Analisis de datos de Pluviometria

1 DATA SENAMHI, MINISTERIO DE AMBIENTE, AGRICULTURA, AEROPUERTOS, PRIVADAS, ETC

INCOMPLETA
2 ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIAS Y TENDENCIAS
2.1 ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIAS
2.1.1 A.C. A LA MEDIA
HIPOTESIS X1 = X2 Estadisticamente X1 = X2, probabilidad del 95%
X1 ≠ X2 Estadisticamente X1 ≠ X2, probabilidad del 95%
ESTADISTICO CALCULADO -PRUEBA T
Tc = (X1-X2)/Sd

ESTADISTICO TABULAR
Tt =
GL = N1+N2-2
α/2 = 0.025
COMPARACION

2.1.2 A.C. A LA DESVIACION ESTANDAR

HIPOTESIS S1 = S2 Estadisticamente S1 = S2, probabilidad del 95%
S1 ≠ S2 Estadisticamente S1 ≠ S2, probabilidad del 95%
ESTADISTICO CALCULADO - PRUEBA F
 ESTADISTICO TABULAR

α= 0.05
COMPARACION

2.1.3 CORRECCION DE LA DATA ( M1 o M2)

MUESTRA DE TAMAÑO N1

MUESTRA DE TAMAÑO N2

2.1.1 VOLVEMOS

2. 2 ANALISIS DE TENDENCIAS
2.2.1 A. T. A LA MEDIA SE REALIZA A LOS DATOS MENSUALES Y ANU
Tm = Am + Bm*t+ Cm*t^2 + …. Ecuacion polinomial
Tm = Am + Bm*t Ecuacion lineal, la forma particular
Tm = Tendencia a la media
Am, Bm parametros
t = 1, 2 , 3 …. N
r, r2
HIPOTESIS r=0 el valor de r no es significativo, la tendencia no es significatva, no hay que
r≠0 el valor de r es significativo, la tendenciaes significatva, hay que corregir
ESTADISTICO CALCULADO (Tc) ESTADISTICO TABULAR (Tt)
GL = n-2
α/2 = 0.025
Tt =
COMPARACION
 CORRECCION

2.2.2 A. T. A LA DESVIACION ESTANDAR SE REALIZA A LOS DATOS DIARIOS, SEMANAL

3 COMPLETACION Y EXTENSION DE LA INFORMACION PLUVIOMETRICA

Transferencia de la informacion desde una estacion pluviometrica con un largo registro historico
a otra con un corto registro o la completacion de los vacios existentes.
TECNICAS
En orden de prioridad son:
3.1 mediante la utilizacion de la regresion lineal simple
correlacion cruzada entre dos o mas estaciones pluviometricas
3.2 Relleno (completacion) mediante criterios practicos.
3.3 regresion multiple
3.4 uso de software

4 ANALIZAR LA VARIABILIDAD DE LA PORECIPITACIONES

PERSISTENCIAS
Para el analisis de persistencias de la precipitacion o caudales, se emplea el metodo de Weibull.
utilizando la informacion pluviometrica generado (consistente, sin tendencias y completa)
es necesario encontrar precipitaciones medias al 50%, 60%, 75%, 95%, etc.

proyectos de riego P75%

Proyectos de agua para consumo humano P90%
Proyectos de energia p95%
VADAS, ETC

ok
continua

ok
continua
S DATOS MENSUALES Y ANUALES

Y = a +b*X

no es significatva, no hay que corregir

gnificatva, hay que corregir
S DATOS DIARIOS, SEMANALES Y MENSUALES

egistro historico
 CAJAMARQUILLA
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct Nov
1 1963 98.3
2 1964 22 67.8 107.4 70.6 0.4 0 0 0 1.3 56.1 21.7
3 1965 59.9 93.1 171.3 35.1 5.2 0 0 0 0 30.1 10.8
4 1966 83.7 82 59.1 27.1 5 0 0 0 11.6 83.1 26.1
5 1967 14.6 0 14.3 0 8.4 46.7 14.9
6 1968 23.2 19.8 141.4 16.9 5.4 0 0 0 1.4 28.6 25.6
7 1969 6.4 42.1 145.6 88.7 3.4 0 0 0 3.9 56.3 72
8 1970 149 26.3 157.2 67 19.8 0 0
9 1971 46.5 72.5 164.2 30 0 0 0 0 3.5 6.7 10.6
10 1972 99.1 119.3 250.8 4.3 0 0 5.6 6.9 0.1 10.3 40.6
11 1973 118.9 74.8 131 99.2 12.5 0 12.4 8.3 12.7 40.6 37.9
12 1974 65 140.7 78.6 49.9 0.3 8.9 0 0 0 0 8.5
13 1975 89.4 138.9 188 0 3.2 0 0 23.1 12.1 31.8 27.5
14 1976 145.6 107.6 74.6 44.8 0 0 0 2.3 0 0 0
15 1977 79.6 171.1 139.5 25.2 15.3 0 0 0 10.5 27 44.2
16 1978 34.7 36.8 56.5 3.1 0.1 0 4.7 2.3 24.6 25.5 18.7
17 1979 17.5 33.3 171.7 21.2 0 0 0 4.1 9.4 0 8.9
18 1980 60.6 26.1 78 14.2 2.8 0 0 4.2 0 90.2 52.6
19 1981 119.9 160.9 108.1 18.4 0 0 0 0 0 20.7 28.1
20 1982 47.3 59.9 0 0
21 1983 120.9 79.1 180.5 62.8 0 0 0 0 10.6 14 27
22 1984 93.8 223.2 195 39.8 36.8 0 0 0 0 56.2 0
23 1985 28.1 35.6 44.3 3.5 43.7 0 13.6
24 1986 79.7 101.4 12.4 0 0 6.7 15.3 17.5 17.8 0
25 1987 77.6 63.5 51.2 40.4 5.2 0 0 0 0 0 36.6
26 1988 69 67.7 53.6 14.9 0 0 0 8.6 40.9 41.4
27 1989 75.5 161 83.9 0 0 0 5.2 0 26.4 59.2 6.3
28 1990 67.3 0 12 1.1 0 0 6.5 60.1 63.7
29 1991 32.3 27.8 67.9 37 6 0 0 0 1 61.2 31.1
30 1992 5.7 46.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
31 1993 0 229.9 243.2 51.2 25.3 0 0 0 7.5 33.7 90.4
32 1994 102.3 140 112.2 74.4 22.6 0 0 0 25.7 8.1 29
33 1995 61.5 48.6 40.6 51.4 3.1 0 0 0 0 31 40.2
34 1996 111.8 109.7 60.8 3.9 0 0 0 6.3 35.9 7.9
35 1997 72.1 108.3 21.9 54.9 3.4 0 0 0 9.5 32.6 70.2
36 1998 117.6 161.5 183.5 75.6 17.6 0 0 0 5.1 14.3 13.8
37 1999 102.2 356.4 96.7 108 39.6 0 0 0 21.7 60.6 62.5
38 2000 108.8 206.1 134.6 52.3 38.9 0 0 0 19.7 23 14.7
39 2001 187.1 92.8 216.6 50.5 5.3 2.6 0 0 17.9 28.2 86.6
40 2002 23.7 99 123.4 92.2 3.4 0 0 0 7.8 98.3
41 2003 101.5 30.5 8 0 0 0 0 15.3 6
42 2004 12.6 53.6 128 33.3 0 0 0 0 0 32.2 56.7
43 2005 172.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
44 2006 149.2 270.3 318.2 95.3 0 0 0 0 0 33.1
45 2007 0.6 281.4 119.9 33.3 0 0 0 0 53.8 44.3
46 2008 324.7 332.6 554.8 325.9 0 0 0 5.4 0 378
47 2009 398.5 545.5 141.2 0 0 0 0 0 178.6 348
48 2010 70.2 87

N1 X1 S1 N2 X2 S2
491 40.13 55.37 24 160.72 189.13

ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA A LA MEDIA

ESTADISTICO CALCULADO ESTADISTICO TABULAR
Sp = 67.323 GL = 513
Sd = 14.074 α/2 = 0.025
Tc = -8.57 Tt = 1.965
ENTONCES X1 ≠ X2 CONTINUA

ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA A LA DESVIACION ESTANDAR

ESTADISTICO CALCULADO ESTADISTICO TABULAR
Fc = 11.67 GLN= 23
GLD= 490
α= 0.05
Ft = 1.55
ENTONCES S1 ≠ S2 CONTINUA

CORRECCION DE LA DATA M2

2008 324.7 332.6 554.8 325.9 0 0 0 5.4 0

2009 398.5 545.5 141.2 0 0 0 0 0 178.6
2010 70.2 87

MUESTRA 2 CORREGIDA
2008 88.1 90.4 155.5 88.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 109.7 152.8 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.4
2010 13.6 18.5

N1 X1 S1 N2 X2 S2
491 40.13 55.37 24 43.24 52.66
CAJAMARQUILLA
DATA CONSISTENTE
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct
1963
1964 22 67.8 107.4 70.6 0.4 0 0 0 1.3 56.1
1965 59.9 93.1 171.3 35.1 5.2 0 0 0 0 30.1
1966 83.7 82 59.1 27.1 5 0 0 0 11.6 83.1
1967 14.6 0 14.3 0 8.4 46.7
1968 23.2 19.8 141.4 16.9 5.4 0 0 0 1.4 28.6
1969 6.4 42.1 145.6 88.7 3.4 0 0 0 3.9 56.3
1970 149 26.3 157.2 67 19.8 0 0
1971 46.5 72.5 164.2 30 0 0 0 0 3.5 6.7
1972 99.1 119.3 250.8 4.3 0 0 5.6 6.9 0.1 10.3
1973 118.9 74.8 131 99.2 12.5 0 12.4 8.3 12.7 40.6
1974 65 140.7 78.6 49.9 0.3 8.9 0 0 0 0
1975 89.4 138.9 188 0 3.2 0 0 23.1 12.1 31.8
1976 145.6 107.6 74.6 44.8 0 0 0 2.3 0 0
1977 79.6 171.1 139.5 25.2 15.3 0 0 0 10.5 27
1978 34.7 36.8 56.5 3.1 0.1 0 4.7 2.3 24.6 25.5
1979 17.5 33.3 171.7 21.2 0 0 0 4.1 9.4 0
1980 60.6 26.1 78 14.2 2.8 0 0 4.2 0 90.2
1981 119.9 160.9 108.1 18.4 0 0 0 0 0 20.7
1982 47.3 59.9 0 0
1983 120.9 79.1 180.5 62.8 0 0 0 0 10.6 14
1984 93.8 223.2 195 39.8 36.8 0 0 0 0 56.2
1985 28.1 35.6 44.3 3.5 43.7 0
1986 79.7 101.4 12.4 0 0 6.7 15.3 17.5 17.8
1987 77.6 63.5 51.2 40.4 5.2 0 0 0 0 0
1988 69 67.7 53.6 14.9 0 0 0 8.6 40.9
1989 75.5 161 83.9 0 0 0 5.2 0 26.4 59.2
1990 67.3 0 12 1.1 0 0 6.5 60.1
1991 32.3 27.8 67.9 37 6 0 0 0 1 61.2
1992 5.7 46.3 0 0 0 0 0 0
1993 0 229.9 243.2 51.2 25.3 0 0 0 7.5 33.7
1994 102.3 140 112.2 74.4 22.6 0 0 0 25.7 8.1
1995 61.5 48.6 40.6 51.4 3.1 0 0 0 0 31
1996 111.8 109.7 60.8 3.9 0 0 0 6.3 35.9
1997 72.1 108.3 21.9 54.9 3.4 0 0 0 9.5 32.6
1998 117.6 161.5 183.5 75.6 17.6 0 0 0 5.1 14.3
1999 102.2 356.4 96.7 108 39.6 0 0 0 21.7 60.6
2000 108.8 206.1 134.6 52.3 38.9 0 0 0 19.7 23
2001 187.1 92.8 216.6 50.5 5.3 2.6 0 0 17.9 28.2
2002 23.7 99 123.4 92.2 3.4 0 0 0 7.8
2003 101.5 30.5 8 0 0 0 0 15.3
2004 12.6 53.6 128 33.3 0 0 0 0 0 32.2
2005 172.4 0 0 0 0 0 0
2006 149.2 270.3 318.2 95.3 0 0 0 0 0
2007 0.6 281.4 119.9 33.3 0 0 0 0 53.8
2008 88.1 90.4 155.5 88.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 109.7 152.8 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.4
2010 13.6 18.5
N 42 38 42 43 44 44 45 45 43 42
ANALISIS DE TENDENCIA A LA MEDIA
Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct
R2 = 0.0242 0.0578 0.0246 0.1241 0.0292 0.0091 0.091 0.0525 0.0001 0.0135
N= 42 38 42 43 44 44 45 45 43 42
Tc = 0.996 1.486 1.004 2.410 1.124 0.621 2.075 1.544 0.064 0.740
GL = 40 36 40 41 42 42 43 43 41 40
α/2 = 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025
Tt = 2.021 2.028 2.021 2.020 2.018 2.018 2.017 2.017 2.020 2.021
OK OK OK corregir OK OK corregir OK OK OK

Am Bm R²
ENE 64.238 0.5638 0.0242 y = 0.5638x + 64.238 R² = 0.0242
FEB 72.828 1.6702 0.0578 y = 1.6702x + 72.828 R² = 0.0578
MAR 110.95 0.8956 0.0246 y = 0.8956x + 110.95 R² = 0.0246
ABR 28.078 0.8648 0.1241 y = 0.8648x + 28.078 R² = 0.1241 R² = 6E-07
MAY 0.0292 y = 0.1521x + 4.9245 R² = 0.0292
JUN 0.0091 y = -0.0103x + 0.5191 R² = 0.0091
JUL 2.7388 -0.0718 0.091 y = -0.0718x + 2.7388 R² = 0.091
AGO y = -0.0759x + 3.3016 R² = 0.0525
SET y = 0.0091x + 7.591 R² = 0.0001
OCT y = -0.2248x + 35.247 R² = 0.0135
NOV y = 0.6351x + 21.372 R² = 0.0748
DIC y = 0.5653x + 42.69 R² = 0.0245

CAJAMARQUILLA
DATA CONSISTENTE, SIN TENDENCIAS
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct
1963
1964 22 67.8 107.4 88.8 0.4 0 0.0 0 1.3 56.1
1965 59.9 93.1 171.3 52.4 5.2 0 0.0 0 0 30.1
1966 83.7 82 59.1 43.5 5 0 0.0 0 11.6 83.1
1967 14.6 0 12.9 0 8.4 46.7
1968 23.2 19.8 141.4 32.5 5.4 0 0.0 0 1.4 28.6
1969 6.4 42.1 145.6 103.4 3.4 0 0.0 0 3.9 56.3
1970 149 26.3 157.2 80.8 19.8 0.0 0
1971 46.5 72.5 164.2 43.0 0 0 0.0 0 3.5 6.7
1972 99.1 119.3 250.8 16.4 0 0 4.6 6.9 0.1 10.3
1973 118.9 74.8 131 110.4 12.5 0 11.5 8.3 12.7 40.6
1974 65 140.7 78.6 60.3 0.3 8.9 0.0 0 0 0
1975 89.4 138.9 188 9.5 3.2 0 0.0 23.1 12.1 31.8
1976 145.6 107.6 74.6 53.4 0 0 0.0 2.3 0 0
1977 79.6 171.1 139.5 33.0 15.3 0 0.0 0 10.5 27
1978 34.7 36.8 56.5 10.0 0.1 0 4.1 2.3 24.6 25.5
1979 17.5 33.3 171.7 27.3 0 0 0.0 4.1 9.4 0
1980 60.6 26.1 78 19.4 2.8 0 0.0 4.2 0 90.2
1981 119.9 160.9 108.1 22.7 0 0 0.0 0 0 20.7
1982 47.3 59.9 0 0.0
1983 120.9 79.1 180.5 66.3 0 0 0.0 0 10.6 14
1984 93.8 223.2 195 42.4 36.8 0 0.0 0 0 56.2
1985 28.1 35.6 46.0 3.5 43.7 0
1986 79.7 101.4 13.3 0 0 6.6 15.3 17.5 17.8
1987 77.6 63.5 51.2 40.4 5.2 0 0.0 0 0 0
1988 69 67.7 52.7 14.9 0 0.1 0 8.6 40.9
1989 75.5 161 83.9 0.0 0 0 5.3 0 26.4 59.2
1990 67.3 0.0 12 1.1 0.2 0 6.5 60.1
1991 32.3 27.8 67.9 33.5 6 0 0.3 0 1 61.2
1992 5.7 42.0 0 0 0.4 0 0 0
1993 0 229.9 243.2 46.0 25.3 0 0.4 0 7.5 33.7
1994 102.3 140 112.2 68.3 22.6 0 0.5 0 25.7 8.1
1995 61.5 48.6 40.6 44.5 3.1 0 0.6 0 0 31
1996 111.8 109.7 53.0 3.9 0 0.6 0 6.3 35.9
1997 72.1 108.3 21.9 46.3 3.4 0 0.7 0 9.5 32.6
1998 117.6 161.5 183.5 66.1 17.6 0 0.8 0 5.1 14.3
1999 102.2 356.4 96.7 97.6 39.6 0 0.9 0 21.7 60.6
2000 108.8 206.1 134.6 41.1 38.9 0 0.9 0 19.7 23
2001 187.1 92.8 216.6 38.4 5.3 2.6 1.0 0 17.9 28.2
2002 23.7 99 123.4 79.2 3.4 0 1.1 0 7.8
2003 101.5 16.7 8 0 1.1 0 0 15.3
2004 12.6 53.6 128 18.6 0 0 1.2 0 0 32.2
2005 172.4 0 0 1.3 0 0 0
2006 149.2 270.3 318.2 79.7 0 0 1.4 0 0
2007 0.6 281.4 103.5 33.3 0 1.4 0 0 53.8
2008 88.1 90.4 155.5 71.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0
2009 109.7 152.8 16.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 45.4
2010 13.6 18.5
Dic MAX(PICO) SALTO
66.6 98.3
11 107.4 9.1
56.5 171.3 63.9
83.7 87.6 Chart Title
2.4 46.7 37.0 180
16.5 141.4 94.7
160
91.5 145.6 4.2
157.2 11.6 140
104.9 164.2 7.0 120
60.1 250.8 86.6 100
69.6 131 119.8 80
33.1 140.7 9.7 98.3
60
34.4 188 47.3 66.6
15.6 22 40
145.6 42.4
55.6 171.1 25.5 67.8 20
16.5 56.5 114.6 107.4 0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
27.3 171.7 115.2 70.6
37.4 90.2 81.5 0.4
58.1 160.9 70.7 0
59.9 101.0 0
120.2 180.5 120.6 0
44.8 223.2 42.7 1.3
70.2 70.2 153.0 56.1
91.1 101.4 31.2 21.7
76 77.6 23.8 11
42.2 69 8.6 59.9
0 161 92.0 93.1
34.6 67.3 93.7 171.3
21.8 67.9 0.6 35.1
0 46.3 21.6 5.2
134.2 243.2 196.9 0
28.7 140 103.2 0
59 61.5 78.5 0
22.1 111.8 50.3 0
110.1 110.1 1.7 30.1
39.1 183.5 73.4 10.8
134.5 356.4 172.9 56.5
120.2 206.1 150.3 83.7
23.4 216.6 10.5 82
46.6 123.4 93.2 59.1
101.5 21.9 27.1
128 26.5 5
85.8 172.4 44.4 0
 199.8 318.2 145.8 0
0 281.4 36.8 0
0 554.8 273.4 11.6
166.9 545.5 9.3 83.1
87 26.1
273.4

N1 X1 S1 N2 X2 S2
491 40.1263 55.372307 24 43.236226 52.66354

ANALISIS DE CONSISTENCIA A LA MEDIA

ESTADISTICO CALCULADO ESTADISTICO TABULAR
Sp = 55.2537 GL = 513
Sd = 11.5510 α/2 = 0.025
Tc = -0.27 Tt = 1.965
ENTONCES X1 = X2OK, QUEDA, NO SE CORRIGE

378 0
348 166.9

103.7 0.0
95.0 41.9

Nov Dic t (X) Tm (Y) Tm cor:

98.3 66.6 1 66.6 0.0
21.7 11 2 11 0.0
10.8 56.5 3 56.5 0.0
26.1 4 2.4 54.8
 14.9 2.4 5 16.5 0.0
25.6 16.5 6 91.5 0.0
72 91.5 7 104.9 0.0
8 60.1 0.0
10.6 104.9 9 69.6 122.4
40.6 60.1 10 33.1 85.9
37.9 69.6 11 34.4 0.0
8.5 33.1 12 15.6 0.0
27.5 34.4 13 55.6 0.0
0 15.6 14 16.5 0.0
44.2 55.6 15 27.3 80.5
18.7 16.5 16 37.4 0.0
8.9 27.3 17 58.1 0.0
52.6 37.4 18 120.2 0.0
28.1 58.1 19 44.8 0.0
20 70.2 0.0
27 120.2 21 91.1 0.0
0 44.8 22 76 129.7
13.6 70.2 23 42.2 96.0
0 91.1 24 0 53.8
36.6 76 25 34.6 88.5
41.4 42.2 26 21.8 75.8
6.3 0 27 0 54.0
63.7 34.6 28 134.2 188.3
31.1 21.8 29 28.7 82.9
0 0 30 59 113.3
90.4 134.2 31 22.1 76.4
29 28.7 32 110.1 164.5
40.2 59 33 39.1 93.6
7.9 22.1 34 134.5 189.0
70.2 110.1 35 120.2 174.8
13.8 39.1 36 23.4 78.1
62.5 134.5 37 46.6 101.4
14.7 120.2 38 85.8 140.6
86.6 23.4 39 199.8 254.7
98.3 46.6 40 0 55.0
6 41 0.0 55.0
56.7 42 41.9 97.1
0 85.8 43 55.2
33.1 199.8 44 55.3
44.3 0 45 55.3
103.7 0.0 46
95.0 41.9 47
48
45 42 54.84 63.82
 Nov Dic
Chart Title
0.0748 0.0245 250

45 42
1.865 1.002 200
43 40 Tm = Am + Bm*t
0.025 0.025
2.017 2.021 150
OK OK
100

50 f(x) = 0.565290576569809 x + 42.6899523746248

R² = 0.0244644614888172

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Nov Dic ABR ABR JUL JUL

98.3 66.6 70.6 88.8
21.7 11 35.1 52.4 0.0 0.0
10.8 56.5 27.1 43.5 0.0 0.0
26.1 16.9 32.5 0.0 0.0
14.9 2.4 88.7 103.4 14.3 12.9
25.6 16.5 67.0 80.8 0.0 0.0
72 91.5 30.0 43.0 0.0 0.0
4.3 16.4 0.0 0.0
10.6 104.9 99.2 110.4 0.0 0.0
40.6 60.1 49.9 60.3 5.6 4.6
37.9 69.6 0.0 9.5 12.4 11.5
8.5 33.1 44.8 53.4 0.0 0.0
27.5 34.4 25.2 33.0 0.0 0.0
0 15.6 3.1 10.0 0.0 0.0
44.2 55.6 21.2 27.3 0.0 0.0
18.7 16.5 14.2 19.4 4.7 4.1
8.9 27.3 18.4 22.7 0.0 0.0
 52.6 37.4 62.8 66.3 0.0 0.0
28.1 58.1 39.8 42.4 0.0 0.0
44.3 46.0 0.0 0.0
27 120.2 12.4 13.3 0.0 0.0
0 44.8 40.4 40.4 0.0 0.0
13.6 70.2 53.6 52.7 6.7 6.6
0 91.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
36.6 76 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
41.4 42.2 37.0 33.5 5.2 5.3
6.3 0 46.3 42.0 0.0 0.2
63.7 34.6 51.2 46.0 0.0 0.3
31.1 21.8 74.4 68.3 0.0 0.4
0 0 51.4 44.5 0.0 0.4
90.4 134.2 60.8 53.0 0.0 0.5
29 28.7 54.9 46.3 0.0 0.6
40.2 59 75.6 66.1 0.0 0.6
7.9 22.1 108.0 97.6 0.0 0.7
70.2 110.1 52.3 41.1 0.0 0.8
13.8 39.1 50.5 38.4 0.0 0.9
62.5 134.5 92.2 79.2 0.0 0.9
14.7 120.2 30.5 16.7 0.0 1.0
86.6 23.4 33.3 18.6 0.0 1.1
98.3 46.6 95.3 79.7 0.0 1.1
6 119.9 103.5 0.0 1.2
56.7 88.5 71.2 0.0 1.3
0 85.8 34.4 16.3 0.0 1.4
33.1 199.8 0.0 1.4
44.3 0 0.0 1.5
103.7 0.0 0.0 1.6
95.0 41.9
35 40 45
 BUENA VISTA 419 MSNM

A
PIRA 3570 MSNM

SM
CA
PARIACOTO 2000 MSNM
AIJA 3360 MSNM
COTAPARACO 3008 MSNM

HUARMEY
HUAYAN 2706 MSNM
LA MERCED 3250 MSNM
MALVAS 3500 MSNM
TAPACOCHA 3599 MSNM
CAJAMARQUILLA (Y) Altitud: 3028 MSNM
DATA CONSISTENTE, SIN TENDENCIAS
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct Nov
1963 98.3
1964 22.0 67.8 107.4 88.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 56.1 21.7
1965 59.9 93.1 171.3 52.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.1 10.8
1966 83.7 82.0 59.1 43.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 83.1 26.1
1967 14.6 0.0 12.9 0.0 8.4 46.7 14.9
1968 23.2 19.8 141.4 32.5 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 28.6 25.6
1969 6.4 42.1 145.6 103.4 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 56.3 72.0
1970 149.0 26.3 157.2 80.8 19.8 0.0 0.0
1971 46.5 72.5 164.2 43.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 6.7 10.6
1972 99.1 119.3 250.8 16.4 0.0 0.0 4.6 6.9 0.1 10.3 40.6
1973 118.9 74.8 131.0 110.4 12.5 0.0 11.5 8.3 12.7 40.6 37.9
1974 65.0 140.7 78.6 60.3 0.3 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
1975 89.4 138.9 188.0 9.5 3.2 0.0 0.0 23.1 12.1 31.8 27.5
1976 145.6 107.6 74.6 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
1977 79.6 171.1 139.5 33.0 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 27.0 44.2
1978 34.7 36.8 56.5 10.0 0.1 0.0 4.1 2.3 24.6 25.5 18.7
1979 17.5 33.3 171.7 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1 9.4 0.0 8.9
1980 60.6 26.1 78.0 19.4 2.8 0.0 0.0 4.2 0.0 90.2 52.6
1981 119.9 160.9 108.1 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.7 28.1
1982 47.3 59.9 0.0 0.0
1983 120.9 79.1 180.5 66.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 14.0 27.0
1984 93.8 223.2 195.0 42.4 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.2 0.0
1985 28.1 35.6 46.0 3.5 43.7 0.0 13.6
1986 79.7 101.4 13.3 0.0 0.0 6.6 15.3 17.5 17.8 0.0
1987 77.6 63.5 51.2 40.4 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.6
1988 69.0 67.7 52.7 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.6 40.9 41.4
1989 75.5 161.0 83.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 0.0 26.4 59.2 6.3
1990 67.3 0.0 12.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.5 60.1 63.7
1991 32.3 27.8 67.9 33.5 6.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 61.2 31.1
1992 5.7 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1993 0.0 229.9 243.2 46.0 25.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 7.5 33.7 90.4
1994 102.3 140.0 112.2 68.3 22.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 25.7 8.1 29.0
1995 61.5 48.6 40.6 44.5 3.1 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 31.0 40.2
 1996 111.8 109.7 53.0 3.9 0.0 0.6 0.0 6.3 35.9 7.9
1997 72.1 108.3 21.9 46.3 3.4 0.0 0.7 0.0 9.5 32.6 70.2
1998 117.6 161.5 183.5 66.1 17.6 0.0 0.8 0.0 5.1 14.3 13.8
1999 102.2 356.4 96.7 97.6 39.6 0.0 0.9 0.0 21.7 60.6 62.5
2000 108.8 206.1 134.6 41.1 38.9 0.0 0.9 0.0 19.7 23.0 14.7
2001 187.1 92.8 216.6 38.4 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.0 17.9 28.2 86.6
2002 23.7 99.0 123.4 79.2 3.4 0.0 1.1 0.0 7.8 98.3
2003 101.5 16.7 8.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 15.3 6.0
2004 12.6 53.6 128.0 18.6 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 32.2 56.7
2005 172.4 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 149.2 270.3 318.2 79.7 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 33.1
2007 0.6 281.4 103.5 33.3 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 53.8 44.3
2008 88.1 90.4 155.5 71.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 103.7
2009 109.7 152.8 16.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 45.4 95.0
2010 13.6 18.5

ENE X1 Y N X1 Y FEB X1 Y N
1963 77.1 1 24.8 22.0 105.9 1
1964 24.8 22.0 2 49 59.9 47.2 67.8 2
1965 49 59.9 3 104.1 83.7 415.6 93.1 3
1966 104.1 83.7 4 50.9 23.2 89.3 82.0 4
1967 441.1 225.3 5 32.9 6.4 277.2 170.4 5
1968 50.9 23.2 6 215.9 149.0 73.4 19.8 6
1969 32.9 6.4 7 101.3 46.5 97.9 42.1 7
1970 215.9 149.0 8 166 99.1 37.1 26.3 8
1971 101.3 46.5 9 196.3 118.9 147.5 72.5 9
1972 166 99.1 10 131.7 65.0 269.7 119.3 10
1973 196.3 118.9 11 185.2 89.4 104.9 74.8 11
1974 131.7 65.0 12 211.1 145.6 113 140.7 12
1975 185.2 89.4 13 115.4 79.6 182.3 138.9 13
1976 211.1 145.6 14 35.7 34.7 254.8 107.6 14
1977 115.4 79.6 15 23.1 17.5 183.5 171.1 15
1978 35.7 34.7 16 88.6 60.6 36.8 16
1979 23.1 17.5 17 55.1 119.9 30.6 33.3 17
1980 88.6 60.6 18 83.7 93.8 66.3 26.1 18
1981 55.1 119.9 19 46.4 28.1 208.8 160.9 19
1982 47.3 20 132.3 79.7 59.9 20
1983 120.9 21 215.8 77.6 79.1 21
1984 83.7 93.8 22 29.3 69.0 54.6 223.2 22
1985 46.4 28.1 23 49.8 75.5 135.7 105.8 23
1986 132.3 79.7 24 14.5 32.3 136.5 101.4 24
1987 215.8 77.6 25 172.9 0.0 147.2 63.5 25
1988 29.3 69.0 26 186.7 102.3 105.9 26
1989 49.8 75.5 27 91.2 61.5 117.8 161.0 27
 1990 0 29.2 28 123.2 111.8 23.3 54.5 28
1991 14.5 32.3 29 99.6 72.1 44.4 27.8 29
1992 41.9 47.9 30 179.8 117.6 105.9 30
1993 172.9 0.0 31 125.9 102.2 282.4 229.9 31
1994 186.7 102.3 32 125.6 108.8 235.4 140.0 32
1995 91.2 61.5 33 202.7 187.1 110.7 48.6 33
1996 123.2 111.8 34 45.6 23.7 223.8 146.1 34
1997 99.6 72.1 35 83.9 101.5 129 108.3
1998 179.8 117.6 36 20.5 12.6 231.3 161.5
1999 125.9 102.2 37 81.3 149.2 353.3 356.4
2000 125.6 108.8 38 136.5 88.1 280.4 206.1
2001 202.7 187.1 39 204 109.7 91.5 92.8
2002 45.6 23.7 153.9 99.0
2003 83.9 101.5 y = 0.4448x + 29.229 85.6 82.9
2004 20.5 12.6 R² = 0.4225 68 53.6
2005 50.8 51.8 N= 39 68.5 75.1
2006 81.3 149.2 R2 = 0.4225 95.7 270.3
2007 78.4 64.1 gl = 37 48.3 0.6
2008 136.5 88.1 α/2 = 0.02 178.6 90.4
2009 204 109.7 Tc = 5.203 179.4 125.8
2010 13.6 Tt = 2.129 18.5
promedio 77.1 Tc > Tt existe correlacio promedio 105.9

Chart Title
200.0 400.0
180.0 350.0
160.0
300.0
140.0
Chart Title 250.0
120.0
f(x) = 0.44483658 x + 29.2289033
R² = 0.4224665362968 f(x) = 0.456780880790869 x + 43.8203103218517
100.0 200.0R² = 0.306162709895915
80.0 150.0
60.0
100.0
40.0
20.0 50.0

0.0 0.0
0 50 100 150 200 250 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 45

CAJAMARQUILLA Altitud: 3028 MSNM

DATA CONSISTENTE, SIN TENDENCIAS Y COMPLETA
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct Nov
1963 77.1 105.9
1964 22.0 67.8
1965 59.9 93.1
1966 83.7 82.0
1967 903.5 456.5
1968 23.2 19.8
1969 6.4 42.1
1970 149.0 26.3
1971 46.5 72.5
1972 99.1 119.3
1973 118.9 74.8
1974 65.0 140.7
1975 89.4 138.9
1976 145.6 107.6
1977 79.6 171.1
1978 34.7 36.8
1979 17.5 33.3
1980 60.6 26.1
1981 119.9 160.9
1982 47.3 59.9
1983 120.9 79.1
1984 93.8 223.2
1985 28.1 56.7
1986 79.7 101.4
1987 77.6 63.5
1988 69.0 105.9
1989 75.5 161.0
1990 913.7 461.2
1991 32.3 27.8
1992 914.6 105.9
1993 0.0 229.9
1994 102.3 140.0
1995 61.5 48.6
1996 111.8 94.9
1997 72.1 108.3
1998 117.6 161.5
1999 102.2 356.4
2000 108.8 206.1
2001 187.1 92.8
2002 23.7 99.0
2003 101.5 90.2
2004 12.6 53.6
2005 920.4 464.3
2006 149.2 270.3
 2007 921.3 0.6
2008 88.1 90.4
2009 109.7 94.0
2010 13.6 18.5
MAX 921.3 464.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MIN 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PROM 163.7 125.8 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
S 262.1 111.3 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
 PIRA (X1)
EJEMPLO - DATA CONSISTENTE, SIN TENDENCIAS
Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Set Oct
Dic
66.6 1963
11.0 1964 24.8 47.2 154.7 65.6 0 0 7
56.5 1965 49 415.6 198.1 63.8 42 0 0 0 3.5 43.5
1966 104.1 89.3 131.4 80.1 9.4 0 0 0 6.3 164.6
2.4 1967 441.1 277.2 224.6 50.6 21 0 17.3 23.8 40.8 119.1
16.5 1968 50.9 73.4 158.9 25.3 35.1 0 0 0 0 18.1
91.5 1969 32.9 97.9 148.6 120.5 19.6 0 0 5.5 1.3 91
1970 215.9 37.1 151.6 121.5 25.9 9 5 0 63.1 146.2
104.9 1971 101.3 147.5 237 127.2 2.3 0 0 36.3 21 52.3
60.1 1972 166 269.7 272.1 99.2 34.2 6.8 6.9 22.5 32.5 20.6
69.6 1973 196.3 104.9 183.5 144.7 87.6 0 11.8 12.7 50.7 80.5
33.1 1974 131.7 113 102.9 54.3 20.5 14 2.8 4.8 11.9
34.4 1975 185.2 182.3 286.1 130 27.6 2.9 0 11.1 11.4 72.3
15.6 1976 211.1 254.8 174.2 37.3 23.5 17.3 0 0 0 6.3
55.6 1977 115.4 183.5 184.4 78.7 27.5 0 3 0 0 0
16.5 1978 35.7 51.5 24.8 7 0 8.6 13.4 37.4
27.3 1979 23.1 30.6 90.7 180.9 87.5 5.3 0 0 9 6
37.4 1980 88.6 66.3 145.7 52.3 12.4 22 2.7 15.5 15.3 152.5
58.1 1981 55.1 208.8 176.1 90.9 0
1982
120.2 1983
44.8 1984 83.7 54.6 68.4 8.9 3.6 0 0 0.3 0 14.9
70.2 1985 46.4 135.7 138.7 62.1 24.4
91.1 1986 132.3 136.5 66.7 94.5 0 0 0 13.5 4.2
76.0 1987 215.8 147.2 208.5 82.1 16.5 0 0 0 27.6 48.4
42.2 1988 29.3 43.4 34.2 11.5 0 0 0 3.9 23
0.0 1989 49.8 117.8 154.9 117.9 18.1 0 0 0 62.8 163.5
34.6 1990 0 23.3 7 20.9 1.7 14.6 0 0 0 67.9
21.8 1991 14.5 44.4 55 15.6 0 2.9 8 10.4 0 3.5
0.0 1992 41.9 131.8 46.3 64.2 5 0 0 7.9 36.9
134.2 1993 172.9 282.4 353.7 64.2 38 0 0 0 9.5 55.7
28.7 1994 186.7 235.4 235.4 40.9 10 0 0 1.7 7.7
59.0 1995 91.2 110.7 71.7 89.4 15.9 0 0 0 20 65.5
 22.1 1996 123.2 223.8 264 17 0 0 4.5 3.7 66.2
110.1 1997 99.6 129 46.7 18.8 2.8 0 0 0 15.4 26.2
39.1 1998 179.8 231.3 232.4 9.9 19.8 0 0 17.3 67
134.5 1999 125.9 353.3 113 111 20.1 1.1 2.1 0 15 25.9
120.2 2000 125.6 280.4 167.7 105.5 13.2 0 2.3 5 14.6 20.1
23.4 2001 202.7 91.5 250.5 76.2 15.2 0 0.7 0 25.4 50.1
46.6 2002 45.6 153.9 195.7 99.5 4.1 0 1 0 16.4
2003 83.9 85.6 116.4 22.8 3.9 1.7 0 0 0 23.4
2004 20.5 68 76.3 59.4 1.4 2.2 0 16.1 59.6
85.8 2005 50.8 68.5 131.9 39.6 3.2 0 0 0.4 0.5 13.3
199.8 2006 81.3 95.7 248.4 1.5 0 1 0.6 5 29.7
0.0 2007 78.4 48.3 201.1 106.1 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.5 38.6
0.0 2008 136.5 178.6 186.4 78.8 0.2 2.5 0 0 1.4 77.3
41.9 2009 204 179.4 182.2 89.4 3.8 0.2 7.9 86.9
2010

X1 Y
47.2 67.8 7 0.0
415.6 93.1 7 0.0 0 0.0
89.3 82.0 0 0.0 0 0.0
73.4 19.8 0 0.0 17.3 12.9
97.9 42.1 17.3 12.9 0 0.0
37.1 26.3 0 0.0 0 0.0
147.5 72.5 0 0.0 5 0.0
269.7 119.3 5 0.0 0 0.0
104.9 74.8 0 0.0 6.9 4.6
113 140.7 6.9 4.6 11.8 11.5
182.3 138.9 11.8 11.5 0 0.0
254.8 107.6 0.0 0 0.0
183.5 171.1 0 0.0 3 0.0
30.6 33.3 0 0.0 8.6 4.1
66.3 26.1 3 0.0 0 0.0
208.8 160.9 8.6 4.1 2.7 0.0
54.6 223.2 0 0.0 0 0.0
136.5 101.4 2.7 0.0 0 6.6
147.2 63.5 0.0 0 0.0
117.8 161.0 0.0 0 0.1
44.4 27.8 0.0 0 5.3
282.4 229.9 0 0.0 0 0.2
235.4 140.0 8 0.3
110.7 48.6 0 6.6 0 0.4
129 108.3 0 0.0 0 0.4
231.3 161.5 0 0.1 0 0.5
353.3 356.4 0 5.3 0 0.6
 280.4 206.1 0 0.2 0 0.6
91.5 92.8 8 0.3 0 0.7
153.9 99.0 0 0.4 0 0.8
68 53.6 0 0.4 2.1 0.9
95.7 270.3 0 0.5 2.3 0.9
48.3 0.6 0 0.6 0.7 1.0
178.6 90.4 0 0.6 1 1.1
0 0.7 0 1.1
0 0.8 0 1.2
2.1 0.9 0 1.3
2.3 0.9 1 1.4
0.7 1.0 0.7 1.4
1 1.1 0 1.5
y = 0.4568x + 43.82 0 1.1
R² = 0.3062 0 1.2 y = 0.5509x + 0.4623
N= 34 0 1.3 R² = 0.5255
R2 = 0.3062 1 1.4 N= 40
gl = 32 0.7 1.4 R2 = 0.1
α/2 = 0.02 0 1.5 gl = 38
Tc = 3.758 1.6 α/2 = 0.02
Tt = 2.141 Tc = 2.055
Tc > Tt existe correlacion Tt = 2.127
Tc < Tt no existe correlacion
rt Title
Chart Title
14.0

12.0

10.0
90869 x + 43.8203103218517 f(x) = 0.550884510229723 x + 0.462322993776466
5915 8.0 R² = 0.525547138974845

6.0

4.0

2.0
200 250 300 350 400 450 0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
-2.0
Dic Anual
183.0
 0.0 En la estacion Cajamarquilla:
0.0 precipitacion promedio mensual del mes de enero es de 163.7 mm
#DIV/0! 183.0 preipitacion media anual es de xxxxx
#DIV/0!
 PARIACOTO (X2)
EJEMPLO - DATA CONSISTENTE, SIN TENDENCIAS
Nov Dic Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembr
e
67.7 59.2 1963
1.5 1964
19.4 80.2 1965
82.9 76.6 1966
34.7 67.5 1967
48 16.9 1968
108.2 160.6 1969
61.2 71.2 1970
67.6 137.2 1971
22 100.6 1972
107.9 61.7 1973
21.7 68.2 1974
246.2 62.1 1975
11.3 58.1 1976
55 69 1977
32.7 44 1978
26.6 1.9 1979
166.7 2.5 1980
1981 63.9 22.6 3 0 0 0 0 0
1982 10.4 0 6.8 8.2 0 0 0 0 0
1983 62.8 100.5 236.7 146.7 0 0 0 0 0
76.7 44 1984 2.8 56.8 22.7 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 1.5
1985 4 48.6 9.1 0 8.3 0 0 0 0
41.1 1986 8 2.6 22.4 0.6 0 0 0 0 0
27.1 179.2 1987 15.7 16.9 15.4 0.5 0 0 0 2
10.6 46 1988 10.7 0 24.1 0 0 0 0 0
40.6 36.6 1989 11.6 88.2 50.9 9.7 0 0 0 0 3.4
178.2 18.5 1990 5.9 38.2 16.5 0 0 0 0 0 0
89 66.2 1991 9.5 20.1 17.5 3 0 0 0 0 0
34.6 40.4 1992 6.1 13.8 0 0 0 1.3
160.2 99.4 1993 12.4 24.7 85.5 14.2 3.2 0 0 0 0
19.7 81.7 1994 32.9 27.8 32.2 15.3 0 0 0 0 1.7
67.8 79 1995 15.4 39.2 25.4 9.9 0.9 0 0 0 0
 6.6 6.9 1996 34 54.7 49.1 17.9 1 0 0 0.5 0
73.1 208 1997 11.3 24.2 11.5 19.5 4.2 0.5 0.5 0 1.6
6.3 73.1 1998 148.2 261.8 187.5 40.6 0.7 0.8 0 0 0.8
33.3 62.2 1999 14.7 13.5 2.4 0 0 0.3 1.4
23.8 113.6 2000 39.5 78.2 36.7 12.3 5.3 0 0 0.5 1.8
98.9 60.2 2001 46.2 26.8 11.2 2.9 0 0 0 3.9
103 68.5 2002 1.3 104 25.6 13.3 2.5 0 0 0 1.7
15.7 124.6 2003 15.1 16.2 20.4 3.3 0 0 0 0 0.2
62.8 82.2 2004 19.2 22.3 0 0 0 0 2.8
6.2 93.6 2005 14.8 24.2 5.5 0 0 0 0 0.3
37.6 95.3 2006 22 36.3 46.6 5.5 0 0 0 0
30 23.4 2007 47.6 15.3 0 0 0 0 0
35.6 31.9 2008 42.6 54.5 47.8 58.7 0 0 0 0 0
77.3 46.1 2009 23.8 20.1 0 0 0 0 0
2010 11.5 37.7
16 18 20
Octubre Noviembr Diciembr
e e

1.6 0 0
2.2 6.2
10.3 8.8 1.7
4.6 0 0
0 0.1 5.3
1.6
0 8.8 0.5
0 15.6 0.5
10.6 0 0
11 7.7 8.4
7 1.2 2.6
5.3 0 2.9
9.9 4.1 13.1
0 4 59
8.4 3.2 8.5
 2.1 1.2 1
6.9 39.9 64.7
1.6
6.7 10.2 12.8
2.7 3.8 28.6
2.3 2.6 4.1
6.4 18.7 2.4
10.7 0.8
11.6 9.6 11.6
4.2 0.7 7
0 11.3
8.4 0.8 7.3
0 0 0
3.3 7.6
 ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY
Año Ene m P = m / (N+1) P (+a-)
1963 77.1 1 2.04% 187.1 356.4
1964 22.0 2 4.08% 149.2 270.3
1965 59.9 3 6.12% 149.0 229.9
1966 83.7 4 8.16% 145.6 223.2
1967 903.5 5 10.20% 120.9 206.1
1968 23.2 6 12.24% 119.9 171.1
1969 6.4 7 14.29% 118.9 161.5
1970 149.0 8 16.33% 117.6 161.0
1971 46.5 9 18.37% 111.8 160.9
1972 99.1 10 20.41% 109.7 140.7
1973 118.9 11 22.45% 108.8 140.0
1974 65.0 12 24.49% 102.3 138.9
1975 89.4 13 26.53% 102.2 119.3
1976 145.6 14 28.57% 101.5 108.3
1977 79.6 15 30.61% 99.1 107.6
1978 34.7 16 32.65% 93.8 105.9
1979 17.5 17 34.69% 89.4 105.9
1980 60.6 18 36.73% 88.1 105.9
1981 119.9 19 38.78% 83.7 101.4
1982 47.3 20 40.82% 79.7 80.2
1983 120.9 21 42.86% 79.6 99.0
1984 93.8 22 44.90% 77.6 93.1
1985 28.1 23 46.94% 77.1 92.8
1986 79.7 24 48.98% 75.5 90.4
1987 77.6 25 51.02% 72.1 82.0
1988 69.0 26 53.06% 69.0 79.1
1989 75.5 27 55.10% 65.0 73.5
1990 913.7 28 57.14% 61.5 74.8
1991 32.3 29 59.18% 60.6 72.5
1992 914.6 30 61.22% 59.9 71.2
1993 0.0 31 63.27% 47.3 67.8
1994 102.3 32 65.31% 46.5 63.5
1995 61.5 33 67.35% 34.7 59.9
1996 111.8 34 69.39% 32.3 58.6
1997 72.1 35 71.43% 29.5 57.3
1998 117.6 36 73.47% 29.6 57.3
1999 102.2 37 75.51% 29.6 53.6
2000 108.8 38 77.55% 29.6 48.6
2001 187.1 39 79.59% 29.6 57.3
2002 23.7 40 81.63% 28.1 42.1
2003 101.5 41 83.67% 23.7 36.8
2004 12.6 42 85.71% 23.2 33.3
2005 920.4 43 87.76% 22.0 27.8
2006 149.2 44 89.80% 17.5 26.3
2007 921.3 45 91.84% 13.6 26.1
2008 88.1 46 93.88% 12.6 19.8
2009 109.7 47 95.92% 6.4 18.5
2010 13.6 N 48 97.96% 0.0 0.6

p50% 73.8 81.1

P60% 60.3 72.0
P75% 29.6 57.3
P95% 9.2 19.1
JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
DISEÑO DE ESTRUCTURA HIDRAULICA, O EVALUACION DE RIESGOS
CAUDAL MAXIMO
DATA:
1 CAUDAL INSTANTANEO
2 DATA PLUVIOGRAFICA, mediciones cada 1 hora
3 Precipitaciones maximas de 24horas

a. Selección del periodo de retorno (T)

riesgo
n vida util en años
T periodo de retorno
R riesgo
b. ANALISIS ESTADISTICO DE LA INFORMACION (P max. 24h)
Modelos de distribucion
Normal
log normal 2 parametros
log normal 3 parametros
Gamma 2 parametros

n
io
uc
rib Gamma 3 parametros
Log Pearson T-III
st
Di

Gumbel
Log Gumbel
ETC.
pruebas de Bondad y Ajuste
grafica
Chi-cuadrado (χ)
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Δ)
max. 24h) pag (60-100) DATA de P max. 24h
informe final zona centro