Un inversor de EE.UU. invierte en un bono de Perú.

Calcule el retorno esperado a partir de la siguiente información:

Componente
Valor facial S/100.00 vp
Tasa cupón 8.00% Coupon
Frecuencia del cupón Anual frecuencia
Horizonte de inversión 30 años T
Precio actual S/89.73 P0
Precio en un año (asumiendo que curva de rendimiento no cambia) S/95.00 P1
Convexidad 187.8 convexidad
Duración modificada 10.4 dur mod
Cambio esperado en rendimiento 6.00% ytm cambio
Pérdida esperada por riesgo de crédito 0.20% pd*lgd
Pérdida esperada por depreciación del sol respecto a dólar 0.80% cambio porcentaje tc
Cupón S/8.00

Solución
ΔP/P -28.80%
Roll down return 5.88%
Yield income (coupon income) 8.92%
Pérdida esperada por riesgo de crédito -0.20%
Pérdida cambiaria -0.80%
Retorno total -15.01%
 de la siguiente información:

ambio porcentaje tc

Rolling yield bond 14.79%

 T Data Data Ordenada
1 1.536791887551 8.9683
2 -0.40635232721 8.8808
3 -0.59520968174 6.7968
4 0.116859328474 6.0544
5 -0.84430489857 5.8226
6 0.36729981306 4.8215
7 1.355236367773 4.5011
8 0.665792395174 4.1336
9 0.241141041605 3.8291
10 -0.38910971641 3.3759
11 0.564249837638 3.3489
12 -0.24998855665 3.2967
13 -0.76882707224 3.1015
14 -1.62790164868 3.0114
15 0.035053383741 2.6795
16 -0.42878637386 2.6441
17 -0.67248165728 2.6237
18 0.25142221556 2.5874
19 -0.3393109349 2.5374
20 -1.11750440369 2.4615
21 -0.57624522047 2.4459
22 -0.44135550997 2.4056
23 -1.51657493226 2.4007
24 -0.74151904336 2.3731
25 1.590866919736 2.3588
26 0.048620766583 2.3512
27 0.169228533001 2.2788
28 0.137902838254 2.2714
29 -0.21678992762 2.2671
30 -1.44385554262 2.2573
31 -0.22792684195 2.2137
32 -2.49513595163 2.2126
33 0.010953673795 2.1980
34 0.571055661578 2.1808
35 2.278777233525 2.1596
36 -0.0106459021 2.1268
37 0.808138759045 2.1206
38 -1.27004390665 2.1183
39 1.158339037381 2.0987
40 -0.7047993223 2.0496
41 1.075661473224 2.0318
42 1.028475273656 2.0229
43 0.144365672002 2.0148
44 0.976787058581 2.0081
45 -0.16877516747 1.9945
46 -2.25132587714 1.9667
47 0.714898197202 1.9385
48 -1.608346546 1.9330
49 0.476135325858 1.9308
50 0.89447923523 1.9273
51 -0.21120760682 1.8901
52 2.461479803417 1.8896
53 0.245631009935 1.8861
54 0.621276450538 1.8785
55 -0.94774904376 1.8710
56 -0.16401076395 1.8588
57 -0.81591288328 1.8471
58 -0.00149091289 1.8454
59 -0.49996180684 1.8128
60 1.636274497102 1.8125
61 -0.23169851202 1.7816
62 0.738233440566 1.7730
63 0.665828621458 1.7643
64 0.27134294953 1.7622
65 -1.01126385228 1.7614
66 -0.89489683827 1.7311
67 -0.90820795123 1.7291
68 -0.03138778891 1.7256
69 1.640565945286 1.7230
70 1.890084998963 1.6919
71 -0.04835328301 1.6889
72 -0.43260985787 1.6800
73 -0.30350799857 1.6731
74 -0.74011154803 1.6589
75 1.886129520593 1.6558
76 0.232656771206 1.6514
77 0.509376615578 1.6511
78 0.062063727885 1.6494
79 0.041354429435 1.6491
80 0.218608894788 1.6406
81 -0.12526781188 1.6363
82 -0.01282033021 1.6346
83 0.1139009043 1.6285
84 0.70754343325 1.6263
85 0.187036653706 1.6216
86 -0.00211543954 1.6178
87 -0.35036944683 1.6033
88 0.022641562931 1.6033
89 -0.81049751637 1.5982
 90 0.643395354011 1.5924
91 -0.04890894174 1.5909
92 -0.08085852328 1.5901
93 0.084403453494 1.5850
94 -0.78364226972 1.5644
95 0.506048705424 1.5545
96 -0.10682316087 1.5430
97 2.022949827141 1.5413
98 0.404176101772 1.5368
99 -0.61667443422 1.5292
100 0.312998047778 1.5249
101 0.209050568795 1.5154
102 1.617821963021 1.5152
103 0.395111527907 1.5138
104 -0.31295294353 1.5049
105 -0.12805984267 1.4869
106 0.118478151903 1.4846
107 -0.05408532605 1.4826
108 -0.00753318884 1.4808
109 -0.22351434037 1.4793
110 -1.05573556543 1.4744
111 -0.57532394484 1.4738
112 0.960267336469 1.4718
113 -0.44878218697 1.4676
114 0.264803493198 1.4654
115 0.087189996666 1.4607
116 0.361786402335 1.4579
117 0.714879829544 1.4570
118 -0.0321661143 1.4560
119 -0.34626904364 1.4413
120 -0.99401652318 1.4411
121 -0.62073100174 1.4383
122 0.019543519292 1.4351
123 -0.29705448851 1.4336
124 0.804544343666 1.4323
125 1.021752900308 1.4242
126 0.410861293442 1.4214
127 -0.24466730273 1.4206
128 -1.67101271701 1.4117
129 0.043948225513 1.4106
130 -1.45492620647 1.4095
131 -0.30901628497 1.4055
132 0.299108568265 1.4045
133 -0.07292268041 1.3905
134 1.086726074705 1.3899
135 -0.94237076581 1.3839
136 0.216142992753 1.3822
137 0.782250575802 1.3819
138 -2.39904949324 1.3803
139 -1.22799193944 1.3733
140 0.169727606243 1.3676
141 0.013044045412 1.3589
142 -0.39933835597 1.3581
143 -1.39488419257 1.3557
144 -0.15947906895 1.3552
145 0.482823867257 1.3519
146 1.966736976809 1.3474
147 0.066313477761 1.3463
148 0.231751481999 1.3443
149 -0.20316547209 1.3368
150 -0.52402240238 1.3338
151 0.782525078098 1.3335
152 0.426062614599 1.3317
153 0.016242192308 1.3313
154 -0.47564535251 1.3276
155 -0.1711338208 1.3214
156 0.158362156853 1.3114
157 0.330119808731 1.3097
158 0.291665843538 1.3077
159 0.033843095274 1.2976
160 0.652758967448 1.2933
161 0.044812906867 1.2926
162 -0.63414692504 1.2879
163 -0.41439789909 1.2838
164 1.180066719094 1.2808
165 1.142114842627 1.2802
166 -0.76181593722 1.2750
167 0.547318608852 1.2750
168 -0.94230021072 1.2730
169 -0.24432858581 1.2727
170 -0.12191986513 1.2661
171 -1.11115011895 1.2646
172 1.680010665248 1.2616
173 -0.2087762028 1.2607
174 0.485331661097 1.2536
175 -0.31280332571 1.2523
176 -0.32476459152 1.2463
177 0.265234874512 1.2406
178 0.75687167943 1.2363
179 -0.0047551602 1.2352
180 -0.09311082559 1.2342
181 0.1128093031 1.2310
182 0.019694597971 1.2272
183 0.562710342231 1.2263
184 0.339746595659 1.2243
185 0.150634198338 1.2228
186 0.000668979104 1.2182
187 0.543069872087 1.2162
188 -0.18513960682 1.2115
189 0.509306225218 1.2104
190 -0.3907241332 1.2100
191 -0.25666081881 1.2085
192 1.000247440418 1.2062
193 -1.16057775514 1.2033
194 1.036258025858 1.1997
195 0.054904893537 1.1970
196 -0.18070439898 1.1970
197 0.564196890559 1.1877
198 -0.06062723007 1.1868
199 0.159397222562 1.1804
200 0.05921520293 1.1801
201 0.069040115048 1.1772
202 -0.10456502891 1.1770
203 -1.24817174083 1.1756
204 -0.63230670102 1.1688
205 0.873425874497 1.1663
206 -1.84792752843 1.1663
207 0.609089959596 1.1632
208 1.264566641842 1.1595
209 -0.08644953635 1.1583
210 0.232122707163 1.1581
211 0.460012640074 1.1563
212 0.952049448954 1.1502
213 0.108397576537 1.1500
214 0.181481195215 1.1469
215 0.447110041092 1.1465
216 0.324387231739 1.1459
217 -0.24061516418 1.1439
218 0.131316401233 1.1426
219 0.55873772173 1.1421
220 -0.16197549581 1.1288
221 -0.55255858914 1.1284
222 -0.24254633815 1.1241
223 0.667516680155 1.1215
224 -0.83169804044 1.1208
225 0.714866598213 1.1204
226 -0.33455821309 1.1188
227 0.775491294354 1.1175
228 -0.05884949412 1.1113
229 0.404848511482 1.1104
230 0.515896202979 1.1033
231 -1.06020955062 1.1016
232 0.404025382029 1.1005
233 -0.43041765504 1.1001
234 0.628301198903 1.0972
235 0.353804078259 1.0970
236 1.211544629243 1.0923
237 0.354594694267 1.0900
238 -0.28407860171 1.0882
239 -2.323413048 1.0880
240 1.420586550332 1.0869
241 -1.44313540897 1.0867
242 -0.67235401753 1.0864
243 0.880897954902 1.0859
244 0.465079821543 1.0858
245 1.03652942489 1.0820
246 0.000633398468 1.0795
247 0.402661774475 1.0794
248 -0.18437840672 1.0793
249 0.716031838937 1.0791
250 0.2481841847 1.0784
251 -0.93514754188 1.0782
252 0.936399435369 1.0781
253 1.047951533314 1.0760
254 0.190598834898 1.0757
255 0.521666318411 1.0722
256 0.413055073029 1.0665
257 -0.36939809321 1.0624
258 0.431240067515 1.0619
259 0.00428466061 1.0605
260 1.009109963456 1.0574
261 0.510106511782 1.0563
262 -0.50222965731 1.0538
263 1.024741180559 1.0502
264 -0.07079094172 1.0499
265 0.172090764862 1.0480
266 -0.830803904 1.0469
267 -0.29281357699 1.0463
268 -0.05514967823 1.0453
269 -0.70728920603 1.0443
270 0.36635955679 1.0434
271 -1.44105502737 1.0412
272 0.591840708222 1.0380
273 -0.55260242096 1.0365
274 -1.38755667252 1.0363
275 0.84544332067 1.0342
276 1.274994766766 1.0285
277 -0.03469062992 1.0247
278 -1.02052315208 1.0239
279 -0.84047860176 1.0218
280 1.467609016145 1.0213
281 -0.59023980079 1.0144
282 0.753883972372 1.0129
283 0.776095178888 1.0094
284 -1.39482988292 1.0091
285 -2.53283545257 1.0059
286 0.26661484312 1.0003
287 -1.2219313503 1.0002
288 0.9452416383 0.9994
289 0.954480202365 0.9994
290 0.618072765927 0.9990
291 -0.42988374873 0.9943
292 0.538924203625 0.9906
293 -0.05450536517 0.9892
294 0.082365950982 0.9863
295 0.523783800212 0.9854
296 0.720367062932 0.9800
297 0.018154641284 0.9781
298 1.346319815046 0.9768
299 0.308177675423 0.9749
300 0.137390027827 0.9713
301 -0.37156612435 0.9670
302 0.27701921402 0.9649
303 0.502036493636 0.9636
304 0.160877288902 0.9626
305 0.203092506385 0.9616
306 -0.18536452449 0.9616
307 -0.38184593199 0.9603
308 0.255317523084 0.9598
309 0.082793700581 0.9592
310 -0.37429936681 0.9568
311 0.037374417943 0.9545
312 -0.01364300991 0.9520
313 1.246257950487 0.9504
314 0.163908552329 0.9490
315 -0.14809137543 0.9475
316 -0.57394613732 0.9452
317 -0.38131487524 0.9428
318 0.387795279386 0.9378
319 -0.35763855288 0.9371
320 -0.11535425383 0.9364
321 0.27721724914 0.9327
322 -0.51900517443 0.9263
323 -1.43845239263 0.9193
324 -0.3310073414 0.9121
325 -0.59178400933 0.9118
326 0.381396347009 0.9101
327 -0.57964139652 0.9094
328 0.858249504071 0.9063
329 0.393921833541 0.9060
330 -0.40478569131 0.9041
331 -1.60015095673 0.9000
332 0.274388922216 0.8972
333 0.196142593122 0.8945
334 -0.31793224259 0.8934
335 0.808422642343 0.8856
336 0.120913150734 0.8809
337 0.005437655768 0.8802
338 0.994333205609 0.8797
339 0.731892291711 0.8795
340 0.304762592399 0.8784
341 -0.33861650419 0.8780
342 0.271103354324 0.8778
343 0.567701689198 0.8778
344 0.420884948659 0.8769
345 1.210411596781 0.8769
346 -0.18446229845 0.8752
347 -0.72430937969 0.8734
348 -0.47307188688 0.8711
349 -0.26005674712 0.8668
350 -0.27432108029 0.8582
351 0.347935151562 0.8567
352 -0.4082095793 0.8561
353 -0.60475090188 0.8539
354 0.796675372098 0.8539
355 -0.06668889877 0.8531
356 -0.90199957445 0.8526
357 0.702848706558 0.8496
358 -0.85427446237 0.8488
359 -1.24087233489 0.8460
360 0.0573697496 0.8457
361 2.159560300365 0.8454
362 0.626665890421 0.8453
363 0.406640391119 0.8446
364 -0.70888155544 0.8438
365 1.373281612298 0.8372
366 0.672132301765 0.8366
367 0.652741955015 0.8340
368 0.009171261857 0.8332
369 0.572111078588 0.8313
370 -0.47357309912 0.8278
371 0.325287199602 0.8264
372 0.438517263832 0.8220
373 0.1328835931 0.8217
374 0.556868045724 0.8213
375 -0.48879104801 0.8208
376 -0.38467595768 0.8184
377 0.28992283353 0.8177
378 0.356417731263 0.8170
379 -0.28094838497 0.8163
380 0.425645761015 0.8158
381 -1.3270455489 0.8152
382 1.333823103902 0.8132
383 0.072265352475 0.8129
384 -0.23731640314 0.8109
385 0.806271957343 0.8096
386 0.482559954733 0.8084
387 0.421311367739 0.8083
388 -0.37050389069 0.8081
389 -0.20450361935 0.8076
390 -0.36422359862 0.8063
391 0.809571627442 0.8058
392 0.494917149428 0.8045
393 -0.12641245404 0.8041
394 0.014978239974 0.8034
395 0.248200948475 0.8004
396 -0.2722704644 0.7994
397 -0.31979560353 0.7984
398 -0.13043625524 0.7983
399 -0.4348999543 0.7975
400 1.117523022459 0.7967
401 0.18154350129 0.7940
402 -0.3184724887 0.7936
403 -1.13813839449 0.7893
404 -0.37777048176 0.7888
405 -0.01013850323 0.7825
406 0.630010001028 0.7823
407 -0.31057840715 0.7810
408 1.651089252558 0.7802
409 -0.05800704534 0.7797
410 0.480717148805 0.7780
411 0.530400468971 0.7773
412 0.291152825912 0.7761
413 -0.03366436659 0.7755
414 -0.01792275298 0.7748
415 0.395183510045 0.7690
416 -0.03330285152 0.7689
417 -0.25149406117 0.7666
418 0.606335341031 0.7643
419 -0.0212223532 0.7643
420 0.034824057246 0.7641
421 0.230403579715 0.7641
422 -1.26559422686 0.7623
423 1.075984662418 0.7612
424 0.515288914833 0.7569
425 -0.13480337805 0.7563
426 -0.39027458285 0.7543
427 0.057473447224 0.7539
428 -0.89293113411 0.7529
429 -2.109646461 0.7497
430 -0.48882329233 0.7479
431 0.612190851144 0.7472
432 -1.02616763873 0.7457
433 1.120404950851 0.7453
434 -0.64863036976 0.7434
435 -2.30966322882 0.7432
436 0.761207991171 0.7382
437 -0.20303185905 0.7372
438 1.23630325296 0.7368
439 1.321421292208 0.7366
440 0.156803466235 0.7360
441 1.100135695385 0.7360
442 -0.02693040156 0.7346
443 0.579324136275 0.7319
444 0.479766271381 0.7300
445 -0.6545856468 0.7292
446 0.601332590282 0.7279
447 -0.19205507491 0.7239
448 0.616746348065 0.7228
449 -0.13485959588 0.7225
450 0.002167857182 0.7204
451 0.493587886637 0.7204
452 0.27788716068 0.7197
453 -0.7405881878 0.7194
454 1.515229385452 0.7163
455 -0.00533657797 0.7160
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457 0.053793938561 0.7155
458 -0.0463356252 0.7149
459 -0.50950761793 0.7149
460 0.030515307411 0.7149
461 -1.17700993202 0.7122
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463 0.95677439885 0.7075
464 0.719365860409 0.7058
465 -0.61505355931 0.7029
466 0.60223393672 0.7028
467 -0.29369853639 0.7015
468 -0.48765389499 0.7009
469 0.439424192065 0.7009
470 -0.70249712007 0.7001
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474 0.70146594306 0.6951
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477 -1.26165142586 0.6872
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480 1.085898956047 0.6839
481 -2.11059150749 0.6824
482 -0.95320514426 0.6753
483 0.818368388189 0.6745
484 0.673458211341 0.6740
485 1.043382588818 0.6735
486 0.136296826174 0.6727
487 0.408377084298 0.6721
488 -0.22157486948 0.6712
489 0.171550388369 0.6710
490 -0.81293656429 0.6685
491 0.323079553321 0.6675
492 0.474951263177 0.6658
493 0.29875523247 0.6658
494 -0.01433261761 0.6656
495 -0.1349334303 0.6633
496 0.186945723361 0.6588
497 -0.90289976404 0.6574
498 0.560075998286 0.6543
499 -0.13745926338 0.6528
500 0.151833619554 0.6527
501 0.962623290274 0.6524
502 0.042170739404 0.6520
503 -0.47121308116 0.6520
504 -0.94058756212 0.6518
505 0.373995756989 0.6504
506 0.383742970128 0.6479
507 -0.65196044561 0.6474
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509 0.235946487208 0.6442
510 0.423937234258 0.6441
511 -0.11146902133 0.6434
512 0.535275873926 0.6424
513 0.184202362418 0.6418
514 0.072754866092 0.6409
515 -0.03792986139 0.6407
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518 0.461709347419 0.6383
519 0.093829079027 0.6378
520 -0.02460238963 0.6369
521 -0.35432986634 0.6364
522 -0.71141239638 0.6354
523 0.31296339563 0.6311
524 0.083635786534 0.6304
525 0.217023259234 0.6300
526 0.768924811236 0.6283
527 0.127666328243 0.6267
528 0.17285560157 0.6240
529 -0.01324678767 0.6213
530 -0.64561039462 0.6211
531 0.488553245562 0.6204
532 -0.11795495081 0.6181
533 0.190905018956 0.6180
534 -0.03723359533 0.6167
535 0.665559015163 0.6160
536 0.065857132934 0.6141
537 0.546457726661 0.6140
538 -0.70737299445 0.6122
539 0.463351893633 0.6117
540 -0.4139677938 0.6108
541 0.146989663442 0.6106
542 0.483184577731 0.6091
543 -0.19339917632 0.6076
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2120 0.041574571697 -0.8127
2121 0.227301790277 -0.8129
2122 -0.37605002911 -0.8133
2123 -0.72159905066 -0.8148
2124 1.383936888769 -0.8150
2125 0.031668077286 -0.8154
2126 -0.30151272949 -0.8159
2127 0.360928202355 -0.8159
2128 -0.14899457395 -0.8166
2129 -2.6013289892 -0.8203
2130 0.97133349276 -0.8221
2131 -1.95004059671 -0.8260
2132 1.592426914072 -0.8272
2133 1.380254196565 -0.8289
2134 0.100829632599 -0.8308
2135 1.079482976894 -0.8317
2136 0.388989698555 -0.8392
2137 0.737210512989 -0.8405
2138 -0.11141179818 -0.8427
2139 -0.03452195439 -0.8439
2140 0.166107476484 -0.8443
2141 0.469992114903 -0.8448
2142 -0.0320450872 -0.8452
2143 -0.44255868696 -0.8484
2144 -0.1856616582 -0.8514
2145 -0.77629028925 -0.8525
2146 0.125549941922 -0.8543
2147 1.128771527778 -0.8554
2148 -2.47834347906 -0.8573
2149 -0.47614837181 -0.8598
2150 2.3512130082 -0.8625
2151 -0.81136713126 -0.8637
2152 -1.3152318132 -0.8642
2153 -1.35080379601 -0.8661
2154 1.930836381558 -0.8669
2155 -0.53736840305 -0.8712
2156 1.405544141861 -0.8715
2157 0.601217362311 -0.8782
2158 1.034181821828 -0.8835
2159 0.101488335016 -0.8929
2160 0.647097659086 -0.8933
2161 -0.15709218841 -0.8949
2162 0.287520530498 -0.9020
2163 -1.48705206018 -0.9029
2164 -0.06029206065 -0.9040
2165 0.700055955065 -0.9082
2166 -0.76601008099 -0.9083
2167 -0.54823039848 -0.9153
2168 0.522655081593 -0.9178
2169 1.649441382635 -0.9218
2170 -0.08684019308 -0.9242
2171 -0.31628196119 -0.9253
2172 0.361599296599 -0.9255
2173 1.175577423689 -0.9274
2174 -0.09740121111 -0.9291
2175 0.147414328336 -0.9351
2176 0.421175804081 -0.9365
2177 0.769031637256 -0.9401
2178 -0.01962021567 -0.9406
2179 0.328916638115 -0.9407
2180 -0.40961799297 -0.9413
2181 1.103315801615 -0.9423
2182 0.360225332654 -0.9424
2183 -0.53205822669 -0.9456
2184 -0.68256031307 -0.9456
2185 0.926302546911 -0.9477
2186 -0.92533518568 -0.9532
2187 1.086942386154 -0.9542
2188 0.178063789088 -0.9603
2189 -0.02149423127 -0.9608
2190 -0.08458882928 -0.9618
2191 0.674003254371 -0.9733
2192 -0.72206437182 -0.9737
2193 0.274426569704 -0.9764
2194 -0.67007377404 -0.9871
2195 0.070329145687 -0.9940
2196 0.813223411591 -1.0029
2197 0.734629623781 -1.0113
2198 -1.0490499399 -1.0181
2199 -0.87117316932 -1.0196
2200 -2.16827684527 -1.0205
2201 1.20996541922 -1.0262
2202 1.480775516646 -1.0341
2203 -0.25332441694 -1.0364
2204 -0.85537819278 -1.0490
2205 -0.29477755951 -1.0540
2206 1.049944386861 -1.0557
2207 -0.07841270014 -1.0574
2208 0.986251111906 -1.0602
2209 -0.21275639556 -1.0761
2210 0.187497371285 -1.0807
2211 0.11647198427 -1.0808
2212 0.076859107721 -1.0878
2213 0.144587048503 -1.0898
2214 -0.36352984992 -1.0923
2215 0.87952943521 -1.0945
2216 -0.07970285685 -1.0959
2217 0.017506961428 -1.1057
2218 -0.18255417468 -1.1099
2219 0.464136702308 -1.1112
2220 0.194659419374 -1.1158
2221 0.181356554019 -1.1175
2222 -0.20137061102 -1.1246
2223 -0.54047867833 -1.1271
2224 -0.04357319181 -1.1304
2225 -1.32114349483 -1.1376
2226 1.390520114373 -1.1381
2227 0.511142942334 -1.1453
2228 -0.10838474815 -1.1517
2229 0.579433777657 -1.1606
2230 0.33250724723 -1.1631
2231 0.231236635141 -1.1639
2232 0.027731138634 -1.1763
2233 0.132723291461 -1.1770
2234 0.520805499581 -1.1886
2235 0.747211823136 -1.1905
2236 0.33533824363 -1.1908
2237 -0.85978672166 -1.1981
2238 1.121482991857 -1.1986
2239 0.344521472394 -1.2030
2240 -0.35230289676 -1.2048
2241 0.116429227507 -1.2204
2242 -0.3267568937 -1.2218
2243 -0.75675003917 -1.2219
2244 -1.5996800328 -1.2247
2245 1.504884748815 -1.2280
2246 0.820806865888 -1.2334
2247 0.201463023824 -1.2349
2248 1.009431906017 -1.2377
2249 0.237941994221 -1.2395
2250 -0.47236186726 -1.2396
2251 -0.01863191744 -1.2409
2252 0.419738501162 -1.2482
2253 -0.54206823822 -1.2486
2254 -0.18445946098 -1.2525
2255 0.817001903265 -1.2533
2256 -0.46432082296 -1.2617
2257 0.598749943155 -1.2631
2258 0.167388219493 -1.2656
2259 -0.09403678952 -1.2700
2260 0.099220898648 -1.2788
2261 0.246498219799 -1.3046
2262 0.294773874195 -1.3071
2263 0.160603383448 -1.3077
2264 0.261743098187 -1.3152
2265 -0.70857697908 -1.3202
2266 -1.08066397201 -1.3211
2267 0.125595202557 -1.3270
2268 0.810857714908 -1.3283
2269 0.848769835653 -1.3337
2270 0.149457519433 -1.3414
2271 0.221766608152 -1.3471
2272 -0.58419628595 -1.3478
2273 0.87690455529 -1.3508
2274 0.429734146906 -1.3587
2275 -0.13500571571 -1.3614
2276 0.03117134649 -1.3820
2277 0.283852816778 -1.3876
2278 -0.03350829692 -1.3948
2279 -0.13194454046 -1.3949
2280 -0.46162382763 -1.3995
2281 -0.77526176231 -1.4087
2282 0.227392223941 -1.4089
2283 -0.57631743778 -1.4255
2284 0.843820667325 -1.4275
2285 -0.1552301123 -1.4306
2286 -0.91526831464 -1.4346
2287 -1.71230203738 -1.4385
2288 -0.08126796837 -1.4411
2289 0.947454066409 -1.4431
2290 1.206171586325 -1.4439
2291 0.145994280496 -1.4478
2292 -0.27802175329 -1.4497
2293 -2.05743215875 -1.4549
2294 0.15679363733 -1.4580
2295 -1.19812209738 -1.4666
2296 1.142595221636 -1.4871
2297 -1.30709339999 -1.4942
2298 1.046945897726 -1.5155
2299 0.409449354764 -1.5166
2300 0.826404773502 -1.5242
2301 -0.1915574291 -1.5253
2302 -0.68894637905 -1.5448
2303 -0.24196966755 -1.5515
2304 0.301797818131 -1.5557
2305 1.691917033613 -1.5594
2306 0.743244162092 -1.5683
2307 0.336912271697 -1.5762
2308 0.736616000604 -1.5776
2309 0.365732058695 -1.5856
2310 0.29914274721 -1.5898
2311 -0.10731549584 -1.5997
2312 0.473694223095 -1.6002
2313 0.181812861651 -1.6083
2314 -0.50644004514 -1.6142
2315 0.978134404009 -1.6279
2316 0.194744568058 -1.6296
2317 0.179845043349 -1.6301
2318 0.367361127612 -1.6346
2319 0.644051124047 -1.6465
2320 0.417317210626 -1.6486
2321 0.372590830063 -1.6605
2322 0.08873067844 -1.6650
2323 -0.35048693856 -1.6710
2324 -0.82598337574 -1.6783
2325 0.055077572558 -1.6793
2326 0.719668091104 -1.7021
2327 -0.00106773155 -1.7107
2328 0.385775812259 -1.7123
2329 -0.26050195943 -1.7201
2330 0.337903977451 -1.7427
2331 -0.13996279871 -1.7479
2332 -0.32022541196 -1.7617
2333 0.165570723278 -1.7741
2334 0.22912737235 -1.7864
2335 1.311385739268 -1.7958
2336 -1.91433769923 -1.8043
2337 -1.18855501134 -1.8065
2338 1.40946257157 -1.8262
2339 -0.84844725376 -1.8282
2340 1.166265505592 -1.8318
2341 2.049558617175 -1.8346
2342 0.308054389562 -1.8447
2343 -0.72070383872 -1.8479
2344 0.950380681888 -1.8584
2345 -0.9178200213 -1.8654
2346 -0.74986431219 -1.8764
2347 1.62162128999 -1.8921
2348 -0.87818258428 -1.9096
2349 -1.03410109066 -1.9143
2350 -1.14533730102 -1.9152
2351 1.762176386181 -1.9157
2352 1.012871135228 -1.9271
2353 0.620441689532 -1.9500
2354 -0.10106980314 -1.9583
2355 0.140092158022 -1.9614
2356 -0.29942175301 -1.9898
2357 -0.26296753415 -2.0202
2358 0.635384883555 -2.0574
2359 -0.06298161854 -2.0758
2360 -1.95832727758 -2.0788
2361 -0.09641755291 -2.0803
2362 -0.40584367372 -2.0878
2363 -0.14421248375 -2.0992
2364 0.911833211299 -2.1087
2365 0.281373405603 -2.1096
2366 -1.43459624589 -2.1106
2367 0.081957721271 -2.1190
2368 -0.97367691047 -2.1326
2369 -1.10987896542 -2.1401
2370 -1.90959863586 -2.1437
2371 0.276791800762 -2.1683
2372 -1.22466619622 -2.1836
2373 -0.14977525031 -2.2164
2374 -0.5398540618 -2.2277
2375 2.40558917078 -2.2513
2376 1.87098915114 -2.3097
2377 0.68395085033 -2.3234
2378 0.937843457452 -2.3596
2379 -2.46934841682 -2.3986
2380 0.514371309086 -2.3990
2381 -0.37086548006 -2.4007
2382 0.836613096278 -2.4427
2383 1.441281239836 -2.4525
2384 -1.82818035103 -2.4693
 2385 -1.91516962341 -2.4783
2386 -0.38479420653 -2.4828
2387 1.564373921237 -2.4951
2388 0.088083277922 -2.5068
2389 -2.1400503004 -2.5282
2390 -0.71920421176 -2.5328
2391 -1.85837901943 -2.5485
2392 1.484605971154 -2.6001
2393 2.212614836476 -2.6013
2394 -0.24456003393 -2.6195
2395 -1.55944267561 -2.6289
2396 1.847098344899 -2.7487
2397 -0.52685655519 -2.8460
2398 -0.79656579014 -2.8511
2399 -2.99625225505 -2.9730
2400 -0.72601279981 -2.9731
2401 2.537367234564 -2.9963
2402 -0.43010818994 -3.0023
2403 -1.30462882845 -3.0230
2404 -0.74486283971 -3.0748
2405 2.118255114066 -3.1155
2406 2.213699884295 -3.1351
2407 1.22721914045 -3.2369
2408 1.159477044632 -3.2900
2409 -0.04347679999 -3.3416
2410 1.124076926025 -3.4088
2411 -1.2348713151 -3.4268
2412 1.424203030905 -3.4511
2413 0.505340237418 -3.5758
2414 0.711955964882 -3.5926
2415 1.218202728526 -3.6581
2416 -0.63136103509 -3.8259
2417 -1.57763272794 -4.0211
2418 0.340448552606 -4.1843
2419 0.805832262263 -4.4328
2420 -1.26311551371 -4.5146
2421 -0.97643862227 -4.5168
2422 0.424435243951 -5.0103
2423 -0.2654507488 -5.3222
2424 -1.70213337629 -6.0753
2425 -0.34233936349 -7.9010
2426 1.111268282313 -9.9945
2427 -1.22184799515 -12.7652

Momentos
E[r] 0.0456 0.0456
SD[r] 1.0515 1.0515

VaR Histórico
Percentil VaR Hist. ES
99% -3.07 -4.77 =+K.ESIMO.MENOR(B2:B2428;(1-A2436)*$A$2428)
95% -1.58 -2.61 =+PROMEDIO(SI($C$2:$C$2428<B2436;$C$2:$C$2428))
90% -0.95 -1.92

VaR Normal
Percentil VaR Norm. ES
99% -2.40 -3.70 =+$B$2431+INV.NORM((1-A2436);0;1)*$B$2432
95% -1.68 -2.78
90% -1.30 -2.27
** -3.7037
2436)*$A$2428)
436;$C$2:$C$2428))

;1)*$B$2432
 Activo Nro acciones Precio Inversión USD Pesos
A 1500 $10 $15,000 20.3%
B 1700 $30 $51,000 68.9%
C 1400 $20 $28,000 37.8%
Apalancar Bonos 20000 $1 -$20,000 -27.0%
Total $74,000
Usted maneja un fondo de inversión que consta de un portafolio
invertido en 1500, 1700 y 1400 acciones de las empresas A, B y C con
precios de $10, $30 y $20, respectivamente. No obstante, necesita
tomar más riesgo y en la política de inversión se muestra que se puede
apalancar hasta por $20,000. Ante esto, usted emite 20,000 bonos
(asumamos libre de riesgo) a un precio de $1 cada uno. ¿Cuál sería el
peso de la acción C dentro del portafolio?
Activo W SD Varianza Retornos
Acciones 0.30 20.00% 4.00% 10%
Bonos 0.70 12.00% 1.44% 3%
El 30% de un portafolio está in
Suma de pesos 1.00
tienen una desviación estándar
Correlación -0.6 retorno de 10%. El porcentaje
bonos, que tienen una desviaci
Retorno del portafolio 12% y retorno de 3%. Si la cor
SD del portafolio 6.79% ambas clases de activos es de -
riesgo (desviación estándar) de
 30% de un portafolio está invertido en acciones, que
nen una desviación estándar de los retornos de 20% y
orno de 10%. El porcentaje restante está invertido en
nos, que tienen una desviación estándar los retornos de
% y retorno de 3%. Si la correlación entre los retornos de
mbas clases de activos es de -0.60, ¿cuál es el retorno y
sgo (desviación estándar) del portafolio?
Activo W SD Varianza
Activo 1 0.50 9.60% 0.92%
Activo 2 0.50 9.60% 0.92%
Suma de pesos 1.00
Correlación 0.7

SD del portafolio 8.85%

En un portafolio solo existen dos activos. Ambos tienen la misma

desviación estándar de 9.6%. Si la correlación es de 0.7 y
asumiendo que siempre la suma de pesos es 1, ¿cuál es el peso del
primer activo en el portafolio de mínima varianza?