A priori Rechazar (s1) 1 ao (s2) 2 aos (s3)

0.2 0.3 0.5

Probabilidades conjuntas y marginales
Favorable 0.69
Desfavorable 0.31
Probabilidades a posteriori
Rechazar (s1) 1 ao (s2) 2 aos (s3)
Favorable 0.09 0.26 0.65 1
Desfavorable 0.45 0.39 0.16 1
For Evaluation Only
Sin informacin 0.2 www.TreePlan.com
Rechazar
-100
-100 -100
0.3
Producir piloto 1 ao
50
0 70 50 50
0.5
2 aos
2 150
100 150 150
Vender a competidor
100
100 100 For Evaluation Only
TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only\\vboxsrv\conversion_tmp\scratch_5\www.TreePlan.com
For Evaluation Only
CON INFORMACIN 0.09
Rechazar
-100
0.26
Producir piloto 1 ao
0 101.5 50
0.69 0.65
Favorable 2 aos
1
0 101.5 150
Vender a competidor
100 100
0.45
Rechazar
101.035 -100
0.39
Producir piloto 1 ao
0 -1.5 50
0.31 0.16
Desfavorable 2 aos
2
100 150
Vender a competidor
100 100
TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only\\vboxsrv\conversion_tmp\scratch_5\www.TreePlan.com
For Evaluation Only
www.TreePlan.com
-100
-100
50
50
150
150
100
-100
-100
50
50
150
150
100
For Evaluation Only
TreePlan Trial, For Evaluation Only\\vboxsrv\conversion_tmp\scratch_5\www.TreePlan.com