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Monitoreo y evaluación Medio ambiente ►

Fase 5 - Solucionar problemas y analizar situaciones planteadas en la evaluación de la
Unidad 2

Comenzó en Miércoles 30 de octubre de 2019 9:00 p.m.

Estado Terminado
Completado en Miércoles 30 de octubre de 2019 21:56
Tiempo tomado 56 minutos
Marcas 5.00 / 10.00
Calificar; nota 25.00 de 50.00 ( 50 %)
Realimentación Buen rendimiento. Debe revisar el tema en el que falló.

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Pregunta 1 Este tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estas
Incorrecto opciones para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la
respuesta y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Mark 0.00 de 1.00
Declaración:
Considere el juego (2 * 4) que muestra la siguiente Matriz de pago:

Jugador B
Jugador
A 1 2 3 44
1 44 77 55 -3
2 8 3 10 8

Los pagos esperados del jugador A corresponden a las estrategias puras del jugador B.
Los pagos esperados del jugador B corresponden a las estrategias puras del jugador A.

Las estrategias puras para el jugador A presentan una alternativa, la línea 2 corresponde a:

Seleccione uno:
a. 5Y1 - 3 La respuesta correcta es: -5Y2 + 8

si. -5Y2 + 8
C. 10Y1 + 3

re. 6Y1 - 5

Tu respuesta es incorrecta.
La respuesta correcta es: -5Y2 + 8

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Pregunta 2 The criterion of Hurwicz. This criterion covers a range of attitudes, from the most optimistic
Correcto to the most pessimistic. In order to apply this criterion of decision, the decision maker
should choose his coefficient of optimism (β) according to the experience of other similar
Mark 1.00 de 1.00
situations, which goes from 0 to 1; therefore the coefficient of pessimism will be 1 - β.
According to the table below, considering that the optimistic value is 0.8 and the pessimistic
value is 0.2. The technology that should be adapted to have the highest expected value is:

Select one:
a. Technology 2 with a value of 760.

b. Technology 2 with a value of 780. The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a
value of 780.
c. Technology 2 with a value of 710.
d. Technology 2 with a value of 750.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a value of 780.

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Question 3 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Correct correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
Consider the game (2 * 4) that shows the following Payment Matrix:

Player B
Player A 1 2 3 4
1 4 7 5 -3
2 8 3 10 8

Player A's expected payouts correspond to player B's pure strategies.

Payments expected from Player B correspond to player A.'s pure strategies.

The game value for player B is:

Select one:
a. 13/3 The correct answer is: 13/3

b. 12/5

c. 15/3

d. 17/5

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: 13/3

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Question 4 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Correct correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
The Wald or pessimistic criterion for situations under uncertainty criteria is a more
conservative criterion, because it raises the worst situation that can be presented to the
decision maker once an alternative has been chosen. That is why among the possible lower
alternatives will always choose the largest.
According to the table below, the technologies that should not be adapted to have the
lowest expected pessimistic value are:

Select one:
a. Technology 3 with a value of 480.

b. Technology 1 with a value of 580.

c. Technology 2 with a value of 550. The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a
value of 550.
d. Technology 1 with a value of 610.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a value of 550.

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Question 5 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Incorrect correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 0.00 out of
1.00 Statement:

In game theory these are considered legal when:

Select one:
a. The result of the game is balanced and one.

b. The outcome of the game is greater than one. The correct answer is: The
result of the game is balanced and zero.

c. The result of the game is balanced and zero.

d. The result of the game is less than one.

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: The result of the game is balanced and zero.

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Question 6 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Incorrect correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 0.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
The Wald or pessimistic criterion for situations under uncertainty criteria is a more
conservative criterion, because it raises the worst situation that can be presented to the
decision maker once an alternative has been chosen. That is why among the possible lower
alternatives will always choose the largest.
According to the table below, the technologies that should be adapted to have the highest
expected value are:

Select one:
a. Technology 1 with a value of 550.

b. Technology 3 with a value of 500.

c. Technology 1 with a value of 900. The correct answer is: Technology 1 with a
value of 550.
d. Technology 2 with a value of 400.

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: Technology 1 with a value of 550.

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Question 7 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Correct correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:

To make decisions with uncertainty, consider the following Cost Matrix where there are no
known probability for the occurrence of the states of nature:

States of Nature
Courses of action φ1 φ2 φ3 φ4
a1 16 5 4 7
a2 8 10 9 13
a3 4 8 17 5
a4 5 7 15 9

If the maker applies the criterion of Hurwicz, the optimal decision is found in:

Select one:
a. a1 with 10.5 because it is the best course of action and a4 with 10 because it is
the best course of action.

b. a1 with 11 because it is the best course of action and a4 with 10 because it is the
best course of action.

c. a1 with 10.8 because it is the best course of action and a4 with 10 because it is
the best course of action.
d. a1 with 10 because it is the best course of action and a4 with 10 because it is the
best course of action. The correct answer is: a1 with 10 because it is the best
course of action and a4 with 10 because it is the best course of action.

Your answer is correct.

The correct answer is: a1 with 10 because it is the best course of action and a4 with 10
because it is the best course of action.

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Question 8 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Incorrect correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 0.00 out of
1.00 Statement:

Consider the following matrix that represents a problem of investment decision:

States of Nature
Courses of Low Medium High
No Change
action Growth Growth Growth
Investment
-1 12 17 22
Funds
Stock purchases 3 7 18 22
certificates of
-3 12 16 24
deposit

Where:
States of nature: United of the economy during a year.
Courses of action: types of investment according to rates of return.

The probabilities of the states of nature are presented in the following table:
States of Nature Probability
High Growth 0,25
Medium Growth 0,25
Low Growth 0,25
No Change 0,25

The Expected Loss of Opportunity (POE) to the problem of investment decision is:

Select one:
a. The loss of opportunity (POE) is 1.85 must therefore inverirse in investment funds
and/or purchase of shares.

b. The loss of opportunity (POE) is 1.55 must therefore inverirse in investment funds
and/or purchase of shares.
c. The loss of opportunity (POE) is 1.35 must therefore inverirse in investment funds
and/or purchase of shares. The correct answer is: The loss of opportunity (POE) is
1.75 must therefore inverirse in investment funds and/or purchase of shares.
d. The loss of opportunity (POE) is 1.75 must therefore inverirse in investment funds
and/or purchase of shares.

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 Your answer is incorrect.
The correct answer is: The loss of opportunity (POE) is 1.75 must therefore inverirse in
investment funds and/or purchase of shares.

Question 9 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Incorrect correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 0.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
The criterion of Laplace for situations under uncertainty criteria raises the use of all the
values that have been obtained previously, we do not despise anything by which we work
with all the fields. The logic that applies is to assign to each value the same probability (1 /
n) in such a way that all are equal.

According to the table below, the technology that must be adapted to have the highest
expected value for the presented situation is:

Select one:
a. Technology 2 with a value of 709

b. Technology 1 with a value of 730

c. Technology 3 with a value of 750 The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a
value of 706.7

d. Technology 2 with a value of 706.7

Your answer is incorrect.

The correct answer is: Technology 2 with a value of 706.7

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Question 10 Este tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estas
Correct opciones para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la
respuesta y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Declaración:
Considere el juego (2 * 4) que muestra la siguiente Matriz de pago:

Jugador B
Jugador
A 1 2 3 44
1 44 77 55 -3
2 8 3 10 8

Los pagos esperados del jugador A corresponden a las estrategias puras del jugador B.
Los pagos esperados del jugador B corresponden a las estrategias puras del jugador A.

El valor del juego para el jugador B es:

Seleccione uno:
a. 12/5

si. 17/5

C. 15/3

re. 13/3 La respuesta correcta es: 13/3

Tu respuesta es correcta.
La respuesta correcta es: 13/3