Año Trimestre Periodo (t) Demanda (At)

2013 I 1 2250
II 2 1737
III 3 2412
IV 4 7269 Demanda trimestral del plas
2014 I 5 3514 14000
II 6 2143
12000
III 7 3459

Demanda (miles de libras)

IV 8 7056 10000
2015 I 9 4120 8000
II 10 2766
6000
III 11 2556
IV 12 8253 4000
2016 I 13 5791 2000
II 14 4382 0
III 15 4315 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1
IV 16 12035 Periodos de tiempo (trim
2017 I 17 5648
II 18 3696
III 19 4843
IV 20 13097
Demanda trimestral del plastico oscuro

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Periodos de tiempo (trimestres)
Año Trimestre Periodo (t) Demanda (At) Pronostico (Ft) ME
2013 I 1 2250
II 2 1737 2250 -513
III 3 2412 1737 675
IV 4 7269 2412 4857
2014 I 5 3514 7269 -3755
II 6 2143 3514 -1371
III 7 3459 2143 1316
IV 8 7056 3459 3597
2015 I 9 4120 7056 -2936
II 10 2766 4120 -1354
III 11 2556 2766 -210
IV 12 8253 2556 5697
2016 I 13 5791 8253 -2462
II 14 4382 5791 -1409
III 15 4315 4382 -67
IV 16 12035 4315 7720
2017 I 17 5648 12035 -6387
II 18 3696 5648 -1952
III 19 4843 3696 1147
IV 20 13097 4843 8254
2018 I 21 13097 10847

n ME
19 570.895
 MAE MPE MAPE

513 -0.2953 0.2953

675 0.2799 0.2799
4857 0.6682 0.6682
3755 -1.0686 1.0686
1371 -0.6398 0.6398
1316 0.3805 0.3805
3597 0.5098 0.5098
2936 -0.7126 0.7126
1354 -0.4895 0.4895
210 -0.0822 0.0822
5697 0.6903 0.6903
2462 -0.4251 0.4251
1409 -0.3215 0.3215
67 -0.0155 0.0155
7720 0.6415 0.6415
6387 -1.1308 1.1308
1952 -0.5281 0.5281
1147 0.2368 0.2368
8254 0.6302 0.6302 Suma de cuadrados
55679 -1.6721 9.7462 279610307

MAE MPE MAPE MSE RMSE

2930.474 -9% 0.5130 14716331.9473684 3836.1872