UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE UCAYALI

ESCUELA PROFESIONAL DE ECONOMÍA Y NEGOCIOS INTERNACIONALES

ECONOMETRÍA
PRODUCCIÓN DE MADERA: BOLAINA
BLANCA EN METROS CÚBICOS

DOCENTE : ECO. MG. EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO

ALUMNOS : LLÉSICA SORIA RAMÍREZ

LUIS SHAPIAMA PINEDO

CICLO: V

2014

Profesor de cursoP
 ECONOMETRÍA

PRODUC
CIÓN DE
MADER
A:
BOLAIN
A
BLANCA
Estudiantes:

© Llesica Soria Ramírez

, EN
© Luis Shapiama Pinedo

METROS
Docente

© Edinson Rengifo romero

CÚBICO
S DE LA
REGIÓN
DE
ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 1
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Dedicatoria

A jehová por su bendición de todos

los días.

A nuestros padres por ser nuestro

apoyo y sostén

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Agradecimiento

A nuestra querida Universidad Nacional de Ucayali que nos alberga

durante nuestra formación profesional.

Al eco. Mg. Edison Rengifo romero por su orientación y apoyo incondicional, por
esas ganas de seguir siempre adelante.

A todas las personas que de una u otra manera aportaron en el desarrollo de esta
investigación.

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 3

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INDICE

Pág.

 Dedicatoria 2
 Agradecimiento 3
 Introducción 4
 Resumen 5
1. Características de la bolaina blanca 6
2. Datos de producción desde 1999 a 2013 7
3. Media móvil Y por año 13
4. Gráfico de la Y móvil 21
5. Ecuación 22
6. Valor de la determinante 36
7. Cálculos de los datos 37
8. Medidas de dispersión 59
9. Predicción 67
10. Intervalos de confianza 72
11. Datos de regresión 77

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Introducción

En presente trabajo expresa la producción de la madera bolaina blanca de periodos sobre los
años 1999 hasta el 2013 datos que nos muestran el nivel de producción, para un mejor
entendimiento y realizara los respectivos cálculos.

La producción de bolaina a través del BCR, en la región de Ucayali nos señala el procesamiento
que tuvo en los periodos, el trabajo nos muestra 180 datos en total desde los meses de enero
a diciembre de todos los años, al cual además representa la variable (y) y el número de
periodos la variable (x).

Entonces teniendo nuestro grafico (diagrama de dispersión) veremos que tiene una tendencia
muy variada, por lo tanto aplicaremos la media móvil para un mejor entendimiento,
posteriormente plasmaremos nuestra ecuación y procederemos a realizar cálculos para
encontrar los valores de nuestra ecuación.

Después encontraremos otros cálculos (correlación, de 180 desviación estándar, covarianza,

predicciones, intervalos de confianza) con el fin de analizar e interpretar el rango nuestros
resultados, que tanto se acerca o aleja a los valores de distribución.

Todo esto con el fin de realizar un trabajo de análisis sobre los datos de producción de la
bolaina blanca, para ver cuánto se irán incrementando y poder predecir en el futuro. Porque
esto no solo representa datos en cálculos también reflejan el perfil económico de una región
que está en crecimiento y nos ayuda a desarrollarnos cada día más.

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Resumen

En forma general podemos decir que nuestra región ha encaminado positivamente su

crecimiento económico basándose, básicamente en actividades extractivas, teniendo en
cuenta la sostenibilidad de los recursos naturales explotados; pero lamentablemente no todas
estas actividades han sido realizadas de forma legal, ello ha contribuido al estado de amenaza
y extinción de algunas especies de flora y fauna amazónica.
La región se caracteriza por su actividad forestal, dado que el 85% de su territorio tiene
recursos madereros; actualmente las especies más explotadas son el tornillo, lupuna entre
ellas la boliana blanca. Para determinar cómo ha ido evolucionando este crecimiento
económico extractivo, a continuación presento solo un ejemplo, LA PRODUCCION anual de
BOLAINA BLANCA (1999 – 2013), trabajo elaborado para comprender su proceso durante el
tiempo comprendido.

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BOLAINA BLANCA

1. Características

La bolaina blanca es una madera con diversos usos. Se transforma en machihembrados que se
usan para cielos rasos, forros de vivienda y construcción de casas de madera. También se
utiliza para el interior de muebles y otros tipos de carpintería, como tableros encolados,
molduras y puertas sólidas mediante la aplicación de tecnologías industriales tipo tablero de
listones (blockboard) - Fuente: INIA. El mercado nacional tiene una alta demanda por molduras
hechas a base de bolaina, y actualmente se venden a través de los principales distribuidores.
Otros usos encontrados en el mercado son: embalajes para cajas de productos agrícolas,
fósforos, mondadientes, laminados, palos de escobas, y pulpa de papel.

2. Datos de producción de madera Bolaina Blanca según BCR de la región Ucayali

Investigamos en la página del BCR proporcionado por el docente, la obtención de datos, de
producción de bolaina blanca desde los años 1999 al 2013.

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 Del año 1999 al 2001

AÑO MESES X Y
ENERO 1 11
FEBRERO 2 0
MARZO 3 0
ABRIL 4 0
MAYO 5 0
JUNIO 6 7
1999
JULIO 7 0
AGOSTO 8 0
SETIEMBRE 9 0
OCTUBRE 10 14
NOVIEMBRE 11 18
DICIEMBRE 12 0
ENERO 13 23
FEBRERO 14 51
MARZO 15 10
ABRIL 16 0
MAYO 17 0
JUNIO 18 0
2000
JULIO 19 0
AGOSTO 20 0
SETIEMBRE 21 0
OCTUBRE 22 0
NOVIEMBRE 23 0
DICIEMBRE 24 0
ENERO 25 0
FEBRERO 26 0
MARZO 27 0
ABRIL 28 0
MAYO 29 0
JUNIO 30 0
2001
JULIO 31 0
AGOSTO 32 0
SETIEMBRE 33 0
OCTUBRE 34 0
NOVIEMBRE 35 0
DICIEMBRE 36 0

 Del año 2002 al 2004

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AÑO MESES X Y

ENERO 37 0
FEBRERO 38 0
MARZO 39 0
ABRIL 40 0
MAYO 41 0
JUNIO 42 0
2002
JULIO 43 0
AGOSTO 44 0
SETIEMBRE 45 0
OCTUBRE 46 0
NOVIEMBRE 47 0
DICIEMBRE 48 0
ENERO 49 139
FEBRERO 50 820
MARZO 51 3123
ABRIL 52 1660
MAYO 53 1200
JUNIO 54 2305
2003
JULIO 55 6379
AGOSTO 56 2400
SETIEMBRE 57 2268
OCTUBRE 58 1656
NOVIEMBRE 59 2555
DICIEMBRE 60 3914
ENERO 61 1086
FEBRERO 62 885
MARZO 63 1010
ABRIL 64 1789
MAYO 65 1580
JUNIO 66 2986
2004
JULIO 67 1750
AGOSTO 68 1618
SETIEMBRE 69 905
OCTUBRE 70 1508
NOVIEMBRE 71 408
DICIEMBRE 72 1457

 Del año 2005 al 2007

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AÑO MESES X Y
ENERO 73 1332
FEBRERO 74 994
MARZO 75 1848
ABRIL 76 1831
MAYO 77 849
JUNIO 78 732
2005
JULIO 79 993
AGOSTO 80 549
SETIEMBRE 81 1050
OCTUBRE 82 511
NOVIEMBRE 83 1044
DICIEMBRE 84 1228
ENERO 85 1288
FEBRERO 86 2122
MARZO 87 1443
ABRIL 88 647
MAYO 89 1027
JUNIO 90 2491
2006
JULIO 91 2250
AGOSTO 92 1696
SETIEMBRE 93 1076
OCTUBRE 94 2207
NOVIEMBRE 95 2511
DICIEMBRE 96 1707
ENERO 97 1440
FEBRERO 98 1671
MARZO 99 1697
ABRIL 100 200
MAYO 101 1357
JUNIO 102 681
2007
JULIO 103 1660
AGOSTO 104 1968
SETIEMBRE 105 1843
OCTUBRE 106 2347
NOVIEMBRE 107 1304
DICIEMBRE 108 203

 Del año 2008 2010

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AÑO MESES X Y
ENERO 109 891
FEBRERO 110 2039
MARZO 111 1457
ABRIL 112 1208
MAYO 113 467
JUNIO 114 200
2008
JULIO 115 573
AGOSTO 116 1289
SETIEMBRE 117 920
OCTUBRE 118 577
NOVIEMBRE 119 1676
DICIEMBRE 120 791
ENERO 121 673
FEBRERO 122 191
MARZO 123 90
ABRIL 124 409
MAYO 125 196
JUNIO 126 0
2009
JULIO 127 54
AGOSTO 128 3077
SETIEMBRE 129 3587
OCTUBRE 130 1694
NOVIEMBRE 131 362
DICIEMBRE 132 573
ENERO 133 0
FEBRERO 134 151
MARZO 135 100
ABRIL 136 1157
MAYO 137 2333
JUNIO 138 3640
2010
JULIO 139 841
AGOSTO 140 2010
SETIEMBRE 141 1996
OCTUBRE 142 3373
NOVIEMBRE 143 3174
DICIEMBRE 144 0

 Del año 2011 al 2013

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 11

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AÑO MESES X Y

ENERO 145 1332

FEBRERO 146 1161
MARZO 147 3032
ABRIL 148 4989
MAYO 149 3616
JUNIO 150 2398
2011
JULIO 151 2927
AGOSTO 152 743
SETIEMBRE 153 106
OCTUBRE 154 140
NOVIEMBRE 155 0
DICIEMBRE 156 0
ENERO 157 0
FEBRERO 158 300
MARZO 159 1629
ABRIL 160 251
MAYO 161 1114
JUNIO 162 415
2012
JULIO 163 981
AGOSTO 164 1165
SETIEMBRE 165 423
OCTUBRE 166 326
NOVIEMBRE 167 200
DICIEMBRE 168 300
ENERO 169 705
FEBRERO 170 252
MARZO 171 1270
ABRIL 172 885
MAYO 173 890
JUNIO 174 992
2013
JULIO 175 997
AGOSTO 176 1315
SETIEMBRE 177 1362
OCTUBRE 178 1006
NOVIEMBRE 179 684
DICIEMBRE 180 704
TOTAL 16290 175711

Obtenidos los datos se procede a trabajar estadísticamente la Y móvil.

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Presentación de datos por año y su respectiva Y móvil.

3. Media móvil Por Año

a) Año 1999 a 2000

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL(Y)

ENERO 1 11 11.0
FEBRERO 2 0 5.5
MARZO 3 0 3.7
ABRIL 4 0 2.8
MAYO 5 0 2.2
JUNIO 6 7 3.0
1999
JULIO 7 0 2.6
AGOSTO 8 0 2.3
SETIEMBRE 9 0 2.0
OCTUBRE 10 14 3.2
NOVIEMBRE 11 18 4.5
DICIEMBRE 12 0 4.2
ENERO 13 23 5.6
FEBRERO 14 51 8.9
MARZO 15 10 8.9
ABRIL 16 0 8.4
MAYO 17 0 7.9
JUNIO 18 0 7.4
2000
JULIO 19 0 7.1
AGOSTO 20 0 6.7
SETIEMBRE 21 0 6.4

OCTUBRE 22 0 6.1
NOVIEMBRE 23 0 5.8
DICIEMBRE 24 0 5.6

b) Del año 2001 a 2002

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

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ENERO 25 0 5.4
FEBRERO 26 0 5.2
MARZO 27 0 5.0
ABRIL 28 0 4.8
MAYO 29 0 4.6
JUNIO 30 0 4.5
d2001
JULIO 31 0 4.1
AGOSTO 32 0 4.1
SETIEMBRE 33 0 4.1
OCTUBRE 34 0 4.1
NOVIEMBRE 35 0 4.1
DICIEMBRE 36 0 3.9
ENERO 37 0 3.9
FEBRERO 38 0 3.9
MARZO 39 0 3.9
ABRIL 40 0 3.4
MAYO 41 0 2.8
JUNIO 42 0 2.8
2002
JULIO 43 0 2.0
AGOSTO 44 0 0.3
SETIEMBRE 45 0 0.0
OCTUBRE 46 0 0.0
NOVIEMBRE 47 0 0.0
DICIEMBRE 48 0 0.0

c) Del año 2003 a 2003

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

2003 ENERO 49 139 4.6

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FEBRERO 50 820 32.0

MARZO 51 3123 136.1
ABRIL 52 1660 191.4
MAYO 53 1200 231.4
JUNIO 54 2305 308.2
JULIO 55 6379 520.9
AGOSTO 56 2400 600.9
SETIEMBRE 57 2268 676.5
OCTUBRE 58 1656 731.7
NOVIEMBRE 59 2555 816.8
DICIEMBRE 60 3914 947.3
ENERO 61 1086 983.5
FEBRERO 62 885 1013.0
MARZO 63 1010 1046.7
ABRIL 64 1789 1106.3
MAYO 65 1580 1159.0
JUNIO 66 2986 1258.5
2004
JULIO 67 1750 1316.8
AGOSTO 68 1618 1370.8
SETIEMBRE 69 905 1400.9
OCTUBRE 70 1508 1451.2
NOVIEMBRE 71 408 1464.8
DICIEMBRE 72 1457 1513.4

d) Del año 2005 a 2006

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

ENERO 73 1332 1557.8

2005
FEBRERO 74 994 1590.9

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MARZO 75 1848 1652.5

ABRIL 76 1831 1713.5
MAYO 77 849 1741.8
JUNIO 78 732 1766.2
JULIO 79 993 1794.7
AGOSTO 80 549 1785.7
SETIEMBRE 81 1050 1716.6
OCTUBRE 82 511 1678.3
NOVIEMBRE 83 1044 1673.1
DICIEMBRE 84 1228 1637.2
ENERO 85 1288 1467.5
FEBRERO 86 2122 1458.2
MARZO 87 1443 1430.7
ABRIL 88 647 1397.1
MAYO 89 1027 1346.1
JUNIO 90 2491 1298.7
2006
JULIO 91 2250 1337.5
AGOSTO 92 1696 1364.5
SETIEMBRE 93 1076 1366.7
OCTUBRE 94 2207 1380.7
NOVIEMBRE 95 2511 1411.7
DICIEMBRE 96 1707 1369.1

e) Del año 2007 al 2008

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

ENERO 97 1440 1358.7
2007
FEBRERO 98 1671 1360.5

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MARZO 99 1697 1386.9

ABRIL 100 200 1343.3
MAYO 101 1357 1374.9
JUNIO 102 681 1349.1
JULIO 103 1660 1360.0
AGOSTO 104 1968 1392.5
SETIEMBRE 105 1843 1392.3
OCTUBRE 106 2347 1409.5
NOVIEMBRE 107 1304 1424.7
DICIEMBRE 108 203 1407.0
ENERO 109 891 1403.6
FEBRERO 110 2039 1453.3
MARZO 111 1457 1466.9
ABRIL 112 1208 1490.1
MAYO 113 467 1470.9
JUNIO 114 200 1436.6
2008
JULIO 115 573 1412.8
AGOSTO 116 1289 1385.0
SETIEMBRE 117 920 1367.6
OCTUBRE 118 577 1365.2
NOVIEMBRE 119 1676 1386.9
DICIEMBRE 120 791 1330.2

ENERO 121 673 1277.6

FEBRERO 122 191 1227.5
MARZO 123 90 1194.6
ABRIL 124 409 1134.7
MAYO 125 196 1057.5
JUNIO 126 0 1000.6
2009
JULIO 127 54 954.4
AGOSTO 128 3077 1001.3
SETIEMBRE 129 3587 1064.3
OCTUBRE 130 1694 1114.1
NOVIEMBRE 131 362 1080.9
DICIEMBRE 132 573 1077.3
ENERO 133 0 1022.0 f) Del año 2009
FEBRERO 134 151 961.4 al 2010
MARZO 135 100 903.3
AÑO MESES
ABRIL X
136 Y
1157 MEDIA863.6
MOVIL (Y)
MAYO 137 2333 897.9
JUNIO 138 3640 1012.5
2010
JULIO 139 841 1010.8
AGOSTO 140 2010 1009.9
ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO
SETIEMBRE 141
Página
1996
17 1027.8
OCTUBRE 142 3373 1100.0
NOVIEMBRE 143 3174 1190.2
DICIEMBRE 144 0 1183.6
 ECONOMETRÍA

g) Del año 2011 al 2012

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

ENERO 145 1332 1208.9

2011
FEBRERO 146 1161 1204.6

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 18

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MARZO 147 3032 1275.0

ABRIL 148 4989 1422.1
MAYO 149 3616 1486.7
JUNIO 150 2398 1540.3
JULIO 151 2927 1615.4
AGOSTO 152 743 1633.8
SETIEMBRE 153 106 1634.4
OCTUBRE 154 140 1625.4
NOVIEMBRE 155 0 1618.9
DICIEMBRE 156 0 1618.9
ENERO 157 0 1617.1
FEBRERO 158 300 1524.5
MARZO 159 1629 1459.2
ABRIL 160 251 1411.1
MAYO 161 1114 1436.2
JUNIO 162 415 1430.9
2012
JULIO 163 981 1463.6
AGOSTO 164 1165 1497.4
SETIEMBRE 165 423 1508.2
OCTUBRE 166 326 1480.5
NOVIEMBRE 167 200 1409.4
DICIEMBRE 168 300 1298.1

h) Año 2013 y el total de toda la producción

AÑO MESES X Y MEDIA MOVIL (Y)

ENERO 169 705 1293.5

2013
FEBRERO 170 252 1234.9

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 19

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MARZO 171 1270 1210.7

ABRIL 172 885 1127.8
MAYO 173 890 1051.7
JUNIO 174 992 1084.7
JULIO 175 997 1073.6
AGOSTO 176 1315 1078.7
SETIEMBRE 177 1362 1023.0
OCTUBRE 178 1006 890.3
NOVIEMBRE 179 684 792.5
DICIEMBRE 180 704 736.1
TOTAL 16290 175711 164341.8

 La Y móvil es un proceso matemático se obtiene de la fórmula:

=+PROMEDIO (E1:E30), entre ambas variables.

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4. Gráfico de los datos obtenidos

Obtenida la Y móvil, se procede a realizar el grafico de dispersión que a continuación se presenta con los datos obtenidos.

2000.0

1800.0

1600.0
f(x) = − 1.6712303584E-08 x⁶ + 0.0000084709446886 x⁵ − 0.00156281122599 x⁴ + 0.1246321136008 x³ − 3.8520617434965 x² + 37.79713271895 x
− 56.554622360022
1400.0 R² = 0.934139828422568

1200.0
Series2
1000.0 Polynomial (Series2)

800.0

600.0

400.0

200.0

0.0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Para obtener la gráfica seleccionamos los datos e insertamos en gráficos de dispersión, agregamos línea de tendencia polinomica con un orden de 6,
señalando la intersección y a R cuadrada del gráfico.

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5. Establecemos La Ecuación.

Una vez analizado nuestro gráfico con la Media Móvil establecemos nuestra ecuación que se presenta de la siguiente manera:

Y = a+ bx + cx² + dx³ + ex⁴ + fx⁵ + gx⁶ + hx7+ ix8+ jx9+ kx10+

Como tenemos plasmado la ecuación procederemos a encontrar los valores de la (Y) estimada. A continuación realizaremos una serie de cálculos para
encontrar los valores de la ecuación.

£(Y) 164341.81
£(X*Y) 19143006.2
£((X^2)*Y) 2439908463
£((X^3)*Y) 333556247907.20
£((X^4)*Y) 48030093302030.00
£((X^5)*Y) 7181391822565750.00
Ʃ N° (X) Y
£((X^6)*Y) X2 X3 X4
1103547054887550000 X5
16290 £((X^7)*Y)
164341.8083 1960230 265364100 173050338598180000000
38318183994 5763619797300
£((X^8)*Y) 27557408278166700000000.00
£((X^9)*Y) 4441476389164780000000000.00
£((X^10)*Y) 722787925861690000000000000.00

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N*a b £x c £x^2 d £x^3 e £x^4 f £x^5

a £x b £x^2 c £x^3 d £x^4 e £x^5 f£x^6
a £x^2 b £x^3 c £x^4 d £x^5 e £x^6 f £x^7
a £x^3 b £x^4 c £x^5 d £x^6 e £x^7 f £x^8
a £x^4 b £x^5 c £x^6 d £x^7 e £x^8 f£x^9
a £x^5 b £x^6 c £x^7 d £x^8 e £x^9 f £x^10
a £x^6 b £x^7 c £x^8 d £x^9 e £x^10 f £x^11
a £x^7 b £x^8 c £x^9 d £x^10 e £x^11 f £x^12
a £x^8 b £x^9 c £x^10 d £x^11 e £x^12 f £x^13
a £x^9 b £x^10 c £x^11 d £x^12 e £x^13 f £x^14
a £x10 b £x11 c £x12 d £x13 e £x14 f £x15

180 16290 1960230 265364100 38318183994 5763619797300

16290 1960230 265364100 38318183994 5763619797300 891700635142290
1960230 265364100 38318183994 5763619797300 891700635142290 140830447517823000
265364100 38318183994 5763619797300 891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000
38318183994 5763619797300 891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000
5763619797300 891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000
891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000 99648763390538100000000000
140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000 99648763390538100000000000 16602507449367100000000000000
22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000 99648763390538100000000000 16602507449367100000000000000 2782606313106400000000000000000
3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000 99648763390538100000000000 16602507449367100000000000000 2782606313106400000000000000000 468759624574526000000000000000000
602275902867312000000000 99648763390538100000000000 16602507449367100000000000000 2782606313106400000000000000000 468759624574526000000000000000000 79319874528664400000000000000000000

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X6 X7 X8 X9 X10
891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000

g £x^6 h£x7 i £x^8 k £x^9 j £x^10

g £x^7 h£x8 i £x^9 k £x^10 j £x^11
g £x^8 h£x9 i £x^10 k £x^11 j £x^12
g £x^9 h£x10 i £x^11 k £x^12 j £x^13
g £x^10 h£x11 i £x^12 k £x^13 j £x^14
g £x^11 h£x12 i £x^13 k £x^14 j £x^15
g £x^12 h£x13 i £x^14 k £x^15 j £x^16
g £x^13 h£x14 i £x^15 k £x^16 j £x^17
g £x^14 h£x15 i £x^16 k £x^17 j £x^18
g £x^15 h£x16 i £x^17 k £x^18 j £x^19
g £x16 h £x17 i £x18 k £x^19 j £x^20

891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000

140830447517823000
22595000559501500000
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 24

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE A 431.1105402
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 25

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE B -246.179491585311000000000
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 26

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE C 37.3685737707513000
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 27

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE D -2.4074635971329100
=
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 28

 ECONOMETRÍA

0.08044504194980
DETERMINANTE E =
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 29

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE F =
-0.00155235850089239000

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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 30

 ECONOMETRÍA

0.00001837340829080430
DETERMINANTE G
=
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 31

 ECONOMETRÍA

-0.00000013591404935215
DETERMINANTE H =
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 32

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE I 0.000000000613846062678289
=
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ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 33

 ECONOMETRÍA

DETERMINANTE J =
-0.00000000000154955656046880000

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38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00
5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00
891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00
140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00 468759624574526000000000000000000.00
180.00 16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00
16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00
1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00
265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00
38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00
5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00
891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00
140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00 468759624574526000000000000000000.00

5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 164341.81 602275902867312000000000.00

891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
5763619797300.00
891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
19143006.20
2439908462.80
333556247907.20
48030093302030.00
7181391822565750.00
1103547054887550000.00
173050338598180000000.00
27557408278166700000000.00
4441476389164780000000000.00
722787925861690000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
11576273271095200000000000000000000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
11576273271095200000000000000000000000000000000.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 34

 ECONOMETRÍA

0.00000000000000167598859876158
DETERMINANTE K =
180.00 16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00
16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00
1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00
265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00
38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00
5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00
891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00
140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00 468759624574526000000000000000000.00
180.00 16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00
16290.00 1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00
1960230.00 265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00
265364100.00 38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00
38318183994.00 5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00
5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00
891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00
140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00 602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00 99648763390538100000000000.00 16602507449367100000000000000.00 2782606313106400000000000000000.00 468759624574526000000000000000000.00

5763619797300.00 891700635142290.00 140830447517823000.00 22595000559501500000.00 3670473345043170000000.00 164341.81

891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
5763619797300.00
891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
891700635142290.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
140830447517823000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
22595000559501500000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
3670473345043170000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
19143006.20
2439908462.80
333556247907.20
48030093302030.00
7181391822565750.00
1103547054887550000.00
173050338598180000000.00
27557408278166700000000.00
4441476389164780000000000.00
722787925861690000000000000.00
602275902867312000000000.00
99648763390538100000000000.00
16602507449367100000000000000.00
2782606313106400000000000000000.00
468759624574526000000000000000000.00
79319874528664400000000000000000000.00
13474495497258500000000000000000000000.00
2296927318717000000000000000000000000000.00
392756489825394000000000000000000000000000.00
67344646483696700000000000000000000000000000.00
11576273271095200000000000000000000000000000000.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 35

 ECONOMETRÍA

6. Determinantes
Encontramos la determinante multiplicando los factores, luego dividiendo los productos y
conseguimos la determinante.

a) Determinante de A:

= 431.1105402

b) Determinante de B:

=-246.179491585311000000000

c) Determinante de C:

= 37.3685737707513000

d) Determinante de D:

= -2.4074635971329100

e) Determinante de E:

= 0.08044504194980

f) Determinante de F:

= -0.00155235850089239000

g) Determinante de G:

= 0.00001837340829080430

h) Determinante de H:

= -0.00000013591404935215

i) Determinante de I :

= 0.000000000613846062678289

j) Determinante de J:

= -0.00000000000154955656046880000

k) Determinante de K

= 0.00000000000000167598859876158

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 36

 ECONOMETRÍA

7. Cálculos de datos: encontramos los cálculos con potencias y sumas de las variables, respetivamente.

AÑO MESES Y MEDIA MOVIL(Y) X X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9 X10

ENERO 11 11.0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FEBRERO 0 5.5 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
MARZO 0 3.7 3 9 27 81 243 729 2187 6561 19683 59049
ABRIL 0 2.8 4 16 64 256 1024 4096 16384 65536 262144 1048576
MAYO 0 2.2 5 25 125 625 3125 15625 78125 390625 1953125 9765625
JUNIO 7 3.0 6 36 216 1296 7776 46656 279936 1679616 10077696 60466176
JULIO 0 2.6 7 49 343 2401 16807 117649 823543 5764801 40353607 282475249
AGOSTO 0 2.3 8 64 512 4096 32768 262144 2097152 16777216 134217728 1073741824
SETIEMBRE 0 2.0 9 81 729 6561 59049 531441 4782969 43046721 387420489 3486784401
OCTUBRE 14 3.2 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000 100000000 1000000000 10000000000
NOVIEMBRE 18 4.5 11 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 19487171 214358881 2357947691 25937424601
DICIEMBRE 0 4.2 12 144 1728 20736 248832 2985984 35831808 429981696 5159780352 61917364224
ENERO 23 5.6 13 169 2197 28561 371293 4826809 62748517 815730721 10604499373 137858491849
FEBRERO 51 8.9 14 196 2744 38416 537824 7529536 105413504 1475789056 20661046784 289254654976
MARZO 10 8.9 15 225 3375 50625 759375 11390625 170859375 2562890625 38443359375 576650390625
ABRIL 0 8.4 16 256 4096 65536 1048576 16777216 268435456 4294967296 68719476736 1099511627776
MAYO 0 7.9 17 289 4913 83521 1419857 24137569 410338673 6975757441 118587876497 2015993900449
JUNIO 0 7.4 18 324 5832 104976 1889568 34012224 612220032 11019960576 198359290368 3570467226624
JULIO 0 7.1 19 361 6859 130321 2476099 47045881 893871739 16983563041 322687697779 6131066257801
AGOSTO 0 6.7 20 400 8000 160000 3200000 64000000 1280000000 25600000000 512000000000 10240000000000
SETIEMBRE 0 6.4 21 441 9261 194481 4084101 85766121 1801088541 37822859361 794280046581 16679880978201
OCTUBRE 0 6.1 22 484 10648 234256 5153632 113379904 2494357888 54875873536 1207269217792 26559922791424
NOVIEMBRE 0 5.8 23 529 12167 279841 6436343 148035889 3404825447 78310985281 1801152661463 41426511213649
DICIEMBRE 0 5.6 24 576 13824 331776 7962624 191102976 4586471424 110075314176 2641807540224 63403380965376
ENERO 0 5.4 25 625 15625 390625 9765625 244140625 6103515625 152587890625 3814697265625 95367431640625
FEBRERO 0 5.2 26 676 17576 456976 11881376 308915776 8031810176 208827064576 5429503678976 141167095653376
MARZO 0 5.0 27 729 19683 531441 14348907 387420489 10460353203 282429536481 7625597484987 205891132094649
ABRIL 0 4.8 28 784 21952 614656 17210368 481890304 13492928512 377801998336 10578455953408 296196766695424
MAYO 0 4.6 29 841 24389 707281 20511149 594823321 17249876309 500246412961 14507145975869 420707233300201
JUNIO 0 4.5 30 900 27000 810000 24300000 729000000 21870000000 656100000000 19683000000000 590490000000000
JULIO 0 4.1 31 961 29791 923521 28629151 887503681 27512614111 852891037441 26439622160671 819628286980801
AGOSTO 0 4.1 32 1024 32768 1048576 33554432 1073741824 34359738368 1099511627776 35184372088832 1125899906842620
SETIEMBRE 0 4.1 33 1089 35937 1185921 39135393 1291467969 42618442977 1406408618241 46411484401953 1531578985264450
OCTUBRE 0 4.1 34 1156 39304 1336336 45435424 1544804416 52523350144 1785793904896 60716992766464 2064377754059780
NOVIEMBRE 0 4.1 35 1225 42875 1500625 52521875 1838265625 64339296875 2251875390625 78815638671875 2758547353515620
DICIEMBRE 0 3.9 36 1296 46656 1679616 60466176 2176782336 78364164096 2821109907456 101559956668416 3656158440062980
ENERO 0 3.9 37 1369 50653 1874161 69343957 2565726409 94931877133 3512479453921 129961739795077 4808584372417850
FEBRERO 0 3.9 38 1444 54872 2085136 79235168 3010936384 114415582592 4347792138496 165216101262848 6278211847988220
MARZO 0 3.9 39 1521 59319 2313441 90224199 3518743761 137231006679 5352009260481 208728361158759 8140406085191600
ABRIL 0 3.4 40 1600 64000 2560000 102400000 4096000000 163840000000 6553600000000 262144000000000 10485760000000000
MAYO 0 2.8 41 1681 68921 2825761 115856201 4750104241 194754273881 7984925229121 327381934393961 13422659310152400
JUNIO 0 2.8 42 1764 74088 3111696 130691232 5489031744 230539333248 9682651996416 406671383849472 17080198121677800
JULIO 0 2.0 43 1849 79507 3418801 147008443 6321363049 271818611107 11688200277601 502592611936843 21611482313284200
AGOSTO 0 0.3 44 1936 85184 3748096 164916224 7256313856 319277809664 14048223625216 618121839509504 27197360938418200
SETIEMBRE 0 0.0 45 2025 91125 4100625 184528125 8303765625 373669453125 16815125390625 756680642578125 34050628916015600
OCTUBRE 0 0.0 46 2116 97336 4477456 205962976 9474296896 435817657216 20047612231936 922190162669056 42420747482776600
NOVIEMBRE 0 0.0 47 2209 103823 4879681 229345007 10779215329 506623120463 23811286661761 1119130473102770 52599132235830000
DICIEMBRE 0 0.0 48 2304 110592 5308416 254803968 12230590464 587068342272 28179280429056 1352605460594690 64925062108545000

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 37

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 139 4.6 49 2401 117649 5764801 282475249 13841287201 678223072849 33232930569601 1628413597910450 79792266297612000
FEBRERO 820 32.0 50 2500 125000 6250000 312500000 15625000000 781250000000 39062500000000 1953125000000000 97656250000000000
MARZO 3123 136.1 51 2601 132651 6765201 345025251 17596287801 897410677851 45767944570401 2334165173090450 119042423827613000
ABRIL 1660 191.4 52 2704 140608 7311616 380204032 19770609664 1028071702528 53459728531456 2779905883635710 144555105949057000
MAYO 1200 231.4 53 2809 148877 7890481 418195493 22164361129 1174711139837 62259690411361 3299763591802130 174887470365513000
JUNIO 2305 308.2 54 2916 157464 8503056 459165024 24794911296 1338925209984 72301961339136 3904305912313340 210832519264921000
JULIO 6379 520.9 55 3025 166375 9150625 503284375 27680640625 1522435234375 83733937890625 4605366583984370 253295162119141000
AGOSTO 2400 600.9 56 3136 175616 9834496 550731776 30840979456 1727094849536 96717311574016 5416169448144900 303305489096114000
SETIEMBRE 2268 676.5 57 3249 185193 10556001 601692057 34296447249 1954897493193 111429157112001 6351461955384060 362033331456891000
OCTUBRE 1656 731.7 58 3364 195112 11316496 656356768 38068692544 2207984167552 128063081718016 7427658739644930 430804206899406000
NOVIEMBRE 2555 816.8 59 3481 205379 12117361 714924299 42180533641 2488651484819 146830437604321 8662995818654940 511116753300641000
DICIEMBRE 3914 947.3 60 3600 216000 12960000 777600000 46656000000 2799360000000 167961600000000 10077696000000000 604661760000000000
ENERO 1086 983.5 61 3721 226981 13845841 844596301 51520374361 3142742836021 191707312997281 11694146092834100 713342911662883000
FEBRERO 885 1013.0 62 3844 238328 14776336 916132832 56800235584 3521614606208 218340105584896 13537086546263600 839299365868340000
MARZO 1010 1046.7 63 3969 250047 15752961 992436543 62523502209 3938980639167 248155780267521 15633814156853800 984930291881791000
ABRIL 1789 1106.3 64 4096 262144 16777216 1073741824 68719476736 4398046511104 281474976710656 18014398509482000 1152921504606850000
MAYO 1580 1159.0 65 4225 274625 17850625 1160290625 75418890625 4902227890625 318644812890625 20711912837890600 1346274334462890000
JUNIO 2986 1258.5 66 4356 287496 18974736 1252332576 82653950016 5455160701056 360040606269696 23762680013799900 1568336880910800000
JULIO 1750 1316.8 67 4489 300763 20151121 1350125107 90458382169 6060711605323 406067677556641 27206534396294900 1822837804551760000
AGOSTO 1618 1370.8 68 4624 314432 21381376 1453933568 98867482624 6722988818432 457163239653376 31087100296429600 2113922820157210000
SETIEMBRE 905 1400.9 69 4761 328509 22667121 1564031349 107918163081 7446353252589 513798374428641 35452087835576200 2446194060654760000
OCTUBRE 1508 1451.2 70 4900 343000 24010000 1680700000 117649000000 8235430000000 576480100000000 40353607000000000 2824752490000000000
NOVIEMBRE 408 1464.8 71 5041 357911 25411681 1804229351 128100283921 9095120158391 645753531245761 45848500718449000 3255243551009880000
DICIEMBRE 1457 1513.4 72 5184 373248 26873856 1934917632 139314069504 10030613004288 722204136308736 51998697814229000 3743906242624490000
ENERO 1332 1557.8 73 5329 389017 28398241 2073071593 151334226289 11047398519097 806460091894081 58871586708267900 4297625829703560000
FEBRERO 994 1590.9 74 5476 405224 29986576 2219006624 164206490176 12151280273024 899194740203776 66540410775079400 4923990397355880000
MARZO 1848 1652.5 75 5625 421875 31640625 2373046875 177978515625 13348388671875 1001129150390620 75084686279296900 5631351470947270000
ABRIL 1831 1713.5 76 5776 438976 33362176 2535525376 192699928576 14645194571776 1113034787454980 84590643846578200 6428888932339940000
MAYO 849 1741.8 77 5929 456533 35153041 2706784157 208422380089 16048523266853 1235736291547680 95151694449171400 7326680472586200000
JUNIO 732 1766.2 78 6084 474552 37015056 2887174368 225199600704 17565568854912 1370114370683140 106868920913285000 8335775831236200000
JULIO 993 1794.7 79 6241 493039 38950081 3077056399 243087455521 19203908986159 1517108809906560 119851595982618000 9468276082626850000
AGOSTO 549 1785.7 80 6400 512000 40960000 3276800000 262144000000 20971520000000 1677721600000000 134217728000000000 10737418240000000000
SETIEMBRE 1050 1716.6 81 6561 531441 43046721 3486784401 282429536481 22876792454961 1853020188851840 150094635296999000 12157665459056900000
OCTUBRE 511 1678.3 82 6724 551368 45212176 3707398432 304006671424 24928547056768 2044140858654980 167619550409708000 13744803133596100000
NOVIEMBRE 1044 1673.1 83 6889 571787 47458321 3939040643 326940373369 27136050989627 2252292232139040 186940255267540000 15516041187205900000
DICIEMBRE 1228 1637.2 84 7056 592704 49787136 4182119424 351298031616 29509034655744 2478758911082500 208215748530930000 17490122876598100000
ENERO 1288 1467.5 85 7225 614125 52200625 4437053125 377149515625 32057708828125 2724905250390620 231616946283203000 19687440434072300000
FEBRERO 2122 1458.2 86 7396 636056 54700816 4704270176 404567235136 34792782221696 2992179271065860 257327417311664000 22130157888803100000
MARZO 1443 1430.7 87 7569 658503 57289761 4984209207 433626201009 37725479487783 3282116715437120 285544154243030000 24842341419143600000
ABRIL 647 1397.1 88 7744 681472 59969536 5277319168 464404086784 40867559636992 3596345248055300 316478381828866000 27850097600940200000
MAYO 1027 1346.1 89 7921 704969 62742241 5584059449 496981290961 44231334895529 3936588805702080 350356403707485000 31181719929966200000
JUNIO 2491 1298.7 90 8100 729000 65610000 5904900000 531441000000 47829690000000 4304672100000000 387420489000000000 34867844010000000000
JULIO 2250 1337.5 91 8281 753571 68574961 6240321451 567869252041 51676101935731 4702525276151520 427929800129788000 38941611811810700000
AGOSTO 1696 1364.5 92 8464 778688 71639296 6590815232 606355001344 55784660123648 5132188731375620 472161363286557000 43438845422363200000
SETIEMBRE 1076 1366.7 93 8649 804357 74805201 6956883693 646990183449 60170087060757 5595818096650400 520411082988487000 48398230717929300000
OCTUBRE 2207 1380.7 94 8836 830584 78074896 7339040224 689869781056 64847759419264 6095689385410820 572994802228617000 53861511409490000000
NOVIEMBRE 2511 1411.7 95 9025 857375 81450625 7737809375 735091890625 69833729609375 6634204312890620 630249409724609000 59873693923837900000
DICIEMBRE 1707 1369.1 96 9216 884736 84934656 8153726976 782757789696 75144747810816 7213895789838340 692533995824480000 66483263599150100000
ENERO 1440 1358.7 97 9409 912673 88529281 8587340257 832972004929 80798284478113 7837433594376960 760231058654565000 73742412689492800000
FEBRERO 1671 1360.5 98 9604 941192 92236816 9039207968 885842380864 86812553324672 8507630225817860 833747762130150000 81707280688754700000
MARZO 1697 1386.9 99 9801 970299 96059601 9509900499 941480149401 93206534790699 9227446944279200 913517247483641000 90438207500880400000
ABRIL 200 1343.3 100 10000 1000000 100000000 10000000000 1000000000000 100000000000000 10000000000000000 1000000000000000000 100000000000000000000
MAYO 1357 1374.9 101 10201 1030301 104060401 10510100501 1061520150601 107213535210701 10828567056280800 1093685272684360000 110462212541120000000
JUNIO 681 1349.1 102 10404 1061208 108243216 11040808032 1126162419264 114868566764928 11716593810022700 1195092568622310000 121899441999476000000
JULIO 1660 1360.0 103 10609 1092727 112550881 11592740743 1194052296529 122987386542487 12667700813876200 1304773183829240000 134391637934412000000
AGOSTO 1968 1392.5 104 10816 1124864 116985856 12166529024 1265319018496 131593177923584 13685690504052700 1423311812421480000 148024428491834000000
SETIEMBRE 1843 1392.3 105 11025 1157625 121550625 12762815625 1340095640625 140710042265625 14774554437890600 1551328215978520000 162889462677744000000
OCTUBRE 2347 1409.5 106 11236 1191016 126247696 13382255776 1418519112256 150363025899136 15938480745308400 1689478959002690000 179084769654285000000
NOVIEMBRE 1304 1424.7 107 11449 1225043 131079601 14025517307 1500730351849 160578147647843 17181861798319200 1838459212420150000 196715135728957000000
DICIEMBRE 203 1407.0 108 11664 1259712 136048896 14693280768 1586874322944 171382426877952 18509302102818800 1999004627104430000 215892499727279000000

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 38

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 891 1403.6 109 11881 1295029 141158161 15386239549 1677100110841 182803912081669 19925626416901900 2171893279442310000 236736367459212000000
FEBRERO 2039 1453.3 110 12100 1331000 146410000 16105100000 1771561000000 194871710000000 21435888100000000 2357947691000000000 259374246010000000000
MARZO 1457 1466.9 111 12321 1367631 151807041 16850581551 1870414552161 207616015289871 23045377697175700 2558036924386500000 283942098606902000000
ABRIL 1208 1490.1 112 12544 1404928 157351936 17623416832 1973822685184 221068140740608 24759631762948100 2773078757450190000 310584820834421000000
MAYO 467 1470.9 113 12769 1442897 163047361 18424351793 2081951752609 235260548044817 26584441929064300 3004041937984270000 339456738992222000000
JUNIO 200 1436.6 114 12996 1481544 168896016 19254145824 2194972623936 250226879128704 28525864220672300 3251948521156640000 370722131411857000000
JULIO 573 1412.8 115 13225 1520875 174900625 20113571875 2313060765625 266001988046875 30590228625390600 3517876291919920000 404555773570791000000
AGOSTO 1289 1385.0 116 13456 1560896 181063936 21003416576 2436396322816 282621973446656 32784148919812100 3802961274698200000 441143507864992000000
SETIEMBRE 920 1367.6 117 13689 1601613 187388721 21924480357 2565164201769 300124211606973 35114532758015800 4108400332687850000 480682838924479000000
OCTUBRE 577 1365.2 118 13924 1643032 193877776 22877577568 2699554153024 318547390056832 37588592026706200 4435453859151330000 523383555379857000000
NOVIEMBRE 1676 1386.9 119 14161 1685159 200533921 23863536599 2839760855281 337931541778439 40213853471634200 4785448563124470000 569468379011812000000
DICIEMBRE 791 1330.2 120 14400 1728000 207360000 24883200000 2985984000000 358318080000000 42998169600000000 5159780352000000000 619173642240000000000
ENERO 673 1277.6 121 14641 1771561 214358881 25937424601 3138428376721 379749833583241 45949729863572200 5559917313492230000 672749994932560000000
FEBRERO 191 1227.5 122 14884 1815848 221533456 27027081632 3297303959104 402271083010688 49077072127303900 5987402799531080000 730463141542792000000
MARZO 90 1194.6 123 15129 1860867 228886641 28153056843 3462825991689 425927596977747 52389094428262900 6443858614676330000 792594609605189000000
ABRIL 409 1134.7 124 15376 1906624 236421376 29316250624 3635215077376 450766669594624 55895067029733400 6930988311686940000 859442550649180000000
MAYO 196 1057.5 125 15625 1953125 244140625 30517578125 3814697265625 476837158203125 59604644775390600 7450580596923830000 931322574615479000000
JUNIO 0 1000.6 126 15876 2000376 252047376 31757969376 4001504141376 504189521813376 63527879748485400 8004512848309160000 1008568618886950000000
JULIO 54 954.4 127 16129 2048383 260144641 33038369407 4195872914689 532875860165503 67675234241018900 8594754748609400000 1091533853073390000000
AGOSTO 3077 1001.3 128 16384 2097152 268435456 34359738368 4398046511104 562949953421312 72057594037927900 9223372036854780000 1180591620717410000000
SETIEMBRE 3587 1064.3 129 16641 2146689 276922881 35723051649 4608273662721 594467302491009 76686282021340200 9892530380752880000 1276136419117120000000
OCTUBRE 1694 1114.1 130 16900 2197000 285610000 37129300000 4826809000000 627485170000000 81573072100000000 10604499373000000000 1378584918490000000000
NOVIEMBRE 362 1080.9 131 17161 2248091 294499921 38579489651 5053913144281 662062621900811 86730203469006200 11361656654439800000 1488377021731620000000
DICIEMBRE 573 1077.3 132 17424 2299968 303595776 40074642432 5289852801024 698260569735168 92170395205042200 12166492167065600000 1605976966052650000000
ENERO 0 1022.0 133 17689 2352637 312900721 41615795893 5534900853769 736141813551277 97906861202319800 13021612539908500000 1731874467807840000000
FEBRERO 151 961.4 134 17956 2406104 322417936 43204003424 5789336458816 775771085481344 103953325454500000 13929745610903000000 1866585911861000000000
MARZO 100 903.3 135 18225 2460375 332150625 44840334375 6053445140625 817215093984375 110324037687891000 14893745087865200000 2010655586861810000000
ABRIL 1157 863.6 136 18496 2515456 342102016 46525874176 6327518887936 860542568759296 117033789351264000 15916595351771900000 2164656967840980000000
MAYO 2333 897.9 137 18769 2571353 352275361 48261724457 6611856250609 905824306333433 124097929967680000 17001416405572200000 2329194047563390000000
JUNIO 3640 1012.5 138 19044 2628072 362673936 50049003168 6906762437184 953133216331392 131532383853732000 18151468971815000000 2504902718110470000000
JULIO 841 1010.8 139 19321 2685619 373301041 51888844699 7212549413161 1002544368429380 139353667211684000 19370159742424000000 2692452204196940000000
AGOSTO 2010 1009.9 140 19600 2744000 384160000 53782400000 7529536000000 1054135040000000 147578905600000000 20661046784000000000 2892546549760000000000
SETIEMBRE 1996 1027.8 141 19881 2803221 395254161 55730836701 7858047974841 1107984764452580 156225851787814000 22027845102081800000 3105926159393530000000
OCTUBRE 3373 1100.0 142 20164 2863288 406586896 57735339232 8198418170944 1164175380274050 165312903998915000 23474432367845900000 3333369396234120000000
NOVIEMBRE 3174 1190.2 143 20449 2924207 418161601 59797108943 8550986578849 1222791080775410 174859124550883000 25004854810776300000 3575694237941010000000
DICIEMBRE n.d 1183.6 144 20736 2985984 429981696 61917364224 8916100448256 1283918464548860 184884258895036000 26623333280885200000 3833759992447480000000
ENERO 1332 1208.9 145 21025 3048625 442050625 64097340625 9294114390625 1347646586640620 195408755062891000 28334269484119100000 4108469075197280000000
FEBRERO 1161 1204.6 146 21316 3112136 454371856 66338290976 9685390482496 1414067010444420 206453783524885000 30142252394633200000 4400768849616440000000
MARZO 3032 1275.0 147 21609 3176523 466948881 68641485507 10090298369529 1483273860320760 218041257467152000 32052064847671400000 4711653532607690000000
ABRIL 4989 1422.1 148 21904 3241792 479785216 71008211968 10509215371264 1555363874947070 230193853492167000 34068690316840700000 5042166166892420000000
MAYO 3616 1486.7 149 22201 3307949 492884401 73439775749 10942526586601 1630436461403550 242935032749129000 36197319879620200000 5393400662063410000000
JUNIO 2398 1540.3 150 22500 3375000 506250000 75937500000 11390625000000 1708593750000000 256289062500000000 38443359375000000000 5766503906250000000000
JULIO 2927 1615.4 151 22801 3442951 519885601 78502725751 11853911588401 1789940649848550 270281038127131000 40812436757196800000 6162677950336720000000
AGOSTO 743 1633.8 152 23104 3511808 533794816 81136812032 12332795428864 1874584905187330 284936905588474000 43310409649448000000 6583182266716100000000
SETIEMBRE 106 1634.4 153 23409 3581577 547981281 83841135993 12827693806929 1962637152460140 300283484326401000 45943373101939300000 7029336084596720000000
OCTUBRE 140 1625.4 154 23716 3652264 562448656 86617093024 13339032325696 2054210978157180 316348490636206000 48717667557975800000 7502520803928270000000
NOVIEMBRE 0 1618.9 155 24025 3723875 577200625 89466096875 13867245015625 2149422977421870 333160561500391000 51639887032560500000 8004182490046890000000
DICIEMBRE 0 1618.9 156 24336 3796416 592240896 92389579776 14412774445056 2248392813428740 350749278894883000 54716887507601700000 8535834451185870000000

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 39

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 0 1617.1 157 24649 3869893 607573201 95388992557 14976071831449 2351243277537490 369145194573386000 57955795548021700000 9099059901039400000000
FEBRERO 300 1524.5 158 24964 3944312 623201296 98465804768 15557597153344 2458100350228350 388379855336080000 61364017143100600000 9695514708609890000000
MARZO 1629 1459.2 159 25281 4019679 639128961 101621504799 16157819263041 2569093262823520 408485828788940000 64949246777441400000 10326930237613200000000
ABRIL 251 1411.1 160 25600 4096000 655360000 104857600000 16777216000000 2684354560000000 429496729600000000 68719476736000000000 10995116277760000000000
MAYO 1114 1436.2 161 25921 4173281 671898241 108175616801 17416274304961 2804020163098720 451447246258894000 72683006647681900000 11701964070276800000000
JUNIO 415 1430.9 162 26244 4251528 688747536 111577100832 18075490334784 2928229434235010 474373168346071000 76848453272063600000 12449449430074300000000
JULIO 981 1463.6 163 26569 4330747 705911761 115063617043 18755369578009 3057125241215470 498311414318121000 81224760533853700000 13239635967018200000000
AGOSTO 1165 1497.4 164 26896 4410944 723394816 118636749824 19456426971136 3190854023266300 523300059815674000 85821209809770500000 14074678408802400000000
SETIEMBRE 423 1508.2 165 27225 4492125 741200625 122298103125 20179187015625 3329565857578120 549378366500391000 90647430472564500000 14956826027973100000000
OCTUBRE 326 1480.5 166 27556 4574296 759333136 126049300576 20924183895616 3473414526672260 576586811427594000 95713410696980700000 15888426175698800000000
NOVIEMBRE 200 1409.4 167 27889 4657463 777796321 129891985607 21691961596369 3622557586593620 604967116961135000 101029508532510000000 16871927924929100000000
DICIEMBRE 300 1298.1 168 28224 4741632 796594176 133827821568 22483074023424 3777156435935230 634562281237119000 106606463247836000000 17909885825636400000000
ENERO 705 1293.5 169 28561 4826809 815730721 137858491849 23298085122481 3937376385699290 665416609183180000 112455406951957000000 19004963774880800000000
FEBRERO 252 1234.9 170 28900 4913000 835210000 141985700000 24137569000000 4103386730000000 697575744100000000 118587876497000000000 20159939004490000000000
MARZO 1270 1210.7 171 29241 5000211 855036081 146211169851 25002110044521 4275360817613090 731086699811839000 125015825667824000000 21377706189198000000000
ABRIL 885 1127.8 172 29584 5088448 875213056 150536645632 25892303048704 4453476124377090 765997893392859000 131751637663572000000 22661281678134300000000
MAYO 890 1051.7 173 29929 5177717 895745041 154963892093 26808753332089 4637914326451400 802359178476092000 138808137876364000000 24013807852610900000000
JUNIO 992 1084.7 174 30276 5268024 916636176 159494694624 27752076864576 4828861374436220 840221879151903000 146198606972431000000 25438557613203000000000
JULIO 997 1073.6 175 30625 5359375 937890625 164130859375 28722900390625 5026507568359370 879638824462891000 153936794281006000000 26938938999176000000000
AGOSTO 1315 1078.7 176 30976 5451776 959512576 168874213376 29721861554176 5231047633534980 920664383502156000 162036931496379000000 28518499943362800000000
SETIEMBRE 1362 1023.0 177 31329 5545233 981506241 173726604657 30749609024289 5442680797299150 963354501121950000 170513746698585000000 30180933165649600000000
OCTUBRE 1006 890.3 178 31684 5639752 1003875856 178689902368 31806802621504 5661610866627710 1007766734259730000 179382478698232000000 31930081208285400000000
NOVIEMBRE 684 792.5 179 32041 5735339 1026625681 183765996899 32894113444921 5888046306640860 1053960288888710000 188658891711080000000 33769941616283300000000
DICIEMBRE 704 736.1 180 32400 5832000 1049760000 188956800000 34012224000000 6122200320000000 1101996057600000000 198359290368000000000 35704672266240000000000
TOTAL 175711 164341.8 16290 1960230 265364100 38318183994 5763619797300 891700635142290 140830447517823000 22595000559501500000 3670473345043170000000 602275902867312000000000

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 40

 ECONOMETRÍA

AÑO MESES Y MEDIA MOVIL(Y) XY X2Y X3Y X4Y X5Y X6Y X7Y X8Y X9Y X10Y
ENERO 11 11.0 11 11 11 11.00 11.00 11.00 11 11.00 11.00 11.00
FEBRERO 0 5.5 11 22 44 88.00 176.00 352.00 704 1408.00 2816.00 5632.00
MARZO 0 3.7 11 33 99 297.00 891.00 2673.00 8019 24057.00 72171.00 216513.00
ABRIL 0 2.8 11 44 176 704.00 2816.00 11264.00 45056 180224.00 720896.00 2883584.00
MAYO 0 2.2 11 55 275 1375.00 6875.00 34375.00 171875 859375.00 4296875.00 21484375.00
JUNIO 7 3.0 18 108 648 3888.00 23328.00 139968.00 839808 5038848.00 30233088.00 181398528.00
JULIO 0 2.6 18 126 882 6174.00 43218.00 302526.00 2117682 14823774.00 103766418.00 726364926.00
AGOSTO 0 2.3 18 144 1152 9216.00 73728.00 589824.00 4718592 37748736.00 301989888.00 2415919104.00
SETIEMBRE 0 2.0 18 162 1458 13122.00 118098.00 1062882.00 9565938 86093442.00 774840978.00 6973568802.00
OCTUBRE 14 3.2 32 320 3200 32000.00 320000.00 3200000.00 32000000 320000000.00 3200000000.00 32000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 18 4.5 50 550 6050 66550.00 732050.00 8052550.00 88578050 974358550.00 10717944050.00 117897384550.00
DICIEMBRE 0 4.2 50 600 7200 86400.00 1036800.00 12441600.00 149299200 1791590400.00 21499084800.00 257989017600.00
ENERO 23 5.6 73 949 12337 160381.00 2084953.00 27104389.00 352357057 4580641741.00 59548342633.00 774128454229.00
FEBRERO 51 8.9 124 1736 24304 340256.00 4763584.00 66690176.00 933662464 13071274496.00 182997842944.00 2561969801216.00
MARZO 10 8.9 134 2010 30150 452250.00 6783750.00 101756250.00 1526343750 22895156250.00 343427343750.00 5151410156250.00
ABRIL 0 8.4 134 2144 34304 548864.00 8781824.00 140509184.00 2248146944 35970351104.00 575525617664.00 9208409882624.00
MAYO 0 7.9 134 2278 38726 658342.00 11191814.00 190260838.00 3234434246 54985382182.00 934751497094.00 15890775450598.00
JUNIO 0 7.4 134 2412 43416 781488.00 14066784.00 253202112.00 4557638016 82037484288.00 1476674717184.00 26580144909312.00
JULIO 0 7.1 134 2546 48374 919106.00 17463014.00 331797266.00 6304148054 119778813026.00 2275797447494.00 43240151502386.00
AGOSTO 0 6.7 134 2680 53600 1072000.00 21440000.00 428800000.00 8576000000 171520000000.00 3430400000000.00 68608000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 0 6.4 134 2814 59094 1240974.00 26060454.00 547269534.00 11492660214 241345864494.00 5068263154374.00 106433526241854.00
OCTUBRE 0 6.1 134 2948 64856 1426832.00 31390304.00 690586688.00 15192907136 334243956992.00 7353367053824.00 161774075184128.00
NOVIEMBRE 0 5.8 134 3082 70886 1630378.00 37498694.00 862469962.00 19836809126 456246609898.00 10493672027654.00 241354456636042.00
DICIEMBRE 0 5.6 134 3216 77184 1852416.00 44457984.00 1066991616.00 25607798784 614587170816.00 14750092099584.00 354002210390016.00
ENERO 0 5.4 134 3350 83750 2093750.00 52343750.00 1308593750.00 32714843750 817871093750.00 20446777343750.00 511169433593750.00
FEBRERO 0 5.2 134 3484 90584 2355184.00 61234784.00 1592104384.00 41394713984 1076262563584.00 27982826653184.00 727553492982784.00
MARZO 0 5.0 134 3618 97686 2637522.00 71213094.00 1922753538.00 51914345526 1401687329202.00 37845557888454.00 1021830062988260.00
ABRIL 0 4.8 134 3752 105056 2941568.00 82363904.00 2306189312.00 64573300736 1808052420608.00 50625467777024.00 1417513097756670.00
MAYO 0 4.6 134 3886 112694 3268126.00 94775654.00 2748493966.00 79706325014 2311483425406.00 67033019336774.00 1943957560766450.00
JUNIO 0 4.5 134 4020 120600 3618000.00 108540000.00 3256200000.00 97686000000 2930580000000.00 87917400000000.00 2637522000000000.00
JULIO 0 4.1 127.1 3940.1 122143.1 3786436.10 117379519.10 3638765092.10 112801717855.10 3496853253508.10 108402450858751.00 3360475976621280.00
AGOSTO 0 4.1 131.2 4198.4 134348.8 4299161.60 137573171.20 4402341478.40 140874927308.80 4507997673881.60 144255925564211.00 4616189618054760.00
SETIEMBRE 0 4.1 135.3 4464.9 147341.7 4862276.10 160455111.30 5295018672.90 174735616205.70 5766275334788.10 190287086048007.00 6279473839584240.00
OCTUBRE 0 4.1 139.4 4739.6 161146.4 5478977.60 186285238.40 6333698105.60 215345735590.40 7321755010073.60 248939670342502.00 8463948791645080.00
NOVIEMBRE 0 4.1 143.5 5022.5 175787.5 6152562.50 215339687.50 7536889062.50 263791117187.50 9232689101562.50 323144118554687.00 11310044149414100.00
DICIEMBRE 0 3.9 139.2 5011.2 180403.2 6494515.20 233802547.20 8416891699.20 303008101171.20 10908291642163.20 392698499117875.00 14137145968243500.00
ENERO 0 3.9 143.0666667 5293.466667 195858.2667 7246755.87 268129967.07 9920808781.47 367069924914.27 13581587221827.90 502518727207631.00 18593192906682300.00
FEBRERO 0 3.9 146.9333333 5583.466667 212171.7333 8062525.87 306375982.93 11642287351.47 442406919355.73 16811462935517.90 638835591549679.00 24275752478887800.00
MARZO 0 3.9 150.8 5881.2 229366.8 8945305.20 348866902.80 13605809209.20 530626559158.80 20694435807193.20 807082996480535.00 31476236862740900.00
ABRIL 0 3.4 136 5440 217600 8704000.00 348160000.00 13926400000.00 557056000000.00 22282240000000.00 891289600000000.00 35651584000000000.00
MAYO 0 2.8 114.8 4706.8 192978.8 7912130.80 324397362.80 13300291874.80 545311966866.80 22357790641538.80 916669416303091.00 37583446068426700.00
JUNIO 0 2.8 117.6 4939.2 207446.4 8712748.80 365935449.60 15369288883.20 645510133094.40 27111425589964.80 1138679874778520.00 47824554740697900.00
JULIO 0 2.0 87.43333333 3759.633333 161664.2333 6951562.03 298917167.43 12853438199.63 552697842584.23 23766007231122.00 1021938310938250.00 43943347370344600.00
AGOSTO 0 0.3 14.66666667 645.3333333 28394.66667 1249365.33 54972074.67 2418771285.33 106425936554.67 4682741208405.33 206040613169835.00 9065786979472720.00
SETIEMBRE 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
OCTUBRE 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
NOVIEMBRE 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
DICIEMBRE 0 0.0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 41

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 139 4.6 227.0333333 11124.63333 545107.0333 26710244.63 1308801987.03 64131297364.63 3142433570867.03 153979244972485.00 7544983003651750.00 369704167178936000.00
FEBRERO 820 32.0 1598.333333 79916.66667 3995833.333 199791666.67 9989583333.33 499479166666.67 24973958333333.30 1248697916666670.00 62434895833333300.00 3121744791666670000.00
MARZO 3123 136.1 6939.4 353909.4 18049379.4 920518349.40 46946435819.40 2394268226789.40 122107679566259 6227491657879230.00 317602074551841000.00 16197705802143900000.00
ABRIL 1660 191.4 9952.8 517545.6 26912371.2 1399443302.40 72771051724.80 3784094689689.60 196772923863859 10232192040920700.00 532073986127875000.00 27667847278649500000.00
MAYO 1200 231.4 12264.2 650002.6 34450137.8 1825857303.40 96770437080.20 5128833165250.60 271828157758282 14406892361188900.00 763565295143014000.00 40468960642579700000.00
JUNIO 2305 308.2 16644.6 898808.4 48535653.6 2620925294.40 141529965897.60 7642618158470.40 412701380557402 22285874550099700.00 1203437225705380000.00 64985610188090700000.00
JULIO 6379 520.9 28647.66667 1575621.667 86659191.67 4766255541.67 262144054791.67 14417923013541.70 792985765744792 43614217115963500.00 2398781941377990000.00 131933006775790000000.00
AGOSTO 2400 600.9 33648.53333 1884317.867 105521800.5 5909220829.87 330916366472.53 18531316522461.90 1037753725257860 58114208614440400.00 3254395682408660000.00 182246158214885000000.00
SETIEMBRE 2268 676.5 38558.6 2197840.2 125276891.4 7140782809.80 407024620158.60 23200403349040.20 1322422990895290 75378110481031600.00 4296552297418800000.00 244903480952872000000.00
OCTUBRE 1656 731.7 42436.66667 2461326.667 142756946.7 8279902906.67 480234368586.67 27853593378026.70 1615508415925550 93699488123681700.00 5434570311173540000.00 315205078048065000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 2555 816.8 48193.16667 2843396.833 167760413.2 9897864376.83 583973998233.17 34454465895756.80 2032813487849650 119935995783130000.00 7076223751204640000.00 417497201321074000000.00
DICIEMBRE 3914 947.3 56838 3410280 204616800 12277008000.00 736620480000.00 44197228800000.00 2651833728000000 159110023680000000.00 9546601420800000000.00 572796085248000000000.00
ENERO 1086 983.5 59993.5 3659603.5 223235813.5 13617384623.50 830660462033.50 50670288184043.50 3090887579226650 188544142332826000.00 11501192682302400000.00 701572753620445000000.00
FEBRERO 885 1013.0 62806 3893972 241426264 14968428368.00 928042558816.00 57538638646592.00 3567395596088700 221178526957500000.00 13713068671365000000.00 850210257624629000000.00
MARZO 1010 1046.7 65940 4154220 261715860 16488099180.00 1038750248340.00 65441265645420.00 4122799735661460 259736383346672000.00 16363392150840300000.00 1030893705502940000000.00
ABRIL 1789 1106.3 70803.2 4531404.8 290009907.2 18560634060.80 1187880579891.20 76024357113036.80 4865558855234350 311395766734999000.00 19929329071039900000.00 1275477060546550000000.00
MAYO 1580 1159.0 75332.83333 4896634.167 318281220.8 20688279354.17 1344738158020.83 87407980271354.20 5681518717638020 369298716646471000.00 24004416582020600000.00 1560287077831340000000.00
JUNIO 2986 1258.5 83061 5482026 361813716 23879705256.00 1576060546896.00 104019996095136.00 6865319742278980 453111102990412000.00 29905332797367200000.00 1973751964626240000000.00
JULIO 1750 1316.8 88227.83333 5911264.833 396054743.8 26535667836.83 1777889745067.83 119118612919545 7980947065609500 534723453395837000.00 35826471377521100000.00 2400373582293910000000.00
AGOSTO 1618 1370.8 93212.13333 6338425.067 431012904.5 29308877508.27 1993003670562.13 135524249598225 9215648972679300 626664130142193000.00 42613160849669100000.00 2897694937777500000000.00
SETIEMBRE 905 1400.9 96664.4 6669843.6 460219208.4 31755125379.60 2191103651192.40 151186151932276 10431844483327000 719797269349564000.00 49666011585119900000.00 3426954799373280000000.00
OCTUBRE 1508 1451.2 101584 7110880 497761600 34843312000.00 2439031840000.00 170732228800000 11951256016000000 836587921120000000.00 58561154478400000000.00 4099280813488000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 408 1464.8 104000.8 7384056.8 524268032.8 37223030328.80 2642835153344.80 187641295887481 13322532008011100 945899772568791000.00 67158883852384100000.00 4768280753519270000000.00
DICIEMBRE 1457 1513.4 108962.4 7845292.8 564861081.6 40669997875.20 2928239847014.40 210833268985037 15179995366922600 1092959666418430000.00 78693095982127000000.00 5665902910713140000000.00
ENERO 1332 1557.8 113716.9667 8301338.567 605997715.4 44237833221.77 3229361825188.97 235743413238795 17209269166432000 1256276649149540000.00 91708195387916100000.00 6694698263317880000000.00
FEBRERO 994 1590.9 117726.6 8711768.4 644670861.6 47705643758.40 3530217638121.60 261236105220998 19331471786353900 1430528912190190000.00 105859139502074000000.00 7833576323153470000000.00
MARZO 1848 1652.5 123937.5 9295312.5 697148437.5 52286132812.50 3921459960937.50 294109497070312 22058212280273400 1654365921020510000.00 124077444076538000000.00 9305808305740360000000.00
ABRIL 1831 1713.5 130228.5333 9897368.533 752200008.5 57167200648.53 4344707249288.53 330197750945928 25095029071890600 1907222209463680000.00 144948887919240000000.00 11016115481862200000000.00
MAYO 849 1741.8 134121.1667 10327329.83 795204397.2 61230738581.83 4714766870801.17 363037049051690 27953852776980100 2152446663827470000.00 165738393114715000000.00 12761856269833100000000.00
JUNIO 732 1766.2 137766.2 10745763.6 838169560.8 65377225742.40 5099423607907.20 397755041416762 31024893230507400 2419941671979580000.00 188755450414407000000.00 14722925132323700000000.00
JULIO 993 1794.7 141781.3 11200722.7 884857093.3 69903710370.70 5522393119285.30 436269056423539 34465255457459600 2722755181139300000.00 215097659310005000000.00 16992715085490400000000.00
AGOSTO 549 1785.7 142853.3333 11428266.67 914261333.3 73140906666.67 5851272533333.33 468101802666667 37448144213333300 2995851537066670000.00 239668122965333000000.00 19173449837226700000000.00
SETIEMBRE 1050 1716.6 139041.9 11262393.9 912253905.9 73892566377.90 5985297876609.90 484809128005402 39269539368437600 3180832688843440000.00 257647447796319000000.00 20869443271501800000000.00
OCTUBRE 511 1678.3 137617.8667 11284665.07 925342535.5 75878087908.27 6222003208477.87 510204263095185 41836749573805200 3430613465052020000.00 281310304134266000000.00 23067444939009800000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 1044 1673.1 138864.5333 11525756.27 956637770.1 79400934921.07 6590277598448.53 546993040671228 45400422375711900 3768235057184090000.00 312763509746280000000.00 25959371308941200000000.00
DICIEMBRE 1228 1637.2 137522 11551848 970355232 81509839488.00 6846826516992.00 575133427427328 48311207903895600 4058141463927230000.00 340883882969887000000.00 28634246169470500000000.00
ENERO 1288 1467.5 124734.6667 10602446.67 901207966.7 76602677166.67 6511227559166.67 553454342529167 47043619114979200 3998707624773230000.00 339890148105724000000.00 28890662588986600000000.00
FEBRERO 2122 1458.2 125405.2 10784847.2 927496859.2 79764729891.20 6859766770643.20 589939942275315 50734835035677100 4363195813068230000.00 375234839923868000000.00 32270196233452600000000.00
MARZO 1443 1430.7 124470.9 10828968.3 942120242.1 81964461062.70 7130908112454.90 620389005783576 53973843503171100 4695724384775890000.00 408528021475502000000.00 35541937868368700000000.00
ABRIL 647 1397.1 122941.8667 10818884.27 952061815.5 83781439761.07 7372766698973.87 648803469509700 57094705316853600 5024334067883120000.00 442141397973714000000.00 38908443021686900000000.00
MAYO 1027 1346.1 119805.8667 10662722.13 948982269.9 84459422018.13 7516888559613.87 669003081805634 59541274280701400 5299173410982430000.00 471626433577436000000.00 41974752588391800000000.00
JUNIO 2491 1298.7 116883 10519470 946752300 85207707000.00 7668693630000.00 690182426700000 62116418403000000 5590477656270000000.00 503142989064300000000.00 45282869015787000000000.00
JULIO 2250 1337.5 121712.5 11075837.5 1007901213 91719010337.50 8346429940712.50 759525124604837 69116786339040200 6289627556852660000.00 572356107673592000000.00 52084405798296900000000.00
AGOSTO 1696 1364.5 125537.0667 11549410.13 1062545732 97754207368.53 8993387077905.07 827391611167266 76120028227388500 7003042596919740000.00 644279918916616000000.00 59273752540328700000000.00
SETIEMBRE 1076 1366.7 127106.2 11820876.6 1099341524 102238761713.40 9508204839346.20 884263050059197 82236463655505300 7647991119961990000.00 711263174156465000000.00 66147475196551300000000.00
OCTUBRE 2207 1380.7 129782.6667 12199570.67 1146759643 107795406410.67 10132768202602.70 952480211044651 89533139838197200 8416115144790530000.00 791114823610310000000.00 74364793419369200000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 2511 1411.7 134111.5 12740592.5 1210356288 114983847312.50 10923465494687.50 1037729221995310 98584276089554700 9365506228507700000.00 889723091708231000000.00 84523693712282000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 1707 1369.1 131430.4 12617318.4 1211262566 116281206374.40 11162995811942.40 1071647597946470 102878169402861000 9876304262674670000.00 948125209216768000000.00 91020020084809800000000.00
ENERO 1440 1358.7 131797.1333 12784321.93 1240079228 120287685070.73 11667905451861.10 1131786828830530 109783322396561000 10648982272466500000.00 1032951280429250000000.00 100196274201637000000000.00
FEBRERO 1671 1360.5 133329 13066242 1280491716 125488188168.00 12297842440464.00 1205188559165470 118108478798216000 11574630922225200000.00 1134313830378070000000.00 111162755377051000000000.00
MARZO 1697 1386.9 137303.1 13593006.9 1345707683 133225060626.90 13189281002063.10 1305738819204250 129268143101220000 12797546167020800000.00 1266957070535060000000.00 125428749982971000000000.00
ABRIL 200 1343.3 134330 13433000 1343300000 134330000000.00 13433000000000.00 1343300000000000 134330000000000000 13433000000000000000.00 1343300000000000000000.00 134330000000000000000000.00
MAYO 1357 1374.9 138868.2667 14025694.93 1416595188 143076114014.93 14450687515508.30 1459519439066330 147411463345700000 14888557797915700000.00 1503744337589480000000.00 151878178096538000000000.00
JUNIO 681 1349.1 137604.8 14035689.6 1431640339 146027314598.40 14894786089036.80 1519268181081750 154965354470339000 15806466155974600000.00 1612259547909410000000.00 164450473886759000000000.00
JULIO 1660 1360.0 140080 14428240 1486108720 153069198160.00 15766127410480.00 1623911123279440 167262845697782000 17228073106871600000.00 1774491530007770000000.00 182772627590801000000000.00
AGOSTO 1968 1392.5 144816.5333 15060919.47 1566335625 162898904951.47 16941486114952.50 1761914555955060 183239113819327000 19056867837210000000.00 1981914255069840000000.00 206119082527263000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 1843 1392.3 146191.5 15350107.5 1611761288 169234935187.50 17769668194687.50 1865815160442190 195910591846430000 20570612143875100000.00 2159914275106890000000.00 226790998886223000000000.00
OCTUBRE 2347 1409.5 149407 15837142 1678737052 177946127512.00 18862289516272.00 1999402688724830 211936685004832000 22465288610512200000.00 2381320592714290000000.00 252419982827715000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 1304 1424.7 152439.3333 16311008.67 1745277927 186744738224.67 19981686990039.30 2138040507934210 228770334348960000 24478425775338800000.00 2619191557961250000000.00 280253496701853000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 203 1407.0 151959.6 16411636.8 1772456774 191425331635.20 20673935816601.60 2232785068192970 241140787364841000 26043205035402800000.00 2812666143823510000000.00 303767943532939000000000.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 42

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 891 1403.6 152996.0333 16676567.63 1817745872 198134300051.63 21596638705628.00 2354033618913460 256589664461567000 27968273426310800000.00 3048541803467870000000.00 332291056577998000000000.00
FEBRERO 2039 1453.3 159863 17584930 1934342300 212777653000.00 23405541830000.00 2574609601300000 283207056143000000 31152776175730000000.00 3426805379330300000000.00 376948591726333000000000.00
MARZO 1457 1466.9 162822.2 18073264.2 2006132326 222680688208.20 24717556391110.20 2743648759413230 304545012294869000 33804496364730400000.00 3752299096485080000000.00 416505199709844000000000.00
ABRIL 1208 1490.1 166891.2 18691814.4 2093483213 234470119833.60 26260653421363.20 2941193183192680 329413636517580000 36894327289969000000.00 4132164656476520000000.00 462802441525371000000000.00
MAYO 467 1470.9 166207.9333 18781496.47 2122309101 239820928382.87 27099764907263.90 3062273434520820 346036898100853000 39102169485396400000.00 4418545151849790000000.00 499295602159027000000000.00
JUNIO 200 1436.6 163772.4 18670053.6 2128386110 242636016585.60 27660505890758.40 3153297671546460 359475934556296000 40980256539417800000.00 4671749245493620000000.00 532579413986273000000000.00
JULIO 573 1412.8 162468.1667 18683839.17 2148641504 247093772979.17 28415783892604.20 3267815147649480 375798741979690000 43216855327664400000.00 4969938362681400000000.00 571542911708361000000000.00
AGOSTO 1289 1385.0 160660 18636560 2161840960 250773551360.00 29089731957760.00 3374408907100160 391431433223619000 45406046253939800000.00 5267101365457010000000.00 610983758393013000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 920 1367.6 160005.3 18720620.1 2190312552 256266568548.90 29983188520221.30 3508033056865890 410439867653309000 48021464515437200000.00 5618511348306150000000.00 657365827751820000000000.00
OCTUBRE 577 1365.2 161097.5333 19009508.93 2243122054 264688402387.73 31233231481752.50 3685521314846800 434891515151922000 51317198787926800000.00 6055429456975370000000.00 714540675923093000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 1676 1386.9 165037.1333 19639418.87 2337090845 278113810570.87 33095543457933.10 3938369671494040 468665990907791000 55771252918027100000.00 6636779097245230000000.00 789776712572182000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 791 1330.2 159624 19154880 2298585600 275830272000.00 33099632640000.00 3971955916800000 476634710016000000 57196165201920000000.00 6863539824230400000000.00 823624778907648000000000.00
ENERO 673 1277.6 154593.6333 18705829.63 2263405386 273872051661.63 33138518251057.60 4009760708377970 485181045713735000 58706906531361900000.00 7103535690294790000000.00 859527818525670000000000.00
FEBRERO 191 1227.5 149750.9333 18269613.87 2228892892 271924932791.47 33174841800558.90 4047330699668190 493774345359519000 60240470133861300000.00 7349337356331080000000.00 896619157472392000000000.00
MARZO 90 1194.6 146935.8 18073103.4 2222991718 273427981338.60 33631641704647.80 4136691929671680 508813107349617000 62584012204002800000.00 7697833501092350000000.00 946833520634359000000000.00
ABRIL 409 1134.7 140698.6667 17446634.67 2163382699 268259454634.67 33264172374698.70 4124757374462630 511469914433367000 63422269389737500000.00 7864361404327450000000.00 975180814136603000000000.00
MAYO 196 1057.5 132187.5 16523437.5 2065429688 258178710937.50 32272338867187.50 4034042358398440 504255294799805000 63031911849975600000.00 7878988981246950000000.00 984873622655869000000000.00
JUNIO 0 1000.6 126075.6 15885525.6 2001576226 252198604425.60 31777024157625.60 4003905043860830 504492035526464000 63565996476334500000.00 8009315556018140000000.00 1009173760058290000000000.00
JULIO 54 954.4 121208.8 15393517.6 1954976735 248282045370.40 31531819762040.80 4004541109779180 508576720941956000 64589243559628400000.00 8202833932072810000000.00 1041759909373250000000000.00
AGOSTO 3077 1001.3 128162.1333 16404753.07 2099808393 268775474244.27 34403260703266.10 4403617370018060 563663023362312000 72148866990376000000.00 9235054974768130000000.00 1182087036770320000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 3587 1064.3 137290.4 17710461.6 2284649546 294719791485.60 38018853101642.40 4904432050111870 632671734464431000 81614653745911600000.00 10528290333222600000000.00 1358149452985720000000000.00
OCTUBRE 1694 1114.1 144828.6667 18827726.67 2447604467 318188580666.67 41364515486666.70 5377387013266670 699060311724667000 90877840524206700000.00 11814119268146900000000.00 1535835504859090000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 362 1080.9 141597.9 18549324.9 2429961562 318324964608.90 41700570363765.90 5462774717653330 715623488012587000 93746676929648900000.00 12280814677784000000000.00 1608786722789700000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 573 1077.3 142203.6 18770875.2 2477755526 327063729484.80 43172412291993.60 5698758422543150 752236111775697000 99295166754391900000.00 13106962011579700000000.00 1730118985528530000000000.00
ENERO 0 1022.0 135921.5667 18077568.37 2404316593 319774106837.97 42529956209449.60 5656484175856790 752312395388953000 100057548586731000000.00 13307653962035200000000.00 1769917976950680000000000.00
FEBRERO 151 961.4 128827.6 17262898.4 2313228386 309972603670.40 41536328891833.60 5565868071505700 745826321581764000 99940727091956400000.00 13392057430322200000000.00 1794535695663170000000000.00
MARZO 100 903.3 121945.5 16462642.5 2222456738 300031659562.50 40504274040937.50 5468076995526560 738190394396086000 99655703243471600000.00 13453519937868700000000.00 1816225191612270000000000.00
ABRIL 1157 863.6 117454.1333 15973762.13 2172431650 295450704418.13 40181295800866.10 5464656228917790 743193247132820000 101074281610064000000.00 13746102298968600000000.00 1869469912659730000000000.00
MAYO 2333 897.9 123016.8667 16853310.73 2308903570 316319789153.93 43335811114088.90 5937006122630170 813369838800334000 111431667915646000000.00 15266138504443500000000.00 2091460975108750000000000.00
JUNIO 3640 1012.5 139725 19282050 2660922900 367207360200.00 50674615707600.00 6993096967648800 965047381535534000 133176538651904000000.00 18378362333962700000000.00 2536214002086860000000000.00
JULIO 841 1010.8 140505.8333 19530310.83 2714713206 377345135610.83 52450973849905.80 7290685365136910 1013405265754030000 140863331939810000000.00 19580003139633600000000.00 2721620436409070000000000.00
AGOSTO 2010 1009.9 141381.3333 19793386.67 2771074133 387950378666.67 54313053013333.30 7603827421866670 1064535839061330000 149035017468587000000.00 20864902445602100000000.00 2921086342384300000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 1996 1027.8 144924.5 20434354.5 2881243985 406255401814.50 57282011655844.50 8076763643474070 1138823673729840000 160574137995908000000.00 22640953457423000000000.00 3192374437496650000000000.00
OCTUBRE 3373 1100.0 156200 22180400 3149616800 447245585600.00 63508873155200.00 9018259988038400 1280592918301450000 181844194398806000000.00 25821875604630500000000.00 3666706335857530000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 3174 1190.2 170203.3667 24339081.43 3480488645 497709876230.23 71172512300923.40 10177669259032000 1455406704041580000 208123158677946000000.00 29761611690946300000000.00 4255910471805320000000000.00
DICIEMBRE n.d 1183.6 170433.6 24542438.4 3534111130 508912002662.40 73283328383385.60 10552799287207500 1519603097357880000 218822846019535000000.00 31510489826813100000000.00 4537510535061080000000000.00
ENERO 1332 1208.9 175285.6667 25416421.67 3685381142 534380265541.67 77485138503541.70 11235345083013500 1629125037036960000 236223130370360000000.00 34252353903702200000000.00 4966591316036810000000000.00
FEBRERO 1161 1204.6 175871.6 25677253.6 3748879026 547336337737.60 79911105309689.60 11667021375214700 1703385120781340000 248694227634076000000.00 36309357234575100000000.00 5301166156247970000000000.00
MARZO 3032 1275.0 187425 27551475 4050066825 595359823275.00 87517894021425.00 12865130421149500 1891174171908970000 278002603270619000000.00 40866382680781000000000.00 6007358254074810000000000.00
ABRIL 4989 1422.1 210465.8667 31148948.27 4610044343 682286562833.07 100978411299294.00 14944804872295500 2211831121099730000 327351005922760000000.00 48447948876568500000000.00 7170296433732140000000000.00
MAYO 3616 1486.7 221523.2667 33006966.73 4918038043 732787668446.73 109185362598563.00 16268619027185900 2424024235050700000 361179611022555000000.00 53815762042360700000000.00 8018548544311740000000000.00
JUNIO 2398 1540.3 231045 34656750 5198512500 779776875000.00 116966531250000.00 17544979687500000 2631746953125000000 394762042968750000000.00 59214306445312500000000.00 8882145966796870000000000.00
JULIO 2927 1615.4 243930.4333 36833495.43 5561857810 839840529375.43 126815919935690.00 19149203910289300 2891529790453680000 436620998358505000000.00 65929770752134300000000.00 9955395383572280000000000.00
AGOSTO 743 1633.8 248342.6667 37748085.33 5737708971 872131763541.33 132564028058283.00 20149732264859000 3062759304258560000 465539414247302000000.00 70761990965589800000000.00 10755822626769700000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 106 1634.4 250058.1 38258889.3 5853610063 895602339623.70 137027157962426.00 20965155168251200 3207668740742430000 490773317333592000000.00 75088317552039600000000.00 11488512585462100000000000.00
OCTUBRE 140 1625.4 250311.6 38547986.4 5936389906 914204045462.40 140787423001210.00 21681263142186300 3338914523896690000 514192836680090000000.00 79185696848733800000000.00 12194597314705000000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 0 1618.9 250924.3333 38893271.67 6028457108 934410851791.67 144833682027708.00 22449220714294800 3479629210715690000 539342527660932000000.00 83598091787444500000000.00 12957704227053900000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 0 1618.9 252543.2 39396739.2 6145891315 958759045171.20 149566411046707.00 23332360123286300 3639848179232670000 567816315960296000000.00 88579345289806200000000.00 13818377865209800000000000.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 43

 ECONOMETRÍA

ENERO 0 1617.1 253879.4667 39859076.27 6257874974 982486370897.07 154250360230839.00 24217306556241800 3802117129329960000 596932389304804000000.00 93718385120854200000000.00 14713786463974100000000000.00
FEBRERO 300 1524.5 240871 38057618 6013103644 950070375752.00 150111119368816.00 23717556860272900 3747373983923120000 592085089459853000000.00 93549444134656800000000.00 14780812173275800000000000.00
MARZO 1629 1459.2 232018.1 36890877.9 5865649586 932638284189.90 148289487186194.00 23578028462604900 3748906525554170000 596076137563114000000.00 94776105872535000000000.00 15069400833733100000000000.00
ABRIL 251 1411.1 225781.3333 36125013.33 5780002133 924800341333.33 147968054613333.00 23674888738133300 3787982198101330000 606077151696213000000.00 96972344271394100000000.00 15515575083423100000000000.00
MAYO 1114 1436.2 231228.2 37227740.2 5993666172 964980253724.20 155361820849596.00 25013253156785000 4027133758242380000 648368535077024000000.00 104387334147401000000000.00 16806360797731500000000000.00
JUNIO 415 1430.9 231811.2 37553414.4 6083653133 985551807513.60 159659392817203.00 25864821636386900 4190101105094680000 678796379025338000000.00 109965013402105000000000.00 17814332171141000000000000.00
JULIO 981 1463.6 238572.2333 38887274.03 6338625667 1033195983791.63 168410945358036.00 27450984093359900 4474510407217670000 729345196376479000000.00 118883267009366000000000.00 19377972522526700000000000.00
AGOSTO 1165 1497.4 245579.0667 40274966.93 6605094577 1083235510638.93 177650623744785.00 29134702294144800 4778091176239740000 783606952903317000000.00 128511540276144000000000.00 21075892605287600000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 423 1508.2 248853 41060745 6775022925 1117878782625.00 184449999133125.00 30434249856965600 5021651226399330000 828572452355889000000.00 136714454638722000000000.00 22557885015389100000000000.00
OCTUBRE 326 1480.5 245763 40796658 6772245228 1124192707848.00 186615989502768.00 30978254257459500 5142390206738280000 853636774318554000000.00 141703704536880000000000.00 23522814953122100000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 200 1409.4 235369.8 39306756.6 6564228352 1096226134817.40 183069764514506.00 30572650673922500 5105632662545050000 852640654645024000000.00 142390989325719000000000.00 23779295217395100000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 300 1298.1 218075.2 36636633.6 6154954445 1034032346726.40 173717434250035.00 29184528954005900 4903000864272990000 823704145197863000000.00 138382296393241000000000.00 23248225794064500000000000.00
ENERO 705 1293.5 218607.1333 36944605.53 6243638335 1055174878637.53 178324554489743.00 30136849708766600 5093127600781550000 860738564532083000000.00 145464817405922000000000.00 24583554141600800000000000.00
FEBRERO 252 1234.9 209938.6667 35689573.33 6067227467 1031428669333.33 175342873786667.00 29808288543733300 5067409052434670000 861459538913893000000.00 146448121615362000000000.00 24896180674611500000000000.00
MARZO 1270 1210.7 207035.4 35403053.4 6053922131 1035220684469.40 177022737044267.00 30270888034569700 5176321853911420000 885151037018853000000.00 151360827330224000000000.00 25882701473468300000000000.00
ABRIL 885 1127.8 193981.6 33364835.2 5738751654 987065284556.80 169775228943770.00 29201339378328400 5022630373072480000 863892424168467000000.00 148589496956976000000000.00 25557393476599900000000000.00
MAYO 890 1051.7 181938.3333 31475331.67 5445232378 942025201451.67 162970359851138.00 28193872254246900 4877539899984720000 843814402697357000000.00 145979891666643000000000.00 25254521258329200000000000.00
JUNIO 992 1084.7 188743.6 32841386.4 5714401234 994305814646.40 173009211748474.00 30103602844234400 5238026894896790000 911416679712041000000.00 158586502269895000000000.00 27594051394961800000000000.00
JULIO 997 1073.6 187874.1667 32877979.17 5753646354 1006888111979.17 176205419596354.00 30835948429362000 5396290975138350000 944350920649211000000.00 165261411113612000000000.00 28920746944882100000000000.00
AGOSTO 1315 1078.7 189851.2 33413811.2 5880830771 1035026215731.20 182164613968691.00 32060972058489700 5642731082294180000 993120670483775000000.00 174789238005144000000000.00 30762905888905400000000000.00
SETIEMBRE 1362 1023.0 181076.9 32050611.3 5672958200 1004113601417.70 177728107450933.00 31457875018815100 5568043878330280000 985543766464459000000.00 174441246664209000000000.00 30876100659565000000000000.00
OCTUBRE 1006 890.3 158467.4667 28207209.07 5020883214 893717212068.27 159081663748151.00 28316536147171000 5040343434196430000 897181131286965000000.00 159698241369080000000000.00 28426286963696200000000000.00
NOVIEMBRE 684 792.5 141863.4667 25393560.53 4545447335 813635073048.53 145640678075687.00 26069681375548100 4666472966223100000 835298660953935000000.00 149518460310754000000000.00 26763804395625000000000000.00
DICIEMBRE 704 736.1 132492 23848560 4292740800 772693344000.00 139084801920000.00 25035264345600000 4506347582208000000 811142564797440000000.00 146005661663539000000000.00 26281019099437100000000000.00
TOTAL 175711 164341.8 19143006.2 2439908463 333556247907.20 48030093302030.00 7181391822565750.00 1103547054887550000 173050338598180000000 27557408278166700000000.00 4441476389164780000000000.00 722787925861690000000000000.00

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 44

 ECONOMETRÍA

8. Medidas De Dispersión.

Una vez obtenido los valores de nuestra ecuación procederemos a analizar a los mismos con las medidas de dispersión para ver cuánto se alejan del centro
los valores de distribución.

y a+ bx + cx² + dx³ + ex⁴ + fx⁵ + gx⁶ hx7 ix8 jx9 kx10

a b c d e f g h i j k
431.11054 -246.179 37.36857377075 -2.4074635971 0.0804450419 -0.0015523585 0.00001837341 -0.000000135914049352 0.000000000613846063 -0.00000000000154955656046880 0.000000000000001675989

AÑO N (X) MES Y Ŷ ESTIMADA (X-Ẋ)² (Y-Ȳ)² Y² (Y-Ŷ)² (X-Ẋ) (Y-Ȳ) (Ŷ-Ȳ)² X² XY
1 ENERO 11 219.9710697 813622.1236 817496.7599 121 43668.90797 815557.1408 483281.0782 121 2419.681767
2 FEBRERO 5.5 70.20474719 823574.4841 827472.7179 30.25 4186.704308 825521.3 713941.3931 30.25 386.1261095
3 MARZO 3.7 -29.9603615 826905.3821 830811.4817 13.44444444 1130.777023 828856.1309 893243.5649 13.44444444 -109.8546588
4 ABRIL 2.8 -90.71052991 828573.3519 832483.3844 7.5625 8734.870651 830526.0672 1011766.016 7.5625 -249.4539573
5 MAYO 2.2 -120.8017892 829574.9404 833487.3327 4.84 15129.44015 831528.8356 1073207.037 4.84 -265.7639363
6 JUNIO 3.0 -127.7040579 828118.2844 832027.2443 9 17083.55075 830070.4633 1087555.587 9 -383.1121736
7 JULIO 2.6 -117.7345849 828898.4767 832809.2753 6.612244898 14473.53687 830851.575 1066861.461 6.612244898 -302.7460754
8 AGOSTO 2.25 -96.18128565 829483.8619 833396.0397 5.0625 9688.717995 831437.6498 1022801.637 5.0625 -216.4078927
9 SETIEMBRE 2.0 -67.41652848 829939.3045 833852.5548 4 4818.654426 831893.6286 965447.3474 4 -134.833057
10 OCTUBRE 3.2 -35.0019067 827754.3204 831662.4222 10.24 1459.385676 829706.0703 902798.6684 10.24 -112.0061014
11 NOVIEMBRE 4.5 -1.784512212 825307.9145 829210.2437 20.66115702 40.06847915 827256.7781 840778.5719 20.66115702 -8.111419144
12 DICIEMBRE 4.2 30.01479572 825996.2887 829900.2431 17.36111111 668.1257757 827945.9649 783473.6667 17.36111111 125.0616488
13 ENERO 5.6 58.72065153 823365.0721 827262.8108 31.53254438 2820.169374 825311.6404 733480.2629 31.53254438 329.7390432
14 FEBRERO 8.9 83.1295193 817492.4728 821376.3029 78.44897959 5516.385903 819432.0869 692266.8568 78.44897959 736.2900281
15 MARZO 8.9 102.4426675 817354.7029 821238.2061 79.80444444 8743.995578 819294.1535 660501.7811 79.80444444 915.1544964
16 ABRIL 8.4 116.2053646 818364.567 822250.4657 70.140625 11627.38754 820305.2153 638320.958 70.140625 973.2199288
17 MAYO 7.9 124.2518961 819256.1413 823144.1537 62.13148789 13541.87057 821197.8465 625528.1535 62.13148789 979.3972986
18 JUNIO 7.4 126.6560201 820049.0593 823938.9505 55.41975309 14211.39978 821991.7039 621731.0737 55.41975309 942.8837054
19 JULIO 7.1 123.6864972 820758.8373 824650.4096 49.73961219 13603.45862 822702.3224 626422.8249 49.73961219 872.3152963
20 AGOSTO 6.7 115.7673446 821397.9 825290.9852 44.89 11895.68567 823342.1416 639021.0619 44.89 775.6412091
21 SETIEMBRE 6.4 103.4424829 821976.3139 825870.768 40.71655329 9420.940702 823921.24 658877.6556 40.71655329 660.0615574
22 OCTUBRE 6.1 87.34445758 822502.3214 826398.0199 37.09917355 6602.139142 824447.8697 685270.7481 37.09917355 532.0071507
23 NOVIEMBRE 5.8 68.16693457 822982.7361 826879.5708 33.94328922 3886.381282 824928.8524 717389.2475 33.94328922 397.1464884
24 DICIEMBRE 5.6 46.64068097 823423.2394 827321.1156 31.17361111 1685.705795 825369.8765 754317.5987 31.17361111 260.4104687
25 ENERO 5.4 23.51275949 823828.6066 827727.441 28.7296 329.522677 825775.7228 795026.3741 28.7296 126.0283909
26 FEBRERO 5.2 -0.471323012 824202.8801 828102.5991 26.56213018 31.64252815 826150.4386 838372.0655 26.56213018 -2.429126295
27 MARZO 5.0 -24.58275854 824549.5056 828450.0435 24.63100137 872.9496591 826497.4735 883107.5702 24.63100137 -122.0033202
28 ABRIL 4.8 -48.12210496 824871.4373 828772.7356 22.90306122 2799.237337 826819.7855 927903.3092 22.90306122 -230.2986452
29 MAYO 4.6 -70.42969706 825171.2233 829073.2297 21.35077289 5632.560546 827119.9255 971377.7356 21.35077289 -325.4337726
30 JUNIO 4.5 -90.89400951 825451.0727 829353.7399 19.95111111 9093.65856 827400.1053 1012135.161 19.95111111 -405.9932425
31 JULIO 4.1 -108.9581677 826117.4723 830021.7127 16.81 12782.14928 828067.2915 1048808.342 16.81 -446.7284875
32 AGOSTO 4.1 -124.124791 826117.4723 830021.7127 16.81 16441.59703 828067.2915 1080103.054 16.81 -508.9116432
33 SETIEMBRE 4.1 -135.9593427 826117.4723 830021.7127 16.81 19616.61946 828067.2915 1104841.938 16.81 -557.4333049
34 OCTUBRE 4.1 -144.0921481 826117.4723 830021.7127 16.81 21960.91275 828067.2915 1122005.102 16.81 -590.7778071
35 NOVIEMBRE 4.1 -148.2192359 826117.4723 830021.7127 16.81 23201.14962 828067.2915 1130765.349 16.81 -607.6988671
36 DICIEMBRE 3.9 -148.1021434 826541.6847 830446.9262 14.95111111 23094.51922 828492.0045 1130516.336 14.95111111 -572.661621
37 ENERO 3.9 -143.5668202 826541.6847 830446.9262 14.95111111 21736.63306 828492.0045 1120892.473 14.95111111 -555.1250383
38 FEBRERO 3.9 -134.5017551 826541.6847 830446.9262 14.95111111 19145.82015 828492.0045 1101779.879 14.95111111 -520.0734531
39 MARZO 3.9 -120.8554396 826541.6847 830446.9262 14.95111111 15555.60379 828492.0045 1073318.199 14.95111111 -467.3076997
40 ABRIL 3.4 -102.6332775 827390.4363 831297.6801 11.56 11243.05595 829341.7572 1035893.536 11.56 -348.9531436
41 MAYO 2.8 -79.8940381 828482.3284 832392.1464 7.84 6838.303938 830434.9364 990123.1339 7.84 -223.7033067
42 JUNIO 2.8 -52.74594362 828482.3284 832392.1464 7.84 3085.351852 830434.9364 936832.7675 7.84 -147.6886421
43 JULIO 2.0 -21.34247614 829878.5716 833791.6789 4.134444444 546.4284685 831832.8242 877028.0364 4.134444444 -43.39636815
44 AGOSTO 0.3 14.12202088 832978.7824 836899.1835 0.111111111 190.1279042 834936.682 811860.9236 0.111111111 4.707340293
45 SETIEMBRE 0 53.4168761 833587.3446 837509.1759 0 2853.362652 835545.9593 742593.0668 0 0
46 OCTUBRE 0 96.27969571 833587.3446 837509.1759 0 9269.779805 835545.9593 670557.2131 0 0
47 NOVIEMBRE 0 142.4209837 833587.3446 837509.1759 0 20283.73661 835545.9593 597118.2837 0 0
48 DICIEMBRE 0 191.5287261 833587.3446 837509.1759 0 36683.25292 835545.9593 523635.3812 0 0

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 45

 ECONOMETRÍA

49 ENERO 4.6 243.2728929 825148.2527 829050.2048 21.46777778 56948.83939 827096.9277 451425.9343 21.46777778
50 FEBRERO 32.0 297.3098188 776237.4368 780022.1165 1021.867778 70406.9884 778127.4756 381733.0067 1021.867778
51 MARZO 136.1 353.2864263 603641.0152 606979.0584 18514.13778 47184.42397 605307.7358 315696.6023 18514.13778
52 ABRIL 191.4 410.844261 520721.0589 523821.697 36633.96 48155.78369 522269.0769 254329.598 36633.96
53 MAYO 231.4 469.6233145 464592.2552 467521.275 53545.96 56750.34756 466054.4641 198498.7272 53545.96
54 JUNIO 308.2 529.2656109 365754.8725 368354.2423 95007.78778 48855.26772 367052.2564 148910.8323 95007.78778
55 JULIO 520.9 589.4185417 153776.4302 155463.506 271302.0844 4699.359571 154617.6671 106104.4189 271302.0844
56 AGOSTO 600.9 649.7379333 97433.48945 98777.32883 361040.7511 2388.400706 98103.10814 70446.36484 361040.7511
57 SETIEMBRE 676.5 709.8908377 55952.77045 56972.25137 457607.1511 1117.175212 56460.20991 42133.48888 457607.1511
58 OCTUBRE 731.7 769.5580387 32885.42134 33668.0691 535336.1111 1435.756076 33274.44422 21198.55498 535336.1111
59 NOVIEMBRE 816.8 828.4362697 9249.960117 9667.204059 667216.6944 134.6281325 9456.281087 7520.185743 667216.6944
60 DICIEMBRE 947.3 886.2401417 1175.800925 1033.283396 897377.29 3728.306294 1102.241159 836.0848874 897377.29
61 ENERO 983.5 942.7037827 4968.833572 4671.001543 967272.25 1664.331346 4817.616556 758.9203199 967272.25
62 FEBRERO 1013 997.5821918 9997.990841 9573.590364 1026169 237.708809 9783.489601 6794.196746 1026169
63 MARZO 1046.7 1050.652314 17864.09217 17295.24634 1095511.111 15.88538802 17577.36825 18359.4479 1095511.111
64 ABRIL 1106.3 1101.713845 37361.0062 36536.3062 1223899.69 21.03281364 36946.3552 34804.1005 1223899.69
65 MAYO 1159.0 1150.589771 60494.6591 59443.99509 1343203.734 70.17238603 59967.02609 55429.40214 1343203.734
66 JUNIO 1258.5 1197.126657 119363.3081 117885.6007 1583822.25 3766.687216 118622.1534 79507.86078 1583822.25
67 JULIO 1316.8 1241.194704 163073.2471 161345.2632 1734050.028 5721.202197 162206.9542 106301.71 1734050.028
68 AGOSTO 1370.8 1282.687571 209541.1235 207581.7409 1879001.254 7757.927024 208559.1312 135079.9895 1879001.254
69 SETIEMBRE 1400.9 1321.521993 238069.134 235980.3227 1962614.204 6306.160941 237022.4274 165133.9103 1962614.204
70 OCTUBRE 1451.2 1357.637202 289648.4263 287343.948 2105981.44 8753.997098 288493.8862 195790.2568 2105981.44
71 NOVIEMBRE 1464.8 1390.994173 304472.153 302109.3246 2145639.04 5447.300117 303288.4378 226422.6575 2145639.04
72 DICIEMBRE 1513.4 1421.574702 360428.0716 357856.8701 2290278.668 8425.764748 359140.1698 256460.637 2290278.668
73 ENERO 1557.8 1449.380349 415711.0995 412949.4017 2426636.988 11747.59376 414327.9496 285396.431 2426636.988
74 FEBRERO 1590.9 1474.431248 459534.7893 456630.9344 2530962.81 13564.97029 458080.5609 312789.6144 2530962.81
75 MARZO 1652.5 1496.764806 546845.3916 543677.2446 2730756.25 24253.45058 545259.0171 338269.6477 2730756.25
76 ABRIL 1713.5 1516.434324 640837.5331 637407.5253 2936196.484 38848.0193 639120.2282 361536.4963 2936196.484
77 MAYO 1741.8 1533.50753 686948.0411 683396.6134 3033983.361 43399.64028 685170.0263 382359.5124 3033983.361
78 JUNIO 1766.2 1548.065064 727989.9775 724333.8627 3119580.188 47597.39377 726159.6191 400574.8019 3119580.188
79 JULIO 1794.7 1560.198925 777377.1745 773598.9247 3220948.09 54990.75409 775485.7486 416081.3117 3220948.09
80 AGOSTO 1785.7 1570.010896 761529.5771 757790.0844 3188605.444 46507.41149 759657.5297 428835.8852 3188605.444
81 SETIEMBRE 1716.6 1577.61096 645703.2421 642260.22 2946601.121 19308.68849 643979.43 438847.5353 2946601.121
82 OCTUBRE 1678.3 1583.115732 585617.695 582338.9973 2816579.004 9053.70039 583976.0451 446171.173 2816579.004
83 NOVIEMBRE 1673.1 1586.646913 577686.0662 574429.6788 2799152.071 7468.373738 576055.5715 450901.0216 2799152.071
84 DICIEMBRE 1637.2 1588.329787 524402.8108 521300.4508 2680314.694 2385.040858 522849.3298 453163.9241 2680314.694
85 ENERO 1467.5 1588.291761 307422.1439 305047.8742 2153458.418 14598.70352 306232.708 453112.7304 2153458.418
86 FEBRERO 1458.2 1586.66099 297232.0856 294897.5742 2126347.24 16502.22592 296062.5289 450919.9262 2126347.24
87 MARZO 1430.7 1583.565055 268002.8882 265786.3643 2046902.49 23367.72513 266892.3252 446771.6354 2046902.49
88 ABRIL 1397.1 1579.12975 234310.8117 232238.5902 1951795.271 33146.96631 233272.3999 440862.1045 1951795.271
89 MAYO 1346.1 1573.47795 187595.7818 185742.0874 1812074.951 51685.57462 186666.6336 433388.7451 1812074.951
90 JUNIO 1298.7 1566.728593 148756.7404 147106.5567 1686621.69 71839.32674 147929.3475 424547.7899 1686621.69
91 JULIO 1337.5 1558.995773 180191.7208 178375.0674 1788906.25 49060.37752 179281.0931 414530.5881 1788906.25
92 AGOSTO 1364.5 1550.387947 203873.2787 201940.64 1861951.218 34541.93748 202904.6584 403520.5488 1861951.218
93 SETIEMBRE 1366.7 1541.00727 205864.8212 203922.7435 1867960.004 30371.40488 204891.4813 391690.7202 1867960.004
94 OCTUBRE 1380.7 1530.949051 218702.7146 216700.8565 1906240.444 22584.79514 217699.4845 379201.9759 1906240.444
95 NOVIEMBRE 1411.7 1520.301347 248691.6699 246556.6647 1992896.89 11794.25259 247621.8663 366201.7695 1992896.89
96 DICIEMBRE 1369.1 1509.144674 207987.641 206035.5522 1874343.538 19621.84806 207009.2956 352823.4067 1874343.538

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 46

 ECONOMETRÍA

97 ENERO 1358.7 1497.551857 198669.2486 196761.4945 1846156.271 19270.58246 197713.0706 339185.7794 1846156.271 2034773.626
98 FEBRERO 1360.5 1485.588006 200247.2587 198331.9248 1850960.25 15647.00933 199287.2907 325393.5019 1850960.25 2021142.483
99 MARZO 1386.9 1473.310617 224571.6882 222543.0863 1923491.61 7466.794775 223555.0863 311537.387 1923491.61 2043334.495
100 ABRIL 1343.3 1460.769792 185149.4443 183307.9062 1804454.89 13799.15197 184226.3742 297695.2017 1804454.89 1962252.061
101 MAYO 1374.9 1448.008578 213373.1231 211395.8636 1890441.671 5339.991392 212382.1924 283932.6434 1890441.671 1990915.261
102 JUNIO 1349.1 1435.06342 190145.3762 188279.0965 1819980.871 7395.44155 189209.9353 270304.4798 1819980.871 1935996.224
103 JULIO 1360 1421.964708 199800.0187 197886.8301 1849600 3839.625037 198841.1234 256855.8022 1849600 1933872.003
104 AGOSTO 1392.5 1408.737428 229878.6508 227826.1654 1938963.418 264.7376758 228850.1071 243623.3426 1938963.418 1961619.911
105 SETIEMBRE 1392.3 1395.401892 229718.8597 227667.0893 1938499.29 9.621733086 228690.6735 230636.8138 1938499.29 1942818.054
106 OCTUBRE 1409.5 1381.974545 246502.2741 244376.7079 1986690.25 757.6506784 245437.19 217920.2315 1986690.25 1947893.121
107 NOVIEMBRE 1424.7 1368.468837 261792.4972 259601.859 2029675.111 3158.196064 260694.8771 205493.1862 2029675.111 1949611.936
108 DICIEMBRE 1407.0 1354.896144 244059.0081 241944.025 1979742.801 2718.286472 242999.2156 193372.0329 1979742.801 1906384.038
109 ENERO 1403.6 1341.266731 240711.2098 238610.8142 1970186.534 3889.593078 239658.711 181570.9737 1970186.534 1882646.693
110 FEBRERO 1453.3 1327.590735 291913.2341 289599.7459 2112080.89 15802.8194 290754.189 170103.009 2112080.89 1929387.615
111 MARZO 1466.9 1313.879163 306757.1559 304385.4606 2151697.818 23405.17615 305569.0072 158980.7398 2151697.818 1927285.549
112 ABRIL 1490.1 1300.14489 333032.8147 330561.4377 2220398.01 36082.94374 331794.8252 148217.0044 2220398.01 1937345.901
113 MAYO 1470.9 1286.403627 311204.0089 308815.1517 2163448.751 34026.61309 310007.2793 137825.3393 2163448.751 1892128.214
114 JUNIO 1436.6 1272.674865 274146.4396 271904.602 2063819.56 26871.44998 273023.2198 127820.2576 2063819.56 1828324.711
115 JULIO 1412.8 1258.982767 249756.6796 247617.0979 1995909.654 23649.48791 248684.5877 118217.3445 1995909.654 1778648.887
116 AGOSTO 1385 1245.356992 222774.5164 220754.0663 1918225 19500.16978 221761.9904 109033.1742 1918225 1724819.433
117 SETIEMBRE 1367.6 1231.833441 206621.7211 204676.068 1870238.588 18423.50864 205646.5936 100285.0611 1870238.588 1684614.352
118 OCTUBRE 1365.2 1218.454905 204505.9013 202570.2593 1863862.054 21543.90711 203535.7793 91990.66585 1863862.054 1663475.251
119 NOVIEMBRE 1386.9 1205.271602 224540.0967 222511.6378 1923399.151 32976.76745 223523.5662 84167.48375 1923399.151 1671551.009
120 DICIEMBRE 1330.2 1192.34159 174047.4575 172262.1244 1769432.04 19004.94121 173152.4899 76832.25366 1769432.04 1586052.783
121 ENERO 1277.6 1179.731034 132950.1414 131390.3433 1632346.934 9584.860163 132167.9414 70000.33281 1632346.934 1507263.694
122 FEBRERO 1227.5 1167.514328 98882.96609 97538.40586 1506674.418 3594.282964 98208.38497 63685.09181 1506674.418 1433084.92
123 MARZO 1194.6 1155.77404 79292.90202 78089.35477 1427069.16 1507.455155 78688.8274 57897.39054 1427069.16 1380687.668
124 ABRIL 1134.7 1144.600694 49131.65735 48185.25142 1287468.444 98.68489757 48656.15338 52645.20063 1287468.444 1298740.254
125 MAYO 1057.5 1134.092348 20877.34672 20262.02096 1118306.25 5866.387802 20567.38284 47933.44236 1118306.25 1199302.658
126 JUNIO 1000.6 1124.35399 7671.999989 7300.801165 1001200.36 15315.05008 7484.099575 43764.10274 1001200.36 1125028.603
127 JULIO 954.4 1115.496721 1713.128267 1540.148502 910879.36 25952.15349 1624.337383 40136.69527 910879.36 1064630.07
128 AGOSTO 1001.3 1107.636733 7789.231038 7415.17191 1002534.938 11314.59111 7599.900473 37049.11216 1002534.938 1109039.74
129 SETIEMBRE 1064.3 1100.894078 22878.5652 22234.20736 1132663.538 1341.567252 22554.08528 34498.90318 1132663.538 1171644.871
130 OCTUBRE 1114.1 1095.391213 40423.76459 39565.74205 1241144.538 348.772552 39992.45232 32484.9938 1241144.538 1220338.838
131 NOVIEMBRE 1080.9 1091.251349 28187.03655 27471.31413 1168344.81 107.1504201 27826.87434 31009.82745 1168344.81 1179533.583
132 DICIEMBRE 1077.3 1088.596572 26991.18889 26290.9121 1160575.29 127.6125493 26638.74949 30081.88394 1160575.29 1172745.088
133 ENERO 1022.0 1087.545784 11871.54512 11408.67356 1044415.868 4300.620595 11637.80834 29718.48777 1044415.868 1111435.539
134 FEBRERO 961.4 1088.212429 2341.587619 2138.574663 924289.96 16081.39213 2237.78014 29948.7788 924289.96 1046207.429
135 MARZO 903.3 1090.70206 94.28499919 140.5475267 815950.89 35119.53217 115.1152615 30816.67408 815950.89 985231.171
136 ABRIL 863.6 1095.109731 2438.059784 2654.510392 745862.5344 53581.32247 2543.984086 32383.60636 745862.5344 945773.267
137 MAYO 897.9 1101.517247 227.3072739 296.5952477 806284.2711 41446.40974 259.6502594 34730.78475 806284.2711 989089.053
138 JUNIO 1012.5 1109.990303 9898.250887 9475.995638 1025156.25 9504.359174 9684.822261 37960.68843 1025156.25 1123865.182
139 JULIO 1010.8 1120.575526 9569.395486 9154.290997 1021784.028 12043.34894 9359.54224 42197.48002 1021784.028 1132715.095
140 AGOSTO 1009.9 1133.297463 9381.204908 8970.24786 1019830.684 15235.16157 9173.425383 47586.01467 1019830.684 1144479.332
141 SETIEMBRE 1027.8 1148.155548 13184.38724 12696.34501 1056441.361 14477.43527 12938.06512 54289.12745 1056441.361 1180112.544
142 OCTUBRE 1100 1165.121093 34965.24278 34167.57265 1210000 4240.756749 34564.10672 62482.91055 1210000 1281633.202
143 NOVIEMBRE 1190.2 1184.134356 76852.75087 75667.93861 1416655.388 37.19753044 76258.04374 72349.74618 1416655.388 1409396.181
144 DICIEMBRE 1183.6 1205.101724 73200.88482 72044.6756 1400830.054 463.7586942 72620.47921 84068.94374 1400830.054 1426318.23
145 ENERO 1208.9 1227.893094 87531.13981 86266.38206 1461358.618 362.0049358 86896.45993 97804.9439 1461358.618 1484359.032
146 FEBRERO 1204.6 1252.339494 85024.7011 83778.24929 1451061.16 2279.059261 84399.17419 113693.1979 1451061.16 1508568.154
147 MARZO 1275 1278.231034 131036.7266 129488.2267 1625625 10.43958251 130260.1756 131824.0075 1625625 1629744.569
148 ABRIL 1422.1 1305.315262 259138.6427 256959.1598 2022273.604 13630.89042 258046.6003 152224.8163 2022273.604 1856245.324
149 MAYO 1486.7 1333.296003 329158.4101 326701.4777 2210376.004 23543.01442 327927.6429 174841.6688 2210376.004 1982255.61
150 JUNIO 1540.3 1361.832785 393492.686 390805.9282 2372524.09 31850.54673 392147.0061 199520.7989 2372524.09 2097631.039
151 JULIO 1615.4 1390.540956 493398.4742 490389.3601 2609624.854 50576.58149 491891.6161 225991.5462 2609624.854 2246326.211
152 AGOSTO 1633.8 1418.992583 519586.2111 516498.1527 2669411.361 46156.54785 518039.8809 253852.0341 2669411.361 2318397.382
153 SETIEMBRE 1634.4 1446.718281 520355.3737 517265.027 2671154.401 35211.91655 518807.8994 282559.2304 2671154.401 2364468.135
154 OCTUBRE 1625.4 1473.210068 507499.4461 504447.5705 2641925.16 23161.77544 505971.2073 311425.1527 2641925.16 2394555.644
155 NOVIEMBRE 1618.9 1497.925406 498233.5685 495209.7239 2620729.284 14626.78853 496719.3452 339621.0265 2620729.284 2424941.509
156 DICIEMBRE 1618.9 1520.292565 498233.5685 495209.7239 2620729.284 9716.853567 496719.3452 366191.1404 2620729.284 2461150.957

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 47

 ECONOMETRÍA

157 ENERO 1617.1 1539.717461 495695.7247 492679.6029 2614904.604 5982.899674 494185.3628 390077.9247 2614904.604 2489825.782
158 FEBRERO 1524.5 1555.592144 373919.9635 371300.9948 2324100.25 966.7213892 372608.1782 410159.3836 2324100.25 2371500.223
159 MARZO 1459.2 1567.305105 298359.8793 296020.9344 2129361.921 11679.50785 297188.1059 425299.4019 2129361.921 2287063.853
160 ABRIL 1411.1 1574.253597 248126.8091 245994.2351 1991297.284 26608.22036 247058.2211 434410.5989 1991297.284 2221481.726
161 MAYO 1436.2 1575.858156 273727.7277 271487.6063 2062670.44 19504.40067 272605.366 436528.2986 2062670.44 2263247.484
162 JUNIO 1430.9 1571.579555 268244.5312 266027.0063 2047570.204 19781.35972 267133.4678 430892.8366 2047570.204 2248825.571
163 JULIO 1463.6 1560.938388 303186.0042 300828.1813 2142222.534 9468.273575 302004.7918 417035.8295 2142222.534 2284641.455
164 AGOSTO 1497.4 1543.537541 341550.5784 339047.7381 2242306.588 2125.59795 340296.8573 394864.273 2242306.588 2311344.565
165 SETIEMBRE 1508.2 1519.087793 354251.081 351702.0468 2274667.24 118.544029 352974.2629 364734.4868 2274667.24 2291088.209
166 OCTUBRE 1480.5 1487.436799 322044.8475 319614.659 2191880.25 48.11917852 320827.4523 327506.1435 2191880.25 2202150.181
167 NOVIEMBRE 1409.4 1448.601748 246402.9861 244277.849 1986408.36 1536.777059 245338.1165 284565.1406 1986408.36 2041659.304
168 DICIEMBRE 1298.1 1402.805975 148268.6009 146621.1345 1684977.071 10970.32272 147442.5667 237803.206 1684977.071 1820935.676
169 ENERO 1293.5 1350.519834 144797.972 143169.9556 1673228.484 3247.461299 143981.6628 189542.3002 1673228.484 1746942.423
170 FEBRERO 1234.9 1292.50616 103634.6027 102258.0071 1525060.338 3314.630421 102944.0039 142393.6913 1525060.338 1596158.941
171 MARZO 1210.7 1229.870645 88639.15564 87366.38903 1465875.204 366.2367161 88000.47134 99045.76491 1465875.204 1489045.386
172 ABRIL 1127.8 1164.11749 46134.72421 45217.7794 1271932.84 1318.960075 45673.95081 61982.18486 1271932.84 1312891.705
173 MAYO 1051.7 1097.210694 19225.65837 18635.36027 1106002.778 2074.258434 18928.20832 33144.17591 1106002.778 1153899.913
174 JUNIO 1084.7 1031.641377 29488.88731 28756.71813 1176646.404 2818.755878 29120.50172 13569.01203 1176646.404 1119055.789
175 JULIO 1073.6 970.5015233 25778.42834 25094.16926 1152545.388 10622.42378 25433.9978 3063.207288 1152545.388 1041898.085
176 AGOSTO 1078.7 917.5645886 27453.16076 26746.87733 1163593.69 25964.6208 27097.71804 5.804795912 1163593.69 989776.9217
177 SETIEMBRE 1023.0 877.3733892 12105.12369 11637.67564 1046597.201 21216.81932 11869.09866 1427.470834 1046597.201 897582.223
178 OCTUBRE 890.3 855.3357458 517.2613172 619.4427857 792574.7378 1220.169231 566.0510501 3578.375977 792574.7378 761476.9033
179 NOVIEMBRE 792.5 857.8283592 14514.63837 15036.14039 628109.0844 4263.4404 14773.08838 3286.375187 628109.0844 679857.5689
180 DICIEMBRE 736.1 892.3094095 31308.9596 32072.72935 541794.1378 24411.79468 31688.54347 521.9335359 541794.1378 656799.2127
TOTAL 16290 164341.8083 164727.9494 70378529.02 70379357.38 220424251.1 2693450.922 70378529.02 67912756.98 220424251.1 218197604.4

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 48

 ECONOMETRÍA

X MEDIA DESV.ESTAN. X COVARIANZA

913.01 627.0375904 376662.954

Y MEDIA DESV.ESTAN. Y CORRELACION

915.16 615.9552557 0.980685242
 Para encontrar la media usamos la siguiente fórmula:
=PROMEDIO (G11:G190)
 En la desviación estándar la siguiente fórmula:
=I194
 En el caso de covarianza aplicamos la siguiente fórmula:
=K194
 En el caso de correlación es la fórmula:
=K197

CON FORMULA DE EXCEL A

CORRELACION Ŷ-Y 0.980685242

 Se empleó la siguiente formula

=I202

CON FORMULA DE EXCEL B

CORRELACION X-Y 0.980685242

CON FORMULA DE EXCEL A₁

CORRELACION 0.97523699

Sxy
r¿ ( Sx)( Sy)

CON FORMULA DE EXCEL A2

CORRELACION 0.980678098

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 49

 ECONOMETRÍA

Se aplicó esta fórmula para obtener el dato adquirido.

r¿ √ ¿ ¿)

9. Predicciones
o Para encontrar la dispersión obtennos los siguientes datos:
a) La y estimada: =SUMA(E$6,F$6*E11,(POTENCIA(E11,2)*G$6),
(POTENCIA(E11,3)*H$6),(POTENCIA(E11,4)*I$6),(POTENCIA(E11,5)*J$6),
(POTENCIA(E11,6)*K$6),(POTENCIA(E11,7)*L$6),(POTENCIA(E11,8)*M$6),
(POTENCIA(E11,9)*N$6),(POTENCIA(E11,10)*O$6))
b) (Ŷ) MAX=K11+(T$20*Q$23)*RCUAD((1/180)+(J11-Q$20)/N$191)
c) (Ŷ) MIN=K11-(T$20*Q$23)*RCUAD((1/180)+(J11-Q$20)/N$191)
d) (Ŷ) MAX-(Y)=(L11-K11)

AÑO N (X) MES MEDIA MOVIL X (Y) Ŷ ESTIMADA (Ŷ) MAX (Ŷ) MIN X² (Ŷ) MAX-(Y)

1 ENERO 11 219.9710697 234.8544706 205.0876688 121 14.88340087

2 FEBRERO 5.5 70.20474719 85.0881146 55.32137977 30.25 14.88336742

3 MARZO 3.666666667 -29.9603615 -15.07700523 -44.84371777 13.44444444 14.88335627

4 ABRIL 2.75 -90.71052991 -75.82717921 -105.5938806 7.5625 14.88335069

5 MAYO 2.2 -120.8017892 -105.9184419 -135.6851366 4.84 14.88334735

6 JUNIO 3 -127.7040579 -112.8207057 -142.5874101 9 14.88335222

1999
7 JULIO 2.571428571 -117.7345849 -102.8512353 -132.6179345 6.612244898 14.88334961

8 AGOSTO 2.25 -96.18128565 -81.297938 -111.0646333 5.0625 14.88334765

9 SETIEMBRE 2 -67.41652848 -52.53318234 -82.29987461 4 14.88334613

10 OCTUBRE 3.2 -35.0019067 -20.11855327 -49.88526013 10.24 14.88335343

11 NOVIEMBRE 4.545454545 -1.784512212 13.0988494 -16.66787383 20.66115702 14.88336161

12 DICIEMBRE 4.166666667 30.01479572 44.89815503 15.13143641 17.36111111 14.88335931

13 ENERO 5.615384615 58.72065153 73.60401965 43.83728341 31.53254438 14.88336812

14 FEBRERO 8.857142857 83.1295193 98.01290714 68.24613147 78.44897959 14.88338784

15 MARZO 8.933333333 102.4426675 117.3260558 87.55927921 79.80444444 14.8833883

16 ABRIL 8.375 116.2053646 131.0887495 101.3219797 70.140625 14.8833849

17 MAYO 7.882352941 124.2518961 139.135278 109.3685142 62.13148789 14.88338191

18 JUNIO 7.444444444 126.6560201 141.5393994 111.7726409 55.41975309 14.88337924

2000
19 JULIO 7.052631579 123.6864972 138.5698741 108.8031204 49.73961219 14.88337686

20 AGOSTO 6.7 115.7673446 130.6507194 100.8839699 44.89 14.88337472

21 SETIEMBRE 6.380952381 103.4424829 118.3258557 88.5591101 40.71655329 14.88337278

22 OCTUBRE 6.090909091 87.34445758 102.2278286 72.46108657 37.09917355 14.88337101

23 NOVIEMBRE 5.826086957 68.16693457 83.05030398 53.28356517 33.94328922 14.8833694

24 DICIEMBRE 5.583333333 46.64068097 61.52404889 31.75731304 31.17361111 14.88336793

25 ENERO 5.36 23.51275949 38.39612606 8.629392921 28.7296 14.88336657

2001
26 FEBRERO 5.153846154 -0.471323012 14.4120423 -15.35468833 26.56213018 14.88336531

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 50

 ECONOMETRÍA

27 MARZO 4.962962963 -24.58275854 -9.699394387 -39.46612269 24.63100137 14.88336415

28 ABRIL 4.785714286 -48.12210496 -33.23874188 -63.00546803 22.90306122 14.88336307

29 MAYO 4.620689655 -70.42969706 -55.54633499 -85.31305913 21.35077289 14.88336207

30 JUNIO 4.466666667 -90.89400951 -76.01064837 -105.7773706 19.95111111 14.88336113

31 JULIO 4.1 -108.9581677 -94.07480877 -123.8415266 16.81 14.8833589

32 AGOSTO 4.1 -124.124791 -109.2414321 -139.0081499 16.81 14.8833589

33 SETIEMBRE 4.1 -135.9593427 -121.0759837 -150.8427016 16.81 14.8833589

34 OCTUBRE 4.1 -144.0921481 -129.2087892 -158.975507 16.81 14.8833589

35 NOVIEMBRE 4.1 -148.2192359 -133.335877 -163.1025948 16.81 14.8833589

36 DICIEMBRE 3.866666667 -148.1021434 -133.2187859 -162.9855008 14.95111111 14.88335749

37 ENERO 3.866666667 -143.5668202 -128.6834628 -158.4501777 14.95111111 14.88335749

38 FEBRERO 3.866666667 -134.5017551 -119.6183976 -149.3851126 14.95111111 14.88335749

39 MARZO 3.866666667 -120.8554396 -105.9720821 -135.7387971 14.95111111 14.88335749

40 ABRIL 3.4 -102.6332775 -87.74992289 -117.5166322 11.56 14.88335465

41 MAYO 2.8 -79.8940381 -65.01068711 -94.7773891 7.84 14.883351

42 JUNIO 2.8 -52.74594362 -37.86259262 -67.62929461 7.84 14.883351

2002
43 JULIO 2.033333333 -21.34247614 -6.459129802 -36.22582247 4.134444444 14.88334634

44 AGOSTO 0.333333333 14.12202088 29.00535688 -0.76131512 0.111111111 14.883336

45 SETIEMBRE 0 53.4168761 68.30021007 38.53354213 0 14.88333397

46 OCTUBRE 0 96.27969571 111.1630297 81.39636174 0 14.88333397

47 NOVIEMBRE 0 142.4209837 157.3043177 127.5376498 0 14.88333397

48 DICIEMBRE 0 191.5287261 206.4120601 176.6453921 0 14.88333397

49 ENERO 4.633333333 243.2728929 258.1562551 228.3895308 21.46777778 14.88336215

50 FEBRERO 31.96666667 297.3098188 312.1933472 282.4262905 1021.867778 14.88352837

51 MARZO 136.0666667 353.2864263 368.1705877 338.4022648 18514.13778 14.88416143

52 ABRIL 191.4 410.844261 425.7287589 395.9597631 36633.96 14.88449792

53 MAYO 231.4 469.6233145 484.5080556 454.7385733 53545.96 14.88474115

54 JUNIO 308.2333333 529.2656109 544.1508192 514.3804025 95007.78778 14.88520836

2003
55 JULIO 520.8666667 589.4185417 604.305043 574.5320404 271302.0844 14.88650126

56 AGOSTO 600.8666667 649.7379333 664.624921 634.8509457 361040.7511 14.88698767

57 SETIEMBRE 676.4666667 709.8908377 724.7782851 695.0033904 457607.1511 14.88744731

58 OCTUBRE 731.6666667 769.5580387 784.4458216 754.6702558 535336.1111 14.88778291

59 NOVIEMBRE 816.8333333 828.4362697 843.3245704 813.547969 667216.6944 14.88830068

60 DICIEMBRE 947.3 886.2401417 901.1292355 871.3510479 897377.29 14.88909383

61 ENERO 983.5 942.7037827 957.5930966 927.8144688 967272.25 14.88931389

62 FEBRERO 1013 997.5821918 1012.471685 982.6926986 1026169 14.88949322

63 MARZO 1046.666667 1050.652314 1065.542012 1035.762617 1095511.111 14.88969787

64 ABRIL 1106.3 1101.713845 1116.603906 1086.823785 1223899.69 14.89006037

65 MAYO 1158.966667 1150.589771 1165.480151 1135.69939 1343203.734 14.89038052

66 JUNIO 1258.5 1197.126657 1212.017643 1182.235672 1583822.25 14.89098552

2004
67 JULIO 1316.833333 1241.194704 1256.086044 1226.303364 1734050.028 14.89134009

68 AGOSTO 1370.766667 1282.687571 1297.579239 1267.795903 1879001.254 14.8916679

69 SETIEMBRE 1400.933333 1321.521993 1336.413844 1306.630142 1962614.204 14.89185126

70 OCTUBRE 1451.2 1357.637202 1372.529359 1342.745046 2105981.44 14.89215677

71 NOVIEMBRE 1464.8 1390.994173 1405.886412 1376.101933 2145639.04 14.89223943

72 DICIEMBRE 1513.366667 1421.574702 1436.467237 1406.682168 2290278.668 14.89253461

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 51

 ECONOMETRÍA

73 ENERO 1557.766667 1449.380349 1464.273154 1434.487545 2426636.988 14.89280446

74 FEBRERO 1590.9 1474.431248 1489.324253 1459.538242 2530962.81 14.89300583

75 MARZO 1652.5 1496.764806 1511.658186 1481.871426 2730756.25 14.8933802

76 ABRIL 1713.533333 1516.434324 1531.328076 1501.540573 2936196.484 14.89375111

77 MAYO 1741.833333 1533.50753 1548.401453 1518.613607 3033983.361 14.8939231

78 JUNIO 1766.233333 1548.065064 1562.959135 1533.170993 3119580.188 14.89407138

2005
79 JULIO 1794.7 1560.198925 1575.09317 1545.304681 3220948.09 14.89424437

80 AGOSTO 1785.666667 1570.010896 1584.905085 1555.116706 3188605.444 14.89418948

81 SETIEMBRE 1716.566667 1577.61096 1592.504729 1562.71719 2946601.121 14.89376955

82 OCTUBRE 1678.266667 1583.115732 1598.009269 1568.222195 2816579.004 14.89353679

83 NOVIEMBRE 1673.066667 1586.646913 1601.540419 1571.753408 2799152.071 14.89350519

84 DICIEMBRE 1637.166667 1588.329787 1603.223074 1573.4365 2680314.694 14.89328701

85 ENERO 1467.466667 1588.291761 1603.184017 1573.399506 2153458.418 14.89225564

86 FEBRERO 1458.2 1586.66099 1601.553189 1571.768791 2126347.24 14.89219932

87 MARZO 1430.7 1583.565055 1598.457087 1568.673023 2046902.49 14.89203218

88 ABRIL 1397.066667 1579.12975 1594.021578 1564.237922 1951795.271 14.89182776

89 MAYO 1346.133333 1573.47795 1588.369468 1558.586432 1812074.951 14.89151818

90 JUNIO 1298.7 1566.728593 1581.619823 1551.837363 1686621.69 14.89122987

2006
91 JULIO 1337.5 1558.995773 1573.887239 1544.104307 1788906.25 14.89146571

92 AGOSTO 1364.533333 1550.387947 1565.279577 1535.496317 1861951.218 14.89163002

93 SETIEMBRE 1366.733333 1541.00727 1555.898913 1526.115626 1867960.004 14.89164339

94 OCTUBRE 1380.666667 1530.949051 1545.840779 1516.057323 1906240.444 14.89172808

95 NOVIEMBRE 1411.7 1520.301347 1535.193264 1505.40943 1992896.89 14.8919167

96 DICIEMBRE 1369.066667 1509.144674 1524.036331 1494.253016 1874343.538 14.89165757

97 ENERO 1358.733333 1497.551857 1512.443452 1482.660262 1846156.271 14.89159476

98 FEBRERO 1360.5 1485.588006 1500.479612 1470.696401 1850960.25 14.8916055

99 MARZO 1386.9 1473.310617 1488.202383 1458.418851 1923491.61 14.89176596

100 ABRIL 1343.3 1460.769792 1475.661293 1445.878291 1804454.89 14.89150096

101 MAYO 1374.933333 1448.008578 1462.900271 1433.116885 1890441.671 14.89169323

102 JUNIO 1349.066667 1435.06342 1449.954956 1420.171884 1819980.871 14.89153601

2007
103 JULIO 1360 1421.964708 1436.85631 1407.073106 1849600 14.89160246

104 AGOSTO 1392.466667 1408.737428 1423.629228 1393.845628 1938963.418 14.8917998

105 SETIEMBRE 1392.3 1395.401892 1410.293691 1380.510093 1938499.29 14.89179878

106 OCTUBRE 1409.5 1381.974545 1396.866448 1367.082642 1986690.25 14.89190333

107 NOVIEMBRE 1424.666667 1368.468837 1383.360832 1353.576841 2029675.111 14.89199551

108 DICIEMBRE 1407.033333 1354.896144 1369.788033 1340.004256 1979742.801 14.89188833

109 ENERO 1403.633333 1341.266731 1356.158599 1326.374863 1970186.534 14.89186767

110 FEBRERO 1453.3 1327.590735 1342.482904 1312.698565 2112080.89 14.89216954

111 MARZO 1466.866667 1313.879163 1328.771415 1298.986911 2151697.818 14.89225199

112 ABRIL 1490.1 1300.14489 1315.037283 1285.252497 2220398.01 14.8923932

113 MAYO 1470.866667 1286.403627 1301.295903 1271.51135 2163448.751 14.89227631

2008
114 JUNIO 1436.6 1272.674865 1287.566933 1257.782797 2063819.56 14.89206804

115 JULIO 1412.766667 1258.982767 1273.87469 1244.090843 1995909.654 14.89192318

116 AGOSTO 1385 1245.356992 1260.248746 1230.465237 1918225 14.89175441

117 SETIEMBRE 1367.566667 1231.833441 1246.725089 1216.941792 1870238.588 14.89164845

118 OCTUBRE 1365.233333 1218.454905 1233.346539 1203.56327 1863862.054 14.89163427

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 52

 ECONOMETRÍA

119 NOVIEMBRE 1386.866667 1205.271602 1220.163368 1190.379836 1923399.151 14.89176576

120 DICIEMBRE 1330.2 1192.34159 1207.233011 1177.450169 1769432.04 14.89142134

121 ENERO 1277.633333 1179.731034 1194.622136 1164.839932 1632346.934 14.89110182

122 FEBRERO 1227.466667 1167.514328 1182.405124 1152.623531 1506674.418 14.89079689

123 MARZO 1194.6 1155.77404 1170.664637 1140.883443 1427069.16 14.89059711

124 ABRIL 1134.666667 1144.600694 1159.490927 1129.710461 1287468.444 14.8902328

125 MAYO 1057.5 1134.092348 1148.982112 1119.202584 1118306.25 14.88976373

126 JUNIO 1000.6 1124.35399 1139.243408 1109.464572 1001200.36 14.88941784

2009
127 JULIO 954.4 1115.496721 1130.385858 1100.607584 910879.36 14.88913699

128 AGOSTO 1001.266667 1107.636733 1122.526155 1092.747312 1002534.938 14.88942189

129 SETIEMBRE 1064.266667 1100.894078 1115.783883 1086.004273 1132663.538 14.88980486

130 OCTUBRE 1114.066667 1095.391213 1110.281321 1080.501106 1241144.538 14.89010758

131 NOVIEMBRE 1080.9 1091.251349 1106.141255 1076.361443 1168344.81 14.88990597

132 DICIEMBRE 1077.3 1088.596572 1103.486457 1073.706688 1160575.29 14.88988409

133 ENERO 1021.966667 1087.545784 1102.435331 1072.656236 1044415.868 14.88954773

134 FEBRERO 961.4 1088.212429 1103.101608 1073.323249 924289.96 14.88917954

135 MARZO 903.3 1090.70206 1105.590887 1075.813234 815950.89 14.88882634

136 ABRIL 863.6333333 1095.109731 1109.998316 1080.221145 745862.5344 14.8885852

137 MAYO 897.9333333 1101.517247 1116.40604 1086.628453 806284.2711 14.88879372

138 JUNIO 1012.5 1109.990303 1124.879793 1095.100813 1025156.25 14.88949018

2010
139 JULIO 1010.833333 1120.575526 1135.465006 1105.686046 1021784.028 14.88948005

140 AGOSTO 1009.866667 1133.297463 1148.186938 1118.407989 1019830.684 14.88947417

141 SETIEMBRE 1027.833333 1148.155548 1163.045131 1133.265964 1056441.361 14.88958339

142 OCTUBRE 1100 1165.121093 1180.011115 1150.231071 1210000 14.89002208

143 NOVIEMBRE 1190.233333 1184.134356 1199.024926 1169.243785 1416655.388 14.89057057

144 DICIEMBRE 1183.566667 1205.101724 1219.992254 1190.211194 1400830.054 14.89053005

145 ENERO 1208.866667 1227.893094 1242.783778 1213.00241 1461358.618 14.89068383

146 FEBRERO 1204.6 1252.339494 1267.230152 1237.448836 1451061.16 14.8906579

147 MARZO 1275 1278.231034 1293.12212 1263.339948 1625625 14.89108582

148 ABRIL 1422.066667 1305.315262 1320.207242 1290.423283 2022273.604 14.8919797

149 MAYO 1486.733333 1333.296003 1348.188375 1318.40363 2210376.004 14.89237274

150 JUNIO 1540.3 1361.832785 1376.725484 1346.940087 2372524.09 14.8926983

2011
151 JULIO 1615.433333 1390.540956 1405.434111 1375.647801 2609624.854 14.89315493

152 AGOSTO 1633.833333 1418.992583 1433.88585 1404.099317 2669411.361 14.89326675

153 SETIEMBRE 1634.366667 1446.718281 1461.611551 1431.825011 2671154.401 14.89326999

154 OCTUBRE 1625.4 1473.210068 1488.103283 1458.316852 2641925.16 14.8932155

155 NOVIEMBRE 1618.866667 1497.925406 1512.818582 1483.03223 2620729.284 14.89317579

156 DICIEMBRE 1618.866667 1520.292565 1535.185741 1505.399389 2620729.284 14.89317579

157 ENERO 1617.066667 1539.717461 1554.610625 1524.824296 2614904.604 14.89316485

158 FEBRERO 1524.5 1555.592144 1570.484746 1540.699541 2324100.25 14.89260227

159 MARZO 1459.233333 1567.305105 1582.197311 1552.412899 2129361.921 14.8922056

160 ABRIL 1411.133333 1574.253597 1589.14551 1559.361684 1991297.284 14.89191325

2012
161 MAYO 1436.2 1575.858156 1590.750222 1560.966091 2062670.44 14.89206561

162 JUNIO 1430.933333 1571.579555 1586.471589 1556.687522 2047570.204 14.8920336

163 JULIO 1463.633333 1560.938388 1575.83062 1546.046155 2142222.534 14.89223234

164 AGOSTO 1497.433333 1543.537541 1558.429979 1528.645103 2242306.588 14.89243777

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 53

 ECONOMETRÍA

165 SETIEMBRE 1508.2 1519.087793 1533.980296 1504.195289 2274667.24 14.89250321

166 OCTUBRE 1480.5 1487.436799 1502.329134 1472.544464 2191880.25 14.89233485

167 NOVIEMBRE 1409.4 1448.601748 1463.493651 1433.709845 1986408.36 14.89190272

168 DICIEMBRE 1298.066667 1402.805975 1417.697201 1387.914749 1684977.071 14.89122602

169 ENERO 1293.533333 1350.519834 1365.411033 1335.628636 1673228.484 14.89119847

170 FEBRERO 1234.933333 1292.50616 1307.397003 1277.615318 1525060.338 14.89084228

171 MARZO 1210.733333 1229.870645 1244.761341 1214.97995 1465875.204 14.89069518

172 ABRIL 1127.8 1164.11749 1179.007681 1149.227299 1271932.84 14.89019106

173 MAYO 1051.666667 1097.210694 1112.100422 1082.320966 1106002.778 14.88972827

174 JUNIO 1084.733333 1031.641377 1046.531306 1016.751447 1176646.404 14.88992927

2013
175 JULIO 1073.566667 970.5015233 985.3913847 955.6116619 1152545.388 14.88986139

176 AGOSTO 1078.7 917.5645886 932.4544812 902.674696 1163593.69 14.8898926

177 SETIEMBRE 1023.033333 877.3733892 892.2629434 862.483835 1046597.201 14.88955421

178 OCTUBRE 890.2666667 855.3357458 870.2244929 840.4469987 792574.7378 14.88874711

179 NOVIEMBRE 792.5333333 857.8283592 872.7165121 842.9402062 628109.0844 14.88815295

180 DICIEMBRE 736.0666667 892.3094095 907.1972191 877.4215998 541794.1378 14.88780966

TOTAL 16290 164341.8083 164727.9494 167407.9486 162047.9501 220424251.1 2679.99928

 Para encontrar la X media se aplicó la fórmula: =PROMEDIO(J11:J190)

X MEDIA
913.010046

 Para encontrar la Y media usamos la fórmula: =PROMEDIO(K11:K190)

Y MEDIA
915.155274

 El error de estimación usamos los datos: =ERROR.TIPICO.XY(K11:K190,J11:J190)

ERROR DE ESTIMACION
120.8142186

 El 10% de error se utilizó: =DISTR.T.INV(0.1,179)

T (TABLA)
10% DE
ERROR 1.6534108

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 54

 ECONOMETRÍA

10. Intervalos De Confianza.

a b c d e f g h i j k
431.1 054 -246.179492 37.3685738 -2.4074636 0.0804 5042 -0.0 15 2359 0.0 0 18373408 -0.0 0 0 135914 0.0 0 0 0 06138 -0.0 0 0 0 0 0154956 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1675989

ECO-EDINSON RENGIFO ROMERO Página 55

 ECONOMETRÍA
M ED IA
A ÑO M ES N( X ) Ŷ EST IM A DA ( X - Ẋ) ² ( Y- Ŷ) ² (X)²
M O V IL X ( Y)

ENERO 1 11 219.9710697 813622.1236 43668.90797 121

FEBRERO 2 5.5 70.20474719 823574.4841 4186.704308 30.25
MARZO 3 3.66666667 -29.9603615 826905.3821 1130.777023 13.44444444
ABRIL 4 2.75 -90.71052991 828573.3519 8734.870651 7.5625
MAYO 5 2.2 -120.8017892 829574.9404 15129.44015 4.84
JUNIO 6 3 -127.7040579 828118.2844 17083.55075 9
JULIO 7 2.57142857 -117.7345849 828898.4767 14473.53687 6.612244898
AGOSTO 8 2.25 -96.18128565 829483.8619 9688.717995 5.0625
SETIEMBRE 9 2 -67.41652848 829939.3045 4818.654426 4
OCTUBRE 10 3.2 -35.0019067 827754.3204 1459.385676 10.24
NOVIEMBRE 11 4.54545455 -1.784512212 825307.9145 40.06847915 20.66115702
DICIEMBRE 12 4.16666667 30.01479572 825996.2887 668.1257757 17.36111111
ENERO 13 5.61538462 58.72065153 823365.0721 2820.169374 31.53254438
FEBRERO 14 8.85714286 83.1295193 817492.4728 5516.385903 78.44897959
MARZO 15 8.93333333 102.4426675 817354.7029 8743.995578 79.80444444
ABRIL 16 8.375 116.2053646 818364.567 11627.38754 70.140625
MAYO 17 7.88235294 124.2518961 819256.1413 13541.87057 62.13148789
JUNIO 18 7.44444444 126.6560201 820049.0593 14211.39978 55.41975309
JULIO 19 7.05263158 123.6864972 820758.8373 13603.45862 49.73961219
AGOSTO 20 6.7 115.7673446 821397.9 11895.68567 44.89
SETIEMBRE 21 6.38095238 103.4424829 821976.3139 9420.940702 40.71655329
OCTUBRE 22 6.09090909 87.34445758 822502.3214 6602.139142 37.09917355
NOVIEMBRE 23 5.82608696 68.16693457 822982.7361 3886.381282 33.94328922
DICIEMBRE 24 5.58333333 46.64068097 823423.2394 1685.705795 31.17361111
ENERO 25 5.36 23.51275949 823828.6066 329.522677 28.7296
FEBRERO 26 5.15384615 -0.471323012 824202.8801 31.64252815 26.56213018
MARZO 27 4.96296296 -24.58275854 824549.5056 872.9496591 24.63100137
ABRIL 28 4.78571429 -48.12210496 824871.4373 2799.237337 22.90306122
MAYO 29 4.62068966 -70.42969706 825171.2233 5632.560546 21.35077289
JUNIO 30 4.46666667 -90.89400951 825451.0727 9093.65856 19.95111111
JULIO 31 4.1 -108.9581677 826117.4723 12782.14928 16.81
AGOSTO 32 4.1 -124.124791 826117.4723 16441.59703 16.81
SETIEMBRE 33 4.1 -135.9593427 826117.4723 19616.61946 16.81
OCTUBRE 34 4.1 -144.0921481 826117.4723 21960.91275 16.81
NOVIEMBRE 35 4.1 -148.2192359 826117.4723 23201.14962 16.81
DICIEMBRE 36 3.86666667 -148.1021434 826541.6847 23094.51922 14.95111111
ENERO 37 3.86666667 -143.5668202 826541.6847 21736.63306 14.95111111
FEBRERO 38 3.86666667 -134.5017551 826541.6847 19145.82015 14.95111111
MARZO 39 3.86666667 -120.8554396 826541.6847 15555.60379 14.95111111
ABRIL 40 3.4 -102.6332775 827390.4363 11243.05595 11.56
MAYO 41 2.8 -79.8940381 828482.3284 6838.303938 7.84
JUNIO 42 2.8 -52.74594362 828482.3284 3085.351852 7.84
JULIO 43 2.03333333 -21.34247614 829878.5716 546.4284685 4.134444444
AGOSTO 44 0.33333333 14.12202088 832978.7824 190.1279042 0.111111111
SETIEMBRE 45 0 53.4168761 833587.3446 2853.362652 0
OCTUBRE 46 0 96.27969571 833587.3446 9269.779805 0
NOVIEMBRE 47 0 142.4209837 833587.3446 20283.73661 0
DICIEMBRE 48 0 191.5287261 833587.3446 36683.25292 0

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ENERO 49 4.63333333 243.2728929 825148.2527 56948.83939 21.46777778

FEBRERO 50 31.9666667 297.3098188 776237.4368 70406.9884 1021.867778
MARZO 51 136.066667 353.2864263 603641.0152 47184.42397 18514.13778
ABRIL 52 191.4 410.844261 520721.0589 48155.78369 36633.96
MAYO 53 231.4 469.6233145 464592.2552 56750.34756 53545.96
JUNIO 54 308.233333 529.2656109 365754.8725 48855.26772 95007.78778
JULIO 55 520.866667 589.4185417 153776.4302 4699.359571 271302.0844
AGOSTO 56 600.866667 649.7379333 97433.48945 2388.400706 361040.7511
SETIEMBRE 57 676.466667 709.8908377 55952.77045 1117.175212 457607.1511
OCTUBRE 58 731.666667 769.5580387 32885.42134 1435.756076 535336.1111
NOVIEMBRE 59 816.833333 828.4362697 9249.960117 134.6281325 667216.6944
DICIEMBRE 60 947.3 886.2401417 1175.800925 3728.306294 897377.29
ENERO 61 983.5 942.7037827 4968.833572 1664.331346 967272.25
FEBRERO 62 1013 997.5821918 9997.990841 237.708809 1026169
MARZO 63 1046.66667 1050.652314 17864.09217 15.88538802 1095511.111
ABRIL 64 1106.3 1101.713845 37361.0062 21.03281364 1223899.69
MAYO 65 1158.96667 1150.589771 60494.6591 70.17238603 1343203.734
JUNIO 66 1258.5 1197.126657 119363.3081 3766.687216 1583822.25
JULIO 67 1316.83333 1241.194704 163073.2471 5721.202197 1734050.028
AGOSTO 68 1370.76667 1282.687571 209541.1235 7757.927024 1879001.254
SETIEMBRE 69 1400.93333 1321.521993 238069.134 6306.160941 1962614.204
OCTUBRE 70 1451.2 1357.637202 289648.4263 8753.997098 2105981.44
NOVIEMBRE 71 1464.8 1390.994173 304472.153 5447.300117 2145639.04
DICIEMBRE 72 1513.36667 1421.574702 360428.0716 8425.764748 2290278.668
ENERO 73 1557.76667 1449.380349 415711.0995 11747.59376 2426636.988
FEBRERO 74 1590.9 1474.431248 459534.7893 13564.97029 2530962.81
MARZO 75 1652.5 1496.764806 546845.3916 24253.45058 2730756.25
ABRIL 76 1713.53333 1516.434324 640837.5331 38848.0193 2936196.484
MAYO 77 1741.83333 1533.50753 686948.0411 43399.64028 3033983.361
JUNIO 78 1766.23333 1548.065064 727989.9775 47597.39377 3119580.188
JULIO 79 1794.7 1560.198925 777377.1745 54990.75409 3220948.09
AGOSTO 80 1785.66667 1570.010896 761529.5771 46507.41149 3188605.444
SETIEMBRE 81 1716.56667 1577.61096 645703.2421 19308.68849 2946601.121
OCTUBRE 82 1678.26667 1583.115732 585617.695 9053.70039 2816579.004
NOVIEMBRE 83 1673.06667 1586.646913 577686.0662 7468.373738 2799152.071
DICIEMBRE 84 1637.16667 1588.329787 524402.8108 2385.040858 2680314.694
ENERO 85 1467.46667 1588.291761 307422.1439 14598.70352 2153458.418
FEBRERO 86 1458.2 1586.66099 297232.0856 16502.22592 2126347.24
MARZO 87 1430.7 1583.565055 268002.8882 23367.72513 2046902.49
ABRIL 88 1397.06667 1579.12975 234310.8117 33146.96631 1951795.271
MAYO 89 1346.13333 1573.47795 187595.7818 51685.57462 1812074.951
JUNIO 90 1298.7 1566.728593 148756.7404 71839.32674 1686621.69
JULIO 91 1337.5 1558.995773 180191.7208 49060.37752 1788906.25
AGOSTO 92 1364.53333 1550.387947 203873.2787 34541.93748 1861951.218
SETIEMBRE 93 1366.73333 1541.00727 205864.8212 30371.40488 1867960.004
OCTUBRE 94 1380.66667 1530.949051 218702.7146 22584.79514 1906240.444
NOVIEMBRE 95 1411.7 1520.301347 248691.6699 11794.25259 1992896.89
DICIEMBRE 96 1369.06667 1509.144674 207987.641 19621.84806 1874343.538
ENERO 97 1358.73333 1497.551857 198669.2486 19270.58246 1846156.271
FEBRERO 98 1360.5 1485.588006 200247.2587 15647.00933 1850960.25
MARZO 99 1386.9 1473.310617 224571.6882 7466.794775 1923491.61
ABRIL 100 1343.3 1460.769792 185149.4443 13799.15197 1804454.89
MAYO 101 1374.93333 1448.008578 213373.1231 5339.991392 1890441.671
JUNIO 102 1349.06667 1435.06342 190145.3762 7395.44155 1819980.871
JULIO 103 1360 1421.964708 199800.0187 3839.625037 1849600
AGOSTO 104 1392.46667 1408.737428 229878.6508 264.7376758 1938963.418
SETIEMBRE 105 1392.3 1395.401892 229718.8597 9.621733086 1938499.29
OCTUBRE 106 1409.5 1381.974545 246502.2741 757.6506784 1986690.25
NOVIEMBRE 107 1424.66667 1368.468837 261792.4972 3158.196064 2029675.111
DICIEMBRE 108 1407.03333 1354.896144 244059.0081 2718.286472 1979742.801

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ENERO 109 1403.63333 1341.266731 240711.2098 3889.593078 1970186.534

FEBRERO 110 1453.3 1327.590735 291913.2341 15802.8194 2112080.89
MARZO 111 1466.86667 1313.879163 306757.1559 23405.17615 2151697.818
ABRIL 112 1490.1 1300.14489 333032.8147 36082.94374 2220398.01
MAYO 113 1470.86667 1286.403627 311204.0089 34026.61309 2163448.751
JUNIO 114 1436.6 1272.674865 274146.4396 26871.44998 2063819.56
JULIO 115 1412.76667 1258.982767 249756.6796 23649.48791 1995909.654
AGOSTO 116 1385 1245.356992 222774.5164 19500.16978 1918225
SETIEMBRE 117 1367.56667 1231.833441 206621.7211 18423.50864 1870238.588
OCTUBRE 118 1365.23333 1218.454905 204505.9013 21543.90711 1863862.054
NOVIEMBRE 119 1386.86667 1205.271602 224540.0967 32976.76745 1923399.151
DICIEMBRE 120 1330.2 1192.34159 174047.4575 19004.94121 1769432.04
ENERO 121 1277.63333 1179.731034 132950.1414 9584.860163 1632346.934
FEBRERO 122 1227.46667 1167.514328 98882.96609 3594.282964 1506674.418
MARZO 123 1194.6 1155.77404 79292.90202 1507.455155 1427069.16
ABRIL 124 1134.66667 1144.600694 49131.65735 98.68489757 1287468.444
MAYO 125 1057.5 1134.092348 20877.34672 5866.387802 1118306.25
JUNIO 126 1000.6 1124.35399 7671.999989 15315.05008 1001200.36
JULIO 127 954.4 1115.496721 1713.128267 25952.15349 910879.36
AGOSTO 128 1001.26667 1107.636733 7789.231038 11314.59111 1002534.938
SETIEMBRE 129 1064.26667 1100.894078 22878.5652 1341.567252 1132663.538
OCTUBRE 130 1114.06667 1095.391213 40423.76459 348.772552 1241144.538
NOVIEMBRE 131 1080.9 1091.251349 28187.03655 107.1504201 1168344.81
DICIEMBRE 132 1077.3 1088.596572 26991.18889 127.6125493 1160575.29
ENERO 133 1021.96667 1087.545784 11871.54512 4300.620595 1044415.868
FEBRERO 134 961.4 1088.212429 2341.587619 16081.39213 924289.96
MARZO 135 903.3 1090.70206 94.28499919 35119.53217 815950.89
ABRIL 136 863.633333 1095.109731 2438.059784 53581.32247 745862.5344
MAYO 137 897.933333 1101.517247 227.3072739 41446.40974 806284.2711
JUNIO 138 1012.5 1109.990303 9898.250887 9504.359174 1025156.25
JULIO 139 1010.83333 1120.575526 9569.395486 12043.34894 1021784.028
AGOSTO 140 1009.86667 1133.297463 9381.204908 15235.16157 1019830.684
SETIEMBRE 141 1027.83333 1148.155548 13184.38724 14477.43527 1056441.361
OCTUBRE 142 1100 1165.121093 34965.24278 4240.756749 1210000
NOVIEMBRE 143 1190.23333 1184.134356 76852.75087 37.19753044 1416655.388
DICIEMBRE 144 1183.56667 1205.101724 73200.88482 463.7586942 1400830.054
ENERO 145 1208.86667 1227.893094 87531.13981 362.0049358 1461358.618
FEBRERO 146 1204.6 1252.339494 85024.7011 2279.059261 1451061.16
MARZO 147 1275 1278.231034 131036.7266 10.43958251 1625625
ABRIL 148 1422.06667 1305.315262 259138.6427 13630.89042 2022273.604
MAYO 149 1486.73333 1333.296003 329158.4101 23543.01442 2210376.004
JUNIO 150 1540.3 1361.832785 393492.686 31850.54673 2372524.09
JULIO 151 1615.43333 1390.540956 493398.4742 50576.58149 2609624.854
AGOSTO 152 1633.83333 1418.992583 519586.2111 46156.54785 2669411.361
SETIEMBRE 153 1634.36667 1446.718281 520355.3737 35211.91655 2671154.401
OCTUBRE 154 1625.4 1473.210068 507499.4461 23161.77544 2641925.16
NOVIEMBRE 155 1618.86667 1497.925406 498233.5685 14626.78853 2620729.284
DICIEMBRE 156 1618.86667 1520.292565 498233.5685 9716.853567 2620729.284
ENERO 157 1617.06667 1539.717461 495695.7247 5982.899674 2614904.604
FEBRERO 158 1524.5 1555.592144 373919.9635 966.7213892 2324100.25
MARZO 159 1459.23333 1567.305105 298359.8793 11679.50785 2129361.921
ABRIL 160 1411.13333 1574.253597 248126.8091 26608.22036 1991297.284
MAYO 161 1436.2 1575.858156 273727.7277 19504.40067 2062670.44
JUNIO 162 1430.93333 1571.579555 268244.5312 19781.35972 2047570.204
JULIO 163 1463.63333 1560.938388 303186.0042 9468.273575 2142222.534
AGOSTO 164 1497.43333 1543.537541 341550.5784 2125.59795 2242306.588
SETIEMBRE 165 1508.2 1519.087793 354251.081 118.544029 2274667.24
OCTUBRE 166 1480.5 1487.436799 322044.8475 48.11917852 2191880.25
NOVIEMBRE 167 1409.4 1448.601748 246402.9861 1536.777059 1986408.36
DICIEMBRE 168 1298.06667 1402.805975 148268.6009 10970.32272 1684977.071
ENERO 169 1293.53333 1350.519834 144797.972 3247.461299 1673228.484
FEBRERO 170 1234.93333 1292.50616 103634.6027 3314.630421 1525060.338
MARZO 171 1210.73333 1229.870645 88639.15564 366.2367161 1465875.204
ABRIL 172 1127.8 1164.11749 46134.72421 1318.960075 1271932.84
MAYO 173 1051.66667 1097.210694 19225.65837 2074.258434 1106002.778
JUNIO 174 1084.73333 1031.641377 29488.88731 2818.755878 1176646.404
JULIO 175 1073.56667 970.5015233 25778.42834 10622.42378 1152545.388
AGOSTO 176 1078.7 917.5645886 27453.16076 25964.6208 1163593.69
SETIEMBRE 177 1023.03333 877.3733892 12105.12369 21216.81932 1046597.201
OCTUBRE 178 890.266667 855.3357458 517.2613172 1220.169231 792574.7378
NOVIEMBRE 179 792.533333 857.8283592 14514.63837 4263.4404 628109.0844
DICIEMBRE 180 736.066667 892.3094095 31308.9596 24411.79468 541794.1378
TOTAL 16290 164341.808 164727.9494 70378529.02 2693450.922 220424251.1

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 Definimos realizado el trabajo el número de coeficiente que seria 11 datos cada

uno son sus respectivo valor, no olvidemos que se obtiene y dividiendo
multiplicando los resultados, allí se obtiene la determinante.

COEFICIENTE VALOR

A 431.1105402
B -246.1794916
C 37.36857377075
D -2.4074635971
E 0.0804450419
F -0.0015523585
G 0.00001837341
H -0.000000135914049352
I 0.000000000613846063
J -0.00000000000154955656046880
K 0.000000000000001675989

 Luego obtenemos el valor de los parámetros de cada uno de los coeficiente con
una fórmula de MAX =L$33+L$22 y MIN =L33-L$22.

PARAMETRO
MAX MIN MAX MIN
447.0469831 415.1740973 457.460027 404.7610534
-246.1650904 -246.1938928 -246.1556805 -246.2033026
37.38297495 37.35417259 37.39238483 37.34476271
-2.393062421 -2.421864773 -2.383652537 -2.431274657
0.094846218 0.066043866 0.104256102 0.056633982
0.012848817 -0.015953534 0.022258701 -0.025363418
0.014419549 -0.014382803 0.023829433 -0.023792686
0.01440104 -0.014401312 0.023810924 -0.023811196
0.014401177 -0.014401175 0.02381106 -0.023811059
0.014401176 -0.014401176 0.02381106 -0.02381106
0.014401176 -0.014401176 0.02381106 -0.02381106

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VARIANZA B1 253.9702121
VARIANZA B2 0.000207394

VALOR DE COEFICIENTE B1 15.93644289

ERROR DE COEFICIENTE B2 0.014401176

ERROR DE ESTIMACION
120.8142186

X MEDIA
913.0100463

Y MEDIA
915.1552742

11. Datos de regresión

Para una comprobación de lo realizado, analizamos los datos con el método de
correlación, hechos en el Excel.

Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.980686503
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.961746017
R^2 ajustado 0.959482467
Error típico 126.2161921
Observaciones 180
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA

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Grados de Suma de Promedio de

libertad cuadrados los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
Regresión 10 67686269.93 6768626.993 424.8840566 3.5233E-114
Residuos 169 2692259.086 15930.52714
Total 179 70378529.02

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Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%
Intercepción 430.1880189 123.3921911 3.486347193 0.000624012 186.5994394 673.7765985 186.5994394 673.7765985
Variable X 1 -245.6225207 45.34905455 -5.416265523 0.0000002064363 -335.1461095 -156.0989318 -335.1461095 -156.0989318
Variable X 2 37.28570933 5.507653533 6.769799354 0.0000000002033702 26.41304802 48.15837063 26.41304802 48.15837063
Variable X 3 -2.402288496 0.314462306 -7.639352793 0.000000000001547816 -3.023068675 -1.781508317 -3.023068675 -1.781508317
Variable X 4 0.080272073 0.009948268 8.068949598 0.000000000000125790 0.060633193 0.099910954 0.060633193 0.099910954
Variable X 5 -0.001548944 0.000189635 -8.168046069 0.000000000000069922 -0.001923301 -0.001174586 -0.001923301 -0.001174586
Variable X 6 1.83317E-05 2.26596E-06 8.09002769 0.0000000000001110470 0.00001385844485 0.000022804909 0.0000138584448 0.0000228049091
Variable X 7 -1.35595E-07 1.70814E-08 -7.938172588 0.000000000000271775550 -0.00000016931536 -0.0000001018746 -0.0000001693154 -0.00000010187462
Variable X 8 6.12361E-10 7.88395E-11 7.767185699 0.00000000000073805340 0.000000000456724 0.0000000007680 0.0000000004567 0.0000000007679983
Variable X 9 -1.54571E-12 2.03343E-13 -7.601493262 0.000000000001925353700 -0.0000000000019471 - 0.00000000000114 -0.000000000001947 -0.0000000000011443
Variable X 10 1.67174E-15 2.24411E-16 7.449444466 0.000000000004602585709 0.00000000000000123 0.0000000000000021148 0.00000000000000123 0.000000000000002115

Interpretación

Los adquiridos nos muestran datos verdaderos con una probabilidad de 0.000624012.

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