Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Ratio Liquidez
Razon corriente 1.4 1.0 1.0
Test acido 104% 65% 66%
Capital de trabajo 59,864,037 8,486,957 9,598,939
Ratio de Endeudamiento
Leverage -0.2 -0.1 -0.1
Endeudamiento de corto plazo 20% 24% 25%
Endeudamiento de largo plazo 31% 28% 30%
Endeudamiento total 51% 51% 55%
Cobertura de gasto financiero 6.45 6.38 5.69
Ratio de Gestión
Rotacion de cuentas por cobrar 8.6 11.1 10.3
Rotación de cuentas por cobrar en dias 42 32 35
Rotación de cuentas por pagar 5.93 4.46 4.34
Rotación cuentas por pagar en dias 61 81 83
Rotación de inventario 5.9 4.5 4.3
Rotación de inventario en dias 61 81 83
Rotación de activo 76% 73% 73%
Ciclo de caja 42 32 35
Ratio de Rentabilidad
Margen bruto 41.70% 42.46% 42.91%
Margen neto 7.69% 7.82% 7.54%
Margen de utilidad operacional 13.19% 12.48% 12.16%
Rentabilidad del activo 5.85% 5.72% 5.48%
Rendimiento de los accionistas 11.90% 11.80% 12.08%
AÑO 12/30/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021
IPC U.S.A. 27.00% 26000.00% 2.50% 3.00% 7.2%
FACTOR ACTUAL. 295.390 1.132 1.104 1.072 1.000
financieros consolidados
12/31/2020 12/31/2021
Analisis Vertical
12/30/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020
61,267,008 61,641,406 10.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7%
70,783,553 47,447,816 0.2% - - 7.8%
2,139,044 2,813,531 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
61,759,977 98,589,324 8.8% 6.5% 7.0% 6.8%
671,098 578,930 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
72,783,207 99,989,405 7.5% 9.4% 9.6% 8.0%
- - - - - -
4,559,050 2,699,220 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
273,962,937 313,759,632 27.5% 24.5% 25.4% 30.0%
- - 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% -
273,962,937 313,759,632 27.9% 24.9% 25.9% 30.0%
304,566,965 319,025,817
ieros consolidados
- - - 0.00% - 0.00%
2,455,345 4,345,218 0.30% 0.16% 0.26% 0.37%
-2,934,416 1,769,482 -0.09% 0.37% -0.02% -0.44%
-1,021,586 -2,636,499 -0.25% -0.41% -0.11% -0.15%
- - - 0.00% - 0.00%
- - - 0.00% - 0.00%
- - - 0.00% - 0.00%
65,842,881 107,227,921 11.23% 10.83% 10.29% 9.85%
16,206,144 20,155,767 3.54% 3.01% 2.75% 2.43%
49,636,737 87,072,154 7.69% 7.82% 7.54% 7.43%
- - - 0.00% - 0.00%
49,636,737 87,072,154 7.69% 7.82% 7.54% 7.43%
1.4 1.0
103% 67%
79,551,576 -3,641,354
-0.2 0.1
21% 30%
33% 28%
54% 59%
5.34 8.91
10.7 9.4
34 38
5.25 5.69
69 63
5.2 5.7
69 63
73% 90%
34 38
42.86% 39.13%
7.43% 9.31%
12.29% 12.42%
5.44% 8.36%
11.82% 20.22%
Analisis Horizontal
12/31/2021 12/30/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021
5.9% 22.74% -12.76% 9.97% -0.61% -0.61%
4.6% - - - 49.18% 49.18%
0.3% -23.90% -54.23% 47.87% -23.97% -23.97%
9.5% 26.22% -16.89% -2.39% -37.36% -37.36%
0.1% 12.75% 3.08% -17.01% 15.92% 15.92%
9.6% -26.14% -11.25% 12.79% -27.21% -27.21%
- - - - - -
0.3% 6.17% 1.09% 11.54% 68.90% 68.90%
30.1% 4.63% -13.57% -20.22% -12.68% -12.68%
- 0.00% -5.22% - - 0.00%
30.1% 4.54% -13.43% -18.89% -12.68% -12.68%
- - 0.00% - 0.00% -
0.46% 84.17% -46.81% -32.83% -43.49% -43.49%
0.19% -122.36% -1774.88% -95.75% -265.83% -265.83%
-0.28% -41.20% 229.89% -31.10% -61.25% -61.25%
- - 0.00% - 0.00% -
- - 0.00% - 0.00% -
- - 0.00% - 0.00% -
11.47% 0.52% -4.83% -2.46% -38.60% -38.60%
2.16% 14.02% -1.02% 5.83% -19.60% -19.60%
9.31% -4.67% -6.22% -5.17% -42.99% -42.99%
- - 0.00% - 0.00% -
9.31% -4.67% -6.22% -5.17% -42.99% -42.99%
Beta 0.7272
Tasa libre de riesgo (RF) 3.31%
Retorno del mercado 10.60%
CAPM (ke) 2.47%
WACC (ko) 3.71%
RM 2.16%
BONOS NO CORRIENTES
Banco BCI $ 2,526,666
Banco Estado $ 9,083,965
Coca-Cola Co $ 846,177
Nestlé Hidgs Inc $ 843,845
United States Treas Nts $ 4,184,467
Banco Estado $ 842,364
TOTAL $ 18,327,484
AJUSTE $ -537,609
Total Bono $ 17,789,875
Total: $ 20,879,432
MM$ PONDERACION COSTO NOMINAL COSTO PONDERADO
Banco BCI $ 2,526,666 0.6% 2.34% 0.01%
Banco Estado $ 9,083,965 2.0% 2.63% 0.04%
Coca-Cola Co $ 846,177 0.2% 3.00% 0.00%
Nestlé Hidgs Inc $ 843,845 0.2% 2.85% 0.00%
United States Tr $ 4,184,467 0.9% 2.75% 0.02%
Banco Estado $ 842,364 0.2% 2.56% 0.00%
Contrato arriend $ 1,765,016 0.4% 2.95% 0.01%
Contratos arrie $ 420,540 0.1% 2.38% 0.00%
Contratos arrie $ 904,001 0.2% 3.90% 0.01%
Capital Propio $ 430,632,859 95.4% 5.20% 3.62%
TOTALES $ 451,512,291 100% 3.71% WACC
Tasas de interés mercado secundario , bonos , en pesos (porcentaje)
1.Bonos en pesos a
Periodo 5 años (BCP,BTP)
Jan.2017 3.77
Feb.2017 3.74
Mar.2017 3.72
Apr.2017 3.52
May.2017 3.67
Jun.2017 3.66
Jul.2017 3.66
Aug.2017 3.62
Sep.2017 3.68
Oct.2017 3.81
Nov.2017 3.88
Dec.2017 4.02
Jan.2018 3.93
Feb.2018 3.97
Mar.2018 4.02
Apr.2018 3.90
May.2018 4.00
Jun.2018 4.08
Jul.2018 4.12
Aug.2018 4.07
Sep.2018 4.11
Oct.2018 4.26
Nov.2018 4.23
Dec.2018 4.10
Jan.2019 4.22
Feb.2019 4.13
Mar.2019 4.05
Apr.2019 3.91
May.2019 3.76
Jun.2019 3.20
Jul.2019 2.95
Aug.2019 2.51
Sep.2019 2.48
Oct.2019 2.65
Nov.2019 2.92
Dec.2019 2.93
Jan.2020 2.89
Feb.2020 3.02
Mar.2020 2.80
Apr.2020 2.33
May.2020 1.63
Jun.2020 1.49
Jul.2020 1.46
Aug.2020 1.47
Sep.2020 1.53
Oct.2020 1.51
Nov.2020 1.51
Dec.2020 1.58
Jan.2021 1.52
Feb.2021 1.57
Mar.2021 1.78
Apr.2021 2.17
May.2021 2.57
Jun.2021 3.00
Jul.2021 3.67
Aug.2021 3.90
Sep.2021 4.83
Oct.2021 5.97
Nov.2021 5.59
Dec.2021 5.59
3.31 %
orcentaje)
PARAMETROS
Cantidad de hogares en Chile (App.) 5,000,000
Porcentaje Objetivo de Hogares 20.00%
Consumo Semanal de Cápsulas/Hogar 1
Tasa Anual de Crecimiento de Ventas 2.00%
Precio de Venta ($/Ud.) 1,300
Costo de venta ($/Ud.) 1,020
ITEM/AÑOS 0 1 2
Ventas anuales (unidades) 52,000,000 53,040,000
I. INGRESOS
Ingresos por venta 67,600,000,000 68,952,000,000
Otros Ingresos
TOTAL INGRESOS 67,600,000,000 68,952,000,000
II. EGRESOS
Costo de venta 53,040,000,000 54,100,800,000
Gastos de Administración y Venta 5,408,000,000 5,516,160,000
Costo Fijo 360,000,000 360,000,000
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
TOTAL EGRESOS 59,355,273,810 60,524,233,810
III. INVERSIONES
Terreno 4,950,000,000
Infraestructura 4,950,000,000
Maquinarias 1,720,000,000
Instalaciones 430,000,000
Equipos 365,500,000
Vehículos 258,000,000
Mobiliario y eqipos de oficina 86,000,000
GOPM 120,000,000
Capital de Trabajo 13,520,000,000 270,400,000 275,808,000
TOTAL INVERSIONES 26,399,500,000 270,400,000 275,808,000
RESULTADO DESPUES INVERSIONES -26,399,500,000 5,748,250,119 5,876,461,319
IV. AJUSTES
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
Valor libro Activo Depreciable
Valor Activo no Depreciable
Recuperación Capital de Trabajo
TOTAL AJUSTES 547,273,810 547,273,810
CUADRO DE AMORTIZA
Periodos 0 1 2
Cuota 1,952,891,571 1,952,891,571
Amortización 1,319,303,571 1,372,075,714
Interés 633,588,000 580,815,857
Saldo 15,839,700,000 14,520,396,429 13,148,320,715
Beneficio Tributario 171,068,760 156,820,281
3 4 5 6 7 8
54,100,800 55,182,816 56,286,472 57,412,202 58,560,446 59,731,655
CUADRO DE DEPRECIACIONES
2 3 4 5 6 7
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143
79,204,174,156 80,788,257,639
466,538,095
79,204,174,156 81,254,795,734
62,144,813,568 63,387,709,840
6,336,333,932 6,463,060,611
360,000,000 360,000,000
517,273,810 517,273,810
69,358,421,310 70,728,044,260
9,845,752,845 10,526,751,474
-2,658,353,268 -2,842,222,898
7,187,399,577 7,684,528,576
316,816,697
316,816,697 0
6,870,582,881 7,684,528,576
517,273,810 517,273,810
2,980,761,905
4,950,000,000
16,157,651,528
517,273,810 24,605,687,242
7,387,856,690 32,290,215,818
-1,805,558,035 -1,877,780,357
-147,333,536 -75,111,214
39,780,055 20,280,028
5,474,745,174 30,357,604,275
9 10
1,952,891,571 1,952,891,571
1,805,558,035 1,877,780,357
147,333,536 75,111,214
1,877,780,357 0
39,780,055 20,280,028
RESULTADO
495,000,000
-28,666,667
-7,166,667
0
77,400,000
7,371,429
0
0
543,938,095
PARAMETROS
Cantidad de hogares en Chile (App.) 5,000,000
Porcentaje Objetivo de Hogares 20.00%
Consumo Semanal de Cápsulas/Hogar 1
Tasa Anual de Crecimiento de Ventas 2.00%
Precio de Venta ($/Ud.) 1,300
Costo de venta ($/Ud.) 1,020
Venta inicial 52,000,000
ITEM/AÑOS 0 1 2
Ventas anuales (unidades) 52,000,000 53,040,000
I. INGRESOS
Ingresos por venta 67,600,000,000 68,952,000,000
Otros Ingresos
TOTAL INGRESOS 67,600,000,000 68,952,000,000
II. EGRESOS
Costo de venta 53,040,000,000 54,100,800,000
Gastos de Administración y Venta 5,408,000,000 5,516,160,000
Costo Fijo 360,000,000 360,000,000
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
TOTAL EGRESOS 59,355,273,810 60,524,233,810
III. INVERSIONES
Terreno 4,950,000,000
Infraestructura 4,950,000,000
Maquinarias 1,720,000,000
Instalaciones 430,000,000
Equipos 365,500,000
Vehículos 258,000,000
Mobiliario y eqipos de oficina 86,000,000
GOPM 120,000,000
Capital de Trabajo 13,520,000,000 270,400,000 275,808,000
TOTAL INVERSIONES 26,399,500,000 270,400,000 275,808,000
RESULTADO DESPUES INVERSIONES -26,399,500,000 5,748,250,119 5,876,461,319
IV. AJUSTES
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
Valor libro Activo Depreciable
Valor Activo no Depreciable
Recuperación Capital de Trabajo
TOTAL AJUSTES 547,273,810 547,273,810
CUADRO DE AMORTI
Periodos 0 1 2
Cuota 1,952,891,571 1,952,891,571
Amortización 1,319,303,571 1,372,075,714
Interés 633,588,000 580,815,857
Saldo 15,839,700,000 14,520,396,429 13,148,320,715
Beneficio Tributario 171,068,760 156,820,281
-20.00% 1040
-15.00% 1105
-10.00% 1170
-5.00% 1235
0.00% 1,300
5.00% 1365
10.00% 1430
15.00% 1495
20.00% 1560
35,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
25,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
15,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
3 4 5 6 7
54,100,800 55,182,816 56,286,472 57,412,202 58,560,446
CUADRO DE DEPRECIACIONES
2 3 4 5 6
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143
41,600,000.00 816
44,200,000.00 867
46,800,000.00 918
49,400,000.00 969
52,000,000.00 1,020
54,600,000.00 1071
57,200,000.00 1122
59,800,000.00 1173
62,400,000.00 1224
310,604,605 316,816,697
310,604,605 316,816,697 0
6,723,308,513 6,870,582,881 7,684,528,576
2,980,761,905
4,950,000,000
16,157,651,528
517,273,810 517,273,810 24,605,687,242
7 8 9 10 D. ACUM. V. LIBRO
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 2,475,000,000 2,475,000,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 1,433,333,333 286,666,667
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 358,333,333 71,666,667
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 365,500,000 0
36,857,143 258,000,000 0
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 110,571,429 147,428,571
86,000,000 0
17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 86,000,000 0
517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 5,172,738,095 2,980,761,905
8 9 10
1,952,891,571 1,952,891,571 1,952,891,571
1,736,113,495 1,805,558,035 1,877,780,357
216,778,075 147,333,536 75,111,214
3,683,338,392 1,877,780,357 0
58,530,080 39,780,055 20,280,028
21,119,600,000
22,439,575,000
23,759,550,000
25,079,525,000
26,399,500,000
27,719,475,000
29,039,450,000
30,359,425,000
31,679,400,000
V. RESCATE RESULTADO
2,970,000,000 495,000,000
258,000,000 -28,666,667
64,500,000 -7,166,667
0 0
77,400,000 77,400,000
154,800,000 7,371,429
0 0
0 0
3,524,700,000 543,938,095
PARAMETROS
Cantidad de hogares en Chile (App.) 5,000,000
Porcentaje Objetivo de Hogares 20.00%
Consumo Semanal de Cápsulas/Hogar 1
Tasa Anual de Crecimiento de Ventas 3.00%
Precio de Venta ($/Ud.) 1,300
Costo de venta ($/Ud.) 950
Venta inicial 55,000,000
ITEM/AÑOS 0 1 2
Ventas anuales (unidades) 55,000,000 56,650,000
I. INGRESOS
Ingresos por venta 71,500,000,000 73,645,000,000
Otros Ingresos
TOTAL INGRESOS 71,500,000,000 73,645,000,000
II. EGRESOS
Costo de venta 52,250,000,000 53,817,500,000
Gastos de Administración y Venta 5,720,000,000 5,891,600,000
Costo Fijo 360,000,000 360,000,000
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
TOTAL EGRESOS 58,877,273,810 60,616,373,810
III. INVERSIONES
Terreno 4,950,000,000
Infraestructura 4,950,000,000
Maquinarias 1,720,000,000
Instalaciones 430,000,000
Equipos 365,500,000
Vehículos 258,000,000
Mobiliario y eqipos de oficina 86,000,000
GOPM 120,000,000
Capital de Trabajo 14,300,000,000 429,000,000 441,870,000
TOTAL INVERSIONES 27,179,500,000 429,000,000 441,870,000
RESULTADO DESPUES INVERSIONES -27,179,500,000 8,785,590,119 9,069,027,119
IV. AJUSTES
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
Valor libro Activo Depreciable
Valor Activo no Depreciable
Recuperación Capital de Trabajo
TOTAL AJUSTES 547,273,810 547,273,810
CUADRO DE AMORTI
Periodos 0 1 2
Cuota 2,010,591,733 2,010,591,733
Amortización 1,358,283,733 1,412,615,082
Interés 652,308,000 597,976,651
Saldo 16,307,700,000 14,949,416,267 13,536,801,185
Beneficio Tributario 176,123,160 161,453,696
-20.00% 1040
-15.00% 1105
-10.00% 1170
-5.00% 1235
0.00% 1,300
5.00% 1365
10.00% 1430
15.00% 1495
20.00% 1560
35,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
25,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
15,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
3 4 5 6 7
58,349,500 60,099,985 61,902,985 63,760,074 65,672,876
CUADRO DE DEPRECIACIONES
2 3 4 5 6
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143
41,600,000.00 816
44,200,000.00 867
46,800,000.00 918
49,400,000.00 969
52,000,000.00 1,020
54,600,000.00 1071
57,200,000.00 1122
59,800,000.00 1173
62,400,000.00 1224
527,615,888 543,444,365
527,615,888 543,444,365 0
10,979,315,412 11,327,907,171 12,587,277,188
2,980,761,905
4,950,000,000
18,658,256,529
517,273,810 517,273,810 27,106,292,243
7 8 9 10 D. ACUM. V. LIBRO
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 2,475,000,000 2,475,000,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 1,433,333,333 286,666,667
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 358,333,333 71,666,667
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 365,500,000 0
36,857,143 258,000,000 0
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 110,571,429 147,428,571
86,000,000 0
17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 86,000,000 0
517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 5,172,738,095 2,980,761,905
8 9 10
2,010,591,733 2,010,591,733 2,010,591,733
1,787,408,729 1,858,905,078 1,933,261,282
223,183,004 151,686,654 77,330,451
3,792,166,360 1,933,261,282 0
60,259,411 40,955,397 20,879,222
21,119,600,000
22,439,575,000
23,759,550,000
25,079,525,000
26,399,500,000
27,719,475,000
29,039,450,000
30,359,425,000
31,679,400,000
V. RESCATE RESULTADO
2,970,000,000 495,000,000
258,000,000 -28,666,667
64,500,000 -7,166,667
0 0
77,400,000 77,400,000
154,800,000 7,371,429
0 0
0 0
3,524,700,000 543,938,095
PARAMETROS
Cantidad de hogares en Chile (App.) 5,000,000
Porcentaje Objetivo de Hogares 20.00%
Consumo Semanal de Cápsulas/Hogar 1
Tasa Anual de Crecimiento de Ventas 1.00%
Precio de Venta ($/Ud.) 1,300
Costo de venta ($/Ud.) 1,100
Venta inicial 50,000,000
ITEM/AÑOS 0 1 2
Ventas anuales (unidades) 50,000,000 50,500,000
I. INGRESOS
Ingresos por venta 65,000,000,000 65,650,000,000
Otros Ingresos
TOTAL INGRESOS 65,000,000,000 65,650,000,000
II. EGRESOS
Costo de venta 55,000,000,000 55,550,000,000
Gastos de Administración y Venta 5,200,000,000 5,252,000,000
Costo Fijo 360,000,000 360,000,000
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
TOTAL EGRESOS 61,107,273,810 61,709,273,810
III. INVERSIONES
Terreno 4,950,000,000
Infraestructura 4,950,000,000
Maquinarias 1,720,000,000
Instalaciones 430,000,000
Equipos 365,500,000
Vehículos 258,000,000
Mobiliario y eqipos de oficina 86,000,000
GOPM 120,000,000
Capital de Trabajo 13,000,000,000 130,000,000 131,300,000
TOTAL INVERSIONES 25,879,500,000 130,000,000 131,300,000
RESULTADO DESPUES INVERSIONES -25,879,500,000 2,711,690,119 2,745,430,119
IV. AJUSTES
Depreciación 517,273,810 517,273,810
Amortización GOPM 30,000,000 30,000,000
Valor libro Activo Depreciable
Valor Activo no Depreciable
Recuperación Capital de Trabajo
TOTAL AJUSTES 547,273,810 547,273,810
CUADRO DE AMORTI
Periodos 0 1 2
Cuota 1,914,424,796 1,914,424,796
Amortización 1,293,316,796 1,345,049,468
Interés 621,108,000 569,375,328
Saldo 15,527,700,000 14,234,383,204 12,889,333,736
Beneficio Tributario 167,699,160 153,731,339
-20.00% 1040
-15.00% 1105
-10.00% 1170
-5.00% 1235
0.00% 1,300
5.00% 1365
10.00% 1430
15.00% 1495
20.00% 1560
35,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
25,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
15,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
3 4 5 6 7
51,005,000 51,515,050 52,030,201 52,550,503 53,076,008
CUADRO DE DEPRECIACIONES
2 3 4 5 6
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143
41,600,000.00 816
44,200,000.00 867
46,800,000.00 918
49,400,000.00 969
52,000,000.00 1,020
54,600,000.00 1071
57,200,000.00 1122
59,800,000.00 1173
62,400,000.00 1224
139,377,596 140,771,372
139,377,596 140,771,372 0
2,976,974,797 3,013,148,644 3,532,436,124
2,980,761,905
4,950,000,000
14,217,908,545
517,273,810 517,273,810 22,665,944,259
7 8 9 10 D. ACUM. V. LIBRO
247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 247,500,000 2,475,000,000 2,475,000,000
143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 143,333,333 1,433,333,333 286,666,667
35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 35,833,333 358,333,333 71,666,667
36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 36,550,000 365,500,000 0
36,857,143 258,000,000 0
36,857,143 36,857,143 36,857,143 110,571,429 147,428,571
86,000,000 0
17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 17,200,000 86,000,000 0
517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 517,273,810 5,172,738,095 2,980,761,905
8 9 10
1,914,424,796 1,914,424,796 1,914,424,796
1,701,916,673 1,769,993,340 1,840,793,073
212,508,123 144,431,457 73,631,723
3,610,786,413 1,840,793,073 0
57,377,193 38,996,493 19,880,565
21,119,600,000
22,439,575,000
23,759,550,000
25,079,525,000
26,399,500,000
27,719,475,000
29,039,450,000
30,359,425,000
31,679,400,000
V. RESCATE RESULTADO
2,970,000,000 495,000,000
258,000,000 -28,666,667
64,500,000 -7,166,667
0 0
77,400,000 77,400,000
154,800,000 7,371,429
0 0
0 0
3,524,700,000 543,938,095
Escenario / Años 0 1
Optimista -10,871,800,000 7,498,395,356
Normal -10,559,800,000 4,513,701,118
Pesimista -10,351,800,000 1,512,238,292
Flujo Neto Esperado -10565000000 4361112688.3
Ke 73%
Van Esperado -4,292,758,203
Varianza Flujos 6.980376E+016 8.990956E+18
Van (Varianza de Flujos) 13,842,162,368,209,000,000
Desviación Estándard 3,720,505,660.2845
-572,252,543
Prob (VAN<= -572,252,543)
Z1(-572,252,543 ) 1.0000
Prob (VAN<= -572,525,543) 0,8413 84.13%
-8,013,263,863
Prob ( -8,013,263,863 <VAN<= -572,252,543)
Z2 (-8,013,263,863) -1.0000 84.13%
Prob ( -8,013,263,863 <VAN<=-572,252,543 ) 68.26%
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
7,767,162,891 8,043,846,759 8,328,678,579 8,613,796,690 8,915,646,332 9,282,881,851 9,546,256,900
4,627,663,839 4,743,620,845 4,861,600,623 4,973,531,774 5,095,642,996 5,276,365,067 5,346,220,832
1,532,010,471 1,551,561,337 1,570,871,915 1,581,822,371 1,600,591,975 1,675,561,064 1,637,201,004
4479458023.3 4600242830.6 4723516575.1 4841229630.8 4969633291.9 5157181784.3 5234422276.3
1.705527E+19 4.5466172E+19