SOLUCIÓN DEL PROBLEMA – CAPITULO 5

J2 no conoce:

𝑃 = 0.5 ∗ 0.5 = 0.25 ∝= 0.5 ∗ 0.5 = 0.25 𝛽 = 1 − 𝑃−∝= 0.5

𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐴𝐴𝐴 = 5(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 4(2/4) = 14/4

𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐴𝐴𝐵 = 5(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 12/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐴𝐵𝐴 = 5(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 4(2/4) = 15/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐴𝐵𝐵 = 5(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 13/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐵𝐴𝐴 = 1(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 4(2/4) = 10/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐵𝐴𝐵 = 1(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 8/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐵𝐵𝐴 = 1(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 4(2/4) = 11/4
𝑃𝐸𝐼𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 1(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 9/4

𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐴 = 0 + 2(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 14/4

𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐵 = 0 + 2(1/4) + 2(2/4) = 12/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐴𝐵𝐴 = 0 + 1(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 15/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐴𝐵𝐵 = 0 + 1(1/4) + 2(2/4) = 13/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐵𝐴𝐴 = 3(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 10/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐵𝐴𝐵 = 3(1/4) + 2(1/4) + 2(2/4) = 8/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐵𝐵𝐴 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 11/4
𝑃𝐸𝐷𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 2(2/4) = 9/4

AAA AAB ABA ABB BAA BAB BBA BBB

I 14/4 12/4 15/4 13/4 10/4 8/4 11/4 9/4

B 8/4 6/4 7/4 5/4 11/4 9/4 10/4 8/4

El mejor pago esperado de J2 se encuentra en IABA; sin embargo, en caso de

darse la situación 2, J1 nunca jugará B porque su estrategia dominante es
jugar A (5 > 1 ∧ 9 > 1). Entonces el mayor pago esperado real de J2 sería de
14/4 en IAAA.
 SOLUCIÓN DEL PROBLEMA – CAPITULO 5

J1 no conoce:
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐼𝐼𝐼 = 3(1/4) + 5(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 14/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐼𝐼𝐷 = 3(1/4) + 5(1/4) + 0 = 8/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐼𝐷𝐼 = 3(1/4) + 9(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 18/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐼𝐷𝐷 = 3(1/4) + 9(1/4) + 0 = 12/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐷𝐼𝐼 = 2(1/4) + 5(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 13/4
𝑃𝐴𝐷𝐼𝐷 = 2(1/4) + 5(1/4) + 0 = 7/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐼 = 2(1/4) + 9(1/4) + 3(2/4) = 17/4
𝑃𝐸𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐷 = 2(1/4) + 9(1/4) + 0 = 11/4

𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐼𝐼𝐼 = 2(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 0 = 3/4

𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐼𝐼𝐷 = 2(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 1(2/4) = 5/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐼𝐷𝐼 = 2(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 0 = 3/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐼𝐷𝐷 = 2(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 1(2/4) = 5/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐷𝐼𝐼 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 0 = 4/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐷𝐼𝐷 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 1(2/4) = 6/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐷𝐷𝐼 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 0 = 4/4
𝑃𝐸𝐵𝐷𝐷𝐷 = 3(1/4) + 1(1/4) + 1(2/4) = 6/4

III IID IID IDD DII DID DDI DDD

A 14/4 8/4 12/4 12/4 13/4 7/4 17/4 11/4

B 3/4 5/4 3/4 5/4 4/4 6/4 4/4 6/4

El mayor pago esperado de J1 está en AIDI; pero sabiendo que J2 jugará I. su

pago real será 14/4 (AIII). El equilibrio en cada juego se ubicará en (𝐴,𝐼).