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Académico: MSc.Lic.

Carlos Berna
REGRESIONES POLINOMIALES
Datos
Variable Dependiente

Tiempo
Pretéritos
DATOS PRETÉRITOS
1 92270
700000
2 272142
3 382125
4 397283 600000
5 404553
6 424590
500000
7 466894
8 493411
9 538358 400000
10 613331
11 638096
300000

200000

100000

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
DATOS Variable Independiente

COEFICIENTE DE COEFICIENTE DE
REGRESION POLINOMIAL
DETERMINACION CORRELACION
GRADO 2 0.91129124 0.95461575
GRADO 3 0.97122106 0.98550548
GRADO 4 0.99656832 0.99828268
GRADO 5 0.99669331 0.99834529
GRADO 6 0.99671306 0.99835518
GRADO 7 0.99984633 0.99992316
GRADO 8 0.99986549 0.99993274
os Bernal Altamirano
LINOMIALES

ETÉRITOS

6 7 8 9 10 11 12
e Independiente

COEFICIENTE DE
ERROR %
CORRELACION
0.95461575 8.87
0.98550548 2.88
0.99828268 0.34
0.99834529 0.33
0.99835518 0.33
0.99992316 0.02
0.99993274 0.01
REGRESION PARABOLICA o GRADO 2
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T*DH T2*DH dh
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 92270 92270 429368.455
2 272142 4 8 16 544284 1088568 429368.455
3 382125 9 27 81 1146375 3439125 429368.455
4 397283 16 64 256 1589132 6356528 429368.455
5 404553 25 125 625 2022765 10113825 429368.455
6 424590 36 216 1296 2547540 15285240 429368.455
7 466894 49 343 2401 3268258 22877806 429368.455
8 493411 64 512 4096 3947288 31578304 429368.455
9 538358 81 729 6561 4845222 43606998 429368.455
10 613331 100 1000 10000 6133310 61333100 429368.455
11 638096 121 1331 14641 7019056 77209616 429368.455
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 33155500 272981380

coeficiente de determinación = 0.91129124

coeficiente de correlación = 0.95461575

cálculo estimado de error = 8.87

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS CON


AJUSTE CUADRATICO
700000

600000

500000
Datos

400000

300000
D
400000

300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Datos Históricos Ajuste cuadrático


TIEMPO
ADO 2 SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2 2
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T
173950.357 1.13635E+11 6671680661

{∑ DI=n⋅h0+h1⋅∑T+h2∑T ¿{∑ T⋅DI=h0∑T+h1⋅∑T +h2∑T


239616.088 24720158009 1057934944
300421.116
356365.439
2231943997
1029476393
6675524723
1674246785
2 2
407449.059 615806784.3 8387156.233
453671.974 22833627.84 845761232.6
495034.186 1408166562 791870068.9
531535.694 4101447628 1453492270
563176.497 11878721018 615957815
11  h0  66  h1  506  h2  4723053

589956.597 33842218130 546362706.1 66  h0  506  h1  4356  h2  33155
611875.993 43567188231 687488766.7
506  h  4356  h  39974  h  27
2.3705E+11 2.1029E+10  0 1 2

RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL MET


MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2
11 66 506

66 506 4356

506 4356 39974


TORICOS CON SU
O
PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2
1 6 46

0 110 1320

0 1320 16698

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2
1 6 46

1 12

0 858
TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2
1 6 46

1 12

7 8 9 10 11

ste cuadrático
O
CUACIONES
2
⋅T + h2⋅T

T⋅DI=h0∑ T+h1⋅∑ T +h2∑T ¿¿¿¿


2 3

06  h2  4723053
4356  h2  33155500
1  39974  h2  272981380

LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS


CUACIONES
Ci
4723053

33155500

272981380

ERACION
Ci
429368.455

4817182

55720942

TERACION
Ci
429368.455

43792.5636

-2085242
TERACION
Ci
429368.455 → h0 = 103423.921
43792.5636 → h1 = 72956.7874
-2430.35198 → h2 = -2430.35198
REGRESION CUBICA o GRADO 3
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T*DH
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 92270
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 544284
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 1146375
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 1589132
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 2022765
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 2547540
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 3268258
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 3947288
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4845222
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 6133310
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 7019056
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 33155500

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9712211


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9855055
cálculo estimado de error = 2.88

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORIC


SU AJUSTE CUBICO
700000

600000

500000
DATOS

400000

300000
DATOS
400000

300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Datos Históricos
TIEMPO Column L
ADO 3
T2*DH T3*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 92270 429368.455 119357.336 1.1364E+11 733723753.4

{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑
1088568 2177136 429368.455 250534.692 2.472E+10 466875745.7

2 3
DI=n⋅h0+h1⋅ T+h2 T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h
3439125 10317375 429368.455 340455.998 2231943997 1736305755
6356528 25426112 429368.455 398220.089 1029476393 878135.0032
10113825 50569125 429368.455 432925.802 615806784 805015885.7
15285240 91711440 429368.455 453671.974 22833627.8 845761232.6
22877806 160144642 429368.455 469557.443 1408166562 7093928.031
31578304 252626432 429368.455 489681.044 4101447628 13912569.61
43606998 392462982 429368.455 523141.615 1.1879E+10 231538360.8

{1⋅h0+6 ⋅h1+506⋅h2+4356⋅h3=4723053¿{6 ⋅h0+5


61333100 613331000 429368.455 579037.993 3.3842E+10 1176010329
77209616 849305776 429368.455 666469.014 4.3567E+10 805027922.7
272981380 2.448E+09 2.371E+11 6822143617

RESOLUCION DEL SIS


MATRI
h0
TOS HISTORICOS CON 11
UBICO 66

506

4356

PRIM
h0
1

SEGU
h0
1

TERC
h0
1

CUA
h0
1

7 8 9 10 11

sPO Column L
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
2 3
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T

∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 2 3 4 2 2 3 4 5
DI=n⋅h0+h1⋅ T+h2 T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T ¿ ¿
+0 6 ⋅h1+506⋅h2+4356⋅h3=4723053¿{6 ⋅h0+506⋅h1+4356⋅h2+39 74⋅h3=3 15 50 ¿{506⋅h0+4356⋅h1+39 74⋅h2+381876⋅h3=272981380 ¿ ¿
ESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h1 h2 h3 Ci
66 506 4356 4723053

506 4356 39974 33155500

4356 39974 381876 272981380

39974 381876 3749966 2448164290

PRIMERA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545

110 1320 13838 4817182

1320 16698 181500 55720942

13838 181500 2024990 577835302

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545

1 12 125.8 43792.56364

0 858 15444 -2085242

0 15444 284169.6 -28166193.6

TERCERA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545

1 12 125.8 43792.56364

1 18 -2430.35198

0 6177.6 9368162.4

CUARTA ITERACION
h1 h2 h3 Ci
6 46 396 429368.4545 → h0 = -62174.9090909
1 12 125.8 43792.56364 → h1 = 209742.6344211
1 18 -2430.35198 → h2 = -29726.8624709
1 1516.472805 → h3 = 1516.472804973
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 4
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9965683


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9982827
cálculo estimado de error = 0.34

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS CON SU AJU


POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 4
700000

600000

500000
DATOS

400000

300000

200000
300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Datos Históricos Ajuste de grado 4


TIEMPO
GRADO 4
T8 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2
1 92270 92270 92270 92270 429368.455 91855.8112 1.1364E+11
256 544284 1088568 2177136 4354272 429368.455 278036.217 2.472E+10
6561 1146375 3439125 10317375 30952125 429368.455 367957.522 2231943997
65536 1589132 6356528 25426112 101704448 429368.455 402803.676 1029476393
390625 2022765 10113825 50569125 252845625 429368.455 414591.452 615806784
1679616 2547540 15285240 91711440 550268640 429368.455 426170.45 22833627.8
5764801 3268258 22877806 160144642 1121012494 429368.455 451223.093 1408166562
16777216 3947288 31578304 252626432 2021011456 429368.455 494264.632 4101447628
43046721 4845222 43606998 392462982 3532166838 429368.455 550643.14 1.1879E+10
100000000 6133310 61333100 613331000 6133310000 429368.455 606539.517 3.3842E+10
214358881 7019056 77209616 849305776 9342363536 429368.455 638967.49 4.3567E+10
382090214 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10 2.371E+11

OS CON SU AJUSTE
4
7 8 9 10 11

e de grado 4
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
(DH - DH*)2 2 3 4
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T
171552.371

{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
34741791.5

23 4 23452 234563 34567


DI=n⋅h0+ 1⋅ T+h2 T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ ¿
200717429
30477863.4
100770523
2497821.83
245577319
728687.082
150924661
46124234.8

{1⋅h0+6⋅h1+506⋅h2+4356⋅h3+3974⋅h4=472305 ¿{6⋅h0+506⋅h1+4356⋅h2+3974⋅h3+38176⋅h4=315 0 ¿{506⋅h0+4356⋅h1+3974⋅h2+38176⋅h3+37496⋅h4=27981380¿{4356⋅h0+3974⋅h1+38176⋅h2+37496


759493.967
813491377

RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS


MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
11 66 506 4356 39974 4723053

66 506 4356 39974 381876 33155500

506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 272981380

4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 2448164290

39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 23090081704

PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545

0 110 1320 13838 142032 4817182

0 1320 16698 181500 1911162 55720942

0 13838 181500 2024990 21737892 577835302

0 142032 1911162 21737892 236824698 5926507102


SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545

1 12 125.8 1291.2 43792.56364

0 858 15444 206778 -2085242

0 15444 284169.6 3870266.4 -28166193.6

0 206778 3870266.4 53432979.6 -293438296.4

TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545

1 12 125.8 1291.2 43792.56364

1 18 241 -2430.351981

0 6177.6 148262.4 9368162.4

0 148262.4 3599481.6 209105025.6

CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545

1 12 125.8 1291.2 43792.56364

1 18 241 -2430.351981

1 24 1516.472805

0 41184 -15730872

QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 429368.4545 →
1 12 125.8 1291.2 43792.56364

1 18 241 -2430.351981

1 24 1516.472805

1 -381.9656177
S
4
+h 4⋅T

∑ ∑∑∑∑∑
3 34567
T⋅DI=h0 T +h1⋅ T +h2⋅ T +h3⋅ T +h4⋅ T ¿ ¿
6⋅h4=27 981380¿{4356⋅h0+39 74⋅h1+381 76⋅h2+3749 6⋅h3+3756 96⋅h4=24 8164290 ¿
DE GAUSS
→ h0 = -240934.818
→ h1 = 425171.243

→ h2 = -102682.295

→ h3 = 10683.6476

→ h4 = -381.965618
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 5
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 92270 92270 92270 92270
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 544284 1088568 2177136 4354272
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187 6561 19683 59049 1146375 3439125 10317375 30952125
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384 65536 262144 1048576 1589132 6356528 25426112 101704448
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125 390625 1953125 9765625 2022765 10113825 50569125 252845625
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936 1679616 10077696 60466176 2547540 15285240 91711440 550268640
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543 5764801 40353607 282475249 3268258 22877806 160144642 1121012494
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152 16777216 134217728 1073741824 3947288 31578304 252626432 2021011456
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969 43046721 387420489 3486784401 4845222 43606998 392462982 3532166838
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000 100000000 1000000000 1E+10 6133310 61333100 613331000 6133310000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171 214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 7019056 77209616 849305776 9342363536
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9966933


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9983453
cálculo estimado de error = 0.33

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS Y SU AJUSTE


POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 5
700000

600000

500000
DATOS

400000
D
400000

300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Datos historicos TIEMPO


Ajuste de grado %
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES
T5*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2 2 3 4 5
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T
92270 429368.455 90548.3689 1.1364E+11 2964013.71

{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
8708544 429368.455 280651.101 2.472E+10 72404806.6

23 45 234562 2345673 3456784 4567 89


92856375 429368.455 368393.336 2231943997 188558589

DI=n⋅h0+1⋅ T+h2 T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T¿
406817792 429368.455 401060.42 1029476393 14268898.7
1264228125 429368.455 412848.196 615806784 68810273.4
3301611840 429368.455 426170.45 22833627.8 2497821.83
7847087458 429368.455 452966.35 1408166562 193979444
1.6168E+10 429368.455 496007.888 4101447628 6743827.87
3.179E+10 429368.455 550207.326 1.1879E+10 140406521
6.1333E+10 429368.455 603924.633 3.3842E+10 88479742.6
1.0277E+11 429368.455 640274.932 4.3567E+10 4747743.87
2.25E+11 2.371E+11 783861683

{1⋅h0+6⋅h1+506⋅h2+4356⋅h3+3974⋅h4+38176⋅h5=472305¿{6⋅h0+506⋅h1+4356⋅h2+3974⋅h3+38176⋅h4+37496⋅h5=315 0¿{506⋅h0+4356⋅h1+3974⋅h2+38176⋅h3+37496⋅h4+3756 9⋅h5=2798130¿{4356⋅h0+3974⋅h1+38176⋅h2+37496⋅h3+3756 9⋅h4+38209 14⋅h5=248164290¿{3974⋅h0+38176⋅h1+37496⋅h2+3756 9⋅h3+38209 14⋅h4+


RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
11 66 506 4356 39974 381876 4723053

66 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 33155500

506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 272981380

4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 2448164290

39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 23090081704

381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 2.24978E+11


PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455

0 110 1320 13838 142032 1458710 4817182

0 1320 16698 181500 1911162 20001300 55720942

0 13838 181500 2024990 21737892 230867318 577835302

0 142032 1911162 21737892 236824698 2544515292 5926507102

0 1458710 20001300 230867318 2544515292 27594559310 61012586542

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636

0 858 15444 206778 2496780 -2085242

0 15444 284169.6 3870266.4 47361600 -28166193.6

0 206778 3870266.4 53432979.6 661028940 -293438296.4

0 2496780 47361600 661028940 8250606000 -2868063960

TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636

1 18 241 2910 -2430.351981


0 6177.6 148262.4 2419560 9368162.4

0 148262.4 3599481.6 59304960 209105025.6

0 2419560 59304960 984976200 3199990260

CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636

1 18 241 2910 -2430.351981

1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805

0 41184 1235520 -15730872

0 1235520 37315200 -469206680

QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636

1 18 241 2910 -2430.351981

1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805

1 30 -381.9656177

0 249600 2719480

SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 Ci
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 429368.45455 →
1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 43792.563636 →
1 18 241 2910 -2430.351981 →
1 24 391.6666667 1516.472805 →
1 30 -381.9656177 →
1 10.895352565 →


h1+37496⋅h2+3756 9⋅h3+38209 14⋅h4+392567⋅h5=2309 81704 ¿
h0 = -263597.152

h1 = 460588.402

h2 = -120005.906

h3 = 14260.9551

h4 = -708.826195

h5 = 10.8953526
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 6
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9967131


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9983552
cálculo estimado de error = 0.33

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS CON SU


AJUSTE POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 6
700000
DATOS Y AJUSTE

600000

500000

400000

300000

200000
400000

300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Datos Históricos
TIEMPOAjuste de grado 6
GRADO 6
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH
1 1 1 1 1 92270 92270 92270
256 512 1024 2048 4096 544284 1088568 2177136
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1146375 3439125 10317375
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 1589132 6356528 25426112
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 2022765 10113825 50569125
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 2547540 15285240 91711440
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 3268258 22877806 160144642
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 3947288 31578304 252626432
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 4845222 43606998 392462982
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 6133310 61333100 613331000
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 7019056 77209616 849305776
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09

ICOS CON SU
O6
8 9 10 11

ste de grado 6
T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 92270 92270 429368.455 90241.9691 1.1364E+11 4112909.14
4354272 8708544 17417088 429368.455 281631.581 2.472E+10 90052139
30952125 92856375 278569125 429368.455 367800.963 2231943997 205178024
101704448 406817792 1627271168 429368.455 400325.06 1029476393 9254130.37
252845625 1264228125 6321140625 429368.455 413093.316 615806784 72936990.4
550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 429368.455 426987.516 22833627.8 5748082.21
1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 429368.455 453211.469 1408166562 187211643
2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 429368.455 495272.529 4101447628 3465289.29
3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 429368.455 549614.953 1.1879E+10 126718989
6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 429368.455 604905.112 3.3842E+10 70995588.3
9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 429368.455 639968.532 4.3567E+10 3506376.41
2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.371E+11 779180161
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES

2 3 4 5
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T

{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 5
DI=n⋅h0+1 T+h2 T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅
RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
11 66 506 4356 39974 381876

66 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966

506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214

39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676

381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526

3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11

PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

0 110 1320 13838 142032 1458710

0 1320 16698 181500 1911162 20001300

0 13838 181500 2024990 21737892 230867318


0 142032 1911162 21737892 236824698 2544515292

0 1458710 20001300 230867318 2544515292 27594559310

0 15067800 209591778 2447266140 27224390082 2.97492E+11

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261

0 858 15444 206778 2496780

0 15444 284169.6 3870266.4 47361600

0 206778 3870266.4 53432979.6 661028940

0 2496780 47361600 661028940 8250606000

0 28778178 551736900 7768846722 97678074780

TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261

1 18 241 2910

0 6177.6 148262.4 2419560

0 148262.4 3599481.6 59304960

0 2419560 59304960 984976200

0 33729696 833305824 13933576800

CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261


1 18 241 2910

1 24 391.66666667

0 41184 1235520

0 1235520 37315200

0 23793120 722779200

QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261

1 18 241 2910

1 24 391.66666667

1 30

0 249600

0 8985600

SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261

1 18 241 2910

1 24 391.66666667

1 30

SEPTIMA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5
1 6 46 396 3634 34716

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261

1 18 241 2910

1 24 391.66666667

1 30

1
ES

4 5 6
h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T

∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ { ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
6 7 8 9 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+h1⋅ T+h2⋅ T+h3⋅ T+h4⋅ T+h5⋅ T+h6⋅ ¿
L METODO DE GAUSS
S
h6 Ci
3749966 4723053

37567596 33155500

382090214 272981380

3932252676 2448164290

40851766526 23090081704

4.27676E+11 2.24978E+11

4.50586E+12 2.24219E+12

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

15067800 4817182

209591778 55720942

2447266140 577835302
27224390082 5926507102

2.97492E+11 61012586542

3.22747E+12 6.32074E+11

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

136980 43792.563636

28778178 -2085242

551736900 -28166193.6

7768846722 -293438296.4

97678074780 -2868063960

1.16348E+12 -27783687938

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

136980 43792.563636

33541 -2430.351981

33729696 9368162.4

833305824 209105025.6

13933576800 3199990260

1.98235E+11 42157413984

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

136980 43792.563636
33541 -2430.351981

5460 1516.472805

23793120 -15730872

722779200 -469206680

14070751200 -8992752720

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

136980 43792.563636

33541 -2430.351981

5460 1516.472805

577.72727273 -381.9656177

8985600 2719480

324816872.73 95401058.183

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455

136980 43792.563636

33541 -2430.351981

5460 1516.472805

577.72727273 -381.9656177

36 10.895352565

1335272.7256 -2500221.828

h6 Ci
340906 429368.45455 → h0 = -281654.309
136980 43792.563636 → h1 = 494602.858
33541 -2430.351981 → h2 = -141788.204
5460 1516.472805 → h3 = 20654.4962
577.72727273 -381.9656177 → h4 = -1649.30316
36 10.895352565 → h5 = 78.3032941
1 -1.87244282 → h6 = -1.87244282
REGRESION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 7
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
Historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9998463


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9999232
cálculo estimado de error = 0.02

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS CON


AJUSTE POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 7
DATOS Y AJUSTE

700000

600000

500000

400000

300000

200000
300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

TIEMPOAjuste de grado 7
Datos Historicos
GRADO 7
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T*DH
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 92270
256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 544284
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1594323 4782969 1146375
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 67108864 268435456 1589132
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 1220703125 6103515625 2022765
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 1.3061E+10 7.8364E+10 2547540
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 9.6889E+10 6.7822E+11 3268258
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 5.4976E+11 4.398E+12 3947288
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 2.5419E+12 2.2877E+13 4845222
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 1E+13 1E+14 6133310
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 3.4523E+13 3.7975E+14 7019056
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 4.773E+13 5.078E+14 33155500

TORICOS CON SU
RADO 7
7 8 9 10 11

uste de grado 7
T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH T7*DH dh DH*
92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 429368.455 92196.2391
1088568 2177136 4354272 8708544 17417088 34834176 429368.455 272641.939
3439125 10317375 30952125 92856375 278569125 835707375 429368.455 380699.145
6356528 25426112 101704448 406817792 1627271168 6509084672 429368.455 399543.352
10113825 50569125 252845625 1264228125 6321140625 3.1606E+10 429368.455 402149.404
15285240 91711440 550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 1.1886E+11 429368.455 426987.516
22877806 160144642 1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 3.8451E+11 429368.455 464155.381
31578304 252626432 2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 1.0348E+12 429368.455 496054.237
43606998 392462982 3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 2.5749E+12 429368.455 536716.772
61333100 613331000 6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 6.1333E+12 429368.455 613894.753
77209616 849305776 9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 1.2435E+13 429368.455 638014.262
272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.272E+13
SISTEMA D
(DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
2 3
1.1364E+11
2.472E+10
5440.67768
249938.993
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T

{∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑
2231943997 2033063.13
1029476393 5109192.48

2 3 4 567 2 3 4 5 6782 2 3 4 5 6 7893 3


615806784 5777272.98

DI=n⋅h0+1 Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6 +7⋅T¿ DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅
22833627.8 5748082.01
1408166562 7500034.87
4101447628 6986700.51
1.1879E+10 2693630.48
3.3842E+10 317817.993
4.3567E+10 6681.0673
2.371E+11 36427855

RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL


MATRIZ DE ECU
h0 h1 h2 h3
11 66 506 4356

66 506 4356 39974

506 4356 39974 381876

4356 39974 381876 3749966

39974 381876 3749966 37567596

381876 3749966 37567596 382090214

3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676

37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526

PRIMERA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396
0 110 1320 13838

0 1320 16698 181500

0 13838 181500 2024990

0 142032 1911162 21737892

0 1458710 20001300 230867318

0 15067800 209591778 2447266140

0 156684638 2204143260 25974998510

SEGUNDA ITE
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

0 858 15444

0 15444 284169.6

0 206778 3870266.4

0 2496780 47361600

0 28778178 551736900

0 323927604 6264071050

TERCERA ITE
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

1 18

0 6177.6

0 148262.4

0 2419560

0 33729696
0 433374177.6

CUARTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

1 18

QUINTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

1 18

SEXTA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8
1 18

SEPTIMA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

1 18

OCTAVA ITER
h0 h1 h2 h3
1 6 46 396

1 12 125.8

1 18

1
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES

2 3 4 5 6 7
h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T

∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 12 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 12 13
+h1⋅T 2 +h3⋅T 4 +h5⋅T 6 +h7⋅T¿ ⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+5⋅ +h6⋅T 7 ¿ T⋅DI=h0 T+1⋅ h2 T+3⋅ h4 T+h5⋅T+h6⋅ 7T¿
DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS
MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
39974 381876 3749966 37567596 4723053

381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 33155500

3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 272981380

37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 2448164290

382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11 23090081704

3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 2.24978E+11

40851766526 4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 4.77256E+13 2.24219E+12

4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 4.77256E+13 5.07788E+14 2.27201E+13

PRIMERA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455
142032 1458710 15067800 156684638 4817182

1911162 20001300 209591778 2204143260 55720942

21737892 230867318 2447266140 25974998510 577835302

236824698 2544515292 27224390082 2.91155E+11 5926507102

2544515292 27594559310 2.97492E+11 3.20166E+12 61012586542

27224390082 2.97492E+11 3.22747E+12 3.49186E+13 6.32074E+11

2.91155E+11 3.20166E+12 3.49186E+13 3.79485E+14 6.58971E+12

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636

206778 2496780 28778178 323927604 -2085242

3870266.4 47361600 551736900 6264071049.6 -28166193.6

53432979.6 661028940 7768846722 88844141786 -293438296.4

661028940 8250606000 97678074780 1.12387E+12 -2868063960

7768846722 97678074780 1.16348E+12 1.34559E+13 -27783687938

88844141786 1.12387E+12 1.34559E+13 1.56303E+14 -2.71909E+11

TERCERA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636

241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981

148262.4 2419560 33729696 433374177.6 9368162.4

3599481.6 59304960 833305824 10777589222 209105025.6

59304960 984976200 13933576800 1.81236E+11 3199990260

833305824 13933576800 1.98235E+11 2.59104E+12 42157413984


10777589222 1.81236E+11 2.59104E+12 3.40079E+13 5.1535E+11

CUARTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636

241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981

24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805

41184 1235520 23793120 376608960 -15730872

1235520 37315200 722779200 11497718400 -469206680

23793120 722779200 14070751200 2.24814E+11 -8992752720

376608960 11497718400 2.24814E+11 3.60565E+12 -1.41851E+11

QUINTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636

241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981

24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805

1 30 577.72727273 9144.5454545 -381.9656177

0 249600 8985600 199449600 2719480

0 8985600 324816872.73 7236267055 95401058.183

0 199449600 7236267055 1.61737E+11 2001087658

SEXTA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636


241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981

24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805

1 30 577.72727273 9144.5454545 -381.9656177

1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565

0 1335272.7256 56081454.488 -2500221.828

0 56081454.499 2361460631 -171986053

SEPTIMA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455

1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636

241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981

24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805

1 30 577.72727273 9144.5454545 -381.9656177

1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565

1 42.000000008 -1.87244282

0 6039541.0961 -66976736.07

OCTAVA ITERACION
h4 h5 h6 h7 Ci
3634 34716 340906 3415236 429368.45455 → h0 =
1291.2 13261 136980 1424405.8 43792.563636 → h1 =
241 2910 33541 377538 -2430.351981 → h2 =
24 391.66666667 5460 70152.515152 1516.472805 → h3 =
1 30 577.72727273 9144.5454545 -381.9656177 → h4 =
1 36 799.07692307 10.895352565 → h5 =
1 42.000000008 -1.87244282 → h6 =
1 -11.08970616 → h7 =
236618.06801

-628214.5367

739382.32215

-316072.1786

67857.562853

-7827.804144

463.8952158

-11.08970616
REGERSION POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 8
Datos
TIEMPO T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7
historicos
1 92270 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 272142 4 8 16 32 64 128
3 382125 9 27 81 243 729 2187
4 397283 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384
5 404553 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125
6 424590 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936
7 466894 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543
8 493411 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152
9 538358 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969
10 613331 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000
11 638096 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171
66 4723053 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

coeficiente de determinación = 0.9998655


coeficiente de correlación = 0.9999327
cálculo estimado de error = 0.01

CONTRASTACION DE LOS DATOS HISTORICOS CON SU AJUST


POLINOMIAL DE GRADO 8
700000
Datos y Ajuste

600000

500000

400000

300000

200000

100000
300000

200000

100000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Datos HistóricosPeriodo
Ajuste de grado 8
GRADO 8
T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T15
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
256 512 1024 2048 4096 8192 16384 32768
6561 19683 59049 177147 531441 1594323 4782969 14348907
65536 262144 1048576 4194304 16777216 67108864 268435456 1073741824
390625 1953125 9765625 48828125 244140625 1220703125 6103515625 3.0518E+10
1679616 10077696 60466176 362797056 2176782336 1.3061E+10 7.8364E+10 4.7018E+11
5764801 40353607 282475249 1977326743 1.3841E+10 9.6889E+10 6.7822E+11 4.7476E+12
16777216 134217728 1073741824 8589934592 6.8719E+10 5.4976E+11 4.398E+12 3.5184E+13
43046721 387420489 3486784401 3.1381E+10 2.8243E+11 2.5419E+12 2.2877E+13 2.0589E+14
100000000 1000000000 1E+10 1E+11 1E+12 1E+13 1E+14 1E+15
214358881 2357947691 2.5937E+10 2.8531E+11 3.1384E+12 3.4523E+13 3.7975E+14 4.1772E+15
382090214 3.932E+09 4.085E+10 4.277E+11 4.506E+12 4.773E+13 5.078E+14 5.424E+15

S CON SU AJUSTE
8 9 10 11

e grado 8
T16 T*DH T2*DH T3*DH T4*DH T5*DH T6*DH T7*DH
1 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270 92270
65536 544284 1088568 2177136 4354272 8708544 17417088 34834176
43046721 1146375 3439125 10317375 30952125 92856375 278569125 835707375
4294967296 1589132 6356528 25426112 101704448 406817792 1627271168 6509084672
1.5259E+11 2022765 10113825 50569125 252845625 1264228125 6321140625 3.1606E+10
2.8211E+12 2547540 15285240 91711440 550268640 3301611840 1.981E+10 1.1886E+11
3.3233E+13 3268258 22877806 160144642 1121012494 7847087458 5.493E+10 3.8451E+11
2.8147E+14 3947288 31578304 252626432 2021011456 1.6168E+10 1.2934E+11 1.0348E+12
1.853E+15 4845222 43606998 392462982 3532166838 3.179E+10 2.8611E+11 2.5749E+12
1E+016 6133310 61333100 613331000 6133310000 6.1333E+10 6.1333E+11 6.1333E+12
4.595E+16 7019056 77209616 849305776 9342363536 1.0277E+11 1.1304E+12 1.2435E+13
5.812E+16 33155500 272981380 2.448E+09 2.309E+10 2.25E+11 2.242E+12 2.272E+13
T8*DH dh DH* (DH - dh)2 (DH - DH*)2
92270 429368.455 92260.8832 1.1364E+11 83.1168721
69668352 429368.455 272241.146 2.472E+10 9829.84943
2507122125 429368.455 381642.948 2231943997 232373.697
2.6036E+10 429368.455 398664.193 1029476393 1907693.65
1.5803E+11 429368.455 401968.401 615806784 6680153.88
7.1315E+11 429368.455 427892.533 22833627.8 10906723.4
2.6916E+12 429368.455 463974.378 1408166562 8524195.45
8.2781E+12 429368.455 495175.077 4101447628 3111968.73
2.3175E+13 429368.455 537660.575 1.1879E+10 486401.489
6.1333E+13 429368.455 613493.96 3.3842E+10 26556.046
1.3678E+14 429368.455 638078.906 4.3567E+10 292.195563
2.332E+14 2.371E+11 31886272
SISTEMA DE ECUACIONES

2 3 4 5 6
DI =h0 +h1⋅T + h2⋅T +h3⋅T +h 4⋅T +h5⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T

{∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 3 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 1
DI=n⋅h0+1T2 +h3⋅T4 +h5⋅T6+h7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅
RESOLUCION DEL SISTEMA LINEAL POR EL METODO DE GAUSS

MATRIZ DE ECUACIONES
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
11 66 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966

66 506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596

506 4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214

4356 39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676

39974 381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526

381876 3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11

3749966 37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12

37567596 382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 4.77256E+13

382090214 3932252676 40851766526 4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 4.77256E+13 5.07788E+14

PRIMERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

0 110 1320 13838 142032 1458710 15067800

0 1320 16698 181500 1911162 20001300 209591778

0 13838 181500 2024990 21737892 230867318 2447266140

0 142032 1911162 21737892 236824698 2544515292 27224390082

0 1458710 20001300 230867318 2544515292 27594559310 2.97492E+11

0 15067800 209591778 2447266140 27224390082 2.97492E+11 3.22747E+12

0 156684638 2204143260 25974998510 2.91155E+11 3.20166E+12 3.49186E+13

0 1639711392 23275616682 2.76368E+11 3.11734E+12 3.44609E+13 3.77531E+14

SEGUNDA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

0 858 15444 206778 2496780 28778178

0 15444 284169.6 3870266.4 47361600 551736900

0 206778 3870266.4 53432979.6 661028940 7768846722

0 2496780 47361600 661028940 8250606000 97678074780

0 28778178 551736900 7768846722 97678074780 1.16348E+12

0 323927604 6264071049.6 88844141786 1.12387E+12 1.34559E+13

0 3599079978 70092572378 1.00015E+12 1.27167E+13 1.52923E+14

TERCERA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

0 6177.6 148262.4 2419560 33729696


0 148262.4 3599481.6 59304960 833305824

0 2419560 59304960 984976200 13933576800

0 33729696 833305824 13933576800 1.98235E+11

0 433374177.6 10777589222 1.81236E+11 2.59104E+12

0 5309132774 1.32767E+11 2.24339E+12 3.22064E+13

CUARTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

0 41184 1235520 23793120

0 1235520 37315200 722779200

0 23793120 722779200 14070751200

0 376608960 11497718400 2.24814E+11

0 5348264544 1.63983E+11 3.21852E+12

QUINTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

1 30 577.72727273

0 249600 8985600

0 8985600 324816872.73

0 199449600 7236267055
0 3535257600 1.28679E+11

SEXTA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

1 30 577.72727273

1 36

0 1335272.7256

0 56081454.499

0 1409513890

SEPTIMA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

1 30 577.72727273

1 36

OCTAVA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

1 30 577.72727273

1 36

NOVENA ITERACION
h0 h1 h2 h3 h4 h5 h6
1 6 46 396 3634 34716 340906

1 12 125.8 1291.2 13261 136980

1 18 241 2910 33541

1 24 391.66666667 5460

1 30 577.72727273

1 36

1
ONES

5 6 7 8
⋅T +h 6⋅T +h7⋅T + h8⋅T

∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑ {∑ ∑ ∑
5 6 7 8 9 10 12 3 6 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 13 4 7 7 8 9 10 1 12 3 14 5
T+h1⋅ 2T+h3⋅ 4T+h5⋅ 6T+h7⋅ 8¿T⋅DI=h0 +1⋅Th2 +3⋅Th4 +5⋅Th6+7⋅ 8T¿ ⋅DI=h0T+1⋅ h2T+3⋅ h4T+5⋅ h6T+7⋅ 8¿
R EL METODO DE GAUSS

h7 h8 Ci
37567596 382090214 4723053

382090214 3932252676 33155500

3932252676 40851766526 272981380

40851766526 4.27676E+11 2448164290

4.27676E+11 4.50586E+12 23090081704

4.50586E+12 4.77256E+13 2.24978E+11

4.77256E+13 5.07788E+14 2.24219E+12

5.07788E+14 5.42357E+15 2.27201E+13

5.42357E+15 5.81204E+16 2.33159E+14

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

156684638 1639711392 4817182

2204143260 23275616682 55720942

25974998510 2.76368E+11 577835302

2.91155E+11 3.11734E+12 5926507102

3.20166E+12 3.44609E+13 61012586542

3.49186E+13 3.77531E+14 6.32074E+11

3.79485E+14 4.11864E+15 6.58971E+12

4.11864E+15 4.48484E+16 6.91011E+13

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

323927604 3599079978 -2085242

6264071049.6 70092572378 -28166193.6

88844141786 1.00015E+12 -293438296.4

1.12387E+12 1.27167E+13 -2868063960

1.34559E+13 1.52923E+14 -27783687938

1.56303E+14 1.78303E+15 -2.71909E+11

1.78303E+15 2.0406E+16 -2.70606E+12

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

433374177.6 5309132774 9368162.4


10777589222 1.32767E+11 209105025.6

1.81236E+11 2.24339E+12 3199990260

2.59104E+12 3.22064E+13 42157413984

3.40079E+13 4.24241E+14 5.1535E+11

4.24241E+14 5.30887E+15 6.04098E+12

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805

376608960 5348264544 -15730872

11497718400 1.63983E+11 -469206680

2.24814E+11 3.21852E+12 -8992752720

3.60565E+12 5.17919E+13 -1.41851E+11

5.17919E+13 7.46114E+14 -2.01018E+12

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805

9144.5454545 129862.67832 -381.9656177

199449600 3535257600 2719480

7236267055 1.28679E+11 95401058.183

1.61737E+11 2.88443E+12 2001087658


2.88443E+12 5.15741E+13 32673664976

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805

9144.5454545 129862.67832 -381.9656177

799.07692307 14163.692308 10.895352565

56081454.488 1409513890 -2500221.828

2361460631 59489481360 -171986053

59489481376 1.50182E+12 -5844212985

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805

9144.5454545 129862.67832 -381.9656177

799.07692307 14163.692308 10.895352565

42.000000008 1055.6000003 -1.87244282

6039541.0961 289897973.91 -66976736.07

289897972.28 13936702971 -3204978822

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805

9144.5454545 129862.67832 -381.9656177

799.07692307 14163.692308 10.895352565

42.000000008 1055.6000003 -1.87244282

1 48.000000215 -11.08970616

0 21600238.617 9904505.7345

h7 h8 Ci
3415236 34735474 429368.45455 → h0 = 345194.267

1424405.8 14906467.2 43792.563636 → h1 = -890525.535

377538 4194731.9091 -2430.351981 → h2 = 980289.24

70152.515152 859416.72727 1516.472805 → h3 = -428962.83

9144.5454545 129862.67832 -381.9656177 → h4 = 97982.6244

799.07692307 14163.692308 10.895352565 → h5 = -12588.5174

42.000000008 1055.6000003 -1.87244282 → h6 = 904.274027

1 48.000000215 -11.08970616 → h7 = -33.0994759

1 0.4585368667 → h8 = 0.45853687

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