Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
50%
20%
30%
100%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
2%
0%
0 0.2 0.4 0.6
Probabilidad de ocurrencia
Tasa descuento
0%
0.50%
1%
1.50%
2%
2.50%
3%
3.50%
4%
4.50%
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8%
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61%
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62%
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63%
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64%
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65%
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66%
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67%
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68%
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69%
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70%
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71%
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72%
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79%
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80%
80.50%
81%
81.50%
82%
82.50%
83%
83.50%
84%
84.50%
85%
85.50%
86%
86.50%
87%
87.50%
88%
88.50%
89%
89.50%
90%
90.50%
91%
91.50%
92%
92.50%
93%
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97.50%
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99.50%
100%
Escenarios F0 F1
Flujos Normal -1000 -100
Flujos Optimista -1000 30
Flujos Pesimista -1000 -200
Flujo Real -1000 -104
CAPM
Tasa de descuento se obtiene a partir del riesgo (Beta)
El metodo CAPM tiene una representaciòn grafica de una recta (es decir se deben conocer dos puntos de ella)
1.4
1.4
VAN Real
$852.00
$808.00 VAN en distintos E
$765.24 $2,000.00
$723.67
$683.26
$1,500.00
$643.96
$605.75
$568.58 $1,000.00
$532.43
$497.26 $500.00
$463.03
$429.73
$0.00
$397.32 0% 20% 40% 60%
$365.76
$335.05 ($500.00)
$305.15
$276.03 ($1,000.00)
$247.67
$220.04
($1,500.00)
$193.14
$166.92 VAN Escenario Normal VAN Escenario
$141.38
$116.49
$92.24 VAN Real
$68.59 Obtenido del promedio ponderado
$45.55 Optimsta y Pes
$23.08
$1,000.00
$1.17
$-20.20
$500.00
$-41.03
$-61.35
$-81.17 $0.00
0% 20% 40% 60%
$-100.51
$-119.38 ($500.00)
$-137.79
$-155.76
($1,000.00)
$-173.29
$-190.41
$-207.12 ($1,500.00)
VAN Real
promedio ponderado de los escenarios Normal,
Optimsta y Pesimista
VAN Real