La Empresa Manufacturera CHIA FONG le presenta las ventas realizadas para que le elabore

el pronóstico de ventas de igual número de datos.

CHIA FONG
(En Miles)
Años Montos de venta
2011 345.7
2012 388.8
2013 467.9
2014 525.3
2015 533.8
2016 601.5
2017 722.4
2018 811.4
2019 927.6

X Y X2 Y2 (X)(Y)
1 345.7 1 119,508.49 345.7
2 388.8 4 151,165.44 777.6
3 467.9 9 218,930.41 1,403.7
4 525.3 16 275,940.09 2,101.2
5 533.8 25 284,942.44 2,669.0
6 601.5 36 361,802.25 3,609.0
7 722.4 49 521,861.76 5,056.8
8 811.4 64 658,369.96 6,491.2
9 927.6 81 860,441.76 8,348.4
45 5,324.40 285 3,452,962.6 30,802.60

𝑁 ∑ 𝑥𝑦 − ∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
𝑏=
∑ 𝑥 2 − (∑ 𝑥)2
9(30802.6) − (45)(5324.4)
𝑏=
9(285) − (45)2
227,223.4 − 239,598
𝑏=
2565 − 2,025
37,625.4
𝑏=
540
𝑏 = 69.68

∑𝑦 − 𝑏∑𝑥
𝑎=
𝑁
 5,324.4 − 69.68(45)
𝑎=
9
2189.25
𝑎=
9
𝑎 = 243.20

10 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥

𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(10)
𝑌 = 243.20 + 696.80
𝑌 = 940.

11 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥

𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(11)
𝑌 = 243.20 + 766.48
𝑌 = 1,009.68

12 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥

𝑌 = 243.25 + (69.68)(12)

𝑌 = 243.20 + 836.16
𝑌 = 1,079.36

13) 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥

𝑌 = 243.25 + (69.67)(13)
𝑌 = 243.25 + 905.84
𝑌 = 1,149.04
14 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(14)

𝑌 = 243.20 + 975.38
𝑌 = 1,218.72
15 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(15)

𝑌 = 243.20 + 1,045.20
 𝑌 = 1,288.40
16 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(16)
𝑌 = 243.20 + 1,114.88
𝑌 = 1358.08
17 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(17)

𝑌 = 243.20 + 1,184.56
𝑌 = 1427.76
18 𝑌 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
𝑌 = 243.20 + (69.68)(18)

𝑌 = 243.20 + 1254.24
𝑌 = 1,497.44

Año Monto de Ventas

2020 940.00
2021 1,009.68
2022 1,079.36
2023 1,149.04
2024 1,218.72
2025 1,288.40
2026 1,358.08
2027 1,427.76
2028 1,497.44

𝑏(𝑁)
𝐶=
∑𝑌
69.67(9)
𝐶=
5,324.4

𝐶 = 0.117792285
𝑥 100

𝐶 = 11.78%
 0.00
200.00
1,000.00
1,200.00
1,400.00
1,600.00

400.00
600.00
800.00

1
345.70

2
388.80

3
467.90

4
525.30

5
533.80

6
601.50

7
722.40

8
811.40

9
927.60

10
940.00

11
12 1,009.68

1,079.36
13

1,149.04
14

1,218.72
15

1,288.40
16

1,358.08
17

1,427.76
18

1,497.44