Modelos Multivariados

y x1 x2 x3 x4 a) Encontrar el mejor modelo con base en La pr
6.9 38.4 6.1 220 235 b)Obtener la prueba Durbin Watson

14.4 40.3 4.8 231 307 c) Obtener la Grafica acumulada de los residua
7.4 40 6.1 217 212 d)Obtener la grafica de lo Y real, Y estimada y S
8.5 31.8 0.2 316 365 e)Obtener los cuatros modelos univariados par
8 40.8 3.5 210 218 f)Responder cual de las cuatro variabes aporta
2.8 41.3 1.8 267 235 g)Realizarle a cada uno de los cuatro modelos
5 38.1 1.2 274 285 h) Del mejor modelo obtenido en el inciso a) rea
12.2 50.8 8.6 190 205 es decir por ejemplo si el mejor fue x1x2x3 hace
10 32.2 5.2 236 267
15.2 38.4 6.1 220 300
26.8 40.3 4.8 213 367
14 32.2 2.4 284 351
14.7 31.8 0.2 316 379
6.4 41.3 1.8 267 275
17.6 38.1 1.2 274 365
22.3 50.8 8.6 190 275
24.8 32.2 5.2 236 360
26 38.4 6.1 220 365
34.9 40.3 4.8 231 395
18.2 40 6.1 217 272
23.2 32.2 2.4 284 424
18 31.8 0.2 316 428
13.1 40.8 3.5 210 273
16.1 41.3 1.8 267 358
32.1 38.1 1.2 274 444
34.7 50.8 8.6 190 345
31.7 32.2 5.2 236 402
33.6 38.4 6.1 220 410
30.4 40 6.1 217 340
26.6 40.8 3.5 210 347
27.8 41.3 1.8 267 416
45.7 50.8 8.6 190 407
mejor modelo con base en La prueba F
ueba Durbin Watson
rafica acumulada de los residuales
afica de lo Y real, Y estimada y Su intervalo de confianza
cuatros modelos univariados para x1, x2,x3 y x4
al de las cuatro variabes aporta mas al modelo a partir de la prueba F
cada uno de los cuatro modelos la prueba Durbin Watson
odelo obtenido en el inciso a) realizar todas las cobinaciones posibles con las demas variables y verificar que es el mejor
mplo si el mejor fue x1x2x3 hacer todas las cobinaciones posibles con tres variables.
es el mejor
y x1 x3 x4 x2 y estimada Error Error d
6.9 38.4 220 235 6.1 8.21 -1.31
14.4 40.3 231 307 4.8 17.82 -3.42 -1.31
7.4 40 217 212 6.1 5.57 1.83 -3.42
8.5 31.8 316 365 0.2 9.37 -0.87 1.83
8 40.8 210 218 3.5 7.96 0.04 -0.87
2.8 41.3 267 235 1.8 0.35 2.45 0.04
5 38.1 274 285 1.2 6.08 -1.08 2.45
12.2 50.8 190 205 8.6 11.92 0.28 -1.08
10 32.2 236 267 5.2 8.81 1.19 0.28
15.2 38.4 220 300 6.1 18.29 -3.09 1.19
26.8 40.3 213 367 4.8 30.40 -3.60 -3.09
14 32.2 284 351 2.4 13.11 0.89 -3.60
14.7 31.8 316 379 0.2 11.54 3.16 0.89
6.4 41.3 267 275 1.8 6.55 -0.15 3.16
17.6 38.1 274 365 1.2 18.48 -0.88 -0.15
22.3 50.8 190 275 8.6 22.78 -0.48 -0.88
24.8 32.2 236 360 5.2 23.23 1.57 -0.48
26 38.4 220 365 6.1 28.37 -2.37 1.57
34.9 40.3 231 395 4.8 31.47 3.43 -2.37
18.2 40 217 272 6.1 14.87 3.33 3.43
23.2 32.2 284 424 2.4 24.43 -1.23 3.33
18 31.8 316 428 0.2 19.13 -1.13 -1.23
13.1 40.8 210 273 3.5 16.49 -3.39 -1.13
16.1 41.3 267 358 1.8 19.42 -3.32 -3.39
32.1 38.1 274 444 1.2 30.73 1.37 -3.32
34.7 50.8 190 345 8.6 33.63 1.07 1.37
31.7 32.2 236 402 5.2 29.74 1.96 1.07
33.6 38.4 220 410 6.1 35.35 -1.75 1.96
30.4 40 217 340 6.1 25.41 4.99 -1.75
26.6 40.8 210 347 3.5 27.96 -1.36 4.99
27.8 41.3 267 416 1.8 28.41 -0.61 -1.36
45.7 50.8 190 407 8.6 43.24 2.46 -0.61
DW= 2.05
y Xo x1 x3 x4 y estimada
6.9 1 38.4 220 235 8.21 #NAME?
14.4 1 40.3 231 307 17.82 #NAME?
7.4 1 40 217 212 5.57 #NAME?
8.5 1 31.8 316 365 9.37 #NAME?
8 1 40.8 210 218 7.96 #NAME?
2.8 1 41.3 267 235 0.35 #NAME?
5 1 38.1 274 285 6.08 #NAME?
12.2 1 50.8 190 205 11.92 #NAME?
10 1 32.2 236 267 8.81 #NAME?
15.2 1 38.4 220 300 18.29 #NAME?
26.8 1 40.3 213 367 30.40 #NAME?
14 1 32.2 284 351 13.11 #NAME?
14.7 1 31.8 316 379 11.54 #NAME?
6.4 1 41.3 267 275 6.55 #NAME?
17.6 1 38.1 274 365 18.48 #NAME?
22.3 1 50.8 190 275 22.78 #NAME?
24.8 1 32.2 236 360 23.23 #NAME?
26 1 38.4 220 365 28.37 #NAME?
34.9 1 40.3 231 395 31.47 #NAME?
18.2 1 40 217 272 14.87 #NAME?
23.2 1 32.2 284 424 24.43 #NAME?
18 1 31.8 316 428 19.13 #NAME?
13.1 1 40.8 210 273 16.49 #NAME?
16.1 1 41.3 267 358 19.42 #NAME?
32.1 1 38.1 274 444 30.73 #NAME?
34.7 1 50.8 190 345 33.63 #NAME?
31.7 1 32.2 236 402 29.74 #NAME?
33.6 1 38.4 220 410 35.35 #NAME?
30.4 1 40 217 340 25.41 #NAME?
26.6 1 40.8 210 347 27.96 #NAME?
27.8 1 41.3 267 416 28.41 #NAME?
45.7 1 50.8 190 407 43.24 #NAME?
y y estimada limite inferiorlimite superior

6.9 8.21 3.32152616 13.1044117
14.4 17.82 12.9290217 22.7145059
7.4 5.57 0.6764096 10.4585384
8.5 9.37 4.47329087 14.258598
8 7.96 3.06687424 12.8494401
2.8 0.35 -4.54418295 5.23765602
5 6.08 1.18434628 10.9678294
12.2 11.92 7.03223266 16.8151778
10 8.81 3.91984797 13.7033392
15.2 18.29 13.3984211 23.1838306 Ch
60
26.8 30.40 25.5035405 35.2917979
14 13.11 8.21491224 18.0004809
14.7 11.54 6.64369905 16.4295498 50
6.4 6.55 1.65698304 11.4403755

17.6 18.48 13.5866786 23.373268 40
22.3 22.78 17.8842734 27.6699367
24.8 23.23 18.3375594 28.1246615
30
26 28.37 23.4753163 33.2632493
34.9 31.47 26.5715877 36.360488
18.2 14.87 9.97815866 19.7626175 20
23.2 24.43 19.5320408 29.3204433
18 19.13 14.2401278 24.0278808
10
13.1 16.49 11.5934776 21.3781792
16.1 19.42 14.5244029 24.3110181
32.1 30.73 25.8339823 35.6236381 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
34.7 33.63 28.7363145 38.5246952
31.7 29.74 24.8487841 34.6375165 -10
33.6 35.35 30.4516286 40.2413082
30.4 25.41 20.5201413 30.3072402 y y estimada
26.6 27.96 23.0656352 32.8532098

27.8 28.41 23.5160941 33.3049607
45.7 43.24 38.3481226 48.1389095
(E-Ed)^2 Error ^2
1.72 Columna 1
4.45 11.71 Columna 1 1
27.61 3.36 Columna 2 0.62058666
7.28 0.75 Columna 3 -0.69753435
0.82 0.00 Columna 4 -0.32167816
5.81 6.02
12.46 1.16 Resumen
1.83 0.08
0.83 1.41 Estadísticas de la regresión
18.31 9.56 Coeficiente de correl 0.97970225
0.26 12.94 Coeficiente de deter 0.9598165
20.16 0.80 R^2 ajustado 0.95386339
5.16 10.01 Error típico 2.30311469
10.97 0.02 Observaciones 32
0.53 0.77
0.16 0.23 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
4.19 2.46 Grados de libertad
15.51 5.61 Regresión 4
33.68 11.79 Residuos 27
0.01 11.09 Total 31
20.76 1.50
0.01 1.29 Coeficientes
5.07 11.46 Intercepción -9.80972004
0.00 11.01 x1 0.23798886
21.99 1.88 x2 0.65734707
0.09 1.14 x3 -0.13898704
0.79 3.83 x4 0.15316967
13.71 3.05
45.33 24.86 Resumen
40.27 1.85
0.56 0.37 Estadísticas de la regresión
9.41 6.03 Coeficiente de correl 0.97732929
Coeficiente de deter 0.95517254
R^2 ajustado 0.9503696
Error típico 2.38872734
Observaciones 32
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 28
Total 31
Coeficientes
Intercepción 2.7768157
x1 0.23445225
x3 -0.18183285
x4 0.15504857
Resumen
Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correl 0.97732929
Coeficiente de deter 0.95517254
R^2 ajustado 0.9503696
Observaciones 32
Grados de libertad
Regresión 3
Residuos 28
Total 31
Coeficientes
Intercepción 2.7768157
x1 0.23445225
x3 -0.18183285
x4 0.15504857
Análisis de los residuales
Observación Pronóstico y
1 8.21296892
2 17.8217638
3 5.56747399
4 9.36594446
5 7.95815714
6 0.34673654
7 6.07608782
8 11.9237052
9 8.81159357
10 18.2911259
11 30.3976692
12 13.1076966
13 11.5366244
14 6.54867928
15 18.4799733
16 22.777105
17 23.2311104
18 28.3692828
19 31.4660378
20 14.8703881
21 24.4262421
22 19.1340043
23 16.4858284
24 19.4177105
25 30.7288102
26 33.6305048
27 29.7431503
28 35.3464684
29 25.4136908
30 27.9594225
31 28.4105274
32 43.2435161
error de esti limite inferiorlimite superior trasponer matriz 1
0 8.21 8.21 38.4
0 17.82 17.82 220
0 5.57 5.57 235
0 9.37 9.37
0 7.96 7.96 matriz arriba+matriz izq
0 0.35 0.35 #NAME?
0 6.08 6.08 #NAME?
0 11.92 11.92 #NAME?
0 8.81 8.81 #NAME?
0 18.29 18.29
0 30.40 30.40 inv #NAME?
0 13.11 13.11 #NAME?
0 11.54 11.54 #NAME?
0 6.55 6.55 #NAME?
0 18.48 18.48
0 22.78 22.78 t alfa
0 23.23 23.23 v
0 28.37 28.37
0 31.47 31.47
0 14.87 14.87
0 24.43 24.43
0 19.13 19.13
0 16.49 16.49
0 19.42 19.42
0 30.73 30.73
0 33.63 33.63
0 29.74 29.74
0 35.35 35.35
0 25.41 25.41
0 27.96 27.96
0 28.41 28.41
0 43.24 43.24
Chart Title
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
y y estimada limite inferior limite superior

Columna 2 Columna 3 Columna 4
1
-0.90275778 1
-0.29798426 0.4013416 1
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
3420.86008 855.21502 161.229383 1.99275E-18
143.217106 5.30433725
3564.07719
Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%
10.1608306 -0.9654447 0.34289053 -30.6580224 11.0385823 -10.4528224 -9.16661771
0.10266504 2.31811005 0.02825937 0.0273376 0.44864013 0.23149096 0.24448677
0.37212842 1.76645221 0.08862537 -0.10619738 1.42089152 0.63379421 0.68089993
0.02894965 -4.80099151 5.19973E-05 -0.19838682 -0.07958726 -0.14081933 -0.13715475
0.00657403 23.2992022 2.05424E-19 0.13968087 0.16665846 0.15275358 0.15358575
Suma de cuadrados
3404.30867 1134.76956 198.8724 5.6133E-19
159.768513 5.70601831
3564.07719
7.51304676 0.36959915 0.71446187 -12.6129629 18.1665943 2.30145545 3.25217595
0.10646111 2.20223369 0.03605087 0.01637655 0.45252795 0.22771632 0.24118818
0.01639137 -11.0932064 9.28782E-12 -0.21540905 -0.14825665 -0.18286995 -0.18079575
0.00672857 23.0433336 9.58036E-20 0.14126573 0.16883141 0.15462284 0.15547429
Suma de cuadrados
3404.30867 1134.76956 198.8724 5.6133E-19
159.768513 5.70601831
3564.07719
7.51304676 0.36959915 0.71446187 -12.6129629 18.1665943 2.30145545 3.25217595
0.10646111 2.20223369 0.03605087 0.01637655 0.45252795 0.22771632 0.24118818
0.01639137 -11.0932064 9.28782E-12 -0.21540905 -0.14825665 -0.18286995 -0.18079575
0.00672857 23.0433336 9.58036E-20 0.14126573 0.16883141 0.15462284 0.15547429
Residuos
-1.31296892 x1 Gráfico de los residuales
-3.42176378 6
4
2
esiduos
0
-2 30 35 40 45 50 55
x1 Gráfico de los residuales
6
1.83252601 4
-0.86594446 2
Residuos
0.04184286 0
2.45326346 -2 30 35 40 45 50 55
-1.07608782 -4
0.27629476 -6
1.18840643 x1
-3.09112587
-3.59766918
0.89230343 x3 Gráfico de los residuales
3.16337558
6
-0.14867928 4
-0.8799733 2
Residuos
-0.47710503 0
1.56888956 -2180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340
-4
-2.36928282 -6
3.43396219 x3
3.3296119
-1.22624207
-1.13400427
-3.38582841 x4 Gráfico de los residuales
-3.31771046 6
1.37118979 4
1.06949517 2
Residuos
1.95684968 0
-1.7464684 -2150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
4.98630924 -4
-1.35942248 -6
-0.61052743 x4
2.45648393
C PENDIENTE
Residuos
6
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
-2
-4
-6
Residuos
-2
-4
-6
Residuos
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
40.3 40 31.8 40.8 41.3 38.1 50.8 32.2
231 217 316 210 267 274 190 236
307 212 365 218 235 285 205 267
matriz arriba+matriz izq

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

2.04840714
28
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
38.4 40.3 32.2 31.8 41.3 38.1 50.8 32.2
220 213 284 316 267 274 190 236
300 367 351 379 275 365 275 360
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
38.4 40.3 40 32.2 31.8 40.8 41.3 38.1
220 231 217 284 316 210 267 274
365 395 272 424 428 273 358 444
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
50.8 32.2 38.4 40 40.8 41.3 50.8
190 236 220 217 210 267 190
345 402 410 340 347 416 407
y x1 y estimada Error Error d (E-Ed)^2 Error ^2
6.9 38.4 19.26 -12.36 152.794
14.4 40.3 20.15 -5.75 -12.36 43.686 33.080
7.4 40 20.01 -12.61 -5.75 47.051 159.034
8.5 31.8 16.17 -7.67 -12.61 24.435 58.794
8 40.8 20.39 -12.39 -7.67 22.261 153.409
2.8 41.3 20.62 -17.82 -12.39 29.532 317.558
5 38.1 19.12 -14.12 -17.82 13.688 199.386
12.2 50.8 25.07 -12.87 -14.12 1.557 165.704
10 32.2 16.36 -6.36 -12.87 42.477 40.388
15.2 38.4 19.26 -4.06 -6.36 5.263 16.492
26.8 40.3 20.15 6.65 -4.06 114.694 44.203
14 32.2 16.36 -2.36 6.65 81.067 5.547
14.7 31.8 16.17 -1.47 -2.36 0.788 2.154
6.4 41.3 20.62 -14.22 -1.47 162.625 202.213
17.6 38.1 19.12 -1.52 -14.22 161.284 2.312
22.3 50.8 25.07 -2.77 -1.52 1.568 7.687
24.8 32.2 16.36 8.44 -2.77 125.831 71.315
26 38.4 19.26 6.74 8.44 2.910 45.414
34.9 40.3 20.15 14.75 6.74 64.152 217.519
18.2 40 20.01 -1.81 14.75 274.214 3.279
23.2 32.2 16.36 6.84 -1.81 74.921 46.852
18 31.8 16.17 1.83 6.84 25.125 3.357
13.1 40.8 20.39 -7.29 1.83 83.140 53.083
16.1 41.3 20.62 -4.52 -7.29 7.649 20.432
32.1 38.1 19.12 12.98 -4.52 306.242 168.470
34.7 50.8 25.07 9.63 12.98 11.237 92.686
31.7 32.2 16.36 15.34 9.63 32.689 235.463
33.6 38.4 19.26 14.34 15.34 1.012 205.607
30.4 40 20.01 10.39 14.34 15.602 107.934
26.6 40.8 20.39 6.21 10.39 17.430 38.616
27.8 41.3 20.62 7.18 6.21 0.932 51.550
45.7 50.8 25.07 20.63 7.18 180.836 425.489

6.9 6.1 22.68 -15.78 248.87
14.4 4.8 20.63 -6.23 -15.78 91.08 38.84
7.4 6.1 22.68 -15.28 -6.23 81.78 233.34
8.5 0.2 13.40 -4.90 -15.28 107.63 24.02
8 3.5 18.59 -10.59 -4.90 32.35 112.12
2.8 1.8 15.92 -13.12 -10.59 6.39 172.04
5 1.2 14.97 -9.97 -13.12 9.88 99.46
12.2 8.6 26.61 -14.41 -9.97 19.64 207.51
10 5.2 21.26 -11.26 -14.41 9.89 126.80
15.2 6.1 22.68 -7.48 -11.26 14.33 55.88
26.8 4.8 20.63 6.17 -7.48 186.15 38.04
14 2.4 16.86 -2.86 6.17 81.49 8.18
14.7 0.2 13.40 1.30 -2.86 17.29 1.69
6.4 1.8 15.92 -9.52 1.30 116.97 90.56
17.6 1.2 14.97 2.63 -9.52 147.46 6.90
22.3 8.6 26.61 -4.31 2.63 48.06 18.54
24.8 5.2 21.26 3.54 -4.31 61.54 12.53
26 6.1 22.68 3.32 3.54 0.05 11.05
34.9 4.8 20.63 14.27 3.32 119.76 203.58
18.2 6.1 22.68 -4.48 14.27 351.32 20.03
23.2 2.4 16.86 6.34 -4.48 116.99 40.20
18 0.2 13.40 4.60 6.34 3.03 21.15
13.1 3.5 18.59 -5.49 4.60 101.75 30.12
16.1 1.8 15.92 0.18 -5.49 32.17 0.03
32.1 1.2 14.97 17.13 0.18 287.07 293.33
34.7 8.6 26.61 8.09 17.13 81.58 65.52
31.7 5.2 21.26 10.44 8.09 5.50 108.98
33.6 6.1 22.68 10.92 10.44 0.24 119.34
30.4 6.1 22.68 7.72 10.92 10.24 59.67
26.6 3.5 18.59 8.01 7.72 0.08 64.18
27.8 1.8 15.92 11.88 8.01 14.99 141.22
45.7 8.6 26.61 19.09 11.88 52.00 364.61

6.9 220 21.575 -14.675 215.341
14.4 231 20.568 -6.168 -14.675 72.355 38.049
7.4 217 21.849 -14.449 -6.168 68.568 208.771
8.5 316 12.793 -4.293 -14.449 103.133 18.434
8 210 22.489 -14.489 -4.293 103.953 209.937
2.8 267 17.275 -14.475 -14.489 0.000 209.539
5 274 16.635 -11.635 -14.475 8.067 135.377
12.2 190 24.319 -12.119 -11.635 0.234 146.860
10 236 20.111 -10.111 -12.119 4.030 102.232
15.2 220 21.575 -6.375 -10.111 13.961 40.634
26.8 213 22.215 4.585 -6.375 120.115 21.024
14 284 15.720 -1.720 4.585 39.762 2.960
14.7 316 12.793 1.907 -1.720 13.155 3.635
6.4 267 17.275 -10.875 1.907 163.379 118.276
17.6 274 16.635 0.965 -10.875 140.192 0.931
22.3 190 24.319 -2.019 0.965 8.901 4.075
24.8 236 20.111 4.689 -2.019 44.992 21.987
26 220 21.575 4.425 4.689 0.069 19.585
34.9 231 20.568 14.332 4.425 98.132 205.396
18.2 217 21.849 -3.649 14.332 323.301 13.315
23.2 284 15.720 7.480 -3.649 123.842 55.943
18 316 12.793 5.207 7.480 5.166 27.108
13.1 210 22.489 -9.389 5.207 213.036 88.157
16.1 267 17.275 -1.175 -9.389 67.466 1.382
32.1 274 16.635 15.465 -1.175 276.899 239.161
34.7 190 24.319 10.381 15.465 25.841 107.774
31.7 236 20.111 11.589 10.381 1.458 134.305
33.6 220 21.575 12.025 11.589 0.191 144.612
30.4 217 21.849 8.551 12.025 12.072 73.121
26.6 210 22.489 4.111 8.551 19.716 16.899
27.8 267 17.275 10.525 4.111 41.136 110.766
45.7 190 24.319 21.381 10.525 117.871 457.164

6.9 235 9.04 -2.14 4.58
14.4 307 16.91 -2.51 -2.14 0.14 6.32
7.4 212 6.52 0.88 -2.51 11.49 0.77
8.5 365 23.26 -14.76 0.88 244.41 217.81
8 218 7.18 0.82 -14.76 242.66 0.67
2.8 235 9.04 -6.24 0.82 49.83 38.94
5 285 14.51 -9.51 -6.24 10.68 90.42
12.2 205 5.76 6.44 -9.51 254.39 41.49
10 267 12.54 -2.54 6.44 80.66 6.45
15.2 300 16.15 -0.95 -2.54 2.53 0.90
26.8 367 23.48 3.32 -0.95 18.25 11.04
14 351 21.73 -7.73 3.32 122.10 59.71
14.7 379 24.79 -10.09 -7.73 5.58 101.80
6.4 275 13.41 -7.01 -10.09 9.45 49.21
17.6 365 23.26 -5.66 -7.01 1.84 32.02
22.3 275 13.41 8.89 -5.66 211.51 78.94
24.8 360 22.71 2.09 8.89 46.19 4.36
26 365 23.26 2.74 2.09 0.43 7.52
34.9 395 26.54 8.36 2.74 31.57 69.90
18.2 272 13.09 5.11 8.36 10.55 26.14
23.2 424 29.71 -6.51 5.11 135.13 42.40
18 428 30.15 -12.15 -6.51 31.78 147.59
13.1 273 13.20 -0.10 -12.15 145.26 0.01
16.1 358 22.49 -6.39 -0.10 39.65 40.87
32.1 444 31.90 0.20 -6.39 43.48 0.04
34.7 345 21.07 13.63 0.20 180.30 185.75
31.7 402 27.31 4.39 13.63 85.27 19.32
33.6 410 28.18 5.42 4.39 1.05 29.38
30.4 340 20.52 9.88 5.42 19.86 97.53
26.6 347 21.29 5.31 9.88 20.84 28.20
27.8 416 28.84 -1.04 5.31 40.28 1.07
45.7 407 27.85 17.85 -1.04 356.62 318.55
6.9 38.4
6.9 1
38.4 0.24631781 1
Resumen
Coeficiente d 0.24632602
R^2 ajustado 0.02936573
Observacione 32
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 216.255767 216.255767 1.93787905 0.17413374
Residuos 30 3347.82142 111.594047
Total 31 3564.07719
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 1.26370334 13.3458456 0.09468889 0.92519158 -25.9921495
x1 0.46867953 0.33667638 1.39207724 0.17413374 -0.21890537
DW= 0.59020425
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.11909388
Observacione 32
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 525.737756 525.737756 5.19103709 0.02999184
Residuos 30 3038.33943 101.277981
Total 31 3564.07719

Intercepción 13.0867811 3.38921508 3.86130146 0.00055821 6.16508052
x2 1.57192081 0.68992772 2.27838475 0.02999184 0.16290042
DW= 0.72693763
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.07432562
Observacione 32
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 371.327257 371.327257 3.4890981 0.07157021
Residuos 30 3192.74993 106.424998
Total 31 3564.07719

Intercepción 41.6977715 11.9385178 3.49270925 0.00150566 17.3160654
x3 -0.09146935 0.04896875 -1.86791277 0.07157021 -0.19147688
DW= 0.69876949
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.48981182
Observacione 32
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 1804.38359 1804.38359 30.7618939 4.98329E-06
Residuos 30 1759.6936 58.6564532
Total 31 3564.07719

Intercepción -16.6620569 6.68720783 -2.49163138 0.01847125 -30.3191572
x4 0.10937102 0.01971949 5.54634059 4.98329E-06 0.06909844
DW= 1.39444993
or crítico de F
Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

28.5195562 0.41979853 2.10760815
1.15626444 0.4473903 0.48996877
or crítico de F

20.0084817 12.8724691 13.3010931
2.98094119 1.52829425 1.61554737
or crítico de F

66.0794775 40.942857 42.452686
0.00853818 -0.09456582 -0.08837288
or crítico de F
-3.00495651 -17.0849126 -16.2392012
0.14964359 0.10812409 0.11061795
y x1 x2 x3 y estimada Error Error d (E-Ed)^2
6.9 38.4 6.1 220 232.20 -225.30
14.4 40.3 4.8 231 240.70 -226.30 -225.30 1.01
7.4 40 6.1 217 229.35 -221.95 -226.30 18.93
8.5 31.8 0.2 316 315.42 -306.92 -221.95 7218.54
8 40.8 3.5 210 217.07 -209.07 -306.92 9573.07
2.8 41.3 1.8 267 270.62 -267.82 -209.07 3451.03
5 38.1 1.2 274 276.08 -271.08 -267.82 10.62
12.2 50.8 8.6 190 208.53 -196.33 -271.08 5586.38
10 32.2 5.2 236 245.75 -235.75 -196.33 1553.89
15.2 38.4 6.1 220 232.20 -217.00 -235.75 351.71
26.8 40.3 4.8 213 222.70 -195.90 -217.00 445.08
14 32.2 2.4 284 287.99 -273.99 -195.90 6096.82
14.7 31.8 0.2 316 315.42 -300.72 -273.99 714.46
6.4 41.3 1.8 267 270.62 -264.22 -300.72 1332.00
17.6 38.1 1.2 274 276.08 -258.48 -264.22 32.97
22.3 50.8 8.6 190 208.53 -186.23 -258.48 5218.92
24.8 32.2 5.2 236 245.75 -220.95 -186.23 1205.44
26 38.4 6.1 220 232.20 -206.20 -220.95 217.68
34.9 40.3 4.8 231 240.70 -205.80 -206.20 0.16
18.2 40 6.1 217 229.35 -211.15 -205.80 28.62
23.2 32.2 2.4 284 287.99 -264.79 -211.15 2876.45
18 31.8 0.2 316 315.42 -297.42 -264.79 1064.68
13.1 40.8 3.5 210 217.07 -203.97 -297.42 8731.42
16.1 41.3 1.8 267 270.62 -254.52 -203.97 2554.84
32.1 38.1 1.2 274 276.08 -243.98 -254.52 111.13
34.7 50.8 8.6 190 208.53 -173.83 -243.98 4919.91
31.7 32.2 5.2 236 245.75 -214.05 -173.83 1617.60
33.6 38.4 6.1 220 232.20 -198.60 -214.05 238.82
30.4 40 6.1 217 229.35 -198.95 -198.60 0.12
26.6 40.8 3.5 210 217.07 -190.47 -198.95 71.91
27.8 41.3 1.8 267 270.62 -242.82 -190.47 2740.05
45.7 50.8 8.6 190 208.53 -162.83 -242.82 6397.40
DW= 0.04298702
x1,x2,x4
6.9 38.4 6.1 235 210.61 -203.71
14.4 40.3 4.8 307 280.61 -266.21 -203.71 3906.50
7.4 40 6.1 212 188.28 -180.88 -266.21 7280.56
8.5 31.8 0.2 365 325.11 -316.61 -180.88 18421.71
8 40.8 3.5 218 189.02 -181.02 -316.61 18384.57
2.8 41.3 1.8 235 202.57 -199.77 -181.02 351.53
5 38.1 1.2 285 249.92 -244.92 -199.77 2039.05
12.2 50.8 8.6 205 191.23 -179.03 -244.92 4342.10
10 32.2 5.2 267 238.05 -228.05 -179.03 2402.91
15.2 38.4 6.1 300 275.61 -260.41 -228.05 1047.01
26.8 40.3 4.8 367 340.61 -313.81 -260.41 2851.78
14 32.2 2.4 351 316.02 -302.02 -313.81 139.04
14.7 31.8 0.2 379 339.11 -324.41 -302.02 501.39
6.4 41.3 1.8 275 242.57 -236.17 -324.41 7786.42
17.6 38.1 1.2 365 329.92 -312.32 -236.17 5799.72
22.3 50.8 8.6 275 261.23 -238.93 -312.32 5386.77
24.8 32.2 5.2 360 331.05 -306.25 -238.93 4531.91
26 38.4 6.1 365 340.61 -314.61 -306.25 69.85
34.9 40.3 4.8 395 368.61 -333.71 -314.61 364.89
18.2 40 6.1 272 248.28 -230.08 -333.71 10738.39
23.2 32.2 2.4 424 389.02 -365.82 -230.08 18423.95
18 31.8 0.2 428 388.11 -370.11 -365.82 18.42
13.1 40.8 3.5 273 244.02 -230.92 -370.11 19373.77
16.1 41.3 1.8 358 325.57 -309.47 -230.92 6169.95
32.1 38.1 1.2 444 408.92 -376.82 -309.47 4536.81
34.7 50.8 8.6 345 331.23 -296.53 -376.82 6447.22
31.7 32.2 5.2 402 373.05 -341.35 -296.53 2008.79
33.6 38.4 6.1 410 385.61 -352.01 -341.35 113.58
30.4 40 6.1 340 316.28 -285.88 -352.01 4372.41
26.6 40.8 3.5 347 318.02 -291.42 -285.88 30.66
27.8 41.3 1.8 416 383.57 -355.77 -291.42 4140.79
45.7 50.8 8.6 407 393.23 -347.53 -355.77 67.88
DW= 0.06009678
x1,x3,x4
6.9 38.4 220 235 8.21 -1.31
14.4 40.3 231 307 17.82 -3.42 -1.31 4.45
7.4 40 217 212 5.57 1.83 -3.42 27.61
8.5 31.8 316 365 9.37 -0.87 1.83 7.28
8 40.8 210 218 7.96 0.04 -0.87 0.82
2.8 41.3 267 235 0.35 2.45 0.04 5.81
5 38.1 274 285 6.08 -1.08 2.45 12.46
12.2 50.8 190 205 11.92 0.28 -1.08 1.83
10 32.2 236 267 8.81 1.19 0.28 0.83
15.2 38.4 220 300 18.29 -3.09 1.19 18.31
26.8 40.3 213 367 30.40 -3.60 -3.09 0.26
14 32.2 284 351 13.11 0.89 -3.60 20.16
14.7 31.8 316 379 11.54 3.16 0.89 5.16
6.4 41.3 267 275 6.55 -0.15 3.16 10.97
17.6 38.1 274 365 18.48 -0.88 -0.15 0.53
22.3 50.8 190 275 22.78 -0.48 -0.88 0.16
24.8 32.2 236 360 23.23 1.57 -0.48 4.19
26 38.4 220 365 28.37 -2.37 1.57 15.51
34.9 40.3 231 395 31.47 3.43 -2.37 33.68
18.2 40 217 272 14.87 3.33 3.43 0.01
23.2 32.2 284 424 24.43 -1.23 3.33 20.76
18 31.8 316 428 19.13 -1.13 -1.23 0.01
13.1 40.8 210 273 16.49 -3.39 -1.13 5.07
16.1 41.3 267 358 19.42 -3.32 -3.39 0.00
32.1 38.1 274 444 30.73 1.37 -3.32 21.99
34.7 50.8 190 345 33.63 1.07 1.37 0.09
31.7 32.2 236 402 29.74 1.96 1.07 0.79
33.6 38.4 220 410 35.35 -1.75 1.96 13.71
30.4 40 217 340 25.41 4.99 -1.75 45.33
26.6 40.8 210 347 27.96 -1.36 4.99 40.27
27.8 41.3 267 416 28.41 -0.61 -1.36 0.56
45.7 50.8 190 407 43.24 2.46 -0.61 9.41
DW= 2.05307187
x2,x3,x4
6.9 6.1 220 235 9.54 -2.64
14.4 4.8 231 307 17.87 -3.47 -2.64 0.68
7.4 6.1 217 212 6.53 0.87 -3.47 18.79
8.5 0.2 316 365 9.80 -1.30 0.87 4.72
8 3.5 210 218 6.93 1.07 -1.30 5.64
2.8 1.8 267 235 -0.93 3.73 1.07 7.04
5 1.2 274 285 5.15 -0.15 3.73 15.06
12.2 8.6 190 205 11.50 0.70 -0.15 0.74
10 5.2 236 267 11.21 -1.21 0.70 3.66
15.2 6.1 220 300 19.44 -4.24 -1.21 9.16
26.8 4.8 213 367 29.95 -3.15 -4.24 1.17
14 2.4 284 351 14.33 -0.33 -3.15 7.97
14.7 0.2 316 379 11.93 2.77 -0.33 9.59
6.4 1.8 267 275 5.16 1.24 2.77 2.34
17.6 1.2 274 365 17.33 0.27 1.24 0.94
22.3 8.6 190 275 22.15 0.15 0.27 0.01
24.8 5.2 236 360 25.37 -0.57 0.15 0.51
26 6.1 220 365 29.33 -3.33 -0.57 7.64
34.9 4.8 231 395 31.26 3.64 -3.33 48.58
18.2 6.1 217 272 15.67 2.53 3.64 1.21
23.2 2.4 284 424 25.45 -2.25 2.53 22.85
18 0.2 316 428 19.40 -1.40 -2.25 0.72
13.1 3.5 210 273 15.30 -2.20 -1.40 0.65
16.1 1.8 267 358 17.80 -1.70 -2.20 0.25
32.1 1.2 274 444 29.36 2.74 -1.70 19.70
34.7 8.6 190 345 32.81 1.89 2.74 0.72
31.7 5.2 236 402 31.77 -0.07 1.89 3.81
33.6 6.1 220 410 36.19 -2.59 -0.07 6.35
30.4 6.1 217 340 26.02 4.38 -2.59 48.53
26.6 3.5 210 347 26.57 0.03 4.38 18.91
27.8 1.8 267 416 26.63 1.17 0.03 1.29
45.7 8.6 190 407 42.25 3.45 1.17 5.20
DW= 1.59822214
Error ^2
50760.28 x1x2x3
51213.32 Resumen
49263.22
94196.93 Estadísticas de la regresión
43711.57 Coeficiente de correlación m0.38974433
71726.78 Coeficiente de determinaci 0.15190065
73482.69 R^2 ajustado 0.06103286
38547.37 Error típico 10.3900563
55580.07 Observaciones 32
47089.18
38378.22 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
75068.20 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
90429.62 Regresión 3 541.385626 180.461875 1.67166659
69811.45 Residuos 28 3022.69156 107.95327
66810.31 Total 31 3564.07719
34683.41
48820.78 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad
42518.61 Intercepción -4.08042772 45.8251961 -0.08904332 0.92968134
42355.12 x1 0.0954829 0.46233081 0.20652507 0.83787525
44585.67 x2 2.06017562 1.65666577 1.24356744 0.22397038
70111.50 x3 0.04722382 0.12552526 0.37620972 0.70959663
88455.79
41605.03
64779.70
59524.73
30218.55
45819.23
39442.12
39582.37
36280.01
58960.85
26515.18
Error ^2 Resumen
41495.80
32767.48 R^2 ajustado 0.91753159
39906.81 Error típico 3.07919012
32051.09
Suma de cuadrados
98474.96 Regresión 3 3298.59766 1099.53255 115.967176
91213.56 Residuos 28 265.479531 9.48141182
105240.28 Total 31 3564.07719
55774.80
57086.67 Intercepción -53.8991731 5.8135101 -9.27136482 4.97605E-10
93787.63 x1 0.42237286 0.12729405 3.31808803 0.00252106
98976.42 x2 2.15422685 0.27160306 7.9315264 1.22435E-08
111360.49 x4 0.14445635 0.00844769 17.1000969 2.36173E-16
52937.26
133821.22
136979.62
53323.07
95769.76
141995.39
87928.96
116518.23
123907.65
81727.94
84924.39
126570.08
120775.83
Error ^2 Resumen
1.72
0.00 R^2 ajustado 0.9503696
6.02 Error típico 2.38872734
0.08
Suma de cuadrados
12.94 Regresión 3 3404.30867 1134.76956 198.8724
0.80 Residuos 28 159.768513 5.70601831
10.01 Total 31 3564.07719
0.02
0.23 Intercepción 2.7768157 7.51304676 0.36959915 0.71446187
2.46 x1 0.23445225 0.10646111 2.20223369 0.03605087
5.61 x3 -0.18183285 0.01639137 -11.0932064 9.28782E-12
11.79 x4 0.15504857 0.00672857 23.0433336 9.58036E-20
11.09
1.50
1.29
11.46
11.01
1.88
1.14
3.83
3.05
24.86
1.85
0.37
6.03
Error ^2 Resumen
6.97
1.15 R^2 ajustado 0.94665679
13.88 Error típico 2.47646547
0.49
Suma de cuadrados
9.95 Regresión 3 3392.35651 1130.7855 184.380793
0.11 Residuos 28 171.720674 6.13288121
7.65 Total 31 3564.07719
1.53
0.02 Intercepción 5.95174095 8.1189766 0.73306542 0.46961179
0.33 x2 0.64052459 0.40006168 1.6010646 0.12058634
11.12 x3 -0.16409128 0.02886853 -5.6840888 4.29629E-06
13.22 x4 0.15226177 0.00705629 21.5781664 5.48335E-19
6.42
5.04
1.95
4.85
2.90
7.49
3.56
0.00
6.69
19.18
0.00
1.36
11.88
Valor crítico de F
0.19568671
Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

-97.9490867 89.7882312 -6.97984751 -1.18100792
-0.85155883 1.04252463 0.06623063 0.12473517
-1.33335038 5.45370162 1.95535622 2.16499502
-0.20990301 0.30435065 0.03928168 0.05516597
Valor crítico de F
6.7672E-16

-65.8076087 -41.9907374 -54.2670014 -53.5313447
0.16162282 0.6831229 0.4143188 0.43042692
1.5978732 2.71058049 2.13704217 2.17141152
0.12715204 0.16176067 0.14392186 0.14499085
Valor crítico de F
5.6133E-19

-12.6129629 18.1665943 2.30145545 3.25217595
0.01637655 0.45252795 0.22771632 0.24118818
-0.21540905 -0.14825665 -0.18286995 -0.18079575
0.14126573 0.16883141 0.15462284 0.15547429
Valor crítico de F
1.53868E-18

-10.6792287 22.5827106 5.43804274 6.46543917
-0.17896461 1.4600138 0.61521217 0.66583702
-0.22322578 -0.10495678 -0.16591783 -0.16226473
0.13780762 0.16671592 0.15181531 0.15270823

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y x1 x2 x3 x4 a) Encontrar el mejor modelo con base en La pr

6.9 38.4 6.1 220 235 b)Obtener la prueba Durbin Watson

y y estimada limite inferiorlimite superior

6.4 6.55 1.65698304 11.4403755

26.6 27.96 23.0656352 32.8532098

Análisis de los residuales

y y estimada limite inferior limite superior

matriz arriba+matriz izq

#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?

y x2 y estimada Error Error d (E-Ed)^2 Error ^2

y x3 y estimada Error Error d (E-Ed)^2 Error ^2

y x4 y estimada Error Error d (E-Ed)^2 Error ^2

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 5.0%Superior 5.0%

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