TRABAJO COLABORATIVO

PROBABILIDAD

DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDAD DE WEIBULL

LEIDY TATIANA CAMACHO NINCO

SANDRA MILENA FORERO
JOHANY ASDRUBAL CASTRO PRECIADO

PANIAGUA VARGAS JHON E.

INSTRUCTOR: HENRRY RODRIGUEZ

INSTITUCIÓN UNIVERSITARIA POLITÉCNICO GRANCOLOMBIANO

FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA, DISEÑO E INNOVACIÓN
INGENIERÍA INDUSTRIAL
2021
INDICE

Objetivos ................................................................................................................................... 3
Ecuaciones ..................................................................................................................................... 4
Actividades ..................................................................................................................................... 5
Semana 3 actividad 1 ...................................................................................................... 5
............................................................................................................................. ................... 7
TABLA DATOS #1 .............................................................................................................. 9
TABLA DATOS #2 .............................................................................................................11
Semana 4 actividad 2 .................................................................................................... 14
Semana 5 Actividad 3 ................................................................................................... 15
TABLA DE DATOS #3 .......................................................................................................17
TABLA DE DATOS #4 ................................................................................................... 19
Conclusiones ................................................................................................................................ 21
Bibliografía ......................................................................................................................... 22
Objetivos

• Aplicar el método Weibull para analizar los datos

• Calcular los valores máximos de la velocidad del viento entre las ciudades de Neiva y Santa
María para determinar la viabilidad del uso de turbinas eólicas para generar energía.
• Ampliar el uso de Excel y r studio como herramientas de análisis estadístico.
• Identificar la velocidad promedio de Neiva y Santa María.
Ecuaciones
Actividades

Semana 3 actividad 1

1 El grupo debe seleccionar 2 departamentos o ciudades y realizar, para cada

departamento o ciudad, un histograma de las variables velocidad del viento y
temperatura. ¿Cuál ciudad o departamento presenta mayor variabilidad? Es
necesario justificar la selección de los lugares escogidos. También es necesario
justificar por qué escogieron departamentos o ciudades.

Se ha seleccionado el departamento del Huila, tomando la población de datos

correspondientes a la ciudad de Santa María y Neiva.

Histograma 1
Histograma 2

Histograma 3

Histograma 4
Se seleccionaron por tener conocimiento de causa de cada uno de los municipios, y así
poder analizar de forma estadística los datos colectados de los fenómenos atmosféricos.

En términos generales, es menor la cantidad de información de ciudades ya que al tratar de

analizar departamentos tienen mayor cantidad de datos.

2 Para cada ciudad o departamento, calcular los parámetros 𝑘 y 𝑐 de la distribución

de Weibull; para hacer estos cálculos use las ecuaciones 3 y 4 descritas arriba y
sustituya los valores obtenidos en la función de densidad de probabilidad, 𝑓(𝑣)
(ecuación 1).
 * Cafculamos k para Neiva
-1.09

2.6
K = (0.294)—*-
= 3.797

”Catculamos C para neiva

c=

REMPLAZAMOS
2.6
c ——
i
! + 3.797
2.6
C-
r(1.263)

C= 2.B8

"Calculamos T(v) remplazamos can fos datos que tenemas

k
))v) — — — ' e —
c c c
RElvtPLAZAMOS
3.797 2.6 7 1 37
’* e —
2.88 2.88 /.88) ”
9.872 *-7 2.6 *.79 7
2.88 “ 2.88
-(0.90)”9’7]
f 6 -(3.428)'””‹/
/(x)= 31.36 e[-1.822]
TABLA DATOS #1
VELOCIDAD DEL VIENTO
Neiva (v/c)^k-1 exponencial F(V) Santa maria (v/c)^k-1 exponencial F(V)
2.9 0.010080308 0.021964187 0.00029152 3.8 2.0027757 0.00406267 0.01178935
3.1 0.302141909 0.016879154 0.00671488 3.7 1.680941649 0.0046961 0.01143763
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.6 1.386177495 0.0054283 0.01090256
3.3 0.652198359 0.01297138 0.01113891 3.5 1.116864327 0.00627465 0.01015397
3.5 1.067187429 0.009968314 0.01400681 3.5 1.116864327 0.00627465 0.01015397
3.6 1.301295153 0.008738552 0.01497242 3.3 0.648391399 0.00838381 0.00787635
3.5 1.067187429 0.009968314 0.01400681 3.2 0.446268729 0.00969098 0.00626628
3.3 0.652198359 0.01297138 0.01113891 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
3.1 0.302141909 0.016879154 0.00671488 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
3.1 0.302141909 0.016879154 0.00671488 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
2.7 -0.230571506 0.028581144 -0.00867685 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
1.6 -0.895104704 0.121642186 -0.14336227 1.5 -0.94227124 0.11379151 -0.1553573
1.4 -0.936918016 0.158288254 -0.19526621 1.3 -0.96858073 0.1520414 -0.21337502
1.3 -0.952429639 0.1805639 -0.22643349 1.2 -0.97764269 0.17574698 -0.24895103
1.1 -0.974820806 0.234960793 -0.30157617 1.0 -0.98970057 0.2348226 -0.33673604
1.4 -0.936918016 0.158288254 -0.19526621 1.6 -0.92404704 0.09844277 -0.13180255
1.7 -0.867862988 0.106635542 -0.12185125 2.1 -0.75867906 0.04770389 -0.05243941
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.7 -0.29761135 0.01999851 -0.00862369
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 3.3 0.648391399 0.00838381 0.00787635
2.7 -0.230571506 0.028581144 -0.00867685 3.8 2.0027757 0.00406267 0.01178935
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 4.3 4.078574424 0.00196871 0.01163418
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 4.1 3.147723734 0.00263047 0.01199709
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 3.8 2.0027757 0.00406267 0.01178935
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 3.6 1.386177495 0.0054283 0.01090256
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 2.5 -0.49360403 0.02672082 -0.0191106
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
2.9 0.010080308 0.021964187 0.00029152 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.8 -0.116274156 0.025055171 -0.00383581 2.7 -0.29761135 0.01999851 -0.00862369
2.7 -0.230571506 0.028581144 -0.00867685 2.6 -0.40172559 0.02311659 -0.01345548
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 2.7 -0.29761135 0.01999851 -0.00862369
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.5 -0.49360403 0.02672082 -0.0191106
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.2 -0.70590927 0.04126936 -0.0422107
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
1.8 -0.835729299 0.093480224 -0.10286371 1.8 -0.87468632 0.07367698 -0.09337488
1.6 -0.895104704 0.121642186 -0.14336227 1.5 -0.94227124 0.11379151 -0.1553573
1.4 -0.936918016 0.158288254 -0.19526621 1.3 -0.96858073 0.1520414 -0.21337502
1.6 -0.895104704 0.121642186 -0.14336227 1.7 -0.90171861 0.08516435 -0.11126914
1.8 -0.835729299 0.093480224 -0.10286371 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
5.0 7.040680852 0.00138321 0.01282271 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 3.4 0.871438532 0.00725297 0.00915795
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 3.3 0.648391399 0.00838381 0.00787635
3.5 1.067187429 0.009968314 0.01400681 4.1 3.147723734 0.00263047 0.01199709
3.4 0.851129046 0.011371139 0.01274313 3.8 2.0027757 0.00406267 0.01178935
3.3 0.652198359 0.01297138 0.01113891 3.5 1.116864327 0.00627465 0.01015397
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.3 0.648391399 0.00838381 0.00787635
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.2 0.446268729 0.00969098 0.00626628
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
2.9 0.010080308 0.021964187 0.00029152 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.7 -0.230571506 0.028581144 -0.00867685 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 2.6 -0.40172559 0.02311659 -0.01345548
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 2.5 -0.49360403 0.02672082 -0.0191106
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.2 -0.70590927 0.04126936 -0.0422107
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.2 -0.70590927 0.04126936 -0.0422107
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.5 -0.49360403 0.02672082 -0.0191106
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
1.8 -0.835729299 0.093480224 -0.10286371 2.2 -0.70590927 0.04126936 -0.0422107
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.6 -0.40172559 0.02311659 -0.01345548
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 3.5 1.116864327 0.00627465 0.01015397
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 3.3 0.648391399 0.00838381 0.00787635
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
2.8 -0.116274156 0.025055171 -0.00383581 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.9 0.010080308 0.021964187 0.00029152 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
3.1 0.302141909 0.016879154 0.00671488 3.7 1.680941649 0.0046961 0.01143763
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.5 1.116864327 0.00627465 0.01015397
3.3 0.652198359 0.01297138 0.01113891 3.4 0.871438532 0.00725297 0.00915795
3.3 0.652198359 0.01297138 0.01113891 3.2 0.446268729 0.00969098 0.00626628
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
3.2 0.469495383 0.014796821 0.00914696 3.1 0.263670418 0.01120195 0.00427958
3.1 0.302141909 0.016879154 0.00671488 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
2.9 0.010080308 0.021964187 0.00029152 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
2.4 -0.508680311 0.042425437 -0.02841503 2.8 -0.18017668 0.01730102 -0.00451665
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.7 -0.29761135 0.01999851 -0.00862369
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.7 -0.29761135 0.01999851 -0.00862369
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.6 -0.40172559 0.02311659 -0.01345548
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 1.0 -0.98970057 0.2348226 -0.33673604
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 1.0 -0.98970057 0.2348226 -0.33673604
3.4 0.851129046 0.011371139 0.01274313 1.3 -0.96858073 0.1520414 -0.21337502
4.3 3.527342453 0.003476673 0.01614687 1.7 -0.90171861 0.08516435 -0.11126914
5.2 8.336000633 0.001062977 0.01166698 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
5.1 7.670514114 0.001212568 0.01224637 2.5 -0.49360403 0.02672082 -0.0191106
5.0 7.040680852 0.00138321 0.01282271 3.0 0.09925005 0.01294851 0.00186207
4.9 6.445246789 0.001577867 0.01339019 3.4 0.871438532 0.00725297 0.00915795
3.0 0.149281637 0.019254529 0.00378457 3.9 2.353354236 0.00351468 0.01198447
1.9 -0.798171198 0.081947839 -0.08612126 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.4 -0.57428031 0.030887 -0.02570074
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.2 -0.70590927 0.04126936 -0.0422107
2.2 -0.647260551 0.055206574 -0.04704861 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
2.0 -0.754631779 0.071838172 -0.07137846 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
1.9 -0.798171198 0.081947839 -0.08612126 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
1.9 -0.798171198 0.081947839 -0.08612126 2.0 -0.80388199 0.05514165 -0.06422705
2.1 -0.704529928 0.062975704 -0.05841835 2.3 -0.64473764 0.03570276 -0.03335268
2.3 -0.582194806 0.048395899 -0.03709827 2.6 -0.40172559 0.02311659 -0.01345548
2.5 -0.42604134 0.037191534 -0.0208628 2.9 -0.04828554 0.01496738 -0.00104715
2.6 -0.33357902 0.032603322 -0.01431981 3.2 0.446268729 0.00969098 0.00626628
 NEIVA SANTA MARÍA

Desviacion estandar k 0.7666416 Desviacion estadar k 0.70743296

Promedio 2.6 Promedio 2.7
k 3.80829893 k 4.251085556
1+1/k 1.26258443 1+1/k 1.235234033
gamma 0.90389702 gamma 0.909571183
c 2.89237238 c 2.93395846

k/c 1.31666965 k/c 1.44892493

Vmp 0.93104942 Vmp 0.94466495

VmaxE 2.49351086 VmaxE 2.529362172

TABLA DATOS #2
TEMPERATURA
Neiva (v/c)^k-1 exponencial F(v) Santa Maria (v/c)^k-1 exponencial F(v)
35.8 4.99836716 0.00132659 0.00122709 25.7 6.29166133 5.83286E-05 0.00013922
35.5 4.7795655 0.00140233 0.00124036 25.5 5.87810931 6.29262E-05 0.00014032
35.2 4.5669892 0.00148238 0.00125286 25.4 5.67906526 6.53592E-05 0.00014081
33.5 3.4739673 0.00203044 0.00130535 23.6 2.85608274 0.000129378 0.00014018
31.8 2.55484299 0.00278112 0.00131491 21.9 1.20543938 0.000246569 0.00011275
30.1 1.7890714 0.00380934 0.00126121 20.1 0.16176677 0.00048808 2.9952E-05
29.1 1.40251539 0.00458374 0.00118971 19.4 -0.10860893 0.000636527 -2.6226E-05
28.2 1.09131388 0.00541443 0.00109349 18.6 -0.34929274 0.00086222 -0.00011425
27.2 0.78311977 0.00651514 0.0009442 17.9 -0.51148654 0.001124461 -0.00021818
26.6 0.61586353 0.00728024 0.00082974 17.4 -0.60470322 0.001359316 -0.00031182
26 0.46100898 0.0081352 0.00069405 17 -0.66777086 0.001582053 -0.00040077
25.4 0.31789119 0.00909055 0.00053479 16.5 -0.73420734 0.00191248 -0.00053267
25 0.22868109 0.00978901 0.00041427 16.4 -0.74601268 0.001986424 -0.00056217
24.6 0.14421542 0.01054112 0.00028133 16.2 -0.76826769 0.002143001 -0.00062457
24.1 0.04502941 0.01156304 9.6356E-05 16.1 -0.77874703 0.002225859 -0.00065757
24.5 0.12381899 0.01073801 0.00024605 16.3 -0.75736112 0.002063228 -0.00059278
25 0.22868109 0.00978901 0.00041427 16.6 -0.72192962 0.001841288 -0.00050427
25.4 0.31789119 0.00909055 0.00053479 16.8 -0.69589313 0.001706756 -0.00045057
23.6 -0.04737142 0.01268403 -0.0001112 19.4 -0.10860893 0.000636527 -2.6226E-05
26.4 0.56290066 0.00755475 0.00078698 21.8 1.13127989 0.000256102 0.00010991
27.1 0.75435364 0.00663683 0.0009265 22.2 1.44149273 0.000220045 0.00012033
28.3 1.12425945 0.00531516 0.00110585 23 2.18097771 0.000162447 0.0001344
29.5 1.55180123 0.00425668 0.00122242 23.8 3.10711304 0.000119925 0.00014136
30.6 1.99953194 0.00347267 0.001285 24.6 4.25827599 8.85336E-05 0.00014302
30.4 1.91392479 0.00360361 0.00127637 24.5 4.10061392 9.19567E-05 0.00014305
30.3 1.87183646 0.00367092 0.00127161 24.3 3.79753262 9.9205E-05 0.00014292
30.1 1.7890714 0.00380934 0.00126121 24.1 3.5101766 0.000107025 0.00014251
30.2 1.83021991 0.00373949 0.00126657 24.5 4.10061392 9.19567E-05 0.00014305
28.3 1.12425945 0.00531516 0.00110585 22.8 1.97998059 0.000175251 0.00013163
26.4 0.56290066 0.00755475 0.00078698 21.2 0.73003951 0.000321561 8.9054E-05
24.5 0.12381899 0.01073801 0.00024605 19.4 -0.10860893 0.000636527 -2.6226E-05
23.3 -0.09969482 0.01340813 -0.00024737 18.5 -0.37498793 0.000895557 -0.0001274
21.2 -0.40672173 0.01977636 -0.00148852 16.7 -0.70916366 0.001772746 -0.00047691
20.6 -0.47736202 0.02209879 -0.00195222 16.1 -0.77874703 0.002225859 -0.00065757
19.9 -0.55135445 0.02515521 -0.00256668 15.5 -0.83342163 0.002794786 -0.00088361
14.3 -0.89572538 0.07090918 -0.0117541 13.4 -0.94388388 0.006199079 -0.00221968
14.4 -0.89246683 0.069609 -0.01149661 13.6 -0.93731359 0.005746148 -0.00204318
14.5 -0.88913006 0.06833267 -0.01124361 13.7 -0.9337857 0.005532248 -0.00195972
14.6 -0.88571376 0.06707973 -0.01099504 13.9 -0.9262109 0.005128039 -0.0018018
14.7 -0.88221659 0.06584977 -0.01075082 14 -0.92214989 0.004937148 -0.00172712
14.8 -0.87863721 0.06464236 -0.01051088 14.2 -0.91344369 0.004576419 -0.00158582
16.9 -0.78195866 0.04382675 -0.00634213 16.3 -0.75736112 0.002063228 -0.00059278
17.5 -0.74564383 0.03922085 -0.00541203 16.8 -0.69589313 0.001706756 -0.00045057
18 -0.71195146 0.03575459 -0.0047108 17.3 -0.62136929 0.001411873 -0.00033281
16.6 -0.79853899 0.04632873 -0.00684634 15.8 -0.80776209 0.002494153 -0.00076428
17.1 -0.77033208 0.04223429 -0.00602082 16.3 -0.75736112 0.002063228 -0.00059278
32.3 2.80836361 0.00253533 0.00131765 20.3 0.25099386 0.000452419 4.3077E-05
18.7 -0.65909807 0.03141033 -0.0038312 18.9 -0.26663786 0.000769472 -7.7832E-05
18.2 -0.69754833 0.03445543 -0.00444779 18.2 -0.44687477 0.001003504 -0.00017012
20.2 -0.52071071 0.0237967 -0.00229311 20.9 0.55524125 0.000360321 7.5896E-05
19.6 -0.58046024 0.02659127 -0.00285643 19.9 0.07810573 0.000526552 1.5602E-05
18.9 -0.64270186 0.03026902 -0.00360015 18.9 -0.26663786 0.000769472 -7.7832E-05
18.2 -0.69754833 0.03445543 -0.00444779 18 -0.49071761 0.001082603 -0.00020153
18.2 -0.69754833 0.03445543 -0.00444779 17.6 -0.56945577 0.001259998 -0.00027219
18 -0.71195146 0.03575459 -0.0047108 17.3 -0.62136929 0.001411873 -0.00033281
17.8 -0.72581822 0.03710273 -0.00498363 17.1 -0.65288424 0.001523161 -0.00037725
17.5 -0.74564383 0.03922085 -0.00541203 16.8 -0.69589313 0.001706756 -0.00045057
17.3 -0.75823164 0.04069969 -0.00571091 16.5 -0.73420734 0.00191248 -0.00053267
17.1 -0.77033208 0.04223429 -0.00602082 16.2 -0.76826769 0.002143001 -0.00062457
16.8 -0.7875984 0.04464536 -0.00650719 15.9 -0.79848057 0.002401308 -0.00072737
17 -0.77620377 0.04302315 -0.00618002 16.1 -0.77874703 0.002225859 -0.00065757
17.1 -0.77033208 0.04223429 -0.00602082 16.2 -0.76826769 0.002143001 -0.00062457
17.6 -0.73916288 0.0385017 -0.00526662 16.9 -0.68210126 0.001643222 -0.0004252
17.7 -0.73255493 0.03779574 -0.00512384 16.9 -0.68210126 0.001643222 -0.0004252
17.8 -0.72581822 0.03710273 -0.00498363 17 -0.66777086 0.001582053 -0.00040077
18 -0.71195146 0.03575459 -0.0047108 17 -0.66777086 0.001582053 -0.00040077
18.9 -0.64270186 0.03026902 -0.00360015 18.2 -0.44687477 0.001003504 -0.00017012
21.1 -0.41897975 0.02014575 -0.00156203 20.5 0.34609696 0.000419363 5.506E-05
22.8 -0.18193213 0.014708 -0.00049519 22.4 1.61075032 0.000203968 0.00012463
22.3 -0.25823482 0.01613388 -0.00077102 22.1 1.36048905 0.000228553 0.00011796
21.7 -0.34239942 0.01802856 -0.00114237 21.8 1.13127989 0.000256102 0.00010991
21.1 -0.41897975 0.02014575 -0.00156203 21.4 0.85580615 0.000298067 9.6769E-05
20.6 -0.47736202 0.02209879 -0.00195222 20.7 0.44739997 0.000388723 6.5975E-05
20 -0.54131352 0.02469397 -0.00247373 20 0.11925933 0.000506951 2.2935E-05
24.6 0.14421542 0.01054112 0.00028133 24.1 3.5101766 0.000107025 0.00014251
22.6 -0.21314781 0.01526257 -0.00060203 22.1 1.36048905 0.000228553 0.00011796
20.6 -0.47736202 0.02209879 -0.00195222 20 0.11925933 0.000506951 2.2935E-05
18.6 -0.66707467 0.03199702 -0.00394999 18 -0.49071761 0.001082603 -0.00020153
18.2 -0.69754833 0.03445543 -0.00444779 17.6 -0.56945577 0.001259998 -0.00027219
17.9 -0.71895099 0.03642242 -0.00484596 17.2 -0.63742326 0.001466462 -0.0003546
17.5 -0.74564383 0.03922085 -0.00541203 16.8 -0.69589313 0.001706756 -0.00045057
17.7 -0.73255493 0.03779574 -0.00512384 16.9 -0.68210126 0.001643222 -0.0004252
17.9 -0.71895099 0.03642242 -0.00484596 17 -0.66777086 0.001582053 -0.00040077
18.1 -0.70481784 0.035099 -0.00457808 17.2 -0.63742326 0.001466462 -0.0003546
18.1 -0.70481784 0.035099 -0.00457808 17.2 -0.63742326 0.001466462 -0.0003546
18.1 -0.70481784 0.035099 -0.00457808 17.2 -0.63742326 0.001466462 -0.0003546
18 -0.71195146 0.03575459 -0.0047108 17.1 -0.65288424 0.001523161 -0.00037725
18 -0.71195146 0.03575459 -0.0047108 17.1 -0.65288424 0.001523161 -0.00037725
25.4 0.31789119 0.00909055 0.00053479 15.4 -0.84128771 0.002902844 -0.00092643
25.8 0.41203118 0.00844194 0.0006437 16.2 -0.76826769 0.002143001 -0.00062457
27.1 0.75435364 0.00663683 0.0009265 17.5 -0.58740542 0.001308715 -0.00029163
28.5 1.19135415 0.00512203 0.00112926 18.9 -0.26663786 0.000769472 -7.7832E-05
29.8 1.66839685 0.0040268 0.00124329 20.2 0.20566551 0.000469911 3.6663E-05
31.1 2.22207222 0.00316577 0.00130181 20.9 0.55524125 0.000360321 7.5896E-05
32.4 2.86070305 0.00248884 0.0013176 21.6 0.98941638 0.000276289 0.0001037
33.6 3.53324058 0.00199321 0.00130328 22.3 1.52489326 0.000211854 0.00012255
20.5 -0.48847242 0.02251156 -0.00203497 21.1 0.66997412 0.000333994 8.4887E-05
18.1 -0.70481784 0.035099 -0.00457808 17.8 -0.53151778 0.001167938 -0.0002355
17.8 -0.72581822 0.03710273 -0.00498363 17.5 -0.58740542 0.001308715 -0.00029163
17.6 -0.73916288 0.0385017 -0.00526662 17.2 -0.63742326 0.001466462 -0.0003546
 17.3 -0.75823164 0.04069969 -0.00571091 17 -0.66777086 0.001582053 -0.00040077
17.1 -0.77033208 0.04223429 -0.00602082 16.7 -0.70916366 0.001772746 -0.00047691
17 -0.77620377 0.04302315 -0.00618002 16.6 -0.72192962 0.001841288 -0.00050427
16.9 -0.78195866 0.04382675 -0.00634213 16.5 -0.73420734 0.00191248 -0.00053267
16.9 -0.78195866 0.04382675 -0.00634213 16.5 -0.73420734 0.00191248 -0.00053267
16.9 -0.78195866 0.04382675 -0.00634213 16.1 -0.77874703 0.002225859 -0.00065757
16.8 -0.7875984 0.04464536 -0.00650719 15.9 -0.79848057 0.002401308 -0.00072737
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 15.7 -0.81667101 0.002590587 -0.00080258
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
16.7 -0.79312464 0.04547926 -0.00667524 16 -0.78881338 0.00231192 -0.00069182
17.8 -0.72581822 0.03710273 -0.00498363 17.4 -0.60470322 0.001359316 -0.00031182
18.9 -0.64270186 0.03026902 -0.00360015 18.8 -0.29514513 0.000799223 -8.9485E-05
19.9 -0.55135445 0.02515521 -0.00256668 20.2 0.20566551 0.000469911 3.6663E-05
21 -0.43104094 0.02052203 -0.00163701 21.6 0.98941638 0.000276289 0.0001037

NEIVA SANTA MARÍA

Desviacion estandar k 5.56846656 Desviacion estandar k 2.92112808

Promedio 21.8 Promedio 18.49067797
k 4.41567619 k 7.47357567
1+1/k 1.22646588 1+1/k 1.13380476
gamma 0.91157225 gamma 0.938577206
c 23.8608048 c 19.70075327

k/c 0.18505982 k/c 0.379354818

Semana 4 actividad 2

3 Graficar la distribución de probabilidad, 𝑓(𝑣), obtenida en el ítem anterior y

compararla con el respectivo histograma de la velocidad del viento (obtenido en el
punto 1) para los departamentos o ciudades seleccionados. A partir de las
gráficas, ¿qué se puede concluir sobre el comportamiento de las variables? Nota:
se debe tener presente que la forma de la distribución debe estar completa.

Grafica 1

Grafica 2
Teniendo en cuenta el análisis obtenido puedo inferir que el comportamiento de los datos se
mantiene con una tendencia al aumento o crecimiento, lo anterior, porque el comportamiento
de los datos no reseña una distribución de campana.

4 Para cada departamento o ciudad seleccionado, obtener el valor de velocidad del

viento más probable y el valor de la velocidad del viento que produciría la máxima
energía eólica (ecuaciones 5 y 6). Al comparar los valores para los dos
departamentos o ciudades seleccionados, ¿cuál de ellos tiene más probabilidad
de generar mayor energía eólica?, ¿por qué?

Santa María tiene el mayor potencial de velocidad del viento (2,4 m/s), para generar energía
eólica, ya que con esta velocidad del viento se logran mayores revoluc iones por minutos en
la turbina que puedan instalarse.

Semana 5 Actividad 3

5 ¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que la velocidad del viento en cada uno de los departamentos o
ciudades seleccionados sobrepase percentil 75? (Deben hacer uso de la función f(v) o de
F(v)).

NEIVA

Percentil 75 = 3
La probabilidad de que sobrepase 3 es de 0.32
P(V>3) = 0.32
SANTA MARÍA
Percentil 75 = 3
La probabilidad de que sobrepase 3.1 es de 0.28
P(v>3.1) = 0.28

6 Para cada uno de los departamentos o ciudades seleccionados, ¿cuál es la

probabilidad de que se registren velocidades del viento entre los percentiles 50 y 70?
(haga uso de la función Weibull en Excel o en R).

NEIVA
Percentil 50 = 2.5
F(v) = 0.44

Percentil 70 =2.99
F(v) = 0.68

Probabilidad = - 0.24

SANTA MARIA

Percentil 50 = 2.7
F(v) = 0.50

Percentil 70 = 3
F(v) = 0.67
Probabilidad = -0.16
TABLA DE DATOS #3

PERCENTIL 75 PERCENTIL 50 f(v) PERCENTIL 70 f(v PROBABILIDAD

NEIVA F(v) 3C K CUARTIL P(V)>3 2.5 2.99 50 Y 70
1.1 0.02 0.68 2.89 3.81 1.1 0.32 0.44 0.68 -0.24
1.3 0.05
1.4 0.06
1.4 0.06
1.4 0.06
1.6 0.10
1.6 0.10
1.6 0.10
1.7 0.12
1.8 0.15
1.8 0.15
1.8 0.15
1.9 0.18
1.9 0.18
1.9 0.18
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.0 0.22
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.1 0.26
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.2 0.30
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.3 0.34
2.4 0.39
2.4 0.39
2.4 0.39
2.4 0.39
2.4 0.39
2.4 0.39
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.5 0.44
2.6 0.49
2.6 0.49
2.6 0.49
2.6 0.49
2.6 0.49
2.6 0.49
2.7 0.54
2.7 0.54
2.7 0.54
2.7 0.54
2.8 0.59
2.8 0.59
2.9 0.64
2.9 0.64
2.9 0.64
2.9 0.64
2.9 0.64
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.0 0.68
3.1 0.73
3.1 0.73
3.1 0.73
3.1 0.73
3.1 0.73
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.2 0.77
3.3 0.81
3.3 0.81
3.3 0.81
3.3 0.81
3.3 0.81
3.4 0.84
3.4 0.84
3.5 0.87
3.5 0.87
3.5 0.87
3.6 0.90
4.3 0.99
4.9 1.00
5.0 1.00
5.0 1.00
5.1 1.00
5.2 1.00
TABLA DE DATOS #4

PERCENTIL 75 PERCENTIL 50 f(v) PERCENTIL70 f(v) PROBABILIDAD

SANTA MARIA F(v) 3.1 C K CUARTIL P(V)>3.1 2.7 3 50 Y 70
1.0 0.01 0.72 2.93 4.25 1 0.28 0.50 0.67
1.0 0.01
1.0 0.01
1.2 0.02
1.3 0.03
1.3 0.03
1.3 0.03
1.5 0.06
1.5 0.06
1.6 0.07
1.7 0.09
1.7 0.09
1.8 0.12
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.0 0.18
2.1 0.21
2.2 0.25
2.2 0.25
2.2 0.25
2.2 0.25
2.2 0.25
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.3 0.30
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.4 0.35
2.5 0.40
2.5 0.40
2.5 0.40
2.5 0.40
2.5 0.40
2.6 0.4
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.7
Conclusiones

• Al analizar las variables se observa que tienden a mantener valores regulares o

estándar; es decir no se observan valores mínimos o máximos alejados de
promedio.
• Se entendió el método de distribución de probabilidad de Weibull y su aplicación.
• Se identifico la probabilidad para cada una de las ciudades.
• Al graficar las funciones se identificó la distribución decampada en los datos.
Bibliografía

• HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=XZNHWLQWOR8

• HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=OY-IF8YQL6A

• HTTPS://RELIABILITYWEB.COM/SP/ARTICLES/ENTRY/CALCULO-DE-LOS-PARAMETROS-
DE-LA-DISTRIBUCION-DE-WEIBULL

• HTTPS://HRUDNICK.SITIOS.ING.UC.CL/ALUMNO12/VIENTO/10.HTML

• HTTP://DRØMSTØRRE.DK/WP-
CONTENT/WIND/MILLER/WINDPOWER%20WEB/ES/TOUR/WRES/WEIBULL.HTM