Una compañía aérea recopilo una muestra de 15 meses, con la finalidad de construir un modelo de regresión que

permita hacer proyecciones de sus gastos de publicidad (miles de dólares) y el número de pasajeros (en miles) qu
solicitan los servicios de la compañía, los datos se muestran en la siguiente tabla.

Observaciones Publicidad x Pasajeros y x*y x^2

1 10 15 150 100
2 12 17 204 144
3 8 13 104 64
4 17 23 391 289
5 10 16 160 100
6 15 21 315 225
7 10 14 140 100
8 14 20 280 196
9 19 24 456 361
10 10 17 170 100
11 11 16 176 121
12 13 18 234 169
13 16 23 368 256
14 10 15 150 100
15 12 16 192 144
187 268 3490 2469

Publicidad y pasajeros
Column C Linear (Column C)
30
25
20 f(x) = 1.08131655372701 x + 4.38625363020329
Axis Title

R² = 0.937756669653004
15
10
5
0
6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Axis Title
delo de regresión que le
asajeros (en miles) que

SCE SCT SCR

ygorrito y-ygorrito (yi-ygorrito)^2(yi-ytest)^2(ygorrito-test)^2
15.1994192 -0.19941917 0.039768 8.21777778 7.11420922 b=
17.3620523 -0.36205227 0.13108185 0.75111111 0.25463568 a=
13.0367861 -0.03678606 0.00135321 23.6844444 23.3277467 ytest=
22.768635 0.23136496 0.05352974 26.3511111 24.029294 Se=
15.1994192 0.80058083 0.64092967 3.48444444 7.11420922 r^2=
20.6060019 0.39399806 0.15523447 9.81777778 7.50395772 r=
15.1994192 -1.19941917 1.43860634 14.9511111 7.11420922 error=
19.5246854 0.47531462 0.22592399 4.55111111 2.74902606
24.9312682 -0.93126815 0.86726037 37.6177778 49.9085941 fc
15.1994192 1.80058083 3.24209133 0.75111111 7.11420922 ft
16.2807357 -0.28073572 0.07881255 3.48444444 2.51517696 v.p
18.4433688 -0.44336883 0.19657592 0.01777778 0.33258538 𝑅_𝑎^2
21.6873185 1.31268151 1.72313275 26.3511111 14.5973804
15.1994192 -0.19941917 0.039768 8.21777778 7.11420922
17.3620523 -1.36205227 1.8551864 3.48444444 0.25463568
10.6892546 171.733333 161.044079

Fc>Ft R.ho
Fc<Ft A.ho

𝑅_𝑎^2=1−[((𝑛−1)/(𝑛−𝑘−1))]*(1-R^2)
 1.0813165537
4.3862536302
17.866666667
0.9067802125
94%
0.9683783711
10.689254598
114.48888889
196.02
4.6671927318
3.22164E-09
𝑅_𝑎^2 0.9329687212

))]*(1-R^2)
 𝑆_𝑦=𝑆𝑒√(1/𝑛+) ((𝑥_𝑖−𝑥 ̅)^2)/𝑆𝐶𝑋

ObservacionesPublicidad x Pasajeros y ygorrito y-ygorrito (xi-xtest)^2 Sy 𝐼𝐶 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝜇_𝑦 𝐼𝑥=𝑦 ̂±𝑡𝑠_𝑦

1 10 15 15.1994192 -0.19941917 6.08444444 0.30189409 14.5473279
2 12 17 17.3620523 -0.36205227 0.21777778 0.23688984 16.8503702
3 8 13 13.0367861 -0.03678606 19.9511111 0.41703989 12.1359799
4 17 23 22.768635 0.23136496 20.5511111 0.42131246 21.8586001
5 10 16 15.1994192 0.80058083 6.08444444 0.30189409 14.5473279
6 15 21 20.6060019 0.39399806 6.41777778 0.30517208 19.9468302
7 10 14 15.1994192 -1.19941917 6.08444444 0.30189409 14.5473279
8 14 20 19.5246854 0.47531462 2.35111111 0.26239764 18.9579065
9 19 24 24.9312682 -0.93126815 42.6844444 0.55645068 23.7293347
10 10 17 15.1994192 1.80058083 6.08444444 0.30189409 14.5473279
11 11 16 16.2807357 -0.28073572 2.15111111 0.26011257 15.7188926
12 13 18 18.4433688 -0.44336883 0.28444444 0.23772839 17.9298755
13 16 23 21.6873185 1.31268151 12.4844444 0.35964875 20.9104772
14 10 15 15.1994192 -0.19941917 6.08444444 0.30189409 14.5473279
15 12 16 17.3620523 -1.36205227 0.21777778 0.23688984 16.8503702
187 268 137.733333

Se 0.90678021
xtest= 12.4666667
Tt 2.16
𝑒√(1/𝑛+) ((𝑥_𝑖−𝑥 ̅)^2)/𝑆𝐶𝑋 𝑆_𝑌𝑖=𝑆𝑒√(1+1/𝑛+((𝑥_(𝑖−) 𝑥 ̅)^2)/𝑆𝐶𝑋)

𝐼𝐶 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝜇_𝑦 𝐼𝑥=𝑦 ̂±𝑡𝑠_𝑦 Syi 𝐼.𝐶.𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑌_𝑥= 𝑦 ̂±𝑡𝑆_𝑦𝑖

15.8515104 0.9557146 13.1350756 17.2637627
17.8737343 0.93721244 15.3376734 19.3864311
13.9375922 0.99808448 10.8809236 15.1926485
23.67867 0.99987726 20.6089002 24.9283699
15.8515104 0.9557146 13.1350756 17.2637627
21.2651736 0.95675512 18.5394109 22.672593
15.8515104 0.9557146 13.1350756 17.2637627
20.0914643 0.94398246 17.4856833 21.5636875
26.1332016 1.06390211 22.6332396 27.2292967
15.8515104 0.9557146 13.1350756 17.2637627
16.8425789 0.94334983 14.2431001 18.3183714
18.9568621 0.93742474 16.4185314 20.4682063
22.4641598 0.97549863 19.5802414 23.7943955
15.8515104 0.9557146 13.1350756 17.2637627
17.8737343 0.93721244 15.3376734 19.3864311
ObservacionesPublicidad x Pasajeros y
1 10 15 Resumen
2 12 17
3 8 13 Estadísticas de la regresión
4 17 23 Coeficiente d 0.96837837
5 10 16 Coeficiente d 0.93775667
6 15 21 R^2 ajustado 0.93296872
7 10 14 Error típico 0.90678021
8 14 20 Observacione 15
9 19 24
10 10 17 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
11 11 16 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
12 13 18 Regresión 1 161.044079 161.044079
13 16 23 Residuos 13 10.6892546 0.82225035
14 10 15 Total 14 171.733333
15 12 16
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t
Intercepción 4.38625363 0.99128246 4.42482725
Variable X 1 1.08131655 0.07726495 13.9949176

Análisis de los residuales

Observación
Pronóstico para YResiduos
1 15.1994192 -0.19941917
2 17.3620523 -0.36205227
3 13.0367861 -0.03678606
4 22.768635 0.23136496
5 15.1994192 0.80058083
6 20.6060019 0.39399806
7 15.1994192 -1.19941917
8 19.5246854 0.47531462
9 24.9312682 -0.93126815
10 15.1994192 1.80058083
11 16.2807357 -0.28073572
12 18.4433688 -0.44336883
13 21.6873185 1.31268151
14 15.1994192 -0.19941917
15 17.3620523 -1.36205227
 F Valor crítico de F
195.857719 3.238E-09

ProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
0.00068561 2.24471808 6.52778918 2.24471808 6.52778918
3.238E-09 0.91439579 1.24823732 0.91439579 1.24823732
 SCE
Obs Tamano (x) Costos (y) x*y x^2 ygorrito y-ygorrito (yi-ygorrito)^2
1 5 31.6 158 25 36.5591674 -4.9591674 24.5933413
2 7 32.4 226.8 49 39.2575731 -6.85757307 47.0263085
3 10 41.7 417 100 43.3051816 -1.60518158 2.57660789
4 10 50.2 502 100 43.3051816 6.89481842 47.5385211
5 12 46.2 554.4 144 46.0035872 0.19641275 0.03857797
6 20 58.2 1164 400 56.7972099 1.40279008 1.96782001
7 22 59.3 1304.6 484 59.4956156 -0.19561559 0.03826546
8 15 48.4 726 225 50.0511957 -1.65119575 2.7264474
9 30 63.7 1911 900 70.2892383 -6.58923826 43.4180609
10 40 85.3 3412 1600 83.7812666 1.51873339 2.30655112
11 12 53.4 640.8 144 46.0035872 7.39641275 54.7069216
12 15 54.5 817.5 225 50.0511957 4.44880425 19.7918593
198 624.9 11834.1 4396 246.729283

b= 1.34920283
a= 29.8131532
ytest= 52.075
Se= 4.96718514
r^2= 89%
r= 0.94488891
error= 246.729283
1534.60167
fc 196.02
ft 4.66719273
v.p 3.2216E-09
𝑅_𝑎^2 0.94640753
 SCT SCR
(yi-ytest)^2(ygorrito-test)^2
PFITS AJTEPEE LIMC LIMC_1 LIMP LIMP_1
419.225625 240.741061 36.5591674 2.22401461 31.603754 41.5145808 24.4328568 48.685478
387.105625 164.286433 39.2575731 2.00708292 34.7855136 43.7296325 27.3206303 51.1945159
107.640625 76.9097152 43.3051816 1.72609384 39.4592048 47.1511583 31.5884062 55.0219569
3.515625 76.9097152 43.3051816 1.72609384 39.4592048 47.1511583 31.5884062 55.0219569
34.515625 36.8620528 46.0035872 1.5807013 42.4815653 49.5256092 34.3891167 57.6180578
37.515625 22.2992665 56.7972099 1.52439702 53.4006417 60.1937781 45.2201653 68.3742546
52.200625 55.0655357 59.4956156 1.64837935 55.8227975 63.1684337 47.8345316 71.1566996
13.505625 4.09578365 50.0511957 1.45094741 46.8182835 53.284108 38.5211043 61.5812872
135.140625 331.758476 70.2892383 2.45742354 64.8137574 75.7647191 57.9412758 82.6372008
1103.90063 1005.28734 83.7812666 3.75830182 75.4072483 92.1552849 69.9026691 97.6598642
1.755625 36.8620528 46.0035872 1.5807013 42.4815653 49.5256092 34.3891167 57.6180578
5.880625 4.09578365 50.0511957 1.45094741 46.8182835 53.284108 38.5211043 61.5812872
2301.9025 2055.17322
 Costos (y)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Obs Tamano (x) Costos (y)
1 5 31.6 Resumen
2 7 32.4
3 10 41.7 Estadísticas de la regresión
4 10 50.2 Coeficiente d 0.94488891
5 12 46.2 Coeficiente d 0.89281506
6 20 58.2 R^2 ajustado 0.88209657
7 22 59.3 Error típico 4.96718514
8 15 48.4 Observacione 12
9 30 63.7
10 40 85.3 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA Ho: b=0
11 12 53.4 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
12 15 54.5 Regresión 1 2055.17322 2055.17322
198 624.9 Residuos 10 246.729283 24.6729283
Total 11 2301.9025

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t

Intercepción 29.8131532 2.82944721 10.5367413
Variable X 1 1.34920283 0.14783027 9.12670195

Análisis de los residuales

Observación
Pronóstico para YResiduos
1 36.5591674 -4.9591674
2 39.2575731 -6.85757307
3 43.3051816 -1.60518158
4 43.3051816 6.89481842
5 46.0035872 0.19641275
6 56.7972099 1.40279008
7 59.4956156 -0.19561559
8 50.0511957 -1.65119575
9 70.2892383 -6.58923826
10 83.7812666 1.51873339
11 46.0035872 7.39641275
12 50.0511957 4.44880425
 Variable X 1 Gráfico de los r
les
10

Residuos
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 3
-10
Ha: b≠0 Variable X 1
F Valor crítico de F
83.2966884 3.6486E-06

ProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
9.8238E-07 23.508752 36.1175545 23.508752 36.1175545
3.6486E-06 1.01981646 1.67858921 1.01981646 1.67858921

Condiciones
Fc>Ft R.ho
Fc<Ft A.ho

V.P>n.s A.Ho
V.p<n.s R.Ho
e X 1 Gráfico de los residua-
les

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Variable X 1
 Obs Tamano (x) Costos (y) ygorrito (xi-Xtest) (xi-xtest)^2 Sy
1 5 31.6 36.5591674 -11.5 132.25 2.22401461 31.603754
2 7 32.4 39.2575731 -9.5 90.25 2.00708292 34.7855136
3 10 41.7 43.3051816 -6.5 42.25 1.72609384 39.4592048
4 10 50.2 43.3051816 -6.5 42.25 1.72609384 39.4592048
5 12 46.2 46.0035872 -4.5 20.25 1.5807013 42.4815653
6 20 58.2 56.7972099 3.5 12.25 1.52439702 53.4006417
7 22 59.3 59.4956156 5.5 30.25 1.64837935 55.8227975
8 15 48.4 50.0511957 -1.5 2.25 1.45094741 46.8182835
9 30 63.7 70.2892383 13.5 182.25 2.45742354 64.8137574
10 40 85.3 83.7812666 23.5 552.25 3.75830182 75.4072483
11 12 53.4 46.0035872 -4.5 20.25 1.5807013 42.4815653
12 15 54.5 50.0511957 -1.5 2.25 1.45094741 46.8182835
198 624.9 1129

ytest= 16.5
Se= 4.96718514
Tt= 2.22813885
 Syi 𝐼.𝐶.𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑌_𝑥= 𝑦 ̂±𝑡𝑆_𝑦𝑖 𝐼𝐶 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝜇_𝑦 𝐼𝑥=𝑦 ̂±𝑡𝑠_𝑦
41.5145808 5.44234961 24.4328568 48.685478 PFITS AJTEPEE LIMC
43.7296325 5.35736037 27.3206303 51.1945159 36.5591674 2.22401461 31.603754
47.1511583 5.25854811 31.5884062 55.0219569 39.2575731 2.00708292 34.7855136
47.1511583 5.25854811 31.5884062 55.0219569 43.3051816 1.72609384 39.4592048
49.5256092 5.2126332 34.3891167 57.6180578 43.3051816 1.72609384 39.4592048
60.1937781 5.19583627 45.2201653 68.3742546 46.0035872 1.5807013 42.4815653
63.1684337 5.23355355 47.8345316 71.1566996 56.7972099 1.52439702 53.4006417
53.284108 5.17476344 38.5211043 61.5812872 59.4956156 1.64837935 55.8227975
75.7647191 5.5418281 57.9412758 82.6372008 50.0511957 1.45094741 46.8182835
92.1552849 6.22878486 69.9026691 97.6598642 70.2892383 2.45742354 64.8137574
49.5256092 5.2126332 34.3891167 57.6180578 83.7812666 3.75830182 75.4072483
53.284108 5.17476344 38.5211043 61.5812872 46.0035872 1.5807013 42.4815653
50.0511957 1.45094741 46.8182835
LIMC_1 LIMP LIMP_1
41.5145808 24.4328568 48.685478
43.7296325 27.3206303 51.1945159
47.1511583 31.5884062 55.0219569
47.1511583 31.5884062 55.0219569
49.5256092 34.3891167 57.6180578
60.1937781 45.2201653 68.3742546
63.1684337 47.8345316 71.1566996
53.284108 38.5211043 61.5812872
75.7647191 57.9412758 82.6372008
92.1552849 69.9026691 97.6598642
49.5256092 34.3891167 57.6180578
53.284108 38.5211043 61.5812872