 11659
0 722
0 21408
16 19654
0 8753
0 2758
0 3454
0 4436
0 5163
0 8749
0 1791
0 762
16 15652
0 7168
0 5298
14 5419
0 5374
0 5859
0 7816
15 15221
0 3507
16 1503
15 7794
0 7388
0 16614
0 6077
17 15231
15 12917
0 7863
0 7981
0 12049
0 3601
5 11075
0 5938
16 15539
0 8778
0 7121
0 8059
0 9704
0 6049
0 9808
9 7154
5 12068
10 3473
0 5862
0 8837
0 19084
15 2156
0 6074
9 11953
5 13218
0 3459
18 8588
0 7089
0 16874
0 3054
0 9020
0 5412
0 7921
0 15557
14 15685
15 7811
0 19033
9 19650
0 6984
0 9893
0 11685
15 15464
17 15898
0 8115
 0 1784
14 16484
0 9888
0 8054
17 9876
0 4502
0 5977
0 4153
stándar poblacional )
 Asumiendo que el promedio de los hombres es igual al de las mujeres
Nivel de significancia miu1 =miu2 delta_0 =miu1-miu2
Alfa 0
0.01 Datos importantes
Pero como la prueba es a dos colas xbarra hombres xbarra mujeres
0.005 9308.833 8898.258
Desviación est hombres Desviación est mujeres
Z alfa medios 5153.979 4487.218
-2.58 Tamaño muestra hombres Tamaño muestra mujeres
Z de 1- alfa medios 203 62
2.58
0.61

No se rechaza Ho
al de las mujeres