AÑO 2018 2015 2016 2017

Mes Rendimiento Notas Conducta Rendimiento Rendimiento Rendimiento

1 0.77 8.5 6.2 0.81 0.79 0.77
2 0.79 8.6 6.8 0.81 0.77 0.77
3 0.82 8.6 7.4 0.85 0.81 0.82
4 0.82 8.7 7.2 0.87 0.81 0.83
5 0.84 8.9 7.8 0.77 0.85 0.84
6 0.85 8.93 8.16 0.87 0.87 0.87
7 0.87 9.02 8.52 0.82 0.77 0.82
8 0.89 9.11 8.88 0.84 0.82 0.84
9 0.91 9.2 9.24 0.85 0.83 0.85
10 0.92 9.29 9.6 0.91 0.85 0.87
11 0.94 9.38 9.96 0.92 0.87 0.89
12 0.98 0.94 0.89 0.85

¿si hay diferencias significativas con los rendimientos del 2015 al 2018?

R2015 R2016 R2017 R2018 SCT

0.81 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.001299 0.00314067
0.81 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.001299 0.00578234
0.85 0.81 0.82 0.82 1.56684E-05 0.001299
0.87 0.81 0.83 0.82 0.000574 0.001299
0.77 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.00578234 1.56684E-05
0.87 0.87 0.87 0.85 0.000574 0.000574
0.82 0.77 0.82 0.87 0.00067817 0.00578234
0.84 0.82 0.84 0.89 3.65017E-05 0.00067817
0.85 0.83 0.85 0.91 1.56684E-05 0.00025734
0.91 0.85 0.87 0.92 0.00409067 1.56684E-05
0.92 0.87 0.89 0.94 0.00546984 0.000574
0.94 0.89 0.85 0.98 0.00882817 0.00193234
0.855 0.8275 0.835 0.86666666667 0.84604167
Ⴟ1 Ⴟ2 Ⴟ3 Ⴟ4 ႿG

n 12
Tr 4

cuánto se necesita en notas y conducta promedios para obtener un rendimiento del 0.98 en el año actual 2018?
AÑO 2018
Mes Rendimiento (y) Notas (x1) Conducta (x2) x1*y (x1)^2 x1*x2
1 0.77 8.5 6.2 6.545 72.25 52.7
2 0.79 8.6 6.8 6.794 73.96 58.48
3 0.82 8.6 7.4 7.052 73.96 63.64
4 0.82 8.7 7.2 7.134 75.69 62.64
 5 0.84 8.9 7.8 7.476 79.21 69.42
6 0.85 8.93 8.16 7.5905 79.7449 72.8688
7 0.87 9.02 8.52 7.8474 81.3604 76.8504
8 0.89 9.11 8.88 8.1079 82.9921 80.8968
9 0.91 9.2 9.24 8.372 84.64 85.008
10 0.92 9.29 9.6 8.5468 86.3041 89.184
11 0.94 9.38 9.96 8.8172 87.9844 93.4248
9.42 98.23 89.76 84.2828 878.0959 805.1128
12 0.9152035856022 10 10
0.8563636363636

E.G 9.42 = 11a + 98.23b1 + 89.76b2 98.23

E.2 84.28 = 98.23a + 878.09b1 + 805.11b2 -11
925.32 = 1080.53a +9649.13b1+8817.12b2
"-927.08 = -1080.53a -9658.99b1-8856.21b2
E.4 "-1.76 = -9.85b1 -39.09b2

b1 "(-39.09b2 + 1.76)/9.85
-0.03958883
"(-39.09b2 + 1.76)/9.85 = (-158.83b2 + 7.19)/39.09
"39.09(-39.09b2 + 1.76) = 9.85(-158.83b2 + 7.19)
E.G 9.42 = 11a + 98.23b1 + 89.76b2 "-1528.02b2 + 68.79 = -1564.47b2 + 70.82
"-11a = -9.42 + 98.23b1 + 89.76b2 "-1528.02b2 + 1564.47b2 = 70.82 - 68.79
0.7610919104753 36.45b2 = 2.03
b2 0.055

n 16
40
Cómo serán los tres trimestres del 2019? 1600
Año y Año x y t(N.C.)
0.81 1 2.47
0.81 2 2.51 2.565
2015
0.85 3 2.51 2.54
0.87 4 2.77 2.545
0.77 1 2.37 2.5225
0.87 2 2.53 2.4825
2015 2016
0.82 3 2.42 2.48
0.84 4 2.61 2.4825
0.85 1 2.36 2.505
0.91 2 2.54 2.505
2017
 2017
0.92 3 2.51 2.51
0.94 4 2.61 2.5025
0.79 1 2.38 2.5425
0.77 2 2.51 2.6
2018
0.81 3 2.67
0.81 4 2.84
0.85 1
0.87 2019 2
2016
0.77 3
0.82
0.83
0.85
0.87
0.89
0.77
0.77
0.82
0.83
0.84
0.87
2017
0.82
0.84
0.85
0.87
0.89
0.85
0.77
0.79
0.82
0.82
0.84
0.85
2018
0.87
0.89
0.91
0.92
0.94
0.98
endimiento

Origen V
SCT SCR SCT 0.11554792
0.00578234 0.00578234 0.002025 0.00140625 0.004225 0.00934444 SCtr 0.01165625
0.00578234 0.00314067 0.002025 0.00330625 0.004225 0.00587778 SCR 0.10389167
0.00067817 0.00067817 0.000025 0.00030625 0.000225 0.00217778
0.00025734 0.00067817 0.000225 0.00030625 0.000025 0.00217778 H0: M1=M2=M3=M4
3.65017E-05 3.65017E-05 0.007225 0.00050625 0.000025 0.00071111 H1: M1≠M2≠M3≠M4
0.000574 1.56684E-05 0.000225 0.00180625 0.001225 0.00027778
0.00067817 0.000574 0.001225 0.00330625 0.000225 1.11111E-05
3.65017E-05 0.00193234 0.000225 5.625E-05 0.000025 0.00054444
1.56684E-05 0.00409067 0.000025 6.25E-06 0.000225 0.00187778
0.000574 0.00546984 0.003025 0.00050625 0.001225 0.00284444
0.00193234 0.00882817 0.004225 0.00180625 0.003025 0.00537778
1.56684E-05 0.01794484 0.007225 0.00390625 0.000225 0.01284444

n el año actual 2018? n 11

x2*y (x2)^2 ŷ e=y-ŷ SCE SCR

4.774 38.44 0.76558683 0.00441317 1.9476E-05 0.00824043 Chart T
5.372 46.24 0.79462795 -0.00462795 2.14179E-05 0.00381129 12
6.068 54.76 0.82762795 -0.00762795 5.81856E-05 0.00082574 10
5.904 51.84 0.81266907 0.00733093 5.37426E-05 0.00190922
8
6
4
2
 Chart T
12
10
8
6.552 60.84 0.8377513 0.0022487 5.05665E-06 0.00034642
6
6.936 66.5856 0.85636364 -0.00636364 4.04959E-05 0
0.87260064 4
7.4124 72.5904 -0.00260064 6.76334E-06 0.00026364
7.9032 78.8544 0.88883765 0.00116235 1.35107E-06 0.00105456 2

8.4084 85.3776 0.90507465 0.00492535 2.42591E-05 0.00237276 0

0.76 0.78 0.8 0.82 0.84 0.86
8.832 92.16 0.92131166 -0.00131166 1.72044E-06 0.00421825
9.3624 99.2016 0.93754866 0.00245134 6.00906E-06 0.00659101 Notas (x1)
Conducta (x2)
77.5244 746.8896 0.00023848 0.02963331
SCT 0.02987179
R^2 0.99201663
Sy 0.00545983

E.G 9.42 = 11a + 98.23b1 + 89.76b2 89.76

E.3 77.52 = 89.76a + 805.11b1 + 746.88b2 -11
845.53 = 987.36a +8817.12b1+8056.85b2
"-852.72 = -987.36a -8856.21b1-8215.68b2
E.5 "-7.19 = -39.09b1 -158.83b2

b1 "(-158.83b2 + 7.19)/39.09

158.83b2 + 7.19)/39.09
85(-158.83b2 + 7.19) y "0.7610-0.0395x1+0.055x2
4.47b2 + 70.82
70.82 - 68.79

-39.09
-2.14995
-0.38995
-0.03958883

40.29

t( C ) M.A.( y - Tc) IVEC y' x*y' x^2 b

-0.12 2.59 2.59 1 a
0.02708333 2.48291667 4.96583333 4
2.5525 -0.0425 -0.00708333 2.51708333 7.55125 9
2.5425 0.2275 0.18 2.59 10.36 16
2.53375 -0.16375 -0.12 2.49 2.49 1
2.5025 0.0275 0.02708333 2.50291667 5.00583333 4
2.48125 -0.06125 -0.00708333 2.42708333 7.28125 9
2.48125 0.12875 0.18 2.43 9.72 16
2.49375 -0.13375 -0.12 2.48 2.48 1
2.505 0.035 0.02708333 2.51291667 5.02583333 4
 2.5075 0.0025 -0.00708333 2.51708333 7.55125 9
2.50625 0.10375 0.18 2.43 9.72 16
2.5225 -0.1425 -0.12 2.5 2.5 1
2.57125 -0.06125 0.02708333 2.48291667 4.96583333 4
-0.00708333 2.67708333 8.03125 9
0.18 2.66 10.64 16
2.5065 100.878333 120
2.5141
2.5217

2015 2016 2017 2018 IVE IVEC

1 -0.16375 -0.13375 -0.1425 -0.14666667 -0.12
2 0.0275 0.035 -0.06125 0.00041667 0.02708333
3 -0.0425 -0.06125 0.0025 -0.03375 -0.00708333
4 0.2275 0.12875 0.10375 0.15333333 0.18
-0.02666667
 Gl C.M. F F-Critico
47 ------ ------
3 0.00388542 1.64554424 2.758
44 0.00236117 -------

0: M1=M2=M3=M4 No se rechaza H0
1: M1≠M2≠M3≠M4

Chart Title
 Chart Title

0.78 0.8 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.9 0.92 0.94 0.96

Notas (x1) Linear (Notas (x1))

Conducta (x2) Linear (Conducta (x2))

Chart Title
2.9

2.8

2.7

2.6
0.00766667
2.49895833 2.5
Axis Title

2.4
Resumen
2.3

Estadísticas de la regresión
2.2
Coeficiente d 0.11769701
Coeficiente d 0.01385259
2.1
R^2 ajustado-0.05658651
Error típico 0.07731487 2
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
2015 2016 2017
 2.1

2
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
Observacione 16 2015 2016 2017

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 0.00117556 0.00117556 0.19666048 0.66420634
Residuos 14 0.08368625 0.00597759
Total 15 0.08486181

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 2.49895833 0.0473455 52.7813319 1.64063E-17 2.39741234
x 0.00766667 0.01728813 0.44346418 0.66420634 -0.02941269
 Chart Title

y
t( C )
y'

2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
2016 2017 2018 2019
 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3
2016 2017 2018 2019

or crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
2.60050432 2.39741234 2.60050432
0.04474602 -0.02941269 0.04474602