PRECIPITACION MAXIMA EN 24 HORAS (mm)

AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO ES

1994 44.8
1995 35.3
100.0
1996 32.0
1997 21.3 90.0
1998 51.4
1999 61.7 80.0
2000 37.9 70.0
2001 91.0
2002 50.8 60.0
2003 43.0
50.0
2004 32.9
2005 47.7 40.0
2006 52.3
2007 51.0 30.0
2008 61.9 20.0
2009 36.6
2010 42.2 10.0
2011 66.2
0.0
2012 57.4
2013 37.2 94 97 00 03 06 09 12
19 19 20 20 20 20 20
 ESTACION HUANUCO

7 00 03 06 09 12
20 20 20 20 20

Herramientas / Análisis de Datos / Estadística Descriptiva

PUENTE CASCAY
Media 47.73
Mediana 46.25
Moda
Desviación estándar 15.3
Varianza 235
Curtosis 2.17
Coeficiente de asimetría
Rango
Mínimo
Máximo
Suma
Cuenta
 CUADRO Nº 3.7
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
PRECIPITACION MAXIMAS EN 24 HORAS (mm)
AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO DATOS ORDENADOS F(x) f(x)
1994 44.8 91.0 0.9976188009 0.0004843477
1995 35.3 66.2 0.8852622793 0.0126386044
1996 32.0 61.9 0.8215774032 0.0170189628
1997 21.3 61.7 0.8183791505 0.0172098796
1998 51.4 57.4 0.7352886127 0.0213502017
1999 61.7 52.3 0.617842165 0.0248750509
2000 37.9 51.4 0.5944005706 0.0252867138
2001 91.0 51.0 0.5849230656 0.025426828
2002 50.8 50.8 0.5801653452 0.0254914956
2003 43.0 47.7 0.4980551257 0.0260182701
2004 32.9 44.8 0.4255593641 0.0255643007
2005 47.7 43.0 0.3784445171 0.0248012613
2006 52.3 42.2 0.3600520887 0.0244007633
2007 51.0 37.9 0.2615293596 0.0212186791
2008 61.9 37.2 0.245918954 0.0205438034
2009 36.6 36.6 0.2345476708 0.0200205207
2010 42.2 35.3 0.2091810913 0.0187530269
2011 66.2 32.9 0.1665954648 0.016290512
2012 57.4 32.0 0.151823195 0.0153291357
2013 37.2 21.3 0.0424129432 0.0058934957
 MEDIA 47.73
DESV.EST. 15.33

F(x)

1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

f(x)

0.03

0.025

0.02

0.015

0.01

0.005

0
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0
 CUADRO Nº 3.8
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS
AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO DATOS ORDENADOS y = ln (x) F(x) f(x)
1994 44.8 91.0 4.5109452762 0.9852949292 0.1170235862
1995 35.3 66.2 4.1919780662 0.8800681892 0.6285400718
1996 32.0 61.9 4.1247995285 0.8325181099 0.787837188
1997 21.3 61.7 4.1217738076 0.8301234076 0.795058912
1998 51.4 57.4 4.0495289007 0.7665597151 0.9623929081
1999 61.7 52.3 3.9574707563 0.6693776773 1.1392094389
2000 37.9 51.4 3.9394522508 0.6486051579 1.165965062
2001 91.0 51.0 3.9321529483 0.6400578153 1.1759077327
2002 50.8 50.8 3.9284832194 0.635733711 1.1807035798
2003 43.0 47.7 3.8639446983 0.5573337592 1.2410322498
2004 32.9 44.8 3.8033200764 0.4815156201 1.252658366
2005 47.7 43.0 3.760760462 0.4285257673 1.2338248471
2006 52.3 42.2 3.7432161524 0.4069972075 1.2197729313
2007 51.0 37.9 3.6358871321 0.2834422136 1.0643672024
2008 61.9 37.2 3.6159859778 0.2626484255 1.0249066415
2009 36.6 36.6 3.6007958123 0.2473194272 0.9931557781
2010 42.2 35.3 3.5644281682 0.2126486842 0.9125856996
2011 66.2 32.9 3.4931651481 0.1535638983 0.7444189202
2012 57.4 32.0 3.4643447096 0.1330993252 0.6758572448
2013 37.2 21.3 3.0588796015 0.0085078733 0.0727277463
MEDIA 47.73 MEDIA 3.8181
DESV.EST. 15.33 DESV.EST. 0.3181

C.ASIMETRIA -0.17433679

1.2
Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 50 años,

1
sabiendo que Tr = 1 / Pno exc

--> Pno exc = 1 / 50 = 0.02 0.8

--> Pexc = 1-Pno exc = 0.98
0.6
z = f ( Pexc) =DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,98)
0.4
z = 2.05374891
0.2
y=m+z S
0
y = 3.8181 + 2.053 * 0.3181 10.0 20.0

y= 4.4714

y= ln (x)
1.4

x= e (y)
1.2

x = 87.4821037 1

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
10.0 20.0

1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4
1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
2.8 3
 F(x)

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

f(x)

1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

f(x)

1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4
1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
 CUADRO Nº 3.9
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS
AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO DATOS ORDENADOS y = ln (x-a) F(x) f(x) MEDIA 45.82
1994 44.8 91.0 4.6163488927 0.9931270215 0.1096123397 DESV.EST. 17.82
1995 35.3 66.2 4.3342777682 0.8027119693 1.5873058686
1996 32.0 61.9 4.2762736056 0.6983851567 1.9924375148
1997 21.3 61.7 4.2736737329 0.6931852051 2.0076667799
1998 51.4 57.4 4.2119314354 0.5603842646 2.2544171224
1999 61.7 52.3 4.134224562 0.3850381035 2.1852330357
2000 37.9 51.4 4.1191474343 0.3525425748 2.122971966 Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr =
2001 91.0 51.0 4.1130523525 0.3396904225 2.0938888999
2002 50.8 50.8 4.1099908236 0.3333033759 2.0784790097 sabiendo que Tr = 1 / Pno exc
2003 43.0 47.7 4.0564573967 0.2306102439 1.7384072012
2004 32.9 44.8 4.0067180743 0.153585007 1.3539583426 --> Pno exc = 1 / 50 =
2005 47.7 43.0 3.9721286383 0.1114387937 1.0849800731 --> Pexc = 1-Pno exc =
2006 52.3 42.2 3.9579507623 0.0968071341 0.9796943116
2007 51.0 37.9 3.8722801906 0.0367506587 0.4597430839 z = f ( Pexc) =DISTR.NORM.ESTAN
2008 61.9 37.2 3.8566018602 0.0300995969 0.3900387266
2009 36.6 36.6 3.8446796623 0.0257382338 0.3423517862 z = 2.05374891
2010 42.2 35.3 3.8162956696 0.0174401182 0.2463309539
2011 66.2 32.9 3.7613447868 0.0076778815 0.1208557717 y=m+z S
2012 57.4 32.0 3.7393788612 0.0053946752 0.0884419855
2013 37.2 21.3 3.4474450147 1.23066865E-05 0.0003119524 y = 4.026 + 2.053 * 0.2577

y= 4.5446
a -10.1163
y= ln (x - a)
Mediana 46.3
x-a= e (y)
x - a = 94.1239858

x = 95.13 - 10.116

x= 84.0076
 MEDIA 4.1854
DESV.EST. 0.1749
a (10.1163)

C.ASIMETRIA 1.346254905

LN3; C.A.=0
onocer el caudal para Tr = 50 años,
2.5
ue Tr = 1 / Pno exc
2
0.02
0.98 1.5

=DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,98) 1

0.5

0
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8

4.026 + 2.053 * 0.2577

LN2; C.A.=-0,8
1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
 1.4

1.2

0.8

0.6

0.4
95.13 - 10.116
0.2

0
2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 4.2 4.4 4.6
 CUADRO Nº 3.10
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBEL
Var. Reducida
AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO DATOS ORDENADOS y = (x - u)/a
1994 44.8 91.0 3.52
1995 35.3 66.2 1.80
1996 32.0 61.9 1.50
1997 21.3 61.7 1.49
1998 51.4 57.4 1.19
1999 61.7 52.3 0.84
2000 37.9 51.4 0.78
2001 91.0 51.0 0.75
2002 50.8 50.8 0.74
2003 43.0 47.7 0.52
2004 32.9 44.8 0.32
2005 47.7 43.0 0.19
2006 52.3 42.2 0.14
2007 51.0 37.9 (0.16)
2008 61.9 37.2 (0.21)
2009 36.6 36.6 (0.25)
2010 42.2 35.3 (0.34)
2011 66.2 32.9 (0.51)
2012 57.4 32.0 (0.57)
2013 37.2 21.3 (1.31)

x medio 47.73 0.5230

desv. Est x (Sx) 15.33 1.0628

n = número de datos 20
yn medio = 0.5230
Sn = 1.0628

parámetros, según n
a = Sx / Sn = 14.43
u = x-yn*a= 40.18
47.73 0.5230
15.33 1.0628

20
0.5230
1.0628

14.43
40.18
 e  y 1 x−u
F (x  X )  1 e  y=
Tr a
Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 100 años,

sabiendo que:
1 - e(-e(-y))= 0.02

e(-e(-y))= 0.98

-e(-y)= -0.0202027

e(-y)= 0.0202027

-y = -3.9019387

y = 3.9019387

y= x-u
a

x= u + a.y

x= 96.48
VALORES GUMBEL

Media reducida Yn

n 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.5070 0.5100 0.5128 0.5157 0.5181 0.5202 0.5220
20 0.5230 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296 0.5309 0.5320 0.5332 0.5343 0.5353
30 0.5362 0.5371 0.5380 0.5388 0.5396 0.5402 0.5410 0.5418 0.5424 0.5430
40 0.5436 0.5442 0.5448 0.5453 0.5458 0.5463 0.5468 0.5473 0.5477 0.5481
50 0.5485 0.5489 0.5493 0.5497 0.5501 0.5504 0.5508 0.5511 0.5515 0.5518
60 0.5521 0.5524 0.5527 0.5530 0.5533 0.5535 0.5538 0.5540 0.5543 0.5545
70 0.5548 0.5550 0.5552 0.5555 0.5557 0.5559 0.5561 0.5563 0.5565 0.5567
80 0.5569 0.5570 0.5572 0.5574 0.5576 0.5578 0.5580 0.5581 0.5583 0.5585
90 0.5586 0.5587 0.5589 0.5591 0.5592 0.5593 0.5595 0.5596 0.5598 0.5599
100 0.5600

Desviación tipica reducida Sn

n 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095 1.0206 1.0316 1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
20 1.0628 1.0696 1.0754 1.0811 1.0864 1.0915 1.0961 1.1004 1.1047 1.1086
30 1.1124 1.1159 1.1193 1.2260 1.1255 1.1285 1.1313 1.1339 1.1363 1.3880
40 1.1413 1.1430 1.1458 1.1480 1.1499 1.1519 1.1538 1.1557 1.1574 1.1590
50 1.1607 1.1623 1.1638 1.1658 1.1667 1.1681 1.1696 1.1708 1.1721 1.1734
60 1.1747 1.1759 1.1770 1.1782 1.1793 1.1803 1.1814 1.1824 1.1834 1.1844
70 1.1854 1.1863 1.1873 1.1881 1.1890 1.1898 1.1906 1.1915 1.1923 1.1930
80 1.1938 1.1945 1.1953 1.1959 1.1967 1.1973 1.1980 1.1987 1.1994 1.2001
90 1.2007 1.2013 1.2020 1.2026 1.2032 1.2038 1.2044 1.2049 1.2055 1.2060
100 1.2065
 CUADRO Nº 3.11
ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROS
AÑO ESTACION HUANUCO DATOS ORDENADOS f(x) F(x)
1994 44.8 91.0 1.075E-03 9.907E-01
1995 35.3 66.2 1.045E-02 8.808E-01
1996 32.0 61.9 1.395E-02 8.286E-01
1997 21.3 61.7 1.411E-02 8.259E-01
1998 51.4 57.4 1.802E-02 7.570E-01
1999 61.7 52.3 2.256E-02 6.544E-01
2000 37.9 51.4 2.332E-02 6.330E-01
2001 91.0 51.0 2.361E-02 6.242E-01
2002 50.8 50.8 2.375E-02 6.198E-01
2003 43.0 47.7 2.584E-02 5.408E-01
2004 32.9 44.8 2.695E-02 4.666E-01
2005 47.7 43.0 2.721E-02 4.160E-01
2006 52.3 42.2 2.719E-02 3.956E-01
2007 51.0 37.9 2.561E-02 2.812E-01
2008 61.9 37.2 2.507E-02 2.623E-01
2009 36.6 36.6 2.462E-02 2.484E-01
2010 42.2 35.3 2.341E-02 2.169E-01
2011 66.2 32.9 2.064E-02 1.633E-01
2012 57.4 32.0 1.942E-02 1.446E-01
2013 37.2 21.3 4.981E-03 1.783E-02
x (media) 47.7
s2 (varianza) 235.1
a 9.689
b 4.93

Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 50 años,

sabiendo que Tr = 1 / Pno exc

--> Pno exc = 1 / 50 = 0.02

--> Pexc = 1-Pno exc = 0.98

x = f ( Pexc) =DISTR.GAMMA.INV(P;a;b)

x = 84.2139756
 f(x)

3.000E-02

2.500E-02

2.000E-02

1.500E-02

1.000E-02

5.000E-03

0.000E+00
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

F(x)

1.200E+00

1.000E+00

8.000E-01

6.000E-01

4.000E-01

2.000E-01

0.000E+00
10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0
 f(x)

20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

F(x)

20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0

 Valores de "K", para la distribución Pearson tipo III

Coeficiente Nivel de probabilidad, porcentaje

99 80 50 20 10 4 2 1
de asimetría Periodo de retorno en años -8 -6
g 1.0101 1.25 2 5 10 25 50 100
3 -0.667 -0.636 -0.396 0.42 1.18 2.278 3.152 4.051
2.8 -0.714 -0.666 -0.384 0.46 1.21 2.275 3.114 3.973
2.6 -0.769 -0.696 -0.368 0.499 1.238 2.267 3.071 3.889
2.4 -0.832 -0.725 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.8
2.2 -0.905 -0.752 -0.33 0.574 1.284 2.24 2.97 3.705
2 -0.99 -0.777 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605
1.8 -1.087 -0.7999 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848 3.499
1.6 -1.197 -0.8177 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.78 3.388
1.4 -1.318 -0.8332 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271
1.2 -1.449 -0.844 -0.195 0.732 1.34 2.087 2.626 3.149
1 -1.558 -0.852 -0.164 0.758 1.34 2.043 2.542 3.022
0.8 -1.733 -0.856 -0.132 0.78 1.336 1.993 2.453 2.891
0.6 -1.88 -0.857 -0.099 0.8 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755

f(x
R²
0.4 -2.029 -0.855 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615
0.2 -2.178 -0.85 -0.033 0.83 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472
0 -2.326 -0.842 0 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326
-0.2 -2.472 -0.83 0.033 0.85 1.258 1.68 1.945 2.178
-0.4 -2.615 -0.816 0.066 0.855 1.232 1.606 1.834 2.029
-0.6 -2.755 -0.8 0.099 0.857 1.2 1.528 1.72 1.88
-0.8 -2.891 -0.78 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606 1.733
-1 -3.022 -0.758 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588
-1.2 -3.149 -0.732 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449
-1.4 -3.271 -0.705 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.27 1.318
-1.6 -3.388 -0.675 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197
-1.8 -3.499 -0.643 0.282 0.799 0.945 1.035 1.069 1.087
-2 -3.605 -0.609 0.307 0.777 0.895 0.958 0.98 0.99
-2.2 -3.705 -0.574 0.33 0.752 0.844 0.888 0.9 0.905
-2.4 -3.8 -0.537 0.351 0.725 0.795 0.823 0.83 0.832
-2.6 -3.889 -0.499 0.368 0.696 0.747 0.764 0.768 0.769
-2.8 -3.973 -0.46 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714 1.0101
2
-3 -4.051 -0.42 0.396 0.636 0.66 0.666 0.666 0.667

Ponderado 1.0101 2 5 10 25 50 100 200

 Por
COEFI ciento
CIENT de
5
E posibilid
SKEW ades (>
=) = 1-F

6 Cw 99 50 20 10 4 2 1 0.5
7 3 -0.667 -0.396 0.42 1.18 2.278 3.152 4.051 4.97
8 2.9 -0.69 -0.39 0.44 1.195 2.277 3.134 4.013 4.904
9 2.8 -0.714 -0.384 0.46 1.21 2.275 3.114 3.973 4.847
10 2.7 -0.74 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093 3.932 4.783
11 2.6 -0.769 -0.368 0.499 1.238 2.267 3.071 3.889 4.718
12 2.5 -0.799 -0.36 0.518 1.25 2.262 3.048 3.845 4.652
13 2.4 -0.832 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.8 4.584
14 2.3 -0.867 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 2.997 3.753 4.515
15 2.2 -0.905 -0.33 0.574 1.284 2.24 2.97 3.705 4.444
16 2.1 -0.946 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.23 2.942 3.656 4.372
17 2 -0.99 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605 4.298
18 1.9 -1.037 -0.294 0.627 1.31 2.207 2.881 3.553 4.223
19 1.8 -1.087 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848 3.499 4.147
20 1.7 -1.14 -0.268 0.66 1.324 2.179 2.815 3.444 4.069
21 1.6 -1.197 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.78 3.388 3.99
22 1.5 -1.256 -0.24 0.69 1.333 2.146 2.743 3.33 3.91
23 1.4 -1.318 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271 3.828
24 1.3 -1.383 -0.21 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666 3.211 3.745
25 1.2 -1.449 -0.195 0.732 1.34 2.087 2.626 3.149 3.661
26 1.1 -1.518 -0.18 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585 3.087 3.575
27 1 -1.588 -0.164 0.758 1.34 2.043 2.542 3.022 3.489
28 0.9 -1.66 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498 2.957 3.401
29 0.8 -1.733 -0.132 0.78 1.336 1.993 2.453 2.891 3.312
30 0.7 -1.806 -0.116 0.79 1.333 1.967 2.407 2.824 3.223
31 0.6 -1.88 -0.099 0.8 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132
32 0.5 -1.955 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.91 2.311 2.686 3.041
33 0.4 -2.029 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615 2.949
34 0.3 -2.104 -0.05 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856
35 0.2 -2.178 -0.033 0.83 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763
36 0.1 -2.252 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.4 2.67
37 0 -2.326 0 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326 2.576
38 -0,1 -2,4 0.017 0.846 1.27 1.716 2 2.252 2.482
39 -0,2 -2.472 0.033 0.85 1.258 1.68 1.945 2.178 2.388
40 -0,3 -2.544 0.05 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.89 2.104 2.294
41 -0,4 -2.615 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029 2.201
42 -0,5 -2.686 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.777 1.955 2.108
43 -0,6 -2.755 0.099 0.857 1.2 1.528 1.72 1.88 2.016
44 -0,7 -2.824 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663 1.806 1.926
45 -0,8 -2.891 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606 1.733 1.837
46 -0,9 -2.957 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549 1.66 1.749
47 -1 -3.022 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588 1.664
48 -1,1 -3.087 0.18 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435 1.518 1.581
49 -1,2 -3.149 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449 1.501
50 -1,3 -3.211 0.21 0.838 1.064 1.24 1.324 1.383 1.424
51 -1,4 -3.271 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.27 1.318 1.351
52 -1,5 -3.33 0.24 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217 1.256 1.282
53 -1,6 -3.88 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197 1.216
54 -1,7 -3.444 0.268 0.808 0.97 1.075 1.116 1.14 1.155
55 -1,8 -3.499 0.282 0.799 0.945 1.035 1.069 1.087 1.097
56 -1,9 -3.553 0.294 0.788 0.92 0.996 1.023 1.037 1.044
57 -2 -3.605 0.307 0.777 0.895 0.959 0.98 0.99 0.995
58 -2,1 -3.656 0.319 0.765 0.869 0.923 0.939 0.946 0.949
59 -2,2 -3.705 0.33 0.752 0.844 0.888 0.9 0.905 0.907
60 -2,3 -3.753 0.341 0.739 0.819 0.855 0.864 0.867 0.869
61 -2,4 -3,8 0.351 0.725 0.795 0.823 0.83 0.832 0.833
62 -2,5 -3.845 0.36 0.711 0.711 0.793 0.798 0.799 0.8
63 -2,6 -3.899 0.368 0.696 0.747 0.764 0.768 0.769 0.769
64 -2,7 -3.932 0.376 0.681 0.724 0.738 0.74 0.74 0.741
65 -2,8 -3.973 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714 0.714
66 -2,9 -4.013 0.39 0.651 0.681 0.683 0.689 0.69 0.69
67 -3 -4.051 0.396 0.636 0.66 0.666 0.666 0.667 0.667
 K versus g para diferentes Tr
K(Tr) = f (g)

Coeficiente de asimetría, g

-6 -4 -2 0 2
4
f(x) = - 0.0190533736x^3 + 0.0033863384x^2
Tr+=0.7315950048x
100 + 2.3035830721
R² = 0.9997773985

3
f(x) = - 0.0139955002x^3 - 0.0169498622x^2 + 0.538798488x + 2.0338847204
R² = 0.9996471006

f(x) = - 0.0089576406x^3 - 0.0322070293x^2 + 0.3497118487x + 1.7353205582

2
R² = 0.9993979366

coeficiente K
f(x) = - 0.0026067691x^3 - 0.0412508532x^2 + 0.1113227648x + 1.27384144
R² = 0.998537587 1
f(x) = 0.0013766782x^3 - 0.0354644365x^2 - 0.0476827658x + 0.8390991
R² = 0.9992547489
f(x) = 0.0040778313x^3 - 8.6057325391559E-18x^2 - 0.1691693955x + 1.05222764652546E-17
R² = 0.9999829299 0

f(x) = 0.0013992929x^3 + 0.0354719417x^2 - 0.047857402x - 0.8392134392

f(x)R²
= =- 0.0192834086x^3
0.9992713572 - 0.0036470447x^2 + 0.7332205855x - 2.3017810699
R² = 0.9997466776 -1

-2
Tr = 1.01

-3

-4
1.0101 Polynomial (1.0101) 1.25 Polynomial (1.25)
2 Polynomial (2) 5 Polynomial (5)
 CUADRO Nº 3.12
Probabilidad de excedencia F(x) Diferencia Delta D
DATOS
Empírica Normal LN2 LN3 Gumbel Gamma Normal LN2 LN3 Gumbel Gamma
1 91.0 0.048 0.002 0.015 0.007 0.029 0.009 0.04524 0.03291 0.04075 0.01854 0.03827
2 66.2 0.095 0.115 0.120 0.197 0.152 0.119 0.01950 0.02469 0.10205 0.05710 0.02398
3 61.9 0.143 0.178 0.167 0.302 0.200 0.171 0.03557 0.02462 0.15876 0.05673 0.02859
4 61.7 0.190 0.182 0.170 0.307 0.202 0.174 0.00886 0.02060 0.11634 0.01143 0.01641
5 57.4 0.238 0.265 0.233 0.440 0.262 0.243 0.02662 0.00465 0.20152 0.02390 0.00494
6 52.3 0.286 0.382 0.331 0.615 0.350 0.346 0.09644 0.04491 0.32925 0.06443 0.05989
7 51.4 0.333 0.406 0.351 0.647 0.369 0.367 0.07227 0.01806 0.31412 0.03528 0.03371
8 51.0 0.381 0.415 0.360 0.660 0.376 0.376 0.03412 0.02101 0.27936 0.00476 0.00514
9 50.8 0.429 0.420 0.364 0.667 0.380 0.380 0.00874 0.06431 0.23813 0.04856 0.04834
10 47.7 0.476 0.502 0.443 0.769 0.449 0.459 0.02575 0.03352 0.29320 0.02730 0.01700
11 44.8 0.524 0.574 0.518 0.846 0.515 0.533 0.05063 0.00533 0.32261 0.00881 0.00955
12 43.0 0.571 0.622 0.571 0.889 0.561 0.584 0.05013 0.00005 0.31713 0.01025 0.01261
13 42.2 0.619 0.640 0.593 0.903 0.580 0.604 0.02090 0.02604 0.28415 0.03906 0.01468
14 37.9 0.667 0.738 0.717 0.963 0.689 0.719 0.07180 0.04989 0.29658 0.02251 0.05209
15 37.2 0.714 0.754 0.737 0.970 0.708 0.738 0.03980 0.02307 0.25561 0.00638 0.02342
16 36.6 0.762 0.765 0.753 0.974 0.722 0.752 0.00355 0.00922 0.21236 0.04010 0.01027
17 35.3 0.810 0.791 0.787 0.983 0.754 0.783 0.01870 0.02217 0.17304 0.05591 0.02645
18 32.9 0.857 0.833 0.846 0.992 0.809 0.837 0.02374 0.01071 0.13518 0.04770 0.02045
19 32.0 0.905 0.848 0.867 0.995 0.829 0.855 0.05659 0.03786 0.08984 0.07532 0.04935
20 21.3 0.952 0.958 0.991 1.000 0.975 0.982 0.00521 0.03911 0.04761 0.02292 0.02979
0.09644 0.06431 0.32925 0.07532 0.05989
Aceptada Aceptada Rechazada Aceptada Aceptada
D 0 = 0.294
Elaboración Propia