Deltas y periodos de retornos; obtenidos del Hidro Esta

DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG DISTRIBUCIÓN

DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL 2 NORMAL 3 GAMMA 2
t(años)
NORMAL (mm) PARÁMETROS PARÁMETROS PARÁMETROS
(mm) (mm) (mm)
500 76.01 88.27 77.27 81.25
200 72.77 82.03 73.62 76.74
100 70.10 77.22 70.65 73.11
50 67.18 72.29 67.45 69.25
25 63.93 67.17 63.95 65.12
20 62.79 65.47 62.75 63.71
10 58.90 59.95 58.65 59.04
5 54.18 53.88 53.81 53.68
2 45.16 43.94 44.87 44.35
D TEÓRICO 0.0877 0.0898 0.0747 0.0827
D TABULAR 0.3041 0.3041 0.3041 0.3041
btenidos del Hidro Esta

DISTRIBUCIÓN DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG DISTRIBUCIÓN DISTRIBUCIÓN

GAMMA 3 PEARSON TIPO III LOG GUMBEL
PARÁMETROS (mm) (mm) GUMBEL (mm) (mm)

80.28 99.56 92.26 127.45

76.08 90.24 84.59 107.16
72.68 83.36 78.78 93.96
69.04 76.56 72.94 82.35
65.10 69.83 67.07 72.10
63.75 67.67 65.16 69.06
59.22 60.90 59.14 60.28
53.96 53.88 52.87 52.31
44.56 43.32 43.40 42.23
0.07327 0.10349 0.1179 0.1479 0.07327 Por tener el menor valor se t
0.3041 0.3041 0.3041 0.3041

Intensidad máx horaria

según Yance Tueros

a 0.4602
b 0.876
P1024 59.22

Imáx/24h 16.43
Por tener el menor valor se trabaja con Gamma 3

máx horaria

mm/h
Imáx/24h 16.43 mm/h

Cuadro 7. Lluvias máximas para diferentes D y T

Pmax 24 Duración (t, minutos)
t (años) horas 5 10 15 20
500 80.28 9.22 13.80 16.87 19.25
200 76.08 8.25 12.35 15.09 17.22
100 72.68 7.51 11.25 13.75 15.68
50 69.04 6.78 10.14 12.40 14.15
25 65.10 6.04 9.04 11.06 12.61
20 63.75 5.81 8.69 10.62 12.12
10 59.22 5.07 7.59 9.28 10.58
5 53.96 4.33 6.49 7.93 9.05
2 44.56 3.36 5.03 6.15 7.02

Cuadro 8. Intensidades máximas (mm/hr) para diferentes D y T

Pmax 24 Duración (t, minutos)
t (años)
horas 5 10 15 20
500 80.28 110.64 82.81 67.49 57.75
200 76.08 98.98 74.08 60.38 51.66
100 72.68 90.15 67.47 54.99 47.05
50 69.04 81.33 60.87 49.61 42.45
25 65.10 72.50 54.26 44.23 37.84
20 63.75 69.66 52.14 42.49 36.36
10 59.22 60.84 45.53 37.11 31.75
5 53.96 52.01 38.93 31.73 27.15
2 44.56 40.35 30.20 24.61 21.06
ximas para diferentes D y T
nutos)
30 60
22.90 30.07
20.49 26.90
18.66 24.50
16.83 22.10
15.01 19.71
14.42 18.93
12.59 16.54
10.77 14.14
8.35 10.97

mm/hr) para diferentes D y T

nutos)
30 60
45.80 30.07
40.98 26.90
37.32 24.50
33.67 22.10
30.02 19.71
28.84 18.93
25.19 16.54
21.53 14.14
16.70 10.97
 Pmax 24 Duración (t, minutos)
t (años) horas 5 10 15 20
500 80.28 110.64 82.81 67.49 57.75
200 76.08 98.98 74.08 60.38 51.66
100 72.68 90.15 67.47 54.99 47.05
50 69.04 81.33 60.87 49.61 42.45
25 65.1 72.50 54.26 44.23 37.84
20 63.75 69.66 52.14 42.49 36.36
10 59.22 60.84 45.53 37.11 31.75
5 53.96 52.01 38.93 31.73 27.15
2 44.56 40.35 30.20 24.61 21.06

y x1 x2
110.64 2.04391782 2.69897 0.698970004
82.81 1.91807267 2.69897 1
67.49 1.82925595 2.69897 1.176091259
57.75 1.76153779 2.69897 1.301029996
45.80 1.66091049 2.69897 1.477121255
30.07 1.47816778 2.69897 1.77815125
98.98 1.99553104 2.30103 0.698970004
74.08 1.86968589 2.30103 1
60.38 1.78086917 2.30103 1.176091259
51.66 1.71315101 2.30103 1.301029996
40.98 1.61252371 2.30103 1.477121255 k= 95.91573803973
26.90 1.429781 2.30103 1.77815125 m= 0.178547094157
90.15 1.95497484 2 0.698970004 n= 0.526821568237
67.47 1.8291297 2 1
54.99 1.74031298 2 1.176091259 Constante 1.98188987289572
47.05 1.67259482 2 1.301029996 R. cuadrada 0.987239013
37.32 1.57196752 2 1.477121255 N° Observaciones 54
24.50 1.38922481 2 1.77815125 Grados de libertad 53
81.33 1.91023755 1.69897 0.698970004 Coeficientes (x) 0.178547094157
60.87 1.7843924 1.69897 1 Error estándar de 0.004871070741
49.61 1.69557569 1.69897 1.176091259
42.45 1.62785753 1.69897 1.301029996
33.67 1.52723022 1.69897 1.477121255
22.10 1.34448751 1.69897 1.77815125
72.50 1.86035692 1.39794001 0.698970004
54.26 1.73451177 1.39794001 1
44.23 1.64569505 1.39794001 1.176091259
37.84 1.57797689 1.39794001 1.301029996
30.02 1.47734959 1.39794001 1.477121255
19.71 1.29460688 1.39794001 1.77815125
69.66 1.84299809 1.30103 0.698970004
52.14 1.71715294 1.30103 1
42.49 1.62833623 1.30103 1.176091259
36.36 1.56061806 1.30103 1.301029996
28.84 1.45999076 1.30103 1.477121255
18.93 1.27724805 1.30103 1.77815125
60.84 1.78417477 1 0.698970004
45.53 1.65832962 1 1
37.11 1.5695129 1 1.176091259
31.75 1.50179474 1 1.301029996
25.19 1.40116744 1 1.477121255
16.54 1.21842473 1 1.77815125
52.01 1.71611699 0.69897 0.698970004
38.93 1.59027184 0.69897 1
31.73 1.50145513 0.69897 1.176091259
27.15 1.43373697 0.69897 1.301029996
21.53 1.33310966 0.69897 1.477121255
14.14 1.15036695 0.69897 1.77815125
40.35 1.60582664 0.30103 0.698970004
30.20 1.47998149 0.30103 1
24.61 1.39116478 0.30103 1.176091259
21.06 1.32344662 0.30103 1.301029996
16.70 1.22281931 0.30103 1.477121255
10.97 1.0400766 0.30103 1.77815125
s)
30 60
45.80 30.07
40.98 26.90
37.32 24.50
33.67 22.10
30.02 19.71
28.84 18.93
25.19 16.54
21.53 14.14
16.70 10.97

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de corre 0.99359902
Coeficiente de dete 0.98723901
R^2 ajustado 0.98673858
Error típico 0.02599562
Observaciones 54

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
1.98188987289572 Regresión 2 2.66629783 1.33314892 1972.77803 5.01244E-49
0.987239013 Residuos 51 0.03446439 0.00067577
54 Total 53 2.70076222
53
-0.526821568237 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%
0.010327855067 Intercepción 1.98188987 0.01512361 131.046083 3.70015E-66 1.95152796
Variable X 1 0.17854709 0.00487107 36.6545886 2.59242E-38 0.16876801
Variable X 2 -0.52682157 0.01032786 -51.0097755 1.94014E-45 -0.5475556
or crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
2.01225179 1.95152796 2.01225179
0.18832618 0.16876801 0.18832618
-0.50608753 -0.5475556 -0.50608753
 Intensidades máximas de diseño (mm/hr) – Duración – Periodo

Duración Periodo de retorno (T) años

t (min)
2 5 10 20 25 50
10 32.27 38.01 43.01 48.68 50.66 57.33
20 22.40 26.38 29.86 33.79 35.16 39.79
30 18.09 21.31 24.11 27.29 28.40 32.14
40 15.55 18.31 20.72 23.45 24.41 27.62
50 13.82 16.28 18.42 20.85 21.70 24.56
60 12.56 14.79 16.74 18.94 19.71 22.31
70 11.58 13.63 15.43 17.46 18.17 20.57
80 10.79 12.71 14.38 16.28 16.94 19.17
90 10.14 11.94 13.52 15.30 15.92 18.02
100 9.59 11.30 12.79 14.47 15.06 17.04
110 9.12 10.75 12.16 13.76 14.32 16.21
120 8.72 10.26 11.62 13.15 13.68 15.48
 100 200 500 Curva Intensidad-Duración-Frecuencia
64.89 73.44 86.49 100.00
90.00
45.04 50.97 60.03

INTENSIDAD (mm/h)
80.00
36.38 41.17 48.48 70.00
60.00
31.26 35.38 41.67 50.00
40.00
27.79 31.45 37.04 30.00
25.25 28.57 33.65 20.00
10.00
23.28 26.34 31.03 0.00
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
21.70 24.56 28.92
20.39 23.08 27.18
19.29 21.83 25.71 TIEMPO DE DURACIÓN (min)
5 10 20 25
18.35 20.76 24.45
50 100 200 500
17.52 19.83 23.36
ón-Frecuencia

80 90 100 110 120

(min)
25
500
 CAUDAL
INTENSID
T (años) MAXIMO
AD (mm/h)
(m3/seg.)

500 13.96 111.30

200 11.85 94.48
100 10.47 83.48
50 8.94 71.28
25 8.18 65.22
20 7.86 62.67
10 6.94 55.33
5 6.13 48.87
2 5.21 41.54

C 0.35
A 82.01 km2
según hidro esta método racional Tc 318.86 min