A continuación se dan valores de precipitación anuales

correspondiente a 37 años de registro:

Año Precipitación
(mm)
1981 46.4
1982 26.5
1983 40.1
1984 47.7
1985 23.8
1986 23.8
1987 42.2
1988 20.5
1989 33.8
1990 28.1
1991 20.1
1992 29.9
1993 26.4
1994 19.1
1995 22.8
1996 19.2
1997 24.1
1998 28.6
1999 22
2000 36
2001 42.6
2002 20.7
2003 30.2
2004 30.4
2005 25.9
2006 18.7
2007 18.5
2008 25
2009 25
2010 16.8
2011 17.3
2012 18.5
2013 28.3
2014 36.2
2015 34.3
2016 21.7
2017 24.4
Precipitación Año N Datos
(mm) ordenados
46.4 1981 1 16.8 Rango 30.90
26.5 1982 2 17.3 NC 5.803 6.000
40.1 1983 3 18.5 ΔX 6.434 6.180
47.7 1984 4 18.5 Xmin 16.80
23.8 1985 5 18.7 Xmax 47.70
23.8 1986 6 19.1
42.2 1987 7 19.2
20.5 1988 8 20.1
33.8 1989 9 20.5 LCI MCL LCS FreAbsoluta Fre Relativa
28.1 1990 10 20.7 13.710 16.800 19.890 2.000 0.054
20.1 1991 11 21.7 19.890 22.980 26.070 11.000 0.297
29.9 1992 12 22 26.070 29.160 32.250 11.000 0.297
26.4 1993 13 22.8 32.250 35.340 38.430 9.000 0.243
19.1 1994 14 23.8 38.430 41.520 44.610 2.000 0.054
22.8 1995 15 23.8 44.610 47.700 50.790 2.000 0.054
19.2 1996 16 24.1 37.000 1.000
24.1 1997 17 24.4
28.6 1998 18 25 xi fi xi*fi fi*xi² PARÁMETROS ESTADISTICOS P24hr
22 1999 19 25 16.800 2.00 33.6 564.48 Media 29.8281
36 2000 20 25.9 22.980 11.00 252.78 5808.8844 Varianza 56.8298
42.6 2001 21 26.4 29.160 11.00 320.76 9353.3616 Desv.Standar 7.5386
20.7 2002 22 26.5 35.340 9.00 318.06 11240.2404 Coef. Variación 0.2527
30.2 2003 23 28.1 41.520 2.00 83.04 3447.8208 Coef. Sesgo 0.5594
30.4 2004 24 28.3 47.700 2.00 95.4 4550.58 Coef. Curtosis 3.2804
25.9 2005 25 28.6 Suma 37.00 1103.64 34965.37
18.7 2006 26 29.9
18.5 2007 27 30.2
25 2008 28 30.4
25 2009 29 33.8
16.8 2010 30 34.3
17.3 2011 31 36
18.5 2012 32 36.2
28.3 2013 33 40.1
36.2 2014 34 42.2
34.3 2015 35 42.6
21.7 2016 36 46.4
24.4 2017 37 47.7
n 37
 Intervalo Limite Clase Z = (P-Pmed)/S F(Z) Frec. Frec. Frec. Prob.
Relativa Absoluta Observada
1 13.7 -2.138 0.016 0.125
2 13.71 - 19.89 19.9 -1.318 0.094 0.077 3.0 2.0 0.250
3 19.89 - 26.07 26.1 -0.499 0.309 0.215 8.0 11.0 0.375
4 26.07 - 32.25 32.3 0.321 0.626 0.317 12.0 11.0 0.500
5 32.25 - 38.43 38.4 1.141 0.873 0.247 9.0 9.0 0.625
6 38.43 - 44.61 44.6 1.961 0.975 0.102 4.0 2.0 0.750
7 44.61 - 50.79 50.8 2.781 0.997 0.022 1.0 2.0 0.875
1.0 37.0 37.0

Media 29.83
Datos Agrupado
Desviación Estandar 7.54

Número de datos 37.00

Cálculo de X²C 〖𝑋 ^2 〗 _𝑐=∑24_(𝑖

=1)^𝑘▒ 〖 (𝜃_1−𝑒_𝑖
) 〗 ^2/𝑒_1

〖𝑋 ^2 〗 _𝑐= 〖 (2−3) 〗 ^2/2+ 〖 (11−8) 〗 ^2/11+ 〖 (11−12) 〗 ^2/11+

〖 (9−9) 〗 ^2/9+ 〖 (4−2) 〗 ^2/4+ 〖 (1−2) 〗 ^2/1

X²C = 3.542

X² tabular

Grados de libertad 𝑣=𝑘−1−ℎ

v= 3.0

Grados de significación
α= 0.05 = 5 %

X²t = 7.8147

Criterio de Decisión

Si 3.542 < 7.8147

Los datos se ajustan a la distribución normal con un nivel de significación del 5%

ó 95% de probabilidad

Porcentaje que alcanza

%= X²C /X²t

%= 0.453 < 0.950

Frecuencia Relativa de Datos Observados y Esperados

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.0
15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00

Observados Esperados
0.2

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.0
15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00

Observados Esperados
 PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV
|Fo(xm )-F(xm )| F(xm ) |Fo(xm )-F(xm)| F(xm ) |Fo(xm )-F(xm )| Pearson F(xm ) |Fo(xm )-F(xm)| F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm )| F(xm) |Fo(xm )-F(xm)|
m P=X (m3/s) P (X) =m/n+1 Z = X-Xm/S F(xm ) Normal Y=LnX (x-X0) Ln(x)-X0
Normal LogNormal LogNormal Pearson III III LogPearson III LogPearson III Gumbel Gumbel LogGumbel III LogGumbel
1 16.80 0.0263 -1.272 0.1018 0.075 2.8214 0.0592 0.0329 7.388 0.0656 0.0393 0.837 0.043 0.0168 0.0568 0.03049 0.0156 0.0107
2 17.30 0.0526 -1.212 0.1128 0.060 2.8507 0.0722 0.0195 7.888 0.0805 0.0278 0.866 0.057 0.0043 0.0702 0.01754 0.0260 0.0267
3 18.50 0.0789 -1.069 0.1426 0.064 2.9178 0.1100 0.0310 9.088 0.1225 0.0436 0.934 0.099 0.0205 0.1096 0.03067 0.0667 0.0123
4 18.50 0.1053 -1.069 0.1426 0.037 2.9178 0.1100 0.0047 9.088 0.1225 0.0173 0.934 0.099 0.0058 0.1096 0.00436 0.0667 0.0386
5 18.70 0.1316 -1.045 0.1481 0.017 2.9285 0.1172 0.0144 9.288 0.1304 0.0012 0.944 0.108 0.0238 0.1172 0.01440 0.0757 0.0559
6 19.10 0.1579 -0.997 0.1594 0.002 2.9497 0.1323 0.0256 9.688 0.1467 0.0112 0.965 0.125 0.0325 0.1331 0.02479 0.0955 0.0624
7 19.20 0.1842 -0.985 0.1623 0.022 2.9549 0.1362 0.0480 9.788 0.1509 0.0334 0.971 0.130 0.0543 0.1372 0.04697 0.1008 0.0834
8 20.10 0.2105 -0.878 0.1901 0.020 3.0007 0.1740 0.0365 10.688 0.1907 0.0198 1.016 0.174 0.0362 0.1772 0.03329 0.1540 0.0565
9 20.50 0.2368 -0.830 0.2033 0.033 3.0204 0.1922 0.0446 11.088 0.2094 0.0274 1.036 0.196 0.0413 0.1964 0.04042 0.1803 0.0566
10 20.70 0.2632 -0.806 0.2102 0.053 3.0301 0.2016 0.0616 11.288 0.2190 0.0441 1.046 0.206 0.0567 0.2063 0.05685 0.1938 0.0693
11 21.70 0.2895 -0.686 0.2462 0.043 3.0773 0.2508 0.0387 12.288 0.2686 0.0209 1.093 0.263 0.0262 0.2581 0.03133 0.2646 0.0249
12 22.00 0.3158 -0.651 0.2576 0.058 3.0910 0.2662 0.0496 12.588 0.2839 0.0318 1.107 0.281 0.0350 0.2743 0.04146 0.2863 0.0294
13 22.80 0.3421 -0.555 0.2894 0.053 3.1268 0.3085 0.0336 13.388 0.3254 0.0167 1.143 0.328 0.0139 0.3184 0.02366 0.3442 0.0021
14 23.80 0.3684 -0.436 0.3315 0.037 3.1697 0.3628 0.0056 14.388 0.3779 0.0095 1.185 0.388 0.0192 0.3746 0.00621 0.4145 0.0461
15 23.80 0.3947 -0.436 0.3315 0.063 3.1697 0.3628 0.0319 14.388 0.3779 0.0168 1.185 0.388 0.0071 0.3746 0.02010 0.4145 0.0197
16 24.10 0.4211 -0.400 0.3446 0.076 3.1822 0.3793 0.0418 14.688 0.3937 0.0274 1.198 0.405 0.0158 0.3915 0.02953 0.4348 0.0137
17 24.40 0.4474 -0.364 0.3579 0.089 3.1946 0.3957 0.0516 14.988 0.4094 0.0380 1.210 0.423 0.0246 0.4084 0.03901 0.4547 0.0073
18 25.00 0.4737 -0.292 0.3850 0.089 3.2189 0.4286 0.0451 15.588 0.4406 0.0331 1.235 0.457 0.0165 0.4418 0.03192 0.4930 0.0193
19 25.00 0.5000 -0.292 0.3850 0.115 3.2189 0.4286 0.0714 15.588 0.4406 0.0594 1.235 0.457 0.0428 0.4418 0.05824 0.4930 0.0070
20 25.90 0.5263 -0.185 0.4266 0.100 3.2542 0.4773 0.0491 16.488 0.4865 0.0398 1.270 0.507 0.0194 0.4908 0.03555 0.5466 0.0202
21 26.40 0.5526 -0.125 0.4502 0.102 3.2734 0.5038 0.0489 16.988 0.5114 0.0413 1.289 0.533 0.0191 0.5172 0.03543 0.5742 0.0216
22 26.50 0.5789 -0.113 0.4549 0.124 3.2771 0.5090 0.0699 17.088 0.5163 0.0627 1.293 0.539 0.0403 0.5224 0.05654 0.5796 0.0006
23 28.10 0.6053 0.078 0.5310 0.074 3.3358 0.5895 0.0157 18.688 0.5917 0.0136 1.352 0.617 0.0115 0.6016 0.00368 0.6570 0.0518
24 28.30 0.6316 0.102 0.5405 0.091 3.3429 0.5991 0.0325 18.888 0.6006 0.0309 1.359 0.626 0.0058 0.6109 0.02070 0.6657 0.0341
25 28.60 0.6579 0.137 0.5547 0.103 3.3534 0.6132 0.0447 19.188 0.6138 0.0440 1.369 0.639 0.0188 0.6245 0.03335 0.6782 0.0203
26 29.90 0.6842 0.293 0.6151 0.069 3.3979 0.6708 0.0134 20.488 0.6680 0.0163 1.414 0.692 0.0081 0.6799 0.00427 0.7273 0.0431
27 30.20 0.7105 0.329 0.6287 0.082 3.4078 0.6833 0.0272 20.788 0.6797 0.0308 1.424 0.704 0.0069 0.6918 0.01870 0.7374 0.0269
28 30.40 0.7368 0.352 0.6377 0.099 3.4144 0.6914 0.0454 20.988 0.6874 0.0495 1.430 0.711 0.0258 0.6996 0.03729 0.7440 0.0071
29 33.80 0.7632 0.758 0.7759 0.013 3.5205 0.8074 0.0442 24.388 0.7983 0.0352 1.536 0.814 0.0504 0.8087 0.04558 0.8316 0.0685
30 34.30 0.7895 0.818 0.7934 0.004 3.5351 0.8211 0.0316 24.888 0.8116 0.0222 1.551 0.825 0.0360 0.8215 0.03202 0.8414 0.0519
31 36.00 0.8158 1.021 0.8464 0.031 3.5835 0.8616 0.0458 26.588 0.8517 0.0359 1.599 0.861 0.0449 0.8594 0.04358 0.8701 0.0543
32 36.20 0.8421 1.045 0.8520 0.010 3.5891 0.8658 0.0237 26.788 0.8559 0.0138 1.605 0.864 0.0222 0.8633 0.02120 0.8730 0.0309
33 40.10 0.8684 1.511 0.9346 0.066 3.6914 0.9282 0.0598 30.688 0.9198 0.0514 1.707 0.919 0.0509 0.9223 0.05388 0.9176 0.0491
34 42.20 0.8947 1.761 0.9609 0.066 3.7424 0.9495 0.0548 32.788 0.9425 0.0478 1.758 0.939 0.0443 0.9430 0.04831 0.9338 0.0390
35 42.60 0.9211 1.809 0.9648 0.044 3.7519 0.9528 0.0318 33.188 0.9461 0.0251 1.768 0.942 0.0211 0.9463 0.02528 0.9364 0.0153
36 46.40 0.9474 2.263 0.9882 0.041 3.8373 0.9756 0.0282 36.988 0.9714 0.0240 1.853 0.965 0.0175 0.9696 0.02228 0.9561 0.0087
37 47.70 0.9737 2.418 0.9922 0.019 3.8649 0.9806 0.0069 38.288 0.9771 0.0034 1.881 0.970 0.0034 0.9751 0.00137 0.9611 0.0126
X 27.4486 3.2707 α 4.64 α 20.00 α 6.5296 α 0.2243
S 8.3745 0.2877 β 3.8884 β 0.0643 µ 23.6801 µ 3.1412
CS 0.9286 0.4473 X0 9.4123 X0 1.9842
n 37 Dmáx 0.12404 0.0714 0.06266 0.05672 0.0582 0.08340
a 0.05 Dcritico > Dmax Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta
Δ crítico 0.224 Mejor Ajuste 5 3 2 1 1 4
 PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMA PARA LOS DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO

NOMBRE CUENCA: PRECIPITACIÓN MAX DIFERENTES "T"

ESTACIÓN: 1.0
DISTRIBUCIÓN TEORICA ELEGIDA: HYDROGNOMOM
0.9

Precipitaciones Diarias Máximas Probables para distintas frecuencas 0.8

Factor de ajuste 1.13 Número de observaciones por día = 1 0.7

Periodo de Retorno Hydrognomon Probabilidad de no 0.6

Pmax Corregido (mm)
T (años) Pmax (mm) excedencia P
0.5
2 0.000 0.500000
5 0.000 0.800000
0.4
10 0.000 0.900000
25 0.000 0.960000 0.3
50 0.000 0.980000
100 0.000 0.990000 0.2
200 0.000 0.995000 PP Max 24
0.1 Horas
500 0.000 0.998000 PP Max
Corregida
1000 0.000 0.999000
0.0
10000 0.000 0.999900 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

Relacion entre Precipitación máxima

verdadera y precipitación en
intervalos fijos
Número de Intervalo de
La Organización Meteorológica Mundial, en su Guía de Prácticas Hidrológicas, explica que estudios de miles de años-estaciones de datos pluviométricos indican que al Observacion
Relación
multiplicar las cantidades máximas anuales de lluvia diaria u horaria, para un solo intervalo fijo de observaciones de una a 24 horas por el factor 1.13, se produciran valores 1 1.13
que se aproximan mucho a los que se obtendrán de un análisis de los máximos reales. Se requieren ajustes menores cuando las cantidades máximas observadas se 2 1.04
determinan a partir de dos o más intervalos de observación fijos 3-4 1.03
5-8 1.02
9-24 1.01
Fuente: Hidrología para ingenieros
(Linsley, Kohler y Paulhus)
 PRUEBA SMIRNOV-KOLGOMOROV
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for:All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a DMax
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 100.00% 0.04727
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.98% 0.05265
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.95% 0.05513
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.92% 0.05628
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.91% 0.05672
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.87% 0.05817
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.81% 0.05968
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.78% 0.06036
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.64% 0.06266
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.37% 0.06551
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.26% 0.06647
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 99.14% 0.06729
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 97.56% 0.07455
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 93.59% 0.08389
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 91.55% 0.08731
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.80% 0.10406
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 57.61% 0.12404
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 56.96% 0.12469
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 55.39% 0.12626
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 53.47% 0.12821
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 51.24% 0.13049
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 30.24% 0.15536
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.93% 0.15579
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 21.49% 0.16929
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 11.20% 0.19308
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 10.81% 0.19429
 PRUEBA CHI-CUADRADO
Número de Clases 6.0
X-Square test for All data a=1% a=5% a=10% Attained a Pearson Param.
LogNormal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 85.33% 0.78378
EV1-Max (Gumbel) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 85.33% 0.78378
EV1-Max (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 85.33% 0.78378
Log Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 79.47% 0.45946
Exponential (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 77.51% 1.10811
Galton ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
Pearson III ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
GEV-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
Pareto ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
GEV-Max (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
GEV-Min (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
Pareto (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 67.58% 0.78378
GEV-Max (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 62.44% 1.75676
GEV-Min ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 48.86% 1.43243
EV2-Max (L-Momments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 38.34% 3.05405
Gamma ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 33.69% 3.37838
Normal ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.54% 3.7027
Normal (L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.54% 3.7027
Exponential ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.54% 3.7027
EV3-Min (Weibull, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 29.54% 3.7027
EV3-Min (Weibull) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 22.59% 4.35135
GEV-Min (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.00% 5.64865
GEV-Min (kappa specified, L-Moments) ACCEPT ACCEPT ACCEPT 13.00% 5.64865
EV2-Max ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 9.80% 6.2973
GEV-Max (kappa specified) ACCEPT ACCEPT REJECT 9.80% 6.2973
EV1-Min (Gumbel) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 3.08% 8.89189
EV1-Min (Gumbel, L-Moments) ACCEPT REJECT REJECT 1.70% 10.1892