Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión Variable X 1 Curva de

Coeficiente d 0.174271035039093 2,700
Coeficiente d 0.030370393653597
2,600
R^2 ajustado-0.004259235144489

Y
Error típico 51.5310285886474 2,500
Observacione 30 2,400
0 5 10 15 20
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA Variable X 1
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresión 1 2328.84297935481 2328.84297935481 0.877006041
Residuos 28 74352.5134073118 2655.44690740399
Total 29 76681.3563866666

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

Intercepción 2569.89466666667 19.2969690521978 133.176078570431 8.7395864E-41
Variable X 1 1.01793548387097 1.08697351208531 0.936486006837555 0.3570306575

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para Y Residuos

1 2570.91260215054 -73.9226021505383
2 2571.93053763441 -74.9405376344093
3 2572.94847311828 -50.91847311828
4 2573.96640860215 -18.8864086021508
5 2574.98434408602 -9.0843440860217
6 2576.00227956989 -32.532279569893
7 2577.02021505376 -11.4102150537638
8 2578.03815053763 -12.4281505376348
9 2579.05608602151 -13.4460860215058
10 2580.07402150538 12.7859784946236
11 2581.09195698925 37.6980430107524
12 2582.10989247312 51.5401075268815
13 2583.12782795699 26.9521720430102
14 2584.14576344086 77.3742365591393
15 2585.16369892473 76.3563010752682
16 2586.1816344086 75.3383655913976
17 2587.19956989247 87.8804301075265
18 2588.21750537634 89.7524946236554
19 2589.23544086022 62.2545591397843
20 2590.25337634409 23.1266236559136
21 2591.27131182796 -3.56131182795752
22 2592.28924731183 -4.57924731182811
23 2593.3071827957 -5.59718279569915
24 2594.32511827957 -6.6151182795702
25 2595.34305376344 -68.5530537634413
26 2596.36098924731 -60.8109892473121
27 2597.37892473118 -46.0789247311832
28 2598.39686021505 -41.546860215054
29 2599.41479569892 -42.5647956989251
30 2600.4327311828 -43.5827311827961
ariable X 1 Curva de regresión ajustada
2,700

2,600 Y
Linear (Y)
2,500 Pronóstico para Y
2,400
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Variable X 1
Valor crítico de F
0.3570306575187

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
2530.3666174452 2609.42272 2530.36662 2609.42272
-1.2086288212269 3.24449979 -1.20862882 3.24449979
xi y1
Fecha (dd/m TRM (COP/USD)
1 2,497
2 2,497
3 2,522
4 2,555
5 2,566
6 2,543
7 2,566
8 2,566
9 2,566
10 2,593
11 2,619
12 2,634
13 2,610
14 2,662
15 2,662 Chart Title
16 2,662
2,700
17 2,675
18 2,678 2,650
19 2,651
20 2,613 2,600
f(x) = 2569.21135583871 exp( 0.000399751156202 x )
21 2,588 R² = 0.031459009021863
22 2,588 2,550
23 2,588
2,500
24 2,588
25 2,527
2,450
26 2,536
27 2,551 2,400
28 2,557 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

29 2,557
30 2,557
tle

751156202 x )

20 25 30 35
x y x^2 x^3 x^4 xy (x^2)y
1 3,077 1 1 1 3077.35 3077.35
2 3,091 4 8 16 6182.98 12365.96
3 3,091 9 27 81 9274.47 27823.41
4 3,091 16 64 256 12365.96 49463.84
5 3,094 25 125 625 15468.95 77344.75
6 3,099 36 216 1296 18594.72 111568.32
7 3,106 49 343 2401 21743.12 152201.84
8 3,120 64 512 4096 24960.32 199682.56
9 3,162 81 729 6561 28461.6 256154.4
10 3,162 100 1000 10000 31624 316240
11 3,162 121 1331 14641 34786.4 382650.4
12 3,168 144 1728 20736 38020.2 456242.4
13 3,153 169 2197 28561 40991.6 532890.8
14 3,146 196 2744 38416 44037.42 616523.88
15 3,144 225 3375 50625 47166.3 707494.5 3,200
16 3,123 256 4096 65536 49972.48 799559.68 3,180
17 3,123 289 4913 83521 53095.76 902627.92
3,160
18 3,123 324 5832 104976 56219.04 1011942.72
3,140 f(x) = − 0.017
19 3,102 361 6859 130321 58942.75 1119912.25 R² = 0.214304
3,095 3,120
20 400 8000 160000 61907.8 1238156
21 3,092 441 9261 194481 64940.19 1363743.99 3,100
22 3,082 484 10648 234256 67813.9 1491905.8 3,080
23 3,126 529 12167 279841 71902.37 1653754.51 3,060
24 3,126 576 13824 331776 75028.56 1800685.44 3,040
25 3,126 625 15625 390625 78154.75 1953868.75
3,020
26 3,126 676 17576 456976 81280.94 2113304.44 0 5
27 3,146 729 19683 531441 84929.85 2293105.95
28 3,186 784 21952 614656 89220.04 2498161.12
29 3,191 841 24389 707281 92537.26 2683580.54
30 3,175 900 27000 810000 95243.7 2857311
 modelo cuadratico
3,200
3,180
3,160
3,140 f(x) = − 0.017079145479105 x² + 2.22968487803913 x + 3097.96999507389
R² = 0.21430498472472
3,120
3,100
3,080
3,060
3,040
3,020
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35