Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
MERCADO
DETERMINACION DE LA MUESTRA
SI
NO
TOTAL
TAMAÑO DE LA MUESTRA
156
Poblacion
Fx %
si 538 0.77
no 162 0.23
total 700 1.00
x =( Li+Ls)/2
Estimacion de la demanda
D.Poten. Oferta P
2018 295,120 100000
2019 301,022 100000
2020 307,043 100000
2021 313,184 100000
2022 319,447 100000
OFERTA Y DEMANDA POTENCIAL
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2018 2019 2020 2021
D.Poten. Oferta P
0
cantidad
precio
INGRESOS
COSTOS
GASTOS
INVERSION -500000
FLUJO. ECO. -500000
TASA DE DESCUENTO
FA = 1 / (1+I)^n
VANE S/.363,293.0
TIRE 42%
WACC
FUENTE Monto
BANCO 300000
CAPITAL 200000
TOTAL 500000
inversion = financiamianto
VAN E S/.474,623.72
TIR E 42%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0%
10.5%
11.0%
11.5%
12.0%
12.5%
13.0%
13.5%
14.0%
14.5%
15.0%
15.5%
16.0%
16.5%
17.0%
17.5%
18.0%
18.5%
19.0%
19.5%
20.0%
20.5%
21.0%
21.5%
22.0%
22.5%
23.0%
23.5%
24.0%
24.5%
25.0%
25.5%
26.0%
26.5%
27.0%
27.5%
28.0%
28.5%
29.0%
29.5%
30.0%
30.5%
31.0%
31.5%
32.0%
32.5%
33.0%
33.5%
34.0%
34.5%
35.0%
35.5%
36.0%
36.5%
37.0%
37.5%
38.0%
38.5%
39.0%
39.5%
40.0%
40.5%
41.0%
41.5%
42.0%
42.5%
43.0%
43.5%
44.0%
44.5%
45.0%
45.5%
46.0%
46.5%
47.0%
47.5%
48.0%
48.5%
49.0%
49.5%
50.0%
50.5%
51.0%
51.5%
52.0%
52.5%
53.0%
53.5%
54.0%
54.5%
55.0%
55.5%
56.0%
56.5%
57.0%
57.5%
58.0%
DEPORTISTAS
Z 1.96
6%
0.75
0.25
(I17^2*I19*I20*E13)/((I18^2)*(E13-1)+(I19*I20*I17^2))
E A FRUTAS
Fx
36
120
SI NO
120
SI NO
Fx*X
25
105
225
550
260
75
1240
10
52
537 consumo anual promedio por cada atleta
ento de poblacion 2%
D.Poten.
295,120
301,022
307,043
313,184
319,447
(O-D) Dpy
-195,120 117,072 2018
-201,022 120,613 2019
-207,043 124,226 2020
-213,184 127,910 2021
-219,447 131,668 2022
A POTENCIAL
135,000
130,000
125,000
120,000
115,000
110,000
1 2 3 4
117072 120613 124226 127910
4 4 4 4
468288 482453.76 496902.8352 511640.891904
128779.2 132674.784 136648.27968 140701.2452736
100000 100000 100000 100000
VAN
S/.782,491.33
S/.763,122.56
S/.744,200.52
S/.725,712.09
S/.707,644.63
S/.689,985.92
S/.672,724.17
S/.655,847.98
S/.639,346.36
S/.623,208.69
S/.607,424.71
S/.591,984.50
S/.576,878.46
S/.562,097.34
S/.547,632.18
S/.533,474.31
S/.519,615.35
S/.506,047.20
S/.492,762.01
S/.479,752.20
S/.467,010.41
S/.454,529.54
S/.442,302.69
S/.430,323.21
S/.418,584.63
S/.407,080.70
S/.395,805.36
S/.384,752.74
S/.373,917.14
S/.363,293.05
S/.352,875.11
S/.342,658.15
S/.332,637.14
S/.322,807.20
S/.313,163.59
S/.303,701.72
S/.294,417.15
S/.285,305.55
S/.276,362.72
S/.267,584.59
S/.258,967.21
S/.250,506.73
S/.242,199.43
S/.234,041.69
S/.226,029.98
S/.218,160.89
S/.210,431.09
S/.202,837.35
S/.195,376.55
S/.188,045.62
S/.180,841.60
S/.173,761.60
S/.166,802.83
S/.159,962.56
S/.153,238.12
S/.146,626.95
V
S/.140,126.52
S/.133,734.39 S/.1,000,000.00
S/.127,448.19
S/.800,000.00
S/.121,265.60
S/.115,184.36
S/.600,000.00
S/.109,202.28
S/.103,317.23 S/.400,000.00
S/.97,527.12
S/.91,829.92 S/.200,000.00
S/.86,223.67
S/.80,706.44 S/.0.00
0.5% 2.5% 4.5% 6.5% 8.5% 10.5% 12.5% 14.5% 16.5% 18.5% 20.5% 22.5% 24.5% 26
S/.75,276.36
S/.69,931.59 S/.-200,000.00
S/.64,670.37
S/.59,490.95
S/.54,391.66
S/.49,370.83
S/.44,426.87
S/.39,558.20
S/.34,763.31
S/.30,040.70
S/.25,388.92
S/.20,806.55
S/.16,292.21
S/.11,844.55
S/.7,462.25
S/.3,144.04
S/.-1,111.35
S/.-5,305.13
S/.-9,438.50
S/.-13,512.63
S/.-17,528.65
S/.-21,487.68
S/.-25,390.81
S/.-29,239.08
S/.-33,033.54
S/.-36,775.21
S/.-40,465.06
S/.-44,104.06
S/.-47,693.16
S/.-51,233.28
S/.-54,725.32
S/.-58,170.16
S/.-61,568.66
S/.-64,921.66
S/.-68,229.99
S/.-71,494.45
S/.-74,715.83
S/.-77,894.89
S/.-81,032.39
S/.-84,129.07
S/.-87,185.64
S/.-90,202.81
S/.-93,181.26
S/.-96,121.68
S/.-99,024.72
S/.-101,891.03
S/.-104,721.23
S/.-107,515.96
S/.-110,275.80
Dpy
117,072
120,613
124,226
127,910
131,668
Dpy
5
131668
4
526673.70974208
144835.270179072
100000
281838.439563008
WACC
0.042
0.06
10.20% Tasa de descuento de la inversion
VAN
16.5% 18.5% 20.5% 22.5% 24.5% 26.5% 28.5% 30.5% 32.5% 34.5% 36.5% 38.5% 40.5% 42.5% 44.5% 46.5% 48.5% 50.5% 52.5% 54.5% 56.5%
EVALUACION FINANCIERA DEL PROYECTO
0 1 2 3
RESULTADO E -500000 239508.8 249778.976 260254.556
FINANCIAMIENTO 300000
AMORTIZACIONES 49139.24 54053.17 59458.49
INTERESES 30000.00 25086.08 19680.76
ESCUDO FISCAL 9000.00 7525.82 5904.23
RESULTADO FINANCIERO -200000 169369.56 178165.55 187019.54
VANF S/.418,833.81
tx ( IMPUESTO A LA RENTA)
30%
INTERESES 30000.00
Tx (30%) 9000 escudo tributario
intereses netos 21000.00
VANF
1% S/.707,057.97
2% S/.680,074.83
3% S/.654,309.03
4% S/.629,691.05
5% S/.606,156.09 S/.800,000.00
6% S/.583,643.67
7% S/.562,097.34 S/.700,000.00
8% S/.541,464.34
9% S/.521,695.33 S/.600,000.00
10% S/.502,744.14
S/.500,000.00
11% S/.484,567.55
12% S/.467,125.05
S/.400,000.00
13% S/.450,378.65
14% S/.434,292.73 S/.300,000.00
15% S/.418,833.81
16% S/.403,970.47 S/.200,000.00
17% S/.389,673.14
18% S/.375,914.04 S/.100,000.00
19% S/.362,667.00
20% S/.349,907.37 S/.0.00
1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16%
21% S/.337,611.95
S/.-100,000.00
22% S/.325,758.83
23% S/.314,327.37
24% S/.303,298.07
25% S/.292,652.51
26% S/.282,373.31
27% S/.272,444.01
28% S/.262,849.06
29% S/.253,573.73
30% S/.244,604.08
31% S/.235,926.89
32% S/.227,529.66
33% S/.219,400.51
34% S/.211,528.18
35% S/.203,901.97
36% S/.196,511.74
37% S/.189,347.85
38% S/.182,401.12
39% S/.175,662.85
40% S/.169,124.74
41% S/.162,778.90
42% S/.156,617.82
43% S/.150,634.35
44% S/.144,821.67
45% S/.139,173.28
46% S/.133,682.99
47% S/.128,344.87
48% S/.123,153.30
49% S/.118,102.88
50% S/.113,188.47
51% S/.108,405.15
52% S/.103,748.23
53% S/.99,213.22
54% S/.94,795.82
55% S/.90,491.91
56% S/.86,297.57
57% S/.82,209.02
58% S/.78,222.67
59% S/.74,335.05
60% S/.70,542.85
61% S/.66,842.90
62% S/.63,232.14
63% S/.59,707.67
64% S/.56,266.66
65% S/.52,906.44
66% S/.49,624.42
67% S/.46,418.12
68% S/.43,285.14
69% S/.40,223.21
70% S/.37,230.11
71% S/.34,303.73
72% S/.31,442.03
73% S/.28,643.05
74% S/.25,904.90
75% S/.23,225.76
76% S/.20,603.89
77% S/.18,037.60
78% S/.15,525.27
79% S/.13,065.34
80% S/.10,656.29
81% S/.8,296.67
82% S/.5,985.08
83% S/.3,720.17
84% S/.1,500.63
85% S/.-674.80
86% S/.-2,807.33
87% S/.-4,898.14
88% S/.-6,948.36
89% S/.-8,959.09
90% S/.-10,931.38
91% S/.-12,866.26
92% S/.-14,764.71
93% S/.-16,627.70
94% S/.-18,456.15
95% S/.-20,250.94
96% S/.-22,012.96
97% S/.-23,743.03
98% S/.-25,441.96
99% S/.-27,110.54
100% S/.-28,749.54
VANF MAYOR A CERO
4 5
270939.647 281838.44 MIDE LA CAPACIDAD DE ENDECUDAMIENTO DEL PROYECTO
65404.33 71944.77
13734.91 7194.48
4120.47 2158.34
195920.88 204857.54 TEA 10%
MONTO 300000
P I A C
0 300000 0 0 0
1 300000 30000 S/.49,139.24 S/.79,139.24
2 S/.250,860.76 25086.075576 S/.54,053.17 79139.2442
3 S/.196,807.59 19680.75871 S/.59,458.49 79139.2442
4 S/.137,349.10 13734.910157 S/.65,404.33 79139.2442
5 S/.71,944.77 7194.4767489 S/.71,944.77 79139.2442
95696.221192 S/.300,000.00
S/.395,696.22
VANF
S/.800,000.00
S/.700,000.00
S/.600,000.00
S/.500,000.00
S/.400,000.00
S/.300,000.00
S/.200,000.00
S/.100,000.00
S/.0.00
1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 28% 31% 34% 37% 40% 43% 46% 49% 52% 55% 58% 61% 64% 67% 70% 73% 76% 79% 82% 85% 88% 91% 94% 97% 00%
1
S/.-100,000.00
TIR ES MAYOR QUE EL COK
N + INTERESES
SALDO 95696.2212
300000 95696.2212
S/.250,860.76 0
S/.196,807.59
S/.137,349.10
S/.71,944.77
S/.0.00
QUE PASARIA SI EL PROYECTO SE FINANCIA MEDIANTE LA EMISON DE ACCIONES Y DEUDA DE BANC
ESTRUCTURA DE FINANCIAMIENTO
IBVL HIDRA
1 7% 12% BETA DE UNA ACCION : COVAR( ISBVL,HIDRA)
2 12% 9%
2 9% 7% COVAR
4 5% 5% VAR
5 2% 3%
6 4% 9%
7 6% 12%
CORRELACION
41% (-1 + 1)
HIDRA
14%
12%
10%
Chart Title x + 0.0544565217391304
f(x) = 0.419565217391305
14% 8% R² = 0.168000180407722
12% 6%
10% 4%
8% 2%
6%
0%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
4%
2%
0%
1 2 2 4 5 6 7
IBVL HIDRA
2%
0%
1 2 2 4 5 6 7
IBVL HIDRA
RI = F ( Rm)
Ri = 0.419(RM) + 0.0545
E (R ) = RF + B( Rm - Rf)
E ( ( R) 4.32%
DE ACCIONES Y DEUDA DE BANCOS
WACC
0.042
0.017296 COK EMPRESA ENLISTADA EN BOLSA ISBVL
5.93%
VALOR NOMINAL DE LA ACCION 1
VALOR CONTABLE PATRIMONIO /Numero de acciones
Ri = f (Rm) RM
Ri
ISBVL
hidra
BUSCAR UN PROYECTO DE INVERSION (GRUPO DE 2), PROYECTO PRIVADO, CUALQUIER TIPO DE PROYECTO
CONCEPTOS BASICOS. SENSIBILIDAD. IMPACTOS AMBIENTALES. 20 MINUTOS POR CADA GRUPO
TRAER ANILLADO EN FISICO PARA EL PROXIMO LUNES
I ESTUDIO DE MERCADO
Proyección de la Demanda
Inversiones
Inversión Fija Tangible Depreciaciones
Inversión Fija Intangible Amortizaciones
Capital de Trabajo
Caja y Bancos
TOTAL INVERSIONES
Financiamiento
FUENTE
Bancos
Capital
TOTAL
FUENTE
Bonos
Capital (Acciones)
TOTAL
Presupuesto
IV EVALUACIÓN
V ESTUDIO DE SENSIBILIDAD
PERFIL DE PROYECTO
PREFACTIBILIDAD DE PROYECTO
FACTIBILIDAD DE PROYECTO
No se presupuesta nada
Solo de mencionan cantidades
Unidades por cada uno de ellos
2000 m2 3000 m2
valuacion Financiera
a o del Capital )
PRE INVERSION
COMO HACER UN ESTUDIO DE LOCALIZACIÓN DE PROYECTO
EJEMPLO:
PROYECTO: GYM
I. MACRO LOCALIZACION
OLIVOS
LA MOLINA
VES
Factores de Localización
Seguridad F1
Mercado F2
Tributos F3
Competencia F4
Servicios F5
Alquileres F6
MB 10
B 8
R 6
M 4
MATRIZ DE LOCALIZACION
FACTORES PJ OLIVOS
F1 0.25 6
F2 0.3 8
F3 0.1 8
F4 0.15 6
F5 0.1 8
F6 0.1 6
MICROLOCALIZACION
Constructores
La Molina
El Corregidor
FACTORES PJ LA MOLINA
Playa Estacionamiento 0.15 4
Accesibilidad 0.15 4
Alquiler de local 0.2 4
Disponibilidad local 0.2 4
Competencia 0.1 6
Mercado 0.2 8
MATRIZ DE ELECCION
VES
1
1.8
1
1.2
0.6
1
6.6
CORREGIDORES CONSTRUCTORES
6 8
6 8
6 6
4 6
6 8
10 4
CONSTRUCTORES
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.8
0.8
6.4