Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
120.0
110.0
100.0
A B C
Demanda
Produccion Baja Media Alta
A 70 120 200
B 80 120 180
C 100 125 160
Probabilidades (%) 10.00 50.00 40.00
E
160.0
147.0
140.0 150.0
136.5 147.0
140.0
140.0
136.5
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
A B C
Baja (0.1)
A ● Media (0.5)
Alta (0.4)
Baja (0.1)
B ● Media (0.5)
Alta (0.4)
Baja (0.1)
■ C ● Media (0.5)
Alta (0.4)
Baja (0.24)
A ● Media (0.60)
Alta (0.16)
Baja (0.24)
Predicción Baja (0.25) ■ B ● Media (0.60)
Alta (0.16)
Baja (0.24)
C ● Media (0.60)
Alta (0.16)
Baja (0.07)
A ● Media (0.67)
Alta (0.26)
Baja (0.07)
Información ● Predicción Media (0.30) ■ B ● Media (0.67)
Alta (0.26)
Baja (0.07)
C ● Media (0.67)
Alta (0.26)
Baja (0.04)
A ● Media (0.33)
Alta (0.63)
Baja (0.04)
Predicción Alta (0.45) ■ B ● Media (0.33)
Alta (0.63)
Baja (0.04)
C ● Media (0.33)
Alta (0.63)
Beneficios Valor Esperado Valor Esperado
70
120 147.0
200
80
120 140.0
180
100
125 136.5
160
70
120 120.8
200
80
120 120.0
180
100
125 124.6
160
70
120 137.3
200
80
120 132.8 148.1
180
100
125 132.4
160
70
120 168.4
200
80
120 156.2
180
100
125 146.1
160
Beneficios Valor Esperado Varianza
Baja (0.1) 70
A ● Media (0.5) 120 147.0 2081
Alta (0.4) 200
Baja (0.1) 80
■ B ● Media (0.5) 120 140.0 1200
Alta (0.4) 180
Desv. Est.
25
20
34.6
15
10
5
0
134 136 138 140 142 144 146 148
20.5 Esperanza