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Tarea 10
Tarea 10
INFORME GENERAL
ESTADÍSTICA INFERENCIAL
TEMA: DISTRIBUCIÓN DE PROBABILIDAD
()
a= n!
x x !(n−x )! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−0 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=( 50) ( ax )=(147 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(50)= 0 ! ( 5−0
5!
)! (147 )= 7 ! ( 14−7
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(50)=1 (147 )=3,432
Cálculos auxiliares para x =1
( ax)= x !(n−x
n!
)! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−1 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=(51) ( ax )=(146 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(51)= 1! (5−1
5!
)! (146 )= 6 ! ( 14−6
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(51)=5 (146)=3,003
Cálculos auxiliares para x = 2
( ax)= x !(n−x
n!
)! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−2 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=(52) ( ax )=(145 ) ( 7 ) 7 ! ( 19−7 ) !
19 = 19 !
(52)= 2 ! ( 5−2
5!
)! (145 )= 5 ! ( 14−5
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(52)=10 (145)=2,002
Cálculos auxiliares para x = 3
( ax)= x !(n−x
n!
)! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−3 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax)=(53) ( ax )=(144 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(53)= 3 ! ( 5−3
5!
)! (144 )= 4 ! ( 14−4
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(53)=10 (144 )=1,001
PASO #3: FÓRMULA
h ( x ; n ,α , N )=
( x )( n−x )
α N −α
para : x=0 ,1 , 2 ,3
(n )
N
(1 ) ( 3,432 )
h ( 0 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )= para : x=0
( 50,388 )
h ( 0 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0.068111455
h ( 0 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0.078
( 5 ) ( 3,003 )
h ( 1 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )= para : x=1
( 50,388 )
h ( 1 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.297987616
h ( 1 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.308
( 10 ) ( 2,002 )
h ( 2 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )= para : x=2
( 50,388 )
h ( 2 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.397316821
h ( 2 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.407
( 10 )( 1,001 )
h ( 3 ; 7 , 5 ,19 ) = para : x=3
( 50,388 )
h ( 3 ; 7 , 5 ,19 ) =0.19865841
h ( 2 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.209
( ax)= x !(n−x
n!
)! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−4 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=( 54) ( ax )=(143 ) ( 7 ) 7 ! ( 19−7 ) !
19 = 19 !
( 54)= 4 ! (5−4
5!
)! (143 )= 3 ! ( 14−3
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
( 54)=5 (143 )=364
Cálculos Auxiliares para: x = 5
()
a= n!
x x !(n−x )! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−5 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=(55) ( ax )=(142 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(55)= 5 ! ( 5−5
5!
)! (142 )= 2 ! ( 14−2
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(55)=1 (142 )=91
Cálculos Auxiliares para: x = 6
( ax)= x !(n−x
n!
)! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−6 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax )=( 56 ) ( ax )=(141 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(6) 6 ! ( 5−6 ) !
5 = 5!
( 1 ) 1 ! ( 14−1) !
14 = 14 !
(197 )=50,388
(56)=0 (141 )=14
Cálculos Auxiliares para: x = 7
()
a= n!
x x !(n−x )! ( Nn−x ) ( 7−7 )
−a = 19−5
( Nn )=(197 )
( ax)=(75) ( ax )=(140 ) (197 )= 7 ! ( 19−7
19 !
)!
(57)= 7 ! ( 5−7
5!
)! (140 )= 0 ! ( 14−0
14 !
)! (197 )=50,388
(57)=0 (140 )=1
PASO #3: FÓRMULA
h ( x ; n ,α , N )=
( x )( n−x )
α N −α
para : x=4 , 5 , 6 , 7.
(n )
N
( 5 ) ( 364 )
h ( 4 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )= para : x=4
( 50,388 )
h ( 4 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.036119711
h ( 4 ; 7 ,5 , 19 )=0.046
(1 )( 91 )
h ( 5 ; 7 , 5 ,19 ) = para : x=5
( 50,388 )
h ( 5 ;7 , 5 ,19 ) =0.001805985552
h ( 5 ; 7 , 5 ,19 ) =0.002
( 0 )( 14 )
h ( 6 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )= para : x =6
(50,388 )
h ( 6 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0
h ( 6 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0.000
( 0 ) (1 )
h ( 7 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )= para : x=7
(50,388 )
h ( 7 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0
h ( 7 ; 7 , 5 ,19 )=0.000
GRÁFICA.
Distribución hipergeometrica
0.45
0.407
0.4
0.35
0.308
0.3
0.25
0.209
0.2
0.15
0.1 0.078
0.046
0.05
0.002 0 0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
(70)
=
7!
0 ! ( 7−0 ) ! (72 )= 2 ! ( 7−2
7!
)!
(71)= 1 ! ( 7−1
7!
)! (73 )= 3 ! ( 7−3
7!
)!
1 7−1
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =( 7 ) 0.26 ( 1−0.26 ) para : x=1.
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.2988558121
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.309
2 7−2
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =( 21 ) 0.26 ( 1−0.26 ) para : x=2.
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.3150101803
b ( 0 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.325
( 74)=
7!
4 ! (7−4 ) ! ()
7 = 7!
6 6 ! ( 7−6 ) !
( 74 )=35 ()
7 =7
6
Cálculos auxiliares para: x = 5 Cálculos auxiliares para: x = 7
( nx)=
n!
x ! ( n−x ) ! ( nx )= x ! ( n−x
n!
)!
(75) =
7!
5 ! ( 7−5 ) ! (77 )= 7 ! ( 7−7
7!
)!
6 7 −6
b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 ) =( 7 ) 0.26 ( 1−0.26 ) para : x=6.
b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.00160018372
b ( 6 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.002
7 7−7
b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 ) =( 1 ) 0.26 ( 1−0.26 ) para : x=7.
b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.0000803181018
b ( 7 ; 7,0.26 ) =0.000
GRÁFICA
Distribución bino
0.8
0.719
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.309 0.325
0.3
0.2
0.122
0.1 0.064
0.013 0.002 0
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
GRÁFICA
Distribución binomial
0.400
0.356
0.350
0.300
0.269
0.250 0.23
0.200
0.150
0.050
0.01
0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6