Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.3009101835
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.0905469385
R^2 ajustado 0.0858347465
Error típico 383.7386624862
Observaciones 195

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Regresión 1 2829579.53527001
Residuos 193 28420284.6897316
Total 194 31249864.2250016

Coeficientes Error típico

Intercepción 1480.396645819 277.3531228012
Variable X 1 -386.6801608055 88.2117616072
Promedio de los cuadrados F Valor crítico de F
2829579.53527001 19.215460234 1.916043409E-05
147255.361086692

Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95% Inferior 95,0%

5.3375878046 2.627835E-07 933.3642963373 2027.4289953 933.364296337
-4.3835442549 1.916043E-05 -560.663012401 -212.6973092 -560.6630124
 Superior 95,0%
2027.428995301
-212.69730921
 P00326BPM P00270PRM
TC Nominal Bancario
Balanza Promedio Compra-
Comercial Venta - promedio
(mill. US$) mensual (S/ por US$)
Ene00 -36.5887355 3.499452381
Feb00 -42.6366766 3.455952381
Mar00 -55.4178526 3.4428695652
Abr00 -61.2242228 3.4788888889
May00 -91.3358345 3.5033181818
Jun00 -31.6854404 3.4870238095
Jul00 26.54337038 3.480325
Ago00 0.060627861 3.4775454545
Sep00 -11.0624428 3.4849285714
Oct00 -31.7147166 3.5003409091
Nov00 -92.2595064 3.5284761905
Dic00 24.65967846 3.5195789474
Ene01 -40.9771536 3.5226818182
Feb01 -116.279956 3.52845
Mar01 -62.9320958 3.5197954545
Abr01 -43.8843936 3.5587368421
May01 -56.9450776 3.6000454545
Jun01 80.36849078 3.5307575
Jul01 73.03430001 3.5033095238
Ago01 11.14814317 3.49159
Sep01 -51.3461547 3.490025
Oct01 -15.9262241 3.4600681818
Nov01 -7.20670275 3.439575
Dic01 52.19853705 3.43536
Ene02 -68.1455599 3.4595
Feb02 -28.2503838 3.4766
Mar02 52.28827174 3.4562368421
Abr02 -113.50465 3.4388181818
May02 23.33154339 3.4514090909
Jun02 223.0579674 3.4806657895
Jul02 46.2320084 3.5329761905
Ago02 109.6944545 3.5701190476
Sep02 29.84357617 3.6190238095
Oct02 -18.3126538 3.6149952381
Nov02 -13.4238177 3.583275
Dic02 78.29696217 3.5142380952
Ene03 -12.6930337 3.4939545455
Feb03 76.45606074 3.48395
Mar03 -61.9501425 3.4791595238
Abr03 -40.9104401 3.464625
May03 137.5853256 3.481147619
Jun03 154.2785983 3.4787619048
Jul03 67.59395939 3.4714047619
Ago03 115.540124 3.4802619048
Sep03 92.5595202 3.4808636364
Oct03 75.81043823 3.4782045455
Nov03 84.62000194 3.47775
Dic03 196.9935277 3.4712857143
Ene04 187.1812944 3.4671666667
Feb04 247.6063612 3.4835
Mar04 241.665397 3.4650847826
Abr04 60.10053451 3.46965
May04 229.2733758 3.4872380952
Jun04 167.1299971 3.4771666667
Jul04 352.1514505 3.4413
Ago04 257.6121849 3.395452381
Sep04 294.4250276 3.3575909091
Oct04 338.3778381 3.321025
Nov04 201.1664634 3.3101666667
Dic04 427.7035095 3.2810681818
Ene05 346.0747649 3.2682142857
Feb05 330.1990683 3.258825
Mar05 412.3973498 3.2593095238
Abr05 201.127357 3.25795
May05 361.1301207 3.2548809524
Jun05 465.8039635 3.2527619048
Jul05 511.6845601 3.2520526316
Ago05 399.3896331 3.2573409091
Sep05 482.7516663 3.3075227273
Oct05 379.1666426 3.3807857143
Nov05 432.6544551 3.3760714286
Dic05 963.6958946 3.4242857143
Ene06 360.9094353 3.3932954545
Feb06 421.1310106 3.288725
Mar06 462.0881368 3.339326087
Abr06 708.7890116 3.3315277778
May06 691.0119804 3.2790409091
Jun06 779.860981 3.2640642857
Jul06 1167.729813 3.2431
Ago06 768.7669984 3.2343863636
Sep06 942.9814978 3.2477380952
Oct06 669.1392264 3.2374545455
Nov06 854.8315223 3.2220952381
Dic06 1158.825536 3.2053157895
Ene07 309.4138613 3.1925
Feb07 542.3751953 3.1903
Mar07 694.7463684 3.1856136364
Abr07 647.791538 3.1782894737
May07 659.3801626 3.1675227273
Jun07 922.4028673 3.1702
Jul07 953.1502305 3.1609090909
Ago07 554.687981 3.1581818182
Sep07 843.2306182 3.135975
Oct07 633.2300785 3.0198636364
Nov07 586.6553391 3.001
Dic07 1156.175743 2.980775
Ene08 363.1930044 2.9503181818
Feb08 601.4271359 2.9055
Mar08 572.8468486 2.8109210526
Abr08 382.366644 2.7478636364
May08 398.7799486 2.8045789474
Jun08 50.26768148 2.8916190476
Jul08 252.2573585 2.8484285714
Ago08 405.7288086 2.8923095238
Sep08 -131.539312 2.9658409091
Oct08 -399.843116 3.0751590909
Nov08 30.94774941 3.0918888889
Dic08 42.92265625 3.113775
Ene09 -141.683492 3.151125
Feb09 274.2143776 3.236125
Mar09 392.4526992 3.1747727273
Abr09 115.4311118 3.085025
May09 668.5701788 2.99405
Jun09 525.7411045 2.9904761905
Jul09 595.5325335 3.0125
Ago09 594.1202075 2.950547619
Sep09 676.7923421 2.9096590909
Oct09 628.4377692 2.871775
Nov09 704.6213583 2.8845
Dic09 1025.601872 2.8774736842
Ene10 364.2726026 2.85645
Feb10 775.3779131 2.853975
Mar10 429.9519124 2.8392826087
Abr10 443.2658337 2.83985
May10 302.9441827 2.8455
Jun10 859.3065535 2.83805
Jul10 496.5541211 2.8228157895
Ago10 456.7242086 2.8020238095
Sep10 613.9589347 2.7906363636
Oct10 507.0251931 2.791475
Nov10 651.5697748 2.8055952381
Dic10 1086.810118 2.815675
Ene11 250.3324815 2.787047619
Feb11 795.9277435 2.770525
Mar11 849.3571364 2.7793913043
Abr11 282.5959297 2.8156315789
May11 875.0343415 2.774952381
Jun11 962.5295875 2.7640714286
Jul11 1153.93223 2.7413157895
Ago11 1096.470022 2.7393809524
Sep11 785.157886 2.7438409091
Oct11 780.8346695 2.731825
Nov11 102.1095925 2.704952381
Dic11 1290.158346 2.6962631579
Ene12 744.1691759 2.6926590909
Feb12 962.7321012 2.6835238095
Mar12 787.58927 2.671
Abr12 38.00733593 2.6570277778
May12 163.5415611 2.6692727273
Jun12 640.8677371 2.670575
Jul12 367.2772962 2.635047619
Ago12 198.8742252 2.6159761905
Sep12 703.1579289 2.6028
Oct12 322.9211518 2.5876
Nov12 442.068249 2.598625
Dic12 1021.463505 2.5668888889
Ene13 -450.817071 2.5519090909
Feb13 86.35636961 2.5780526316
Mar13 478.1332217 2.5939473684
Abr13 -285.440629 2.5975
May13 -250.249229 2.6443863636
Jun13 141.9615415 2.7475
Jul13 -315.645303 2.7767142857
Ago13 240.8356894 2.8017380952
Sep13 208.9258074 2.7785714286
Oct13 -108.520739 2.7691190476
Nov13 41.14422491 2.798125
Dic13 717.7679804 2.78525
Ene14 -676.272195 2.8089318182
Feb14 360.3361853 2.81265
Mar14 -89.8080751 2.8063809524
Abr14 -443.191041 2.794375
May14 -360.272164 2.7869761905
Jun14 -68.7061198 2.7942380952
Jul14 -195.828476 2.7860952381
Ago14 -23.4274738 2.8144761905
Sep14 -0.14632006 2.8639545455
Oct14 -192.430669 2.9060454545
Nov14 -100.629622 2.925075
Dic14 280.9083193 2.9615
Ene15 -415.964627 3.005525
Feb15 -136.336836 3.078525
Mar15 -540.574649 3.0916818182
Abr15 -615.921445 3.1199525
May15 -360.733097 3.15045
Jun15 -92.78064 3.1612380952
Jul15 -317.099877 3.18125
Ago15 -127.043083 3.2383571429
Sep15 -410.305012 3.2186136364
Oct15 -28.1462142 3.248375
Nov15 -325.255525 3.3366428571
Dic15 220.643196 3.3826666667
Ene16 -521.582867 3.437325
Feb16 -153.693447 3.5059047619
Mar16 -44.6976068 3.4073809524