ESTACION: CHOTA

PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS EN 24 HORAS

Año Enero Febrero Marzo April Mayo Junio Julio
1987 23.9 47.5 30 19 23 10.46 20.4
1988 18 14 17.9 74.1 10.5 9 11.1
1989 28 24.8 24 30 18.7 12 9.2
1990 30 22.4 22.4 52 19.8 7 8.7
1991 14.5 29 27.08 28.77 9 8 12
1992 9.2 26.8 31 23.8 16.9 14.5 8.5
1993 30 16.5 42.2 33.2 13.8 3.2 17.5
1994 23 25 39 81.5 12.5 4.5 5
1995 10.2 11 24.8 17.4 9.5 5 6
1996 15.1 23.4 31.2 22.4 21.9 34.2 2.4
1997 24.2 33.2 20.8 13.4 8 12.2 2
1998 10 19.3 49 26 65.7 3 0
1999 37.8 57 22.8 20 16.6 28 20.3
2000 14.8 50 30.8 40.9 22.5 13.9 14.8
2001 34 12.1 49.1 33.2 18 1.5 3.8
2002 12.7 21.3 27.8 41.9 9.3 3.4 9
2003 19 40 32 29 10.2 10.5 0.5
2004 25.5 33 11.4 33.1 13.7 5.1 7.4
2005 13.5 42.4 25.2 11.6 18.6 15.1 4.5
2006 15.5 25.4 49.5 37 7.4 14.8 12.5
2007 31.3 9.4 25.8 49.7 27.3 4 15.2
2008 28 38.3 15.2 23.8 20.8 11.7 6.2
2009 16 28.8 26.86 28.3 13.8 17 11.6
2010 13.9 49.3 50.4 24.4 15.5 4.8 28.9
2011 30.5 25 32.4 25.7 10.6 6.3 7
2012 40.5 19.9 34.3 29.7 8.8 1.2 2
2013 49 21.5 32.9 31.9 48.9 10.1 2.4
Promedio 22.9 28.4 30.6 32.7 18.2 10.0 9.2
Máx 49.0 57.0 50.4 81.5 65.7 34.2 28.9
Fuente: SENAMHI
Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Máxima Anual
8.3 24.8 26 21.8 15.3 47.5
3.4 11 15.6 33.2 17.2 74.1
13.2 36.2 38.5 28 29.5 38.5
6.4 12.3 43 24 17 52.0
11 17.4 23 15.8 31.2 31.2
24 22 19 15.3 12.5 31.0
19 52 21.2 25.5 52 52.0
0.3 17.8 6.8 38 26.8 81.5
25.5 7.3 33.7 19.2 31 33.7
8.2 8.4 39.5 19.5 11 39.5
5.3 5.5 23.5 15 25.3 33.2
1.6 23.3 51 34.3 43.5 65.7
4.5 35.6 31 42.2 27.3 57.0
8.1 9 5.3 9 34 50.0
2 15.3 36.2 28.3 18.7 49.1
1.8 40 54.4 22.2 22.1 54.4
7.2 6.6 22 34.7 12.6 40.0
2.9 12.9 29.1 38.6 16.7 38.6
2.2 16.2 46.7 18.7 16.3 46.7
3.5 10.8 23.5 32.4 18.6 49.5
7.8 15.1 46.5 26 24.9 49.7
18.5 22.2 35.2 25.36 24.4 38.3
2.8 16.4 25.9 14.8 22.7 28.8
4.8 26.3 26.2 29 18.6 50.4
7.65 23.3 30.1 21.4 35.2 35.2
1.5 22.2 39.8 13.3 17.5 40.5
8.08 8.7 15.3 12.2 28.5 49.0
7.8 19.2 29.9 24.4 24.1 46.6
25.5 52.0 54.4 42.2 52.0 81.5
 LLUVIAS MÁXIMAS

Latitud: 6°22'46.7'' Departamento: Cajamarca ESTACIÓN CLIMATOLÓGICA ORD.:

Longitud: 78°48'18.44'' Provincia: Cutervo CUTERVO
Altitud: 2668 Distrito: Cutervo

P. Máx. 24h DURACIÓN EN MINUTOS

AÑO
(mm) 5 10 30 60
1987 47.5 11.53 13.71 18.05 21.46
1988 74.1 17.99 21.39 28.15 33.48
1989 38.5 9.35 11.11 14.63 17.39
1990 52.0 12.62 15.01 19.76 23.49
1991 31.2 7.57 9.01 11.85 14.10
1992 31.0 7.53 8.95 11.78 14.01
1993 52.0 12.62 15.01 19.76 23.49
1994 81.5 19.78 23.53 30.96 36.82
1995 33.7 8.18 9.73 12.80 15.23
1996 39.5 9.59 11.40 15.01 17.85
1997 33.2 8.06 9.58 12.61 15.00
1998 65.7 15.95 18.97 24.96 29.68
1999 57.0 13.84 16.45 21.66 25.75
2000 50.0 12.14 14.43 19.00 22.59
2001 49.1 11.92 14.17 18.65 22.18
2002 54.4 13.21 15.70 20.67 24.58
2003 40.0 9.71 11.55 15.20 18.07
2004 38.6 9.37 11.14 14.66 17.44
2005 46.7 11.34 13.48 17.74 21.10
2006 49.5 12.02 14.29 18.81 22.36
2007 49.7 12.06 14.35 18.88 22.45
2008 38.3 9.30 11.06 14.55 17.30
2009 28.8 6.99 8.31 10.94 13.01
2010 50.4 12.23 14.55 19.15 22.77
2011 35.2 8.54 10.16 13.37 15.90
2012 40.5 9.83 11.69 15.39 18.30
2013 49.0 11.89 14.15 18.62 22.14
Prom 46.6 11.30 13.44 17.69 21.04
Desv. Est 12.7 3.09 3.68 4.84 5.76
XIMAS

OLÓGICA ORD.:

RACIÓN EN MINUTOS
120 150 200 220
25.52 26.99 29.00 29.70
39.81 42.10 45.24 46.33
20.69 21.87 23.50 24.07
27.94 29.54 31.74 32.51
16.76 17.73 19.05 19.51
16.66 17.61 18.92 19.38
27.94 29.54 31.74 32.51
43.79 46.30 49.75 50.95
18.11 19.15 20.57 21.07
21.22 22.44 24.11 24.70
17.84 18.86 20.27 20.76
35.30 37.32 40.11 41.08
30.63 32.38 34.80 35.64
26.86 28.41 30.52 31.26
26.38 27.89 29.97 30.70
29.23 30.91 33.21 34.01
21.49 22.72 24.42 25.01
20.74 21.93 23.56 24.13
25.09 26.53 28.51 29.20
26.60 28.12 30.22 30.95
26.70 28.24 30.34 31.07
20.58 21.76 23.38 23.94
15.47 16.36 17.58 18.01
27.08 28.63 30.77 31.51
18.91 20.00 21.49 22.01
21.76 23.01 24.72 25.32
26.33 27.84 29.91 30.63
25.02 26.45 28.42 29.11
6.85 7.24 7.78 8.0
 INTENSIDAD (mm)

Latitud: 6°22'46.7'' Departamento: Cajamarca ESTACIÓN CLIMATOLÓGICA ORD.:

Longitud: 78°48'18.44'' Provincia: Cutervo CUTERVO
Altitud: 2668 Distrito: Cutervo

P. Máx. 24h DURACIÓN EN MINUTOS

AÑO
(mm) 5 10 30
1987 47.5 138.37 82.27 36.09
1988 74.1 215.85 128.34 56.30
1989 38.5 112.15 66.68 29.25
1990 52.0 151.47 90.07 39.51
1991 31.2 90.88 54.04 23.71
1992 31.0 90.30 53.69 23.55
1993 52.0 151.47 90.07 39.51
1994 81.5 237.41 141.16 61.93
1995 33.7 98.17 58.37 25.61
1996 39.5 115.06 68.42 30.01
1997 33.2 96.71 57.50 25.23
1998 65.7 191.38 113.80 49.92
1999 57.0 166.04 98.73 43.31
2000 50.0 145.65 86.60 37.99
2001 49.1 143.03 85.04 37.31
2002 54.4 158.46 94.22 41.34
2003 40.0 116.52 69.28 30.39
2004 38.6 112.44 66.86 29.33
2005 46.7 136.03 80.89 35.48
2006 49.5 144.19 85.74 37.61
2007 49.7 144.77 86.08 37.76
2008 38.3 111.57 66.34 29.10
2009 28.8 83.89 49.88 21.88
2010 50.4 146.81 87.30 38.30
2011 35.2 102.54 60.97 26.75
2012 40.5 117.97 70.15 30.77
2013 49.0 142.73 84.87 37.23
Prom 46.56 135.62 80.64 35.38
Desv. Est 12.75 37.14 22.08 9.69
SIDAD (mm)

IÓN CLIMATOLÓGICA ORD.:

DURACIÓN EN MINUTOS
60 120 150 200 220
21.46 12.76 10.79 8.70 8.10
33.48 19.91 16.84 13.57 12.63
17.39 10.34 8.75 7.05 6.56
23.49 13.97 11.82 9.52 8.87
14.10 8.38 7.09 5.71 5.32
14.01 8.33 7.04 5.68 5.29
23.49 13.97 11.82 9.52 8.87
36.82 21.89 18.52 14.93 13.90
15.23 9.05 7.66 6.17 5.75
17.85 10.61 8.98 7.23 6.74
15.00 8.92 7.54 6.08 5.66
29.68 17.65 14.93 12.03 11.20
25.75 15.31 12.95 10.44 9.72
22.59 13.43 11.36 9.16 8.53
22.18 13.19 11.16 8.99 8.37
24.58 14.61 12.36 9.96 9.28
18.07 10.75 9.09 7.33 6.82
17.44 10.37 8.77 7.07 6.58
21.10 12.55 10.61 8.55 7.96
22.36 13.30 11.25 9.07 8.44
22.45 13.35 11.29 9.10 8.47
17.30 10.29 8.70 7.01 6.53
13.01 7.74 6.54 5.27 4.91
22.77 13.54 11.45 9.23 8.59
15.90 9.46 8.00 6.45 6.00
18.30 10.88 9.20 7.42 6.91
22.14 13.16 11.13 8.97 8.35
21.04 12.51 10.58 8.53 7.94
5.76 3.43 2.90 2.33 2.2
 INTENSIDADES TRANSPUESTAS

Latitud: 6°27'36.32'' Departamento: Cajamarca ESTACIÓN CLIMATOLÓGICA ORD.:

Longitud: 78°53'18.97'' Provincia: Chota COCHABAMBA
Altitud media: 1653 Distrito: Cochabamba

P. Máx. 24h DURACIÓN EN MINU

AÑO
(mm) 5 10 30
1987 47.5 85.73 50.97 22.36
1988 74.1 133.73 79.52 34.88
1989 38.5 69.48 41.32 18.12
1990 52.0 93.85 55.80 24.48
1991 31.2 56.31 33.48 14.69
1992 31.0 55.95 33.27 14.59
1993 52.0 93.85 55.80 24.48
1994 81.5 147.09 87.46 38.37
1995 33.7 60.82 36.16 15.86
1996 39.5 71.29 42.39 18.60
1997 33.2 59.92 35.63 15.63
1998 65.7 118.57 70.50 30.93
1999 57.0 102.87 61.17 26.83
2000 50.0 90.24 53.66 23.54
2001 49.1 88.61 52.69 23.11
2002 54.4 98.18 58.38 25.61
2003 40.0 72.19 42.92 18.83
2004 38.6 69.66 41.42 18.17
2005 46.7 84.28 50.11 21.98
2006 49.5 89.34 53.12 23.30
2007 49.7 89.70 53.33 23.40
2008 38.3 69.12 41.10 18.03
2009 28.8 51.98 30.91 13.56
2010 50.4 90.96 54.09 23.73
2011 35.2 63.53 37.77 16.57
2012 40.5 73.09 43.46 19.07
2013 49.0 88.43 52.58 23.07
Prom 46.6 84.03 49.96 21.92
Desv. Est 12.7 23.01 13.68 6.00
ES TRANSPUESTAS

ÓN CLIMATOLÓGICA ORD.:

DURACIÓN EN MINUTOS
60 120 150 200 220
13.30 7.91 6.69 5.39 5.02
20.74 12.33 10.43 8.41 7.83
10.78 6.41 5.42 4.37 4.07
14.56 8.65 7.32 5.90 5.49
8.73 5.19 4.39 3.54 3.30
8.68 5.16 4.36 3.52 3.27
14.56 8.65 7.32 5.90 5.49
22.81 13.56 11.47 9.25 8.61
9.43 5.61 4.74 3.82 3.56
11.06 6.57 5.56 4.48 4.17
9.29 5.53 4.67 3.77 3.51
18.39 10.94 9.25 7.45 6.94
15.96 9.49 8.03 6.47 6.02
14.00 8.32 7.04 5.67 5.28
13.74 8.17 6.91 5.57 5.19
15.23 9.05 7.66 6.17 5.75
11.20 6.66 5.63 4.54 4.23
10.80 6.42 5.43 4.38 4.08
13.07 7.77 6.58 5.30 4.93
13.86 8.24 6.97 5.62 5.23
13.91 8.27 7.00 5.64 5.25
10.72 6.37 5.39 4.35 4.05
8.06 4.79 4.05 3.27 3.04
14.11 8.39 7.10 5.72 5.32
9.85 5.86 4.96 3.99 3.72
11.34 6.74 5.70 4.60 4.28
13.72 8.16 6.90 5.56 5.18
13.03 7.75 6.56 5.28 4.92
3.57 2.12 1.80 1.45 1.35
 PARA EL MODELO MATEMÁTICO DE GUMBEL

1. PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE (SMIRNOV - KOLMOGOROV)

DURACIÓN EN MINUTOS
m 5 10 30 60 120 150 200
1 147.09 87.46 38.37 22.81 13.56 11.47 9.25
2 133.73 79.52 34.88 20.74 12.33 10.43 8.41
3 118.57 70.50 30.93 18.39 10.94 9.25 7.45
4 102.87 61.17 26.83 15.96 9.49 8.03 6.47
5 98.18 58.38 25.61 15.23 9.05 7.66 6.17
6 93.85 55.80 24.48 14.56 8.65 7.32 5.90
7 93.85 55.80 24.48 14.56 8.65 7.32 5.90
8 90.96 54.09 23.73 14.11 8.39 7.10 5.72
9 90.24 53.66 23.54 14.00 8.32 7.04 5.67
10 89.70 53.33 23.40 13.91 8.27 7.00 5.64
11 89.34 53.12 23.30 13.86 8.24 6.97 5.62
12 88.61 52.69 23.11 13.74 8.17 6.91 5.57
13 88.43 52.58 23.07 13.72 8.16 6.90 5.56
14 85.73 50.97 22.36 13.30 7.91 6.69 5.39
15 84.28 50.11 21.98 13.07 7.77 6.58 5.30
16 73.09 43.46 19.07 11.34 6.74 5.70 4.60
17 72.19 42.92 18.83 11.20 6.66 5.63 4.54
18 71.29 42.39 18.60 11.06 6.57 5.56 4.48
19 69.66 41.42 18.17 10.80 6.42 5.43 4.38
20 69.48 41.32 18.12 10.78 6.41 5.42 4.37
21 69.12 41.10 18.03 10.72 6.37 5.39 4.35
22 63.53 37.77 16.57 9.85 5.86 4.96 3.99
23 60.82 36.16 15.86 9.43 5.61 4.74 3.82
24 59.92 35.63 15.63 9.29 5.53 4.67 3.77
25 56.31 33.48 14.69 8.73 5.19 4.39 3.54
26 55.95 33.27 14.59 8.68 5.16 4.36 3.52
27 51.98 30.91 13.56 8.06 4.79 4.05 3.27
220
8.61
7.83
6.94
6.02
5.75
5.49
5.49
5.32
5.28
5.25
5.23
5.19
5.18
5.02
4.93
4.28
4.23
4.17
4.08
4.07
4.05
3.72
3.56
3.51
3.30
3.27
3.04
T= 5 MIN

Número de datos Donde:

N 27 84.03
S 23.01
α 17.940414173
C 0.5772156649
u 73.67

m I (5 min) P(X>X) Weibull 1-P(X>X) F(X<X) |P(X<x-FX<X)|

1 147.09 0.036 0.964 0.9834 0.019
2 133.73 0.071 0.929 0.9654 0.037
3 118.57 0.107 0.893 0.9214 0.029
4 102.87 0.143 0.857 0.8217 0.035
5 98.18 0.179 0.821 0.7748 0.047
6 93.85 0.214 0.786 0.7227 0.063
7 93.85 0.250 0.750 0.7227 0.027
8 90.96 0.286 0.714 0.6828 0.031
9 90.24 0.321 0.679 0.6722 0.006
10 89.70 0.357 0.643 0.6641 0.021
11 89.34 0.393 0.607 0.6586 0.051
12 88.61 0.429 0.571 0.6474 0.076
13 88.43 0.464 0.536 0.6445 0.109
14 85.73 0.500 0.500 0.6000 0.100
15 84.28 0.536 0.464 0.5749 0.111
16 73.09 0.571 0.429 0.3560 0.073
17 72.19 0.607 0.393 0.3375 0.055
18 71.29 0.643 0.357 0.3191 0.038
19 69.66 0.679 0.321 0.2864 0.035
20 69.48 0.714 0.286 0.2828 0.003
21 69.12 0.750 0.250 0.2756 0.026
22 63.53 0.786 0.214 0.1720 0.042
23 60.82 0.821 0.179 0.1291 0.049
24 59.92 0.857 0.143 0.1162 0.027
25 56.31 0.893 0.107 0.0719 0.035
26 55.95 0.929 0.071 0.0682 0.003
27 51.98 0.964 0.036 0.0350 0.001

Duración de Intensidad 5 10 30 60
Weibull(Δc máx) 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111

Δ0= 0.261732122
 HISTOGRAMA (t=5 min)
1.200

1.000

0.800
Probabilidad

0.600

0.400

0.200

-
40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00 160.00

Intensidad (mm/hr)

Modelo teórico Modelo Empirico -WEIBULL

120 150 200 220

0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
0.111
in)

120.00 140.00 160.00

Empirico -WEIBULL
T= 10 MIN

Número de datos Donde:

N 27 49.96
S 13.68
α 10.6674340902
C 0.5772156649
u 43.81

m I (10 min) P(X>X) Weibull 1-P(X>X) F(X<X) |P(X<x-FX<X)|

1 87.46 0.036 0.964 0.9834 0.019
2 79.52 0.071 0.929 0.9654 0.037
3 70.50 0.107 0.893 0.9214 0.029
4 61.17 0.143 0.857 0.8217 0.035
5 58.38 0.179 0.821 0.7748 0.047
6 55.80 0.214 0.786 0.7227 0.063
7 55.80 0.250 0.750 0.7227 0.027
8 54.09 0.286 0.714 0.6828 0.031
9 53.66 0.321 0.679 0.6722 0.006
10 53.33 0.357 0.643 0.6641 0.021
11 53.12 0.393 0.607 0.6586 0.051
12 52.69 0.429 0.571 0.6474 0.076
13 52.58 0.464 0.536 0.6445 0.109
14 50.97 0.500 0.500 0.6000 0.100
15 50.11 0.536 0.464 0.5749 0.111
16 43.46 0.571 0.429 0.3560 0.073
17 42.92 0.607 0.393 0.3375 0.055
18 42.39 0.643 0.357 0.3191 0.038
19 41.42 0.679 0.321 0.2864 0.035
20 41.32 0.714 0.286 0.2828 0.003
21 41.10 0.750 0.250 0.2756 0.026
22 37.77 0.786 0.214 0.1720 0.042
23 36.16 0.821 0.179 0.1291 0.049
24 35.63 0.857 0.143 0.1162 0.027
25 33.48 0.893 0.107 0.0719 0.035
26 33.27 0.929 0.071 0.0682 0.003
27 30.91 0.964 0.036 0.0350 0.001

Duración de Intensidad 5 10 30 60
Weibull(Δc máx) 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Δ0= 0.26173212203
 Histograma T =10 min
1.200

1.000

0.800
Probabilidad

0.600 Modelo teórico

Modelo empírico - WEIBULL

0.400

0.200

-
20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00
Intensidad (mm/h)

120 150 200 220

0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
0.111
Modelo teórico
Modelo empírico - WEIBULL
T= 30 MIN

Número de datos Donde:

N 27 21.92
S 6.00
α 4.67971093
C 0.57721566
u 19.22

m I (30 min) P(X>X) Weibull 1-P(X>X) F(X<X) |P(X<x-FX<X)|

1 38.37 0.036 0.964 0.9834 0.019
2 34.88 0.071 0.929 0.9654 0.037
3 30.93 0.107 0.893 0.9214 0.029
4 26.83 0.143 0.857 0.8217 0.035
5 25.61 0.179 0.821 0.7748 0.047
6 24.48 0.214 0.786 0.7227 0.063
7 24.48 0.250 0.750 0.7227 0.027
8 23.73 0.286 0.714 0.6828 0.031
9 23.54 0.321 0.679 0.6722 0.006
10 23.40 0.357 0.643 0.6641 0.021
11 23.30 0.393 0.607 0.6586 0.051
12 23.11 0.429 0.571 0.6474 0.076
13 23.07 0.464 0.536 0.6445 0.109
14 22.36 0.500 0.500 0.6000 0.100
15 21.98 0.536 0.464 0.5749 0.111
16 19.07 0.571 0.429 0.3560 0.073
17 18.83 0.607 0.393 0.3375 0.055
18 18.60 0.643 0.357 0.3191 0.038
19 18.17 0.679 0.321 0.2864 0.035
20 18.12 0.714 0.286 0.2828 0.003
21 18.03 0.750 0.250 0.2756 0.026
22 16.57 0.786 0.214 0.1720 0.042
23 15.86 0.821 0.179 0.1291 0.049
24 15.63 0.857 0.143 0.1162 0.027
25 14.69 0.893 0.107 0.0719 0.035
26 14.59 0.929 0.071 0.0682 0.003
27 13.56 0.964 0.036 0.0350 0.001

Duración de Intensidad 5 10 30 60
Weibull(Δc máx) 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Δ0= 0.26173212
 HISTOGRAMA (t=30 min)
1.200

1.000

^
0.800
Probabilidad

0.600

0.400

0.200

-
10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00

Intensidad (mm/hr)

Modelo teórico Modelo Empirico -WEIBULL

120 150 200 220

0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
0.111
min)

30.00 35.00 40.00

Empirico -WEIBULL
T= 60 MIN

Número de datos Donde:

N 27 13.03
S 3.57
α 2.78257277
C 0.57721566
u 11.43

m I (60 min) P(X>X) Weibull 1-P(X>X) F(X<X) |P(X<x-FX<X)|

1 22.81 0.036 0.964 0.9834 0.019
2 20.74 0.071 0.929 0.9654 0.037
3 18.39 0.107 0.893 0.9214 0.029
4 15.96 0.143 0.857 0.8217 0.035
5 15.23 0.179 0.821 0.7748 0.047
6 14.56 0.214 0.786 0.7227 0.063
7 14.56 0.250 0.750 0.7227 0.027
8 14.11 0.286 0.714 0.6828 0.031
9 14.00 0.321 0.679 0.6722 0.006
10 13.91 0.357 0.643 0.6641 0.021
11 13.86 0.393 0.607 0.6586 0.051
12 13.74 0.429 0.571 0.6474 0.076
13 13.72 0.464 0.536 0.6445 0.109
14 13.30 0.500 0.500 0.6000 0.100
15 13.07 0.536 0.464 0.5749 0.111
16 11.34 0.571 0.429 0.3560 0.073
17 11.20 0.607 0.393 0.3375 0.055
18 11.06 0.643 0.357 0.3191 0.038
19 10.80 0.679 0.321 0.2864 0.035
20 10.78 0.714 0.286 0.2828 0.003
21 10.72 0.750 0.250 0.2756 0.026
22 9.85 0.786 0.214 0.1720 0.042
23 9.43 0.821 0.179 0.1291 0.049
24 9.29 0.857 0.143 0.1162 0.027
25 8.73 0.893 0.107 0.0719 0.035
26 8.68 0.929 0.071 0.0682 0.003
27 8.06 0.964 0.036 0.0350 0.001

Duración de Intensidad 5 10 30 60 120

Weibull(Δc máx) 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111 0.111
Δ0= 0.26173212
 THISTOGRAMA (t=60 min)
1.200

1.000
^

0.800
Probabilidad

0.600

0.400

0.200

-
6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 22.00 24.00

intensidad (mm/hr)

Modelo Teorico Modelo Empirico-Weibull

150 200 220

0.111 0.111 0.111
0.111
Parámetros 5min Máx 10min Máx 30min Máx 60min Máx
Prom 84.03 49.96 21.92 13.03
Desv. Est 23.01 13.68 6.00 3.57
α 17.95 10.67 4.68 2.78
u 73.67 43.81 19.22 11.43
120min Máx 150min Máx 200min Máx 220min Máx
7.75 6.56 5.28 4.92
2.12 1.80 1.45 1.35
1.66 1.40 1.13 1.05
6.79 5.75 4.63 4.31
CALCULO PARA LAS INTENSIDADES PARA UN TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE T AÑOS

TR (AÑOS) 15 20 25 50 75
TIEMPO INTENSIDADES
(min) (mm/h) (mm/h) (mm/h) (mm/h) (mm/h)
5 121.7 127.0 131.1 143.7 151.0
10 72.3 75.5 77.9 85.4 89.8
30 31.7 33.1 34.2 37.5 39.4
60 18.9 19.7 20.3 22.3 23.4
120 11.2 11.7 12.1 13.3 13.9
150 9.5 9.9 10.2 11.2 11.8
200 7.6 8.0 8.2 9.0 9.5
220 7.1 7.4 7.7 8.4 8.8

ELECCIÓN DE PERIODO DE RETORNO POR RIESGO DE FALLA

T N R
50 25 0.397
 100

(mm/h)
156.2
92.9
40.8
24.2
14.4
12.2
9.8
9.1
INTENSIDAD - DURACIÓN - FRECUENCIA :
50 AÑOS DE PERIODO DE RETORNO
250.0

200.0

150.0
f(x) = 480.502537483776 x^-0.75
R² = 1
100.0

50.0

0.0
0 50 100 150 200 250
250