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ANEXO 01

CUADRO N° 2.1.1. REGISTRO HISTÓRICO


ESTACIÓN HUAROS

Estación : HUAROS Longitud : 76°34'33.02''"W" Dpto. LIMA


Parámetro : PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm) Latitud : 11°24'26.78''"S" Prov. CANTA
Altitud : 3580 m.s.n.m. Dist. HUAROS

AÑO ENE. FEB. MAR. ABR. MAY. JUN. JUL. AGO. SET. OCT. NOV. DIC. MÁXIMO
1964 16 14.5 12.2 20 0 0 0 0 4 7 6.3 14.4 20.0
1965 16.2 21.5 31.5 8.7 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 12 31.5
1966 17.1 31.4 9.4 14.2 9.2 0 0 0 12.8 16.6 18.8 17.6 31.4
1967 15.9 27.9 22.3 0 0 0 3 0 0 12.5 12 12 27.9
1968 11.6 13 8.7 10.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 13.0
1969 10 12.5 11.3 14 0 0 0 0 0 18 6 20 20.0
1970 25 12.6 13.3 10 0 0 0 0 0 3.1 4.5 8.2 25.0
1971 8 11.2 20.5 4.5 0.1 0 0 0 0 4.5 0 14.1 20.5
1972 15.2 5 19.7 12.2 9.5 0 0 0 11.2 5 8.2 10.5 19.7
1974 11.2 14.4 15.2 5 4.5 0 0 0 2.1 0 0 7 15.2
1975 11.6 12.2 17.1 9 7.5 0 0 10 0 0 8.3 10.8 17.1
1976 17.2 10.2 18.4 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.1 18.4
1977 0 20.1 8 31.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.6 8 31.5
1978 5.8 12.1 10.3 8 1.8 0 0 0 8 3.2 5.5 12 12.1
1979 0 8.3 18.7 12.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18.7
1980 26.5 10 25.9 17 0 0 0 1 0 20.2 14 12.3 26.5
1981 0 18 24.4 22.2 0 0 0 0 0 13 4.2 15.8 24.4
1982 20.5 20 15.8 8.2 0 0 0 0 0 9.8 10 10 20.5
1983 13 0 11.8 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 18.0
1984 27 31.8 27.8 17.3 16.3 0 0 0 0 13.3 21 15.3 31.8
1985 0 9.9 31.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 31.5
1986 10 18 13.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 18.0
1987 16.8 10.3 9 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 16.8
1988 11.1 8.1 8.1 9.5 S/D 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 12.0
1989 11.5 9 18.1 13 9.8 0 8.2 0 12.2 0 0 4 18.1
1990 8.2 5.5 8.2 8.3 0 0 0 0 0 13 14.7 8.3 14.7
1991 14.5 14.1 17.6 5.6 0 0 0 0 0 3.3 6.4 4.2 17.6
1992 5.5 3.1 11.7 4.2 0 0 0 0 0 11.3 0 9.1 11.7
1993 10.2 21 21 12.3 4.2 0 0 2.5 6.3 9.4 18.1 12.9 21.0
1994 16 26.4 24.1 13 4.6 0 2.6 3.2 3.7 4 11.6 10.5 26.4
1995 13.8 11.5 13.5 25 2.9 2.4 0 5.4 4.5 7.4 9.3 22.6 25.0
1996 14.4 23.6 18 11.3 3.7 0 0 0.9 2.6 3.6 5.6 9.7 23.6
1997 11 14.3 11.5 3.6 2.6 0 0 0 4.3 13.4 8 20.9 20.9
1998 16.8 20.5 19.6 6 0 0 0 0 1.2 14 5.3 9.5 20.5
1999 12.2 23 17 8.2 5.6 0.6 0 0 4.6 5.1 9.5 15.5 23.0
2000 22.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22.3
2001 15.7 10.8 24.4 12.3 2.1 0 2.2 0 13.2 6.6 12 16.2 24.4
2002 4.8 19.2 14.2 11.2 5.7 3.8 1 0 9.2 10.7 17.7 12.3 19.2
2003 12 13.5 19.1 9.3 0 0 0 0 1.6 4.2 8.8 12.6 19.1
2004 4.1 13.5 10.7 10.3 3 1.2 0.5 0 5.7 11.9 12.3 12.3 13.5
2005 20 10.9 12.5 16.3 0 0 0 0 0 8.8 10.1 11.6 20.0
2006 14.1 17.5 14.8 16.1 0 0 0 0 0.8 5.2 7.5 17.1 17.5
2007 11.7 13.6 19.6 9.3 6.4 0 0 2.9 2.9 8.9 8.8 9.2 19.6
2008 10.1 14.9 11.9 5 0 0 0 3.4 0.4 6 6.5 12.8 14.9
2009 11.1 22.4 18.4 10.9 2.4 0 0 6.6 6.1 8.9 12.8 18.2 22.4
2010 16.4 10.3 15.4 3.2 2.3 0.8 0 0 4.6 7.7 10.8 12.3 16.4
2011 10.7 13.2 11.6 19.3 1.3 0 2.2 1.4 3.9 2.3 13.3 17.9 19.3
2012 5.1 17.3 19.3 11.8 4.4 0 0.6 0 11.2 6.4 7.3 18.1 19.3
2013 10.8 12.1 13.9 10.2 5.7 0.3 0 7 0 9.5 5.3 28.4 28.4
PROMEDIO 12.4 14.6 16.1 10.6 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.8 6.4 7.0 12.3 20.8
DESV. EST. 6.4 7.0 6.3 6.4 3.5 0.7 1.3 2.2 4.0 5.5 5.9 5.4 5.4
MÁXIMO 27.0 31.8 31.5 31.5 16.3 3.8 8.2 10.0 13.2 20.2 21.0 28.4 31.8
MÍNIMO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
Nº Datos 49 49 49 49 48 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49
S/D: Sin Dato
FUENTE: SENAMHI.

HISTOGRAMA DEL REGISTRO HISTÓRICO


ESTACIÓN HUAROS

35.0
Precipitación Máxima en 24H (mm)

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0

5.0

0.0
1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

Tiempo (años)
REGISTRO HISTÓRICO
Cuadro 2.1.2: DATOS DE PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS
ESTACIÓN HUAROS

Nº AÑO ORDEN P24 log(P24)


1 1964 23 20.0 1.3010
2 1965 2 31.5 1.4983
3 1966 5 31.4 1.4969
4 1967 7 27.9 1.4456
5 1968 46 13.0 1.1139
6 1969 24 20.0 1.3010
7 1970 10 25.0 1.3979
8 1971 20 20.5 1.3118
9 1972 26 19.7 1.2945
10 1974 42 15.2 1.1818
11 1975 39 17.1 1.2330
12 1976 33 18.4 1.2648
13 1977 3 31.5 1.4983
14 1978 47 12.1 1.0828
15 1979 32 18.7 1.2718
16 1980 8 26.5 1.4232
17 1981 12 24.4 1.3874
18 1982 21 20.5 1.3118
19 1983 35 18.0 1.2553
20 1984 1 31.8 1.5024
21 1985 4 31.5 1.4983
22 1986 36 18.0 1.2553
23 1987 40 16.8 1.2253
24 1988 48 12.0 1.0792
25 1989 34 18.1 1.2577
26 1990 44 14.7 1.1673
27 1991 37 17.6 1.2455
28 1992 49 11.7 1.0682
29 1993 18 21.0 1.3222
30 1994 9 26.4 1.4216 Mínimo valor histórico registrado
31 1995 11 25.0 1.3979
32 1996 14 23.6 1.3729
33 1997 19 20.9 1.3201
34 1998 22 20.5 1.3118
35 1999 15 23.0 1.3617
36 2000 17 22.3 1.3483
37 2001 13 24.4 1.3874
38 2002 30 19.2 1.2833
39 2003 31 19.1 1.2810
40 2004 45 13.5 1.1303
41 2005 25 20.0 1.3010
42 2006 38 17.5 1.2430
43 2007 27 19.6 1.2923
44 2008 43 14.9 1.1732
45 2009 16 22.4 1.3502
46 2010 41 16.4 1.2148 Máximo valor histórico registrado
47 2011 28 19.3 1.2856
48 2012 29 19.3 1.2856
49 2013 6 28.4 1.4533

Numero de datos n 49 49
Suma ∑ 1020.3 63.9082
Máximo 31.8 1.5024
Mínimo 11.7 1.0682
Promedio x̅ 20.8 1.3042
Desviación estándar s 5.3989 0.1131
Coeficiente asimetría Cs 0.4971 -0.1033
Cs/6 k 0.0828 -0.0172

PRUEBA DE DATOS DUDOSOS (Método Water Resources Council)

n= 49
Kn = 2.744 *
Kn: valor recomendado, varía según el valor de n
(significancia:10%)

Umbral de datos dudosos altos (xH: unid. logaritmicas)


xH = x + Kn ⋅ s xH = 1.61

Precipitación máxima aceptada


PH = 10 xH PH = 41.2 mm

Umbral de datos dudosos bajos (xL: unid. logaritmicas)


x = x + Kn ⋅ s xL = 0.99
L

Precipitación mínima aceptada


PH = 10 xL PL = 9.9 mm

Se observa que todos los valores ' P24 ' están dentro de los límites
Nota:
PH y PL,

es decir se encuentran entre 53.8 y 20.2 mm. No existen datos


dudosos.

* Referencia: Tabla 12.5.3 - Hidrología Aplicada, Ven Te Chow


Cuadro 2.1.3: PRUEBA DE LA BONDAD DEL AJUSTE - GRÁFICA DE PROBABILIDADES

P24 log(P24)
Numero de datos: n 49
Promedio: x 20.82 1.30
Desviación estándar: s 5.40 0.11
Coeficiente asimetría: Cs 0.50 -0.10
Cs/6: k 0.08 -0.02

ESTACIÓN HUAROS
VALOR OBSERVADO NORMAL GUMBEL LOGNORMAL PEARSON III LOGPEARSON III
N T P(X≤xT)
P24 log(P24) KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO KT ESPERADO
1 50.00 2.00% 31.8 1.5024 2.0537 31.9 2.5923 34.8 2.0537 34.4 2.3102 33.3 1.9980 33.9
2 25.00 4.00% 31.5 1.4983 1.7507 30.3 2.0438 31.9 1.7507 31.8 1.9089 31.1 1.7146 31.5
3 16.67 6.00% 31.5 1.4983 1.5548 29.2 1.7196 30.1 1.5548 30.2 1.6587 29.8 1.5298 30.0
4 12.50 8.00% 31.5 1.4983 1.4051 28.4 1.4870 28.9 1.4051 29.1 1.4724 28.8 1.3877 28.9
5 10.00 10.00% 31.4 1.4969 1.2816 27.7 1.3046 27.9 1.2816 28.1 1.3217 28.0 1.2699 28.1
6 8.33 12.00% 28.4 1.4533 1.1750 27.2 1.1538 27.1 1.1750 27.4 1.1939 27.3 1.1679 27.3
7 7.14 14.00% 27.9 1.4456 1.0803 26.7 1.0249 26.4 1.0803 26.7 1.0822 26.7 1.0769 26.7
8 6.25 16.00% 26.5 1.4232 0.9945 26.2 0.9118 25.7 0.9945 26.1 0.9822 26.1 0.9942 26.1
9 5.56 18.00% 26.4 1.4216 0.9154 25.8 0.8109 25.2 0.9154 25.6 0.8913 25.6 0.9177 25.6
10 5.00 20.00% 25.0 1.3979 0.8416 25.4 0.7195 24.7 0.8416 25.1 0.8075 25.2 0.8462 25.1
11 4.55 22.00% 25.0 1.3979 0.7722 25.0 0.6357 24.3 0.7722 24.6 0.7295 24.8 0.7787 24.7
12 4.17 24.00% 24.4 1.3874 0.7063 24.6 0.5581 23.8 0.7063 24.2 0.6562 24.4 0.7145 24.3
13 3.85 26.00% 24.4 1.3874 0.6433 24.3 0.4858 23.4 0.6433 23.8 0.5869 24.0 0.6531 23.9
14 3.57 28.00% 23.6 1.3729 0.5828 24.0 0.4179 23.1 0.5828 23.5 0.5210 23.6 0.5939 23.5
15 3.33 30.00% 23.0 1.3617 0.5244 23.7 0.3538 22.7 0.5244 23.1 0.4579 23.3 0.5366 23.2
16 3.13 32.00% 22.4 1.3502 0.4677 23.3 0.2928 22.4 0.4677 22.8 0.3973 23.0 0.4809 22.8
17 2.94 34.00% 22.3 1.3483 0.4125 23.0 0.2347 22.1 0.4125 22.4 0.3387 22.7 0.4265 22.5
18 2.78 36.00% 21.0 1.3222 0.3585 22.8 0.1790 21.8 0.3585 22.1 0.2820 22.3 0.3732 22.2
19 2.63 38.00% 20.9 1.3201 0.3055 22.5 0.1254 21.5 0.3055 21.8 0.2268 22.0 0.3209 21.9
20 2.50 40.00% 20.5 1.3118 0.2533 22.2 0.0737 21.2 0.2533 21.5 0.1729 21.8 0.2693 21.6
21 2.38 42.00% 20.5 1.3118 0.2019 21.9 0.0236 20.9 0.2019 21.2 0.1202 21.5 0.2183 21.3
22 2.27 44.00% 20.5 1.3118 0.1510 21.6 -0.0251 20.7 0.1510 21.0 0.0685 21.2 0.1677 21.0
23 2.17 46.00% 20.0 1.3010 0.1004 21.4 -0.0725 20.4 0.1004 20.7 0.0176 20.9 0.1174 20.8
24 2.08 48.00% 20.0 1.3010 0.0502 21.1 -0.1189 20.2 0.0502 20.4 -0.0326 20.6 0.0673 20.5
25 2.00 50.00% 20.0 1.3010 0.0000 20.8 -0.1643 19.9 0.0000 20.1 -0.0823 20.4 0.0172 20.2
26 1.92 52.00% 19.7 1.2945 -0.0502 20.6 -0.2089 19.7 -0.0502 19.9 -0.1315 20.1 -0.0330 20.0
27 1.85 54.00% 19.6 1.2923 -0.1004 20.3 -0.2528 19.5 -0.1004 19.6 -0.1805 19.8 -0.0833 19.7
28 1.79 56.00% 19.3 1.2856 -0.1510 20.0 -0.2962 19.2 -0.1510 19.4 -0.2293 19.6 -0.1341 19.5
29 1.72 58.00% 19.3 1.2856 -0.2019 19.7 -0.3392 19.0 -0.2019 19.1 -0.2781 19.3 -0.1853 19.2
30 1.67 60.00% 19.2 1.2833 -0.2533 19.5 -0.3819 18.8 -0.2533 18.9 -0.3269 19.1 -0.2371 18.9
31 1.61 62.00% 19.1 1.2810 -0.3055 19.2 -0.4243 18.5 -0.3055 18.6 -0.3760 18.8 -0.2897 18.7
32 1.56 64.00% 18.7 1.2718 -0.3585 18.9 -0.4667 18.3 -0.3585 18.4 -0.4254 18.5 -0.3433 18.4
33 1.52 66.00% 18.4 1.2648 -0.4125 18.6 -0.5092 18.1 -0.4125 18.1 -0.4753 18.3 -0.3979 18.2
34 1.47 68.00% 18.1 1.2577 -0.4677 18.3 -0.5518 17.8 -0.4677 17.8 -0.5258 18.0 -0.4540 17.9
35 1.43 70.00% 18.0 1.2553 -0.5244 18.0 -0.5948 17.6 -0.5244 17.6 -0.5772 17.7 -0.5116 17.6
36 1.39 72.00% 18.0 1.2553 -0.5828 17.7 -0.6382 17.4 -0.5828 17.3 -0.6296 17.4 -0.5712 17.4
37 1.35 74.00% 17.6 1.2455 -0.6433 17.3 -0.6823 17.1 -0.6433 17.0 -0.6834 17.1 -0.6329 17.1
38 1.32 76.00% 17.5 1.2430 -0.7063 17.0 -0.7273 16.9 -0.7063 16.8 -0.7387 16.8 -0.6973 16.8
39 1.28 78.00% 17.1 1.2330 -0.7722 16.7 -0.7735 16.6 -0.7722 16.5 -0.7959 16.5 -0.7648 16.5
40 1.25 80.00% 16.8 1.2253 -0.8416 16.3 -0.8211 16.4 -0.8416 16.2 -0.8555 16.2 -0.8362 16.2
41 1.22 82.00% 16.4 1.2148 -0.9154 15.9 -0.8705 16.1 -0.9154 15.9 -0.9179 15.9 -0.9121 15.9
42 1.19 84.00% 15.2 1.1818 -0.9945 15.5 -0.9223 15.8 -0.9945 15.5 -0.9840 15.5 -0.9938 15.6
43 1.16 86.00% 14.9 1.1732 -1.0803 15.0 -0.9772 15.5 -1.0803 15.2 -1.0547 15.1 -1.0827 15.2
44 1.14 88.00% 14.7 1.1673 -1.1750 14.5 -1.0360 15.2 -1.1750 14.8 -1.1313 14.7 -1.1810 14.8
45 1.11 90.00% 13.5 1.1303 -1.2816 13.9 -1.1003 14.9 -1.2816 14.4 -1.2160 14.3 -1.2921 14.4
46 1.09 92.00% 13.0 1.1139 -1.4051 13.2 -1.1725 14.5 -1.4051 14.0 -1.3120 13.7 -1.4213 13.9
47 1.06 94.00% 12.1 1.0828 -1.5548 12.4 -1.2566 14.0 -1.5548 13.4 -1.4255 13.1 -1.5786 13.4
48 1.04 96.00% 12.0 1.0792 -1.7507 11.4 -1.3615 13.5 -1.7507 12.8 -1.5691 12.4 -1.7857 12.7
49 1.02 98.00% 11.7 1.0682 -2.0537 9.7 -1.5136 12.7 -2.0537 11.8 -1.7807 11.2 -2.1088 11.6

T: Periodo de retorno en años


P: Probabilidad de ocurrencia
AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL - ESTACIÓN HUAROS
35.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0
Valor Observado
10.0
Normal
5.0

0.0
-2.50 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN GUMBEL - ESTACIÓN HUAROS


40.0

35.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0 Valor Observado


Gumbel
5.0

0.0
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG NORMAL - ESTACIÓN HUAROS


40.0

35.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0 Valor Observado


LogNormal
5.0

0.0
-2.50 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN PEARSON TIPO III - ESTACIÓN HUAROS


35.0

30.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0 Valor Observado


5.0 Pearson Tipo III

0.0
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO PARA LA DISTRIBUCIÓN LOG PEARSON TIPO III - ESTACIÓN HUAROS
40.0

35.0
Pmax 24 hrs (mm)

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0 Valor Observado

5.0
Log Pearson Tipo III

0.0
-2.50 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Variable reducida KT
CUADRO 2.1.4: PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV
ESTACIÓN HUAROS
F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm)| F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| Log F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| F(ym) |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| F(xm) |Fo(xm)-F(xm)|
m xm Fo(xm)
Normal Normal Log - Normal - Normal Pearson III Pearson III Log Pearson III Log Pearson III GEV I GEV I
1 31.80 0.980000 0.978988018 0.00101 0.960068 0.01993 0.967464 0.01254 0.963222 0.01678 0.9595 0.02053
2 31.50 0.960000 0.976019633 0.01602 0.956836 0.00316 0.964270 0.00427 0.959997 0.00000 0.9565 0.00346
3 31.50 0.940000 0.976019633 0.03602 0.956836 0.01684 0.964270 0.02427 0.959997 0.02000 0.9565 0.01654
4 31.50 0.920000 0.976019633 0.05602 0.956836 0.03684 0.964270 0.04427 0.959997 0.04000 0.9565 0.03654
5 31.40 0.900000 0.974954964 0.07495 0.955706 0.05571 0.963145 0.06314 0.958867 0.05887 0.9555 0.05552
6 28.40 0.880000 0.919770324 0.03977 0.906158 0.02616 0.911277 0.03128 0.908396 0.02840 0.9114 0.03137
7 27.90 0.860000 0.905057161 0.04506 0.894220 0.03422 0.898388 0.03839 0.896105 0.03610 0.9008 0.04077
8 26.50 0.840000 0.853509992 0.01351 0.853528 0.01353 0.853968 0.01397 0.854071 0.01407 0.8644 0.02438
9 26.40 0.820000 0.849217832 0.02922 0.850173 0.03017 0.850317 0.03032 0.850601 0.03060 0.8614 0.04136
10 25.00 0.800000 0.780467745 0.01953 0.796175 0.00383 0.791567 0.00843 0.794486 0.00551 0.8121 0.01210
11 25.00 0.780000 0.780467745 0.00047 0.796175 0.01617 0.791567 0.01157 0.794486 0.01449 0.8121 0.03210
12 24.40 0.760000 0.746219672 0.01378 0.768768 0.00877 0.761905 0.00190 0.766451 0.00645 0.7866 0.02662
13 24.40 0.740000 0.746219672 0.00622 0.768768 0.02877 0.761905 0.02190 0.766451 0.02645 0.7866 0.04662
14 23.60 0.720000 0.696535927 0.02346 0.728022 0.00802 0.718016 0.00198 0.724553 0.00455 0.7481 0.02808
15 23.00 0.700000 0.656647306 0.04335 0.694273 0.00573 0.681862 0.01814 0.689636 0.01036 0.7155 0.01555
16 22.40 0.680000 0.614931991 0.06507 0.657827 0.02217 0.643564 0.03644 0.652300 0.02770 0.6798 0.00022
17 22.30 0.660000 0.607832725 0.05217 0.651498 0.00850 0.637256 0.02274 0.645894 0.01411 0.6735 0.01350
18 21.00 0.640000 0.513117385 0.12688 0.563097 0.07690 0.546020 0.09398 0.556425 0.08358 0.5838 0.05625
19 20.90 0.620000 0.505730268 0.11427 0.555870 0.06413 0.538958 0.08104 0.549158 0.07084 0.5762 0.04375
20 20.50 0.600000 0.476187486 0.12381 0.526444 0.07356 0.509039 0.09096 0.519548 0.08045 0.5454 0.05456
21 20.50 0.580000 0.476187486 0.10381 0.526444 0.05356 0.509039 0.07096 0.519548 0.06045 0.5454 0.03456
22 20.50 0.560000 0.476187486 0.08381 0.526444 0.03356 0.509039 0.05096 0.519548 0.04045 0.5454 0.01456
23 20.00 0.540000 0.439461142 0.10054 0.488655 0.05135 0.471495 0.06851 0.481650 0.05835 0.5053 0.03471
24 20.00 0.520000 0.439461142 0.08054 0.488655 0.03135 0.471495 0.04851 0.481650 0.03835 0.5053 0.01471
25 20.00 0.500000 0.439461142 0.06054 0.488655 0.01135 0.471495 0.02851 0.481650 0.01835 0.5053 0.00529
26 19.70 0.480000 0.417652696 0.06235 0.465554 0.01445 0.448599 0.03140 0.458489 0.02151 0.4804 0.00045
27 19.60 0.460000 0.410435711 0.04956 0.457797 0.00220 0.441069 0.01893 0.450797 0.00920 0.4721 0.01205
28 19.30 0.440000 0.388975252 0.05102 0.434398 0.00560 0.417989 0.02201 0.427377 0.01262 0.4466 0.00659
29 19.30 0.420000 0.388975252 0.03102 0.434398 0.01440 0.417989 0.00201 0.427377 0.00738 0.4466 0.02659
30 19.20 0.400000 0.381892915 0.01811 0.426565 0.02656 0.410355 0.01035 0.419536 0.01954 0.4380 0.03802
31 19.10 0.380000 0.374849889 0.00515 0.418720 0.03872 0.402727 0.02273 0.411682 0.03168 0.4294 0.04941
32 18.70 0.360000 0.347113945 0.01289 0.387284 0.02728 0.372388 0.01239 0.380200 0.02020 0.3947 0.03471
33 18.40 0.340000 0.326827441 0.01317 0.363740 0.02374 0.349667 0.00967 0.357099 0.01710 0.3685 0.02852
34 18.10 0.320000 0.307040343 0.01296 0.340325 0.02033 0.327297 0.00730 0.333725 0.01372 0.3423 0.02232
35 18.00 0.300000 0.300563911 0.00056 0.332565 0.03257 0.319910 0.01991 0.325972 0.02597 0.3336 0.03361
36 18.00 0.280000 0.300563911 0.02056 0.332565 0.05257 0.319910 0.03991 0.325972 0.04597 0.3336 0.05361
37 17.60 0.260000 0.275297726 0.01530 0.301847 0.04185 0.290792 0.03079 0.295814 0.03581 0.2990 0.03903
38 17.50 0.240000 0.269148504 0.02915 0.294265 0.05427 0.283634 0.04363 0.288301 0.04830 0.2905 0.05048
39 17.10 0.220000 0.24526093 0.02526 0.264440 0.04444 0.255572 0.03557 0.258743 0.03874 0.2568 0.03680
40 16.80 0.200000 0.228122075 0.02812 0.242697 0.04270 0.234921 0.03492 0.236898 0.03690 0.2323 0.03226
41 16.40 0.180000 0.20635488 0.02635 0.214722 0.03472 0.208521 0.02852 0.208987 0.02899 0.2008 0.02081
42 15.20 0.160000 0.148844825 0.01116 0.139672 0.02033 0.138113 0.02189 0.134357 0.02564 0.1182 0.04175
43 14.90 0.140000 0.136327866 0.00367 0.123369 0.01663 0.122672 0.01733 0.117926 0.02207 0.1010 0.03900
44 14.70 0.120000 0.128394846 0.00839 0.113105 0.00689 0.112593 0.00741 0.107536 0.01246 0.0903 0.02966
45 13.50 0.100000 0.087505391 0.01249 0.062143 0.03786 0.062482 0.03752 0.055208 0.04479 0.0409 0.05913
46 13.00 0.080000 0.073684321 0.00632 0.046295 0.03370 0.046274 0.03373 0.038761 0.04124 0.0273 0.05269
47 12.10 0.060000 0.053091657 0.00691 0.025158 0.03484 0.023774 0.03623 0.016867 0.04313 0.0116 0.04842
48 12.00 0.040000 0.051117806 0.01112 0.023344 0.01666 0.021785 0.01822 0.014971 0.02503 0.0104 0.02960
49 11.70 0.020000 0.045544859 0.02554 0.018476 0.00152 0.016289 0.00371 0.010188 0.00981 0.0074 0.01258

n 49 Dmáx 0.12688 0.07690 0.09398 0.08358 0.05913


a 0.05 Dcritico > Dmax Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta Si se ajusta
Dcritico 0.19061 Mejor Ajuste 5 2 4 3 1
Cuadro 2.1.5: PRECIPITACIONES MÁXIMAS ANUALES EN 24 HORAS

ESTACIÓN HUAROS
Promedio : x = 20.822 y= 1.304 Coeficiente de corrección de Pmax por Nº de lecturas (OMM)
Desviación estándar : s= 5.399 sy = 0.113 f (2 lecturas) = 1.13
Cs/6 : k= 0.083 k = -0.017
T DISTRIB. NORMAL DISTRIB. GUMBELL DISTRIB. LOGNORMAL DISTRIB. PEARSON III DISTRIB. LOG PEARSON III PMAX PMAX (corregida)
P(X≤xT)
(años) KT xT KT xT KT xT 10^xT KT xT KT Xt 10^xT mm mm
2 0.500 0.0000 20.8 -0.1643 19.9 0.00 1.3042 20.1 -0.0823 20.4 0.0172 1.3062 20.2 20.2 22.9
3 0.667 0.4307 23.1 0.2538 22.2 0.43 1.3530 22.5 0.3580 22.8 0.4445 1.3545 22.6 22.6 25.6
5 0.800 0.8416 25.4 0.7195 24.7 0.84 1.3995 25.1 0.8075 25.2 0.8462 1.4000 25.1 25.1 28.4
10 0.900 1.2816 27.7 1.3046 27.9 1.28 1.4493 28.1 1.3217 28.0 1.2699 1.4479 28.1 28.1 31.7
20 0.950 1.6449 29.7 1.8658 30.9 1.64 1.4904 30.9 1.7729 30.4 1.6150 1.4870 30.7 30.7 34.7
25 0.960 1.7507 30.3 2.0438 31.9 1.75 1.5023 31.8 1.9089 31.1 1.7146 1.4983 31.5 31.5 35.6
50 0.980 2.0537 31.9 2.5923 34.8 2.05 1.5366 34.4 2.3102 33.3 1.9980 1.5303 33.9 33.9 38.3
100 0.990 2.3263 33.4 3.1367 37.8 2.33 1.5675 36.9 2.6863 35.3 2.2503 1.5589 36.2 36.2 40.9
200 0.995 2.5758 34.7 3.6791 40.7 2.58 1.5957 39.4 3.0433 37.3 2.4790 1.5847 38.4 38.4 43.4
300 0.997 2.7131 35.5 3.9959 42.4 2.71 1.6112 40.9 3.2449 38.3 2.6040 1.5989 39.7 39.7 44.9
500 0.998 2.8782 36.4 4.3947 44.5 2.88 1.6299 42.6 3.4926 39.7 2.7535 1.6158 41.3 41.3 46.7
1000 0.999 3.0902 37.5 4.9355 47.5 3.09 1.6539 45.1 3.8189 41.4 2.9442 1.6374 43.4 43.4 49.0

PRECIPITACION MAXIMA ANUAL PARA DIFERENTES PERIODOS DE RETORNO


60.0

50.0 49.0
46.7
44.9
Precipitacion en mm

43.4
40.0 40.9
38.3
34.7 35.6
31.7
30.0
28.4
25.6
22.9
20.0 y = 4.1093ln(x) + 21.575
R² = 0.9923

10.0

0.0
1 10 100 1000

Periodo de Retorno en años


Cuadro 2.1.6: DETERMINACIÓN DE COEFICIENTES REGIONALES MÉTODO IILA - SENAMHI - UNI
ESTACIÓN HUAROS

Formulaciones hidrológicas

Siendo:
t: duración de lluvia diaria (horas) Pt: precipitación (mm)
T: periodo de de retorno en años It: intensidad de la lluvia (mm/hora)

Para t entre 3 ~ 24 horas Para t < 3 horas


n
Pt = a (1 + K log T) tn Pt = a (1 + K log T) (t+b)
n-1 n-1
It = a (1 + K log T) t It = a (1 + K log T) (t+b)

Región Hidrológica y parámetros

Región hidrológica: 5a4 Costa


Altitud media: Y= 3580 msnm
Duración de lluvia diaria (Perú): tg= 15.2 horas
Parámetro de zona: eg= 193.54 (adimensional)
Parámetro de intensidad : a= 8.50 mm
Parámetro de frecuencia: K= 0.14 (adimensional)
Parámetro de duración: n= 0.30 (adimensional)
Parámetro de duración por región: b= 0.5 horas Costa

Coeficientes regionales para determinar precipitaciones e intensidades


para diferentes tiempos de retorno

Tiempo Coeficientes Regionales


duración Pt / P24H It / I 24H

4Precipitación 10 min 0.34 12.15


Pt/P24H=((t+b)/24)n 20 min 0.36 10.40
Pt/P24H=(t/24)n 30 min 0.38 9.16
40 min 0.40 8.23
4Intensidad 50 min 0.42 7.50
It/I24H=((t+b)/24)(n-1) 1.0 h 0.43 6.91
It/I24H=(t/24)(n-1) 1.5 h 0.47 5.65
2.0 h 0.50 4.84
4.0 h 0.58 3.49
6.0 h 0.66 2.63
7.0 h 0.69 2.36
8.0 h 0.72 2.15
10.0 h 0.77 1.84
11.0 h 0.79 1.72
12.0 h 0.81 1.62
24.0 h 1.00 1.00

*Normas Legales OS. 060- Anexo Nº1 Hidrología Tabla 2.a,3.a y 3.b
CUADRO 2.1.7: PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA DURACIONES MENORES A 24 HORAS
IILA-UNI-SENAMHI
(mm)

ESTACIÓN HUAROS
DURACIÓN PERÍODO DE RETORNO (años)
Hr min 2 5 10 20 25 50 100 250 500
0.17 10.00 7.72 9.58 10.70 11.71 12.02 12.94 13.82 14.66 15.75
0.33 20.00 8.26 10.25 11.45 12.53 12.86 13.84 14.78 15.69 16.85
0.50 30.00 8.73 10.84 12.10 13.24 13.59 14.63 15.62 16.58 17.81
0.67 40.00 9.15 11.35 12.68 13.87 14.24 15.33 16.37 17.37 18.66
0.83 50.00 9.53 11.82 13.20 14.44 14.82 15.96 17.05 18.09 19.43
1.00 60.00 9.87 12.25 13.68 14.97 15.36 16.54 17.66 18.75 20.14
1.50 90.00 10.77 13.37 14.93 16.33 16.76 18.05 19.27 20.46 21.97
2.00 120.00 11.53 14.30 15.97 17.48 17.94 19.31 20.62 21.89 23.51
4.00 240.00 13.29 16.49 18.42 20.15 20.68 22.26 23.78 25.24 27.11
6.00 360.00 15.03 18.65 20.83 22.78 23.38 25.18 26.89 28.54 30.65
7.00 420.00 15.74 19.54 21.82 23.87 24.50 26.38 28.17 29.90 32.12
8.00 480.00 16.39 20.35 22.72 24.86 25.51 27.47 29.33 31.14 33.44
10.00 600.00 17.54 21.77 24.31 26.60 27.30 29.39 31.39 33.31 35.78
11.00 660.00 18.06 22.41 25.02 27.38 28.10 30.25 32.31 34.29 36.83
12.00 720.00 18.54 23.01 25.69 28.11 28.85 31.06 33.17 35.21 37.82
24.00 1440.00 22.87 28.38 31.70 34.68 35.59 38.32 40.92 43.43 46.65
CUADRO 2.1.8: INTENSIDADES DE DISEÑO PARA DURACIONES MENORES A 24 HORAS
(mm/hr)

ESTACIÓN HUAROS
DURACIÓN PERÍODO DE RETORNO (años)
Hr min 2 5 10 20 25 50 100 250 500
0.17 10.00 11.58 14.37 16.05 17.56 18.02 19.41 20.72 22.00 23.63
0.33 20.00 9.91 12.30 13.74 15.03 15.43 16.61 17.74 18.83 20.22
0.50 30.00 8.73 10.84 12.10 13.24 13.59 14.63 15.62 16.58 17.81
0.67 40.00 7.84 9.73 10.87 11.89 12.20 13.14 14.03 14.89 16.00
0.83 50.00 7.14 8.87 9.90 10.83 11.12 11.97 12.78 13.57 14.57
1.00 60.00 6.58 8.17 9.12 9.98 10.24 11.03 11.78 12.50 13.43
1.50 90.00 5.39 6.68 7.46 8.17 8.38 9.02 9.64 10.23 10.99
2.00 120.00 4.61 5.72 6.39 6.99 7.17 7.72 8.25 8.76 9.40
4.00 240.00 3.32 4.12 4.60 5.04 5.17 5.57 5.94 6.31 6.78
6.00 360.00 2.50 3.11 3.47 3.80 3.90 4.20 4.48 4.76 5.11
7.00 420.00 2.25 2.79 3.12 3.41 3.50 3.77 4.02 4.27 4.59
8.00 480.00 2.05 2.54 2.84 3.11 3.19 3.43 3.67 3.89 4.18
10.00 600.00 1.75 2.18 2.43 2.66 2.73 2.94 3.14 3.33 3.58
11.00 660.00 1.64 2.04 2.27 2.49 2.55 2.75 2.94 3.12 3.35
12.00 720.00 1.54 1.92 2.14 2.34 2.40 2.59 2.76 2.93 3.15
24.00 1440.00 0.95 1.18 1.32 1.44 1.48 1.60 1.71 1.81 1.94

CURVA INTENSIDAD-DURACION-FRECUENCIA
ESTACIÓN: HUAROS
25.0

2
20.0
Intensidad de precipitacion (mm/h)

10

15.0 20

25

10.0 50

100

5.0 250

500

0.0
0.0 300.0 600.0 900.0 1200.0 1500.0
Duracion (min)

CURVA INTENSIDAD-DURACION-FRECUENCIA
1.7051 0.1204 I: Intensidad máxima (mm/h)

10 T T: Período de retorno en años

I = 0.52 t: Duración de la precipitación (min)


t
Cuadro 2.1.9: HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TIEMPO DE RETORNO DE 140AÑOS
ESTACIÓN HUAROS

METODO DEL BLOQUE ALTERNO


PROFUNDIDA PROFUNDIDAD
DURACION INTENSIDAD TIEMPO PRECIPITACION
ACUMULADA INCREMENTAL
min mm/hr mm mm min mm
1 5 39.901 3.33 3.325 0-5 0.31
2 10 27.851 4.64 1.317 5-10 0.33
3 15 22.569 5.64 1.000 10-15 0.34
4 20 19.440 6.48 0.838 15-20 0.36
5 25 17.316 7.21 0.735 20-25 0.39
6 30 15.753 7.88 0.662 25-30 0.41
7 35 14.543 8.48 0.607 30-35 0.45
8 40 13.570 9.05 0.563 35-40 0.50
9 45 12.765 9.57 0.528 40-45 0.56
10 50 12.087 10.07 0.498 45-50 0.66
11 55 11.504 10.54 0.473 50-55 0.84
12 60 10.996 11.00 0.451 55-60 1.32
13 65 10.549 11.43 0.432 60-65 3.33
14 70 10.151 11.84 0.415 65-70 1.00
15 75 9.794 12.24 0.400 70-75 0.73
16 80 9.472 12.63 0.386 75-80 0.61
17 85 9.179 13.00 0.374 80-85 0.53
18 90 8.910 13.366 0.363 85-90 0.47
19 95 8.664 13.72 0.352 90-95 0.43
20 100 8.437 14.06 0.343 95-100 0.40
21 105 8.226 14.40 0.334 100-105 0.37
22 110 8.030 14.72 0.326 105-110 0.35
23 115 7.847 15.04 0.318 110-115 0.33
24 120 7.675 15.35 0.311 115-120 0.32
255.694

Curva Intensidad - Duración - Frecuencia (IDF)


1.7051 0.1204 I: Intensidad máxima (mm/h)

I = 10 T T: Período de retorno en años = 140


0.52 t: Duración de la precipitación (min)

HIETOGRAMA DE PRECIPITACIÓN DE DISEÑO PARA TR = 140 AÑOS


3.50
3.00
Precipitación (mm)

2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0-5

5-10

10-15

15-20

20-25

25-30

30-35

35-40

40-45

45-50

50-55

55-60

60-65

65-70

70-75

75-80

80-85

85-90

90-95

95-100

100-105

105-110

110-115

115-120

Tiempo (min)

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