Principales

resultados
sobre energía
Industria
650
Consumo de energía final
Unidades:Miles de Tep
600
Consumo de energía fina
Periodo Año Mes Energias renovables Energías renovables
2008M04 2008 4 391
550 Unidades:Miles de Tep
2008M05 2008 5 363
2008M06 2008 6 350
2008M07 2008 7 399 500
2008M08 2008 8 359
2008M09 2008 9 342
2008M10 2008 10 370 450
2008M11 2008 11 354
2008M12 2008 12 346
400
2009M01 2009 1 462
2009M02 2009 2 446
2009M03 2009 3 437 350
2009M04 2009 4 432
2009M05 2009 5 401
2009M06 2009 6 380 300
2009M07 2009 7 398
2009M08 2009 8 329
250
2009M09 2009 9 382
2009M10 2009 10 414
2009M11 2009 11 456 200
2009M12 2009 12
04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10
469
2010M01 2010 1 523 M M M M M M M M M M
08 008 0 08 008 0 08 009 0 09 009 0 09 009 0 0
2010M02 2010 2 497 20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
2010M03 2010 3 508
2010M04 2010 4 432
2010M05 2010 5 446
2010M06 2010 6 418
2010M07 2010 7 420
2010M08 2010 8 378
2010M09 2010 9 426
2010M10 2010 10 448
2010M11 2010 11 567
2010M12 2010 12 604
2011M01 2011 1 594
2011M02 2011 2 546
2011M03 2011 3 565
2011M04 2011 4 486
2011M05 2011 5 493
2011M06 2011 6 475
2011M07 2011 7 429
2011M08 2011 8 466
2011M09 2011 9 479
2011M10 2011 10 500
2011M11 2011 11 541
2011M12 2011 12 601
2012M01 2012 1 600
2012M02 2012 2 550
2012M03 2012 3 574
mo de energía final
rgías renovables
ades:Miles de Tep

12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 12 02
M 9M 9M 9M 9M 9M 9M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 2M
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Promedio de Energias renovables Año
Mes 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1 462 523 594 600
2 446 497 546 550 70
3 437 508 565 574
4 391 432 432 486 60
5 363 401 446 493
6 350 380 418 475 50
7 399 398 420 429
8 359 329 378 466 40
9 342 382 426 479
10 370 414 448 500 30
11 354 456 567 541
12 346 469 604 601 20

media 363.78 417 472 515 10

desv 18.618 39.45 64.8 51.65
0
200 250 300 350 400 4
0 300 350 400 450 500 550
Periodo Año Mes Energias renovables dt ct
2008M04 2008 4 391
2008M05 2008 5 363
2008M06 2008 6 350
2008M07 2008 7 399
2008M08 2008 8 359
2008M09 2008 9 342
2008M10 2008 10 370
2008M11 2008 11 354
2008M12 2008 12 346
2009M01 2009 1 462
2009M02 2009 2 446
2009M03 2009 3 437
2009M04 2009 4 432 41 1.10485934
2009M05 2009 5 401 38 1.1046832
2009M06 2009 6 380 30 1.08571429
2009M07 2009 7 398 -1 0.99749373
2009M08 2009 8 329 -30 0.91643454
2009M09 2009 9 382 40 1.11695906
2009M10 2009 10 414 44 1.11891892
2009M11 2009 11 456 102 1.28813559
2009M12 2009 12 469 123 1.35549133
2010M01 2010 1 523 61 1.13203463
2010M02 2010 2 497 51 1.11434978
2010M03 2010 3 508 71 1.1624714
2010M04 2010 4 432 0 1
2010M05 2010 5 446 45 1.11221945
2010M06 2010 6 418 38 1.1
2010M07 2010 7 420 22 1.05527638
2010M08 2010 8 378 49 1.14893617
2010M09 2010 9 426 44 1.11518325
2010M10 2010 10 448 34 1.0821256
2010M11 2010 11 567 111 1.24342105
2010M12 2010 12 604 135 1.28784648
2011M01 2011 1 594 71 1.13575526
2011M02 2011 2 546 49 1.09859155
2011M03 2011 3 565 57 1.11220472
2011M04 2011 4 486 54 1.125
2011M05 2011 5 493 47 1.10538117
2011M06 2011 6 475 57 1.13636364
2011M07 2011 7 429 9 1.02142857
2011M08 2011 8 466 88 1.23280423
2011M09 2011 9 479 53 1.12441315
2011M10 2011 10 500 52 1.11607143
2011M11 2011 11 541 -26 0.95414462
2011M12 2011 12 601 -3 0.99503311
2012M01 2012 1 600 6 1.01010101
2012M02 2012 2 550 4 1.00732601
2012M03 2012 3 574 9 1.0159292

media 43.75 1.11

desv 37.14 0.09
cv 0.85 0.08
Conclusión: Multiplicativo
Periodo Año Mes Y mm12 mmc IEVE IGVEA
2008M04 2008 4 391 100.21
2008M05 2008 5 363 98.07
2008M06 2008 6 350 91.78
2008M07 2008 7 399 89.25
2008M08 2008 8 359 82.60
2008M09 2008 9 342 384.92 90.32
2008M10 2008 10 370 388.33 386.63 95.70 94.77
2008M11 2008 11 354 391.50 389.92 90.79 104.04
2008M12 2008 12 346 394.00 392.75 88.10 106.01
2009M01 2009 1 462 393.92 393.96 117.27 118.79
2009M02 2009 2 446 391.42 392.67 113.58 111.82
2009M03 2009 3 437 394.75 393.08 111.17 112.34
2009M04 2009 4 432 398.42 396.58 108.93 100.21
2009M05 2009 5 401 406.92 402.67 99.59 98.07
2009M06 2009 6 380 417.17 412.04 92.22 91.78
2009M07 2009 7 398 422.25 419.71 94.83 89.25
2009M08 2009 8 329 426.50 424.38 77.53 82.60
2009M09 2009 9 382 432.42 429.46 88.95 90.32
2009M10 2009 10 414 432.42 432.42 95.74 94.77
2009M11 2009 11 456 436.17 434.29 105.00 104.04
2009M12 2009 12 469 439.33 437.75 107.14 106.01
2010M01 2010 1 523 441.17 440.25 118.80 118.79
2010M02 2010 2 497 445.25 443.21 112.14 111.82
2010M03 2010 3 508 448.92 447.08 113.63 112.34
2010M04 2010 4 432 451.75 450.33 95.93 100.21
2010M05 2010 5 446 461.00 456.38 97.73 98.07
2010M06 2010 6 418 472.25 466.63 89.58 91.78
2010M07 2010 7 420 478.17 475.21 88.38 89.25
2010M08 2010 8 378 482.25 480.21 78.72 82.60
2010M09 2010 9 426 487.00 484.63 87.90 90.32
2010M10 2010 10 448 491.50 489.25 91.57 94.77
2010M11 2010 11 567 495.42 493.46 114.90 104.04
2010M12 2010 12 604 500.17 497.79 121.34 106.01
2011M01 2011 1 594 500.92 500.54 118.67 118.79
2011M02 2011 2 546 508.25 504.58 108.21 111.82
2011M03 2011 3 565 512.67 510.46 110.68 112.34
2011M04 2011 4 486 517.00 514.83 94.40 100.21
2011M05 2011 5 493 514.83 515.92 95.56 98.07
2011M06 2011 6 475 514.58 514.71 92.29 91.78
2011M07 2011 7 429 515.08 514.83 83.33 89.25
2011M08 2011 8 466 515.42 515.25 90.44 82.60
2011M09 2011 9 479 516.17 515.79 92.87 90.32
2011M10 2011 10 500 94.77
2011M11 2011 11 541 104.04
2011M12 2011 12 601 106.01
2012M01 2012 1 600 118.79
2012M02 2012 2 550 111.82
2012M03 2012 3 574 112.34
2012 4 100.21
2012 5 98.07
2012 6 91.78
2012 7 89.25

IGVE IGVEA
Promedio de Año
Mes 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1 117.27 118.80 118.67 118.25 118.79
2 113.58 112.14 108.21 111.31 111.82
3 111.17 113.63 110.68 111.83 112.34
4 108.93 95.93 94.40 99.75 100.21
5 99.59 97.73 95.56 97.62 98.07
6 92.22 89.58 92.29 91.36 91.78
7 94.83 88.38 83.33 88.85 89.25
8 77.53 78.72 90.44 82.23 82.60
9 88.95 87.90 92.87 89.91 90.32
10 95.70 95.74 91.57 94.34 94.77
11 90.79 105.00 114.90 103.56 104.04
12 88.10 107.14 121.34 105.52 106.01
promedio 99.54 100

125.00

120.00 IGVEA
115.00

110.00

105.00

100.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
95.00

90.00

85.00

80.00
Yd t T estimada Ypredicción
390.1803854 1 369.446605 370.222666
370.1401907 2 373.082054 365.885113 650
381.3406677 3 376.717502 345.756792
447.0432039 4 380.352951 339.47687
434.6009659 5 383.9884 317.191738 600
378.6604162 6 387.623849 350.095628
390.4236651 7 391.259297 370.791919 Y Ypredicción
340.2600678 8 394.894746 410.840864
550
326.3924376 9 398.530195 422.471331
388.9277358 10 402.165644 477.725064
398.8582882 11 405.801093 453.763386
388.9978625 12 409.436541 459.960801 500
431.0944411 13 413.07199 413.939691
408.8876486 14 416.707439 408.668943
414.0270106 15 420.342888 385.796804 450
445.9227949 16 423.978336 378.413886
398.2833365 17 427.613785 353.228274
422.9481842 18 431.249234 389.497375
400
436.8524253 19 434.884683 412.135193
438.3011043 20 438.520131 456.227872
442.4221192 21 442.15558 468.717449
440.2796663 22 445.791029 529.546845 350
444.4676441 23 449.426478 502.544926
452.1988882 24 453.061927 508.969537
431.0944411 25 456.697375 457.656716 300
454.7727962 26 460.332824 451.452772
04 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 0 8 10 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 08
455.4297117 27 463.968273 425.836815 0 8 M 0 8 M 0 8 M 0 8 M 08 M 0 9 M 0 9M 0 9 M 09 M 0 9 M 0 9 M 1 0M 1 0 M 10 M 1 0 M
470.5717936 28 467.603722 417.350903 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20
457.6021313 29 471.23917 389.264809
471.664729 30 474.874619 428.899121
472.7291945 31 478.510068 453.478467
544.9928205 32 482.145517 501.614879
569.7717697 33 485.780965 514.963567
500.049946 34 489.416414 581.368626
488.2883977 35 493.051863 551.326467
502.9377398 36 496.687312 557.978272
484.9812463 37 500.322761 501.373741 650
502.6972837 38 503.958209 494.236602
517.5337633 39 507.593658 465.876827
480.6554749 40 511.229107 456.28792 600
564.1338444 41 514.864556 425.301345 Y
530.3460215 42 518.500004 468.300868
Yd
527.5995474 43 522.135453 494.821741
550
520.0019681 44 525.770902 547.001887
566.9417774 45 529.406351 561.209686
505.1009556 46 533.041799 633.190407
491.8656021 47 536.677248 600.108008 500
510.9491375 48 540.312697 606.987008
49 543.948146 545.090766
50 547.583594 537.020431
450
51 551.219043 505.916839
52 554.854492 495.224937

b a 400
3.64 365.81

350

300
400

350

300
04 06 08 10 12 0 2 0 4 0 6 08 10 12 02 0 4 0 6 0 8 10 12
M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
0 08 0 08 00 8 00 8 00 8 009 009 009 0 09 00 9 00 9 01 0 010 010 010 0 10 0 10 01 1
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ción

0 8 10 1 2 02 0 4 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 4 0 6 08 1 0 1 2 02
9 M 0 9 M 0 9 M 1 0 M 1 0 M 10 M 1 0 M 1 0 M 10 M 1 1 M 11 M 11 M 1 1 M 1 1 M 11 M 1 2 M
20 20 2 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 0 20 20 20
 10 12 02 0 4 0 6 0 8 10 12 02 04 06 08 10 1 2 0 2
M 9M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 0M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 1M 2M
0 0 20 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 20 1 2 0 1 2 0 1