Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
B.
B.1
AO
P mx (mm)
Log P mx
Pmx (A-Z)
1965
32.80
1.52
15.40
1966
42.50
1.63
19.20
1967
44.20
1.65
19.50
1968
40.60
1.61
20.40
1969
29.20
1.47
21.60
1970
33.80
1.53
22.20
1971
27.50
1.44
23.30
1972
39.20
1.59
24.50
1973
22.20
1.35
25.20
10
1974
25.60
1.41
25.60
11
1975
39.30
1.59
25.80
12
1976
40.00
1.60
27.00
13
1977
43.60
1.64
27.00
14
1978
25.80
1.41
27.00
15
1979
28.50
1.45
27.20
16
1980
29.70
1.47
27.50
17
1981
27.20
1.43
28.40
18
1982
24.50
1.39
28.50
19
1983
19.50
1.29
29.20
20
1984
15.40
1.19
29.70
21
1985
36.90
1.57
30.30
22
1986
42.30
1.63
30.60
23
1987
21.60
1.33
32.80
24
1988
39.00
1.59
32.90
25
1989
19.20
1.28
33.80
26
1990
25.20
1.40
35.20
27
1991
20.40
1.31
36.00
28
1992
27.00
1.43
36.90
29
1993
32.90
1.52
37.86
30
1994
27.00
1.43
39.00
31
1995
39.80
1.60
39.20
32
1996
35.20
1.55
39.30
33
1997
28.40
1.45
39.34
34
1998
27.00
1.43
39.80
35
1999
42.60
1.63
40.00
36
2000
43.94
1.64
40.60
37
2001
37.86
1.58
42.30
38
2002
39.34
1.59
42.50
39
2003
23.30
1.37
42.60
40
2004
30.30
1.48
43.60
41
2005
30.60
1.49
43.94
42
2006
36.00
1.56
44.20
31.8
1.488
Promedio
m=
Desv. Estndar
s=
7.97
0.116
Coef. Asimetria
c.a. =
-0.07
-0.514
c.a./6
k=
N Datos
n=
-0.086
42
42
Pgina 1 de 8
B.2.
Distribuciones
PT
0.500
1.177
0.00
31.83
0.200
1.794
0.84
38.54
10
0.100
2.146
1.28
42.04
20
0.050
2.448
1.65
44.94
25
0.040
2.537
1.75
45.78
50
0.020
2.797
2.05
48.20
100
0.010
3.035
2.33
50.37
200
0.005
3.255
2.58
52.36
500
0.002
3.526
2.88
54.77
1000
0.001
3.717
3.09
56.46
(aos)
(mm)
Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401
PT
Log Pm
0.500
1.177
0.000
1.488
30.80
0.200
1.794
0.841
1.586
38.54
10
0.100
2.146
1.282
1.637
43.34
20
0.050
2.448
1.645
1.679
47.75
25
0.040
2.537
1.751
1.691
49.12
50
0.020
2.797
2.054
1.726
53.25
100
0.010
3.035
2.327
1.758
57.26
200
0.005
3.255
2.576
1.787
61.20
500
0.002
3.526
2.879
1.822
66.34
1000
0.001
3.717
3.091
1.846
70.20
(aos)
(mm)
Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401
Se debe tener en cuenta el ultimo parrafo de esta pagina; es decir que el procedimiento es el mismo excepto que este se
aplica a los logaritmos de las variables y su media y desviacion estndar son usadas para la generacion de caudales
PT
KT
Log Pm
0.500
1.1774
0.000
0.085
1.50
31.50
0.200
1.7941
0.841
0.855
1.59
38.68
10
0.100
2.1460
1.282
1.214
1.63
42.56
20
0.050
2.4477
1.645
1.487
1.66
45.78
25
0.040
2.5373
1.751
1.563
1.67
46.72
50
0.020
2.7971
2.054
1.772
1.69
49.39
100
0.010
3.0349
2.327
1.949
1.71
51.77
200
0.005
3.2552
2.576
2.101
1.73
53.93
500
0.002
3.5255
2.879
2.276
1.75
56.49
1000
0.001
3.7169
3.091
2.391
1.77
58.25
(aos)
Usando la metodologia del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag 401-403
Pgina 2 de 8
(mm)
B.2.4.
KT
(aos)
B.2.5.
Para N = 42 datos;
PT
(mm)
-0.1478
30.65
0.9186
39.15
10
1.6247
44.78
20
2.3020
50.17
25
2.5169
51.89
50
3.1787
57.16
100
3.8357
62.39
200
4.4902
67.61
500
5.3538
74.49
1000
6.0065
79.69
KT
PT
(mm)
-0.1643
30.52
0.7195
37.56
10
1.3046
42.23
20
1.8659
46.70
25
2.0439
48.12
50
2.5924
52.49
100
3.1368
56.83
200
3.6792
61.15
500
4.3949
66.85
1000
4.9357
71.16
Distribucin Distribucin
Log
Normal
Log Normal Pearson III
Gumbel
Gumbel
Modificado
XT
XT
XT
XT
XT
0.500
31.83
30.80
31.50
30.65
30.52
T
5
0.200
38.54
38.54
38.68
39.15
37.56
10
0.100
42.04
43.34
42.56
44.78
42.23
20
0.050
44.94
47.75
45.78
50.17
46.70
25
0.040
45.78
49.12
46.72
51.89
48.12
50
0.020
48.20
53.25
49.39
57.16
52.49
100
0.010
50.37
57.26
51.77
62.39
56.83
200
0.005
52.36
61.20
53.93
67.61
61.15
500
0.002
54.77
66.34
56.49
74.49
66.85
1000
0.001
56.46
70.20
58.25
79.69
71.16
0.210
0.118
0.115
0.127
0.042
0.140
Delta c (Dc) =
Pgina 3 de 8
FIGURA N 7.1
PRECIPITACIONES MAXIMA DE 24 HR. vs PERIODOS DE RETORNO
85
80
75
70
Dist. Normal
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
10
Pgina 4 de 8
100
1000
Distribucion Log-Normal
CUADRO N 7.14
N
P
(mm)
P(x)
15.40
0.023
19.20
0.047
19.50
CUADRO N 7.15
F(Z)
Dx
F(Z) - P(x)
P (mm)
X
Ln P
(Y)
P(x)
F(Z)
Dx
F(Z) - P(x)
-2.06
0.02
-1.59
0.06
0.00
15.40
2.73
0.023
-2.60
0.00
0.02
0.01
19.20
2.95
0.047
-1.77
0.04
0.070
-1.55
0.01
0.06
0.01
19.50
2.97
0.070
-1.71
0.04
20.40
0.093
0.03
-1.43
0.08
0.02
20.40
3.02
0.093
-1.54
0.06
21.60
0.03
0.116
-1.28
0.10
0.02
21.60
3.07
0.116
-1.33
0.09
0.02
22.20
0.140
-1.21
0.11
0.03
22.20
3.10
0.140
-1.23
0.11
0.03
23.30
0.163
-1.07
0.14
0.02
23.30
3.15
0.163
-1.05
0.15
0.02
24.50
0.186
-0.92
0.18
0.01
24.50
3.20
0.186
-0.86
0.20
0.01
25.20
0.209
-0.83
0.20
0.01
25.20
3.23
0.209
-0.75
0.23
0.02
10
25.60
0.233
-0.78
0.22
0.02
10
25.60
3.24
0.233
-0.69
0.24
0.01
11
25.80
0.256
-0.76
0.22
0.03
11
25.80
3.25
0.256
-0.66
0.25
0.00
12
27.00
0.279
-0.61
0.27
0.01
12
27.00
3.30
0.279
-0.49
0.31
0.03
13
27.00
0.302
-0.61
0.27
0.03
13
27.00
3.30
0.302
-0.49
0.31
0.01
14
27.00
0.326
-0.61
0.27
0.05
14
27.00
3.30
0.326
-0.49
0.31
0.01
15
27.20
0.349
-0.58
0.28
0.07
15
27.20
3.30
0.349
-0.47
0.32
0.03
16
27.50
0.372
-0.54
0.29
0.08
16
27.50
3.31
0.372
-0.42
0.34
0.04
17
28.40
0.395
-0.43
0.33
0.06
17
28.40
3.35
0.395
-0.30
0.38
0.01
18
28.50
0.419
-0.42
0.34
0.08
18
28.50
3.35
0.419
-0.29
0.39
0.03
19
29.20
0.442
-0.33
0.37
0.07
19
29.20
3.37
0.442
-0.20
0.42
0.02
20
29.70
0.465
-0.27
0.39
0.07
20
29.70
3.39
0.465
-0.14
0.45
0.02
21
30.30
0.488
-0.19
0.42
0.06
21
30.30
3.41
0.488
-0.06
0.48
0.01
22
30.60
0.512
-0.15
0.44
0.07
22
30.60
3.42
0.512
-0.02
0.49
0.02
23
32.80
0.535
0.12
0.55
0.01
23
32.80
3.49
0.535
0.24
0.59
0.06
24
32.90
0.558
0.13
0.55
0.00
24
32.90
3.49
0.558
0.25
0.60
0.04
25
33.80
0.581
0.25
0.60
0.02
25
33.80
3.52
0.581
0.35
0.64
0.06
26
35.20
0.605
0.42
0.66
0.06
26
35.20
3.56
0.605
0.50
0.69
0.09
27
36.00
0.628
0.52
0.70
0.07
27
36.00
3.58
0.628
0.59
0.72
0.09
28
36.90
0.651
0.64
0.74
0.09
28
36.90
3.61
0.651
0.68
0.75
0.10
29
37.86
0.674
0.76
0.78
0.10
29
37.86
3.63
0.674
0.77
0.78
0.11
30
39.00
0.698
0.90
0.82
0.12
30
39.00
3.66
0.698
0.89
0.81
0.11
31
39.20
0.721
0.92
0.82
0.10
31
39.20
3.67
0.721
0.91
0.82
0.10
32
39.30
0.744
0.94
0.83
0.08
32
39.30
3.67
0.744
0.91
0.82
0.08
33
39.34
0.767
0.94
0.83
0.06
33
39.34
3.67
0.767
0.92
0.82
0.05
34
39.80
0.791
1.00
0.84
0.05
34
39.80
3.68
0.791
0.96
0.83
0.04
35
40.00
0.814
1.03
0.85
0.03
35
40.00
3.69
0.814
0.98
0.84
0.02
36
40.60
0.837
1.10
0.86
0.03
36
40.60
3.70
0.837
1.04
0.85
0.01
37
42.30
0.860
1.31
0.91
0.05
37
42.30
3.74
0.860
1.19
0.88
0.02
38
42.50
0.884
1.34
0.91
0.03
38
42.50
3.75
0.884
1.21
0.89
0.00
39
42.60
0.907
1.35
0.91
0.00
39
42.60
3.75
0.907
1.22
0.89
0.02
40
43.60
0.930
1.48
0.93
0.00
40
43.60
3.78
0.930
1.30
0.90
0.03
41
43.94
0.953
1.52
0.94
0.02
41
43.94
3.78
0.953
1.33
0.91
0.04
42
44.20
0.977
1.55
0.94
0.04
42
44.20
3.79
0.977
1.36
0.91
0.06
Suma (mm)
1336.94
Dmax =
0.118
Suma (mm)
1336.94
143.95
Dmax =
0.115
Media (mm)
31.83
Media (mm)
31.83
3.43
D.Est. (mm)
7.97
D.Est. (mm)
7.97
0.27
Pgina 5 de 8
Distribucion Gumbel
CUADRO N 7.16
CUADRO N 7.17
P (mm)
(X)
P(X)
G(y)
Dx
G(y) - P(x)
P (mm)
(X)
P(X)
F(z)
Dx
F(z) - P(x)
15.40
0.023
-2.07
0.00
0.02
15.40
0.023
-1.69
0.00
0.02
19.20
0.047
-1.46
0.01
0.03
19.20
0.047
-1.18
0.04
0.01
19.50
0.070
-1.41
0.02
0.05
19.50
0.070
-1.14
0.04
0.03
20.40
0.093
-1.26
0.03
0.06
20.40
0.093
-1.02
0.06
0.03
21.60
0.116
-1.07
0.05
0.06
21.60
0.116
-0.86
0.09
0.02
22.20
0.140
-0.97
0.07
0.07
22.20
0.140
-0.78
0.11
0.03
23.30
0.163
-0.80
0.11
0.05
23.30
0.163
-0.63
0.15
0.01
24.50
0.186
-0.60
0.16
0.03
24.50
0.186
-0.47
0.20
0.02
25.20
0.209
-0.49
0.20
0.01
25.20
0.209
-0.37
0.23
0.03
10
25.60
0.233
-0.43
0.22
0.02
10
25.60
0.233
-0.32
0.25
0.02
11
25.80
0.256
-0.39
0.23
0.03
11
25.80
0.256
-0.29
0.26
0.01
12
27.00
0.279
-0.20
0.29
0.02
12
27.00
0.279
-0.13
0.32
0.04
13
27.00
0.302
-0.20
0.29
0.01
13
27.00
0.302
-0.13
0.32
0.02
14
27.00
0.326
-0.20
0.29
0.03
14
27.00
0.326
-0.13
0.32
0.00
15
27.20
0.349
-0.17
0.31
0.04
15
27.20
0.349
-0.10
0.33
0.02
16
27.50
0.372
-0.12
0.32
0.05
16
27.50
0.372
-0.06
0.35
0.03
17
28.40
0.395
0.02
0.38
0.02
17
28.40
0.395
0.06
0.39
0.01
18
28.50
0.419
0.04
0.38
0.04
18
28.50
0.419
0.07
0.40
0.02
19
29.20
0.442
0.15
0.42
0.02
19
29.20
0.442
0.17
0.43
0.01
20
29.70
0.465
0.23
0.45
0.01
20
29.70
0.465
0.24
0.45
0.01
21
30.30
0.488
0.33
0.49
0.00
21
30.30
0.488
0.32
0.48
0.01
22
30.60
0.512
0.38
0.50
0.01
22
30.60
0.512
0.36
0.50
0.01
23
32.80
0.535
0.73
0.62
0.08
23
32.80
0.535
0.65
0.59
0.06
24
32.90
0.558
0.75
0.62
0.07
24
32.90
0.558
0.67
0.60
0.04
25
33.80
0.581
0.89
0.66
0.08
25
33.80
0.581
0.79
0.63
0.05
26
35.20
0.605
1.12
0.72
0.12
26
35.20
0.605
0.98
0.69
0.08
27
36.00
0.628
1.25
0.75
0.12
27
36.00
0.628
1.09
0.71
0.09
28
36.90
0.651
1.39
0.78
0.13
28
36.90
0.651
1.21
0.74
0.09
29
37.86
0.674
1.55
0.81
0.13
29
37.86
0.674
1.34
0.77
0.09
30
39.00
0.698
1.73
0.84
0.14
30
39.00
0.698
1.49
0.80
0.10
31
39.20
0.721
1.76
0.84
0.12
31
39.20
0.721
1.52
0.80
0.08
32
39.30
0.744
1.78
0.84
0.10
32
39.30
0.744
1.53
0.81
0.06
33
39.34
0.767
1.79
0.85
0.08
33
39.34
0.767
1.54
0.81
0.04
34
39.80
0.791
1.86
0.86
0.07
34
39.80
0.791
1.60
0.82
0.03
35
40.00
0.814
1.89
0.86
0.05
35
40.00
0.814
1.63
0.82
0.01
36
40.60
0.837
1.99
0.87
0.03
36
40.60
0.837
1.71
0.83
0.00
37
42.30
0.860
2.26
0.90
0.04
37
42.30
0.860
1.94
0.87
0.01
38
42.50
0.884
2.29
0.90
0.02
38
42.50
0.884
1.96
0.87
0.01
39
42.60
0.907
2.31
0.91
0.00
39
42.60
0.907
1.98
0.87
0.04
40
43.60
0.930
2.47
0.92
0.01
40
43.60
0.930
2.11
0.89
0.04
41
43.94
0.953
2.53
0.92
0.03
41
43.94
0.953
2.16
0.89
0.06
42
44.20
0.977
2.57
0.93
0.05
42
44.20
0.977
2.19
0.89
0.08
Suma (mm)
1336.94
Dmax =
0.140
Suma (mm)
1336.94
Dmax =
0.042
Media (mm)
31.83
Media (mm)
31.83
D.Est. (S)
7.97
D.Est. (S)
7.87
6.21
28.25
m = X 0.5772156649
=
y =
G( y ) = e
7.41
e y
Pgina 6 de 8
27.95
(Para N) poblacional
Del libro de Linsley, Hidrologia para Ingenieros y del boletin
N 34, Analisis de Frecuencias de fenomenos en Hidrologia
de Manuel Paulet (De tabla A-8, Pag. 583 del libro
Engineering Hydrology de Victor Ponce, 1989).
=
y =
= 0 . 5236
= 1 . 0628
CUADRO N 7.18
P(x)
Dx
F(kT) - P(x)
0.000
0.02
0.02
0.043
0.05
0.00
-1.71
0.050
0.07
0.02
1.31
-1.54
0.076
0.09
0.02
21.60
1.33
-1.33
0.102
0.12
0.01
22.20
1.35
-1.23
0.119
0.14
0.02
23.30
1.37
-1.05
0.158
0.16
0.00
24.50
1.39
-0.86
0.209
0.19
0.02
25.20
1.40
-0.75
0.241
0.21
0.03
10
25.60
1.41
-0.69
0.258
0.23
0.03
11
25.80
1.41
-0.66
0.272
0.26
0.02
12
27.00
1.43
-0.49
0.323
0.28
0.04
13
27.00
1.43
-0.49
0.330
0.30
0.03
14
27.00
1.43
-0.49
0.338
0.33
0.01
15
27.20
1.43
-0.47
0.344
0.35
0.00
16
27.50
1.44
-0.42
0.351
0.37
0.02
17
28.40
1.45
-0.30
0.382
0.40
0.01
18
28.50
1.45
-0.29
0.395
0.42
0.02
19
29.20
1.47
-0.20
0.430
0.44
0.01
20
29.70
1.47
-0.14
0.450
0.47
0.02
21
30.30
1.48
-0.06
0.478
0.49
0.01
22
30.60
1.49
-0.02
0.495
0.51
0.02
23
32.80
1.52
0.24
0.598
0.53
0.06
24
32.90
1.52
0.25
0.606
0.56
0.05
25
33.80
1.53
0.35
0.647
0.58
0.07
26
35.20
1.55
0.50
0.705
0.60
0.10
27
36.00
1.56
0.59
0.732
0.63
0.10
28
36.90
1.57
0.68
0.765
0.65
0.11
29
37.86
1.58
0.77
0.791
0.67
0.12
30
39.00
1.59
0.89
0.825
0.70
0.13
31
39.20
1.59
0.91
0.835
0.72
0.11
32
39.30
1.59
0.91
0.835
0.74
0.09
33
39.34
1.59
0.92
0.839
0.77
0.07
34
39.80
1.60
0.96
0.852
0.79
0.06
35
40.00
1.60
0.98
0.856
0.81
0.04
36
40.60
1.61
1.04
0.865
0.84
0.03
37
42.30
1.63
1.19
0.889
0.86
0.03
38
42.50
1.63
1.21
0.892
0.88
0.01
39
42.60
1.63
1.22
0.901
0.91
0.01
40
43.60
1.64
1.30
0.908
0.93
0.02
41
43.94
1.64
1.33
0.912
0.95
0.04
42
44.20
1.65
1.36
0.917
0.98
0.06
Suma (mm)
1336.94
62.517
Dmax =
0.127
Media (mm)
31.83
1.488
D.Est. (mm)
7.97
P (mm)
X
Log P
(Log X)
kT
15.40
1.19
-2.60
19.20
1.28
-1.77
19.50
1.29
20.40
Coef. Asimetria
F(kT)
(*)
0.116
-0.5135
(*): De Tabla 12.3.1 del Libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, Pag. 404; por interpolacion segn el valor de kT
El valor de kT, se obtiene del libro de Hidrologia Aplicada de Ven Te Chow, pag. 400.
kT =
LogY T LogY
S LogY
Pgina 7 de 8
FIGURA N 7.2
PROBABILIDAD ACUMULADA
0.9
Dist. Emprica
Dist. Normal
0.8
0.7
Dist. Gumbel
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
15
20
25
30
Pgina 8 de 8
35
40
45