Principales

resultados
sobre
energía
Industria

Consumo de energía final

Unidades:Miles de Tep

Periodo Año Mes Energias renovables

2008M04 2008 4 391
2008M05 2008 5 363
2008M06 2008 6 350
2008M07 2008 7 399
2008M08 2008 8 359
2008M09 2008 9 342
2008M10 2008 10 370
2008M11 2008 11 354
2008M12 2008 12 346
2009M01 2009 1 462
2009M02 2009 2 446
2009M03 2009 3 437
2009M04 2009 4 432
2009M05 2009 5 401
2009M06 2009 6 380
2009M07 2009 7 398
2009M08 2009 8 329
2009M09 2009 9 382
2009M10 2009 10 414
2009M11 2009 11 456
2009M12 2009 12 469
2010M01 2010 1 523
2010M02 2010 2 497
2010M03 2010 3 508
2010M04 2010 4 432
2010M05 2010 5 446
2010M06 2010 6 418
2010M07 2010 7 420
2010M08 2010 8 378
2010M09 2010 9 426
2010M10 2010 10 448
2010M11 2010 11 567
2010M12 2010 12 604
2011M01 2011 1 594
2011M02 2011 2 546
2011M03 2011 3 565
2011M04 2011 4 486
2011M05 2011 5 493
2011M06 2011 6 475
2011M07 2011 7 429
2011M08 2011 8 466
2011M09 2011 9 479
2011M10 2011 10 500
2011M11 2011 11 541
2011M12 2011 12 601
2012M01 2012 1 600
2012M02 2012 2 550
2012M03 2012 3 574
650

600
Consumo de energía final
Energías renovables
550 Unidades:Miles de Tep
523
508
500 497

469
462 456
450 446 446
437432 432
414 418420
400 399 401 398
391
380 382 37
370
363 359
350 350 354
342 346
329

300

250

200
04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08
08M 08M 08M 08M 08M 09M 09M 09M 09M 09M 09M 10M 10M 10M 10M
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2
gía final 604
594
601600
ables 567
574
565
de Tep 546 541
550

523
508
497 500
493
486
475 479
469 466
456
446 448
432 426 429
414 418420
98
382 378

329

08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02
9M 09M 09M 10M 10M 10M 10M 10M 10M 11M 11M 11M 11M 11M 11M 12M
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Promedio de Energias renovables Año
Mes 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 70
1 462 523 594 600
2 446 497 546 550
3 437 508 565 574
60
4 391 432 432 486
5 363 401 446 493
6 350 380 418 475
7 399 398 420 429 50
8 359 329 378 466
9 342 382 426 479
10 370 414 448 500 40
11 354 456 567 541
12 346 469 604 601

media 363.78 417 472 515 30

desv 18.618 39.45 64.8 51.65

20

10

0
200 250 300
250 300 350 400 450 500 550
Periodo Año Mes Energias renovabldt ct
2008M04 2008 4 391
2008M05 2008 5 363
2008M06 2008 6 350
2008M07 2008 7 399
2008M08 2008 8 359
2008M09 2008 9 342
2008M10 2008 10 370
2008M11 2008 11 354
2008M12 2008 12 346
2009M01 2009 1 462
2009M02 2009 2 446
2009M03 2009 3 437
2009M04 2009 4 432 41 1.1048593
2009M05 2009 5 401 38 1.1046832
2009M06 2009 6 380 30 1.0857143
2009M07 2009 7 398 -1 0.9974937
2009M08 2009 8 329 -30 0.9164345
2009M09 2009 9 382 40 1.1169591
2009M10 2009 10 414 44 1.1189189
2009M11 2009 11 456 102 1.2881356
2009M12 2009 12 469 123 1.3554913
2010M01 2010 1 523 61 1.1320346
2010M02 2010 2 497 51 1.1143498
2010M03 2010 3 508 71 1.1624714
2010M04 2010 4 432 0 1
2010M05 2010 5 446 45 1.1122195
2010M06 2010 6 418 38 1.1
2010M07 2010 7 420 22 1.0552764
2010M08 2010 8 378 49 1.1489362
2010M09 2010 9 426 44 1.1151832
2010M10 2010 10 448 34 1.0821256
2010M11 2010 11 567 111 1.2434211
2010M12 2010 12 604 135 1.2878465
2011M01 2011 1 594 71 1.1357553
2011M02 2011 2 546 49 1.0985915
2011M03 2011 3 565 57 1.1122047
2011M04 2011 4 486 54 1.125
2011M05 2011 5 493 47 1.1053812
2011M06 2011 6 475 57 1.1363636
2011M07 2011 7 429 9 1.0214286
2011M08 2011 8 466 88 1.2328042
2011M09 2011 9 479 53 1.1244131
2011M10 2011 10 500 52 1.1160714
2011M11 2011 11 541 -26 0.9541446
2011M12 2011 12 601 -3 0.9950331
2012M01 2012 1 600 6 1.010101
2012M02 2012 2 550 4 1.007326
2012M03 2012 3 574 9 1.0159292

media 43.75 1.11

desv 37.14 0.09
cv 0.85 0.08

Conclusión: Multiplicativo
Periodo Año Mes Y mm12 mmc IEVE IGVEA
2008M04 2008 4 391 100.21
2008M05 2008 5 363 98.07
2008M06 2008 6 350 91.78
2008M07 2008 7 399 89.25
2008M08 2008 8 359 82.60
2008M09 2008 9 342 384.92 90.32
2008M10 2008 10 370 388.33 386.63 95.70 94.77
2008M11 2008 11 354 391.50 389.92 90.79 104.04
2008M12 2008 12 346 394.00 392.75 88.10 106.01
2009M01 2009 1 462 393.92 393.96 117.27 118.79
2009M02 2009 2 446 391.42 392.67 113.58 111.82
2009M03 2009 3 437 394.75 393.08 111.17 112.34
2009M04 2009 4 432 398.42 396.58 108.93 100.21
2009M05 2009 5 401 406.92 402.67 99.59 98.07
2009M06 2009 6 380 417.17 412.04 92.22 91.78
2009M07 2009 7 398 422.25 419.71 94.83 89.25
2009M08 2009 8 329 426.50 424.38 77.53 82.60
2009M09 2009 9 382 432.42 429.46 88.95 90.32
2009M10 2009 10 414 432.42 432.42 95.74 94.77
2009M11 2009 11 456 436.17 434.29 105.00 104.04
2009M12 2009 12 469 439.33 437.75 107.14 106.01
2010M01 2010 1 523 441.17 440.25 118.80 118.79
2010M02 2010 2 497 445.25 443.21 112.14 111.82
2010M03 2010 3 508 448.92 447.08 113.63 112.34
2010M04 2010 4 432 451.75 450.33 95.93 100.21
2010M05 2010 5 446 461.00 456.38 97.73 98.07
2010M06 2010 6 418 472.25 466.63 89.58 91.78
2010M07 2010 7 420 478.17 475.21 88.38 89.25
2010M08 2010 8 378 482.25 480.21 78.72 82.60
2010M09 2010 9 426 487.00 484.63 87.90 90.32
2010M10 2010 10 448 491.50 489.25 91.57 94.77
2010M11 2010 11 567 495.42 493.46 114.90 104.04
2010M12 2010 12 604 500.17 497.79 121.34 106.01
2011M01 2011 1 594 500.92 500.54 118.67 118.79
2011M02 2011 2 546 508.25 504.58 108.21 111.82
2011M03 2011 3 565 512.67 510.46 110.68 112.34
2011M04 2011 4 486 517.00 514.83 94.40 100.21
2011M05 2011 5 493 514.83 515.92 95.56 98.07
2011M06 2011 6 475 514.58 514.71 92.29 91.78
2011M07 2011 7 429 515.08 514.83 83.33 89.25
2011M08 2011 8 466 515.42 515.25 90.44 82.60
2011M09 2011 9 479 516.17 515.79 92.87 90.32
2011M10 2011 10 500 94.77
2011M11 2011 11 541 104.04
2011M12 2011 12 601 106.01
2012M01 2012 1 600 118.79
2012M02 2012 2 550 111.82
2012M03 2012 3 574 112.34
2012 4 100.21
2012 5 98.07
2012 6 91.78
2012 7 89.25

IGVE IGVEA
Promedio de Año
Mes 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1 117.27 118.80 118.67 118.25 118.79
2 113.58 112.14 108.21 111.31 111.82
3 111.17 113.63 110.68 111.83 112.34
4 108.93 95.93 94.40 99.75 100.21
5 99.59 97.73 95.56 97.62 98.07
6 92.22 89.58 92.29 91.36 91.78
7 94.83 88.38 83.33 88.85 89.25
8 77.53 78.72 90.44 82.23 82.60
9 88.95 87.90 92.87 89.91 90.32
10 95.70 95.74 91.57 94.34 94.77
11 90.79 105.00 114.90 103.56 104.04
12 88.10 107.14 121.34 105.52 106.01
promedio 99.54 100

125.00

120.00 IGVEA
115.00

110.00

105.00

100.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
95.00

90.00

85.00

80.00
Yd t T estim Ypredicción
390.1803854 1 369.446605 370.222666
370.1401907 2 373.082054 365.885113 650
381.3406677 3 376.717502 345.756792
447.0432039 4 380.352951 339.47687
434.6009659 5 383.9884 317.191738 600
378.6604162 6 387.623849 350.095628
390.4236651 7 391.259297 370.791919 Y Ypredicción
340.2600678 8 394.894746 410.840864
550
326.3924376 9 398.530195 422.471331
388.9277358 10 402.165644 477.725064
398.8582882 11 405.801093 453.763386
388.9978625 12 409.436541 459.960801 500
431.0944411 13 413.07199 413.939691
408.8876486 14 416.707439 408.668943
414.0270106 15 420.342888 385.796804 450
445.9227949 16 423.978336 378.413886
398.2833365 17 427.613785 353.228274
422.9481842 18 431.249234 389.497375
400
436.8524253 19 434.884683 412.135193
438.3011043 20 438.520131 456.227872
442.4221192 21 442.15558 468.717449
440.2796663 22 445.791029 529.546845 350
444.4676441 23 449.426478 502.544926
452.1988882 24 453.061927 508.969537
431.0944411 25 456.697375 457.656716 300
454.7727962 26 460.332824 451.452772
04 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 0 8 10 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 08
455.4297117 27 463.968273 425.836815 0 8 M 0 8 M 0 8 M 0 8 M 08 M 0 9 M 0 9M 0 9 M 09 M 0 9 M 0 9 M 1 0M 1 0 M 10 M 1 0 M
470.5717936 28 467.603722 417.350903 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20
457.6021313 29 471.23917 389.264809
471.664729 30 474.874619 428.899121
472.7291945 31 478.510068 453.478467
544.9928205 32 482.145517 501.614879
569.7717697 33 485.780965 514.963567
500.049946 34 489.416414 581.368626
488.2883977 35 493.051863 551.326467
502.9377398 36 496.687312 557.978272
484.9812463 37 500.322761 501.373741
502.6972837 38 503.958209 494.236602
517.5337633 39 507.593658 465.876827
480.6554749 40 511.229107 456.28792
564.1338444 41 514.864556 425.301345
530.3460215 42 518.500004 468.300868
527.5995474 43 522.135453 494.821741
520.0019681 44 525.770902 547.001887
566.9417774 45 529.406351 561.209686
505.1009556 46 533.041799 633.190407
491.8656021 47 536.677248 600.108008
510.9491375 48 540.312697 606.987008
49 543.948146 545.090766
50 547.583594 537.020431
51 551.219043 505.916839
52 554.854492 495.224937

b a
3.64 365.81
650

600
Y
Yd
550

500

450

400

350

300
04 06 0 8 10 1 2 02 04 0 6 08 10 1 2 02 04 0 6 08 1 0 12
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
0 08 00 8 008 00 8 008 00 9 00 9 009 0 09 00 9 009 01 0 01 0 010 01 0 010 01 0 011
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ción

0 8 10 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 4 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 02
9 M 0 9 M 0 9 M 1 0 M 1 0 M 10 M 1 0 M 1 0 M 10 M 1 1 M 11 M 11 M 1 1 M 1 1 M 11 M 1 2 M
20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20
 10 1 2 02 04 0 6 08 1 0 12 0 2 0 4 06 0 8 10 12 0 2
M 9M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 2M
0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 0 20 20 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 2 0 20 2 0 2 0 20 2 0