Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Comentarios
• Aparentemente, la Reserva Federal no había terminado el miércoles, ya que ayer anunció que reducirían los programas de inducción de liquidez TAF y TLSF. Esta
declaración indica que la Reserva Federal considera que la economía es lo suficientemente fuerte para recuperarse sin demasiada liquidez adicional. Aparte de lo
bajas que han sido las Ventas de Vivienda Existente (-2,7% frente el 2,1% esperado) el dólar recibió parte del soporte que tanto necesitaba, mientras que las
acciones han experimentado una caída significativa.
• Los subsidios por desempleo estuvieron en el punto de mira en el día de ayer y los resultados fueron buenos por debajo del las previsiones de la opinión
consensuada. Queda por ver si esta tendencia será capaz de mantenerse ahora que entramos en los meses críticos para el mercado de trabajo.
• La publicación de la oferta de participaciones de los bancos, junto con las decepcionantes cifras de las ventas de vivienda en EE.UU. han provocado un repliegue
de las acciones. Si los bancos continúan sufriendo pérdidas y necesitan nuevas capitalizaciones lo más probable será que las acciones sigan bajando.
• EE.UU. domina los datos más importantes de hoy. Atención a las ventas de vivienda nueva – ¿serán también decepcionantes?
Publicaciones de ganancias
País Hora (GMT) Nombre GPA prevista GPA anterior Comentario
US (G(GMT)(GMT)
Pre-apert. KB Home -0,670 -0,190
Informe Diario de Mercado
2.5
120
100
1.5
1 80
0.5
60
-0.5 40
16-maj 16-jul 16-sep 16-nov 16-jan 16-mar 16-maj 16-jul 16-sep 26-09-2008 26-11-2008 26-01-2009 26-03-2009 26-05-2009 26-07-2009
U S B re ake ve n 10 Ye ar Saxo CDS Index
USD breakeven 10 Year – an expression for measuring inflation Credit Default Swaps are expressions for the perceived
expectations. default risk in a company. Now at 52.
AAA and BAA Corporate Bonds vs. 30yr US Treasuries
EURUSD Opt. Vol.
35 7
6
30
5
25
4
20
3
15
2
10
1
5
0
feb-08 maj-08 aug-08 nov-08 feb-09 maj-09 aug-09
0
sep-07 nov-07 jan-08 mar-08 maj-08 jul-08 sep-08 nov-08 jan-09 mar-09 maj-09 jul-09 sep-09
Mo o d y B AA - US Ge n e ric Go vt 3 0 Ye ar Yie l d M o o d y A AA - US Ge n e ri c Go vt 3 0 Ye ar Yi e ld
EUR -USD OP T VOL1 W EUR -U SD OP T VOL1 M EUR -U SD OP T VOL1 Y
Volatility at different time horizons. Too low, now? Spreads are easing, but still showing tight corporate debt
markets.
45
10
40
35
8
30
6 25
20
4 15
10
2
5
0
0
mar-09 apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09
nov-08 dec-08 jan-09 feb-09 mar-09 apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09
C B OE SP X V OLATILITY I NDX
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