Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
5
4
3
2
1
Promedio
Varianza
Desviacin Estandar
Coeficiente de Variacin
Desviacin Estandar =
Accin A
5.0%
4.5%
5.5%
5.8%
5.7%
5.3%
Accin B
8.0%
6.5%
9.0%
2.0%
1.0%
5.3%
0.0000295
0.54%
10.248%
0.001295
3.60%
67.898%
((5%-5.3%)^2)+((4.5%-5.3%)^2)+((5.5%-5.3%)^2)+((5.8%-5.3%)^2)+((5.7%-5.3%)^2)
(5-1)
DESVEST
DESVESTA
0.54%
0.54%
Beta
-0.08
Desviacin Estandar =
26.5%
5.30%
3.60%
3.60%
((8-5.3)^2)+((6.5-5.3)^2)+((9-5.3)^2)+((2-5.3)^2)+((1-5.3)^2)
(5-1)
2)+((5.7%-5.3%)^2)
0.000118
4.00
0.54%
0.54%
0.00518
4.00
3.60%
Situacin Inicial
PANEL DE VARIABLES DE ENTRADA
Precio (p)
Cantidad (q)
6.00
20
Modelo de pronstico
Ingreso por venta
ao 1
120.00
Variables de entrada
Ventas
Precio
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Inversin
I.R.
COK
Ao proyecto
Estado de Resultados
25,000
40.00
20.00
300,000.00
420,000.00
35%
13%
7
ao 0
Ingresos
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Depreciacin
IR
NOPAT
FLUJO DE CAJA
NOPAT
Depreciacin
Inversin
FCL
VAN
TIR
ao 0
-420,000
-420,000
247,814.18
30.32%
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
140,000
49000
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
ao 4
ao 5
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
91,000
91,000
91,000
91,000
91,000
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
ao 4
ao 5
91,000
60,000
91,000
60,000
91,000
60,000
91,000
60,000
91,000
60,000
151,000
151,000
151,000
151,000
151,000
ao 6
ao 7
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
1,000,000
-500,000
-300,000
-60,000
-49,000
91,000
91,000
ao 6
ao 7
91,000
60,000
91,000
60,000
151,000
151,000
Variables de entrada
Factor
Ventas
Precio
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Inversin
I.R.
COK
Ao proyecto
Estado de Resultados
25,000
40.00
20.00
300,000.00
420,000.00
35%
13%
7
ao 0
Ingresos
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Depreciacin
IR
NOPAT
FLUJO DE CAJA
NOPAT
Depreciacin
Inversin
FCL
VAN
TIR
ao 0
-420,000.00
-420,000.00
104,079.34
20.62%
0.95
38.00
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
950,000
-500,000
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
58,500
58,500
58,500
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
58,500
60,000.00
58,500
60,000.00
58,500
60,000.00
118,500
118,500
118,500
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
950,000
-500,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-31,500
58,500
58,500
58,500
58,500
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
58,500
60,000.00
58,500
60,000.00
58,500
60,000.00
58,500
60,000.00
118,500
118,500
118,500
118,500
Variables de entrada
Ventas
Precio
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Inversin
I.R.
COK
Ao proyecto
Estado de Resultados
25,000
40.00
20.00
300,000.00
420,000.00
35%
13%
7
ao 0
Ingresos
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Depreciacin
IR
NOPAT
FLUJO DE CAJA
NOPAT
Depreciacin
Inversin
FCL
VAN
TIR
ao 0
-420,000.00
-420,000.00
679,018.69
56.61%
Factor
1.30
ao 1
32,500
ao 2
ao 3
1,300,000
-650,000
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
188,500
188,500
188,500
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
188,500
60,000.00
188,500
60,000.00
188,500
60,000.00
248,500
248,500
248,500
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
1,300,000
-650,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-101,500
188,500
188,500
188,500
188,500
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
188,500
60,000.00
188,500
60,000.00
188,500
60,000.00
188,500
60,000.00
248,500
248,500
248,500
248,500
Variables de entrada
Factor
Ventas
Precio
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Inversin
I.R.
COK
Ao proyecto
Estado de Resultados
25,000
40.00
20.00
300,000.00
420,000.00
35%
13%
7
ao 0
Ingresos
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Depreciacin
IR
NOPAT
FLUJO DE CAJA
NOPAT
Depreciacin
Inversin
FCL
VAN
TIR
ao 0
-420,000.00
-420,000.00
319,681.59
34.93%
0.95
19.00
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
1,000,000
-475,000
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
107,250
107,250
107,250
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
107,250
60,000.00
107,250
60,000.00
107,250
60,000.00
167,250
167,250
167,250
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
1,000,000
-475,000.00
-300,000.00
-60,000.00
-57,750
107,250
107,250
107,250
107,250
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
107,250
60,000.00
107,250
60,000.00
107,250
60,000.00
107,250
60,000.00
167,250
167,250
167,250
167,250
Variables de entrada
Factor
Ventas
Precio
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Inversin
I.R.
COK
Ao proyecto
Estado de Resultados
25,000
40.00
20.00
300,000.00
420,000.00
35%
13%
7
ao 0
Ingresos
Costos variables
Costos fijos
Depreciacin
IR
NOPAT
FLUJO DE CAJA
NOPAT
Depreciacin
Inversin
FCL
VAN
TIR
ao 0
-420,000.00
-420,000.00
290,934.63
33.10%
0.95
ao 1
285,000.00
ao 2
ao 3
1,000,000
-500,000
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
100,750
100,750
100,750
ao 1
ao 2
ao 3
100,750
60,000.00
100,750
60,000.00
100,750
60,000.00
160,750
160,750
160,750
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
1,000,000
-500,000.00
-285,000.00
-60,000.00
-54,250
100,750
100,750
100,750
100,750
ao 4
ao 5
ao 6
ao 7
100,750
60,000.00
100,750
60,000.00
100,750
60,000.00
100,750
60,000.00
160,750
160,750
160,750
160,750
Ventas
679,018.69
Precio
104,079.34
247,814.18
247,814.18
247,814.18
247,814.18
Ventas
274.00
Precio
42.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00