PROGRESION DE ESTUDIANTES UNIVERSITARIOS

Segundo
Se gradúa Abandona Primer año Tercer año Cuarto año
año
Se gradúa 1 0 0 0 0 0
Abandona 0 1 0 0 0 0
Primer año 0 0.2 0.15 0.65 0 0
Segundo
0 0.15 0 0.1 0.75 0
año
Tercer año 0 0.1 0 0 0.05 0.85
Cuarto año 0.9 0.05 0 0 0 0.05

MATRIZ FUNDAMENTAL Q
Segundo
Se gradúa Abandona Primer año Tercer año Cuarto año
año
Primer año 0 0.2 0.15 0.65 0 0
Segundo
0 0.15 0 0.1 0.75 0
año
Tercer año 0 0.1 0 0 0.05 0.85
Cuarto año 0.9 0.05 0 0 0 0.05
G G

G ESTADOS ABSORBENTES
H ESTADOS NO ABSORBENTES
 A B C D E F
1 ENTREGABLE TAREA
2
3 Markov chains
4
5 Enter the markov chain in the shaded area. If all states are recur
use the Solver button to find the steady state probabilities.
6
7 Data (one step transition matrix)
8 Initial State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4
9 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
10 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
11 State 3 0 0 0.2 0.15 0.65
12 State 4 0 0 0.15 0 0.1
13 State 5 0 0 0.1 0 0
14 State 6 0 0.9 0.05 0 0
15 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
16
17 2 step transition matrix
18 State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5
19 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
20 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
21 State 3 0 0 0.3275 0.0225 0.1625
22 State 4 0 0 0.24 0 0.01
23 State 5 0 0.765 0.1475 0 0
24 State 6 0 0.945 0.0525 0 0
25 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
26
27 3 step transition matrix
28 State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5
29 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
30 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
31 State 3 0 0 0.405125 0.003375 0.030875
32 State 4 0 0.57375 0.284625 0 0.001
33 State 5 0 0.8415 0.152 0 0
34 State 6 0 0.94725 0.052625 0 0
35 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
36
37 4 step transition matrix
38 State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5
39 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
40 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
41 State 3 0 0.3729375 0.445775 0.00050625 0.00528125
 A B C D E F
42 State 4 0 0.6885 0.2924625 0 0.0001
43 State 5 0 0.8472375 0.15233125 0 0
44 State 6 0 0.9473625 0.05263125 0 0
45 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
46
47 5 step transition matrix
48 State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5
49 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
50 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
51 State 3 0 0.50346563 0.45696688 7.5938E-05 0.00085719
52 State 4 0 0.70427813 0.29349469 0 0.00001
53 State 5 0 0.84762 0.15235313 0 0
54 State 6 0 0.94736813 0.05263156 0 0
55 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
56
57 6 step transition matrix
58 State 1 State 2 State 3 State 4 State 5
59 State 1 0 1 0 0 0
60 State 2 0 0 1 0 0
61 State 3 0 0.53330063 0.45931658 1.1391E-05 0.00013508
62 State 4 0 0.70614281 0.29361431 0 0.000001
63 State 5 0 0.84764391 0.15235448 0 0
64 State 6 0 0.94736841 0.05263158 0 0
65 End prob(given init) 0 0 0 0
 G H I J K L M
1
2
3
4
5 If all states are recurrent then
n in the shaded area.
o find the steady state probabilities.
6
7 Recurrent 1 Steady state Results for MCs with all recurrent states
8 State 5 State 6 Transient 999 Steady State
9 0 0 Transient 999 P1 1 1 1
10 0 0 Recurrent 2 P2 0 0
11 0 0 Transient 999 P3 0 0
12 0.75 0 Transient 999 P4 0 0
13 0.05 0.85 P5 0 0
14 0 0.05 P6 0 0
15 0 0 sum 1
16
17
18 State 6 State 6
19 0 0
20 0 0
21 0.4875 0
22 0.1125 0.6375
23 0.0025 0.085
24 0 0.0025
25 0 0
26
27
28 State 6 State 6
29 0 0
30 0 0
31 0.14625 0.414375
32 0.013125 0.1275
33 0.000125 0.006375
34 0 0.000125
35 0 0
36
37
38 State 6 State 6
39 0 0
40 0 0
41 0.03046875 0.14503125
 G H I J K L M
42 0.00140625 0.01753125
43 0.00000625 0.000425
44 0 0.00000625
45 0 0
46
47
48 State 6 State 6
49 0 0
50 0 0
51 0.00548438 0.03315
52 0.00014531 0.00207188
53 3.125E-07 2.6563E-05
54 0 3.125E-07
55 0 0
56
57
58 State 6 State 6
59 0 0
60 0 0
61 0.00091711 0.00631922
62 1.4766E-05 0.00022711
63 1.5625E-08 1.5938E-06
64 0 1.5625E-08
65 0 0
 N O P Q R
1
2
3
4
5
6
th all recurrent7states
8
9 0 0 0 0 0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
 A B C D E
1 Markov chains
2
3 Enter the markov chain in the shaded area. If all states are recur
use the Solver button to find the steady state probabilities.
4
5 Data (one step transition matrix)
6 State 2
7 End prob(given init) Err:522 0 Row should sum to 1
8 State 2 Row should sum to 1
9
 F G H I J
1
2
hain in the shaded3 area. If all states are recurrent then
on to find the steady state probabilities.
4
5 Steady state Results for MCs with all recurrent states
6 Steady State
7 0 0 0 0
8 p2 0
9 sum 0
 A B C D E
1 Markov chains
2
3 Enter the markov chain in the shaded area. If all states are recur
use the Solver button to find the steady state probabilities.
4
5 Data (one step transition matrix)
6 State 2
7 End prob(given init) Err:522 0 Row should sum to 1
8 State 2 Row should sum to 1
9
 F G H I J
1
2
hain in the shaded3 area. If all states are recurrent then
on to find the steady state probabilities.
4
5 Steady state Results for MCs with all recurrent states
6 Steady State
7 0 0 0 0 0
8 p2 0 0
9 sum 0