Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Carlos Berna
REGRESIONES POLINOMIALES
Datos
Variable Dependiente
Tiempo
Pretéritos
DATOS PRETÉRITOS
1 92270
700000
2 272142
3 382125
4 397283 600000
5 404553
6 424590
500000
7 466894
8 493411
9 538358 400000
10 613331
11 638096
300000
200000
100000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
DATOS Variable Independiente
COEFICIENTE DE COEFICIENTE DE
REGRESION POLINOMIAL
DETERMINACION CORRELACION
GRADO 2 0.91129124 0.95461575
GRADO 3 0.97122106 0.98550548
GRADO 4 0.99656832 0.99828268
GRADO 5 0.99669331 0.99834529
GRADO 6 0.99671306 0.99835518
GRADO 7 0.99984633 0.99992316
GRADO 8 0.99986549 0.99993274
os Bernal Altamirano
LINOMIALES
ETÉRITOS
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
e Independiente
COEFICIENTE DE
ERROR %
CORRELACION
0.95461575 8.87
0.98550548 2.88
0.99828268 0.34
0.99834529 0.33
0.99835518 0.33
0.99992316 0.02
0.99993274 0.01
REGRESION PARABOLICA o GRADO 2
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T*DH T2*DH dh
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 92270 92270 429368.455
2 272142 4 8 16 544284 1088568 429368.455
3 382125 9 27 81 1146375 3439125 429368.455
4 397283 16 64 256 1589132 6356528 429368.455
5 404553 25 125 625 2022765 10113825 429368.455
6 424590 36 216 1296 2547540 15285240 429368.455
7 466894 49 343 2401 3268258 22877806 429368.455
8 493411 64 512 4096 3947288 31578304 429368.455
9 538358 81 729 6561 4845222 43606998 429368.455
10 613331 100 1000 10000 6133310 61333100 429368.455
11 638096 121 1331 14641 7019056 77209616 429368.455
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 33155500 272981380
600000
500000
Datos
400000
300000
D
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
66 506 4356
0 110 1320
0 1320 16698
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2
1 6 46
1 12
0 858
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2
1 6 46
1 12
7 8 9 10 11
ste cuadrático
O
CUACIONES
2
⋅T + h2⋅T
06 h2 4723053
4356 h2 33155500
1 39974 h2 272981380
33155500
272981380
ERACION
Ci
429368.455
4817182
55720942
TERACION
Ci
429368.455
43792.5636
-2085242
TERACION
Ci
429368.455 → h0 = 103423.921
43792.5636 → h1 = 72956.7874
-2430.35198 → h2 = -2430.35198
REGRESION CUBICA o GRADO 3
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T*DH
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 92270
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 544284
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 1146375
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 1589132
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 2022765
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 2547540
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 3268258
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 3947288
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4845222
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 6133310
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 7019056
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 33155500
600000
500000
DATOS
400000
300000
DATOS
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Datos Históricos
TIEMPO Column L
ADO 3
T2*DH T3*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 92270 429368.455 119357.336 1.1364E+11 733723753.4
{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑
1088568 2177136 429368.455 250534.692 2.472E+10 466875745.7
2 3
DI=n⋅h0+h1⋅ T+h2 T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h
3439125 10317375 429368.455 340455.998 2231943997 1736305755
6356528 25426112 429368.455 398220.089 1029476393 878135.0032
10113825 50569125 429368.455 432925.802 615806784 805015885.7
15285240 91711440 429368.455 453671.974 22833627.8 845761232.6
22877806 160144642 429368.455 469557.443 1408166562 7093928.031
31578304 252626432 429368.455 489681.044 4101447628 13912569.61
43606998 392462982 429368.455 523141.615 1.1879E+10 231538360.8
506
4356
PRIM
h0
1
SEGU
h0
1
TERC
h0
1
CUA
h0
1
7 8 9 10 11
sPO Column L
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
2 3
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T
∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 2 3 4 2 2 3 4 5
DI=n⋅h0+h1⋅ T+h2 T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T ¿ ¿
+0 6 ⋅h1+506⋅h2+4356⋅h3=4723053¿{6 ⋅h0+506⋅h1+4356⋅h2+39 74⋅h3=3 15 50 ¿{506⋅h0+4356⋅h1+39 74⋅h2+381876⋅h3=272981380 ¿ ¿
ESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h1 h2 h3 Ci
66 506 4356 4723053
PRIMERA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545
1 12 125.8 43792.56364
TERCERA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545
1 12 125.8 43792.56364
1 18 -2430.35198
0 6177.6 9368162.4
CUARTA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545 → h0 = -62174.9090909
1 12 125.8 43792.56364 → h1 = 209742.6344211
1 18 -2430.35198 → h2 = -29726.8624709
1 1516.472805 → h3 = 1516.472804973
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 4
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596
600000
500000
DATOS
400000
300000
200000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
OS CON SU AJUSTE
4
7 8 9 10 11
e de grado 4
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
(DH - DH*)2 2 3 4
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T
171552.371
{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
34741791.5
PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545
1 18 241 -2430.351981
CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545
1 18 241 -2430.351981
1 24 1516.472805
0 41184 -15730872
QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545 →
1 12 125.8 1291.2 43792.56364
1 18 241 -2430.351981
1 24 1516.472805
1 -381.9656177
S
4
+h 4⋅T
∑ ∑∑∑∑∑
3 34567
T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ ¿
6⋅h4=27 981380¿{4356⋅h0+39 74⋅h1+381 76⋅h2+3749 6⋅h3+3756 96⋅h4=24 8164290 ¿
DE GAUSS
→ h0 = -240934.818
→ h1 = 425171.243
→ h2 = -102682.295
→ h3 = 10683.6476
→ h4 = -381.965618
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 5
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 92270 92270 92270 92270
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 544284 1088568 2177136 4354272
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187 6561 19683 59049 1146375 3439125 10317375 30952125
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384 65536 262144 1048576 1589132 6356528 25426112 101704448
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125 390625 1953125 9765625 2022765 10113825 50569125 252845625
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936 1679616 10077696 60466176 2547540 15285240 91711440 550268640
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543 5764801 40353607 282475249 3268258 22877806 160144642 1121012494
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152 16777216 134217728 1073741824 3947288 31578304 252626432 2021011456
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969 43046721 387420489 3486784401 4845222 43606998 392462982 3532166838
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000 100000000 1000000000 1E+10 6133310 61333100 613331000 6133310000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171 214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 7019056 77209616 849305776 9342363536
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10
600000
500000
DATOS
400000
D
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
8708544 429368.455 280651.101 2.472E+10 72404806.6
DI=n⋅h0+1⋅ T+h2 T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿
406817792 429368.455 401060.42 1029476393 14268898.7
1264228125 429368.455 412848.196 615806784 68810273.4
3301611840 429368.455 426170.45 22833627.8 2497821.83
7847087458 429368.455 452966.35 1408166562 193979444
1.6168E+10 429368.455 496007.888 4101447628 6743827.87
3.179E+10 429368.455 550207.326 1.1879E+10 140406521
6.1333E+10 429368.455 603924.633 3.3842E+10 88479742.6
1.0277E+11 429368.455 640274.932 4.3567E+10 4747743.87
2.25E+11 2.371E+11 783861683
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455
CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455
1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805
QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455
1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805
1 30 -381.9656177
0 249600 2719480
SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455 →
1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636 →
1 18 241 2910 -2430.351981 →
1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805 →
1 30 -381.9656177 →
1 10.895352565 →
→
→
h1+37496⋅h2+3756 9⋅h3+38209 14⋅h4+392567⋅h5=2309 81704 ¿
h0 = -263597.152
h1 = 460588.402
h2 = -120005.906
h3 = 14260.9551
h4 = -708.826195
h5 = 10.8953526
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 6
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Datos Históricos
TIEMPOAjuste de grado 6
GRADO 6
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH
1 1 1 1 1 92270 92270 92270
256 512 1024 2048 4096 544284 1088568 2177136
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1146375 3439125 10317375
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 1589132 6356528 25426112
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 2022765 10113825 50569125
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 2547540 15285240 91711440
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 3268258 22877806 160144642
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 3947288 31578304 252626432
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 4845222 43606998 392462982
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 6133310 61333100 613331000
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 7019056 77209616 849305776
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09
ICOS CON SU
O6
8 9 10 11
ste de grado 6
T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 92270 92270 429368.455 90241.9691 1.1364E+11 4112909.14
4354272 8708544 17417088 429368.455 281631.581 2.472E+10 90052139
30952125 92856375 278569125 429368.455 367800.963 2231943997 205178024
101704448 406817792 1627271168 429368.455 400325.06 1029476393 9254130.37
252845625 1264228125 6321140625 429368.455 413093.316 615806784 72936990.4
550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 429368.455 426987.516 22833627.8 5748082.21
1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 429368.455 453211.469 1408166562 187211643
2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 429368.455 495272.529 4101447628 3465289.29
3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 429368.455 549614.953 1.1879E+10 126718989
6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 429368.455 604905.112 3.3842E+10 70995588.3
9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 429368.455 639968.532 4.3567E+10 3506376.41
2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.371E+11 779180161
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
2 3 4 5
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T
{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 5
DI=n⋅h0+1 T+h2 T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅
RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
11 66 506 4356 39974 381876
PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
1 18 241 2910
CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
1 24 391.66666667
0 41184 1235520
0 1235520 37315200
0 23793120 722779200
QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
1 18 241 2910
1 24 391.66666667
1 30
0 249600
0 8985600
SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
1 18 241 2910
1 24 391.66666667
1 30
SEPTIMA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716
1 18 241 2910
1 24 391.66666667
1 30
1
ES
4 5 6
h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T
∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
6 7 8 9 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿
L METODO DE GAUSS
S
h6 Ci
3749966 4723053
37567596 33155500
382090214 272981380
3932252676 2448164290
40851766526 23090081704
4.27676E+11 2.24978E+11
4.50586E+12 2.24219E+12
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
15067800 4817182
209591778 55720942
2447266140 577835302
27224390082 5926507102
2.97492E+11 61012586542
3.22747E+12 6.32074E+11
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
136980 43792.563636
28778178 -2085242
551736900 -28166193.6
7768846722 -293438296.4
97678074780 -2868063960
1.16348E+12 -27783687938
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
136980 43792.563636
33541 -2430.351981
33729696 9368162.4
833305824 209105025.6
13933576800 3199990260
1.98235E+11 42157413984
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
136980 43792.563636
33541 -2430.351981
5460 1516.472805
23793120 -15730872
722779200 -469206680
14070751200 -8992752720
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
136980 43792.563636
33541 -2430.351981
5460 1516.472805
577.72727273 -381.9656177
8985600 2719480
324816872.73 95401058.183
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455
136980 43792.563636
33541 -2430.351981
5460 1516.472805
577.72727273 -381.9656177
36 10.895352565
1335272.7256 -2500221.828
h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455 → h0 = -281654.309
136980 43792.563636 → h1 = 494602.858
33541 -2430.351981 → h2 = -141788.204
5460 1516.472805 → h3 = 20654.4962
577.72727273 -381.9656177 → h4 = -1649.30316
36 10.895352565 → h5 = 78.3032941
1 -1.87244282 → h6 = -1.87244282
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 7
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
TIEMPOAjuste de grado 7
Datos Historicos
GRADO 7
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T*DH
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 92270
256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 544284
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1594323 4782969 1146375
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 67108864 268435456 1589132
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 1220703125 6103515625 2022765
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 1.3061E+10 7.8364E+10 2547540
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 9.6889E+10 6.7822E+11 3268258
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 5.4976E+11 4.398E+12 3947288
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 2.5419E+12 2.2877E+13 4845222
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 1E+13 1E+14 6133310
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 3.4523E+13 3.7975E+14 7019056
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 4.773E+13 5.078E+14 33155500
TORICOS CON SU
RADO 7
7 8 9 10 11
uste de grado 7
T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH T7*DH dh DH*
92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 429368.455 92196.2391
1088568 2177136 4354272 8708544 17417088 34834176 429368.455 272641.939
3439125 10317375 30952125 92856375 278569125 835707375 429368.455 380699.145
6356528 25426112 101704448 406817792 1627271168 6509084672 429368.455 399543.352
10113825 50569125 252845625 1264228125 6321140625 3.1606E+10 429368.455 402149.404
15285240 91711440 550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 1.1886E+11 429368.455 426987.516
22877806 160144642 1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 3.8451E+11 429368.455 464155.381
31578304 252626432 2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 1.0348E+12 429368.455 496054.237
43606998 392462982 3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 2.5749E+12 429368.455 536716.772
61333100 613331000 6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 6.1333E+12 429368.455 613894.753
77209616 849305776 9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 1.2435E+13 429368.455 638014.262
272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.272E+13
SISTEMA D
(DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
2 3
1.1364E+11
2.472E+10
5440.67768
249938.993
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T
{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑
2231943997 2033063.13
1029476393 5109192.48
DI=n⋅h0+1 Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6 +7⋅T¿ DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅
22833627.8 5748082.01
1408166562 7500034.87
4101447628 6986700.51
1.1879E+10 2693630.48
3.3842E+10 317817.993
4.3567E+10 6681.0673
2.371E+11 36427855
PRIMERA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
0 110 1320 13838
SEGUNDA ITE
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
0 858 15444
0 15444 284169.6
0 206778 3870266.4
0 2496780 47361600
0 28778178 551736900
0 323927604 6264071050
TERCERA ITE
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
0 6177.6
0 148262.4
0 2419560
0 33729696
0 433374177.6
CUARTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
QUINTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
SEXTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
SEPTIMA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
OCTAVA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
1 12 125.8
1 18
1
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
2 3 4 5 6 7
h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T
∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 12 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 12 13
+h1⋅T 2 +h3⋅T 4 +h5⋅T 6 +h7⋅T¿ ⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ +h6⋅T 7 ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+h5⋅T+h6⋅ 7T¿
DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
39974 381876 3749966 37567596 4723053
PRIMERA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
142032 1458710 15067800 156684638 4817182
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
TERCERA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
CUARTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
QUINTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
SEXTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565
SEPTIMA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565
1 42.000000008 -1.87244282
0 6039541.0961 -66976736.07
OCTAVA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455 → h0 =
1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636 → h1 =
241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981 → h2 =
24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805 → h3 =
1 30 577.72727273 9144.5454545 -381.9656177 → h4 =
1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565 → h5 =
1 42.000000008 -1.87244282 → h6 =
1 -11.08970616 → h7 =
236618.06801
-628214.5367
739382.32215
-316072.1786
67857.562853
-7827.804144
463.8952158
-11.08970616
REGERSION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 8
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Datos HistóricosPeriodo
Ajuste de grado 8
GRADO 8
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T15
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1594323 4782969 14348907
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 67108864 268435456 1073741824
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 1220703125 6103515625 3.0518E+10
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 1.3061E+10 7.8364E+10 4.7018E+11
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 9.6889E+10 6.7822E+11 4.7476E+12
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 5.4976E+11 4.398E+12 3.5184E+13
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 2.5419E+12 2.2877E+13 2.0589E+14
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 1E+13 1E+14 1E+15
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 3.4523E+13 3.7975E+14 4.1772E+15
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 4.773E+13 5.078E+14 5.424E+15
S CON SU AJUSTE
8 9 10 11
e grado 8
T16 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH T7*DH
1 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270
65536 544284 1088568 2177136 4354272 8708544 17417088 34834176
43046721 1146375 3439125 10317375 30952125 92856375 278569125 835707375
4294967296 1589132 6356528 25426112 101704448 406817792 1627271168 6509084672
1.5259E+11 2022765 10113825 50569125 252845625 1264228125 6321140625 3.1606E+10
2.8211E+12 2547540 15285240 91711440 550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 1.1886E+11
3.3233E+13 3268258 22877806 160144642 1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 3.8451E+11
2.8147E+14 3947288 31578304 252626432 2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 1.0348E+12
1.853E+15 4845222 43606998 392462982 3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 2.5749E+12
1E+016 6133310 61333100 613331000 6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 6.1333E+12
4.595E+16 7019056 77209616 849305776 9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 1.2435E+13
5.812E+16 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.272E+13
T8*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 429368.455 92260.8832 1.1364E+11 83.1168721
69668352 429368.455 272241.146 2.472E+10 9829.84943
2507122125 429368.455 381642.948 2231943997 232373.697
2.6036E+10 429368.455 398664.193 1029476393 1907693.65
1.5803E+11 429368.455 401968.401 615806784 6680153.88
7.1315E+11 429368.455 427892.533 22833627.8 10906723.4
2.6916E+12 429368.455 463974.378 1408166562 8524195.45
8.2781E+12 429368.455 495175.077 4101447628 3111968.73
2.3175E+13 429368.455 537660.575 1.1879E+10 486401.489
6.1333E+13 429368.455 613493.96 3.3842E+10 26556.046
1.3678E+14 429368.455 638078.906 4.3567E+10 292.195563
2.332E+14 2.371E+11 31886272
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
2 3 4 5 6
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T
{∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 3 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 1
DI=n⋅h0+1T2 +h3⋅T4 +h5⋅T6+h7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅
RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
11 66 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966
PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
1 30 577.72727273
0 249600 8985600
0 8985600 324816872.73
0 199449600 7236267055
0 3535257600 1.28679E+11
SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
1 30 577.72727273
1 36
0 1335272.7256
0 56081454.499
0 1409513890
SEPTIMA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
1 30 577.72727273
1 36
OCTAVA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
1 30 577.72727273
1 36
NOVENA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906
1 24 391.66666667 5460
1 30 577.72727273
1 36
1
ONES
5 6 7 8
⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T + h8⋅T
∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑
5 6 7 8 9 10 12 3 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 13 4 7 7 8 9 10 1 12 3 14 5
T+h1⋅ 2T+h3⋅ 4T+h5⋅ 6T+h7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿
R EL METODO DE GAUSS
h7 h8 Ci
37567596 382090214 4723053
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455
1 48.000000215 -11.08970616
0 21600238.617 9904505.7345
h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455 → h0 = 345194.267
1 0.4585368667 → h8 = 0.45853687