A continuación se dan valores de precipitación anuales

correspondiente a 37 años de registro:

Año Precipitación
(mm)
1981 46.4
1982 26.5
1983 40.1
1984 47.7
1985 23.8
1986 23.8
1987 42.2
1988 20.5
1989 33.8
1990 28.1
1991 20.1
1992 29.9
1993 26.4
1994 19.1
1995 22.8
1996 19.2
1997 24.1
1998 28.6
1999 22
2000 36
2001 42.6
2002 20.7
2003 30.2
2004 30.4
2005 25.9
2006 18.7
2007 18.5
2008 25
2009 25
2010 16.8
2011 17.3
2012 18.5
2013 28.3
2014 36.2
2015 34.3
2016 21.7
2017 24.4
Precipitación Año N Datos
(mm) ordenados
46.4 1981 1 16.8 Rango 30.90
26.5 1982 2 17.3 NC 5.803 6.000
40.1 1983 3 18.5 ΔX 6.434 6.180
47.7 1984 4 18.5 Xmin 16.80
23.8 1985 5 18.7 Xmax 47.70
23.8 1986 6 19.1
42.2 1987 7 19.2
20.5 1988 8 20.1
33.8 1989 9 20.5 LCI MCL LCS FreAbsoluta Fre Relativa
28.1 1990 10 20.7 13.710 16.800 19.890 7.000 0.189
20.1 1991 11 21.7 19.890 22.980 26.070 13.000 0.351
29.9 1992 12 22 26.070 29.160 32.250 8.000 0.216
26.4 1993 13 22.8 32.250 35.340 38.430 4.000 0.108
19.1 1994 14 23.8 38.430 41.520 44.610 3.000 0.081
22.8 1995 15 23.8 44.610 47.700 50.790 2.000 0.054
19.2 1996 16 24.1 37.000 1.000
24.1 1997 17 24.4
28.6 1998 18 25 xi fi xi*fi fi*xi² PARÁMETROS ESTADISTICOS P24hr
22 1999 19 25 16.800 7.00 117.6 1975.68 Media 27.3227
36 2000 20 25.9 22.980 13.00 298.74 6865.0452 Varianza 76.0981
42.6 2001 21 26.4 29.160 8.00 233.28 6802.4448 Desv.Standar 8.7234
20.7 2002 22 26.5 35.340 4.00 141.36 4995.6624 Coef. Variación 0.3193
30.2 2003 23 28.1 41.520 3.00 124.56 5171.7312 Coef. Sesgo 0.8138
30.4 2004 24 28.3 47.700 2.00 95.4 4550.58 Coef. Curtosis 3.1663
25.9 2005 25 28.6 Suma 37.00 1010.94 30361.14
18.7 2006 26 29.9
18.5 2007 27 30.2
25 2008 28 30.4
25 2009 29 33.8
16.8 2010 30 34.3
17.3 2011 31 36
18.5 2012 32 36.2
28.3 2013 33 40.1
36.2 2014 34 42.2
34.3 2015 35 42.6
21.7 2016 36 46.4
24.4 2017 37 47.7
n 37
 Intervalo Limite Clase Z = (P-Pmed)/S F(Z) Frec. Frec. Frec. Prob.
Relativa Absoluta Observada
1 13.7 -1.560 0.059 0.125
2 13.71 - 19.89 19.9 -0.852 0.197 0.138 5.0 7.0 0.250
3 19.89 - 26.07 26.1 -0.144 0.443 0.246 9.0 13.0 0.375
4 26.07 - 32.25 32.3 0.565 0.714 0.271 10.0 8.0 0.500
5 32.25 - 38.43 38.4 1.273 0.899 0.185 7.0 4.0 0.625
6 38.43 - 44.61 44.6 1.982 0.976 0.078 3.0 3.0 0.750
7 44.61 - 50.79 50.8 2.690 0.996 0.020 1.0 2.0 0.875
0.9 35.0 37.0

Media 27.32
Datos Agrupado
Desviación Estandar 8.72

Número de datos 37.00

Cálculo de X²C 〖𝑋 ^2 〗 _𝑐=∑24_(𝑖

=1)^𝑘▒ 〖 (𝜃_1−𝑒_𝑖)
〗 ^2/𝑒_1

〖𝑋 ^2 〗 _𝑐= 〖 (2−3) 〗 ^2/2+ 〖 (11−8) 〗 ^2/11+ 〖 (11−12) 〗 ^2/11+

〖 (9−9) 〗 ^2/9+ 〖 (4−2) 〗 ^2/4+ 〖 (1−2) 〗 ^2/1

X²C = 5.263

X² tabular

Grados de libertad 𝑣=𝑘−1−ℎ

v= 3.0

Grados de significación
α= 0.05 = 5 %

X²t = 7.8147

Criterio de Decisión

Si 5.263 < 7.8147

Los datos se ajustan a la distribución normal con un nivel de significación del 5%

ó 95% de probabilidad

Porcentaje que alcanza

%= X²C /X²t

%= 0.674 < 0.950

Frecuencia Relativa de Datos Observados y Esperados

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0
15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00

Observados Esperados
0.2

0.1

0.0
15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00

Observados Esperados
 PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV

Z = X-Xm/S |Fo(xm )-F(xm)| Y=LnX F(xm) |Fo(xm )-F(xm )| (x-X0) F(xm) |Fo(xm )-F(xm )| Ln(x)-X0 F(xm ) |Fo(xm)-F(xm )| F(xm ) |Fo(xm )-F(xm)| F(xm ) |Fo(xm)-F(xm )|
m P=X (mm) P (X) =m/n+1 F(xm ) Normal
Normal LogNormal LogNormal Pearson III Pearson III LogPearson III LogPearson III Gumbel Gumbel LogGumbel III LogGumbel
1 16.80 0.0263 -1.272 0.1018 0.075 2.8214 0.0592 0.0329 7.388 0.0656 0.0393 0.837 0.043 0.0168 0.0568 0.03049 0.0156 0.0107
2 17.30 0.0526 -1.212 0.1128 0.060 2.8507 0.0722 0.0195 7.888 0.0805 0.0278 0.866 0.057 0.0043 0.0702 0.01754 0.0260 0.0267
3 18.50 0.0789 -1.069 0.1426 0.064 2.9178 0.1100 0.0310 9.088 0.1225 0.0436 0.934 0.099 0.0205 0.1096 0.03067 0.0667 0.0123
4 18.50 0.1053 -1.069 0.1426 0.037 2.9178 0.1100 0.0047 9.088 0.1225 0.0173 0.934 0.099 0.0058 0.1096 0.00436 0.0667 0.0386
5 18.70 0.1316 -1.045 0.1481 0.017 2.9285 0.1172 0.0144 9.288 0.1304 0.0012 0.944 0.108 0.0238 0.1172 0.01440 0.0757 0.0559
6 19.10 0.1579 -0.997 0.1594 0.002 2.9497 0.1323 0.0256 9.688 0.1467 0.0112 0.965 0.125 0.0325 0.1331 0.02479 0.0955 0.0624
7 19.20 0.1842 -0.985 0.1623 0.022 2.9549 0.1362 0.0480 9.788 0.1509 0.0334 0.971 0.130 0.0543 0.1372 0.04697 0.1008 0.0834
8 20.10 0.2105 -0.878 0.1901 0.020 3.0007 0.1740 0.0365 10.688 0.1907 0.0198 1.016 0.174 0.0362 0.1772 0.03329 0.1540 0.0565
9 20.50 0.2368 -0.830 0.2033 0.033 3.0204 0.1922 0.0446 11.088 0.2094 0.0274 1.036 0.196 0.0413 0.1964 0.04042 0.1803 0.0566
10 20.70 0.2632 -0.806 0.2102 0.053 3.0301 0.2016 0.0616 11.288 0.2190 0.0441 1.046 0.206 0.0567 0.2063 0.05685 0.1938 0.0693
11 21.70 0.2895 -0.686 0.2462 0.043 3.0773 0.2508 0.0387 12.288 0.2686 0.0209 1.093 0.263 0.0262 0.2581 0.03133 0.2646 0.0249
12 22.00 0.3158 -0.651 0.2576 0.058 3.0910 0.2662 0.0496 12.588 0.2839 0.0318 1.107 0.281 0.0350 0.2743 0.04146 0.2863 0.0294
13 22.80 0.3421 -0.555 0.2894 0.053 3.1268 0.3085 0.0336 13.388 0.3254 0.0167 1.143 0.328 0.0139 0.3184 0.02366 0.3442 0.0021
14 23.80 0.3684 -0.436 0.3315 0.037 3.1697 0.3628 0.0056 14.388 0.3779 0.0095 1.185 0.388 0.0192 0.3746 0.00621 0.4145 0.0461
15 23.80 0.3947 -0.436 0.3315 0.063 3.1697 0.3628 0.0319 14.388 0.3779 0.0168 1.185 0.388 0.0071 0.3746 0.02010 0.4145 0.0197
16 24.10 0.4211 -0.400 0.3446 0.076 3.1822 0.3793 0.0418 14.688 0.3937 0.0274 1.198 0.405 0.0158 0.3915 0.02953 0.4348 0.0137
17 24.40 0.4474 -0.364 0.3579 0.089 3.1946 0.3957 0.0516 14.988 0.4094 0.0380 1.210 0.423 0.0246 0.4084 0.03901 0.4547 0.0073
18 25.00 0.4737 -0.292 0.3850 0.089 3.2189 0.4286 0.0451 15.588 0.4406 0.0331 1.235 0.457 0.0165 0.4418 0.03192 0.4930 0.0193
19 25.00 0.5000 -0.292 0.3850 0.115 3.2189 0.4286 0.0714 15.588 0.4406 0.0594 1.235 0.457 0.0428 0.4418 0.05824 0.4930 0.0070
20 25.90 0.5263 -0.185 0.4266 0.100 3.2542 0.4773 0.0491 16.488 0.4865 0.0398 1.270 0.507 0.0194 0.4908 0.03555 0.5466 0.0202
21 26.40 0.5526 -0.125 0.4502 0.102 3.2734 0.5038 0.0489 16.988 0.5114 0.0413 1.289 0.533 0.0191 0.5172 0.03543 0.5742 0.0216
22 26.50 0.5789 -0.113 0.4549 0.124 3.2771 0.5090 0.0699 17.088 0.5163 0.0627 1.293 0.539 0.0403 0.5224 0.05654 0.5796 0.0006
23 28.10 0.6053 0.078 0.5310 0.074 3.3358 0.5895 0.0157 18.688 0.5917 0.0136 1.352 0.617 0.0115 0.6016 0.00368 0.6570 0.0518
24 28.30 0.6316 0.102 0.5405 0.091 3.3429 0.5991 0.0325 18.888 0.6006 0.0309 1.359 0.626 0.0058 0.6109 0.02070 0.6657 0.0341
25 28.60 0.6579 0.137 0.5547 0.103 3.3534 0.6132 0.0447 19.188 0.6138 0.0440 1.369 0.639 0.0188 0.6245 0.03335 0.6782 0.0203
26 29.90 0.6842 0.293 0.6151 0.069 3.3979 0.6708 0.0134 20.488 0.6680 0.0163 1.414 0.692 0.0081 0.6799 0.00427 0.7273 0.0431
27 30.20 0.7105 0.329 0.6287 0.082 3.4078 0.6833 0.0272 20.788 0.6797 0.0308 1.424 0.704 0.0069 0.6918 0.01870 0.7374 0.0269
28 30.40 0.7368 0.352 0.6377 0.099 3.4144 0.6914 0.0454 20.988 0.6874 0.0495 1.430 0.711 0.0258 0.6996 0.03729 0.7440 0.0071
29 33.80 0.7632 0.758 0.7759 0.013 3.5205 0.8074 0.0442 24.388 0.7983 0.0352 1.536 0.814 0.0504 0.8087 0.04558 0.8316 0.0685
30 34.30 0.7895 0.818 0.7934 0.004 3.5351 0.8211 0.0316 24.888 0.8116 0.0222 1.551 0.825 0.0360 0.8215 0.03202 0.8414 0.0519
31 36.00 0.8158 1.021 0.8464 0.031 3.5835 0.8616 0.0458 26.588 0.8517 0.0359 1.599 0.861 0.0449 0.8594 0.04358 0.8701 0.0543
32 36.20 0.8421 1.045 0.8520 0.010 3.5891 0.8658 0.0237 26.788 0.8559 0.0138 1.605 0.864 0.0222 0.8633 0.02120 0.8730 0.0309
33 40.10 0.8684 1.511 0.9346 0.066 3.6914 0.9282 0.0598 30.688 0.9198 0.0514 1.707 0.919 0.0509 0.9223 0.05388 0.9176 0.0491
34 42.20 0.8947 1.761 0.9609 0.066 3.7424 0.9495 0.0548 32.788 0.9425 0.0478 1.758 0.939 0.0443 0.9430 0.04831 0.9338 0.0390
35 42.60 0.9211 1.809 0.9648 0.044 3.7519 0.9528 0.0318 33.188 0.9461 0.0251 1.768 0.942 0.0211 0.9463 0.02528 0.9364 0.0153
36 46.40 0.9474 2.263 0.9882 0.041 3.8373 0.9756 0.0282 36.988 0.9714 0.0240 1.853 0.965 0.0175 0.9696 0.02228 0.9561 0.0087
37 47.70 0.9737 2.418 0.9922 0.019 3.8649 0.9806 0.0069 38.288 0.9771 0.0034 1.881 0.970 0.0034 0.9751 0.00137 0.9611 0.0126
n 37 Dmáx 0.12404 0.0714 0.06266 0.05672 0.0582 0.08340
a 0.05 Dcritico > Dmax Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta
Δ crítico 0.224 Mejor Ajuste 5 3 2 1 1 4
 PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMA PARA LOS DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO

NOMBRE CUENCA: PRECIPITACIÓN MAX DIFERENTES "T"

ESTACIÓN: 100.0

DISTRIBUCIÓN TEORICA ELEGIDA: HYDROGNOMOM

90.0

Precipitaciones Diarias Máximas Probables para distintas frecuencas 80.0

Factor de ajuste 1.13 Número de observaciones por día = 1 70.0

Hydrognomon 60.0
Periodo de Retorno Probabilidad de no
Pmax Corregido (mm)
T (años) Pmax (mm) excedencia P
50.0
2 25.772 29.122 0.500000
5 33.263 37.587 0.800000 40.0
10 38.488 43.491 0.900000
25 45.408 51.311 0.960000 30.0
50 50.803 57.408 0.980000
100 56.410 63.743 0.990000 20.0
200 62.275 70.370 0.995000
PP Max 24 Ho-
500 70.488 79.652 0.998000 10.0 ras
1000 77.092 87.114 0.999000
0.0
10000 101.856 115.097 0.999900 0 100 200 300 400 Relacion
500 600entre Precipitación
700 800 máxima
900 1,000
verdadera y precipitación en
intervalos fijos
Número de Intervalo de
Relación
Observacion
La Organización Meteorológica Mundial, en su Guía de Prácticas Hidrológicas, explica que estudios de miles de años-estaciones de datos pluviométricos indican que al 1 1.13
multiplicar las cantidades máximas anuales de lluvia diaria u horaria, para un solo intervalo fijo de observaciones de una a 24 horas por el factor 1.13, se produciran valores 2 1.04
que se aproximan mucho a los que se obtendrán de un análisis de los máximos reales. Se requieren ajustes menores cuando las cantidades máximas observadas se 3-4 1.03
determinan a partir de dos o más intervalos de observación fijos
5-8 1.02
9-24 1.01
Fuente: Hidrología para ingenieros
(Linsley, Kohler y Paulhus)
 PRUEBA SMIRNOV-KOLGOMOROV
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a DMax
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a DMax
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 100.00% 0.04727
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.95% 0.05513
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.92% 0.05628
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.91% 0.05672
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.87% 0.05817
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.81% 0.05968
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.78% 0.06036
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.64% 0.06266
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.37% 0.06551
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.26% 0.06647
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.14% 0.06729
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 97.56% 0.07455
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 93.59% 0.08389
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 91.55% 0.08731
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.80% 0.10406
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 57.61% 0.12404
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 56.96% 0.12469
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 55.39% 0.12626
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 53.47% 0.12821
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 51.24% 0.13049
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 30.24% 0.15536
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.93% 0.15579
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 21.49% 0.16929
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 11.20% 0.19308
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 10.81% 0.19429
 PRUEBA CHI-CUADRADO
Número de Clases 6.0
X-Square test for All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a Pearson Param.
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a DMax
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 100.00% 0.04727
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.95% 0.05513
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.92% 0.05628
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.91% 0.05672
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.87% 0.05817
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.81% 0.05968
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.78% 0.06036
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.64% 0.06266
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.37% 0.06551
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.26% 0.06647
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.14% 0.06729
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 97.56% 0.07455
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 93.59% 0.08389
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 91.55% 0.08731
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.80% 0.10406
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 57.61% 0.12404
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 56.96% 0.12469
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 55.39% 0.12626
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 53.47% 0.12821
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 51.24% 0.13049
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 30.24% 0.15536
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.93% 0.15579
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 21.49% 0.16929
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 11.20% 0.19308